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TOPIC IX: PROBABILITY – 7 TH GRADE Chapter 9: Lesson 1 – Probability of Simple Events Probability is the ______________ that an event will occur. A simple ________________ is an outcome or a collection of _______________. An outcome is what ____________________ happens. Why Probability is written as a ratio that compares the outcomes of the event to the possible outcomes. P(event) = Topic 9: Probability Page 1

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TOPIC IX: PROBABILITY – 7 TH GRADE

Chapter 9: Lesson 1 – Probability of Simple Events

Probability is the ______________ that an event will occur. A simple ________________ is an outcome or a collection of _______________. An outcome is what ____________________ happens.

Why

Probability is written as a ratio that compares the outcomes of the event to the possible outcomes. P(event) =

Topic 9: Probability Page 1

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What is the P(red) P(blue) *P(not blue) P(red or green)

*Complementary event: event that can’t occur at the same time. Usually has the word _________. Both events total ____________.

Topic 9: Probability Page 2

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Topic 9: Probability Page 3

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Chapter 9 – Lesson 2: Theoretical and Experimental Probability

In a ______________________________________, there is an equal probability for an outcome to occur.

If I was the owner of a gameshow, which wheel would be better for me to use? Explain.

Which one would the players like to use? Explain.

Theoretical vs. Experimental

Theoretical – what should happen, what I am _________________ (based on ______)

Experimental – what actually happens, __________ the experiment (based on _______)

Topic 9: Probability Page 4

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Compare the theoretical to the experimental.

Theoretical:

Experimental:

Topic 9: Probability Page 5

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Chapter 9: Lesson 3 and 5 – Probability of Compound Events and Counting Principle

Compound Events consists of ______________ or more simple events. One event does __________ affect the other. The probability of compound events can be found by making lists or _____________________. It will give you the ______________________, all the possible outcomes.

Probability of compound events can also be found using the Counting Principle, _____________________________. The counting principle will give you the total number of outcomes. Then I multiply the favorable outcomes.

Topic 9: Probability Page 6

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Examples

Diagram Counting Principle

Diagram Counting Principle

Topic 9: Probability Page 7

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Diagram Counting Principle

Diagram Counting Principle

Topic 9: Probability Page 8

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Diagram Counting Principle

Diagram Counting Principle

Topic 9: Probability Page 9

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Chapter 9: Lesson 6 – Permutations

Permutations is an arrangement or list of objects in which order is _________________.

Permutation problems can also be written like this:

Topic 9: Probability Page 10

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Chapter 9: Lesson 7 – Independent and Dependent Events

Independent events are isolated events. The outcome of one does __________ affect the other.

Dependent events are those that the _____________ of one ___________ the other.

Independent Dependent

Topic 9: Probability Page 11

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7th Grade TOPIC 9

Probability

Date Chapter/Lesson Materials Assessment

Home

Learning Rigor

9-1: Probability of Simple Events

MAFS.7.SP.3.5 MAFS.7.SP.3.7a

Guided Notes; khan academy

o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

o Application

9-2: Theoretical and Experimental Possibility

MAFS.7.SP.3.6 MAFS.7.SP.3.7a MAFS.7.SP.3.7

Quiz 30 306, 307

341, 342

294, 295

o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

o Application

9-3: Probability of Compound Events

MAFS.7.SP.3.5 MAFS.7.SP.3.8a,b

Quiz 31 318, 319

348, 350

o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

o Application

9-5: Fundamental Counting Principle

MAFS.7.SP.3.5 MAFS.7.SP.3.8a,b

352-354 o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

o Application

9-4: Simulations

MAFS.7.SP.3.8c

Quiz 33 o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

o Application

9-6: Permutations o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

o Application

Home

Topic 9: Probability Page 12

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Date Chapter/Lesson Materials Assessment Learning o Rigor

9-7: Independent and Dependent Events

MAFS.7.SP.3.8a,b,c

Learnzillion Video

o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

Application

FSA SPECS/ Review/ Teacher Toolbox /

Practice Test

o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluency

Application

Assessment Topic 9 o Conceptual understanding

o Skill and fluencyo Application

Topic 9: Probability Page 13