Water resources and biofuels big picture
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Water Resources: Issues & Opportunities
The BIG Picture – How Do Biofuels Fit In?
Rick Cruse
Iowa State University
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THE BIG PICTURE
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Future Bioeconomy and Its Impacts on Water (and soil) ResourcesDo we have the scientific knowledge to
identify acceptable feedstock management?
Can we balance energy needs, financial interests, and water/soil conservation in the bioenergy industry?
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Millennium Ecosystem Assessment ReportDuring the next 50 years, demand for food
crops is projected to grow by 70–85% under the MA scenarios, and demand for water by between 30% and 85%.
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Working Lands
Our agricultural lands must work.
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Current working agricultural lands sacrifice water quality.
Current Working Lands & Water Quality
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Cox, Craig, Andrew Hug, and Nils Bruzelius. 2011. Losing Ground. Environmental Working Group. Available at:http://static.ewg.org/reports/2010/losingground/pdf/losingground_report.pdf
Current Working Land and Soil Erosion
2007
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Oki, Taikan and Shinjiro Kanae. 2006. Global hydrological cycles and world water resources. Science. 313:1068-1072
Published by AAAS
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Irrigation~ 40% of world food comes from 18% of
world’s cropland1
India 3/5 of grain harvestChina 4/5 of grain harvest
1W Danielle Nierenberg, Linda Starke and Erik Assadourian. 2007State of the World – 2006. World Watch Institute.
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Countries over-pumping aquifers in 2005 and population (million)
China India Iran Isreal Jordan MexicoMoracc
oPakista
n
1,316 1,103 70 7 6 107 31 158
S. Arabia
S. Korea Spain Syria Tunesia U.S Yemen Total
25 48 43 19 10 291 21 3,262
Brown, Lester (Lead Author);Brian Black, Galal Hassan Galal Hussein (Topic Editor) "Aquifer depletion". In: Encyclopedia of Earth. Eds. Cutler J. Cleveland (Washington, D.C.: Environmental Information Coalition, National Council for Science and the Environment). [First published in the Encyclopedia of Earth January 23, 2010; Last revised Date March 22, 2011; Retrieved March 13, 2012 http://www.eoearth.org/article/Aquifer_depletion
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Precipitation minus Evaporation for Western US
(25N-40N, 95W-125 W)
R. Seager, et al. 2007. Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America. Science, Vol. 316. no. 5828, pp. 1181 - 1184
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Land Resources
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Globally, 25% of agricultural land is considered highly degraded such that livelihoods have been compromised, production capacity has been seriously diminished, and opportunities to renovate are limited or nonexistent.
FAO. 2011. State of the world’s land and water resources for food and agriculture. Summary Report. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Rome
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U.S. Agricultural Land Conversion
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Six million acres eroded at 20 – 100 times the soil renewal rate in 2007.
Cox, Craig, Andrew Hug, and Nils Bruzelius. 2011. Losing Ground. Environmental Working Group. Available at:http://static.ewg.org/reports/2010/losingground/pdf/losingground_report.pdf
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“One of the clearest trends in the United States observational record is an increasing frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation events… Over the last century there was a 50% increase in the frequency of days with precipitation over 101.6 mm (four inches) in the upper midwestern U.S.; this trend is statistically significant “
Karl, T. R., J. M. Melillo, and T. C. Peterson, (eds.), 2009: Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States. Cambridge University Press, 2009, 196pp.
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Cedar Rapids Data
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Cedar Rapids Data
4.2 days 57% increase 6.6 days
1.25 inches
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Cedar Rapids Data
4.2 days 57% increase 6.6 days
1.25 inches
2
13Years having more than 8 days
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Big PictureDemand for Energy increasingDemand for food and water increasingBiofuels must compete with food production
for land and water resources in a world with Greater climate variability
Production impacts Water and soil impacts
Soil and water degradation problemsPolitical environment less stable than climate