United States Grain: World Markets and Trade · 2018-09-13 · United States Department of...

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 01-10January 2010

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Middle East import demand has more than doubled in 2008/09, accounting for 75 percent of the growth in world trade. Import demand has largely been a function of drought-reduced crops, particularly in Iran, Iraq, and Syria. In Iran alone, import demand grew over 9 million tons last year, from virtually zero in recent years. While crops have recovered somewhat this year, they were still below average. Saudi Arabia’s decision to phase out 2-3 million tons of irrigated wheat production also results in expanding import demand.

Despite expansion in world and Middle East imports, U.S. exports in 2009/10 are expected to be the lowest in nearly 30 years as U.S. exporters have struggled against competitors with relatively lower prices, and logistical and freight advantages to that region.

U.S. Wheat Exports Fall Despite Middle East Import Boom

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Exports to the Middle East

Import forecast, all sources

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 8 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 13 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 32 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 51 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2009

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

January 2010

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2009/102008/092007/082009/102008/092007/082009/102008/092007/08

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.8 68.0 60.3 6.3 6.5 7.0 331.2 307.1 334.1

Other 554.6 614.7 615.8 427.5 440.1 427.7 460.7 484.5 462.4

World Total 610.5 682.7 676.1 433.9 446.6 434.7 791.9 791.6 796.4

Domestic Consumption


Other 584.6 599.0 610.3 422.5 429.2 429.6 509.2 515.3 524.0

World Total 613.2 633.3 642.4 426.6 433.3 433.8 770.9 774.4 804.0

Ending Stocks


Other 112.7 146.1 169.1 79.5 91.4 89.3 88.4 103.5 91.4

World Total 121.1 163.9 195.6 80.5 92.4 90.7 129.6 146.0 136.2

TY Imports


Other 110.5 135.9 118.1 27.6 25.6 27.4 99.4 80.4 82.1

World Total 113.5 139.4 121.2 28.2 26.3 28.1 99.9 80.7 82.4

TY Exports


Other 82.1 115.2 101.2 26.4 25.7 27.7 37.6 35.0 32.9

World Total 116.4 142.5 123.7 29.6 28.8 30.8 98.2 83.0 84.9

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

January 2010

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES: Domestic: Prices fell slightly for all classes of wheat in December. Technical market factors, rather than fundamentals, continue to influence prices and negatively affect the competitiveness of U.S. wheat exports. Hard Red Spring (HRS) dropped $12 to $255/ton, with price quotes unavailable for 2 weeks in October, Hard Red Winter (HRW) declined $8 to $219/ton, Soft Red Winter (SRW) dipped $3 to $213/ton, and White Wheat fell $6 to $196/ton.

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

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10/9

10/16

10/23

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12/18

12/25 1/1

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T

HRS HRW SRW SWW TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/2010 Selected Exporters:

• Argentina is doubled to 3.0 million tons based on the increased availability of government issued export licenses.

• United States is reduced 1.5 million to 22.5 million tons, the lowest in almost 30 years,

because of continued intense competition from all other major exporters. Selected Importers:

• Afghanistan is up 500,000 to 1.3 million tons on larger-than-expected flour imports from Kazakhstan.

• EU is down 500,000 to 6.5 million tons on lower import licenses and higher prices for

imported feed-quality wheat.

• Egypt is up 500,000 to 8.8 million on the faster pace of imports, particularly from Russia.

• Iran is cut 500,000 to 4.5 million tons on the slow import pace.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, January 2010


January 2010

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

3,0001,5008,59810,22812,1688,216 Argentina

15,00015,00013,4527,44911,24115,211 Australia

18,50018,50018,58316,56119,27815,633 Canada

1,0001,0007232,8352,7831,397 China

19,00019,00025,31812,27113,81615,701 EU-27

7,5007,5005,7018,1818,0893,817 Kazakhstan

1,2001,2001,4061,261548533 Mexico

18,00018,00018,39312,55210,58410,514 Russia

2,3002,3002,3421,7632,2003,208 Turkey

9,0009,00013,0371,2363,3666,461 Ukraine

6,7496,8597,6327,7826,4825,886 Others

101,24999,859115,18582,11990,55586,577 Subtotal

22,50024,00027,29534,32825,04127,252 United States

123,749123,859142,480116,447115,596113,829 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,3005,3006,3595,9044,8745,476 Algeria

2,6002,6002,8821,5551,7312,034 Bangladesh

6,5006,5006,3677,1367,7045,823 Brazil

8,8008,3009,9007,7007,3007,771 Egypt

6,5007,0007,7406,9425,1376,758 EU-27

5,5005,5005,4235,2245,5964,981 Indonesia

4,5005,0009,3002007001,105 Iran

3,8003,8003,8683,4242,9124,996 Iraq

2,1002,1002,0601,1861,4581,663 Israel

5,3005,3005,1565,7015,7475,469 Japan

3,7003,7003,3713,0923,4393,884 Korea, South

1,6501,6501,6771,5679941,722 Libya

3,1003,3003,3413,1363,6103,549 Mexico

1,8001,8003,7594,1911,8012,418 Morocco

3,5003,5003,5502,6773,2653,678 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,3851,4521,3671,644 Peru

3,0003,0003,2012,2662,7542,954 Philippines

1,6001,6001,400489177 Saudi Arabia

1,5001,5001,5001,3338851,242 South Africa

1,5001,5001,7121,0601,3231,659 Sudan

1,8001,8001,700200200231 Syria

1,5001,5001,7722,3721,4331,263 Tunisia

2,0002,0003,5772,1921,77864 Turkey

1,5251,5251,5001,4981,7651,691 Venezuela

2,3002,3002,7861,8612,4202,187 Yemen

35,24034,20540,65036,60039,96634,507 Others

118,115117,780135,936110,517110,250108,846 Subtotal

2,5342,9793,0842,9181,9522,684 Unaccounted

3,1003,1003,4603,0123,3942,299 United States

123,749123,859142,480116,447115,596113,829 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


January 2010

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Production

8,0008,0009,00018,00016,10014,600 Argentina

22,50022,50020,93913,56910,82225,173 Australia

26,50026,50028,61120,05425,26525,748 Canada

114,500114,500112,464109,298108,46697,445 China

7,9007,9007,8838,2758,2748,184 Egypt

138,339138,339151,072120,133124,870132,356 EU-27

80,58080,58078,57075,81069,35068,640 India

12,00012,00010,00015,00014,50014,308 Iran

17,00017,00012,55016,45013,45011,200 Kazakhstan

6,3706,3703,7301,5836,3273,043 Morocco

24,00024,00021,50023,30021,27721,612 Pakistan

61,70059,50063,70049,40044,90047,700 Russia

17,80017,80016,80015,50017,50018,500 Turkey

20,50020,50025,90013,90014,00018,700 Ukraine

6,2006,2006,0006,2005,8505,800 Uzbekistan

51,92451,85945,94748,16345,53449,681 Others

615,813613,548614,666554,635546,485562,690 Subtotal

60,31460,31468,01655,82149,21757,243 United States

676,127673,862682,682610,456595,702619,933 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,7508,7508,4508,0507,8507,750 Algeria

7,1007,1006,8506,5007,6006,550 Australia

11,40011,40010,70010,30010,30010,450 Brazil

7,3007,3008,0276,7878,9868,242 Canada

102,000102,000102,500106,000102,000101,500 China

17,05017,05016,55015,95015,45014,800 Egypt

127,000127,000127,500116,536125,500127,525 EU-27

76,12076,12070,77076,42273,37169,980 India

16,20016,20015,90015,50015,30014,800 Iran

7,5507,5507,5257,5007,5007,400 Kazakhstan

7,6507,6507,5507,4507,1506,800 Morocco

23,30023,30022,80022,40021,90020,900 Pakistan

41,20040,70038,90037,70036,40038,400 Russia

17,30017,30016,90016,80016,65016,100 Turkey

12,10012,10011,90012,30011,70012,500 Ukraine

128,236127,996126,160118,360119,966122,100 Others

612,299613,830605,516588,367584,643591,379 Subtotal

32,16832,87634,29128,61430,94031,320 United States

644,467646,706639,807616,981615,583622,699 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,6567,6566,5564,4066,8659,698 Canada

60,78560,58548,68538,96338,45034,387 China

4,9834,4835,3434,1204,1204,006 Egypt

17,17617,60418,33712,34314,07523,384 EU-27

18,02018,05013,5105,8004,5002,000 India

4,1574,1573,9073,1573,5073,257 Iran

11,1299,4298,4291,8192,2313,454 Russia

45,14444,46041,31042,13841,43251,744 Others

169,050166,424146,077112,746115,180131,930 Subtotal

26,55424,48517,8678,32312,41415,545 United States

195,604190,909163,944121,069127,594147,475 World Total


January 2010

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

6,135 North America 7,325 6,535 7,188 6,800 6,600

1,506 Central America 1,582 1,460 1,482 1,550 1,550

12,304 South America 13,979 13,143 12,746 12,890 12,890

6,758 European Union 5,137 6,942 7,740 7,000 6,500

1,457 Other Europe 1,480 1,923 1,690 1,675 1,675

5,487 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,958 6,021 6,544 5,000 5,000

13,447 Middle East 12,143 11,726 28,296 21,700 21,300

18,650 North Africa 16,402 21,734 23,467 18,550 19,050

13,174 Sub-Saharan Africa 11,735 10,315 13,243 13,110 13,345

12,852 East Asia 11,886 11,278 11,322 11,750 11,950

4,812 South Asia 10,944 8,270 10,713 5,515 6,015

11,923 Southeast Asia 12,437 11,405 12,328 12,500 12,500

2,640 Others 2,636 2,777 2,637 2,840 2,840

111,145 Total 113,644 113,529 139,396 120,880 121,215

Production none

86,011 North America 77,722 79,468 100,627 91,114 91,114

22,572 South America 21,022 24,835 18,519 16,593 16,893

132,356 European Union 124,870 120,133 151,072 138,339 138,339

4,196 Other Europe 4,313 4,405 4,693 4,700 4,465


42,975 Middle East 41,758 39,912 32,196 36,825 36,825

15,178 North Africa 18,576 13,948 14,588 19,395 19,395


98,652 East Asia 109,669 110,590 113,706 115,711 115,711

96,034 South Asia 95,881 105,075 103,870 111,100 111,100

25,466 Oceania 11,099 13,846 21,216 22,777 22,777

151 Others 141 156 161 181 181

619,933 Total 595,702 610,456 682,682 673,862 676,127

Domestic Consumption none

45,662 North America 46,126 40,901 48,318 46,526 45,618

24,151 South America 23,901 23,951 24,254 25,265 25,075

127,525 European Union 125,500 116,536 127,500 127,000 127,000

5,917 Other Europe 5,495 5,600 5,544 5,825 5,830


50,423 Middle East 51,308 50,519 53,260 53,465 53,565

33,847 North Africa 34,205 36,042 37,352 38,325 38,325


114,116 East Asia 113,938 117,556 114,118 114,170 114,170

100,310 South Asia 105,160 109,487 104,405 110,080 110,580

11,515 Southeast Asia 11,693 10,990 12,111 12,340 12,340

7,484 Oceania 8,545 7,394 7,699 8,025 8,025

3,344 Others 3,313 3,377 3,372 3,495 3,495

617,117 Total 618,563 613,169 633,273 642,392 642,424

Ending Stocks none

25,555 North America 19,693 13,111 24,740 32,508 34,577

4,752 South America 5,132 5,801 3,289 2,780 3,477

23,384 European Union 14,075 12,343 18,337 17,604 17,176

1,333 Other Europe 1,067 1,037 1,442 1,414 1,237


13,520 Middle East 12,041 10,648 12,221 13,819 13,819

9,233 North Africa 9,749 9,127 9,600 8,985 9,485


36,606 East Asia 40,838 41,781 51,519 63,195 63,395

6,285 South Asia 7,057 8,487 16,323 21,688 21,658

2,251 Southeast Asia 2,605 2,549 2,432 2,347 2,347

9,544 Oceania 4,159 3,841 3,301 3,714 3,793

216 Others 184 172 173 177 177

147,475 Total 127,594 121,069 163,944 190,909 195,604

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.


January 2010

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

Brazil’s Changing Trade Dynamics

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Trade Year Exports

Trade Year Imports

The dramatic expansion in Brazilian exports during the second half of the last decade is changing trade dynamics in South America. During this ten-year period, Brazil showed its potential to be a major competitor in the Western Hemisphere. This shift is a function of expanding production, stabilizing consumption, and new export opportunities. Brazilian rice farmers have expanded supplies by applying better technology to improve yields. In addition, a growing middle class and higher purchasing power have stabilized domestic rice consumption and changed consumer preferences towards more meat products. These factors have resulted in more exportable supplies used to fill gaps left by India’s export ban. In contrast, lower Brazilian import demand has made Argentina and Uruguay look for new export markets. Although its 2010 crop is expected to be about 9 percent lower than last year due to excessive rainfall, Brazil has emerged as a potential competitor in the Americas.


8


January 2010

PRICES:

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

7/21/09

9/15/09

11/10/0

91/5/1

0

Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%

Price Spike Ends after Philippines Completes Tenders

$/MTInternational: After climbing steadily for nearly 2 months, Thai 100B quotes began dropping in mid-December as the large Philippine tenders concluded. Down $30 over 3 weeks, quotes are now $594 per ton, FOB. Vietnamese quotes have also stabilized after their quick rise during the Philippine tenders. Domestic: At $555 per ton, FOB, U.S. #2/4 long grain quotes are the same as last month despite a small increase in the interim caused by the international market situation. Large medium grain supplies are causing California’s #1/4 quotes to continue their slide, dropping another $50 per ton this month to $725, FOB. TRADE CHANGES

• Brazil’s 2010 exports are lowered by 180,000 tons to 300,000 because of a reduction in

domestic supplies due to excessive rainfall during the planting season. • Pakistan’s 2010 exports are boosted 500,000 tons to 3.8 million on larger, competitively-

priced exportable supplies and stronger demand in several importing countries. • Vietnam’s 2009 exports are raised 150,000 tons to a record 5.95 million on year-end

data. NEW SERIES Two new countries were added to the PSD database beginning with trade year 2001. The complete datasets can be found at http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx.

• Uganda’s imports range from 45,000 to 65,000 tons per year, while exports have risen steadily from near zero to 25,000 tons. Uganda imports largely from Pakistan, Vietnam, and Tanzania, and exports to several of its East African neighbors.

• Rwanda’s imports range from 5,000 tons to 20,000 tons. Major trading partners are

Uganda, Pakistan, and Tanzania.


9


January 2010

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

550550600408436487 Argentina

300480650511201291 Brazil

1,0001,0001,0005413147 Burma

800800800500450350 Cambodia

1,5001,5008009691,3401,216 China

4504505007501,209958 Egypt

135135140157139144 EU-27

220220250210210250 Guyana

2,0002,0002,0003,3836,3014,537 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,8003,3003,0003,0002,6963,579 Pakistan

10,00010,0008,57010,0119,5577,376 Thailand

750750800634734812 Uruguay

808080808056 Venezuela

5,5005,5005,9504,6494,5224,705 Vietnam

380335409367749830 Others

27,66527,30025,74926,37028,85525,838 Subtotal

3,1003,0503,1003,2733,0293,307 United States

30,76530,35028,84929,64331,88429,145 World Total

none

TY Imports

5005001751,6581,570531 Bangladesh

750700550417684691 Brazil

340340345365341333 Canada

350350330295472654 China

800800800800980750 Cote d'Ivoire

575575425558574594 Cuba

1,3501,3501,3501,5201,3421,221 EU-27

350350350300340440 Ghana

325325300320292399 Haiti

350350325399348309 Hong Kong

1,7001,7001,7001,5001,5001,500 Iran

1,1001,1001,0009756131,306 Iraq

700700700546642681 Japan

8508508301,020799886 Malaysia

600600500578609586 Mexico

350350350300410330 Mozambique

1,6001,6001,9001,6001,5501,600 Nigeria

2,6002,6002,0002,5001,9001,791 Philippines

1,4001,4001,3701,360961958 Saudi Arabia

700700700860700600 Senegal

350350300320393350 Singapore

800800650665960800 South Africa

310310300250235214 Syria

500500500300450350 Vietnam

325325325325338250 Yemen

7,7947,7297,4877,8589,6397,666 Others

27,36927,25425,56227,58928,64225,790 Subtotal

2,6612,3612,5871,4032,5472,722 Unaccounted

735735700651695633 United States

30,76530,35028,84929,64331,88429,145 World Total


Note about dates: 2009/10 is calendar year 2010, 2008/09 is calendar year 2009, and so on.


January 2010

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Milled Production

30,00030,00031,00028,80029,00028,758 Bangladesh

7,8208,1608,5918,1997,6957,874 Brazil

10,73010,73010,15010,73010,60010,440 Burma

4,6304,6304,5204,2383,9463,771 Cambodia

137,000137,000134,330130,224127,200126,414 China

4,3744,3744,3874,3854,3834,135 Egypt

84,50083,00099,15096,69093,35091,790 India

37,00037,60038,30037,00035,30034,959 Indonesia

7,6207,6208,0297,9307,7868,257 Japan

4,9104,9104,8434,4084,6804,768 Korea, South

3,4003,4003,2003,0002,9002,700 Nigeria

6,2006,0006,7005,7005,4505,547 Pakistan

10,30010,30010,75310,4799,7759,821 Philippines

20,50020,50019,60019,30018,25018,200 Thailand

24,30024,30024,38824,37522,92222,772 Vietnam

34,41134,35032,11032,08431,27531,257 Others

427,695426,874440,051427,542414,512411,463 Subtotal

7,0306,9796,5156,3446,2677,105 United States

434,725433,853446,566433,886420,779418,568 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

31,40031,40031,00030,74729,76429,000 Bangladesh

8,4608,4608,4768,2547,9258,460 Brazil

9,7509,7509,55010,24910,67010,400 Burma

3,8803,8803,7703,7883,6463,571 Cambodia

133,500133,300129,000127,450127,200128,000 China

4,0004,0004,0003,3403,2763,320 Egypt

86,70086,70093,15090,46686,70085,088 India

37,40037,40037,09036,35035,90035,739 Indonesia

3,6003,6003,5503,5753,5503,274 Iran

8,2008,2008,3708,1778,2508,250 Japan

4,9784,9784,9724,6704,8874,766 Korea, South

5,1005,1005,1004,5004,4004,300 Nigeria

13,78513,78513,65013,49912,00010,722 Philippines

9,6309,6009,5009,6009,7809,544 Thailand

19,15019,15019,00019,40018,77518,392 Vietnam

50,10550,12748,97248,41547,54546,032 Others

432,338431,813430,546424,417417,567412,140 Subtotal

4,1364,1374,1004,0784,1023,828 United States

436,474435,950434,646428,495421,669415,968 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,22544,75142,87538,01535,91536,783 China

13,00011,50017,00013,00011,43010,520 India

6,9577,5577,0575,6074,6073,207 Indonesia

2,6352,6352,7152,5562,4062,395 Japan

3,2363,2364,1214,4184,8685,293 Philippines

5,2075,2074,0372,2072,5103,594 Thailand

2,1062,1061,9562,0181,3921,317 Vietnam

10,92711,08711,67611,72810,70611,510 Others

89,29388,07991,43779,54973,83474,619 Subtotal

1,3691,3819749421,2661,371 United States

90,66289,46092,41180,49175,10075,990 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


January 2010

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

1,552 North America 1,645 1,594 1,545 1,675 1,675

1,111 Caribbean 965 1,028 820 1,005 1,005

1,095 South America 1,065 1,119 1,127 1,145 1,195

138 Other Europe 137 98 125 120 120

504 Former Soviet Union - 12 361 335 355 300 315

5,204 Middle East 4,778 5,728 5,785 5,910 5,910

233 North Africa 355 280 160 145 145


2,017 East Asia 2,318 1,646 1,755 1,876 1,876

925 South Asia 1,962 2,063 515 1,070 1,070

4,122 Southeast Asia 5,742 4,637 4,300 4,985 4,985

2,010 Others 2,205 2,428 2,215 2,273 2,293

26,423 Total 29,337 28,240 26,262 27,989 28,104

Production none

7,286 North America 6,445 6,522 6,690 7,169 7,220

685 Caribbean 798 796 882 932 932

14,557 South America 14,292 15,649 15,521 15,462 15,122

1,731 European Union 1,676 1,757 1,680 1,988 1,988

871 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,000 1,005 915 1,167 1,092

2,372 Middle East 2,538 2,738 2,085 2,496 2,496

4,170 North Africa 4,413 4,406 4,408 4,409 4,409


142,492 East Asia 142,661 145,044 150,104 152,250 152,250

131,367 South Asia 133,111 136,535 142,095 124,898 126,598

102,944 Southeast Asia 103,778 109,323 111,042 111,536 110,936

1,289 Others 691 554 676 706 666

418,568 Total 420,779 433,886 446,566 433,853 434,725


4,936 North America 5,231 5,143 5,185 5,257 5,256

1,064 Central America 1,102 1,116 1,108 1,073 1,073

1,732 Caribbean 1,829 1,863 1,737 1,930 1,930

14,002 South America 13,418 14,138 14,539 14,482 14,459

2,651 European Union 2,911 3,185 2,970 3,108 3,108


7,629 Middle East 7,586 7,809 7,976 8,235 8,235

3,575 North Africa 3,546 3,636 4,146 4,170 4,170


144,371 East Asia 144,289 143,315 145,730 149,670 149,870

121,673 South Asia 124,366 129,650 133,215 127,045 126,945

92,459 Southeast Asia 94,986 97,250 97,048 98,296 98,326

667 Others 714 667 600 624 624

412,686 Total 418,370 426,558 433,250 433,567 433,774

Ending Stocks none

1,530 North America 1,409 1,135 1,092 1,504 1,492

271 Central America 299 255 207 213 213

225 Caribbean 178 134 109 106 106

2,199 South America 2,230 2,506 2,268 2,303 2,193

1,181 European Union 1,138 1,126 1,020 1,115 1,115

2,079 Middle East 1,697 1,977 1,826 1,902 1,902

366 North Africa 370 685 792 726 726


40,329 East Asia 39,317 41,537 46,617 48,643 49,117

11,317 South Asia 12,636 14,306 19,193 12,836 14,286

14,469 Southeast Asia 14,426 15,280 18,034 18,907 18,307

515 Oceania 230 50 24 10 10

179 Others 149 159 124 134 134

75,990 Total 75,100 80,491 92,411 89,460 90,662




January 2010

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

Export Bids (Monthly Average)

150

175

200

Dec

-08

Feb-

09

Apr

-09

Jun-

09

Aug

-09

Oct

-09

Dec

-09

$/M

TU.S. Corn Gulf Argentina Corn Up River

PRICES: In December, U.S. corn export quotes dipped $3 per ton (to $179) while Argentine quotes rose $2 per ton (to $177), resulting in a narrowing of the typical Argentine discount. However, daily prices for both U.S. and Argentine corn climbed throughout the latter part of the month on some unexpectedly strong U.S. sales and large Argentine shipments. TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/10 Selected Exporters

• Argentine corn is raised 500,000 tons to 7.5 million based on reports of strong sales

and shipments in recent weeks. At the same time, Brazilian corn is cut 500,000 tons (to 9.0 million) because of competition from Argentina.

• Serbian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to a record 2.0 million because of ample supplies

and competitive prices. Selected Importers

• Brazilian corn is boosted 200,000 tons to 700,000 based on brisk early season trade with Paraguay.

• Mexican corn is raised 500,000 tons to 9.5 million following a cut in production.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2008/09 Large Adjustments Reflect Reported Shipments:

• Indian corn exports raised 500,000 tons to 2.0 million • Chilean corn imports up 221,000 to 779,000

• EU corn imports boosted 300,000 tons to 2.8 million

• Saudi Arabian corn imports raised 218,000 tons to 1.5 million



January 2010

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

9,4058,90510,24117,78617,19111,243 Argentina

5,0605,0604,8743,8951,9935,614 Australia

9,1009,6007,1838,0328,1882,826 Brazil

3,6253,6253,8486,3793,7874,010 Canada

3,8053,8054,3994,6795,4633,652 EU-27

1,0251,0252,1005,539721501 India

2,4502,3504,9431,4191,8361,452 Russia

2,0051,5051,476132863nr Serbia

2,5402,5402,1571,1454621,429 South Africa

11,01511,01511,3805,9093,9427,439 Ukraine

5,0154,8155,4335,66310,9748,877 Others

55,04554,24558,03460,57855,42047,043 Subtotal

55,75055,85051,71868,28959,15761,443 United States

110,795110,095109,752128,867114,577108,486 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,1052,1052,0802,4332,5882,139 Algeria

9507501,4971,2581,4721,107 Brazil

2,0702,0701,9003,1872,2852,029 Canada

1,6251,6251,2611,9691,7661,678 Chile

1,5851,5851,6511,1571,1562,306 China

3,7753,7753,6523,6033,7143,380 Colombia

1,0001,0009001,0741,2121,068 Dominican Republic

4,2254,2255,0254,1724,8454,418 Egypt

2,9302,9303,07019,8928,7382,883 EU-27

3,9003,9005,0003,9003,6003,000 Iran

1,4251,4251,4651,7761,6841,588 Israel

19,36019,36019,61119,21019,66819,765 Japan

8508508258891,1861,234 Jordan

1,0101,0101,2802762115 Kenya

7,5707,5707,2549,3588,7978,545 Korea, South

850850900780569719 Libya

2,6002,6002,0003,1812,3632,517 Malaysia

12,35011,85010,46711,01111,0409,928 Mexico

1,7351,7351,7842,1852,1501,975 Morocco

1,6201,6201,4951,5921,6461,548 Peru

9,3009,3009,1829,9617,5778,572 Saudi Arabia

2,9002,9002,8502,5112,0792,006 Syria

4,7254,7254,6724,6844,4034,743 Taiwan

1,1001,1009001,1831,5191,230 Tunisia

1,3001,3001,2051,103534152 Venezuela

11,86011,92512,18514,27213,96613,950 Others

104,720104,085104,111126,617110,559102,595 Subtotal

3,4503,3852,834-1,3601,4133,596 Unaccounted

2,6252,6252,8073,6102,6052,295 United States

110,795110,095109,752128,867114,577108,486 World Total



January 2010

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Production

20,47319,47316,22326,97427,03419,351 Argentina

11,81711,96711,97012,1776,58313,527 Australia

53,61453,61453,62461,34453,18444,167 Brazil

22,37322,37327,16727,84123,14524,939 Canada

162,000162,000172,700159,105159,098147,696 China

8,8258,8259,2368,3027,9287,179 Ethiopia

152,892152,592161,559136,123137,421146,267 EU-27

33,60036,00039,17040,63033,81034,040 India

9,0009,0008,7008,5007,8506,800 Indonesia

29,32929,82931,45530,57729,18125,887 Mexico

27,50027,50026,60024,00026,00024,700 Nigeria

31,80031,80040,70029,32530,20027,600 Russia

12,00312,00313,08413,6907,7607,311 South Africa

10,39510,39510,3159,48010,89611,955 Turkey

24,45024,45026,22014,58519,17518,140 Ukraine

133,602133,461127,076124,632126,891120,485 Others

743,673745,282775,799727,285706,156680,044 Subtotal

350,258343,926325,867349,861279,998298,710 United States

1,093,9311,089,2081,101,6661,077,146986,154978,754 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

48,27948,27947,50445,27943,30442,197 Brazil

22,17322,17322,85024,02124,50522,859 Canada

167,575167,675160,425157,015153,465147,105 China

11,98011,98011,81311,47711,80011,163 Egypt

153,305153,305152,105154,155147,877147,538 EU-27

32,85035,15036,40035,50032,52033,800 India

9,1009,1008,8008,5008,1008,300 Indonesia

19,50519,50519,71019,46019,82320,089 Japan

42,44542,94542,08540,31039,97037,600 Mexico

27,55027,55026,45024,00025,75024,450 Nigeria

31,30031,40032,75028,87528,60027,700 Russia

10,0809,6809,5809,6708,7548,215 Saudi Arabia

10,80310,80310,57310,1589,1538,768 South Africa

10,51010,51010,77511,00911,60211,462 Turkey

14,00014,00013,69511,83513,15012,415 Ukraine

194,020194,345190,131190,198186,239182,705 Others

808,117811,177796,561781,993769,352747,693 Subtotal

294,262290,380275,748274,533242,798245,022 United States

1,102,3791,101,5571,072,3091,056,5261,012,150992,715 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,5709,84513,58512,8653,7723,187 Brazil

5,0005,0006,3554,0103,5016,347 Canada

49,57149,57154,13140,42638,03236,705 China

18,79918,19920,13712,77215,13822,275 EU-27

3,4213,1934,2374,5603,4213,371 Mexico

3,1543,1544,7541,4391,6651,333 Russia

3,1673,1673,3773,2511,7762,443 South Africa

36,71636,99635,03734,93435,21734,264 Others

130,398129,125141,613114,257102,522109,925 Subtotal

49,82747,39747,06045,05936,17454,767 United States

180,225176,522188,673159,316138,696164,692 World Total


January 2010

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

14,252 North America 15,930 17,808 15,174 16,545 17,045

2,803 Central America 2,906 2,681 2,440 2,825 2,825

1,969 Caribbean 2,227 2,239 2,000 2,150 2,150

8,787 South America 10,177 10,673 10,126 10,065 10,165

2,883 European Union 8,738 19,892 3,070 2,930 2,930

1,052 Former Soviet Union - 12 949 1,027 564 595 595

17,832 Middle East 18,673 21,809 21,272 19,975 19,975

10,481 North Africa 11,671 10,753 10,689 10,015 10,015


35,613 East Asia 34,135 34,662 33,438 33,490 33,490

4,897 Southeast Asia 4,394 4,746 4,038 4,350 4,350

776 Others 991 1,195 887 990 1,025

104,890 Total 113,164 130,227 106,918 106,710 107,345

Production none

349,536 North America 332,324 408,279 384,489 396,128 401,960

73,858 South America 92,137 100,084 81,587 85,153 86,134

146,267 European Union 137,421 136,123 161,559 152,592 152,892

12,659 Other Europe 11,568 9,370 12,292 11,975 11,718


19,998 Middle East 19,060 17,381 15,933 16,977 16,977

9,371 North Africa 11,211 9,894 9,871 13,932 13,932


149,899 East Asia 161,399 161,295 174,874 164,141 164,141

40,395 South Asia 40,020 46,925 45,128 42,308 39,908

22,000 Southeast Asia 23,838 26,062 26,153 26,840 26,840

14,174 Oceania 7,230 12,824 12,617 12,614 12,464

3,865 Others 3,985 4,410 4,320 4,242 4,159

978,754 Total 986,154 1,077,146 1,101,666 1,089,208 1,093,931


305,481 North America 307,273 338,864 340,683 355,498 358,880

68,203 South America 70,962 74,712 74,265 77,364 77,264

147,538 European Union 147,877 154,155 152,105 153,305 153,305

12,044 Other Europe 11,533 10,446 10,629 10,985 10,775


37,168 Middle East 37,601 38,214 38,086 37,616 38,016

20,820 North Africa 22,029 21,161 20,698 22,710 22,710


182,819 East Asia 188,963 191,868 194,920 201,809 201,709

40,067 South Asia 38,798 42,052 42,412 41,498 39,233

26,093 Southeast Asia 26,834 28,740 29,297 30,015 30,015

7,940 Oceania 6,885 7,666 7,047 7,387 7,337

8,467 Others 9,014 9,312 8,991 9,251 9,151

991,388 Total 1,007,410 1,055,995 1,071,394 1,098,780 1,099,737

Ending Stocks none

64,485 North America 43,096 53,629 57,652 55,590 58,248

7,687 South America 9,064 18,464 17,172 14,794 15,795

22,275 European Union 15,138 12,772 20,137 18,199 18,799

1,491 Other Europe 1,520 1,291 1,818 1,704 1,586


7,967 Middle East 8,187 7,125 7,298 6,357 6,434

2,686 North Africa 3,183 2,437 2,558 3,795 3,795


40,586 East Asia 41,793 44,954 58,125 53,480 53,477

1,401 South Asia 1,455 1,584 2,099 1,719 1,839

2,100 Southeast Asia 2,644 3,282 3,002 2,942 2,942

2,883 Oceania 1,293 2,011 2,972 3,264 3,139

903 Others 1,005 1,041 801 781 774

164,692 Total 138,696 159,316 188,673 176,522 180,225




January 2010

World Corn Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

7,5007,0008,45815,67615,69310,707 Argentina

9,0009,5007,1787,8838,0712,826 Brazil

5005001725495,2693,727 China

1,5001,5001,750591664449 EU-27

1,0001,0002,0005,077582497 India

1,0001,0001,8621,4611,9811,314 Paraguay

2,0001,5001,467128854nr Serbia

2,5002,5002,1111,1244311,406 South Africa

750750786646442121 Thailand

5,0005,0005,4972,0741,0272,464 Ukraine

2,1352,0353,7672,3452,1493,002 Others

32,88532,28535,04837,55437,16326,513 Subtotal

52,00052,00047,90760,66354,21456,084 United States

84,88584,28582,95598,21791,37782,597 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,1002,1001,9002,1662,4632,061 Algeria

7005001,0929611,204931 Brazil

2,0002,0001,8443,1172,2261,962 Canada

1,2001,2007791,6281,5081,599 Chile

3,3003,3003,2003,2673,3863,151 Colombia

700700600674672687 Costa Rica

800800750811646501 Cuba

1,0001,0009001,0741,2121,068 Dominican Republic

4,2004,2005,0004,1514,8264,397 Egypt

2,5002,5002,80014,0167,0562,634 EU-27

750750650617764751 Guatemala

2,9002,9003,6002,9003,3002,300 Iran

1,0001,0001,0001,3741,3111,128 Israel

16,30016,30016,53316,61416,71316,617 Japan

1,0001,0001,150202294 Kenya

7,5007,5007,1949,3118,7318,483 Korea, South

2,6002,6002,0003,1812,3632,517 Malaysia

9,5009,0007,7649,5568,9446,787 Mexico

1,6001,6001,5001,8581,6831,491 Morocco

1,5001,5001,4001,4691,5281,467 Peru

1,8001,8001,4821,9611,5771,472 Saudi Arabia

1,9001,9001,8001,6111,7291,256 Syria

4,6004,6004,5504,5274,2834,533 Taiwan

800800600805653624 Tunisia

1,3001,3001,2001,103534152 Venezuela

8,5458,6459,07010,45010,72510,884 Others

82,09581,49580,35899,40490,03979,547 Subtotal

2,4902,4902,260-1,6881,0192,840 Unaccounted

300300337501319210 United States

84,88584,28582,95598,21791,37782,597 World Total


The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's

declared imports.


January 2010

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Production

15,00014,00012,60022,00022,50015,800 Argentina

51,00051,00051,00058,60051,00041,700 Brazil

9,5609,56010,59211,6498,9909,332 Canada

155,000155,000165,900152,300151,600139,365 China

6,3006,3006,2176,1746,1495,932 Egypt

56,12656,12662,70147,55553,82960,668 EU-27

18,50018,50019,29018,96015,10014,710 India

9,0009,0008,7008,5007,8506,800 Indonesia

22,00022,50024,22623,60022,35019,500 Mexico

8,3008,3007,9006,5007,8007,000 Nigeria

6,8506,8506,8467,2776,2315,884 Philippines

6,4006,4006,1304,0546,415nr Serbia

11,50011,50012,56713,1647,3006,935 South Africa

10,50010,50011,4007,4006,4007,150 Ukraine

4,8004,8004,5304,6004,2513,818 Vietnam

71,55871,63273,87668,36167,11271,927 Others

462,394461,968484,475460,694444,877416,521 Subtotal

334,052328,207307,142331,177267,503282,263 United States

796,446790,175791,617791,871712,380698,784 World Total

none

Total Consumption

5,9005,9005,8007,0006,7006,200 Argentina

45,50045,50044,50042,50041,00039,500 Brazil

11,80011,80011,66313,76911,44210,808 Canada

159,000159,000152,000149,000145,000137,000 China

10,90010,90010,80010,40010,70010,100 Egypt

60,00060,00062,00064,00062,30061,500 EU-27

17,50017,50016,90014,20013,90014,200 India

9,1009,1008,8008,5008,1008,300 Indonesia

16,30016,30016,40016,60016,50016,700 Japan

7,7007,7007,8768,6388,8338,579 Korea, South

32,20032,70032,40032,00030,70027,900 Mexico

8,4008,4007,8006,5507,6006,800 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,3007,1506,5505,800 Philippines

10,20010,20010,0009,6008,6008,200 South Africa

5,6505,6505,6505,7505,2505,100 Ukraine

116,499116,799115,451113,579110,286106,695 Others

526,307526,907516,199509,497497,134473,911 Subtotal

279,921276,365259,053261,632230,674232,015 United States

806,228803,272775,252771,129727,808705,926 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,5351,2354101,9851,6601,156 Argentina

10,2799,57913,27912,5793,5923,015 Brazil

48,71948,71953,16939,39436,60235,255 China

3,2392,9396,1134,3627,3829,461 EU-27

1,3981,39881893342858 Malawi

2,8092,5813,5594,1313,0842,707 Mexico

3,0073,0073,1823,0901,6612,308 South Africa

20,38620,33722,93721,87721,34120,364 Others

91,37289,795103,46788,35175,75074,324 Subtotal

44,81742,54742,50441,25533,11449,968 United States

136,189132,342145,971129,606108,864124,292 World Total


January 2010

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

8,959 North America 11,489 13,174 9,945 11,300 11,800

2,803 Central America 2,906 2,678 2,440 2,825 2,825

8,158 South America 9,141 9,459 8,577 8,665 8,765

2,634 European Union 7,056 14,016 2,800 2,500 2,500


7,381 Middle East 10,225 10,056 9,457 8,875 8,875

9,044 North Africa 10,136 9,594 9,600 9,350 9,350


29,949 East Asia 29,854 30,746 28,574 28,700 28,700

4,890 Southeast Asia 4,385 4,715 4,025 4,325 4,325

1,969 Caribbean 2,227 2,239 2,000 2,150 2,150

466 Others 632 736 580 640 640

79,757 Total 90,358 99,905 80,695 81,795 82,395

Production none

311,095 North America 298,843 366,426 341,960 360,267 365,612

65,826 South America 83,335 90,357 73,092 74,765 75,765

60,668 European Union 53,829 47,555 62,701 56,126 56,126

10,333 Other Europe 9,350 7,239 9,965 9,585 9,585


6,439 Middle East 5,183 5,083 6,309 5,984 5,984

6,134 North Africa 6,351 6,376 6,419 6,502 6,502


141,106 East Asia 153,453 154,009 167,571 156,665 156,665

19,920 South Asia 20,115 23,980 24,160 23,520 23,520

2,757 Central America 2,885 3,244 3,243 3,127 3,053

21,745 Southeast Asia 23,605 25,825 25,913 26,600 26,600

1,208 Others 1,055 1,216 1,197 1,179 1,179

698,784 Total 712,380 791,871 791,617 790,175 796,446


270,723 North America 272,816 307,401 303,116 320,865 323,921

59,799 South America 63,172 66,112 66,055 68,205 68,105

61,500 European Union 62,300 64,000 62,000 60,000 60,000

9,426 Other Europe 8,995 7,817 8,102 8,255 8,255


13,526 Middle East 14,658 15,429 15,278 15,528 15,528

14,871 North Africa 16,061 15,664 15,800 16,200 16,200


168,788 East Asia 176,719 180,503 182,716 189,450 189,450

19,319 South Asia 18,982 19,474 21,795 22,545 22,545

25,837 Southeast Asia 26,597 28,499 29,050 29,775 29,775

5,350 Central America 5,800 5,900 5,800 6,050 5,950

3,201 Others 3,198 3,410 3,280 3,255 3,255

705,397 Total 724,135 770,868 774,393 801,214 803,970

Ending Stocks none

54,676 North America 37,535 46,843 47,920 46,445 48,943

6,988 South America 8,256 17,621 16,301 13,398 14,401

9,461 European Union 7,382 4,362 6,113 2,939 3,239

1,167 Other Europe 1,156 976 1,450 1,306 1,275


2,735 Middle East 3,244 3,018 3,427 2,531 2,508

1,314 North Africa 1,584 1,676 1,895 1,547 1,547


38,328 East Asia 39,745 43,373 56,630 52,045 52,045

946 South Asia 919 1,116 1,501 1,406 1,516

2,085 Southeast Asia 2,642 3,282 3,001 2,941 2,941

740 Central America 729 769 643 559 561

184 Others 300 304 196 272 260

124,292 Total 108,864 129,606 145,971 132,342 136,189




January 2010

World Barley Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

900900871937537309 Argentina

3,8003,8003,2783,3771,9275,231 Australia

1,5001,5001,6182,9471,3371,876 Canada

20201781493 China

5566710 Egypt

2,0002,0002,3693,8884,3662,587 EU-27

700500350806606239 Kazakhstan

2,2002,2003,5981,2771,6911,397 Russia

55949nr Serbia

505030345546 Turkey

6,0006,0005,8713,8142,9114,926 Ukraine

505002611241 Uruguay

00554521865 Others

17,23017,03018,04517,67614,07717,160 Subtotal

100200158901528357 United States

17,33017,23018,20318,57714,60517,517 World Total

none

TY Imports

250250400285267164 Brazil

1,5001,5001,5511,0911,1272,217 China

250250225256243198 Colombia

150150175519167168 EU-27

1,0001,0001,4001,000300700 Iran

325325375251224314 Israel

1,4001,4001,3461,3611,3591,417 Japan

500500525528804811 Jordan

200200255254217203 Kuwait

20020030016658248 Libya

1501501251688131 Mexico

7,5007,5007,7008,0006,0007,100 Saudi Arabia

1,0001,0001,050900350750 Syria

300300300378866606 Tunisia

250250125252294326 United Arab Emirates

1,2101,1751,6702,0831,7461,615 Others

16,18516,15017,52217,49214,10316,868 Subtotal

545480109373148525 Unaccounted

600600572712354124 United States

17,33017,23018,20318,57714,60517,517 World Total



January 2010

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Production

2,0002,000560950700400 Algeria

1,6001,6001,6001,4751,265800 Argentina

8,3008,3007,6697,1604,2579,483 Australia

1,6501,6502,0001,7001,3501,800 Belarus

9,5209,52011,78110,9849,57311,678 Canada

3,1003,1002,9002,7853,1153,400 China

1,3001,3001,4841,3551,3521,271 Ethiopia

61,96561,96565,45957,54556,22054,752 EU-27

1,5001,5001,2301,3301,2201,200 India

2,6002,6002,0003,0003,0002,857 Iran

2,6002,1001,8002,5001,9001,500 Kazakhstan

3,7003,7001,2727632,5351,102 Morocco

18,00018,00023,10015,65018,10015,800 Russia

6,0006,0005,6006,0007,5007,600 Turkey

12,00012,00012,6006,00011,3509,000 Ukraine

8,3998,5507,6458,9539,0529,015 Others

144,234143,885148,700128,150132,489131,658 Subtotal

4,9494,9495,2304,5753,9234,613 United States

149,183148,834153,930132,725136,412136,271 World Total

none

Total Consumption

4,3004,2503,5003,1004,0003,500 Australia

1,7001,7002,0001,7501,6001,950 Belarus

8,4508,4509,0657,91610,1909,611 Canada

4,5004,6004,3003,9004,2005,400 China

59,00059,00057,50054,20055,70054,050 EU-27

1,4501,4501,0001,0001,2201,200 India

3,6003,6003,9003,6003,4004,200 Iran

1,5501,5501,6001,6001,6501,650 Japan

1,7501,6501,6001,7001,3501,400 Kazakhstan

2,8002,8001,5751,9002,5002,525 Morocco

17,10017,10017,10015,05016,40015,500 Russia

7,9307,5307,7307,4306,8106,510 Saudi Arabia

1,6001,6001,7501,0001,1501,550 Syria

5,9005,9005,9006,5007,3007,300 Turkey

6,3506,3506,0004,9006,3005,300 Ukraine

14,34414,39414,00714,72814,47314,308 Others

142,430142,365138,676129,993138,606136,677 Subtotal

4,7894,7895,1274,3244,5964,570 United States

147,219147,154143,803134,317143,202141,247 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

884884234333462554 Algeria

2,7972,8812,5971,6629882,582 Australia

2,4632,4632,8431,5681,4913,289 Canada

11,48111,48110,3665,7055,8248,535 EU-27

1,1391,139139114903481 Morocco

2,4372,4373,6371,0251,272873 Russia

2,3682,2682,2982,4282,4582,568 Saudi Arabia

5,1655,7715,2514,8505,8646,320 Others

28,73429,32427,36517,68519,26225,202 Subtotal

2,5272,5271,9321,4851,5002,350 United States

31,26131,85129,29719,17020,76227,552 World Total


January 2010

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

201 North America 476 933 739 800 800

517 South America 723 751 830 700 700

168 European Union 167 519 175 150 150

156 Other Europe 220 207 146 180 180


10,303 Middle East 8,278 11,572 11,715 10,985 10,985

1,392 North Africa 1,521 1,144 1,075 625 625

81 Sub-Saharan Africa 51 154 129 85 85

3,816 East Asia 2,595 2,550 2,996 3,000 3,000

21 South Asia 0 0 45 15 50

5 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

16,992 Total 14,457 18,204 18,094 16,750 16,785

Production none

17,051 North America 14,365 16,212 17,792 15,250 15,250

1,827 South America 2,287 2,601 2,644 2,712 2,693

54,752 European Union 56,220 57,545 65,459 61,965 61,965

1,611 Other Europe 1,548 1,412 1,548 1,590 1,458


12,335 Middle East 12,520 10,927 8,291 9,630 9,630

2,212 North Africa 3,835 2,493 2,427 6,345 6,345


3,848 East Asia 3,549 3,240 3,377 3,550 3,550

1,664 South Asia 1,742 1,935 1,637 2,107 2,107

9,883 Oceania 4,657 7,560 8,069 8,700 8,700

136,271 Total 136,412 132,725 153,930 148,834 149,183


15,106 North America 15,711 13,115 15,067 14,139 14,139

2,120 South America 2,227 2,423 2,539 2,477 2,477

54,050 European Union 55,700 54,200 57,500 59,000 59,000

1,776 Other Europe 1,738 1,640 1,650 1,770 1,685


22,265 Middle East 21,434 21,231 21,375 20,610 21,010

4,880 North Africa 4,930 4,452 3,863 5,380 5,380


7,492 East Asia 6,219 5,858 6,259 6,510 6,410

1,667 South Asia 1,743 1,606 1,436 2,072 2,107

3,900 Oceania 4,400 3,500 3,900 4,650 4,700

140,524 Total 142,839 134,598 143,654 146,713 147,113

Ending Stocks none

5,744 North America 3,106 3,104 4,880 5,126 5,126

191 South America 292 237 291 276 257

8,535 European Union 5,824 5,705 10,366 11,481 11,481

283 Other Europe 319 277 317 352 265


5,196 Middle East 4,904 4,069 3,833 3,788 3,888

1,332 North Africa 1,559 721 623 2,208 2,208


1,005 East Asia 881 732 829 949 949

49 South Asia 49 31 61 111 111

2,637 Oceania 1,046 1,698 2,633 2,917 2,833

27,552 Total 20,762 19,170 29,297 31,851 31,261




January 2010

World Sorghum Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

1,0001,0009071,172959226 Argentina

1,1001,1001,36034025190 Australia

10010001161150 Brazil

50503222314426 China

505050505050 Nigeria

404046213123 South Africa

10010050200522 Sudan

6565741452518 Others

2,5052,5052,5192,2671,401535 Subtotal

3,6003,6003,6096,6644,3804,961 United States

6,1056,1056,1288,9315,7815,496 World Total

none

TY Imports

37537540426818946 Chile

20020020266675 Colombia

5050254400 Ecuador

1001001003000 Ethiopia

250250755,2671,47477 EU-27

7575751447844 Israel

1,5001,5001,6291,0841,2761,393 Japan

2,6002,6002,4961,1561,9543,029 Mexico

300300300300300211 Sudan

757572836469 Taiwan

345345404659248470 Others

5,8705,8705,7829,1015,6505,344 Subtotal

235235343-171129152 Unaccounted

003120 United States

6,1056,1056,1288,9315,7815,496 World Total



January 2010

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Production

3,3003,3001,6602,9372,8002,330 Argentina

1,8502,0002,6713,0721,2831,929 Australia

1,9001,9001,9102,0001,5001,543 Brazil

1,8001,8001,8001,5071,5161,553 Burkina

1,7001,7001,8001,9202,1832,546 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,6002,6002,6192,6592,3162,174 Ethiopia

623623515525542489 EU-27

6,0008,0007,3107,9307,1507,630 India

925925900901770629 Mali

6,4006,4006,3006,2005,8105,500 Mexico

9009001,000930800750 Niger

11,50011,50011,00010,00010,50010,500 Nigeria

4,7004,7004,7004,5005,2004,275 Sudan

900900900900850890 Tanzania

6,6236,6326,5606,0546,3175,968 Others

52,62154,78052,54552,93550,43749,606 Subtotal

9,7289,24111,99812,6367,0329,976 United States

62,34964,02164,54365,57157,46959,582 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,7001,7008501,7001,7002,300 Argentina

9051,0051,4052,2051,2051,895 Australia

1,8001,8001,9001,8001,3751,575 Brazil

1,8001,8001,8001,5071,5161,553 Burkina

1,8501,8502,0002,0002,0502,300 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,7002,7002,7002,6002,3002,100 Ethiopia

6,1008,0007,2007,9007,1007,500 India

1,5001,5001,6001,1001,3501,400 Japan

925925900901770629 Mali

9,1009,1008,6007,2008,1008,600 Mexico

9509501,0501,025825750 Niger

11,45011,45010,9509,95010,45010,450 Nigeria

5,0005,0005,0005,0005,0004,250 Sudan

900900900900850890 Tanzania

8,4218,4218,54513,4808,1427,268 Others

56,13758,13756,14860,32954,26754,409 Subtotal

6,0965,8438,3085,0814,0124,818 United States

62,23363,98064,45665,41058,27959,227 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

705705105195180161 Argentina

235210235220124113 Brazil

234234419637928935 China

1981981981799074 Ethiopia

469469569373217553 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

445445545595995547 Sudan

802871977812842949 Others

3,2883,3323,2483,2113,5763,532 Subtotal

1,4661,2331,3901,3408141,668 United States

4,7544,5654,6384,5514,3905,200 World Total


January 2010

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

3,029 North America 1,956 1,157 2,499 2,600 2,600

72 South America 280 433 686 670 670

77 European Union 1,474 5,267 75 250 250

0 Other Europe 0 132 25 25 25

44 Middle East 78 146 75 75 75

39 North Africa 0 9 4 30 30


1,485 East Asia 1,349 1,196 1,719 1,605 1,605

7 Southeast Asia 9 31 13 25 25

0 Others 3 5 0 0 0

5,344 Total 5,652 9,102 5,785 5,870 5,870

Production none

15,476 North America 12,842 18,836 18,298 15,641 16,128

324 Central America 329 381 292 330 321

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,794 South America 5,122 5,661 4,625 6,256 6,256

489 European Union 542 525 515 623 623

494 Middle East 671 695 675 675 675

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,554 East Asia 2,191 1,940 1,820 1,720 1,720

7,783 South Asia 7,305 8,081 7,455 8,145 6,145


1,929 Oceania 1,283 3,072 2,671 2,000 1,850

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

59,582 Total 57,469 65,571 64,543 64,021 62,349


13,418 North America 12,112 12,281 16,908 14,943 15,196

333 Central America 328 369 308 318 318

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,856 South America 4,170 4,734 4,434 5,257 5,257

680 European Union 1,280 6,305 905 805 805

538 Middle East 746 842 750 750 750

954 North Africa 915 924 915 950 950


3,784 East Asia 3,475 3,222 3,699 3,460 3,460

7,653 South Asia 7,255 8,053 7,345 8,145 6,245


1,895 Oceania 1,205 2,205 1,405 1,005 905

0 Others 0 132 25 25 25

59,178 Total 57,645 65,249 64,608 63,844 62,097

Ending Stocks none

2,221 North America 1,031 1,713 1,959 1,702 1,935

17 Central America 18 33 17 29 20

389 South America 397 479 470 1,002 1,029

100 European Union 14 71 32 45 45

36 Middle East 39 38 38 38 38

39 North Africa 39 39 39 39 39


1,121 East Asia 1,042 733 541 359 356

206 South Asia 247 187 247 152 122

23 Oceania 16 73 139 113 84

15 Others 2 0 1 1 1

5,200 Total 4,390 4,551 4,638 4,565 4,754




January 2010

World Oats Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

555121 Argentina

15015016117441191 Australia

1,7001,7001,7892,3211,9211,754 Canada

252531174127 Chile

150150125133119234 EU-27

5551095 Kazakhstan

5562140 Ukraine

0051482 Others

2,0402,0402,1272,6912,1452,214 Subtotal


2,0802,0802,1652,7442,1782,254 World Total

none

TY Imports

555195 Algeria

555347 Bosnia and Herzegovina

151514171821 Canada

20203913918 China

252525141826 Colombia

555151413 Ecuador

555252 EU-27

606046686259 Japan

100100821316181 Mexico

555551 Morocco

505010475951 Norway

252525181318 South Africa

505052565156 Switzerland

5551230 Turkey

003871 Others

375375326410338359 Subtotal

10510552904664 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,7872,2441,7941,831 United States

2,0802,0802,1652,7442,1782,254 World Total



January 2010

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Production

14014080808080 Algeria

500500290470400350 Argentina

1,2601,2601,2051,5027481,690 Australia

800800900600550600 Belarus

475475475475475517 Brazil

2,8002,8004,2734,6963,8523,283 Canada

310310344384380420 Chile

600600600600600600 China

8,5818,5818,8658,6347,7687,968 EU-27

160160160160140140 Kazakhstan

148148148124152127 Mexico

245360328276248279 Norway

5,0005,0005,8005,4004,9004,550 Russia

210210200200210270 Turkey

900900950550700800 Ukraine

475475457457483466 Others

22,60422,71925,07524,60821,68622,140 Subtotal

1,3511,3511,2941,3131,3571,667 United States

23,95524,07026,36925,92123,04323,807 World Total

none

Total Consumption

14514585868884 Algeria

500500300455400350 Argentina

1,1001,1001,0851,3357101,480 Australia

800800900575550625 Belarus

475475475475475515 Brazil

1,5501,5501,7701,9332,2831,966 Canada

285285315350350400 Chile

625625625615615620 China

8,4008,4008,5008,6507,6477,868 EU-27

150150155150135135 Kazakhstan

245245210235245175 Mexico

300415328336303334 Norway

5,2005,2005,4005,4004,9004,600 Russia

215215205213211270 Turkey

900900925550675825 Ukraine

648648615630651649 Others

21,60721,72221,89822,31220,16420,936 Subtotal

3,1613,0882,9683,1613,1793,287 United States

24,76824,81024,86625,47323,34324,223 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

798984998485 Argentina

155155145175189185 Australia

757575755050 Belarus

1,0921,0921,527950556872 Canada

10810811399101107 China

939939903625795769 EU-27

384384584184186190 Russia

184184181154187161 Others

3,0163,0263,6122,3612,1482,419 Subtotal

1,0041,0771,221969734763 United States

4,0204,1034,8333,3302,8823,182 World Total


January 2010

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

1,933 North America 1,873 2,392 1,883 1,715 1,715

40 South America 33 30 33 30 30

2 European Union 5 2 5 5 5

114 Other Europe 114 108 67 105 105


0 Middle East 3 12 5 5 5

6 North Africa 14 6 10 10 10


77 East Asia 71 81 85 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,190 Total 2,132 2,654 2,113 1,975 1,975

Production none

5,077 North America 5,361 6,133 5,715 4,299 4,299

1,316 South America 1,303 1,352 1,132 1,326 1,326

7,968 European Union 7,768 8,634 8,865 8,581 8,581

556 Other Europe 525 553 605 637 522


270 Middle East 210 200 200 210 210

110 North Africa 110 110 110 170 170


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

1,765 Oceania 823 1,577 1,280 1,335 1,335

23,807 Total 23,043 25,921 26,369 24,070 23,955


5,428 North America 5,707 5,329 4,948 4,883 4,956

1,333 South America 1,303 1,330 1,143 1,331 1,331

7,868 European Union 7,647 8,650 8,500 8,400 8,400

666 Other Europe 635 676 655 747 632


270 Middle East 211 213 205 215 215

115 North Africa 123 121 120 180 180


680 East Asia 680 685 675 685 685

1,555 Oceania 785 1,410 1,160 1,175 1,175

24,183 Total 23,417 25,149 24,861 24,741 24,699

Ending Stocks none

1,641 North America 1,295 1,924 2,752 2,176 2,103

119 South America 119 127 110 118 108

769 European Union 795 625 903 939 939

40 Other Europe 45 38 51 46 46



1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


112 East Asia 105 103 115 112 112

185 Oceania 189 175 145 155 155

3,182 Total 2,882 3,330 4,833 4,103 4,020




January 2010

World Rye Trade


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

TY Exports

505050755050 Belarus

12512575167207141 Canada

15015015059313381 EU-27

50501486640 Russia

101060049 Ukraine

000300 Others

385385295390634621 Subtotal


395395301398636622 World Total

none

TY Imports

550000 Canada

25251588362 EU-27

252515771102 Israel

1001005783258279 Japan

557687 Korea, South

2020204164 Norway

554449 Switzerland

1010516182 Turkey

00021872 Others

195195123210429477 Subtotal

757570367115 Unaccounted

125125108152136130 United States

395395301398636622 World Total



January 2010

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Dec

2009/10

Jan

none

Production


1,7001,7001,6001,3001,2001,150 Belarus

280280316252383330 Canada

9,5039,5039,2347,6796,5417,688 EU-27

4,0004,0004,5003,9003,0003,600 Russia

270270250265271270 Turkey

9009001,0505506001,050 Ukraine

177187198190169186 Others

16,88516,89517,20314,21312,21914,329 Subtotal

178178203160183191 United States

17,06317,07317,40614,37312,40214,520 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,6001,6001,5001,2001,2001,100 Belarus

160160147143243158 Canada

9,4009,4008,7007,3007,4008,620 EU-27

95956090258279 Japan

505050475050 Kazakhstan

475768474239 Norway

4,0504,0504,2503,7503,1003,600 Russia

280280255281276277 Turkey

9509509005508001,050 Ukraine

135135125121176238 Others

16,89516,90516,16413,67213,74415,452 Subtotal

295295292335337332 United States

17,19017,20016,45614,00714,08115,784 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

314314264214189239 Belarus

12812812835117185 Canada

1,4241,4241,4461,0176161,874 EU-27

151510132020 Japan

1971972976332126 Russia

1491492096565267 Ukraine

000001 Others

2,2272,2272,3541,4071,0392,712 Subtotal


2,2402,2402,3671,4171,0512,730 World Total


January 2010

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Dec

2009/10

Jan

2009/10

TY Imports none

130 North America 136 152 108 130 130

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

2 European Union 36 88 15 25 25

14 Other Europe 22 10 24 25 25


104 Middle East 89 23 20 35 35


286 East Asia 266 89 64 105 105

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

607 Total 565 362 231 320 320

Production none

521 North America 566 412 519 458 458

64 South America 61 83 61 61 61

7,688 European Union 6,541 7,679 9,234 9,503 9,503

104 Other Europe 90 111 119 108 98


270 Middle East 271 265 250 270 270


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

14,520 Total 12,402 14,373 17,406 17,073 17,063


490 North America 580 478 439 455 455

64 South America 61 83 61 61 61

8,620 European Union 7,400 7,300 8,700 9,400 9,400

121 Other Europe 110 126 142 133 123


379 Middle East 347 288 270 305 305


286 East Asia 266 96 67 100 100

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

15,798 Total 13,937 13,941 16,402 17,127 17,117

Ending Stocks none

203 North America 129 45 141 141 141

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,874 European Union 616 1,017 1,446 1,424 1,424

1 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0




20 East Asia 20 13 10 15 15

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,730 Total 1,051 1,417 2,367 2,240 2,240




January 2010

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 33 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 34 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 35 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 36 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 40 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 42 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 44 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 45

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 46 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 47 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 48 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 49 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 50



January 2010

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.15.124.5 2006/07 14.1

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.3

151.1 127.561.025.37.75.726.7 2008/09 18.3

138.3 127.059.019.06.55.425.4 2009/10 17.2

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.9

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.3

150.2 143.6107.86.73.94.533.6 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.0

166.6 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.1

146.3 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.3

137.4 147.9110.34.78.04.331.8 2006/07 15.1

136.1 154.2118.94.620.34.232.0 2007/08 12.8

161.6 152.1113.95.63.54.833.5 2008/09 20.1

152.9 153.3114.23.82.94.732.6 2009/10 18.8

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.4 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.2

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.8

273.6 262.0164.319.412.74.659.5 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.3 260.3162.114.015.64.357.0 2003/04 24.5

313.5 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.6

278.6 275.1172.420.19.54.858.4 2005/06 45.7

262.3 273.4170.518.513.14.756.3 2006/07 29.2

256.3 270.7171.316.927.24.556.7 2007/08 25.1

312.6 279.6174.930.911.25.260.2 2008/09 38.5

291.2 280.3173.222.89.45.058.1 2009/10 36.0


January 2010

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.4

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.5

109.3 106.08.02.80.14.623.7 2007/08 39.0

112.5 102.55.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 48.7

114.5 102.05.01.00.64.824.0 2009/10 60.8

Coarse Grains

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.398.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.6

147.7 147.1103.23.82.35.129.1 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5105.05.51.25.131.4 2006/07 38.0

159.1 157.0105.80.91.24.932.2 2007/08 40.4

172.7 160.4110.80.21.75.332.5 2008/09 54.1

162.0 167.6116.70.61.65.032.6 2009/10 49.6


253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.5104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.8

210.4 242.8105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.8 2004/05 76.4

245.1 248.6106.75.23.34.751.9 2005/06 71.1

267.6 255.5109.08.21.54.955.0 2006/07 76.5

268.4 263.0113.83.71.24.855.9 2007/08 79.4

285.2 262.9115.80.92.15.156.2 2008/09 102.8

276.5 269.6121.71.62.24.956.6 2009/10 110.4


January 2010

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

6.0 6.60.60.11.03.91.6 1998/99 1.5

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.70.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.4

3.9 5.50.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 6.01.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 1.8

4.2 5.90.90.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.3

4.3 5.50.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.1

4.4 5.60.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.0

4.7 5.50.80.41.74.11.1 2008/09 1.4

4.5 5.80.90.51.73.61.2 2009/10 1.2

Coarse Grains

11.2 11.610.20.30.43.92.8 1998/99 0.9

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.210.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.010.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.6 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.4 10.49.20.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.3

12.3 10.69.21.90.84.62.7 2008/09 1.8

11.7 10.89.42.10.94.72.5 2009/10 1.6


17.2 18.210.80.41.43.94.4 1998/99 2.4

16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

13.1 16.310.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.2

18.2 18.211.80.92.04.54.0 2004/05 3.4

16.9 18.011.61.62.14.43.8 2005/06 2.8

15.9 17.010.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 2.6

13.8 16.010.00.92.93.63.8 2007/08 2.3

17.0 16.210.12.32.54.43.8 2008/09 3.3

16.2 16.610.32.62.64.43.7 2009/10 2.8


January 2010

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

60.5 65.317.67.97.11.540.3 2003/04 10.6

85.6 72.221.116.14.91.846.5 2004/05 12.7

91.1 75.023.521.05.51.849.3 2005/06 13.3

84.9 72.621.622.36.01.945.8 2006/07 9.3

92.5 75.023.522.26.01.947.5 2007/08 10.6

115.6 76.624.937.76.52.251.6 2008/09 18.5

113.3 79.326.535.05.02.155.0 2009/10 22.5

Coarse Grains

55.4 56.839.36.11.51.831.2 2003/04 6.0

63.0 54.638.18.11.12.031.1 2004/05 7.4

55.3 50.134.18.61.12.028.3 2005/06 5.1

58.7 51.335.58.51.02.029.8 2006/07 5.1

53.9 50.434.85.31.01.829.2 2007/08 4.3

78.1 57.540.617.00.62.630.5 2008/09 8.4

67.8 56.039.614.30.62.329.8 2009/10 6.5


January 2010

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.5 7.52.78.10.01.112.4 2006/07 1.7

16.5 7.52.78.20.01.312.9 2007/08 2.5

12.6 7.52.75.70.10.913.5 2008/09 1.9

17.0 7.62.77.50.11.214.7 2009/10 3.9

Russia

44.9 36.414.110.60.91.923.6 2006/07 2.2

49.4 37.715.112.60.42.024.4 2007/08 1.8

63.7 38.916.218.40.22.426.7 2008/09 8.4

61.7 41.218.018.00.22.128.8 2009/10 11.1

Ukraine

14.0 11.72.13.40.12.55.5 2006/07 1.4

13.9 12.33.01.20.32.36.0 2007/08 2.1

25.9 11.92.913.00.13.77.1 2008/09 3.1

20.5 12.12.89.00.13.06.9 2009/10 2.6

Uzbekistan

5.9 6.51.10.21.14.51.3 2006/07 1.2

6.2 6.81.20.21.04.81.3 2007/08 1.4

6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 1.6

6.2 7.11.30.21.04.41.4 2009/10 1.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.7 10.51.60.13.92.23.0 2006/07 2.8

6.6 10.71.60.04.22.23.0 2007/08 2.9

7.4 11.21.80.34.72.43.1 2008/09 3.5

7.9 11.41.80.33.72.43.3 2009/10 3.3

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

84.9 72.621.622.36.01.945.8 2006/07 9.3

92.5 75.023.522.26.01.947.5 2007/08 10.6

115.6 76.624.937.76.52.251.6 2008/09 18.5

113.3 79.326.535.05.02.155.0 2009/10 22.5


January 2010


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

1.9 1.41.10.60.11.11.8 2006/07 0.2

2.5 1.71.40.80.01.41.8 2007/08 0.3

1.8 1.61.30.30.10.92.1 2008/09 0.3

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.32.0 2009/10 0.4

Russia

18.1 16.411.81.50.21.810.0 2006/07 1.3

15.7 15.110.51.00.21.69.6 2007/08 1.0

23.1 17.112.33.40.12.49.6 2008/09 3.6

18.0 17.112.42.20.12.09.1 2009/10 2.4

Ukraine

11.4 6.34.65.10.02.25.2 2006/07 0.8

6.0 4.93.31.00.01.54.1 2007/08 0.8

12.6 6.04.36.40.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1

12.0 6.44.76.00.02.45.0 2009/10 0.7

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0


2.4 2.61.80.00.12.11.1 2006/07 0.5

2.7 2.92.00.00.12.11.3 2007/08 0.4

3.1 3.22.40.00.12.71.2 2008/09 0.4

3.0 3.02.10.00.12.61.1 2009/10 0.5


34.0 26.919.57.30.51.918.1 2006/07 2.7

27.1 24.817.42.90.41.616.8 2007/08 2.5

40.9 28.120.510.10.22.417.1 2008/09 5.4

35.8 28.420.88.90.22.117.3 2009/10 4.1


January 2010


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2008/09 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2009/10 0.0

Russia

3.6 3.63.10.10.13.61.0 2006/07 0.2

4.0 4.33.70.00.33.01.3 2007/08 0.2

6.6 5.34.61.30.14.01.7 2008/09 0.2

4.4 4.64.00.20.33.41.3 2009/10 0.1

Ukraine

6.4 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.1

7.4 5.85.02.10.03.91.9 2007/08 0.7

11.4 5.74.95.50.04.82.4 2008/09 0.9

10.5 5.74.95.00.05.02.1 2009/10 0.8

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0


2.4 2.82.60.00.43.40.7 2006/07 0.5

2.0 2.52.20.00.22.60.8 2007/08 0.3

2.9 3.02.70.00.23.60.8 2008/09 0.4

2.5 2.72.40.10.13.60.7 2009/10 0.3


12.8 12.110.51.10.53.63.5 2006/07 1.8

13.8 12.911.22.10.63.44.1 2007/08 1.1

21.3 14.412.56.90.34.35.0 2008/09 1.6

17.9 13.311.65.30.44.24.2 2009/10 1.2


January 2010

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.1 5.00.111.70.02.66.1 2004/05 0.7

14.6 5.00.19.50.02.95.0 2005/06 0.9

16.1 4.90.110.70.03.05.3 2006/07 1.4

18.0 5.10.111.20.03.06.0 2007/08 3.1

9.0 5.00.16.70.02.04.6 2008/09 0.4

8.0 5.00.12.50.02.82.9 2009/10 1.0

Australia

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.13.49.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.2

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.64.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.0

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

20.9 6.93.814.70.11.613.2 2008/09 3.1

22.5 7.14.015.00.11.613.8 2009/10 3.6

Canada

20.6 7.73.616.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.5

16.2 8.03.79.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.80.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

26.5 7.32.418.50.42.89.5 2009/10 7.7

Total Wheat Competitors

60.4 18.16.442.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.7

38.6 19.37.225.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4

63.7 18.46.443.30.32.229.0 2003/04 12.8

62.8 19.37.141.30.32.228.9 2004/05 15.3


January 2010


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


65.5 19.87.641.50.42.426.9 2005/06 19.9

52.2 21.59.238.90.41.926.8 2006/07 12.2

51.6 18.45.734.80.51.927.2 2007/08 11.1

58.6 19.97.040.20.52.127.7 2008/09 10.1

57.0 19.46.536.00.52.226.2 2009/10 12.2

India

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.40.30.26.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.40.20.12.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.80.10.10.02.828.2 2008/09 13.5

80.6 76.10.10.10.12.927.8 2009/10 18.0

Turkey

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.4

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.21.88.6 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.08.6 2008/09 1.6

17.8 17.30.82.32.02.18.7 2009/10 1.8


January 2010


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.2

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.7

22.0 7.05.114.80.16.53.4 2007/08 2.0

12.6 5.83.98.50.15.62.3 2008/09 0.4

15.0 5.94.08.00.07.52.0 2009/10 1.5

China

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4

165.9 152.0110.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 53.2

155.0 159.0116.00.50.15.230.0 2009/10 48.7

South Africa

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 10.04.42.50.04.32.9 2008/09 3.2

11.5 10.24.51.50.03.73.1 2009/10 3.0

Brazil

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6


January 2010


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 44.537.07.01.23.614.1 2008/09 13.3

51.0 45.538.59.00.53.813.3 2009/10 10.3

Total Corn Competitors

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.7

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.5

246.1 208.1150.425.30.94.850.9 2007/08 57.0

242.1 212.3155.318.21.44.949.1 2008/09 70.0

232.5 220.6163.019.00.64.848.4 2009/10 63.5


January 2010


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.8 2007/08 1.7

7.7 3.52.53.20.01.64.8 2008/09 2.6

8.3 4.33.23.80.01.84.5 2009/10 2.8

Canada

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.11.50.13.32.9 2009/10 2.5

EU-27

58.8 54.939.74.21.44.214.1 2001/02 10.0

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.541.53.60.34.514.6 2008/09 10.4

62.0 59.043.02.00.24.414.1 2009/10 11.5


January 2010


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3

2.3 2.32.10.20.05.00.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.50.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.71.51.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.2

1.7 0.90.70.90.03.70.5 2008/09 0.1

3.3 1.71.51.00.04.70.7 2009/10 0.7

Australia

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.1 2.22.20.80.03.01.0 2007/08 0.1

2.7 1.41.41.20.03.50.8 2008/09 0.1

1.9 0.90.91.00.02.90.6 2009/10 0.1


January 2010

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

8,32328,61443434,32834,3633,0123,06555,821nr320,639 2007/08

17,86734,2917,02927,29527,6373,4603,45668,016nr322,541 2008/09

26,55432,1684,62722,50022,4533,1002,99460,314nr320,181 2009/10

Corn

41,255261,632150,20960,66361,913501509331,177nr935,014 2007/08

42,504259,053133,24547,90747,184337344307,142nr1031,796 2008/09

44,817279,921140,97652,00052,072300254334,052nr1032,225 2009/10

Sorghum

1,3405,0814,1886,6647,0301112,636nr52,749 2007/08

1,3908,3085,8953,6093,6433311,998nr42,942 2008/09

1,4666,0963,8103,6003,556009,728nr42,234 2009/10

Barley

1,4854,3246549019027126364,575nr31,417 2007/08

1,9325,1271,4491582885726325,230nr31,529 2008/09

2,5274,7891,0891001096005444,949nr41,260 2009/10

Oats

9693,1612,08153422,2442,1251,313nr2609 2007/08

1,2212,9681,88838491,7871,9751,294nr2567 2008/09

1,0043,1612,07340441,6001,6371,351nr2558 2009/10

Rye

103359986152179160nr2102 2007/08

132925668108100203nr2109 2008/09

13295581010125127178nr2102 2009/10

Rice, Milled

9424,078nr3,2733,3496517596,3448,99981,112 2007/08

9744,100nr3,1002,9937006106,5159,24181,204 2008/09

1,3694,136nr3,1003,1667356677,0309,97281,256 2009/10

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.


January 2010

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.3 422.61,329.7655.1202.22.4545.0 1987/88

1,218.0 338.61,302.0618.2203.32.2542.5 1988/89

1,327.4 319.91,346.2642.9208.92.4549.0 1989/90

1,417.3 368.01,369.2667.3190.12.6548.9 1990/91

1,355.5 358.81,364.7650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.3 397.61,389.7662.3205.22.6548.7 1992/93

1,355.8 364.51,388.9654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.1 360.91,395.6666.9200.12.6537.5 1994/95

1,338.0 318.51,380.4636.6187.52.5533.5 1995/96

1,490.2 365.81,442.9669.6198.42.7552.9 1996/97

1,491.4 412.31,444.8680.8190.32.8539.4 1997/98

1,481.6 445.41,448.5679.8198.72.8534.0 1998/99

1,464.7 441.91,467.7685.0214.32.8514.7 1999/00

1,446.4 418.51,469.8693.7205.12.8513.9 2000/01

1,479.1 401.61,496.0709.1208.52.9516.1 2001/02

1,442.5 337.41,506.8707.8209.92.8506.5 2002/03

1,469.6 273.61,533.4711.3206.32.8515.7 2003/04

1,640.5 328.91,585.2749.9215.03.2517.4 2004/05

1,598.7 312.21,615.4748.8222.33.1520.1 2005/06

1,581.9 266.31,627.7739.5230.23.1517.3 2006/07

1,687.6 280.41,673.5752.1245.33.1536.0 2007/08

1,784.3 352.61,712.1757.7252.23.3537.6 2008/09

1,770.1 375.81,746.8770.9234.53.3534.9 2009/10

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


January 2010

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

498.4 159.1530.6113.6114.12.3220.1 1987/88

495.0 134.7519.5104.0104.32.3217.9 1988/89

533.2 136.6531.3103.7103.92.4226.5 1989/90

588.6 171.2554.1130.1101.32.5231.6 1990/91

543.3 162.9551.6113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.4 176.7548.3110.9113.22.5222.7 1992/93

558.2 182.2552.7108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

522.7 163.1541.899.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.1 155.6544.691.999.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.3 163.5573.496.7104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.0 196.3577.2100.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.2 207.8578.7103.6102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.7 209.5585.098.9112.02.7215.7 1999/00

582.9 207.3585.1104.4102.32.7217.9 2000/01

583.1 203.2587.2107.6108.02.7215.2 2001/02

567.9 166.6604.4111.9107.12.6214.5 2002/03

554.1 132.0588.796.3103.72.6209.6 2003/04

625.7 150.2607.4105.4113.82.9217.3 2004/05

619.9 147.5622.7110.9113.82.8219.3 2005/06

595.7 127.6615.6105.9115.62.8212.2 2006/07

610.5 121.1617.096.3116.42.8218.0 2007/08

682.7 163.9639.8112.7142.53.0225.0 2008/09

676.1 195.6644.5110.6123.73.0225.7 2009/10

Coarse Grains

786.9 263.5799.2541.588.12.4324.9 1987/88

722.9 203.9782.5514.299.02.2324.6 1988/89

794.2 183.3814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.7 196.8815.2537.388.92.6317.3 1990/91

812.2 195.9813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.8 220.9841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.3836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 197.9853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 162.9835.8544.788.22.5314.4 1995/96

908.9 202.3869.5573.094.42.8322.6 1996/97

881.4 216.0867.7579.885.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.3 237.6869.8576.196.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.0 232.4882.7586.0102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.5 211.2884.7589.3102.72.9296.0 2000/01

896.1 198.5908.8601.5100.53.0300.9 2001/02

874.6 170.7902.4595.9102.73.0292.0 2002/03

915.6 141.7944.7615.0102.63.0306.1 2003/04

1,014.8 178.7977.8644.5101.23.4300.1 2004/05

978.8 164.7992.7637.8108.53.3300.8 2005/06

986.2 138.71,012.2633.6114.63.2305.1 2006/07

1,077.1 159.31,056.5655.8128.93.4318.0 2007/08

1,101.7 188.71,072.3645.0109.83.5312.6 2008/09

1,093.9 180.21,102.4660.3110.83.5309.2 2009/10

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


January 2010

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

450.8 197.5458.2316.558.83.5127.0 1987/88

400.5 145.2452.8306.866.03.2126.1 1988/89

461.7 132.8474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

481.9 141.2473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 140.8493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.5512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.3509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 152.9535.6371.571.94.1135.3 1994/95

516.3 132.7536.5365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 165.6560.1387.666.74.2141.6 1996/97

574.4 166.2573.7401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.9 190.8581.4404.668.74.3139.3 1998/99

608.0 193.6605.2423.072.34.4139.0 1999/00

591.4 174.8610.2427.975.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.2 151.1624.9436.672.84.4137.7 2001/02

603.0 126.7627.3433.276.94.4137.2 2002/03

626.8 104.8648.7445.379.14.4141.7 2003/04

714.9 131.4688.3475.176.04.9145.0 2004/05

698.8 124.3705.9477.682.64.8145.4 2005/06

712.4 108.9727.8477.991.44.8149.2 2006/07

791.9 129.6771.1496.398.25.0159.9 2007/08

791.6 146.0775.3479.283.05.0157.2 2008/09

796.4 136.2806.2492.584.95.1155.2 2009/10

Barley

175.4 33.6173.5129.618.32.278.7 1987/88

164.4 31.7166.3121.919.02.276.4 1988/89

166.1 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 34.8166.5120.319.42.276.5 1991/92

166.2 34.9165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

168.9 34.8169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 29.9165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.4150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 23.9149.5106.317.92.365.6 1996/97

153.9 31.9145.9104.112.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 28.6139.499.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.5132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.2134.494.716.22.553.9 2000/01

143.3 28.9136.795.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.4 26.7136.695.016.32.455.7 2002/03

142.2 22.5146.4102.614.82.459.6 2003/04

152.4 32.5142.4100.016.92.657.9 2004/05

136.3 27.6141.297.417.52.456.0 2005/06

136.4 20.8143.298.314.62.457.0 2006/07

132.7 19.2134.392.118.62.357.1 2007/08

153.9 29.3143.8100.218.22.855.7 2008/09

149.2 31.3147.2102.717.32.755.2 2009/10

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


January 2010

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.2 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.7 117.6365.420.8364.03.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.3 1995/96

565.4 120.3379.318.9381.53.8150.0 1996/97

575.0 127.7379.827.6387.33.8151.3 1997/98

586.9 134.0388.624.8394.93.8152.7 1998/99

608.9 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.3 1999/00

594.5 146.7395.924.5399.53.9151.9 2000/01

595.6 132.9414.127.9400.33.9150.9 2001/02

564.4 103.2408.827.6379.03.9146.4 2002/03

585.6 81.1414.727.3392.63.9148.9 2003/04

598.0 73.4409.529.0401.84.0151.3 2004/05

623.5 76.0416.029.1418.64.1153.3 2005/06

627.5 75.1421.731.9420.84.1154.1 2006/07

647.3 80.5428.529.6433.94.2154.8 2007/08

666.0 92.4434.628.8446.64.3156.5 2008/09

648.2 90.7436.530.8434.74.2152.5 2009/10

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


January 2010

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.



January 2010

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled



January 2010

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 12-09 December 2009. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 01-10 January 2010. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



January 2010

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