Villanova Mbs Presentation

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    I. MORTGAGE ORIGINATION PROCESS

    Borrower Mortgage Originator

    Housing Market

    Down Payment

    Mortgage Loan

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    Mortgage Origination Example

    500,000 = Property Value

    (20%)100,000 = Down Payment400,000 = Mortgage Loan @ 7.5%Term = 30 yr fixed

    Mortgage Loans are secured by a lien on the property. The homeserves as collateral for the loan made by the originator.Mortgage rate is a fee paid on borrowed money. This fee isdetermined by an evaluation of the borrowers credit worthiness.

    The level of this rate is dependent on the perceived amount of riskassociated with the loan.Failure to pay the loan will result in foreclosure of the mortgageand ultimately repossession of the property by the lien holder.

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    Measure of RiskHigher coupon = Higher Risk

    MotivesBorrower Motives - To own a homeOriginator Motives -

    1. Profits made on closing costs and coupon (Volume driven).

    2. To provide buyers with liquidity based on risk

    parameters.

    Loan Type Rate Risk Characteristics

    Prime Low Rate Low RiskHigh Fico - 720+,Flawless credit history

    AltA MediumRate

    MediumRisk

    Med Fico -

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    II. MBS TRADING

    Originator wants to lend more to make more money through increasing

    volumes.In order to make more loans the originator needs to clean up warehouselines through loan sales.This liquidity is provided by: 1. Investment Banks

    2. FNMA FHLMC Govt agencies

    3. Hedge Funds Buy across sectors

    Borrowers OriginatorsPrincipal& Interest

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    Origination Liquidity Cycle

    Originator puts whole loan package out for bid to street firms.

    Street firms put bid on loan package and winner will eventually receiveprincipal and interest payments.Motive : Originators can now originate more loans and make more money.Investment banks use loans as collateral for securitizations and receiveinterest payments.

    Originators

    WallStreetFirms

    http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.targetmarketnews.com/_borders/Wells%2520Fargo%2520Logo.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.vcsmart.com/2006/01/wells_fargo.html&h=343&w=516&sz=27&hl=en&start=13&um=1&tbnid=igiHjl5h_o6uaM:&tbnh=87&tbnw=131&prev=/images%3Fq%3DWells%2BFargo%26gbv%3D2%26svnum%3D10%26um%3D1%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Dactivehttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.nohoartsdistrict.com/services/Countrywide%2520Logo%25201.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.nohoartsdistrict.com/services/01_bus_serv_real_estate.htm&h=220&w=350&sz=11&hl=en&start=8&um=1&tbnid=J9QaUEEcbFATyM:&tbnh=75&tbnw=120&prev=/images%3Fq%3DCountrywide%2Bmortgage%26gbv%3D2%26svnum%3D10%26um%3D1%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Dactivehttp://www.credit-suisse.com/http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://media1.cnbc.com/j/CNBC/Sections/News_And_Analysis/__Story_Inserts/graphics/__COMPANY_LOGOS/BearStearns_logo.standard.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.cnbc.com/id/19085195/&h=224&w=298&sz=8&hl=en&start=41&tbnid=UI_gR0IneV6IsM:&tbnh=87&tbnw=116&prev=/images%3Fq%3DBear%2BStearns%26start%3D40%26gbv%3D2%26ndsp%3D20%26svnum%3D10%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Dactive%26sa%3DNhttp://ran.org/uploads/pics/Goldman-Sachs_01.jpghttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.avcal.com.au/images/UBS%2520colour.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.avcal.com.au/html/news/2006/2006_May_10th_AVCAL_IN-Form.htm&h=448&w=1187&sz=52&hl=en&start=35&tbnid=s6oIhwESEQqoNM:&tbnh=57&tbnw=150&prev=/images%3Fq%3DUBS%26start%3D20%26gbv%3D2%26ndsp%3D20%26svnum%3D10%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Dactive%26sa%3DN
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    III. Wall Street ProfitsSecuritizationLoans are sold to a special purpose vehicle (SPV) which allows cash flowsto be redirected to create several tranches of bonds.The tranches make up collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) Tranches turn a profit on the spread between the loans bought and the pointwhere bonds trade + excess interest.Motives : Hold on to loans - make a profit by collecting interest payments.

    Securitize Loans are given off balance sheet treatment, andusually turns a larger profit.Securitization Lifecycle:

    SPV

    Cash Flowto

    Bond Holders

    Raw

    Loans

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    Example:

    A Wall Street firm buys 119mm of 7.5% 30 year fixed rate loans @ 95.00%

    Cost basis = 119mm * .95 = 114mm

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    Bond Ratings

    http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.siteselection/home.jsphttp://www.fitchratings.com/corporate/index.cfm
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    IV. Subprime MeltdownHousing Market

    Borrowers

    Originators

    Wall Street

    Investors

    Rating Agencies

    Market begins to depreciate, increase indelinquencies

    Borrowers locking loans they cannot afford usingnew exotic lending instruments.

    Originating based on volume rather than

    fundamentals. Using loose underwriting toensure high volumes.

    Providing liquidity to originators with looseunderwriting guidelines. Holding loans andsecurities that are declining in value.

    Investing in securities backed by questionablecollateral. Holding on to securities that aredeclining in value.Giving too much credit to securitization. Dealsshould have been rated more strictly with a

    closer eye on the credit worthiness of thecollateral.

    http://www.fitchratings.com/corporate/index.cfm