Valuation Final

download Valuation Final

of 24

Transcript of Valuation Final

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    1/24

    Mergers And Acquisitions: Valuations

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    2/24

    Brand valuation

    y Brand valuation mainly measures 2 criteria's

    y Potential profitability of the brand

    y Non- financial factors like brand recall

    y In a brand valuation transaction, a company rarely pays book

    value to acquire another company.

    y The difference between the book value and actual acquisition

    price paid is due to intangible assets, of which brands are animportant part.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    3/24

    Valuing a brand

    Relief from royalty method:

    y The relief-from-royalty method determines the value of an intangible

    asset by reference to the capitalized value of the hypothetical royaltypayments that would be saved through owning the asset, as comparedwith licensing the asset from a third party.

    y It involves estimating the total royalty payments that would need to be

    made over the assets life, by a hypothetical licensee to a hypotheticallicensor.

    y The hypothetical royalty payments over the life of the asset are adjustedfor tax and discounted to present value and then are capitalized.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    4/24

    Premium Profits Method

    y The premium profits method involves comparing the forecast

    profit stream or cash flows that would be earned by a business

    using the intangible asset with those that would be earned by a

    business that does not use the asset.

    y The forecast incremental profits or cash flows achievable through

    use of the asset are then computed.

    y Forecast periodic amounts are capitalized through use of either a

    suitable discount factor or suitable capitalization multiple.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    5/24

    Valuation-different approaches

    y Discounted cash flow- it relates the value of the asset to the

    present value of the expected cash flows on that asset.

    y Relative valuation approach- this method is used to estimate thevalue of an asset by analyzing the pricing of comparable assets

    relative to a common variable such as earning, book value, cash

    flows etc.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    6/24

    Earning based valuation

    y This method takes into consideration the future earnings of

    the business and the appropriate value of the business

    depends on projected revenues and costs in future, expected

    capital outflows, number of years of projection, discounting

    rate and terminal value of business.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    7/24

    Market based valuation

    y MBV for unlisted companies, comparable listed companies

    have to be identified and their market multiples such as

    market capitalization to sales or market PE are used to arrive

    at a value.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    8/24

    Asset based valuation

    y Considers either the book value or the net adjusted value. If

    the company has intangible assets, these are valued

    independently and added to the net asset value to arrive at

    the business value.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    9/24

    Steps in Acquisition Analysis

    y Step 1: Establish a motive for the acquisition

    y Step 2: Choose a target

    y Step 3: Value the target with the acquisition motivebuilt

    in.y Step 4: Decide on the mode of payment - cash or stock,

    and if cash, arrange for financing - debt or equity.

    y Step 5: Choose the accounting method for the

    merger/acquisition - purchase or pooling.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    10/24

    Step 1: Motives behind acquisitions(1)Simplest rationale is undervaluation, i.e., that firms that are

    undervalued by financial markets, relative to true value, will betargeted for acquisition by those who recognize this anomaly.

    (2) A more controversial reason is diversification, with the intentof stabilizing earnings and reducing risk.

    (3) Synergy refers to the potential additional value from combiningtwo firms, either from operational or financial sources.

    y Operating Synergy can come from higher growth or lower costs

    y Financial Synergy can come from tax savings, increased debtcapacityor cash slack.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    11/24

    Step 2: Choose a target firm for the

    acquisitionIf motive is Target firm

    Undervaluation trades at a price below the estimated value

    Diversification is in a business which is different from the acquiring firms business

    Operating Synergy have the characteristics that create the operating synergyCost Savings: in same business to create economies of scale.

    Higher growth: should have potential for higher growth.

    Financial Synergy Tax Savings: provides a tax benefit to acquirer

    Debt Capacity: is unable to borrow money or pay high rates

    Cash slack: has great projects/ no funds

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    12/24

    Control badly managed firm whose stock has

    underperformed the market

    Managers Interests has characteristics that best meet CEOs ego

    and power needs

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    13/24

    Step 3: Value Target Firm with motive

    built in

    If motive is Target firm

    Undervaluation Value target firm as stand-alone entity

    Diversification Value target firm as stand-alone entity

    Operating Synergy Value the firms independently.

    Value the combined firm with the operating synergy

    Synergy is the difference between the latter and former

    Target Firm Value = Independent Value + Synergy

    Financial Synergy: tax

    benefits:

    Debt Capacity:

    Value of Target Firm + PV of Tax Benefits

    Value of Target Firm + Increase in Value from Debt

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    14/24

    Step 4: Decide on payment mechanism:

    Cash versus Stock

    Generally speaking, firms which believe that their stock is

    under valued will not use stock to do acquisitions.

    Conversely, firms which believe that their stock is over or

    correctly valued will use stock to do acquisitions.

    Not surprisingly, the premium paid is larger when an

    acquisition is financed with stock rather than cash.

    There might be an accounting rationale for using stock as

    opposed to cash. You are allowed to use pooling instead of

    purchase.

    There might also be a tax rationale for using stock. Cash

    acquisitions create tax liabilities to the selling firms stockholders.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    15/24

    Step 5: Choose an accounting method for

    the mergery Purchase Method:

    The acquiring firm records the assets and liabilities of the acquired firm atmarket value, with goodwill capturing the difference between market valueand the value of the assets acquired.

    y This goodwill will then be amortized , though the amortization is not taxdeductible. If a firm pays cash on an acquisition, it has to use the purchasemethod to record the transaction.

    y Pooling of Interests: The book values of the assets and liabilities of the merging firms are added to

    arrive at values for the combined firm. Since the market value of thetransaction is not recognized, no goodwill is created or amortized.

    This approach is allowed only if the acquiring firm exchanges its commonstock for common stock of the acquired firm.

    Since earnings are not affected by the amortization of goodwill, the reportedearnings per share under this approach will be greater than the reportedearnings per share in the purchase approach.

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    16/24

    Cost of capital: CAPM

    ( ) s f m f

    k r E r r F ! -

    where rf = the risk-free rate of return

    E(rm) = the expected rate of return on the overall market portfolio

    E(rm)- rf = market risk premium

    = the systematic risk of equity

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    17/24

    Discounted cash flow approach

    y Estimates are needed for:

    y Incremental cash flow expected to be generated because of

    acquisition

    yDiscount rate

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    18/24

    Equity Valuation

    y Value of equity is obtained by discounting expected cash

    flows(after meeting all expenses, taxes, etc)

    y Value of Equity= Cash flow to equity

    (1+ke)t

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    19/24

    Measuring Free Cash Flows to the

    Equity (FCFE)

    y Buying equity of firm is buying future stream of free cash flows

    (available, not just paid to common as dividends) to equity holders

    (FCFE)

    y FCFE is residual cash flows left to equity holders after:

    y meeting interest/principal payments

    y providing for capital expenditures and working capital to maintain

    and create new assets for growth

    FCFE

    = NetI

    ncome + Non-cashE

    xpenses -C

    ap.E

    xp.- Increase in WC - Princ. Payments

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    20/24

    Stable Growth FCFE Model

    y Used when firm is growing at stable growth rate

    y The value of equity is a function of expected FCFE in the

    next period, the stable growth rate and the required rate of

    return.y V0 = FCFE1 / r-gn

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    21/24

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    22/24

    Discounted Free Cash Flow to the Firm

    y Identify cash flows available to all stakeholders

    y Compute present value of cash flows

    y Discount the cash flows at the firms weighted average cost of

    capital (WACC)

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    23/24

    Enterprise value

    y Market capitalization of a company plus debt.

    y The key performance metric to evaluate enterprise value.

    y EV/EBITDA ratio

    y EV/Revenue ratio

    y EV/ sales

  • 8/3/2019 Valuation Final

    24/24

    Economic profit model

    y Economic profit= invested capital*(ROIC-WACC)

    y Value created by company must not only include theexpenses recorded in its accounting records but also the

    opportunity cost of capital employed in the business.