United States Grain - downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu · Ukraine, Kazakhstan) wheat exports are...

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 08-10August 2010

Traditional Wheat Exporters Compensate for Black Sea Shortfall

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150

06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11

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Others Traditional Exporters Black Sea

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

Expectations that prices in the next few months will hit the record levels of 2007/08 levels are not substantiated by the reality of the global supply situation. Black Sea (Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan) wheat exports are expected to plummet 60 percent (21 MMT) on drought-reduced crops. However, traditional exporters, particularly the United States, are holding large supplies that are more than sufficient to compensate for the Black Sea shortfall. In fact, U.S. ending stocks at 26 million tons are three times larger than just a few years ago.

Rice production growth continues to outpace consumption. Record production is expected in major exporting countries such as Thailand, Vietnam, and the United States. Record crops are also expected in large erratic importers such as Indonesia, the Philippines, and Bangladesh. With the bulging government stocks that Thailand is planning to release and large stocks in India, we are looking at ample global rice supplies and stiff competition for export markets.

Global Rice Production Continues to Outpace Consumption

380

400

420

440

460

480

06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11

MMT

Production Consumption

No Global Shortage of Food Grains

Black Sea is Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan

Traditional Exporters are Argentina, Australia, Canada, EU, and United States

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 15 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 35 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 54 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, August 2010

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

August 2010

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2010/112009/102008/092010/112009/102008/092010/112009/102008/09

Production

United States (Jun-May) 68.0 60.3 61.6 6.4 6.9 7.7 307.1 333.0 339.5

Other 615.2 620.0 584.1 441.6 435.7 451.5 490.7 475.4 492.1

World Total 683.3 680.3 645.7 448.0 442.6 459.2 797.8 808.4 831.6

Domestic Consumption


Other 601.8 619.6 629.9 431.9 431.8 450.0 520.4 523.0 539.6

World Total 636.1 650.5 662.2 435.9 435.8 454.0 779.7 812.3 830.2

Ending Stocks


Other 147.6 167.5 148.8 89.9 93.9 95.7 105.0 102.8 105.9

World Total 165.5 194.0 174.8 90.9 95.0 97.5 147.5 139.0 139.2

TY Imports


Other 136.7 126.4 119.2 26.1 27.6 28.1 82.1 85.4 88.9

World Total 140.2 129.6 121.9 26.8 28.3 28.8 82.5 85.6 89.2

TY Exports


Other 115.8 108.5 91.5 26.3 26.6 27.9 36.2 37.8 39.4

World Total 143.1 132.6 124.5 29.3 30.1 31.3 84.0 87.8 91.4

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

August 2010

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

160

210

260

310

6/8 6/15

6/22

6/29 7/6 7/1

37/2

07/2

7 8/3

$/M

T

HRS SRW SWW HRW

PRICES: Domestic prices: Prices of all classes of wheat surged in July as expanding export prospects were being spurred by the severe drought in Russia and Kazakhstan and reduced crop prospects in the EU and Ukraine. Hard Red Winter (HRW) jumped 41 percent to $268/ton, and Hard Red Spring (HRS) is also up 24 percent to $312/ton, as global import demand for U.S. hard wheat is expected to expand. Soft White Wheat (SWW) surged 51 percent to $271/ton primarily due to lower available Australian supplies at the end of the season. Soft Red Winter climbed 29 percent to $283/ton and continues to be higher than HRW. Egypt has purchased SRW in the past, but due to the price differential, is currently purchasing HRW. TRADE CHANGES IN 2010/11 Selected Exporters

• Australia is up 1.0 million tons to 16.0 million on larger crop prospects.

• China is increased 1.2 million tons to 2.0 million due to high global prices and ample stocks.

• EU is raised 1.0 million tons to 24.0 million as Black Sea exportable supplies diminish.

• Kazakhstan is reduced 2.0 million tons to 6.0 million on lower crop prospects.



August 2010

• Russia is slashed 12.0 million tons to 3.0 million due to the implementation of an export ban as a result of a severe drought affecting production.

• Turkey is raised 900,000 tons to 4.0 million on expected strong flour shipments. • Ukraine is down 2.0 million tons to 6.0 million on lower production.

• United States is boosted 6.0 million tons to 33.0 million due to reduced exportable

supplies from Black Sea countries.

Selected Importers

• Bangladesh is lowered 700,000 tons to 2.5 million primarily as a result of high prices, limited Black Sea supplies, and expected larger rice imports.

• China is down 400,000 tons to 500,000 on expected lower import demand as a result of

higher prices.

• Egypt is reduced 500,000 tons to 8.8 million on potential difficulties resolving contract issues with Russia and delays in buying from other countries.

• Indonesia is lowered 300,000 tons to 5.5 million, a slight reduction due to higher prices

this year.

• Iran is cut 700,000 tons to 1.3 million due to ample domestic supplies.

• Israel is lowered 400,000 tons to 1.5 million on reduced availability of feed-quality wheat.

• South Korea is cut 500,000 tons to 3.1 million on rising prices of low-quality wheat. • Nigeria is down 300,000 tons to 3.6 million, slightly lower than last year’s record.

• Philippines is lowered 300,000 tons to 3.0 million on rising prices of low-quality wheat.

• Russia is raised 500,000 tons to 650,000 due to increased demand for milling wheat

caused by its drought-reduced domestic production.

• Syria is cut 500,000 tons to 1.5 million on reduced Black Sea exportable supplies and large domestic carryin stocks.

• Uzbekistan is lowered 300,000 tons to 1.3 million on larger crop prospects.



August 2010

TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/10 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is up 700,000 tons to 5.2 million on increased late-season exports to Brazil. • Australia is reduced 300,000 tons to 13.7 million on lower-than-expected late-season

exports.

• Brazil is cut 300,000 tons to 1.2 million on weaker exports of feed-quality wheat.

• EU is up 500,000 tons to 21.5 million on increased late-season exports.

• Kazakhstan is increased 300,000 tons to 7.8 million on the strong pace of late-season exports, particularly flour.

• Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 18.5 million on unexpectedly strong exports in June.

• Turkey is raised 1.0 million tons to 4.4 million on expanded flour exports.

• The United States is raised 500,000 tons to 24.1 million due to higher June shipments.

Selected Importers

• Egypt is raised 900,000 tons to 10.2 million on large late-season imports, particularly

from Russia.

• Indonesia is up 300,000 tons to 5.8 million due to the increased pace of shipments at the end of the year.

• Turkey is increased 400,000 to 3.5 million on greater imports from Russia.

• Yemen is increased 300,000 to 2.6 million on higher-than-expected import demand.



August 2010

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

7,0007,0005,2008,62710,24612,231 Argentina

16,00015,00013,70013,4527,44911,241 Australia

15,50015,50018,50018,58316,56119,278 Canada

2,0008508927232,8352,783 China

24,00023,00021,50025,31812,27113,816 EU-27

6,0008,0007,8005,7018,1818,089 Kazakhstan

1,4001,2008001,4061,261548 Mexico

3,00015,00018,50018,39312,55210,584 Russia

4,0003,1004,3742,3421,7632,200 Turkey

6,0008,0009,30013,0371,2363,366 Ukraine

6,6126,9127,9018,1897,9806,433 Others

91,512103,562108,467115,77182,33590,569 Subtotal

33,00027,00024,17527,29134,32825,041 United States

124,512130,562132,642143,062116,663115,610 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,3002,3002,3003,8002,3001,400 Afghanistan

5,0005,0005,0006,3595,9044,874 Algeria

2,5003,2003,5002,8821,5551,731 Bangladesh

6,5006,3006,6676,7627,0767,743 Brazil

8,8009,30010,2009,9007,7007,300 Egypt

6,0006,0005,5007,7406,9425,137 EU-27

5,5005,8005,8005,4235,2245,596 Indonesia

3,6003,6003,7003,8693,4142,892 Iraq

1,5001,9001,7002,0641,1871,494 Israel

5,2005,2005,5025,1565,7015,747 Japan

3,1003,6004,4703,3713,0923,439 Korea, South

1,9001,9001,9001,6881,575994 Libya

3,1003,1003,1003,3413,1363,610 Mexico

3,6003,6002,4003,7594,1921,802 Morocco

3,6003,9003,9003,5502,6773,265 Nigeria

1,6001,6001,6001,3851,4521,367 Peru

3,0003,3003,0003,2012,2662,754 Philippines

2,0002,3001,8001,4004891 Saudi Arabia

1,5001,7001,5001,4721,333885 South Africa

1,5001,5001,8001,7121,0601,323 Sudan

1,5002,0002,0001,700200200 Syria

1,6001,7001,4501,7722,3721,433 Tunisia

3,5003,5003,5003,5772,1921,778 Turkey

1,5501,5501,5251,5011,4981,765 Venezuela

2,3002,3002,6002,9192,0002,440 Yemen

36,95539,10539,96546,42334,58539,283 Others

119,205125,255126,379136,726110,681110,343 Subtotal

2,6072,6073,0132,8762,9701,873 Unaccounted

2,7002,7003,2503,4603,0123,394 United States

124,512130,562132,642143,062116,663115,610 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


August 2010

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Production

12,00012,0009,60010,10018,60016,300 Argentina

23,00022,00022,50021,42013,56910,822 Australia

5,0005,5004,9405,8803,8252,234 Brazil

20,50020,50026,50028,61120,05425,265 Canada

114,500114,500115,000112,464109,298108,466 China

8,6008,6008,5237,9778,2758,274 Egypt

137,506141,821138,195151,114120,133124,870 EU-27

80,71079,00080,68078,57075,81069,350 India

14,40014,40012,00010,00015,00014,500 Iran

11,50014,00017,00012,55016,45013,450 Kazakhstan

22,60022,60024,03320,95923,29521,277 Pakistan

45,00053,00061,70063,70049,40044,900 Russia

17,00017,00018,45016,80015,50017,500 Turkey

17,00020,00020,90025,90013,90014,000 Ukraine

6,5006,2006,2006,0006,2005,850 Uzbekistan

48,27849,64353,76243,19846,05549,830 Others

584,094600,764619,983615,243555,364546,888 Subtotal

61,64160,30360,31468,01655,82149,217 United States

645,735661,067680,297683,259611,185596,105 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,7508,7508,5508,3008,0507,850 Algeria

7,2507,2507,1006,8506,5007,600 Australia

10,80010,90010,80010,70010,30010,300 Brazil

105,800105,800105,000105,500106,000102,000 China

18,40018,00017,90017,20015,80015,300 Egypt

124,500126,500125,500127,500116,536125,500 EU-27

82,43580,01078,21070,92476,42373,477 India

16,70016,70016,20015,90015,50015,300 Iran

7,6507,6507,5507,5257,5007,500 Kazakhstan

8,2008,2008,0007,4507,2257,200 Morocco

23,60023,60023,20022,80022,40021,700 Pakistan

49,20047,20042,00038,90037,65036,400 Russia

17,20017,70017,40016,90016,80016,650 Turkey

11,60012,10012,30011,90012,30011,700 Ukraine

7,4507,4507,3507,0506,8006,500 Uzbekistan

130,383132,978132,547126,370119,116122,646 Others

632,662634,489620,895608,326588,650584,632 Subtotal

32,27732,54930,94134,29328,61430,940 United States

664,939667,038651,836642,619617,264615,572 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,6564,6566,3566,5564,4066,865 Canada

63,38764,88556,18745,68538,96338,450 China

4,7645,0645,7744,9614,2944,144 Egypt

10,08013,89515,07418,37912,34314,075 EU-27

14,47514,99016,10013,4305,8004,500 India

5,2793,77911,82910,4793,8694,231 Russia

4,0134,4133,9632,7133,5744,033 Syria

42,19245,61452,19445,43743,29542,234 Others

148,846157,296167,477147,640116,544118,532 Subtotal

25,91829,75126,49117,8678,32312,414 United States

174,764187,047193,968165,507124,867130,946 World Total


August 2010

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

7,325 North America 6,535 7,188 6,750 6,200 6,200

1,582 Central America 1,460 1,483 1,475 1,525 1,525

14,018 South America 13,083 13,138 12,857 12,915 13,115

5,137 European Union 6,942 7,740 5,500 6,000 6,000

1,505 Other Europe 1,923 1,698 1,700 1,785 1,785

5,958 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,015 6,538 5,300 6,225 5,875

12,092 Middle East 11,860 28,386 21,750 21,075 19,175

16,403 North Africa 21,743 23,478 20,950 21,500 20,900

11,814 Sub-Saharan Africa 10,402 13,542 15,215 14,580 13,830

11,886 East Asia 11,278 11,322 13,707 12,050 11,100

10,944 South Asia 8,270 10,708 7,610 7,310 6,610

12,437 Southeast Asia 11,405 12,328 13,975 13,975 12,975

2,636 Others 2,777 2,637 2,840 2,815 2,815

113,737 Total 113,693 140,186 129,629 127,955 121,905

Production none

77,722 North America 79,468 100,627 91,114 85,153 86,491

21,222 South America 25,435 19,616 18,576 21,337 20,387

124,870 European Union 120,133 151,114 138,195 141,821 137,506

4,313 Other Europe 4,405 4,712 4,609 4,200 3,900


41,965 Middle East 40,153 32,340 37,287 38,295 38,295

18,576 North Africa 13,948 14,352 20,231 18,050 17,550


109,669 East Asia 110,590 113,776 116,161 115,725 115,825

95,881 South Asia 105,070 103,298 111,233 107,720 109,430

11,099 Oceania 13,846 21,697 22,777 22,277 23,277

160 Others 143 171 175 176 176

596,105 Total 611,185 683,259 680,297 661,067 645,735

Domestic Consumption none

46,126 North America 40,901 48,320 45,691 45,799 45,527

24,326 South America 24,446 24,569 24,340 24,685 24,610

125,500 European Union 116,536 127,500 125,500 126,500 124,500

5,293 Other Europe 5,400 5,594 5,645 5,690 5,640


51,342 Middle East 50,937 52,761 53,887 55,850 54,950

34,105 North Africa 35,675 37,563 39,325 39,850 40,250


113,938 East Asia 117,556 117,438 117,529 117,875 117,625

105,066 South Asia 109,488 104,554 113,940 115,990 117,715

11,720 Southeast Asia 11,011 12,203 13,039 13,535 13,035

8,535 Oceania 7,388 7,720 8,010 8,165 8,165

3,264 Others 3,400 3,297 3,490 3,490 3,515

618,563 Total 613,514 636,062 650,548 663,337 662,195

Ending Stocks none

19,693 North America 13,111 24,740 33,614 35,074 31,241

4,178 South America 5,003 3,451 3,607 3,954 3,529

14,075 European Union 12,343 18,379 15,074 13,895 10,080

1,394 Other Europe 1,564 1,875 1,774 1,504 1,454


12,118 Middle East 10,522 12,668 14,157 13,139 11,965

9,740 North Africa 9,484 9,504 11,125 9,840 9,090


40,838 East Asia 41,781 48,269 59,233 67,470 66,043

8,357 South Asia 9,782 17,006 21,281 19,571 18,906

2,750 Southeast Asia 2,660 2,461 3,066 2,456 2,656

4,226 Oceania 3,914 3,802 4,774 4,091 4,091

291 Others 256 273 252 203 228

130,946 Total 124,867 165,507 193,968 187,047 174,764

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.


August 2010

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Despite some local weather problems, global crop prospects are excellent this year. World production is forecast to exceed consumption for the fourth consecutive year, resulting in a continued rebuilding of global stocks. PRICES

Price Declines Abating

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

1/5/101/26/10

2/16/103/9/10

3/30/104/20/10

5/11/106/1/10

6/22/107/13/10

8/3 /10

$/MT

Vietnam

Thailand

United States

International: Price quotes have fallen steadily since January, although the rate of decline has decreased, and Vietnamese quotes have even come up slightly. Month-to-month, quotes for Thai 100B are unchanged at $466 per ton FOB, while quotes for Vietnamese 5% are up $36 to $387 FOB, partly due to government efforts to boost prices. Domestic: By contrast, U.S. #2/4 long grain milled rice quotes slid $28 to $428, making U.S. rice quite competitive with Thai 100B. California medium grain #1/4 quotes remain steady at $700 per ton FOB as exporters wait for the new crop to be harvested. TRADE CHANGES for 2010 (unless otherwise noted) Selected Exporters Pakistan is boosted 450,000 tons to 3.8 million on the strong pace of shipments early in the year due to lower prices and India’s ban on non-basmati exports. United States is up 125,000 tons to 3.5 million on the pace of exports. Burma is halved to 300,000 tons as slow global demand and falling prices have prompted exporters to sell stocks domestically or wait for higher international prices.


10


August 2010


11

Selected Importers Bangladesh is raised 50 percent to 600,000 tons as the government seeks imports to boost reserves for the public distribution system. Turkey is doubled to 400,000 tons in 2010 and increased by 50 percent in 2011 (to 300,000 tons) as international medium grain prices have fallen, making imports more affordable.


August 2010

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

600600550594408436 Argentina

500500300591511201 Brazil

7007003001,05254131 Burma

850850850800500450 Cambodia

9009008507839691,340 China

3003006005757501,209 Egypt

140140140150157139 EU-27

250250200250210210 Guyana

2,5002,5002,2002,1233,3836,301 India

200200200200200200 Japan

3,6003,6003,7503,1873,0502,696 Pakistan

1101101251206967 Paraguay

10,00010,0009,5008,57010,0119,557 Thailand

800800700926742734 Uruguay

5,8005,8005,7505,9504,6494,522 Vietnam

600560586435380755 Others

27,85027,81026,60126,30626,53028,848 Subtotal

3,4753,4753,4502,9833,2193,003 United States

31,32531,28530,05129,28929,74931,851 World Total

none

TY Imports

4004005001501,6581,570 Bangladesh

600600850650417684 Brazil

330330330322365341 Canada

330330300337295472 China

900900860800800980 Cote d'Ivoire

550550550457558574 Cuba

1,3501,3501,3501,3831,5201,342 EU-27

375375330150175240 Guinea

410410400395399348 Hong Kong

1,5001,5001,3001,4701,5501,500 Iran

1,1501,1501,1001,089975613 Iraq

700700700750546642 Japan

1,0201,0201,0201,0701,039799 Malaysia

650650600610578607 Mexico

375375320385300410 Mozambique

1,9001,9001,8002,0001,8001,550 Nigeria

2,5002,5002,6002,0002,5001,900 Philippines

1,3001,3001,1001,0951,166961 Saudi Arabia

700700700715860700 Senegal

850850800745650960 South Africa

350350350300230235 Syria

35035030030083 Thailand

350350340320300285 United Arab Emirates

500500500500300450 Vietnam

335335325325315338 Yemen

8,3258,2758,2827,7718,53810,195 Others

28,10028,05027,60726,08927,84228,699 Subtotal

2,5602,5701,7942,5181,2562,457 Unaccounted

665665650682651695 United States

31,32531,28530,05129,28929,74931,851 World Total


Note about dates: 2010/11 is calendar year 2011, 2009/10 is calendar year 2010, and so on.


August 2010

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Milled Production

32,30032,30031,00031,00028,80029,000 Bangladesh

8,4008,4007,6418,5708,1997,695 Brazil

11,00011,00010,59710,15010,73010,600 Burma

4,8004,8004,7804,5204,2383,946 Cambodia

137,500137,500137,000134,330130,224127,200 China

3,9003,9004,3004,4024,3854,383 Egypt

99,00099,00089,13099,18096,69093,350 India

40,00040,00038,80038,30037,00035,300 Indonesia

7,8507,8507,7118,0297,9307,786 Japan

4,6004,6004,9164,8434,4084,680 Korea, South

3,6003,6003,4003,2003,0002,900 Nigeria

6,5006,5006,5006,7005,7005,450 Pakistan

10,80010,8009,75710,75310,4799,775 Philippines

20,60020,60020,30019,85019,80018,250 Thailand

24,75024,75024,38024,39324,37522,922 Vietnam

35,88735,87035,48433,40831,50231,030 Others

451,487451,470435,696441,628427,460414,267 Subtotal

7,6807,8096,9176,4006,1496,088 United States

459,167459,279442,613448,028433,609420,355 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

32,70032,50031,60031,00030,74729,764 Bangladesh

8,6008,6508,5508,5308,2547,925 Brazil

10,10010,10010,0009,64810,24910,670 Burma

3,9703,9703,9603,7703,7883,646 Cambodia

135,500135,500134,500133,000127,450127,200 China

3,8503,8504,0004,0003,3403,276 Egypt

98,00093,50085,43091,09090,46686,700 India

39,50039,50038,10037,09036,35035,900 Indonesia

3,5003,5003,4003,3503,2973,294 Iran

8,1258,1258,2008,3268,1778,250 Japan

4,7404,7404,7504,7884,6704,887 Korea, South

5,5005,5005,3005,1504,5004,400 Nigeria

13,70013,70013,61413,65013,49912,000 Philippines

9,8009,8009,6009,5009,6009,780 Thailand

19,50019,50019,15019,00019,40018,775 Vietnam

52,87452,80551,66050,03948,47747,670 Others

452,569448,056434,512433,807424,073417,362 Subtotal

4,0474,0504,0003,9643,9193,959 United States

456,616452,106438,512437,771427,992421,321 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

42,27942,27940,84938,89938,01535,915 China

19,00018,00020,50019,00013,00011,430 India

8,7378,7377,9877,0575,6074,607 Indonesia

2,9512,9512,7262,7152,5562,406 Japan

2,0642,0642,4644,1214,4184,868 Philippines

7,4377,4376,2874,7872,7072,510 Thailand

1,8911,8911,9411,9612,0181,392 Vietnam

11,38411,14811,14511,36511,36910,629 Others

95,74394,50793,89989,90579,69073,757 Subtotal

1,7742,1051,0679609181,234 United States

97,51796,61294,96690,86580,60874,991 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


August 2010

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

1,643 North America 1,594 1,614 1,580 1,645 1,645

965 Caribbean 1,028 866 980 940 940

1,086 South America 1,105 1,113 1,465 1,200 1,200

137 Other Europe 98 126 120 120 120

368 Former Soviet Union - 12 361 412 342 275 290

4,778 Middle East 5,596 5,468 5,490 5,810 5,910

355 North Africa 275 155 295 365 365


2,318 East Asia 1,612 1,874 1,880 1,940 1,940

1,946 South Asia 2,197 517 875 790 790

5,749 Southeast Asia 4,640 4,528 5,060 4,995 4,995

2,205 Others 2,428 2,190 2,230 2,250 2,190

29,394 Total 28,493 26,771 28,257 28,715 28,765

Production none

6,266 North America 6,327 6,556 7,092 7,969 7,840

798 Caribbean 796 882 984 998 998

14,287 South America 15,438 16,258 15,132 16,067 15,972

1,676 European Union 1,757 1,620 1,984 2,010 2,010

1,000 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,005 915 1,095 1,172 1,172

2,282 Middle East 2,410 2,085 2,473 2,550 2,580

4,413 North Africa 4,406 4,423 4,335 3,940 3,940


142,661 East Asia 145,044 150,087 152,648 152,888 152,888

133,111 South Asia 136,570 142,232 132,431 143,569 143,569

103,778 Southeast Asia 109,723 111,258 112,026 115,451 115,451

695 Others 566 685 794 786 868

420,355 Total 433,609 448,028 442,613 459,279 459,167


5,088 North America 5,007 5,054 5,105 5,210 5,207

1,118 Central America 1,116 1,135 1,143 1,137 1,153

1,829 Caribbean 1,931 1,791 1,938 1,953 1,953

13,478 South America 14,118 14,671 14,829 15,018 14,958

2,911 European Union 3,185 2,925 3,100 3,150 3,150


7,308 Middle East 7,498 7,797 7,879 8,022 8,075

3,546 North Africa 3,636 4,133 4,310 4,105 4,105


144,289 East Asia 143,315 149,571 150,892 151,900 151,900

124,366 South Asia 129,767 131,416 126,108 135,140 139,840

94,993 Southeast Asia 97,134 97,190 99,121 101,465 101,465

714 Others 664 521 599 615 615

418,096 Total 426,183 435,895 435,814 449,290 454,006

Ending Stocks none

1,377 North America 1,111 1,126 1,238 2,261 1,930

272 Central America 253 178 196 176 176

178 Caribbean 134 109 129 114 114

2,158 South America 2,080 2,424 1,926 1,771 1,658

1,138 European Union 1,126 1,020 1,114 1,184 1,184

1,719 Middle East 2,044 1,746 1,792 1,757 1,967

370 North Africa 685 557 292 192 192

1,021 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,341 963 953 899 899

39,317 East Asia 41,537 42,832 45,368 47,200 47,200

12,636 South Asia 14,306 21,193 22,033 19,777 20,627

14,426 Southeast Asia 15,780 18,567 19,757 21,087 21,387

230 Oceania 52 26 44 55 44

149 Others 159 124 124 139 139

74,991 Total 80,608 90,865 94,966 96,612 97,517




August 2010

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES: Domestic: From July through early August, U.S. corn export prices gained over $20/ton in choppy movement. Markets reacted with concern over crop conditions in Russia, Ukraine, and EU.

Corn Weekly Export Bids

150

160

170

180

190

200

5-Ja

n19

-Jan

2-Fe

b16

-Feb

2-M

ar16

-Mar

30-M

ar13

-Apr

27-A

pr11

-May

25-M

ay8-

Jun

22-J

un6-

Jul

20-J

ul3-

Aug

$/M

T

U.S. Gulf Argentina Up RiverBrazil Paranagua

At the same time, persistent reports of low-quality U.S. corn being shipped likely tempered price gains in the face of a pick-up in sales and shipments. By early August, the discount against Argentine corn had doubled to about $10/ton. Brazilian prices soared as heavy bookings were constrained by poor weather at the ports. TRADE CHANGES IN 2010/11 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is boosted sharply by 2.5 million tons to 52.0 million because of reduced exportable supplies in Ukraine, tight supplies of feed-quality wheat, and expectations of continued Chinese import demand.

• Brazilian corn is raised 500,000 tons to a record 8.5 million due to a higher 2009/10

winter crop.

• EU corn is cut 200,000 to 1.0 million because of strong domestic demand for feed grains in the face of smaller wheat and coarse grain crops (imports are boosted 500,000 tons).

• Ukrainian corn is cut by 1.0 million tons to 5.0 million because of a lower expected

crop.

• Australian barley is raised 400,000 tons to 4.0 million on reduced competitor supplies, particularly from Russia and Ukraine.

• EU barley jumps 1.0 million tons to 4.6 million as reduced exportable supplies from

competitor countries, combined with large private and government (intervention) stocks, provide greater export opportunities.



August 2010

• Russian and Ukrainian barley are lowered 600,000 and 1.2 million tons to 400,000 and 4.0 million, respectively, on sharply reduced crop prospects in both countries (with Russia the lowest in 10 years).

• U.S. sorghum is raised 200,000 tons to 3.8 million; higher demand from Mexico results

from tight carryin supplies after a disappointing late-season crop.

Selected Importers

• Russian corn and barley are raised sharply on reduced crop prospects (but remaining relatively small at 300,000 tons each).

• Chinese corn is boosted by 900,000 tons to 1.0 million due to outstanding sales and

expectations of continued demand in light of relatively high domestic prices. • Israeli and South Korean corn are raised 350,000 and 500,000 tons, respectively, due to

tighter supplies of feed-quality wheat. • Saudi Arabian and Syrian barley are lowered 500,000 and 200,000 tons to 7.0 million

and 300,000, respectively, on sharply reduced exportable supplies in Russia and Ukraine. TRADE CHANGES IN 2009/10 Selected Exporters

• U.S. corn is boosted by 1.0 million tons to 50.0 million based on the pace of sales and

shipments. • Argentine corn is boosted by 1.0 million tons to 14.0 million due to a near-record pace

for new crop shipments.

• Russian and Ukrainian barley are down a combined 800,000 tons due to slower-than-expected late season shipments and sharply reduced new crop supplies.

• Australian and EU barley are up a combined 500,000 tons on strong late-season

shipments.

Selected Importers

• Algerian, Canadian, Indonesian, Iranian, Venezuelan, and Vietnamese corn are raised a combined 2.1 million tons based on trade data (if realized, the latter two are records).

• Saudi Arabian barley imports are lowered 400,000 tons based on recent trade data.



August 2010

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

15,70515,70515,80510,24117,78617,191 Argentina

4,8604,4604,5354,8733,8951,995 Australia

8,5308,0307,5307,1878,0328,188 Brazil

2,8752,8752,9253,8496,3793,787 Canada

6,1055,2553,9804,3384,6795,463 EU-27

2,1502,2001,2002,6425,539721 India

1,0051,0051,0051,8641,4731,981 Paraguay

2,0152,0151,5151,478132863 Serbia

2,5402,5402,0402,1591,145462 South Africa

9,01011,21010,62511,3805,9093,942 Ukraine

4,9555,6807,4659,0865,58110,964 Others

59,75060,97558,62559,09760,55055,557 Subtotal

56,05053,35054,39551,55868,28959,157 United States

115,800114,325113,020110,655128,839114,714 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,3002,3002,4502,0672,4332,588 Algeria

1,4051,4051,1051,4971,2581,472 Brazil

2,5652,5652,2651,9003,1872,285 Canada

1,3501,3501,3501,2571,9691,766 Chile

2,9752,0752,9801,6511,1571,156 China

3,8603,8603,7603,4833,6033,714 Colombia

800800750708811646 Cuba

1,0501,0501,0009731,0741,212 Dominican Republic

5,4305,4305,0355,0934,1824,845 Egypt

3,2152,7152,6902,99619,8928,738 EU-27

3,6003,7004,3005,0003,9003,600 Iran

1,8101,4601,4851,2951,7761,684 Israel

19,37519,37519,58519,61119,21019,668 Japan

9,1358,6358,2357,2489,3588,797 Korea, South

825725850724780569 Libya

2,8002,8002,5002,4473,1812,363 Malaysia

11,95011,75010,75010,46511,01111,040 Mexico

2,0052,0052,0551,8382,1852,150 Morocco

1,7451,7451,6451,3981,5921,646 Peru

8,7059,2058,9059,2869,9687,578 Saudi Arabia

2,3002,5002,4002,8342,5612,079 Syria

4,8504,8504,7504,6584,6844,403 Taiwan

1,1501,1508008751,1831,519 Tunisia

1,4001,4001,7001,3401,103534 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,6001,250700650 Vietnam

12,67612,22613,02113,71514,04014,032 Others

110,576108,376107,966105,609126,798110,734 Subtotal

2,9493,6742,7292,239-1,5691,375 Unaccounted

2,2752,2752,3252,8073,6102,605 United States

115,800114,325113,020110,655128,839114,714 World Total



August 2010

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Production

27,07927,07927,95219,13427,11827,094 Argentina

10,96710,96711,56712,27212,8956,583 Australia

53,72953,72956,85653,62461,34453,184 Brazil

22,10522,10522,37327,18427,84123,145 Canada

173,000173,000161,350172,660159,105159,098 China

8,9258,9258,0469,0348,3027,928 Ethiopia

143,158146,353151,757161,425136,123137,421 EU-27

40,30040,60034,16039,61040,63033,810 India

8,4008,4007,0008,7008,5007,850 Indonesia

32,02931,92927,79832,25230,57729,181 Mexico

28,10028,10027,95926,67024,00026,000 Nigeria

20,90026,80031,81540,70029,32530,200 Russia

13,02813,02814,52613,08413,6907,760 South Africa

10,49510,49511,09510,4159,48010,896 Turkey

21,75024,95024,12026,22014,58519,175 Ukraine

139,270140,355135,977130,773126,610127,945 Others

753,235766,815754,351783,757730,125707,270 Subtotal

354,677350,740349,217325,867349,861279,998 United States

1,107,9121,117,5551,103,5681,109,6241,079,986987,268 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

11,18411,18410,6648,7489,5679,694 Argentina

51,30451,30450,00448,52945,27943,304 Brazil

23,10022,90022,77322,86724,02124,505 Canada

168,805167,805164,550160,325157,015153,465 China

13,68013,68012,98012,16211,47711,800 Egypt

152,155150,255148,530151,805154,155147,877 EU-27

37,85037,60032,95036,50035,50032,520 India

19,57519,57519,78019,96519,46019,823 Japan

42,39542,39541,30042,06040,23539,920 Mexico

28,15028,15027,75026,55024,00025,750 Nigeria

22,40026,90030,99032,80028,87528,450 Russia

9,5259,5259,4259,3509,4558,660 Saudi Arabia

11,03811,63810,71310,46810,1589,153 South Africa

10,60510,50510,70510,60510,60011,610 Turkey

13,50014,00012,86513,69511,93513,150 Ukraine

202,145202,530194,836194,529190,410185,120 Others

819,563823,129806,240803,548782,416769,522 Subtotal

304,162303,018303,311275,978274,533242,798 United States

1,123,7251,126,1471,109,5511,079,5261,056,9491,012,320 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2,4733,4882,7531,2403,2722,529 Argentina

8,4398,08911,63912,41212,8653,772 Brazil

3,8903,9905,1956,3554,0103,501 Canada

60,65160,75153,75154,19140,42638,032 China

11,27816,72323,16520,24812,76815,138 EU-27

3,6713,6212,2375,2394,7403,526 Mexico

5,3203,7235,7404,3123,2511,776 South Africa

39,07641,23342,74342,78237,35036,256 Others

134,798141,618147,223146,779118,682104,530 Subtotal

37,24538,56640,63347,06045,05936,174 United States

172,043180,184187,856193,839163,741140,704 World Total


August 2010

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

15,930 North America 17,808 15,172 15,340 16,590 16,790

2,906 Central America 2,681 2,491 2,750 2,775 2,775

2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,100 2,200 2,200

10,181 South America 10,672 9,991 10,385 10,530 10,530

8,738 European Union 19,892 2,996 2,690 2,715 3,215

952 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,037 599 515 460 1,010

18,703 Middle East 21,884 21,357 19,950 19,725 19,175

11,671 North Africa 10,763 10,597 11,190 11,610 11,710


34,135 East Asia 34,662 33,349 35,730 35,115 36,515

4,394 Southeast Asia 4,746 5,405 5,740 6,035 6,035

1,000 Others 1,220 753 771 746 746

113,339 Total 130,408 108,416 110,291 110,651 112,851

Production none

332,324 North America 408,279 385,303 399,388 404,774 408,811

92,197 South America 100,741 84,615 96,511 93,443 93,443

137,421 European Union 136,123 161,425 151,757 146,353 143,158

11,568 Other Europe 9,370 12,357 11,800 11,955 12,010


19,586 Middle East 17,658 15,950 18,057 19,677 19,677

11,211 North Africa 9,894 10,219 15,423 13,632 13,032


161,399 East Asia 161,295 174,829 163,220 175,175 175,175

40,139 South Asia 47,035 45,748 40,568 46,883 46,583

24,271 Southeast Asia 26,882 27,708 25,912 28,445 28,445

7,230 Oceania 13,542 12,919 12,214 11,614 11,614

3,979 Others 4,455 4,291 4,152 4,302 4,302

987,268 Total 1,079,986 1,109,624 1,103,568 1,117,555 1,107,912


307,223 North America 338,789 340,905 367,384 368,313 369,657

71,046 South America 74,696 76,383 80,223 82,368 82,368

147,877 European Union 154,155 151,805 148,530 150,255 152,155

11,532 Other Europe 10,423 10,295 10,521 10,576 10,531


37,684 Middle East 38,289 37,902 37,223 38,323 38,473

22,013 North Africa 21,147 21,192 23,920 25,420 25,520


188,955 East Asia 191,864 195,067 199,274 203,124 204,624

38,847 South Asia 42,108 42,672 39,438 43,963 44,213

27,142 Southeast Asia 29,476 30,281 30,645 32,795 32,395

6,885 Oceania 7,666 7,897 7,752 7,807 7,707

9,051 Others 9,314 8,953 8,963 9,213 9,213

1,007,599 Total 1,056,675 1,076,936 1,104,126 1,122,964 1,121,573

Ending Stocks none

43,201 North America 53,809 58,654 48,065 46,177 44,806

9,556 South America 19,628 16,061 16,980 14,780 14,165

15,138 European Union 12,768 20,248 23,165 16,723 11,278

1,523 Other Europe 1,340 2,120 2,280 2,220 2,220


8,541 Middle East 7,686 7,606 7,870 7,734 7,534

3,195 North Africa 2,462 2,762 5,350 5,117 4,517


41,832 East Asia 44,997 57,937 57,393 64,289 64,189

1,569 South Asia 1,749 2,076 1,876 2,476 2,161

2,778 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,440 3,242 3,217 3,442

1,301 Oceania 2,737 3,342 3,114 2,756 2,056

985 Others 1,062 836 860 909 909

140,704 Total 163,741 193,839 187,856 180,184 172,043




August 2010

World Corn Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

13,50013,50014,0008,45815,67615,693 Argentina

8,5008,0007,5007,1787,8838,071 Brazil

400400350400125125 Burma

1,0001,2001,2501,743591664 EU-27

2,0002,0001,0002,5515,077582 India

1,0001,0001,0001,8621,4611,981 Paraguay

2,0002,0001,5001,467128854 Serbia

2,5002,5002,0002,1111,124431 South Africa

7007001,000786646442 Thailand

5,0006,0005,2005,4972,0741,027 Ukraine

2,7752,8502,9804,1422,8177,390 Others

39,37540,15037,78036,19537,60237,260 Subtotal

52,00049,50050,00047,75860,66354,214 United States

91,37589,65087,78083,95398,26591,474 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,3002,3002,4001,9032,1662,463 Algeria

1,0001,0007001,0929611,204 Brazil

2,5002,5002,2001,8443,1172,226 Canada

7507507507791,6281,508 Chile

1,0001001,000474116 China

3,4003,4003,3003,0683,2673,386 Colombia

700700700586674672 Costa Rica

800800750708811646 Cuba

1,0501,0501,0009731,0741,212 Dominican Republic

5,4005,4005,0005,0314,1514,826 Egypt

3,0002,5002,5002,74314,0167,056 EU-27

3,2003,2003,5003,6002,9003,300 Iran

1,3501,0001,0008461,3741,311 Israel

16,30016,30016,30016,53316,61416,713 Japan

9,1008,6008,2007,1889,3118,731 Korea, South

2,8002,8002,5002,4473,1812,363 Malaysia

9,1009,1008,0007,7649,5568,944 Mexico

1,8001,8001,7001,5661,8581,683 Morocco

1,6001,6001,5001,3071,4691,528 Peru

1,7001,7001,6001,4821,9611,577 Saudi Arabia

2,0002,0002,0001,7841,6611,729 Syria

4,7004,7004,6004,5324,5274,283 Taiwan

750750700646805653 Tunisia

1,4001,4001,7001,3361,103534 Venezuela

1,3001,3001,6001,250700650 Vietnam

9,9209,72010,15511,06610,66910,960 Others

88,92086,47085,35582,12199,59590,174 Subtotal

2,2052,9302,2251,495-1,831981 Unaccounted

250250200337501319 United States

91,37589,65087,78083,95398,26591,474 World Total


The large, negative Unaccounted in 2007/08 arises largely from timing differences between declared exports and Japan's and Korea's

declared imports.


August 2010

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Production

21,00021,00022,50015,00022,01722,500 Argentina

51,00051,00054,35051,00058,60051,000 Brazil

10,50010,5009,56010,59211,6498,990 Canada

166,000166,000155,000165,900152,300151,600 China

7,0007,0006,8226,6456,1746,149 Egypt

55,95456,99455,77362,32147,55553,829 EU-27

20,00020,00016,68019,73018,96015,100 India

8,4008,4007,0008,7008,5007,850 Indonesia

24,00024,00021,30024,22623,60022,350 Mexico

8,7008,7008,7597,9706,5007,800 Nigeria

6,8006,8006,2356,8467,2776,231 Philippines

6,5006,5006,4006,1304,0546,415 Serbia

12,50012,50014,00012,56713,1647,300 South Africa

11,50013,00010,50011,4007,4006,400 Ukraine

5,5005,5005,2804,4324,6004,251 Vietnam

76,74478,04475,27877,23070,08868,183 Others

492,098495,938475,437490,689462,438445,948 Subtotal

339,492336,438333,011307,142331,177267,503 United States

831,590832,376808,448797,831793,615713,451 World Total

none

Total Consumption

7,5007,5007,1006,4007,0006,700 Argentina

48,30048,30047,00045,50042,50041,000 Brazil

12,70012,50011,90011,66313,76911,442 Canada

160,000159,000156,000152,000149,000145,000 China

12,60012,60011,90011,10010,40010,700 Egypt

58,50058,00058,50062,00064,00062,300 EU-27

17,80017,50015,70017,00014,20013,900 India

8,9009,3008,8008,9008,5008,100 Indonesia

16,30016,30016,30016,70016,60016,500 Japan

9,2008,7008,3007,8878,6388,833 Korea, South

31,80031,80030,80032,40032,00030,700 Mexico

8,8008,8008,6007,9006,5507,600 Nigeria

7,2007,2006,5007,3007,1506,550 Philippines

10,40011,00010,1009,9009,6008,600 South Africa

6,6006,6006,3005,4005,2004,900 Vietnam

122,980123,530119,192118,347115,503110,853 Others

540,828541,063527,610522,368510,735497,302 Subtotal

290,590289,827289,319259,272261,632230,674 United States

831,418830,890816,929781,640772,367727,976 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8,1347,78411,43412,08412,5793,592 Brazil

1,5671,6671,5671,8571,4571,337 Canada

59,81959,91953,01953,16939,39436,602 China

3,6604,5004,2065,6834,3627,382 EU-27

2,9592,9591,8093,5594,1313,084 Mexico

1,5641,5641,6641,264684855 Serbia

5,1633,5635,5384,1133,0901,661 South Africa

23,01724,23723,55823,27524,36522,442 Others

105,883106,193102,795105,00490,06276,955 Subtotal

33,31634,88536,23242,50441,25533,114 United States

139,199141,078139,027147,508131,317110,069 World Total


August 2010

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

11,489 North America 13,174 9,945 10,400 11,850 11,850

2,906 Central America 2,678 2,491 2,750 2,775 2,775

9,141 South America 9,459 8,485 8,715 8,865 8,865

7,056 European Union 14,016 2,743 2,500 2,500 3,000


10,245 Middle East 10,116 9,462 9,800 9,650 10,000

10,136 North Africa 9,594 9,574 10,250 10,725 10,725


29,854 East Asia 30,746 28,481 30,280 29,880 31,280

4,385 Southeast Asia 4,715 5,391 5,730 6,030 6,030

2,227 Caribbean 2,239 2,011 2,100 2,200 2,200

632 Others 739 537 465 485 485

90,493 Total 100,096 82,458 85,555 86,720 89,170

Production none

298,843 North America 366,426 341,960 363,871 370,938 373,992

83,335 South America 90,887 75,609 86,385 82,355 82,355

53,829 European Union 47,555 62,321 55,773 56,994 55,954

9,350 Other Europe 7,239 9,965 9,685 9,835 9,935


5,663 Middle East 5,220 6,248 6,229 6,304 6,404

6,351 North Africa 6,376 6,847 7,024 7,202 7,202


153,453 East Asia 154,009 167,566 156,405 167,709 167,709

20,234 South Asia 24,090 24,780 21,800 25,070 25,070

2,890 Central America 3,285 3,222 3,041 3,188 3,188

24,055 Southeast Asia 26,659 27,478 25,677 28,205 28,205

1,050 Others 1,205 1,183 1,179 1,179 1,179

713,451 Total 793,615 797,831 808,448 832,376 831,590


272,816 North America 307,401 303,335 332,019 334,127 335,090

63,147 South America 66,412 67,604 70,255 72,205 72,205

62,300 European Union 64,000 62,000 58,500 58,000 58,500

8,995 Other Europe 7,766 7,751 8,095 8,260 8,260


14,640 Middle East 15,800 15,585 15,850 16,000 16,450

16,050 North Africa 15,750 16,125 17,250 18,125 18,125


176,719 East Asia 180,503 183,008 186,780 190,555 192,055

19,029 South Asia 19,531 22,050 20,870 22,620 22,920

26,922 Southeast Asia 29,249 30,043 30,425 32,575 32,175

5,850 Central America 5,900 5,800 5,800 5,950 5,950

3,190 Others 3,406 3,235 3,225 3,330 3,330

724,352 Total 772,242 779,669 812,311 828,457 830,170

Ending Stocks none

37,535 North America 46,843 47,920 39,608 39,511 37,842

8,457 South America 18,050 14,758 15,728 13,198 12,598

7,382 European Union 4,362 5,683 4,206 4,500 3,660

1,156 Other Europe 1,026 1,784 1,999 1,924 1,924


3,618 Middle East 3,168 3,135 3,004 2,298 2,648

1,599 North Africa 1,602 2,221 2,145 1,947 1,947


39,745 East Asia 43,373 56,290 56,045 62,879 62,779

1,025 South Asia 1,276 1,437 1,207 1,612 1,392

2,776 Southeast Asia 3,475 4,439 3,241 3,216 3,441

684 Central America 765 613 589 587 587

326 Others 323 260 299 333 333

110,069 Total 131,317 147,508 139,027 141,078 139,199




August 2010

World Barley Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

50500000 Algeria

900900600871937537 Argentina

4,0003,6003,6003,2783,3771,927 Australia

1,0001,0001,1001,6182,9471,337 Canada

202020178149 China

555433 Croatia

5557671 Egypt

4,6003,6002,4002,3743,8884,366 EU-27

10015015037371131 India

200300300314806606 Kazakhstan

25252526934 Moldova

4001,0001,9003,5981,2771,691 Russia

1515151149 Serbia

40040080030345 Turkey

4,0005,2005,4005,8713,8142,911 Ukraine

551011112166 Others

15,72516,27516,33018,04017,69314,113 Subtotal

200200150158901528 United States

15,92516,47516,48018,19818,59414,641 World Total

none

TY Imports

400400400403285267 Brazil

1,9001,9001,9001,5511,0911,127 China

250250250211256243 Colombia

150150150175519167 EU-27

4005008001,4001,000300 Iran

400400425367251224 Israel

1,3501,3501,3501,3461,3611,359 Japan

400500500524536804 Jordan

200200200252254217 Kuwait

35025040029616658 Libya

200200250263313462 Morocco

300505039179229 Russia

7,0007,5007,3007,8008,0006,000 Saudi Arabia

3005004001,050900350 Syria

400400100229378866 Tunisia

1,1951,1951,3451,4632,0271,433 Others

15,19515,74515,82017,36917,51614,106 Subtotal

430430260257366181 Unaccounted

300300400572712354 United States

15,92516,47516,48018,19818,59414,641 World Total



August 2010

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Production

1,4002,0002,400560950700 Algeria

1,8701,8701,3562,1101,6001,330 Argentina

7,6007,6008,3007,9977,1604,257 Australia

1,9002,0001,6502,2001,7001,350 Belarus

8,4008,4009,52011,78110,9849,573 Canada

3,1003,1002,5002,8232,7853,115 China

1,4001,4001,5691,4841,3551,352 Ethiopia

54,82756,36761,25565,45257,54556,220 EU-27

1,3001,6001,6901,2001,3301,220 India

3,1003,1002,6002,0003,0002,956 Iran

2,8002,8003,8001,2727632,535 Morocco

10,00013,00017,90023,10015,65018,100 Russia

1,6751,675850260785700 Syria

5,9006,0006,5005,7006,0007,500 Turkey

9,00010,50011,80012,6006,00011,350 Ukraine

9,67410,15910,6979,51210,77710,215 Others

123,946131,571144,387150,051128,384132,473 Subtotal

4,0073,9674,9495,2304,5753,923 United States

127,953135,538149,336155,281132,959136,396 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,4501,4501,3501,1001,100950 Algeria

4,4504,5504,5004,0003,1004,000 Australia

1,8001,9001,7002,2001,7501,600 Belarus

8,2508,2508,7509,0657,91610,190 Canada

4,8004,8004,4504,2003,9004,200 China

60,50059,00056,50057,00054,20055,700 EU-27

3,4003,5003,3003,9003,6003,400 Iran

1,5501,5501,5501,5501,6001,650 Japan

1,4251,8252,0001,6001,7001,350 Kazakhstan

3,2003,2002,8001,7001,8002,500 Morocco

10,90013,30017,00017,10015,05016,400 Russia

7,5257,5257,5257,4257,4306,810 Saudi Arabia

1,4501,6501,3001,8001,0001,150 Syria

5,8005,7005,9005,7006,1007,300 Turkey

5,5005,8005,7005,9005,0006,300 Ukraine

15,16815,40315,06914,42514,75314,709 Others

137,689139,824139,896139,340129,718138,638 Subtotal

4,6814,6824,6125,1274,3244,596 United States

142,370144,506144,508144,467134,042143,234 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,1841,7841,284184333462 Algeria

1,5752,2752,5252,4251,662988 Australia

1,5631,5632,3632,8431,5681,491 Canada

4,2418,28114,36410,8595,7055,824 EU-27

1,1641,1641,364114214903 Morocco

9877371,9873,6371,0251,272 Russia

2,0532,5532,5782,2032,4282,458 Saudi Arabia

6,6256,7046,7796,7265,6896,294 Others

19,39225,06133,24428,99118,62419,692 Subtotal

1,9421,9012,5071,9321,4851,500 United States

21,33426,96235,75130,92320,10921,192 World Total


August 2010

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

476 North America 933 737 500 400 400

723 South America 751 809 850 850 850

167 European Union 519 175 150 150 150

220 Other Europe 207 84 145 125 125


8,278 Middle East 11,580 11,791 10,075 10,000 9,100

1,521 North Africa 1,152 973 825 875 975

51 Sub-Saharan Africa 154 120 110 85 85

2,595 East Asia 2,550 3,000 3,350 3,350 3,350

0 South Asia 3 48 30 30 30

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

14,460 Total 18,228 17,941 16,220 16,045 15,495

Production none

14,365 North America 16,212 17,822 14,969 13,148 13,188

2,352 South America 2,726 3,154 2,417 3,010 3,010

56,220 European Union 57,545 65,452 61,255 56,367 54,827

1,548 Other Europe 1,412 1,613 1,440 1,445 1,400


12,479 Middle East 10,926 8,443 10,480 12,005 11,905

3,835 North Africa 2,493 2,347 7,314 5,345 4,745


3,549 East Asia 3,240 3,300 2,939 3,540 3,540

1,742 South Asia 1,935 1,607 2,297 2,132 1,832

4,657 Oceania 7,560 8,397 8,700 8,000 8,000

136,396 Total 132,959 155,281 149,336 135,538 127,953


15,661 North America 13,040 15,042 14,112 13,682 13,681

2,347 South America 2,627 2,773 2,930 2,835 2,835

55,700 European Union 54,200 57,000 56,500 59,000 60,500

1,738 Other Europe 1,640 1,705 1,610 1,535 1,490


21,439 Middle East 20,841 20,895 19,945 20,895 20,595

4,925 North Africa 4,352 3,987 5,480 6,205 6,305


6,211 East Asia 5,854 6,109 6,355 6,730 6,730

1,742 South Asia 1,605 1,437 2,087 2,062 1,812

4,400 Oceania 3,500 4,400 4,900 4,950 4,850

142,805 Total 134,323 143,792 144,006 144,085 141,849

Ending Stocks none

3,208 North America 3,281 5,112 5,007 3,682 3,723

542 South America 407 641 378 500 503

5,824 European Union 5,705 10,859 14,364 8,281 4,241

321 Other Europe 279 282 237 252 252


4,858 Middle East 4,401 4,406 4,806 5,361 4,811

1,556 North Africa 818 511 3,165 3,125 2,525


920 East Asia 775 949 863 1,003 1,003

57 South Asia 40 78 168 118 118

1,046 Oceania 1,698 2,461 2,561 2,311 1,611

21,192 Total 20,109 30,923 35,751 26,962 21,334




August 2010

World Sorghum Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

1,3001,3001,2009071,172959 Argentina

7007007501,36034025 Australia

2525250116115 Brazil

50505032223144 China

50505054918 India

505050505050 Nigeria

404040482131 South Africa

5050504516272 Others

2,2652,2652,2152,4962,1751,404 Subtotal

3,8003,6004,2003,5986,6644,380 United States

6,0655,8656,4156,0948,8395,784 World Total

none

TY Imports

550550550404268189 Chile

2002002002026667 Colombia

100100150140300 Ethiopia

505025665,2671,474 EU-27

5050507114478 Israel

1,6001,6001,8001,6291,0841,276 Japan

2,7002,5002,6002,4961,1561,954 Mexico

505050505050 Niger

300300400300300300 Sudan

757575728364 Taiwan

215215385257611217 Others

5,8905,6906,2855,6879,0595,669 Subtotal

175175130404-221113 Unaccounted

000312 United States

6,0655,8656,4156,0948,8395,784 World Total



August 2010

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Production

3,8003,8003,8501,6602,9372,795 Argentina

1,7001,7001,6002,6903,7901,283 Australia

2,0002,0001,8251,9102,0001,500 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6841,8751,5071,516 Burkina

1,7001,7001,6501,8371,9202,183 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

2,6002,6002,0842,6192,6592,316 Ethiopia

632632615516525542 EU-27

7,5007,5006,9807,3107,9307,150 India

925925950930901770 Mali

7,1007,0005,8507,0676,2005,810 Mexico

9009007391,214930800 Niger

11,70011,70011,50011,00010,00010,500 Nigeria

4,0004,0002,6304,1924,5005,200 Sudan

850850620700900850 Tanzania

6,4156,4156,2996,3006,2106,398 Others

54,52254,42249,77652,72053,80950,513 Subtotal

9,7408,8909,72811,99812,6367,032 United States

64,26263,31259,50464,71866,44557,545 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,4002,4002,3001,1001,2001,700 Argentina

1,1051,1051,1051,8052,2051,205 Australia

1,9001,9001,9001,9001,8001,375 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6841,8751,5071,516 Burkina

1,7501,7501,8502,0002,0002,050 China

900900900950900900 Egypt

2,6002,6002,4002,7002,6002,300 Ethiopia

7,5007,3006,9007,2007,9007,100 India

1,6001,6001,8001,6001,1001,350 Japan

925925950930901770 Mali

9,6009,6009,5008,6007,2008,100 Mexico

9509508501,2001,000825 Niger

11,65011,65011,45010,9509,95010,450 Nigeria

4,3004,3003,4004,5005,0005,000 Sudan

750750650700900950 Tanzania

8,0738,0738,0648,22413,5958,208 Others

57,98857,73456,02156,10559,80954,423 Subtotal

5,5895,2076,0968,3195,0814,012 United States

63,57762,94162,11764,42464,89058,435 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

644644544194746231 Argentina

26626637167679116 Australia

217217137232220124 Brazil

221436271241183247 India

4864362861,336373217 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

304304309684697997 Sudan

1,1031,1069791,4611,5701,719 Others

3,4413,6093,0975,0244,7803,751 Subtotal

1,0458317041,3901,340814 United States

4,4864,4403,8016,4146,1204,565 World Total


August 2010

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

1,956 North America 1,157 2,499 2,600 2,500 2,700

284 South America 432 665 790 785 785

1,474 European Union 5,267 66 25 50 50

0 Other Europe 142 0 25 25 25

79 Middle East 156 81 55 55 55

0 North Africa 11 45 110 5 5


1,349 East Asia 1,196 1,719 1,910 1,705 1,705

9 Southeast Asia 31 14 10 5 5

3 Others 5 4 0 0 0

5,671 Total 9,060 5,690 6,285 5,690 5,890

Production none

12,842 North America 18,836 19,065 15,578 15,890 16,840

323 Central America 396 298 326 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,117 South America 5,661 4,625 6,581 6,732 6,732

542 European Union 525 516 615 632 632

758 Middle East 836 612 665 685 685

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,191 East Asia 1,940 1,857 1,670 1,720 1,720

7,305 South Asia 8,081 7,455 7,125 7,645 7,645


1,283 Oceania 3,790 2,690 1,600 1,700 1,700

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

57,545 Total 66,445 64,718 59,504 63,312 64,262


12,112 North America 12,281 16,919 15,596 14,807 15,189

323 Central America 375 315 325 325 325

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,159 South America 4,218 4,791 5,897 5,992 5,992

1,280 European Union 6,305 905 630 655 655

834 Middle East 945 724 725 725 725

915 North Africa 924 965 1,015 915 915


3,475 East Asia 3,222 3,699 3,750 3,450 3,450

7,258 South Asia 8,053 7,349 7,045 7,445 7,645


1,205 Oceania 2,205 1,805 1,105 1,105 1,105

0 Others 142 0 25 25 25

57,811 Total 64,839 64,553 61,799 62,810 63,392

Ending Stocks none

1,031 North America 1,713 2,726 990 1,267 1,531

17 Central America 39 21 22 26 26

444 South America 1,043 536 770 955 955

14 European Union 71 33 18 40 40

32 Middle East 78 47 42 57 57

39 North Africa 41 29 39 44 44

1,681 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,428 1,526 919 1,065 1,062

1,042 East Asia 733 578 358 283 283

247 South Asia 183 241 271 436 221

16 Oceania 791 676 371 266 266

2 Others 0 1 1 1 1

4,565 Total 6,120 6,414 3,801 4,440 4,486




August 2010

World Oats Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

555512 Argentina

15015017516117441 Australia

555942 Brazil

1,5001,5001,5501,7892,3211,921 Canada

252525311741 Chile

300300225103133119 EU-27

555274 Russia

55563316 Others

1,9951,9951,9952,1062,6902,146 Subtotal


2,0402,0402,0352,1442,7432,179 World Total

none

TY Imports

555211 Argentina

555234 Bosnia and Herzegovina

151515141718 Canada

50505039139 China

10101021418 Colombia

101010141514 Ecuador

555425 EU-27

606060466862 Japan

1001001008213161 Mexico

555555 Morocco

10103084759 Norway

252525331813 South Africa

505050525651 Switzerland

55561112 Turkey

5551100 Uruguay

00031218 Others

360360380323413350 Subtotal

808055348635 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,6001,7872,2441,794 United States

2,0402,0402,0352,1442,7432,179 World Total



August 2010

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Production

140140140808080 Algeria

350350182291472400 Argentina

1,2601,2601,2601,1601,502748 Australia

800800800600600550 Belarus

475475475475475475 Brazil

2,8002,8002,8004,2734,6963,852 Canada

400400345344384380 Chile

600600600600600600 China

8,1828,3178,5178,9758,6347,768 EU-27

160160160160160140 Kazakhstan

148148148148124152 Mexico

245245245328276248 Norway

4,5005,0005,4005,8005,4004,900 Russia

210210210200200210 Turkey

600700730950550700 Ukraine

475475475457457483 Others

21,34522,08022,48724,84124,61021,686 Subtotal

1,2661,2731,3511,2941,3131,357 United States

22,61123,35323,83826,13525,92323,043 World Total

none

Total Consumption

140140140808688 Algeria

350350200300450400 Argentina

1,1001,1001,1001,0351,335710 Australia

800800800600575550 Belarus

475475475450475475 Brazil

1,7751,7751,7501,7701,9332,283 Canada

365365315325350350 Chile

655655650625615615 China

8,1008,2008,3008,5008,6507,647 EU-27

160160155160150135 Kazakhstan

245245250210235245 Mexico

255255285320340303 Norway

4,6005,1005,6005,4005,4004,900 Russia

215215215215210210 Turkey

600700725925550675 Ukraine

643643643613631651 Others

20,60621,30621,51721,54322,30520,152 Subtotal

3,0163,0163,0112,9683,1613,179 United States

23,62224,32224,52824,51125,46623,331 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

142142132147183197 Australia

757575757550 Belarus

6826821,1421,527950556 Canada

10810811311399101 China

7968311,0091,012625795 EU-27

271271376581183186 Russia

727277775878 Ukraine

206224196223210198 Others

2,3522,4053,1203,7552,3832,161 Subtotal

9239301,1661,221969734 United States

3,2753,3354,2864,9763,3522,895 World Total


August 2010

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

1,873 North America 2,392 1,883 1,715 1,715 1,715

33 South America 30 32 30 30 30


114 Other Europe 108 62 85 65 65


12 Middle East 11 6 5 5 5

14 North Africa 6 5 5 5 5


71 East Asia 81 85 110 110 110

3 Oceania 2 0 0 0 0

2,144 Total 2,657 2,110 1,980 1,960 1,960

Production none

5,361 North America 6,133 5,715 4,299 4,221 4,214

1,303 South America 1,354 1,133 1,043 1,266 1,266

7,768 European Union 8,634 8,975 8,517 8,317 8,182

525 Other Europe 553 605 522 522 522


210 Middle East 200 200 210 210 210

110 North Africa 110 110 170 170 170


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

823 Oceania 1,577 1,235 1,335 1,335 1,335

23,043 Total 25,923 26,135 23,838 23,353 22,611


5,707 North America 5,329 4,948 5,011 5,036 5,036

1,303 South America 1,326 1,121 1,056 1,256 1,256

7,647 European Union 8,650 8,500 8,300 8,200 8,100

635 Other Europe 680 647 617 587 587


210 Middle East 210 215 215 215 215

123 North Africa 121 115 175 175 175


680 East Asia 685 675 710 715 715

785 Oceania 1,410 1,110 1,175 1,175 1,175

23,416 Total 25,146 24,496 24,614 24,194 23,494

Ending Stocks none

1,298 North America 1,927 2,755 2,313 1,620 1,613

113 South America 128 126 104 127 109

795 European Union 625 1,012 1,009 831 796

45 Other Europe 34 53 43 43 43


3 Middle East 6 2 2 2 2

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


105 East Asia 103 115 117 114 114

197 Oceania 183 147 132 142 142

2,895 Total 3,352 4,976 4,286 3,335 3,275




August 2010

World Rye Trade


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

TY Exports

1005050507550 Belarus

757512576167207 Canada

20015010011459313 EU-27

101010148664 Russia

5520600 Ukraine

000030 Others

390290305260390634 Subtotal


395295310266398636 World Total

none

TY Imports

111222 Croatia

10101088836 EU-27

10101011771 Israel

6565755783258 Japan

555768 Korea, South

101015111122 Norway

100000016 Russia

555444 Switzerland

55561418 Turkey

000300 Others

211111126109215435 Subtotal

595959493165 Unaccounted

125125125108152136 United States

395295310266398636 World Total



August 2010

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11

Jul

2010/11

Aug

none

Production

1,4001,4001,7001,5001,3001,200 Belarus

190190280316252383 Canada

8,4928,8529,3069,2367,6796,541 EU-27

505050505050 Kazakhstan

2,5003,3004,3004,5003,9003,000 Russia

270270270250265271 Turkey

5006009501,050550600 Ukraine

172172182203217174 Others

13,57414,83417,03817,10514,21312,219 Subtotal

172172178203160183 United States

13,74615,00617,21617,30814,37312,402 World Total

none

Total Consumption

454555557755 Argentina

1,3001,3501,6001,4001,2001,200 Belarus

160160160147143243 Canada

8,9008,9009,1008,7007,3007,400 EU-27

6565706590258 Japan

505050524750 Kazakhstan

373742596142 Norway

2,7003,3004,3254,4003,7502,950 Russia

275275275275275285 Turkey

750750800800550800 Ukraine

121121121125121175 Others

14,47315,12316,67116,13613,67313,587 Subtotal

286286273292335337 United States

14,75915,40916,94416,42814,00813,924 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

318318318268218193 Belarus

787812312835117 Canada

9621,3721,5601,4441,013616 EU-27

10101051320 Japan

152252262297213182 Russia

161616163330 Turkey

1842944393096565 Ukraine

111111 Others

1,7212,3412,7292,4681,5911,224 Subtotal


1,7402,3602,7532,4811,6011,236 World Total


August 2010

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10

Jul

2010/11

Aug

2010/11

TY Imports none

136 North America 152 108 125 125 125

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


28 Other Europe 17 18 21 16 16


89 Middle East 21 17 15 15 15


266 East Asia 89 64 80 70 70

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

571 Total 367 217 251 236 336

Production none

566 North America 412 519 458 362 362

61 South America 83 61 61 51 51

6,541 European Union 7,679 9,236 9,306 8,852 8,492

90 Other Europe 111 119 98 98 98


271 Middle East 265 250 270 270 270


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

12,402 Total 14,373 17,308 17,216 15,006 13,746


580 North America 478 439 433 446 446

61 South America 83 61 61 51 51

7,400 European Union 7,300 8,700 9,100 8,900 8,900

109 Other Europe 140 137 119 114 114


356 Middle East 282 286 285 285 285


266 East Asia 96 72 75 70 70

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

13,795 Total 13,949 16,370 16,871 15,339 14,689

Ending Stocks none

129 North America 45 141 147 97 97

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

616 European Union 1,013 1,444 1,560 1,372 962

1 Other Europe 1 1 1 1 1

440 Former Soviet Union - 12 496 874 1,019 864 654

30 Middle East 33 16 16 16 16


20 East Asia 13 5 10 10 10

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,236 Total 1,601 2,481 2,753 2,360 1,740




August 2010

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 36 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 37 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 38 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 39 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 45 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 48

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 49 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 50 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 51 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 52 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 53



August 2010

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.15.124.5 2006/07 14.1

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.3

151.1 127.561.025.37.75.627.0 2008/09 18.4

138.2 125.558.021.55.55.425.7 2009/10 15.1

137.5 124.555.024.06.05.425.6 2010/11 10.1

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.9

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.3

150.2 143.6107.86.73.94.533.6 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.0

166.6 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.1

146.3 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.3

137.4 147.9110.34.78.04.331.8 2006/07 15.1

136.1 154.2118.94.620.34.232.0 2007/08 12.8

161.4 151.8114.15.63.44.833.3 2008/09 20.2

151.8 148.5110.63.02.74.732.2 2009/10 23.2

143.2 152.2113.76.13.24.730.6 2010/11 11.3

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.4 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.2

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.8

273.6 262.0164.319.412.74.659.5 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.3 260.3162.114.015.64.357.0 2003/04 24.5

313.5 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.6

278.6 275.1172.420.19.54.858.4 2005/06 45.7

262.3 273.4170.518.513.14.756.3 2006/07 29.2

256.3 270.7171.316.927.24.556.7 2007/08 25.1

312.5 279.3175.130.911.25.260.3 2008/09 38.6

290.0 274.0168.624.58.25.057.9 2009/10 38.2

280.7 276.7168.730.19.25.056.2 2010/11 21.4


August 2010

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.4

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.5

109.3 106.08.02.80.14.623.7 2007/08 39.0

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.7

115.0 105.08.00.91.44.824.2 2009/10 56.2

114.5 105.89.02.00.54.724.3 2010/11 63.4

Coarse Grains

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.398.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.6

147.7 147.1103.23.82.35.129.1 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5105.05.51.25.131.4 2006/07 38.0

159.1 157.0105.80.91.24.932.2 2007/08 40.4

172.7 160.3107.80.21.75.332.5 2008/09 54.2

161.4 164.6109.80.23.04.933.0 2009/10 53.8

173.0 168.8111.80.33.05.233.4 2010/11 60.7


251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.5104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.8

210.4 242.8105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.8 2004/05 76.4

245.1 248.6106.75.23.34.751.9 2005/06 71.1

267.6 255.5109.08.21.54.955.0 2006/07 76.5

268.4 263.0113.83.71.24.855.9 2007/08 79.4

285.1 265.8115.80.92.15.156.2 2008/09 99.9

276.4 269.6117.81.14.44.857.2 2009/10 109.9

287.5 274.6120.82.33.55.057.7 2010/11 124.0


August 2010

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.9 5.50.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 6.01.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 1.8

4.2 5.90.90.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.4

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.4

4.4 5.40.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.6

4.7 5.60.90.51.74.21.1 2008/09 1.9

4.6 5.60.90.81.73.81.2 2009/10 1.8

3.9 5.60.80.41.83.71.1 2010/11 1.5

Coarse Grains

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.210.80.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.010.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.6 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.4 10.49.10.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.3

12.4 10.39.01.90.64.62.7 2008/09 2.1

11.8 10.59.11.80.74.82.4 2009/10 2.3

12.0 10.59.12.20.74.62.6 2010/11 2.2


16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

13.1 16.310.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.3

18.2 18.211.80.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.5

16.9 17.911.51.62.24.43.8 2005/06 2.9

15.9 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 2.9

13.8 15.810.00.92.93.63.8 2007/08 2.9

17.1 15.99.92.42.34.53.8 2008/09 4.0

16.4 16.210.02.62.44.53.7 2009/10 4.1

15.9 16.29.92.62.54.33.7 2010/11 3.7


August 2010

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

85.6 72.421.116.05.01.846.5 2004/05 14.9

91.1 75.123.520.95.51.849.4 2005/06 15.5

84.9 72.621.622.36.01.945.9 2006/07 11.5

92.4 74.923.522.26.01.947.5 2007/08 12.9

115.5 76.324.737.86.52.251.7 2008/09 20.8

113.8 80.427.736.75.32.154.9 2009/10 22.9

87.2 87.234.215.95.91.752.3 2010/11 12.9

Coarse Grains

63.3 55.138.58.11.12.031.2 2004/05 7.5

55.6 50.634.58.61.12.028.4 2005/06 5.0

58.7 51.035.48.51.02.029.8 2006/07 5.2

54.1 50.635.05.31.01.929.2 2007/08 4.4

78.6 57.941.317.10.62.630.7 2008/09 8.6

67.9 55.439.414.90.52.329.3 2009/10 6.7

53.2 46.532.29.81.02.027.1 2010/11 4.5


August 2010

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

16.5 7.52.78.20.01.312.9 2007/08 2.4

12.6 7.52.75.70.10.913.5 2008/09 1.9

17.0 7.62.77.80.11.214.7 2009/10 3.6

11.5 7.72.76.00.10.814.5 2010/11 1.5

Russia

49.4 37.715.012.60.42.024.4 2007/08 3.9

63.7 38.916.218.40.22.426.7 2008/09 10.5

61.7 42.019.018.50.22.128.7 2009/10 11.8

45.0 49.226.03.00.71.726.7 2010/11 5.3

Ukraine

13.9 12.33.01.20.32.36.0 2007/08 2.1

25.9 11.92.913.00.13.77.1 2008/09 3.1

20.9 12.33.39.30.13.16.8 2009/10 2.5

17.0 11.62.86.00.12.66.5 2010/11 1.9

Uzbekistan

6.2 6.81.20.21.04.81.3 2007/08 1.4

6.0 7.11.30.21.44.41.4 2008/09 1.6

6.2 7.41.30.51.64.41.4 2009/10 1.5

6.5 7.51.30.51.34.61.4 2010/11 1.4

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.5 10.61.60.04.22.23.0 2007/08 3.1

7.3 10.91.60.44.72.33.1 2008/09 3.7

8.0 11.21.50.63.42.43.3 2009/10 3.4

7.2 11.31.40.43.82.33.2 2010/11 2.8

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

92.4 74.923.522.26.01.947.5 2007/08 12.9

115.5 76.324.737.86.52.251.7 2008/09 20.8

113.8 80.427.736.75.32.154.9 2009/10 22.9

87.2 87.234.215.95.91.752.3 2010/11 12.9


August 2010


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.5 1.71.40.80.01.41.8 2007/08 0.3

1.8 1.61.30.30.10.92.1 2008/09 0.3

2.6 2.01.70.30.01.32.0 2009/10 0.6

1.3 1.41.10.20.00.81.6 2010/11 0.3

Russia

15.7 15.110.51.00.21.69.6 2007/08 1.0

23.1 17.112.33.40.12.49.6 2008/09 3.6

17.9 17.012.32.60.12.09.1 2009/10 2.0

10.0 10.97.00.40.31.37.5 2010/11 1.0

Ukraine

6.0 5.03.41.00.01.54.1 2007/08 0.8

12.6 5.94.36.40.03.04.2 2008/09 1.1

11.8 5.74.26.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.0

9.0 5.54.14.00.02.04.5 2010/11 0.5

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0


2.8 2.92.00.00.12.21.3 2007/08 0.4

3.6 3.62.80.00.12.81.3 2008/09 0.4

3.0 3.12.30.00.12.51.2 2009/10 0.4

3.2 3.12.20.00.12.61.2 2010/11 0.6


27.2 24.917.52.90.41.616.8 2007/08 2.5

41.3 28.520.910.10.22.417.2 2008/09 5.4

35.6 28.020.79.20.22.117.3 2009/10 4.0

23.7 21.114.64.60.41.614.9 2010/11 2.3


August 2010


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2008/09 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2009/10 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2010/11 0.0

Russia

4.0 4.33.70.00.33.01.3 2007/08 0.2

6.6 5.24.51.30.14.01.7 2008/09 0.3

4.0 3.83.30.40.23.61.1 2009/10 0.2

3.5 3.83.20.00.33.01.2 2010/11 0.2

Ukraine

7.4 5.85.02.10.03.91.9 2007/08 0.7

11.4 5.95.15.50.04.82.4 2008/09 0.7

10.5 5.54.85.20.05.02.1 2009/10 0.5

11.5 6.55.85.00.04.42.6 2010/11 0.6

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0


2.1 2.52.30.00.22.50.8 2007/08 0.3

3.2 3.33.00.10.33.90.8 2008/09 0.5

3.0 3.12.80.10.23.60.8 2009/10 0.5

2.9 3.12.80.10.23.50.8 2010/11 0.4


13.9 13.011.22.10.63.34.2 2007/08 1.1

21.7 14.812.96.90.44.35.0 2008/09 1.6

17.8 12.911.35.70.34.34.1 2009/10 1.2

18.4 13.912.25.10.53.94.7 2010/11 1.1


August 2010

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

12.7 5.30.16.80.02.06.2 2002/03 1.3

15.1 5.40.19.50.02.56.0 2003/04 1.6

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

10.1 5.30.06.80.02.05.1 2008/09 0.4

9.6 4.90.04.50.03.03.2 2009/10 0.6

12.0 5.10.17.00.02.84.3 2010/11 0.5

Australia

10.1 6.13.49.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.2

26.1 6.03.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.64.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.0

13.6 6.53.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 6.93.814.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.6

22.5 7.14.014.50.11.613.8 2009/10 4.6

23.0 7.34.116.50.11.713.3 2010/11 3.9

Canada

16.2 8.03.79.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.318.80.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

26.5 8.63.718.50.42.89.5 2009/10 6.4

20.5 7.12.015.50.42.77.7 2010/11 4.7

Total Wheat Competitors

39.0 19.47.225.40.71.526.1 2002/03 10.2

64.3 18.56.443.30.32.229.2 2003/04 13.0

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4


August 2010


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


52.4 21.99.338.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.4

52.2 18.95.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.4

60.1 20.27.140.30.52.128.7 2008/09 10.5

58.6 20.67.737.50.52.226.5 2009/10 11.5

55.5 19.56.239.00.52.225.3 2010/11 9.1

India

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.50.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.40.20.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.90.10.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.20.10.10.32.927.9 2009/10 16.1

80.7 82.40.10.20.32.828.7 2010/11 14.5

Turkey

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.4

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.6

18.5 17.40.84.43.52.47.8 2009/10 1.7

17.0 17.20.74.03.52.18.0 2010/11 1.0


August 2010


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.8

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.42.3 2003/04 0.4

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 7.05.114.80.16.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.0 6.44.510.30.06.02.5 2008/09 0.5

22.5 7.15.214.00.08.32.7 2009/10 1.9

21.0 7.55.514.00.07.82.7 2010/11 1.4

China

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4

165.9 152.0107.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 53.2

155.0 156.0109.00.21.05.130.4 2009/10 53.0

166.0 160.0111.00.21.05.430.8 2010/11 59.8

South Africa

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

14.0 10.14.42.50.04.33.3 2009/10 5.5

12.5 10.44.62.50.04.23.0 2010/11 5.2

Brazil

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6


August 2010


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

54.4 47.040.08.50.54.212.9 2009/10 11.4

51.0 48.341.37.01.04.012.8 2010/11 8.1

Total Corn Competitors

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.4

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 56.1

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.9

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.7

246.1 208.1150.425.30.94.850.9 2007/08 57.2

244.5 213.8154.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 69.9

245.9 220.2158.625.21.65.049.3 2009/10 71.9

250.5 226.2162.423.72.15.149.3 2010/11 74.6


August 2010


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.03.03.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

8.3 4.53.43.70.01.94.5 2009/10 2.5

7.6 4.53.34.10.01.84.2 2010/11 1.6

Canada

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.87.41.30.13.32.9 2009/10 2.4

8.4 8.36.91.00.13.22.7 2010/11 1.6

EU-27

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

61.3 56.541.51.40.24.413.9 2009/10 14.4

54.8 60.545.04.60.24.312.7 2010/11 4.2


August 2010


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.5

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.9 2.32.11.20.05.50.7 2009/10 0.5

3.8 2.42.21.30.04.80.8 2010/11 0.6

Australia

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.6 1.11.10.80.02.90.5 2009/10 0.4

1.7 1.11.10.70.02.80.6 2010/11 0.3


August 2010

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

17,86734,2936,94627,29127,6353,4603,45668,016nr322,541 2008/09

26,49130,9414,05524,17523,9773,2503,22860,314nr320,181 2009/10

25,91832,2774,62733,00032,6592,7002,72261,641nr319,531 2010/11

Corn

42,504259,272131,62547,75846,965337344307,142nr1031,796 2008/09

36,232289,319140,34150,00050,167200203333,011nr1032,209 2009/10

33,316290,590135,89652,00052,072250254339,492nr1032,782 2010/11

Sorghum

1,3908,3195,9073,5983,6323311,998nr42,942 2008/09

7046,0963,5564,2004,318009,728nr42,234 2009/10

1,0455,5893,0483,8003,810009,740nr52,095 2010/11

Barley

1,9325,1271,4511582885726325,230nr31,529 2008/09

2,5074,6121,0481501234003614,949nr41,260 2009/10

1,9424,6811,0892002183003274,007nr41,030 2010/11

Oats

1,2212,9681,88038491,7871,9751,294nr2567 2008/09

1,1663,0111,92840311,6001,6361,351nr2558 2009/10

9233,0161,91445441,6001,5511,266nr2532 2010/11

Rye

132925668108100203nr2109 2008/09

242733752125108178nr2102 2009/10

192865055125114172nr2101 2010/11

Rice, Milled

9603,964nr2,9833,0046826106,4009,24281,204 2008/09

1,0674,000nr3,4503,4296506196,9179,97381,256 2009/10

1,7744,047nr3,4753,5616656357,68011,15381,414 2010/11

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.


August 2010

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8655.1202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0618.2203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2642.9208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5667.3190.12.6549.0 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.6 398.41,389.9662.3205.22.6548.8 1992/93

1,356.1 365.21,389.2654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.5 361.71,396.0666.9200.12.6537.6 1994/95

1,338.5 319.31,380.9637.4187.52.5533.4 1995/96

1,490.5 367.41,442.4670.4198.42.7552.9 1996/97

1,491.6 414.71,444.3680.8190.32.8539.5 1997/98

1,481.9 447.61,449.0681.0198.72.8534.0 1998/99

1,464.9 443.31,468.6686.0214.32.8514.7 1999/00

1,446.7 419.61,470.5693.9205.12.8514.1 2000/01

1,479.7 403.41,495.9708.3208.52.9516.3 2001/02

1,443.2 340.21,506.4707.1209.92.8506.9 2002/03

1,470.9 276.91,534.2712.4206.42.8516.3 2003/04

1,642.1 332.91,586.1751.1215.33.2518.0 2004/05

1,598.7 316.21,615.5750.4222.73.1520.7 2005/06

1,583.4 271.71,627.9740.7230.33.1518.6 2006/07

1,691.2 288.61,674.2753.2245.53.2536.6 2007/08

1,792.9 359.31,722.1764.2253.73.3539.1 2008/09

1,783.9 381.81,761.4770.6245.73.4531.4 2009/10

1,753.6 346.81,788.7775.2240.33.3529.3 2010/11

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


August 2010

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

495.3 135.3519.5104.0104.32.3217.9 1988/89

533.1 137.1531.3103.7103.92.4226.3 1989/90

588.8 171.6554.3130.1101.32.5231.7 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.6 177.0548.5110.9113.22.5222.8 1992/93

558.5 182.5553.0108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

523.0 163.4542.199.6101.52.4214.5 1994/95

537.5 155.9545.192.799.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.5 164.5572.897.4104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.2 198.1576.7101.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.4 209.2579.2105.3102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.8 210.3585.8100.5111.92.7215.7 1999/00

583.1 207.7585.7105.2102.42.7218.0 2000/01

583.5 204.3586.9107.2108.02.7215.4 2001/02

568.5 168.6604.2111.6107.02.6214.8 2002/03

554.8 134.2589.297.3103.82.6209.9 2003/04

626.7 153.3607.6106.6114.02.9217.6 2004/05

619.2 150.4622.1112.6114.12.8219.7 2005/06

596.1 130.9615.6107.9115.62.8213.3 2006/07

611.2 124.9617.398.1116.72.8217.9 2007/08

683.3 165.5642.6118.4143.13.0225.5 2008/09

680.3 194.0651.8117.5132.63.0225.6 2009/10

645.7 174.8664.9120.2124.52.9221.8 2010/11

Coarse Grains

722.8 204.0782.5514.299.02.2324.6 1988/89

794.3 183.4814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6317.2 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.5314.4 1995/96

909.0 202.9869.6573.094.42.8322.6 1996/97

881.4 216.7867.6578.985.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.4 238.3869.8575.796.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.1 233.1882.8585.5102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.6 211.9884.8588.7102.72.9296.0 2000/01

896.2 199.1909.0601.1100.53.0300.9 2001/02

874.7 171.6902.2595.5102.83.0292.1 2002/03

916.1 142.7945.0615.1102.63.0306.4 2003/04

1,015.4 179.7978.5644.6101.33.4300.4 2004/05

979.5 165.8993.4637.8108.63.3301.0 2005/06

987.3 140.71,012.3632.8114.73.2305.3 2006/07

1,080.0 163.71,056.9655.1128.83.4318.7 2007/08

1,109.6 193.81,079.5645.8110.73.5313.6 2008/09

1,103.6 187.91,109.6653.1113.03.6305.8 2009/10

1,107.9 172.01,123.7655.0115.83.6307.5 2010/11

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


August 2010

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

400.4 145.3452.8306.866.03.2126.1 1988/89

461.7 132.9474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.7 1996/97

574.5 166.5573.8400.463.14.2136.3 1997/98

606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4139.2 1998/99

608.1 193.9605.3422.472.34.4139.1 1999/00

591.5 175.1610.3427.475.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.4 151.3625.1436.372.84.4137.7 2001/02

603.1 127.0627.4432.877.04.4137.3 2002/03

627.3 105.2649.1445.379.14.4141.9 2003/04

715.5 131.7689.0475.076.04.9145.3 2004/05

699.4 124.6706.5477.682.74.8145.5 2005/06

713.5 110.1728.0477.491.54.8149.6 2006/07

793.6 131.3772.4496.898.34.9160.5 2007/08

797.8 147.5781.6478.884.05.0158.2 2008/09

808.4 139.0816.9486.987.85.2155.5 2009/10

831.6 139.2831.4493.691.45.2158.8 2010/11

Barley

164.4 31.7166.3121.919.02.276.3 1988/89

166.2 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.573.0 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.276.6 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.365.6 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.012.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.8132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.616.22.553.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.795.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.4 27.3136.395.016.32.455.7 2002/03

142.2 23.1146.4102.714.82.459.6 2003/04

152.4 33.0142.6100.217.02.657.9 2004/05

136.3 28.0141.297.317.52.456.0 2005/06

136.4 21.2143.298.114.62.456.9 2006/07

133.0 20.1134.091.418.62.357.3 2007/08

155.3 30.9144.5100.618.22.855.9 2008/09

149.3 35.8144.5100.416.52.755.4 2009/10

128.0 21.3142.498.315.92.551.9 2010/11

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


August 2010

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.2 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.7 117.6365.420.8364.03.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.3 1995/96

565.4 120.3379.318.9381.53.8150.0 1996/97

575.0 127.7379.827.6387.33.8151.3 1997/98

586.9 134.0388.624.8394.93.8152.7 1998/99

608.9 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.3 1999/00

594.4 146.6395.824.4399.43.9151.9 2000/01

595.5 132.8413.927.8400.13.9150.9 2001/02

564.2 103.0408.827.5379.03.9146.4 2002/03

586.0 80.9414.727.2392.73.9148.9 2003/04

597.5 73.1409.128.9401.33.9151.3 2004/05

623.9 76.0415.829.1418.64.1153.4 2005/06

627.1 75.0421.331.9420.44.1154.2 2006/07

647.2 80.6428.029.7433.64.2155.0 2007/08

670.3 90.9437.829.3448.04.2157.8 2008/09

662.3 95.0438.530.1442.64.3155.1 2009/10

687.5 97.5456.631.3459.24.3160.1 2010/11

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


August 2010

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.



August 2010

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled



August 2010

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 07-10 July 2010. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 08-10 August 2010. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



August 2010

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