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    WHITE PAPER

    Indias Emerging Energy and Air Pollution

    Crisis from GSM Site Operations

    Anders Hansson, Februar y 2010

    A study of critical power and fuel dependencies

    for Indian GSM site solutions

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    2010 VNL| All rights reserved

    INTRODUCTION

    Regardless of service level and functionality, energy and

    environmental considerations may impose significant

    limitations on future GSM site rollouts in India.

    VNL estimates that at least 2.2 billion litres of

    diesel fuel per year will be needed to keep

    urban and rural GSM sites operational across

    the country.

    There will always be uncertainties in calculation of fuel

    consumption, but with 118,000 sites drawing 2.5 billion

    litres per year per GSMA estimates(see ref. 1) the result

    is not likely to be an overestimation.

    Both urban and rural cell sites are in need of

    autonomous site power, and the cost and even legal

    implications of this need are already now becoming

    troublesome for operators.

    This paper is intended to put the spotlight on what

    appears to be an emerging energy and air pollution

    crisis for existing GSM sites across India and to show

    that it is a problem both for urban and rural installations

    unless renewable energy is used on a much larger scale

    than previously.

    CONVENTIONAL SITE POWER

    It can be found that a fully utilized tower with 4

    operators may require 8 KW of electrical power from

    either the utility grid or a diesel generator (see ref. 2).

    For rural installations, the peak load is smaller, but on

    the other hand, the effective numbers of operation on

    autonomous power is larger, in many cases 24 hours

    a day.

    Obviously, the local power grid is the first choice as

    power source, but with backup power generators as

    part of the solution. For site planning purposes, the

    backup generator set must handle the entire load of

    BTS including air conditioning as well as unavoidable

    power losses.

    For diesel fuel consumption calculation, one must know

    the average number of hours of operation, add margin

    for cold starts and certain fuel loss, related not onlyto site power requirements but also contamination,

    pilferage and various other reasons. This study has

    assumed that an effective operating time is 7 hours

    out of 24 for an urban installation with an effective

    hourly fuel consumption rate of 2.7 litres per hour.

    Figure1:Typical 15KVA diesel generator

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    Furthermore, generator idling of 6 hours where theengine is operating with no electrical load is assumed.

    FUEL CONSUMPTION WITHOUT

    RENEWABLE ENERGY

    A VNL calculation with 250,000 conventional rural sites

    in addition to 80,000 existing medium to high powered

    urban sites [ref 3] has been performed:

    The total required site powerfor urban wasassigned the value 7.8KW and for rural 0.9KW.

    Furthermore, a +50% penalty in diesel

    consumptiondue to losses and spillage unrelated

    to the generator operation itself has been added. This

    number can be much higher, depending on local

    circumstances beyond the control of the operator.

    The conclusion from this example is that regardless of

    new base station technologies with excellent power

    economy, the demand for diesel will remain huge,

    unless renewable energy replaces diesel both for

    backup and continuous site operation purposes.

    CLIMATIC AND HUMAN HEALTH

    CONSIDERATIONS

    Most obvious is the pollution effect from backup

    generators or autonomous power plants directly driven

    by diesel engines. Secondly, the CO2

    burden by usingutility grid power generated by fossil fuel (coal) power

    plants must be considered.

    URBAN/RURAL BTS SITE COMPARISONBased on Indian market figures

    0

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    TOTAL NUMBER OF BTS SITES

    100% = 330,000 BTS sites

    FUEL CONSUMPTION

    100% = ~4.5 billion litres / year

    Source: VNL

    Urban

    Rural

    Figure 2:Urban/Rural site comparison

    A stunning amount of 4.5 billion liters of diesel would

    be required in this scenario where only conventional

    techniques are used, clearly not a feasible scenario,

    neither from an OPEX standpoint or from an

    environmental standpoint.

    In both these cases, power efficient BTS equipment

    reduces the environmental impact, but only site

    solutions powered exclusively by renewable energy

    can bring the impact down to negligible levels, mainly

    related to brief service related activities.

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    2010 VNL| All rights reserved

    Climatic impactDiesel generator sets as a source of energy are

    problematic due to noise and fumes in residential

    urban areas as well as rural villages, and they may also

    contribute to global warming more than what the

    corresponding CO2emissions alone would imply. A

    study at Stanford University (see ref 4) indicates that

    black carbon emission by diesel engines may totally

    offset any climatic benefits associated with higher

    efficiency compared to other (i.e petrol) combustionengines in vehicles.

    Translated to the context of electricity generated from

    small and medium sized diesel generator sets in India,

    this would directly translate to a 35% to 40% higher

    overall climatic burden compared to what would

    come from the CO2emissions alone. Poorly maintained

    engines will obviously emit vastly larger amounts of

    soot and other pollutants, making the case to move

    away from old combustion engine technologies for

    power generation even stronger.

    Direct human health hazards

    There is presently a considerable focus on ERP levels

    from BTS towers and the possible health hazards due to

    exposure to the electromagnetic fields in general, but

    while scientists are still debating if towers or handsets

    should be the main focus of attention, there is sufficientdata regarding health hazards from diesel exhaust

    fumes to directly quantify a very real health hazard to

    humans.

    In Australia, it has been showed that approximately1,200 human deaths per year are directly related to fine

    particles from exhaust fumes emitted by diesel trucks

    (see ref. 5). One may therefore argue that the fumes are

    not merely annoying, but potentially life threatening,

    per existing data.

    THE ROLE OF PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER

    In order to save fuel for Indian sites, solar power can be

    of interest, but only for moderately large loads, typically

    below 1KW.

    VNL has found (see ref. 6) that the relation between

    the peak photovoltaic (solar) power Wp and site load

    cannot be any less than a factor of 7 in India. In order to

    provide 8KW of continuous site power, a photovoltaic

    array can not be much smaller than 400 square meters.

    The space needed might indeed be available on

    some city rooftops, but at 4.5/Wp of photovoltaic

    power, the cost would be no less than 250,000

    without supporting structures and auxiliary charging

    equipment.

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    CONCLUSIONS

    It has been found by a simple calculated example that

    nearly 2 billion (1.7*109) litres of diesel fuel is required

    to feed electrical power to GSM sites around India. This

    calculation not only aligns well with other estimates

    but also illustrates the immensity of a dependency

    that, for reasons related to health, environment and

    sustainability, needs to be broken (see ref. 4)

    Given that opex plays a vital role in determining the

    sustainability and profitability of a GSM site, the

    business case for renewable energy is highly

    compelling.

    Figure 4:VNLs Rural SiteFigure 3:Installation in Saudi Arabia with

    large photovoltaic array, approximately 70m2 See ref. 6)

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    REFERENCES

    1. GSMA press release

    September 18, 2008 in Nairobi, stating that 118,000

    renewable energy base stations could save up to 2.5 billion

    litres of diesel a year and cut annual carbon emissions by up

    to 6.3 million tons.

    2. Reliance Infratel Limited

    Draft Red Herring Prospectus, Dated February 4, 2008

    3. Cellular-News

    WDR/Intelecon Regulatory News 21 February 2008

    stating that TRAI says that the country would require

    approximately 330,000 towers by 2010

    4. Eurekalert.org

    http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/

    2002-10/agu-dlc102102.php

    5. ABC news, Australia

    http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2004/s1179825.htm

    6. The Solar Imperativehttp://www.vnl.in/resources/white-papers/

    7. ETC Power

    Photo of photovoltaic array in Saudi Arabia

    http://www.etc-power.de/references/

    sarabia/telecompower-02.jpg

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    2010 VNL | All rights reserved

    VNL, the VNL logo, BlueBox, GreenBox, OrangeBox and WorldGSM are trademarks of VNL.

    VNL assumes no responsibility for any inaccuracies in this document.

    VNL reserves the right to revise this document without notice.

    VNL-WP-IEEAPCGSP-0040 | February 2010

    CORPORATE HEADQUARTERS

    VNL, Vihaan Networks Limited21-B, Sector 18, Udyog ViharGurgaon 122 015, Haryana, INDIATel +91 124 309 2000

    ABOUT VNL

    VNL makes the award-winning WorldGSM system,

    the solar powered turnkey GSM system specifically

    made for rural areas with ARPUs of less than $2.

    WorldGSM is the first commercially viable GSM

    system that can run independent of the power grid.

    It runs exclusively on solar power and requires no

    diesel generator backup. VNLs innovative Cascading

    Star Architectureplaces coverage and capacity

    specific to need, resulting in near zero OPEX and

    dramatically lower CAPEX.

    VNL understands the significant challenges mobile

    operators experience deploying wireless network

    solutions in places where electrical grids are non-

    existent or unreliable, road access missing or is

    frequently difficult, where ARPUs are so low that the

    operators cant justify traditional GSM deployment

    strategies.

    The bottom line is that mobile operators now have

    a way to provide mobile services to rural

    communities in the developing world and still turn

    a profit. WorldGSM also opens up a new micro-

    telecom business model involving microfinance

    where operators can partner with local entrepreneurs

    to accelerate deployment and reduce costs.

    The next billion subscribers will becoming from rural populations, away from

    saturated urban markets. VNL is changing

    the DNA of rural telecom by providing

    commercially viable new building blocks

    that will transform the way rural networks

    are built in the future.