Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely ......Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) • Uses...

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Eric van Genderen*, Bob Gensemer, Robert Eric van Genderen*, Bob Gensemer, Robert Santore Santore , Paul , Paul Paquin Paquin , Adam Ryan, Karen , Adam Ryan, Karen Ramage, Ed Curley, Richard Meyerhoff Ramage, Ed Curley, Richard Meyerhoff SETAC NA - Baltimore Nov. 14, 2005 Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely Hard Surface Waters

Transcript of Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely ......Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) • Uses...

Page 1: Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely ......Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) • Uses water chemistry and metal-organism interactions to predict metal toxicity. • Toxicity

Eric van Genderen*, Bob Gensemer, Robert Eric van Genderen*, Bob Gensemer, Robert SantoreSantore, Paul , Paul PaquinPaquin, Adam Ryan, Karen , Adam Ryan, Karen Ramage, Ed Curley, Richard MeyerhoffRamage, Ed Curley, Richard Meyerhoff

SETAC NA -Baltimore

Nov. 14, 2005

Validation of BioticLigand Model Performancein Extremely Hard Surface Waters

Page 2: Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely ......Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) • Uses water chemistry and metal-organism interactions to predict metal toxicity. • Toxicity

Background

• Copper regulations inaccurate for Arid West surface waters• Elevated hardness (e.g., up to 1200 mg/L)• No co-variance between hardness and

alkalinity• Dischargers create effluent-dependent

ecosystems

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Project Objectives

• Conduct series of acute Water Effect Ratio studies with a range of natural waters• 3 species (C. dubia, D. pulex, P. promelas)• 7 sites to encompass range of WQ conditions• High- vs. low-flow conditions

• Statistical comparison of BLM and empirical results• Focus on role of alkalinity vs. hardness in very

hard waters (> 400 mg/L) • Under what conditions are BLM predictions

more or less valid?

Page 4: Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely ......Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) • Uses water chemistry and metal-organism interactions to predict metal toxicity. • Toxicity

WER Study Locations

Sampling Sites

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Biotic Ligand Model (BLM)

• Uses water chemistry and metal-organism interactions to predict metal toxicity.

• Toxicity occurs when metal accumulation reaches a critical concentration within the most sensitive tissue (e.g., the gills of freshwater fish).

• Relates Cu toxicity to pH, DOC, Ca, Mg, alkalinity.

• Key component of freshwater CMC in draft AWQC (USEPA 2003)

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BLM Basis

[DiToro, 2000]

ActiveMetalSites

Gill Surface

DOC

H+

Cu2+

Ca2+, Na+ Mg2+ ?

SO4-2

Cl- HO-

CO3-2{Inorganic Complexes

Cu, CuOH

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BLM Input Data

• Water chemistry from WER studies• Site and lab waters• All flow conditions

• Water chemistry from calcium/ magnesium studies• Influence of elevated Ca (30 – 400 mg/L)

and Mg (30 – 250 mg/L) on copper toxicity to fish and daphnids

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Water Quality – Base Flow

5.4128780Las Vegas Wash, NV0.7161100Pinal Cr., AZ

6.9180388Salt R., AZ1.2228284Calapooia R., OR9.8204280S. Platte R., CO2.5164188Santa Ana R., CA4.412456Sandia Canyon, NM

mg/Lmg/L as CaCO3SiteDOCAlkalinityHardness

Page 9: Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely ......Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) • Uses water chemistry and metal-organism interactions to predict metal toxicity. • Toxicity

Ca:Mg Study Design

140103038.6383.07.1014081029.3271.05.4814058033.1172.03.8614039529.0105.02.2414419631.532.90.67148420101.043.50.26152640166.042.10.16144820189.036.60.111521070239.043.00.09

mg/L as CaCO3mg/LCa:MgAlkalinityHardnessMgCa

Page 10: Validation of Biotic Ligand Model Performance in Extremely ......Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) • Uses water chemistry and metal-organism interactions to predict metal toxicity. • Toxicity

BLM Results

Model Adjustment: None

1

10

100

1000

10000

1 10 100 1000 10000Observed Cu LC50 (µg/L)

Pred

icte

d C

u LC

50 (µ

g/L)

Fathead minnowC. dubiaD. pulex

61% within bounds

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Potential Solutions

• Determine impact of individual water quality parameters on model output (i.e., residual analysis)

• Characterize the importance of calcium and magnesium on copper toxicity at very high hardness

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Saturation Issues in Hard Water

r2 = 0.9759

r2 = 0.6473

1

10

100

1000

7.0 7.2 7.4 7.6 7.8 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6pH

Alk

alin

ity (m

g/L

as C

aCO

3)

Over-saturation

Corrected inputs

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BLM Results

Model Adjustment: Carbonate precipitation by Ca and Mg

1

10

100

1000

10000

1 10 100 1000 10000Observed Cu LC50 (µg/L)

Pred

icte

d C

u LC

50 (µ

g/L)

Fathead minnowC. dubiaD. pulex

79% within bounds

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Potential Solutions

• Determine impact of individual water quality parameters on model output (i.e., residual analysis)

• Characterize the importance of calcium and magnesium on copper toxicity at very high hardness

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Ca:Mg Results- Ceriodaphnia dubia -

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0.1 1 10Ca:Mg (M)

48-h

Cu

LC50

w/ 9

5% C

I (µg

/L) + Ca+ Mg

Log KMg-Gill = 3.6 Log KCa-Gill = 3.6

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Ca:Mg Results- Fathead minnows -

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

0.1 1 10Ca:Mg (M)

96-h

Cu

LC50

w/ 9

5% C

I (µg

/L) + Ca+ Mg

Mg has no impact up to 50 mg/L (Erickson et al. 1996)

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Mg Influence on FHM Predictions

r 2 = 0.407P < 0.0001

0.1

1

10

100

0.1 1 10Mg (mM)

Res

idua

l (P

redi

cted

:Obs

erve

d ) Lab water

Site water

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Mg Influence on Gill-Copper Accumulation

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Mg (mM)

Gill

-Cu

(nm

ole/

gw) Constant Gill-Cu = 7.927

When Mg > 2 mM: Gill-Cu = -0.991 * (Mg) + 9.909

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BLM Results

Model Adjustment: Carbonate and Mg Influence

1

10

100

1000

10000

1 10 100 1000 10000Observed Cu LC50 (µg/L)

Pred

icte

d C

u LC

50 (µ

g/L)

Fathead minnow

C. dubia

D. pulex

86% within bounds

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Water Effect Ratio Results- Measured -

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

S. PlatteR.

Las VegasWash

SandiaCanyon

Salt R. Pinal Cr. CalapooiaR.

Santa AnaR.

Mea

sure

d C

u W

ER

C. dubia

D. pulexFathead minnow

WER = Site LC50 / Lab LC50

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Conclusions

• BLM predictions accurate for the most sensitive aquatic organisms

• BLM input corrections should be considered in high hardness surface water

• Model performance improved by incorporating Mg-biotic ligand interactions

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Acknowledgements

• Funding from Arid West Water Quality Research Project; Pima County, Tucson, AZ

• Sampling Crews• Denver Metro Wastewater Reclamation, City of

Riverside, City of Phoenix, City of Las Vegas, Los Alamos National Lab, Pinal Creek Group

• PERL Staff• Carrie Smith, Aaron Edgington, Allison Cardwell,

Amber Young, Dinah Nasvik