Friday 30 January, 2015

St Antony’s College, University of Oxford

Bosnia and Herzegovina: New International thinking

09.15 Registration and coffee 09.45 Welcome and introduction by Othon Anastasakis, Director of SEESOX 10.00 Session I: Reflections on past international involvement and the current situation

Which are the main policy areas where the international actors (OHR, UN agencies, EU, foreign offices, NATO) have succeeded in helping bring about change and reform? How and why? And where have they failed? How and why? What can we learn from the past, and what can we do better?

Archie Tuta: Setting the scene Jamie Shea: A NATO perspective on the past and present Georg Ziegler: The EU perspective and the EU approach Nicholas Hill: The need for strong international cooperation to encourage reform

Chair: Richard Caplan 11.30 Coffee/Tea break 12.00 Session II: Political, constitutional, rule of law, and security reforms

What are the current priorities for reform? What could change and improve the party system, and strengthen central institutions and the rule of law? What are the obstacles to constitutional reform, and how might they be overcome? What are the achievements in security sector reform, and the failures, and how should the latter be addressed?

Ian Bancroft: Overcoming obstacles to constitutional reform Srecko Latal: The collapse of the Bosnian political system and its consequences Tobias Flessenkemper: What happened to police reform? Rohan Maxwell: Security sector reform

Chair: James Ker-Lindsay

13.30 Lunch

During lunch, Jill Morris, Director Europe, FCO, will talk about the UK/ German initiative on Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Bosnia and Herzegovina: New International thinking

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Programme

Lobby, Ground floor, Hilda Besse Bldg The Pavilion Top floor, Gateway Building

Ground floor, Hilda Besse Bldg

The Pavilion Top floor, Gateway Building

The Buttery Ground floor, Hilda Besse Bldg

Venue

The Pavilion, St Antony’s College 30 January, 2015

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14.30 Session III: Strengthening economic development

What are the priorities for economic reform, and where should a start be made? What can be done about economic growth? The job market? IMF dependency? Fiscal policies? Regional economic integration? How can the international community, and especially the EU, IMF, EBRD and World Bank, support economic reform and business development in BiH?

Andras Horvai: Key constraints of growth and jobs, and reform priorities Peter Sanfey: Prospects for greater regional economic integration Will Bartlett: Labour market reform, competitiveness, and job creation

Chair: Vesna Bojicic-Dzelilovic 16.00 Coffee/Tea break 16.30 Session IV: Enhancing societal and intercommunal cooperation

What can outsiders do? How can the EU help and what strategies can it use (i.e. conditionality?)? Who are the main civil sector organisations and partners in BiH? Which of these have the potential to participate in reform initiatives? How important is cross-community cooperation compared with progress in other areas?

Georg Ziegler: Intercommunal cooperation or de-ethnisation: What does the EU-integration process require? Andy McGuffie: The media scene and civil society Adrian Pollmann: Social receptiveness to outside initiatives: UK/German case Francisco de Borja Lasheras: International approach to institution building empowerment: Lessons learned from the field

Chair: Adam Fagan

18:00 Conclusions: Finding Ways Forward: Points for action

Richard Caplan James Ker-Lindsay Vesna Bojicic-Dzelilovic Adam Fagan

Chair: David Madden

19:00 Drinks reception and dinner

The Pavilion, Top floor, Gateway Building

Ground floor, Hilda Besse Bldg The Pavilion Top Floor, Gateway Building

Exeter College, Turl Street, Oxford

Venue

Othon Anastasakis

Director of South East European Studies at Oxford (SEESOX), and Director of the European Studies Centre at St

Antony’s College, Oxford

Othon Anastasakis is also a Senior Research Fellow at the Department of Politics and International Relations,

University of Oxford. He teaches South East European politics. Previously he was Researcher at the LSE; Expert

and Advisor on European Union matters at the Greek Ministry of Foreign Affairs. His recent volumes include

Sustaining Rapprochement? Greek-Turkish relations, low politics and regional volatility (co-edited with Nora Fisher

Onar) special issue in South East and Black Sea Studies, Vol. 13, No 3, 2013; Defining a new reform agenda: Paths

to sustainable convergence in South East Europe (co-edited with Peter Sanfey and Max Watson, SEESOX, 2013);

Reforming Greece: Sisyphean Task or Herculean Challenge? (co-edited with Dorian Singh, SEESOX 2012); In the

Shadow of Europe: Greeks and Turks in the era of post-nationalism (co-edited with Nicolaïdis and Oktem, Brill,

2009); Greece in the Balkans: Memory, conflict and exchange (co-edited with Bechev and Vrousalis, Cambridge

Scholars Press, 2009). He has also published many articles in journals and chapters in books on comparative

democratisation in South East Europe, EU-Balkan relations and EU conditionality, Turkey's European and Balkan

foreign policy. He a Region Head (South East Europe) of Oxford Analytica.

Ian Bancroft

Head of the Brčko Office of the OSCE Mission to Bosnia and Herzegovina

Having previously served as executive director of TransConflict, Ian Bancroft has written for The Guardian, UN

Global Experts and Business New Europe on Western Balkan affairs, focusing primarily on Serbia, Kosovo and

Bosnia-Herzegovina, and has provided analysis and insight to a variety of media outlets, including the BBC,

Radio Free Europe and Voice of America. Ian is also the author of a chapter, entitled ‘Reconciliation through

Recognition’, in ‘The Yugoslav Example: Violence, War and Difficult Ways Towards Peace’. Ian has delivered

trainings on conflict sensitivity to UN staff in south Serbia, taught a course on south Serbia at Singidunum

University’s Center for Comparative Conflict Studies (CFCCS) in Belgrade and was part of a UN-funded research

team exploring the drivers of conflict in south Serbia. Ian was previously employed as a consultant to the

Democratization Department of the OSCE Mission to Bosnia-Herzegovina. He completed his undergraduate and

post-graduate studies at the London School of Economics (LSE), focusing primarily on democracy and

democratization, particularly in deeply-divided societies.

William Bartlett

Senior Research Fellow in the Political Economy of South East Europe at the European Institute, LSE

William Bartlett holds an MA in Economics from the University of Cambridge and a PhD from the University of

Liverpool on the topic of unemployment and migration in former Yugoslavia. His current research focuses on

labour markets, skills and social inclusion in the Yugoslav successor states. He is the author of “Europe’s

Troubled Region: Economic Development, Institutional Reform and Social Welfare in the Western Balkans”,

Routledge, 2008, and numerous articles in refereed journals. He is coordinator of the LSEE Research Network

on Social Cohesion in South East Europe.

Bosnia and Herzegovina: New International thinking

Speakers’ biographies

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The Pavilion, St Antony’s College 30 January, 2015

Vesna Bojicic-Dzelilovic

Senior Research Fellow at the Department of International Development at the LSE

Vesna Bojicic-Dzelilovic’s main area of research is political economy of conflict and post-conflict reconstruction,

political economy of policy making and decentralisation and regional development. She has published academic

and policy papers on these topics with a focus on South East Europe. Her current project examines in comparative

perspective experience of post-conflict transition in several regions of Africa and the Western Balkans. Recent

publications include two coedited books: Public Policy Making in the Western Balkans: Case Studies of Selected

Economic and Social Policy Reforms by Springer, and Civil Society and Transitions in the Balkans by Palgrave.

Francisco de Borja Lasheras

Associate Director and Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations, Madrid Office

Francisco de Borja Lasheras joined the European Council on Foreign Relations in September 2013 as Associate

Director of the Madrid Office and Policy Fellow. Between 2007 and 2009 he worked for the Fundación Alternativas´

Observatory of Spanish Foreign Policy, and taught at the George Washington University Madrid. After serving at

the Spanish Permanent Representation to the OSCE, Mr Lasheras spent several years in the Western Balkans,

working for the OSCE Missions in Bosnia, as human rights officer in Eastern Bosnia, and Albania, and also with the

Head of Mission at Head Office. He graduated summa cum laude at the Deusto University´s Faculty of Law and

holds a Master’s Degree at Harvard University. He has published on multilateral diplomacy, the Western Balkans,

institution-building, enlargement, security policy, the crisis of Ukraine and strategy.

Richard Caplan

Professor of International Relations at the University of Oxford

Richard Caplan has been a Specialist-Advisor to the Select Committee on Foreign Affairs in the UK House of

Commons; a Research Associate at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Editor of World Policy

Journal, and New York Director of the Institute for War and Peace Reporting (IWPR). He has also served as a

consultant to the UN Peacebuilding Commission and to various national governments. His books include (as

author) Europe and the Recognition of New States in Yugoslavia and International Governance of War-Torn

Territories: Rule and Reconstruction and (as editor) Exit Strategies and State Building, Europe’s New Nationalism:

States and Minorities in Conflict and State of the Union: the Clinton Administration and the Nation in Profile.

Adam Fagan

Professor of European Politics at Queen Mary University of London, where he is also Head of the School of Politics

and International Relations

Adam Fagan is also Professorial Fellow at the London School of Economics (LSEE – LSE South East Europe

Research). Fagan is a co-investigator in the EU-funded MAXCAP (Maximizing the Integration Capacity of the

European Union) research project http://www.maxcap-project.eu. His research focuses on the Europeanization of

the Western Balkans, with particular reference to judicial reform, minority rights and environmental governance in

Bosnia-Herzegovina and Serbia. His most recent book is Europeanization of the Western Balkans: Environmental

Governance in Bosnia-Herzegovina and Serbia (Palgrave 2015). He is the author of Europe’s Balkan Dilemma: Paths to

State building or Civil Society? (I B Tauris, 2010). Adam Fagan is also the editor of East European Politics.

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Bosnia and Herzegovina: New International thinking

Speakers’ biographies

Tobias Flessenkemper

Senior Associate Researcher at the Centre international de formation européenne (CIFE)

Tobias Flessenkemper is working on EU external relations with a focus on the Eastern and Southern

Neighbourhood. He is a member of the board of the Südosteuropa-Gesellschaft, the leading institution in the field of

research and policy advice on Southeastern Europe in Germany. Until 2012 he served in OSCE and EU missions in

Macedonia and BiH. He is a co-editor of “Ten years after: lessons from the EUPM in Bosnia and Herzegovina 2002-

2012” published by the EU Institute for Security Studies. In 2013 he co-founded elbarlament.org, a governance

consultancy organisation based in Berlin. He holds an M.A. in political science from the University of Cologne.

Nicholas M. Hill

Deputy Chief of Mission, U.S. Embassy Sarajevo

Nicholas Hill is a career member of the Senior Foreign Service and arrived in Sarajevo in July 2012. He was

previously the Deputy Chief of Mission at the U.S. Embassy in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. Prior to that he served as

the Chief of Trade Policy at the U.S. Embassy in Tokyo. During his 30 year career as a Foreign Service Officer, Mr

Hill has worked overseas at US missions in Belgrade, Budapest, Montreal, Sapporo, and Zagreb, as well as at the

United Nations in New York and at the State Department in Washington, DC. He holds a B.A. in History and

Economics from Bowdoin College, a Masters in International Relations from George Washington University, and

a Masters in Security Studies from the National War College in Washington, D.C.

Andras Horvai

Operations Manager for Southeast Europe, the World Bank

Andras Horvai joined the World Bank in 1993, and has worked extensively on Southeast Europe. During 1995-99,

he took part in the design and implementation of the World Bank’s assistance program for the reconstruction

of Bosnia and Herzegovina, including the mobilization of donor resources jointly with the European

Commission. He also developed the first World Bank program for Kosovo, and oversaw its implementation

during 1999-2002. During 2007-10, he served as the World Bank’s Country Manager for Croatia, based in Zagreb.

During his World Bank career, he has also worked on Bangladesh, Cyprus, FYR Macedonia, Nepal, Poland and

Turkey. Currently, he oversees the implementation of the World Bank’s program of US$3 billion in the six

countries of Southeast Europe. Prior to joining the World Bank, he held senior positions in the National Bank of

Hungary, including that of General Manager, and also served as Alternate Executive Director of EBRD. He is a

graduate of the University of Economics, Budapest.

Jessie Hronesova

DPhil candidate in politics at St Antony’s College, University of Oxford

Jessie’s Hronesova’s research interests are in post-war institutional designs, ethnic and national identities,

transitional justice, and democratization in the Western Balkans. In her doctoral work she focuses on

reparations, community-building and transitional justice in Bosnia and Herzegovina. She authored several

studies on identity politics and retributive transitional justice. Before starting her DPhil, she interned for the

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The Pavilion, St Antony’s College 30 January, 2015

ICTY in The Hague and the OSCE in Sarajevo. She also worked for Balkan Investigative Reporting Network in

Sarajevo and Belgrade and for the Czech Academy of Sciences in Prague, conducting research on the Czech

democratic transition after 1989. Together with her activities at SEESOX, Jessie conducts research for various

consultancies in the UK and Serbia, assessing political risks of current political affairs in the Western Balkans.

She holds a degree in Russian and East European Studies from Oxford (MPhil) and a Master of Research in

political science from the London School of Economics.

James Ker-Lindsay

Eurobank Senior Research Fellow on the Politics of South East Europe at the European Institute, LSE

James Ker-Lindsay's work focuses on conflict, peace and security in the Western Balkans and the Eastern

Mediterranean and on issues relating to secession and recognition in international politics. He is the author of a

number of books, including Kosovo: The Path to Contested Statehood in the Balkans (I.B.Tauris, 2009), The

Cyprus Problem: What Everyone Needs to Know (Oxford University Press, 2011), and The Foreign Policy of

Counter Secession: Preventing the Recognition of Contested States (Oxford University Press, 2012). As well as

his academic work, he is a frequent advisor/consultant on regional affairs to governments and international

organisations, including the European Commission, Council of Europe and the United Nations.

Srecko Latal

Analyst at SOS Think Tank, and BIRN editor for BiH

Srecko Latal covered BiH and the rest of the Balkans as Associated Press correspondent and editor during and

after the conflicts in 90’s, but also reported from other places such as Afghanistan and Pakistan. Between 2000

and 2008 he worked as communications expert and political advisor for the EU and the World Bank, and

between 2009 and 2014 as analyst for the International Crisis Group, ICG. After ICG left the Balkans, he

established a new think-tank and worked as editor for the Balkan Investigative Reporting Network, BIRN.

Meanwhile, he published numerous articles in regional and international media and analytical outlets, gave

lectures at local and international academic institutions and volunteered in projects educating young journalists

and analysts across the region.

David Madden

Former Ambassador; Senior Member, St Antony’s College, Oxford

David Madden joined the UK Diplomatic Service in 1970, and has extensive experience of working in places on

the brink of break-up (Yugoslavia in the 1980s), those divided (Berlin in the 1970s, Cyprus, Bosnia and

Herzegovina), and those where there are regional tensions. As British High Commissioner in Cyprus 1994-9, he

played a full role in negotiations on a Cyprus settlement and EU accession. As British Ambassador in Greece

1999-2004, he helped the Greek government achieve a break-through against terrorism. He has a Master’s

degree in the History of Art from the Courtauld Institute and is a published author (The Mystery of Edwin Drood,

2011). He is Trustee of various international animal welfare charities and is involved in the development of a

Universal Declaration on Animal Welfare.

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Bosnia and Herzegovina: New International thinking

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Rohan Maxwell

Senior Political-Military Advisor, NATO Headquarters Sarajevo

Rohan Maxwell served in the Canadian Army as a combat engineer from 1982 to 2005. He has a BSc in Physics &

Computer Science and an MA in War Studies from the Royal Military College of Canada, and he is a graduate of

the Canadian Army Command and Staff College. In 2003 he was assigned to the Defence Reform Section of the

OSCE Mission to Bosnia and Herzegovina. In 2005 he retired from the military and joined the newly-established

NATO Headquarters Sarajevo to lead its staff element responsible for political-military aspects of NATO support

to defence and security sector reform in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Andy McGuffie

Head of Communications and Spokesperson, Office of the EU Special Representative

Andy McGuffie has a Bachelor's degree (History & French), Oxford University, 1999. He started his public

relations career with positions in the UK's Liberal Democrat party including Press Secretary to the party group in

the House of Lords. Then as a UK civil servant, he held press office positions in the Home Office and Prime

Minister's Office, and was Deputy Head of Europe Section (Western Balkans, Russia & CIS, NATO) in the Foreign

Office press office. From 2008 – 2011 he was Director of Communication at the International Civilian Office/EUSR

in Kosovo; and has held his present job since September 2011. Voluntary work: President of the board of the

American Church in London 2004 – 2008.

Adrian Pollmann

Deputy Head of Mission, German Embassy, Sarajevo

Adrian Pollmann took up his current position in 2013. His previous career included Legal studies, Mainz/Rome

(1996-2001), and then Legal Training (2002 – 2004). He was then successively at the Diplomatic Academy,

Federal Foreign Office, Bonn/Berlin (2005 – 2006), German Embassy Lisbon as head of legal and cultural

department (2006 – 2008), Task Force Iran, Federal Foreign Office (2008 – 2010), Transatlantic Diplomatic

Fellow, US Department of State at the Office of the US Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan

(2010 – 2011), and then in the political department of the German Embassy in Washington (2011 – 2013).

Peter Sanfey

Deputy Director for Country Strategy and Policy within the Office of the Chief Economist at the European Bank for

Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), London

Peter Sanfey is responsible for the analysis of economic developments and reforms in South-Eastern Europe,

and he engages in research and publications on a range of topics covering the whole transition region. He is also

a Senior Common Room member at St Antony’s College and an associate of SEESOX. Dr Sanfey graduated from

Trinity College Dublin in 1985 with a B.A. (first class honours) in Economics, and received his Ph.D. in Economics

from Yale University in 1992.

Speakers’ biographies

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The Pavilion, St Antony’s College 30 January, 2015

Convenors

Othon Anastasakis, Richard Caplan, Jessie Hronesova, James Ker-Lindsay, David Madden

Administrator

Julie Adams

Rapporteurs

Jessie Hronesova and David Madden

Jamie Shea

Deputy Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, NATO

Jamie Shea has been working with NATO since 1980. Positions included Deputy Assistant Secretary General for

External Relations, and Spokesman of NATO. He is involved with several prominent academic institutions and

acts amongst others as professor of the Collège d’Europe, Bruges; Visiting Lecturer in the Practice of

Diplomacy, University of Sussex; Associate Professor of International Relations at the American University,

Washington DC. He also is a regular lecturer and conference speaker on NATO and European security affairs and

on public diplomacy and political communication and lobbying. He holds a D.Phil. in Modern History from

Oxford University (Lincoln College), 1981. He is member of the Advisory Board, Security and Defence

Programmes at Chatham House; Member of the Policy Council at the World Economic Forum in Geneva and

Founder; and Member of the Board, Security and Defence Agenda Brussels.

Archie Tuta

Head of the Political and Economic Department in the Office of the High Representative, Sarajevo

Archie Tuta joined the Office of the High Representative in 1996 to work on the conduct of the 1996 General

Elections and the establishment of the BiH Parliamentary Assembly and the Council of Ministers. He is currently

the Head of the Political and Economics Department. In the intervening years he served as Head of Strategy for

High Representatives Wolfgang Petritisch and Paddy Ashdown.

Georg Ziegler

Deputy Head of the Bosnia and Herzegovina unit in DG Neighbourhood Policy and Enlargement negotiations (DG

NEAR) in the European Commission

Georg Ziegler studied at the University of Freiburg Law School and at the Catholic University in Lublin (Poland).

In 1989/90 he worked for the Catholic Academic Exchange Service in Bonn. In 1990 he became a German official

and served for five years at the German Embassy in Warsaw and subsequently in the Federal Ministry of Labour

and Social Affairs. He was seconded to the European Commission in Brussels to work on the fifth enlargement

(1997-2000). In 2003 he became a permanent EU official and focused for ten years in the European Commission

Bosnia and Herzegovina: New International thinking

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With thanks to our sponsors...

The workshop is by invitation only and discussions are held

under the Chatham House Rule.

This workshop is organised by South East European Studies at Oxford (SEESOX)

in association with

the Department of Politics and International Relations (University of Oxford), and

LSEE - Research on South Eastern Europe, London School of Economics and Political Science

SEESOX would like to thank the sponsors for their generous support:

Centre for International Studies, University of Oxford, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Oxford

Foreign and Commonwealth Office

LSEE - Research on South Eastern Europe, LSE

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Public Diplomacy Division

St Antony’s College, Oxford

The Pavilion, St Antony’s College 30 January, 2015

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South East European Studies at Oxford (SEESOX) is part of the European Studies Centre (ESC) at

St Antony’s College, Oxford. It focuses on the interdisciplinary study of the Balkans, Greece, Turkey

and Cyprus. Drawing on the academic excellence of the University and an international network of

associates, it conducts policy relevant research on the multifaceted transformations of the region

in the 21st century. It follows closely conflict and post -conflict situations and analyses the historical

and intellectual influences which have shaped perceptions and actions in the region. In Oxford’s

best tradition, the SEESOX team is committed to understanding the present through the longue durée

and reflecting on the future through high quality scholarship.

About SEESOX

Principal objectives:

To support high-quality teaching and research on South East Europe;

To organise conferences, workshops and research seminars;

To promote the multi-disciplinary study of the region within the University of Oxford (e.g.

politics, international relations, anthropology, sociology, economics) working in collaboration

with other Centres and Programmes within the University, including student societies;

To spearhead intellectual exchanges and debate on these issues among networks of individuals

and institutions beyond Oxford;

To foster cooperation between the academic and the policy making communities.

European Studies Centre St Antony's College University of Oxford

OX2 6JF United Kingdom

Telephone: +44 1865 274537

E-mail: julie.adams@sant.ox.ac.uk

Bosnia and Herzegovina: New International thinking