U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current...

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U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS

Transcript of U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current...

Page 1: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

U.S. Department of the InteriorU.S. Geological Survey

Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring

Paul Grams, USGS

Page 2: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Overview

What have we learned? When will we have another flood? How will we know if floods are

working to rebuild sandbars? What do floods have to do with trout

and chub?

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Page 3: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

What do Floods do? Floods do build sandbars and there has been

some net gain since before the first flood in 1996. Floods do cause net export of sand (more sand

goes downstream than goes up on the banks). Sandbars erode following floods. Spring floods benefit rainbow trout populations as

a result of improvements in spawning and rearing habitat (uncertainty exists for floods at other times)

Floods have had no measurable positive impacts on humpback chub populations

(High Flow Circular, chapters 3 and 4)

Page 4: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Floods build sandbars

44(in lots of places)

Page 5: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Floods build sandbars

(not everywhere)

55

Pre-2008 HFE – RM 6 Post-2008 HFE – RM 6

Page 6: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

Median Volume Relative to

February 1996 Volume (m

3)

Year

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

Mean Daily Discharge

from Glen Canyon Dam (ft

3/s)

1996 20021998 2000 2004 2006

1996 HEF 2004 HEF 2008 HFE

2008 2010

Above 8,000 ft3/s, n=20Below 8,000 ft3/s, n=16

Changes in Sandbar Size in Marble Canyon and Eastern Grand Canyon, 1996-2009

10/20 bars are the same or larger in size than the 1996 pre-HFE condition

Adapted from Hazel and others, 2010

Page 7: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

Median Volume Relative to

February 1996 Volume (m

3)

Year

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

Mean Daily Discharge

from Glen Canyon Dam (ft

3/s)

1996 20021998 2000 2004 2006

1996 HEF 2004 HEF 2008 HFE

2008 2010

Above 8,000 ft3/s, n=20Below 8,000 ft3/s, n=16

Changes in Sandbar Size in Central and Western Grand Canyon, 1996-2009

20/20 bars are the same or larger in size than the 1996 pre-HFE condition

Adapted from Hazel and others, 2010

Page 8: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Floods do export sand

88

Event Sand accumulated before flood

Sand exported during flood

2004 flood

0.64 ± 0.3 million tons 0.69 ± 0.3 million tons

2008 flood

3.5 ± 2.0 million tons 1.1 ± 0.1 million tons

If conducted following periods of sand input from the tributaries, they don’t have to export more than was accumulated

Adapted from Topping and others, 2010

Page 9: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Where is the sand?

~50 to 90% of the sand in Marble Canyon is stored in eddies. About 90% of the sand in eddies is stored below the stage elevation reached by a flow of 8,000 ft3/s (Hazel et al., 2006, J. Geophys. Res., 11).

Page 10: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Deposition dominates above 8,000 cfs level, often at expense of erosion below

Demonstrates the difference between high- and low-elevation response

0 0.5 1 1.5 2

BELOW REFERENCE STAGE RATIOOF POST- TO PRE-HFE SAND VOLUME

0

1

2

3

4

ABOVE REFERENCE STAGE RATIO

OF POST- TO PRE-HFE SAND VOLUME

Style 1

Style 4

Style 2

Style 3

03L

65R

44L

172L

Net Eddy DepositionNet Eddy Erosion

87L

“Response below 8,000 cfs”

gainloss

“Resp

onse

above 8

,000 c

fs”

loss

gain

Hazel and others (2010) 1010

Page 11: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Conceptual model for

interpretation of repeat channel

mapping information

“Channel and eddies below 8,000 cfs”

gainloss

“Sandbars

above 8

,000 c

fs”

loss

gain Probably

good news!

Mining sand from storage

Mining sand and losing sandbars

Accumulating sand, not building bars - Could be having more floods!

1111

Long-term monitoring designed to evaluate whether dam operations (including floods)

result in declines in sand storage in the channel

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Long-term monitoring designed to evaluate whether dam operations (including floods)

result in declines in sand storage in the channel

2011 channel mapping trip (launching next Saturday) is collecting these data between the

LCR and Phantom Ranch

Page 13: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

May 2009 near RM 36

There is a lot of sand on the bed in some locations– Is the amount increasing or decreasing?– See Kaplinski talk this afternoon!

Page 14: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

From Korman and Melis (2011) Discussed in High flow circular ch. 4

Most Significant Biological Response: More Trout

Page 15: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

How do we determine when to have high flows?

USGS Sediment Flux Monitoring Program in Grand Canyon Shifting rating curve sand routing model

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• Tracks tributary sediment inputs and mainstem transport at five locations to track status of the sediment “bank account.”

• Provides the information needed to time high flows for building sandbars to follow periods of sand accumulation.

Page 16: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

How do we determine when to have high flows?

USGS Sediment Flux Monitoring Program in Grand Canyon Shifting rating curve sand routing model

1616

• Tracks tributary sediment inputs and mainstem transport at five locations to track status of the sediment “bank account.”

• Provides the information needed to time high flows for building sandbars to follow periods of sand accumulation.

Page 17: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Sand budget from end of 2008 HFE to August 17, 2010

Sand budget from end of 2008 HFE to August 17, 2010

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

POST-2008 HFE MASS-BALANCE SAND BUDGET BETWEEN RIVER-MILES 0 AND 30

2008 2009 2010

WATER DISCHARGEMASS-BALANCE UNCERTAINTY ENVELOPE

SAND MASS IN REACH RELATIVE TO AFTER

RECESSION OF MARCH 2008 HFE (million metric tons)

DISCHARGE ATRIVER-MILE 30 (ft

3/s)

Sand budget positive for periodowing to recent Paria River floods.

Planned higher dam operations will exportmost of this sand from this reach by the spring.

1-7-11(before increase in operations)

CALENDAR YEAR

Preliminary results – subject to review and revision

Page 18: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Sand Input Triggering StrategySuggests that HFEs follow Historical Timing of Paria and

Little Colorado River Floods (Fall & Spring)

From High Flow Circular Chapter 5, figure 5)

PariaRiver

Little ColoradoRiver

Page 19: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Fall & Spring Timing Associated with Suggested Triggering Strategy has Historical Precedent in Pattern of Natural

Floods during Pre-Dam Record

From High Flow Circular Chapter 5, figure 6)

Page 20: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

FREQUENCY OF HFE TRIGGERING? The 85-year record of Paria River flow suggests

that about 2/3 of HFEs are likely to be triggered in the Fall season – following sand inputs that occur from July into October

In some years, but rarely, Paria River floods have occurred in winter, but LCR flooding is more common in that season

Perhaps 1/3 of the HFEs triggered would occur in spring in response to LCR and/or Paria River sand inputs that occur between December and March

In some years HFEs might be triggered in both spring and fall

Page 21: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

UNCERTAINTIES STILL REMAIN It is unknown whether the suggested triggering

option for long-term experimentation can rebuild & maintain sandbars at desired levels (desired conditions remain unclear)

Factors influencing rainbow trout response in the Lees Ferry tailwater reach are still poorly understood – tests of alternative timing are needed

Consistent long-term monitoring is critical for reducing the above uncertainties about future HFEs

HFEs are the only known means for rebuilding eroded sandbars - without sand-enriched high flows, sandbar size will decrease through time

Page 22: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

?

Pre-2008 HFE – RM 6

Post-2008 HFE – RM 6

Result of Delayed HFE Release in March 2008following large Fall sand inputs in 2006 & 07?

From Chapter 5, Wright and Kennedy, 2011

Page 23: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Monitoring for high flowsWhat questions will we want to answer if there are repeated high flows over the next 10 years?

1. Will multiple high flows conducted over a period of several years result in net increases in sandbar area and volume?

• Addressed by monitoring sandbars above 8,000 cfs stage.• Annual to every-other year monitoring of long-term sandbar

monitoring sites.• Systemwide monitoring every 4 years by remote sensing

overflights.

2. With the available sand supply (i.e. tributary inputs) is the approach of using repeated floods to build sandbars sustainable? • Addressed by repeat mapping of the channel bed by

multibeam sonar (bathymetric remote sensing).

3. How will the aquatic food web and fish populations respond?

Page 24: U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Sandbars and Floods in Grand Canyon: Current Research and Monitoring Paul Grams, USGS.

Acknowledgements

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David Topping, USGSJoe Hazel, NAUMatt Kaplinski, NAUJack Schmidt, USUScott Wright, USGSTed Kennedy, USGSBarbara Ralston, USGSLara Schmit, NAUTed Melis, USGSJosh Korman, Ecometric