Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to...
Transcript of Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to...
![Page 1: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili in Tandem
Wei ZhaoShuyi S. Chen and Joseph Tenerelli
Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric ScienceUniversity of Miami
![Page 2: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
ATMOS. MODEL(MM5/COAMPS/WRF)
OCEAN MODEL(HYCOM or 3DUOM)
WAVE MODEL
(WAVEWATCH III or WAM)
Wave-Induced stress
Surface Wind
Surface fluxes and stress
SST
SSH
& cu
rrent
velo
city
Wav
e-In
duce
d stre
ss
Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Modeling System for Hurricane Predictions
![Page 3: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Coupled Modeling System
•MM5 (PSU/NCAR)(vortex-following nests with 45, 15, 5, and 1.67 km grid
spacing, NCEP analysis and AVHRR or TMI/AMSR-E SST)•WAVEWATCH III (NOAA/EMC)
(1/6o, 25 frequency bands, 48 directional bands)•HYCOM (UMiami/NRL)
(1/12o, 22 vertical levels with 4-6 in the ocean mixed layer)•3DUOM (WHOI’s 3-D Upper Ocean Circulation Models)
(15 km, 30 vertical levels with 4-6 in the ocean mixed layer)
![Page 4: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Before Bonnie
After Bonnie... .
...
..
![Page 5: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
![Page 6: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
![Page 7: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Hurricanes Isidore and Lili (2002) in tandem
![Page 8: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Objectives
To examine the upper ocean circulation in response to a dual hurricane passage in the Gulf of Mexico.
To test HYCOM performance under high-resolution, complex atmospheric forcing.
![Page 9: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
HYCOM Configuration• one-way nested Western Atlantic-Gulf of Mexico-
Caribbean Sea regional domain with data assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations
• 0.08 degree grid spacing• 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers in mixed layer with the
1st layer at 3 meter • MM5 atmospheric forcing, 17 August – 17 October
2002 (1.67-km grid resolution during Hurricanes Isidore and Lili, 45-km in pre- and post-hurricane periods)
![Page 10: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
AUG17 SEP18SEP08 OCT04SEP27 SEP30 OCT17
MODAS SST data
assimilationHurricane
IsidoreHurricane
Lili
![Page 11: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Hurricane Isidore Hurricane Lili
![Page 12: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
SSHA (satellite)
SST/SSC (HYCOM)
Pre-Isidore
![Page 13: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
![Page 14: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
SatelliteSST pre- and post-Isidore
HYCOM
![Page 15: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
HYCOM
Satellite
SST Cooling post-Isidore
![Page 16: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
SatelliteSST pre- and post-Lili
HYCOM
![Page 17: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
HYCOM
Satellite
SST Cooling post-Lili
![Page 18: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
A B
![Page 19: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
B: Loop CurrentA: Gulf Common Water
Isidore Lili Isidore Lili
![Page 20: Upper Ocean Response to 2002 Hurricanes Isidore and Lili ...assimilation of SSH and SST prior to hurricane simulations • 0.08 degree grid spacing • 22 Vertical layer, 4-6 layers](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022070109/6042ec9bd045c869570be260/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
satelliteSSH & SST data assimilation
O.M. Smedstad
SSH data assimilation only21 days SST data assimilation