WEBINAR 2. The Link Between Unconventional Oil & Natural Gas Development & Reproductive Health
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Transcript of WEBINAR 2. The Link Between Unconventional Oil & Natural Gas Development & Reproductive Health
Congenital Heart Defects and Maternal Proximity to Oil and Gas
Development
Lisa McKenzie, PhD, MPH [email protected]
Department of Environmental and Occupational Health Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado
Congenital Heart Defects and Environmental Exposures
Some studies have associated congenital heart defects or birth defects in general with maternal exposure to:
• toluene, xylene, and benzene
• Air pollution
• Stressful life events
Weld County. (Denver Post file photo)
Erie Colorado. (RJ Sangosti/ The Denver Post) Crude oil and condensate spilled into the Poudre River a half mile east of Windsor, upriver from Greeley, (Marc Stewart, 7News)
Oil and Gas Operations
Can emit many chemicals
Directly
Diesel Engines
Toluene and xylene are teratogens (agents that cause birth defects)
Benzene is a mutagen and a carcinogen
Cross the placenta
Our Preliminary Study (McKenzie et al 2012)
Explore the association between maternal exposure to natural gas development and birth outcomes, using a dataset with individual-level birth data and geocoded natural gas well locations.
Retrospective Cohort Study
• Identify a group of subjects (the cohort): – 124,832 infants born between 1996 and 2009 in
rural Colorado
• Determine exposures that occurred in the past (retrospective) – Proximity of mother’s home at the time of birth to
natural gas development
• Follow the cohort after the exposure for occurrence of a congenital heart defect.
124,832 Infants born between 1996 and 2009
• Rural areas and towns with populations less than 50,000 (Denver-Metropolitan area, El Paso County and the cities of Fort Collins, Boulder, Pueblo, Grand Junction and Greely excluded)
• White Hispanic and Non-Hispanic Mothers
• Singleton live births
Found all gas wells that existed in the infant’s birth year within 10 miles of where the mother was living on
the birth date of her infant
Ten Miles Ten Miles
Exposed Unexposed
Inverse Distance Weighted Count
• Calculated the inverse distance weight for each well
• Then added all the inverse distance weights for wells in the 10 radius around the mother’s home.
• The closer a well is to the home, the more influence/weight it has in the count.
Examples for 4 wells
• All wells 1 mile away: IDW = 1/1 + 1/1 + 1/1 + 1/1 = 4
• All wells 5 miles away: IDW = 1/5 + 1/5 + 1/5 + 1/5 = 0.8
• 2 wells 1 mile away, 2 wells 2 miles away = 1/1 + 1/1 +1/2 +1/2 = 2.4
Tertiles
Exposed Group
Low (1 to 3.62 wells per mile)
High (126 to 1400
wells per mile)
Medium (3.63 to
125 miles per mile)
Odds Ratios
• Calculated with a logistic regression
• Compares the prevalence of the birth outcome in the exposed groups (tertiles) to the birth outcome in the unexposed group – Greater than one indicates a positive association
– Less than one indicates a negative association
– 1 indicates no association
• Adjusted for other things that may cause the congenital heart defect (Mother’s smoking, alcohol use, education, age, and ethnicity, elevation of mother’s home, parity, and infant gender).
Between 1996 and 2009, 47 Percent of Births in Rural Colorado to Mothers
with Wells within 10 miles of Residence
Congenital Heart Defects
Low = first tertile, 1 to 3.62 wells per mile, medium = second tertile, 3.63 to 125 wells per mile, high = third tertile, 126 to 1400 wells per mile. Adjusted for maternal age, ethnicity, smoking, alcohol use, education, and elevation of residence, as well as infant parity and gender.
Specific Heart Defects Ventricular Septal Defects Pulmonary Artery and Valve Defects
Tricuspid Valve Defects
Current Study
Goal: Develop rigorous exposure assessment approaches that will link specific well activity and emissions models to birth data to estimate maternal exposures in the three months before conception and in the first two months of her pregnancy.
Five Case Control Studies
Figure 1. Cases and Controls
175533 births
200 Ventricular Septal Defects
42 Tricuspid Valve Defects
200 Pulmonary Artery and
Valve Defects
200 Aortic Artery and
Valve Defects
126 Conotruncal
Defects
200 Controls
252 Controls
168 Controls
200 Controls
200 Controls
Air Toxics Emission Intensity for each well and other air pollution sources
• How much Oil, Condensate and Gas Produced
• Phase of production • Use of green completions
Why is this important?
Oil and gas development operations, which are rapidly increasing and emit known and suspected teratogens, may be associated with congenital heart defects, which have significant health consequences. The human fetus is especially sensitive to environmental chemical exposures and our preliminary work indicates that congenital heart defects may increase as maternal proximity to natural gas development increases. Our current study will address several limitations in the preliminary study.
Multi-well Pad
Acknowledgements
• CSPH Colleagues: Roxana Witter, John Adgate, Lee Newman, Ruixen Guo, David Savitz, Brown University
• Colorado Department of Public Health (CDPHE) and Environment’s Health Statistics and Colorado Responds to Children with Special Needs Sections provided outcome data for this study. CDPHE specifically disclaims responsibility for any analyses, interpretations, or conclusions.
• Funding for preliminary study from the Colorado School of Public Health Department of Environmental and Occupational Health
• Funding for current study is supported by an award from the American Heart Association
I have no conflicts of interest to declare