Urban Electric Mobility Initiative · urban sprawl; air pollution; ... scenario- sales of Evs by...

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Transcript of Urban Electric Mobility Initiative · urban sprawl; air pollution; ... scenario- sales of Evs by...

Page 1: Urban Electric Mobility Initiative · urban sprawl; air pollution; ... scenario- sales of Evs by 2030 to reach 30% of all LDV sales ... - Rationale for Urban Electric Mobility Initiative

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Page 2: Urban Electric Mobility Initiative · urban sprawl; air pollution; ... scenario- sales of Evs by 2030 to reach 30% of all LDV sales ... - Rationale for Urban Electric Mobility Initiative

Urban Electric Mobility Initiative

Kulwant Singh

Regional Advisor

Urban Basic Services Branch, UN-Habitat

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Urbanization Trend : The World is becoming increasingly Urban

1970

RURAL

63%

URBAN

37%

2000 2030

RURAL

53%

URBAN

47%

RURAL

40%

URBAN

60%

1995 2005 2020

More developed regions

7%

Less developed

regions

93%

PERCENTAGE GROWTH OF URBAN POPULATION BY REGION (2005-2020)

URBAN POPULATION BY REGION (2005)

More developed regions

29%

Less developed regions

71%

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Urbanization can be a very powerful tool for development

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But: Mobility Challenges of Urbanization in the 21st Century

• Mobility flows are the key dynamics of urbanization, with the associated infrastructure constituting the backbone of urban form.

• Urban planners have largely focused on facilitating urban mobility by investing in new and expanded infrastructure for private cars.

• The costs of car-dependent development include: urban sprawl; air pollution; 3.7 Mi. deaths/year from Ambient Air Pollution

noise pollution; climate change; traffic jams; road traffic accidents; community severance etc.

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The Challenges of Urbanization in the 21st Century

1. Growing urban population A. Total world population: from 7 to

9.5 billion Urban population: from 50% to 75%

B. In 40-50 years, 3 billion more people will be urbanized

C. Increased rate of urban population growth

2. Climate change

A. Urban populations use more energy per capita

B. Increased total Green House Gas (GHG) emissions

C. 70% of total GHG emissions attributable to urban areas

D. Immediate need to change trends and “business as usual”

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Towards a Global Agreement on Climate Change

IPCC Report ( Nov 2014)

• Reducing emissions is crucial for restricting global warming to 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels;

• Renewables will have to grow from their current 30% to 80% of the power sector by 20 50 and Fossil Fuels should be phased out by 2100.

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“Climate Change is

the defining issue of

our time, if we don’t

take action now, we

will have to pay much

more”.

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The purpose of Urban Mobility

Access: Bringing

People and Places

together

Integration of Land use and

Transport/TOD

NMT and Public Transport

Urban Form

Planning

at multiple scales

Freight transport

integrated in urban planning

and design

Developing the business model

for more equitable

accessibility

The New Paradigm: Access – The ultimate objective of all

transportation – to goods, services, people and amenities

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The new urban paradigm- A framework for Public Policy

1. A more compact and better planned city

A. Enough public space (45-50% of land area, incl. 35% street space )

B. Well connected street pattern (80 crossings/km2)

2. Adequate compactness and good design

A. Density (15.000 ppl/km2, to yield vibrant street life)

B. Well-designed and affordable buildable plots

3. Urban mixed-uses

o Minimal zoning and land specialization (not exceeding 15%) to reduce mobility demand.

4. Three-legged approach

o A good balance of adequate rules and regulation, urban design and financial planning.

5. Reduced consumption of non-renewably energy and emission of Greenhouse Gasses.

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The next three years

• The UN Post-2015 Sustainable Development Agenda

• Climate Change agreement (COP21 in Paris)

• Habitat III in 2016

o UN Conference on Global Urbanization

o First implementing conference of Post-2015 SDGs at local and municipal level

2014 China International Urbanization Forum Shanghai, 19/04/2014

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E-Mobility : A Relevant Solution

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Share of Sales of Electric Vehicles in three versions of a 20 C stabilisation

scenario- sales of Evs by 2030 to reach 30% of all LDV sales ( adapted from

Fulton, Lah and Cuenot 2013)

Target Scenario : Better Urban Planning

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Projections of Energy Source for Mobility - Rationale for Urban Electric Mobility Initiative (UEMI)

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Source: http://www.nachhaltigwirtschaften.at/e2050/results.html/id6753

International Energy Agency: Light-Duty Vehicle Evolution

Elect. Vehicles

are on the rise

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Urban Electric Mobility Initiative : UN Climate Summit 2014

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Multilateral Dev. Banks: “Increase their investments to support cities in attaining the goal of 30% of the LDV fleet being comprised of EVs.”

Industry : “Increase the global market share of EV in cities to reach at least 30% by 2030.”

Supply Side Demand Side

Cities/ Governm.: “By 2030, EVs will form 30% of the fleet of light duty vehicles (LDV), plying in their cities”.

Pledge between…

&

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E-Mobility : The Business Case

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Gloal Value Chain of E-Mobility in 2020 – A World Bank Report

Electric Mobility Can Promote Low Carbon Economic Growth

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Operationalizing UEMI: Linking Investments, Knowledge and Policy

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Seed fund

for UEMI

Capacity

Building

Demo. Projects

Policy and

Regulatory

Actions

Investment in

city

Infrastructure

Greater

uptake of

EVs

Industry

investments in

Research,

manufacturing,

marketing

The Urban Electric Mobility Programme Cycle

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UEMI: Steps To Action

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EGM Barcelona 24-25 April 2014; Communiqué

“Ascent Meeting” Abu Dhabi; 4-5 May 2014; High Level Dialogue

Follow–up dialogue and gathering statements of intent from supply and demand side Actors

Climate Summit 2014, New York; Launch of Platform and initial Pledges

Michelin Challenge Bibendum, Chengdu, Nov 2015

EST, Colombo, Srilanka, Nov 2015

Post Summit continued pledge making and experience sharing

Resolution in UN-Habitat Governing Council (Apr 2015)

- Hub for Knowledge (Papers, Pool expertise, exchange, conferences etc.)

- Coordination (Partners, City-Industry, commitments etc.)

- Implementation of Pilot Showcases (Project designs etc.)

- Management (Budgeting etc.)

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Thank you for your attention!