VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green...

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Presented by: Marc Townsend, Managing Director, CBRE Vietnam September 11, 2014 VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE 20 YEARS LOOKING BACK 2 YEARS LOOKING FORWARD

Transcript of VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green...

Page 1: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

Presented by: Marc Townsend, Managing Director, CBRE Vietnam

September 11, 2014

VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE 20 YEARS LOOKING BACK – 2 YEARS LOOKING FORWARD

Page 3: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

3 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Progress of Metro Line No. 1

INFRASTRUCTURE - HCMC

Section of Metro Line #1 from Thai Van Lung Str. to Ton Duc Thang Str. 1

1

4 5

Section on Nguyen Huu Canh Str., near Van Thanh

Expected completion date: January 23, 2017

2

2

3

Sections in District 2

4 5

3 Section on Dien Bien Phu Str., near Saigon Bridge

Page 4: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

4 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Thu Thiem New Urban Area

INFRASTRUCTURE – HCMC

Thu Thiem in the past

Thu Thiem today (photo taken in Jul 2014)

Page 5: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

5 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

INFRASTRUCTURE – HCMC Ports in HCMC replaced by mixed-use projects

Saigon New Port

Relocated to Cat Lai Port (2008)

and relocating to Cai Mep Port

Operation stop: May 2015

Converting to mixed-use projects

Partnered with Vingroup

1

Khanh Hoi - Nha Rong Port

To be converted in Q1 2016.

Partnered with Vingroup

2

Ba Son Shipyard

Waiting for approval on 1/500 plan

Ba Son site will be auctioned.

3

1

2

3

Taken on September 2014. 1

Page 6: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

6 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

HANOI CBD

OLD HA

DONG BUS

STATION

Progress of Metro Line No. 2

INFRASTRUCTURE - HANOI

Elevated Ring Road (Under planning)

Major Artery (Completed)

Ring Road (Completed)

Elevated Ring Road (Completed)

UMRT Line 2 (Under Construction)

Gia

i Ph

on

g R

d.

1

4

2

4

3

3

5

5

Section on Dong Da Lake

Section on Nguyen Trai

street, intersect RR #3

Section on Nguyen Trai

street, near Royal City Section on Nguyen Trai street, Ha Dong District.

Expected completion date: September 2015

2 1

THANH XUAN

DONG DA

Page 7: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

7 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

INFRASTRUCTURE - HANOI More bridges coming online

3

Thanh Tri Bridge

Vinh Tuy Bridge

Chuong Duong Bridge

Nhat Tan Bridge

Thang Long Bridge Dong Tru Bridge

Exp. comp. Oct 2014

Exp. comp. Oct 2014

Nhat Tan Bridge (8.9 km)

Dong Tru Bridge (1.1km)

HA DONG HOANG MAI

TU LIEM

TAY HO

CAU GIAY

Page 8: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET MARKET SITUATION UPDATE

Page 9: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

9 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Ho Chi Minh

City

Hanoi

In the past…

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

1999 - 2003

Emerging market

Land plots preferred

2004 - 2006

Land plots banned

Land compensation increased

A shift to Condominiums

2007 - 2008

Peak property market and

prosperous economy

Speculators dominated the market

Large unit sizes

Plenty of cash

Booming property market

2009 - 2010

2009: Hard hit by global and

local economic uncertainties

Property market slowdown

Speculators decreasing

2011 - 2012

Since 2011: contracting

economy - lack of cash

Smaller unit sizes preferred

because of limited budget

Stagnant period

2013 onward

Page 10: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

10 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

More calm and classified buyers

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

2007

Buyers at The Vista

At Green Valley

At Sky Garden

At ParcSpring

2014

At Vista Verde

Page 11: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

11 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

More calm and classified buyers

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

2009 -

2010

Buyers at Le Van Luong Residentials

At Thang Long No. 1

At CT5 Tan Trieu

At Starcity

2013 -

2014

At Hoa Binh Green City At Dang Xa

Hanoi

Page 12: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

12 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Unit Type - Past and Present

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

(*): First tier: Luxury and high-end products; Second tier: Mid-end and affordable products

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

Condominium Unit Type Change, HCMC

9%

7%

12%

3%

63%

59%

45%

35%

27%

27%

28%

45%

1%

7%

14%

16%

After 2012

Before 2012

After 2012

Before 2012

Se

co

nd

tie

rF

irst tier

1BR 2BR 3BR 4BR+

Proportion of 1BR

and 2BR types

increased

significantly

Page 13: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

13 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Unit Size – Past and Present

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

(*): First tier: Luxury and high-end products; Second tier: Mid-end and affordable products

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

48 sm

50 sm

55 sm

65 sm

75 sm

91 sm

90 sm

110 sm

90 sm

110 sm

110 sm

125 sm

150 sm

250 sm

250 sm

300 sm

After 2012

Before 2012

After 2012

Before 2012

Se

co

nd

tie

rF

irst tier

1BR 2BR 3BR 4BR+

Condominium Unit Size Change, HCMC

Unit sizes reduced

notably in the Luxury

and High-end

segments

Page 14: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

14 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Total Supply – Shift to Affordable Segment

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

(*): Accumulative launches since 1999, including both completion and under construction units, sold and unsold units.

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

Before 2010 After 2010

30.726%

31.158%

36.989%

1.126%

48.108%

24.485%

26.601%

.806%

Market changes to adapt…..

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1

Luxury

High-end

Mid-end

Affordable

Page 15: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

15 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE Loans from banks

Page 16: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

16 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Sales Transactions Increased Steadily

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

Affordable segment made up the majority but High-end has recently showed great

improvements since Q4 2013.

Mid-end sales sharply in Q2 2014 increase due to:

More launches with lower prices

Aggressive sales strategies at existing projects.

Sold Units by Year and by Segment

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

2012

2013

2014

Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable

04008001,2001,6002,0002,4002,8003,200 0 400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,200

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

20

12

20

13

20

14

HCMC HANOI

Page 17: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

17 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Prices Become More Competitive, So Are Payment Terms

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Se

co

nd

ary

askin

g p

rice

(U

S$

psm

)

High-end Mid-end Affordable

HCMC HANOI

Condominiums for Sale, Secondary Asking Price, US$ psm

Page 18: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

18 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

HCMC Real Demand Outstrips Supply

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE

7.8 mil. ppl in HCMC

3.1 mil. ppl in

working age* 3.0 mil. ppl

employed

13,060

condos

<US$47k/unit

300,000** ppl

need houses

DEMAND SUPPLY (*) GSO: 4.1 mil. people in working age above 15 years old.

CBRE: assumed 3.1 mil. people in working age above 18 years old

(**) It is assumed that 10% of employed people need houses,

including 40,000 new married couples per year

Source: Vietnamese General Statistics Office and CBRE Vietnam’s assumptions, Q2 2014.

Page 19: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

19 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

FLC Garden City

• Nam Tu Liem District

• 1,100 units

• Expected price: US$563 psm

Developer: FLC Group

Scale and localisation (September – December 2014)

CONDOMINIUMS FOR SALE - FUTURE SUPPLY

Docklands Saigon

• District 7

• 365 units

• Expected price: N/A

• Developer: Paujar

Ehome 6

• District 9

• 500 units

• Expected price: US$755 psm

• Developer: Nam Long

Lucky Dragon • District 6

• 356 units

• Price: US$1,132 - $1,368 psm

• Developer: Novaland

Sunview Town - Sapphire

• District 9

• 330 units

• Expected price: US$684 psm

• Developer: Dat Xanh Group

HCMC HANOI

FLC Complex • Cau Giay Dist.

• 38 stories

• Expected price:

US$981 psm

• Developer: FLC Group

Golden Silk (To be re-started)

• Hoang Mai District

• No. of units: N/A

• Expected price: N/A

• Developer: Vinaconex 2 Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

Vista Verde • District 2

• 300 units (Phase 1)

• Official launch on Sep. 13

• Prices: US$1,400-$1,600 psm

• Developer: JV CapitaLand, Thien Duc

Page 20: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

20 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

OFFICE RENTAL GROWTH

Y-o-Y CHANGE IN PRIME RENT

THE AMERICAS ASIA PACIFIC EMEA

+3.3% +2.9% -0.1% TOP 5 GROWTH MARKETS

19.40%

12.50%11.00%

10.30% 10.20%

Seattle Subburban

San Francisco

Downtown

San Francisco

Peninsula

Houston Suburban

Houston Downtown

15.80%

13.50%

7.70% 7.30%

5.70%

Dublin LondonWest End

Lille Gothenburg Rotterdam

60.10%

16.70%

13.40%

9.30%7.90%

Jarkarta* Kuala Lumpur

Seoul Yeouido

Manila Ho Chi Minh City

Prime rent definition: average asking rent at top

three office buildings in the market. HCMC top three

buildings include Saigon Tower, Kumho Asiana Plaza

and Sunwah Tower

EMEA: Europe, Middle East and Africa

*Leases in Jakarta are typically written in U.S. dollars,

but paid in rupiah, which means the occupancy cost

increase is greatly affected by currency depreciation in

Indonesia.

Source: CBRE Global, Q1 2014.

Kumho Asiana Plaza, HCMC Petronas Towers, Kuala Lumpur Indonesian Stock

Exchange, Jakarta

Page 21: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

21 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Floors available for sale/long term lease - HCMC

OFFICE

Address: 561A Dien Bien Phu St, Ward 25, Binh Thanh Dist.

GFA: 37,434 sm

Typical floor plate: 1,592 sm

Expected completion date: Q1 2015

Average asking price: US$1,500/sm/term

Term: until 2058

Sub-lease right: yes SSG TOWER

SAIGON AIRPORT PLAZA

Address: 1 Bach Dang, Ward 2, Tan Binh District.

GFA: 18,820 sm

Typical floor plate: 722 sm

Completion: Q2 2013

Average asking price: US$1,750/sm/term

Term: until 2059

Sub-lease right: yes

PRINCE RESIDENCE

Address: 17-21 Nguyen Van Troi, Ward 12, Phu Nhuan Dist.

GFA: 5,543 sm

Typical floor plate: 1,660 sm

Expected completion date: Q3 2015

Average asking price: US$2,650/sm/term

Term: until 2064

Sub-lease right: yes

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

Page 22: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

22 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Floors available for sale/long term lease - Hanoi

OFFICE

Address: 45A Tran Thai Tong Street, Cau Giay Dist.

GFA: 61,400 sm

NLA: 38,957 sm

Height: 25 floors

Completion: Q3 2013

Average asking price: US$1,800/sm/50 years

PVI Tower

ICON4 Tower

Address: 243A La Thanh Str, Dong Da Dist.

GFA: 52,656 sm

Typical floor plate: 1,200 sm

Height: 25 floors

Completion: Q2 2012

Average asking price: US$1,300/sm/50 years

Eurowindow Multicomplex

Address: 27 Tran Duy Hung, Cau Giay Dist.

GFA: 10,000 sm

Floor plate: 1,500 sm

Height: 25 floors

Expected completion date: Q3 2013

Average asking price: US$1,700/sm/50 years

Page 23: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

23 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Future supply

OFFICE

HCMC

Vietcombank Tower

5 Melinh Square, D1

GFA: 77,000 sm

Expected completion:

Q4/2014

Viettel Office & Trade

Center

285 CMT8, D10

GFA: 65,971 sm

Estimated completion:

Q1/2015

Lim Tower 2

158 Vo Van Tan, D3

GFA: 20,467 sm

Estimated completion:

Q1/2015

SSG Tower

561A Dien Bien Phu St, Ward

25, Binh Thanh.

GFA: 37,434 sm

Estimated completion: Q3/2015

Lotte Center Hanoi

Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist

GFA: 65,000 sm

Completion on Sep 2014

Handico Tower

Me Tri NUA, Tu Liem Dist.

GFA: 29,040 sm

Expected completion: 2014

147 Hoang Quoc Viet

147 Hoang Quoc Viet, Cau

Giay Dist.

GFA: 39,419 sm

Estimated completion: 2014

Ho Guom Plaza

Mo Lao NUA, Ha Dong Dist.

GFA: 12,000 sm

Estimated completion: 2014

HANOI

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

Page 24: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

24 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

New retailer entries & expansions

RETAIL

New retailer entry

Robins department store

Expansion

• Opened 20th store in Q2

2014

• 1st store in Hanoi in July

2014

• 3 restaurants opened in

HCMC in 2014.

• Opened 8th store in

HCMC and to open 1st

store in Hanoi in Q3

2014.

• 1st shopping center in

Hanoi in March 2014

• 2nd shopping center in

Hanoi in September

2014

• To open 2nd mall in Binh

Duong in Q4 2014.

• 1st mall in Hanoi in 2015

• 1st store in Hanoi, 10,000 sqm in Vincom Megamall Royal City,

opened in March 2014

• 2nd store in HCMC, 12,000 sqm in The Crescent Mall, expected to

open in Nov 2014.

Page 25: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

25 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

HCMC and Hanoi are top targets to open stores in 2014

RETAIL

Source: CBRE Survey – How Active are Retailers in Asia Pacific 2014?, Q2 2014.

Top 10 CITIES where retailers intend to open stores in 2014

Page 26: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

26 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Future supplies with GFA greater than 20,000 sm

RETAIL

SC VivoCity

• District 7

• GFA: 72,000 sm

• Superstructure U/C. Leasing underway.

• To open in 2014

Sunrise City Phase 2

• District 7

• GFA: 25,000 sm

• Superstructure U/C.

• To open in 2015

SSG Tower

• District 3

• GFA: 20,500 sm

• Superstructure U/C.

• To open in 2015

HCMC HANOI

Mo Market

• Hai Ba Trung District

• GFA: 24,300 sm

• Fitting out.

• To open in 2014.

Ho Guom Plaza

• Ha Dong District

• GFA: 23,400 sm

• Completed. Leasing.

• To open in 2014.

Lotte Hanoi Center

• Ba Dinh

• GFA: 20,000 sm

• Completed. Leasing.

• Opened in Sep 2014.

Ciputra Mall Hanoi

• Tay Ho

• GFA: 130,000 sm

• Under planning.

• To open in 2015

Aeon Mall

• Long Bien district

• GFA: 108,000 sm

• Under construction.

• To open in 2015

Vincom Nguyen

Chi Thanh

• Dong Da

• GFA: 65,400 sm

• Under construction.

• To open in 2015

Source: CBRE Vietnam, Q2 2014.

Page 27: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

27 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Ho Chi Minh

City

Hanoi

HOTEL Big Investment are Moving into the Hospitality Sector

• Acquired project from Ha Do Group

Source: Compiled from various sources, Q2 2014.

POSITION INVESTORS /

DEVELOPERS COMPONENTS VALUE

Sapa Sun Group

• Fansipan cable car

• Hotel

• Entertainment complex

$206 mil.

Hanoi Thanh Hoa

Construction Corp. * • 4-star Hotel -

Quang

Ninh

Nakheel

Sovico Holding • Urban- tourism complex $550 mil.

VinGroup • Resort complex $45 mil.

ISC Corporation

Tuan Chau

• Casino

• Recreation complex $7,000 mil.

Hai Phong VLC • 200-room hotel/Accor

• 24 serviced apartments -

Thanh Hoa FLC Group • 18-hole golf course,

• Resort complex $257.5 mil.

Phu Yen Vung Ro Petroleum • Resort complex $2,500 mil

Phu Quoc

VinGroup • 27-hole golf course

• Resort complex $796 mil.

CEO Group • Resort complex

• 406-room Hotel (Novotel) $210.7 mil.

BIM Group • Resort complex

• 400-room Hotel (Crowne Plaza) $70.2 mil

Page 28: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

28 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

INVESTMENT TRENDS Foreign to Local

IFC helps build more homes for mid-

income earners in Vietnam

Source: Compiled from various newspapers.

Page 29: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

29 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

Local to Local

INVESTMENT TRENDS

Source: CBRE Vietnam., Q2 2014.

27 TRUONG CHINH

8X THAI AN

GALAXY 9 ICON 56 LEXINGTON

RESIDENCE

GREEN CITY

• Scale: 608 condos

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: Kim Tam Hai

• Scale: 196 condos

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: Dat Lanh

• Scale: 7.5 ha

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: N/A

• Scale: 1,334 condos

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: Hoa Binh

• Scale: 312 condos

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: Hoa Binh

• Scale: 627 condos

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: Hoa Binh

WATER GARDEN SUNVIEW TOWN

• Scale: 2.1 ha

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: PPI

• Scale: ~1,200 condos

• Location: HCMC

• Seller: Savico Agent now becomes Developer

Page 30: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

30 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

73% 27%

Foreign Investor with good track-record in Vietnam

New foreign investors

VIETNAM INVESTMENT Continued pockets of interest from overseas investors

Source: RCA, retrieved July 1, 2014.

37%

63%

Local-Local Foreign Involvement

Investment deals, Vietnam, 2013-1H 2014

Page 31: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK

Page 32: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

32 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

The Good…..

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET

Macro-economic and Infrastructure

Macro-economic statistics and fundamentals, all

appear to be in good shape.

Infrastructure continues to amaze.

SOE equitisation is moving ahead, slowly.

Residential

Affordable housing is still grabbing the

headlines.

Other developers are dusting off their old

Residential and Township plans.

More cranes to be seen on both sides of Hanoi

Highway (HCMC) and the Red River (Hanoi).

As pricing is coming down, people can move

up to the next quality bracket.

The mid- to high-end markets will receive more

end-users while the high-end segment will see

buy-to-let investors coming back.

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33 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

The Good…..

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET

Office

Very few new entrants to the Vietnam market;

however, there are a noticeable number of up-

graders and re-inforcers.

Under revised Real Estate Law, strata-title

opportunities will open up more transactions.

However, this will require strong DMCs (shared

responsibilities amongst the owners).

The evolution of the modern workplace

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34 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

The World is Changing.

CBRE | Workplace Strategy 34

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35 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

CONVENTIONAL MORE OPEN ACTIVITY BASED

• Traditional office layout

• Everyone has an assigned desk

• OUR PAST

• Offices on the interior

• More open / collaborative space

• WHERE WE ARE CURRENTLY

• Various settings for various work

• People share spaces

• A vision of the future…

SPACES ARE CHANGING

Page 36: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

36 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

EVOLUTION OF THE MODERN WORKPLACE

EVOLUTION

Maximize the opportunities for

INFORMATION EXCHANGE

Page 37: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

37 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

from PRESENCE to PERFORMANCE

EVOLUTION OF THE MODERN WORKPLACE

WORKPLACE EVOLUTION

55% of

working time 45% of working time

PEOPLE PEOPLE

SPACE TECHNOLOGY

TECHNOLOGY

Page 38: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

38 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

THE CHANGING WORLD OF WORK

* CBRE WPS Lunch and Learn White Paper series – Why one Size Doesn’t Fit All

Page 39: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

39 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

The result : improving our efficiency

Reduction in overall space

Right size in the right location

Greater variety of spaces types to work in

More collaborative space

More AV / telepresence

Less on site storage

… and managing our costs

Page 40: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

40 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

The Good…..

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET

Investment

Funds continue to dispose of their assets but also be

interested in acquiring well-priced assets.

Local and foreign buyers are STILL looking but not finding

well-priced assets.

Still a Tale of Two Cities.

Hospitality

Edward Snowden to go on holiday in Phu Quoc as

the Russians keep coming.

Coastal cities would be interesting but again, can

developments come at the right price?

Retail

Retail market has more confidence and supply

Foreign retail developers with modern, tried and tested

international concepts will create even more competition for

struggling local retail formats

International retailers will pay more attention as Vietnam will

open completely its market in January 2015 under WTO

obligations.

Page 41: VIETNAM’S REAL ESTATE · At CT5 Tan Trieu At Starcity 2013 - 2014 At Dang Xa At Hoa Binh Green City Hanoi . ... Lotte Center Hanoi Lieu Giai Street, Ba Dinh Dist GFA: 65,000 sm

41 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

…..and the bad.

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET

TPP will not happen until 2015 at the

earliest. The EU FTA will happen

first.

Other Asia Pacific countries will put

their own relationship with China

before supporting Vietnam in the East

Sea (including the US).

“Bitten off more than you can chew?”

– perhaps the continued glut of office

space in Hanoi and the unfinished

buildings in HCMC.

No real investment urgency in the

market.

Prime-location projects stay still or

convert into other land-use purpose.

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42 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

AT CBRE, WE LIVE AND BREATHE THE BUSINESS OF REAL ESTATE

Every quarter

QUARTERLY REPORT

Ad-hoc

VIEWPOINT & SPECIAL REPORT

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43 AUSCHAM – VIETNAM REAL ESTATE| SEP 2014

AT CBRE, WE LIVE AND BREATHE THE BUSINESS OF REAL ESTATE

Every week

NEWSPAPER UPDATE

Every month

DASHBOARD

Every quarter

MARKETVIEW

Hanoi Vietnam Vietnam Vietnam

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