Urban Electric Mobility Initiative · urban sprawl; air pollution; ... scenario- sales of Evs by...
Transcript of Urban Electric Mobility Initiative · urban sprawl; air pollution; ... scenario- sales of Evs by...
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Urban Electric Mobility Initiative
Kulwant Singh
Regional Advisor
Urban Basic Services Branch, UN-Habitat
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Urbanization Trend : The World is becoming increasingly Urban
1970
RURAL
63%
URBAN
37%
2000 2030
RURAL
53%
URBAN
47%
RURAL
40%
URBAN
60%
1995 2005 2020
More developed regions
7%
Less developed
regions
93%
PERCENTAGE GROWTH OF URBAN POPULATION BY REGION (2005-2020)
URBAN POPULATION BY REGION (2005)
More developed regions
29%
Less developed regions
71%
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Urbanization can be a very powerful tool for development
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But: Mobility Challenges of Urbanization in the 21st Century
• Mobility flows are the key dynamics of urbanization, with the associated infrastructure constituting the backbone of urban form.
• Urban planners have largely focused on facilitating urban mobility by investing in new and expanded infrastructure for private cars.
• The costs of car-dependent development include: urban sprawl; air pollution; 3.7 Mi. deaths/year from Ambient Air Pollution
noise pollution; climate change; traffic jams; road traffic accidents; community severance etc.
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The Challenges of Urbanization in the 21st Century
1. Growing urban population A. Total world population: from 7 to
9.5 billion Urban population: from 50% to 75%
B. In 40-50 years, 3 billion more people will be urbanized
C. Increased rate of urban population growth
2. Climate change
A. Urban populations use more energy per capita
B. Increased total Green House Gas (GHG) emissions
C. 70% of total GHG emissions attributable to urban areas
D. Immediate need to change trends and “business as usual”
Towards a Global Agreement on Climate Change
IPCC Report ( Nov 2014)
• Reducing emissions is crucial for restricting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels;
• Renewables will have to grow from their current 30% to 80% of the power sector by 20 50 and Fossil Fuels should be phased out by 2100.
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“Climate Change is
the defining issue of
our time, if we don’t
take action now, we
will have to pay much
more”.
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The purpose of Urban Mobility
Access: Bringing
People and Places
together
Integration of Land use and
Transport/TOD
NMT and Public Transport
Urban Form
Planning
at multiple scales
Freight transport
integrated in urban planning
and design
Developing the business model
for more equitable
accessibility
The New Paradigm: Access – The ultimate objective of all
transportation – to goods, services, people and amenities
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The new urban paradigm- A framework for Public Policy
1. A more compact and better planned city
A. Enough public space (45-50% of land area, incl. 35% street space )
B. Well connected street pattern (80 crossings/km2)
2. Adequate compactness and good design
A. Density (15.000 ppl/km2, to yield vibrant street life)
B. Well-designed and affordable buildable plots
3. Urban mixed-uses
o Minimal zoning and land specialization (not exceeding 15%) to reduce mobility demand.
4. Three-legged approach
o A good balance of adequate rules and regulation, urban design and financial planning.
5. Reduced consumption of non-renewably energy and emission of Greenhouse Gasses.
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The next three years
• The UN Post-2015 Sustainable Development Agenda
• Climate Change agreement (COP21 in Paris)
• Habitat III in 2016
o UN Conference on Global Urbanization
o First implementing conference of Post-2015 SDGs at local and municipal level
2014 China International Urbanization Forum Shanghai, 19/04/2014
E-Mobility : A Relevant Solution
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Share of Sales of Electric Vehicles in three versions of a 20 C stabilisation
scenario- sales of Evs by 2030 to reach 30% of all LDV sales ( adapted from
Fulton, Lah and Cuenot 2013)
Target Scenario : Better Urban Planning
Projections of Energy Source for Mobility - Rationale for Urban Electric Mobility Initiative (UEMI)
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Source: http://www.nachhaltigwirtschaften.at/e2050/results.html/id6753
International Energy Agency: Light-Duty Vehicle Evolution
Elect. Vehicles
are on the rise
Urban Electric Mobility Initiative : UN Climate Summit 2014
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Multilateral Dev. Banks: “Increase their investments to support cities in attaining the goal of 30% of the LDV fleet being comprised of EVs.”
Industry : “Increase the global market share of EV in cities to reach at least 30% by 2030.”
Supply Side Demand Side
Cities/ Governm.: “By 2030, EVs will form 30% of the fleet of light duty vehicles (LDV), plying in their cities”.
Pledge between…
&
E-Mobility : The Business Case
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Gloal Value Chain of E-Mobility in 2020 – A World Bank Report
Electric Mobility Can Promote Low Carbon Economic Growth
Operationalizing UEMI: Linking Investments, Knowledge and Policy
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Seed fund
for UEMI
Capacity
Building
Demo. Projects
Policy and
Regulatory
Actions
Investment in
city
Infrastructure
Greater
uptake of
EVs
Industry
investments in
Research,
manufacturing,
marketing
The Urban Electric Mobility Programme Cycle
UEMI: Steps To Action
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EGM Barcelona 24-25 April 2014; Communiqué
“Ascent Meeting” Abu Dhabi; 4-5 May 2014; High Level Dialogue
Follow–up dialogue and gathering statements of intent from supply and demand side Actors
Climate Summit 2014, New York; Launch of Platform and initial Pledges
Michelin Challenge Bibendum, Chengdu, Nov 2015
EST, Colombo, Srilanka, Nov 2015
Post Summit continued pledge making and experience sharing
Resolution in UN-Habitat Governing Council (Apr 2015)
- Hub for Knowledge (Papers, Pool expertise, exchange, conferences etc.)
- Coordination (Partners, City-Industry, commitments etc.)
- Implementation of Pilot Showcases (Project designs etc.)
- Management (Budgeting etc.)
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Thank you for your attention!