VPD Report to Police Board 2015

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    VANCOUVER POLICE DEPARTMENT

    REPORT TO THE VANCOUVER POLICE BOARD

    REPORT DATE: February 10, 2016

    BOARD MEETING DATE: February 25, 2016

    BOARD REPORT # 1602P01

    Regular

    TO: Vancouver Police Board

    FROM: Drazen Manojlovic, Director, Planning, Research & Audit Section

    SUBJECT: Year-end 2015 Key Performance Indicator Report

    RECOMMENDATION:

    That the Vancouver Police Board receives this report for information.

    BACKGROUND:

    The Key Performance Indicator (KPI) report is produced quarterly. Amongst other statistics, thisreport reviews property crime, violent crime, priority 1 response time, ICBC reported traffic

    injuries and motor vehicle incidents resulting in death. This report is produced to provide amacro-level perspective of organizational performance and overall public safety.

    DISCUSSION:

    The following is a summary of the Year-end 2015 KPI Report (note - all results compareJanuary 1 December 31, 2015 with the results for the same time period in 2014):

    Violent Crime The violent crime rate (per 1,000 population) decreased by 3.3%. There were 16 incidents of Culpable Homicide in 2015 compared to 10 in 2014. Sexual Offences decreased by 0.7%. There were 35 Bank Robbery incidents in 2015 compared to 27 in 2014. There were 10 Shots Fired incidents in 2015 compared to 18 incidents in 2014.

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    Section 28 Mental Health Act(MHA) ApprehensionsThe number of s. 28 MHA apprehensions increased by 1.2%, from 3,010 incidents in 2014 to

    3,045 incidents in 2015.

    Response TimeVancouvers 2015 priority 1 response time (9:29) was 3.4%, or 19 seconds, slower whencompared to the 2014 priority 1 response time (9:10).

    Traffic Injuries & DeathsICBC has implemented a new claims system. As a result of the transition to the new system,ICBCs crash and auto crime data from January 1, 2014 onward will not be available for release

    until approximately early 2016.

    With the new claims system, the way ICBC collect and report crash and auto crime data haschanged. For this reason, data from 2013 and earlier may not be directly comparable to 2014data and onwards.

    The latest comparable data that we currently have from ICBC shows Vancouver hasexperienced 1.4% fewer reported injury collisions from January to April 2014 (2,735) than in

    2013 (2,774).

    As reported by the VPD Traffic Section, there were 14 fatalities in 2015 and 15 fatalities in 2014.

    CONCLUSION:

    The VPD will provide the Vancouver Police Board four quarterly KPI reports in 2016, scheduledfor meetings in April (Q1), July (Q2 YTD), October (Q3 YTD), and February 2017 (Year-end of2016).

    Author: Correen Yedon Telephone: 604-717-2689 Date: February 10, 2016

    Submitting Executive Member (signature):

    Senior Director Nancy Eng Date: February 11, 2016

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    KEY PERFORMANCE

    INDICATORS

    Y E A R - E N D 2 0 1 5

    Planning, Research & Audit Section

    February 2016

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 2

    Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 3

    Violent Crime ............................................................................................................................. 4

    Property Crime ........................................................................................................................... 7

    s. 28 Mental Health ActApprehensions ....................................................................................10Priority 1 Response Times ........................................................................................................11

    Traffic Related Injuries & Deaths ...............................................................................................12

    Appendix ...................................................................................................................................14

    LIST OF TABLES

    Table 1: Violent Crime Rate 2014 Compared to 2015 ............................................................. 4

    Table 2: Property Crime Rate 2014 Compared to 2015 .......................................................... 7

    Table 3: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions 2014 Compared to 2015 ................................................10

    Table 4: Priority 1 Response Times 2014 Compared to 2015 ...............................................11

    LIST OF FIGURES

    Figure 1: Selected Violent Crime Incidents 2006-2015 .............................................................. 4

    Figure 2: 2005-2015 Trend for Violent Crime Rate .................................................................... 6

    Figure 3: Selected Property Crime Incidents 2006-2015 ........................................................... 7

    Figure 4: 2005-2015 Trend for Property Crime Rate ................................................................. 9Figure 5: s. 28 MHA Apprehensions 2010-2015 .......................................................................10

    Figure 6: P1 Year-End Response Times 2006-2015 ................................................................11

    Figure 7: 10-Year Trend for ICBC Reported Injuries & Fatalities ..............................................12

    Figure 8: 10-Year Trend for Traffic Fatalities............................................................................13

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    INTRODUCTION

    The Vancouver Police Departments (VPD) 2012-2016 Strategic Plan establishes the VPDsvision of being the safest major city in Canada. The Strategic Plan identifies policing prioritiesthat include the following five crime reduction goals:

    Reduce violent crime by 2.5% a year for a total reduction of 12.5% over the next fiveyears;

    Reduce property crime by 5% a year for a total reduction of 25% over the next fiveyears;

    Disrupt organized crime groups; Reduce motor vehicle collisions that result in injury or death by 12.5% over the next five

    years; and Combat low-level crimes and problems that impact perceptions of neighbourhood safety.

    The establishment of crime reduction goals is critical and success can be accurately determined

    through effective measurement. The VPD and Vancouver Police Board identified KeyPerformance Indicators (KPIs) that provide a macro-level perspective of organizationalperformance. A KPI report is produced on a quarterly basis to provide a snapshot of the VPDrelative to its primary purpose public safety.

    This KPI Report presents year-end data for 2014 and 2015. A description of the data includedin this report and the extraction criteria is available in the appendix. The KPIs that will bepresented in this report are:

    Violent crime rates (including bank robberies and shots fired); Property crime rates; Section 28 Mental Health ActApprehensions; ICBC reported injuries, traffic deaths; and, Annual citizen satisfaction survey1.

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Violent Crime The violent crime rate (per 1,000 population) decreased by 3.3%. There were 16 incidents of Culpable Homicide in 2015 compared to 10 in 2014. Sexual Offences decreased by 0.7%. There were 35 Bank Robbery incidents in 2015 compared to 27 in 2014. There were 10 Shots Fired incidents in 2015 compared to 18 incidents in 2014.

    Property Crime The property crime rate (per 1,000 population) increased by 2.6%. B&E - Business incidents increased by 8.5%. B&E - Residence incidents increased by 4.2%. Theft from Motor Vehicle incidents increased by 5.1%.

    Section 28 Mental Health Act(MHA) Apprehensions

    The number of s. 28 MHA apprehensions increased by 1.2%, from 3,010 incidents in 2014 to3,045 incidents in 2015.

    Response TimeVancouvers 2015 priority 1 response time (9:29) was 3.4%, or 19 seconds, slower whencompared to the 2014 priority 1 response time (9:10).

    Traffic Injuries & DeathsICBC has implemented a new claims system. As a result of the transition to the new system,ICBCs crash and auto crime data from January 1, 2014 onward will not be available for releaseuntil approximately early 2016.

    With the new claims system, the way ICBC collect and report crash and auto crime data haschanged. For this reason, data from 2013 and earlier may not be directly comparable to 2014data and onwards.

    The latest comparable data that we currently have from ICBC shows Vancouver has

    experienced 1.4% fewer reported injury collisions from January to April 2014 (2,735) than in2013 (2,774).

    With regard to fatal motor vehicle collisions, there were 14 fatalities in 2015 and 15 fatalities in2014.

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    VIOLENT CRIME

    Table 1 shows the 2015 violent crime rate per 1,000 population is down 3.3% when comparedto the same period in 2014.

    Table 1: Violent Crime Rate 2014 Compared t o 2015

    2015 2014 % Change

    Violent Crime Rate per 1,000 Population 7.7 7.9

    -3.3%

    The VPD also monitors other trends such as Bank Robbery incidents (included in Robberytotals) and confirmed Shots Fired incidents. The following figures show the total number ofincidents by year since 2006. Figure 1 depicts the 10-year trend for Culpable Homicide, SexualOffences, Bank Robberies and shots fired. With the exception of Sexual Offences all figures areshowing an overall decrease as represented by their trend lines.

    Figure 1: Selected Violent Crime Incident s 2006-2015

    15

    2120

    19

    10

    15

    86

    10

    16

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    NumberofCu

    lpableHomicides

    Culpable Homicides

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    384411

    378

    433 423 425389

    466

    410 407

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Numbe

    rofIncidents

    Sexual Offences

    130

    185173

    11196

    83 81

    47

    27 35

    0

    40

    80

    120

    160

    200

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    NumberofIncidents

    Bank Robberies

    83

    68

    423640

    50

    60

    70

    8090

    ofIncidents

    Shots Fired Incidents

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    Figure 2 shows that the violent crime rate has declined four consecutive years since 2011 (10.3)and 2015 (7.7) experienced the lowest violent crime rate since 2005. The blue bars representthe target rates set in the 2008-2012 and 2012-2016 Strategic Plans with a 2.0% and 2.5%annual target decrease respectively. The dashed line is the 2007 baseline rate (11.1) whichreflects how the violent crime rate has progressed over the past seven years and since the startof the 2008-2012 Strategic Plan.

    Figure 2: 2005-2015 Trend for Vio lent Crim e Rate

    10.9 10.7 10.5 10.3 10.0 9.7 9.4 9.1

    11.2 11.6 11.1 11.1 10.7 10.1 10.39.4 9.0

    7.9 7.7

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    ViolentCrimeRate

    per1,000Population

    Strat Plan Target Rate Actual Rate 2007 Baseline Rate

    11.1

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    PROPERTY CRIME

    Table 2 shows the property crime rate per 1,000 population in 2014 and 2015. As shown,property crime has increased 2.6% when comparing year-end incidents.

    Table 2: Propert y Crime Rate 2014 Compared to 2015

    2015 2014 % Change

    Property Crime Rate per 1,000 Population 56.5 55.0

    2.6%

    Figure 3 reflects year-end data for Break & Enters into business and residences over 10 years.B&E Business increased from 1,691 incidents in 2012 to 2,425 in 2015 representing a 43.4%increase. In 2014, there were 2,276 residential B&Es. By 2015, this figure increased to 2,372, a4.2% increase in this crime type. Theft from Motor Vehicle experienced a five-year consecutivedecrease from 2006 to 2011. Since 2011, this crime type has increased four consecutive yearswith 2015 reflecting 10,151 incidents.

    Figure 3: Selected Prop erty Crime Incidents 2006-2015

    2,872

    2,4492,243

    1,8801,668

    1,8901,691 1,762

    2,2362,425

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    NumberofIncidents

    Break & Enter - Business

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    4,535

    4,153

    3,567

    2,7282,591 2,633 2,602

    2,348 2,276 2,372

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,0002,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Numbero

    fIncidents

    Break & Enter - Residence

    14,476

    11,96011,047

    9,629

    8,363 7,249 7,778 8,014

    9,65410,151

    -

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    16,000

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    NumberofIn

    cidents

    Theft from Motor Vehicle ($5K)

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    As shown in Figure 4, the property crime rate experienced six consecutive annual decreasesfrom 2005 (83.6) to 2011 (49.8). Unfortunately, property crime has increased four years in arow from 2012 (50.0) to 2015 (56.5). The blue bars represents the property crime reductiongoal set in the last three Strategic Plans with a 4.0%, 4.0%, and 5.0% annual target decreaserespectively. As illustrated, for the second time in a row since 2005, the VPD did not achieve itsproperty crime rate goal (45.0) as set out by the 2012-2016 Strategic Plan. The dashed line isthe 2004 baseline rate (92.2) which reflects how the property crime rate has progressed overthe past ten years (after the first year of the 2004-2008 Strategic Plan).

    Figure 4: 2005-2015 Trend for Property Crime Rate

    86.2 82.4 78.7 74.9 71.2 67.5 63.7 59.0 54.3 49.7 45.0

    83.676.5

    66.9 62.756.3 51.9 49.8 50.0 50.2 55.0

    56.5

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Pro

    pertyCrimeRateper1,000Population

    Strat Plan Target Rate Actual Rate 2004 Baseline Rate

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    s. 28 MENTAL HEALTH ACT APPREHENSIONS

    Under Section 28 of the Mental Health Act (MHA), a police officer may apprehend andimmediately take a person to a physician for examination if satisfied from personal observations,or information received, that the person is acting in a manner likely to endanger that person'sown safety or the safety of others, and is apparently a person with a mental disorder.

    Once apprehended, the individual must be presented to a medical practitioner to be clearedmedically and properly diagnosed. Table 3 shows there has been a 1.2% increase in thenumber of apprehensions when comparing 2014 to 2015.

    Table 3: s. 28 MHA Apprehensi ons 2014 Comp ared to 2015

    2015 2014 % Change

    Incidents 3,045 3,010

    1.2%

    The s. 28 MHA apprehension data is extracted from hospital wait time templates. Figure 5shows the number of s. 28 MHA apprehensions that occurred from 2010 (2,278) to 2015(3,045). Each year there has been an increase in MHA apprehensions.

    Figure 5: s. 28 MHA App rehensio ns 2010-2015

    2,2782,489

    2,6362,873

    3,010 3,045

    250

    500

    1,250

    2,000

    2,750

    3,500

    NumberofApprehensions

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    PRIORITY 1 RESPONSE TIMES

    Table 4 compares year-end priority 1 (P1) response time data from 2014 to 2015. The averageresponse time for 2015 (9:29) was slower by 19 seconds, or 3.4%, when compared to 2014(9:10).

    Table 4: Prior it y 1 Response Times 2014 Compared to 2015

    2015 2014 % Change

    mm:ss 9:29 9:10

    3.4%

    Figure 6 shows response times between 2006 and 2015. Although the 2015 response time has

    increased over the past four years, the trend line shows that overall, response times haveremained stable since 2006.

    Figure 6: P1 Year-End Respon se Times 2006-2015

    09:4109:01

    08:37

    08:00

    08:44

    08:17

    08:3808:59 09:10

    09:29

    00:00

    01:26

    02:53

    04:19

    05:46

    07:12

    08:38

    10:05

    11:31

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    ResponseTimes(mm:s

    s)

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    TRAFFIC RELATED INJURIES & DEATHS

    ICBC has implemented a new claims system. As a result of the transition to the new system,ICBCs crash and auto crime data from January 1, 2014 onward will not be available for releaseuntil approximately early 2016.

    The latest comparable data that we currently have from ICBC shows Vancouver has

    experienced 1.4% fewer reported injury collisions from January to April 2014 (2,735) than in2013 (2,774).

    Figure 7 depicts the number of ICBC reported injuries per 1,000 population from 2004 to 2013.ICBC reported five consecutive decreases in reported injuries from 2004 (16.1) to 2009 (13.6)before experiencing a 7.0% increase in 2010 (14.3). Since then, there have been three annualconsecutive decreases in reported injuries from 2011 (14.2) to 2013 (13.9). Comparing 2004(16.1) to 2013 (13.9) shows there has been a 13.5% decrease in ICBC reported injuries and

    fatalities. The blue bars represent the target rate set in the 2012-2016 Strategic Plans with a2.5% annual target decrease. The dashed line is the 2011 baseline rate (14.2) which reflectshow the motor vehicle collisions that result in injury or death has progressed over the past twoyears (since the beginning of the 2012-2016 Strategic Plan).

    Figure 7: 10-Year Trend for ICBC Reported Inju ries & Fatalit ies

    13.8 13.5

    16.1 16.0 15.5 15.0 14.513.6 14.3 14.2 14.0 13.9

    0

    3

    6

    9

    12

    15

    18

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013ICBCincidentsres

    ultingininjuryorfatality

    per1,0

    00Population

    14.2

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    Figure 8 shows there were 14 fatalities involving a motor vehicle in 2015 as reported by theVPD Traffic Section. This is down one incident when compared to 2014. Overall, the city ofVancouver has seen a four year decrease in traffic fatalities.

    Figure 8: 10-Year Trend for Traffic Fatalities

    25 25

    19

    16

    10

    13

    19

    1615

    14

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    #ofFatals

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    APPENDIX

    The data for this report is obtained from the PRIME records management system. Crimestatistics at the VPD are published using the most serious offence method, which captures themost serious offence associated with an incident. All cases cleared as unfounded have beenremoved to more accurately represent actual criminal offences rather than incidents reported.

    Crime rates are calculated per 1,000 population. BC Statistics cites Vancouvers 2015

    population to be 648,6082.

    Response Time is measured in hours:minutes:seconds, between the time a call is received andthe time when the first police unit arrives. The following calls are excluded from response timecalculations: calls with a response time less than one minute and greater than 1 hour and calltypes motor vehicle incident with injury and missing persons.

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