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Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service February 2017

Stiff Competition Among Rice Exporters as Global Trade Expands

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Global rice trade is forecast to rise in 2017, on larger imports by Asian and Middle Eastern countries. Trade is projected up 3 percent from the prior year to the third-largest on record. This reverses the recent 2-year contraction that occurred as countries sought to increase domestic production and self-sufficiency, at times through restrictive trade measures. With global supplies at a record and production up for most major exporters, the competition for exports is expected to be intense. India is forecast to remain the largest exporter for the sixth consecutive year. Basmati exports account for over a third of its trade, and competition from Pakistan is limited. For non-fragrant white rice, exports are forecast to remain competitive on sufficient carry-in stocks and a larger crop. Meanwhile, exports from Thailand are forecast slightly higher this year, aided by expanded production and large carry-over. The government is committed to liquidating stocks that were accumulated over several years. Although the majority of remaining stocks are considered non-food grade quality and are expected be used domestically for feed or ethanol, much of the food-grade quality may be allocated to foreign markets. These exports will likely continue to compete with lower-priced Vietnamese rice. Exports from Vietnam are expected to rebound this year from the lowest level in a decade. This is based on improved prospects to Asian markets such as the Philippines, where quantitative restrictions are set to expire later this year. Given this stiff competition, U.S. exports are forecast up only fractionally from the previous year, driven by stronger demand in traditional Western Hemisphere markets.

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Milled Rice Exports

India

Thailand

Vietnam

United States

Pakistan

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2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

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Global Rice Trade

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2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 10 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 15 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 35 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 54 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to the Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads), select PSD Reports, and then on the left click Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/home Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA February 2017Office of Global Analysis

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads


http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/home

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/152016/172015/162014/15

Production

United States (Jun-May) 55.1 56.1 62.9 7.1 6.1 7.1 361.1 345.5 384.8

Other 673.2 679.5 685.3 471.5 465.9 473.0 654.5 615.2 655.4

World Total 728.3 735.6 748.2 478.6 472.0 480.1 1,015.6 960.7 1,040.2

Domestic Consumption


Other 669.1 677.6 702.0 470.7 464.8 471.5 661.8 680.1 706.0

World Total 700.4 709.6 735.9 475.0 468.4 475.7 963.6 979.0 1,020.8

Ending Stocks


Other 197.0 214.2 217.6 113.4 115.0 116.3 165.8 166.3 158.7

World Total 217.5 240.8 248.6 115.0 116.5 118.0 209.8 210.4 217.6

TY Imports


Other 155.0 165.6 172.2 38.8 36.2 37.8 124.9 136.6 138.5

World Total 159.0 168.7 175.6 39.6 37.0 38.6 125.7 138.4 139.9

TY Exports


Other 138.8 150.2 150.8 39.2 36.8 37.9 81.6 93.7 86.6

World Total 161.8 172.1 178.3 42.6 40.3 41.5 128.4 144.9 143.1

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

Global wheat production remains at a record, but is reduced this month mainly on lower crops

for India and Kazakhstan. Global trade is boosted to a new record with higher imports for China,

Morocco, and Vietnam more than offsetting cuts for Ethiopia, EU, and South Korea. Larger

exports for Argentina, Ukraine, and the United States are partially offset by reductions in

Kazakhstan and Russia. The U.S. season-average farm price is raised $0.05 to $3.85 per bushel.

U.S. PRICES:

Domestic: Prices for most wheat classes were up during the month of January, underpinned by

2017/18 U.S. crop prospects as well as a weakening dollar. On January 12, USDA released its

Winter Wheat and Canola Seedings report, which estimated U.S. winter wheat area to be the

lowest in over 100 years. Hard Red Winter (HRW) was up $11/ton to $202, while Soft Red

Winter (SRW) gained $10/ton to $184. Soft White Winter (SWW) surged $33/ton to $220,

while Hard Red Spring (HRS) jumped $29/ton to $284, both supported by adverse weather

conditions which slowed deliveries to Pacific Northwest ports. Furthermore, the growing gap

between HRS and most other wheat classes is indicative of tight supplies of high-protein wheat

in the global market.

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270

280

290

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U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS

*Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan


5

SOUTHEAST ASIAN WHEAT IMPORTS RISING

Southeast Asian wheat imports have more than doubled over the past decade. Milling-quality

wheat demand has grown as diets have shifted towards more wheat products. Furthermore, feed

and residual use in the region has more than doubled due to rapidly rising demand from the

livestock, poultry, and aquaculture sectors. While food use is expected to continue rising, the

growth of feed and residual use for the region is forecast to slow in 2016/17. Indonesia and

Thailand are forecast to import less feed-quality wheat than the previous year due to policy

restrictions on feed wheat imports in both countries. Also contributing to Thailand’s reduced use

of wheat is higher rice feeding from non-food-grade rice stocks. However, lower imports for

Indonesia and Thailand are offset by surging imports for Vietnam, where demand for feed grains

continues to rise.

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Southeast Asia Wheat Consumption

FSI Consumption

Feed and Residual


6

TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17

Selected Exporters

Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 9.5 million on a faster pace of shipments.

Kazakhstan is lowered 1.0 million tons to 7.5 million on tighter exportable supplies.

Russia is reduced 500,000 tons to 28.5 million based on the slower-than-anticipated pace

of trade.

Ukraine is raised 800,000 tons to 16.5 million based on lower domestic use and strong

demand from Asian markets.

United States is boosted 1.5 million tons to 27.5 million on the brisk pace of sales and

shipments.

Selected Importers

Bangladesh is raised 200,000 tons to 5.5 million on a stronger pace of trade and higher

expected food use.

China is up 500,000 tons to 4.0 million as high-quality wheat is in strong demand for

blending with the lower-quality domestic crop.

Ethiopia is cut 500,000 tons to 1.5 million based on slow pace of imports and the reduced

size of the government’s recent tender.

European Union is cut 500,000 tons to 6.0 million on the slow pace of trade.

Indonesia is raised 200,000 tons to 9.0 million on stronger demand for milling-quality

wheat.

South Korea is lowered 500,000 tons to 4.5 million based on the declining

competitiveness of wheat in feed rations.

Morocco is up 500,000 tons to 5.5 million based on recent purchases, which signal an

effort to rebuild stocks.

Vietnam is up sharply by 1.4 million tons to 5.0 million based on strong feed demand.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

9,5009,0008,7504,2001,6757,450 Argentina

23,50023,50015,78216,57518,33921,269 Australia

1,6001,6001,0631,688811,753 Brazil

21,00021,00022,14124,87722,15618,584 Canada

25,50025,50034,67735,41832,03222,786 European Union

7,5008,5007,6005,5078,0006,801 Kazakhstan

1,5001,5001,5681,1041,322729 Mexico

28,50029,00025,54322,80018,60911,308 Russia

5,6005,6005,6094,1344,2933,583 Turkey

16,50015,70017,43111,2699,7557,190 Ukraine

10,09710,11210,04911,22214,73118,084 Others

150,797151,012150,213138,794130,993119,537 Subtotal

27,50026,00021,85622,99931,51927,734 United States

178,297177,012172,069161,793162,512147,271 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,7002,7002,7002,0002,0501,600 Afghanistan

8,2008,2008,1537,2577,4846,484 Algeria

5,5005,3004,6933,9293,3542,725 Bangladesh

7,3007,3005,9225,8697,0617,547 Brazil

4,0003,5003,4761,9266,7732,960 China

2,0002,0002,0321,6271,7331,507 Colombia

11,80011,80011,92511,30010,1508,400 Egypt

6,0006,5006,9165,9753,9765,276 European Union

3,7003,7003002732220 India

9,0008,80010,1167,4787,3917,146 Indonesia

2,3002,3002,2202,2533,2463,948 Iraq

5,8005,8005,7155,8786,1236,598 Japan

4,5005,0004,4203,9424,2885,439 Korea, South

4,6004,6004,8054,4764,6393,823 Mexico

5,5005,0004,5034,0863,9283,825 Morocco

4,5004,5004,4104,2444,5804,168 Nigeria

5,0005,0004,8505,0553,4763,620 Philippines

3,5003,5002,9313,4873,4291,921 Saudi Arabia

2,3002,3002,0212,6322,6641,793 Sudan

2,3002,3009658651,603963 Syria

3,8003,8004,8723,4921,7591,840 Thailand

5,0005,0004,3965,9604,1493,312 Turkey

2,7002,7002,6542,2302,2241,863 Uzbekistan

5,0003,6003,0692,2962,1571,671 Vietnam

3,3503,3503,3233,2453,4253,207 Yemen

51,81152,26654,24253,23254,02049,609 Others

172,161170,816165,629155,007155,704141,265 Subtotal

2,7362,7963,3842,8222,0482,555 Unaccounted

3,4003,4003,0563,9644,7603,451 United States

178,297177,012172,069161,793162,512147,271 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Production

15,00015,00011,30013,93010,5009,300 Argentina

33,00033,00024,50023,74325,30322,856 Australia

6,7006,7005,5406,0005,3004,380 Brazil

31,70031,70027,59429,42037,53027,205 Canada

128,850128,850130,190126,208121,930121,023 China

8,1008,1008,1008,3008,2508,500 Egypt

144,862144,324160,000156,912144,583133,949 European Union

87,00090,00086,53095,85093,50694,882 India

15,50015,50015,00013,00014,50013,800 Iran

14,98516,50013,74812,99613,9419,841 Kazakhstan

25,30025,30025,10025,97924,21123,473 Pakistan

72,50072,50061,04459,08052,09137,720 Russia

17,25017,50019,50015,25018,75016,000 Turkey

26,80027,00027,27424,75022,27815,761 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,2007,1506,8006,700 Uzbekistan

50,63250,65756,84954,56457,47451,942 Others

685,379689,831679,469673,132656,947597,332 Subtotal

62,85962,85956,11755,14758,10561,298 United States

748,238752,690735,586728,279715,052658,630 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,25010,45010,25010,0509,8509,450 Algeria

11,50011,50010,50010,70011,40010,900 Brazil

10,20010,2007,8709,0509,4229,555 Canada

118,000117,000112,000116,500116,500125,000 China

19,70019,70019,20019,10018,50018,700 Egypt

129,200129,200130,984124,677117,300119,250 European Union

96,84096,84088,55193,10293,84883,824 India

9,3009,2009,1007,3657,1656,950 Indonesia

18,50018,50018,00017,50017,00016,000 Iran

10,20010,2009,8009,0009,0008,300 Morocco

24,50024,50024,40024,50024,10023,900 Pakistan

39,00039,00037,00035,50034,10033,550 Russia

17,80017,80018,00017,50017,75017,650 Turkey

11,30011,80012,30011,50011,50011,400 Ukraine

9,7009,7009,3508,9008,4008,000 Uzbekistan

166,009165,224160,281154,087150,393146,845 Others

706,484705,898680,304674,362663,686641,457 Subtotal

33,91133,99332,02131,33434,26137,810 United States

740,395739,891712,325705,696697,947679,267 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,6616,6615,9714,6704,5584,663 Australia

6,1566,1565,1717,09010,3985,112 Canada

111,092111,59297,04276,10565,27453,960 China

10,14710,13113,98512,7309,93810,711 European Union

8,00011,00014,54017,22017,83024,200 India

5,9765,9768,1767,9167,3015,116 Iran

11,10110,6015,6016,2855,1774,933 Russia

58,47058,88463,72865,01258,38149,584 Others

217,603221,001214,214197,028178,857158,279 Subtotal

31,00632,28526,55220,47716,06519,538 United States

248,609253,286240,766217,505194,922177,817 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

7,759 North America 9,841 8,930 8,353 8,485 8,485

1,654 Central America 1,833 1,834 1,833 1,950 1,950

14,422 South America 14,866 13,132 13,340 15,030 15,130

5,276 European Union - 28 3,976 5,975 6,916 6,500 6,000

1,632 Other Europe 1,858 1,760 1,828 1,795 1,795

7,248 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,506 7,681 7,371 7,520 7,520

24,250 Middle East 28,434 26,921 24,376 25,275 25,350

22,047 North Africa 25,246 25,430 27,852 28,100 28,600

18,508 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,502 21,261 23,162 22,775 22,245

17,354 East Asia 19,465 14,115 16,224 16,810 16,810

5,308 South Asia 6,721 8,163 8,785 12,906 13,006

16,294 Southeast Asia 17,176 20,545 25,487 23,750 25,350

2,964 Others 3,040 3,224 3,158 3,320 3,320

144,716 Total 160,464 158,971 168,685 174,216 175,561

Production none

91,734 North America 99,012 88,254 87,462 98,459 98,422

18,011 South America 19,762 24,352 21,388 25,311 25,311

133,949 European Union - 28 144,583 156,912 160,000 144,324 144,862

3,431 Other Europe 4,103 3,929 4,018 4,606 4,606


37,038 Middle East 41,708 35,414 41,795 39,310 39,060

17,501 North Africa 19,661 17,013 19,912 14,131 14,131


122,490 East Asia 123,248 127,650 131,515 130,136 130,136

126,412 South Asia 125,917 130,154 119,840 123,645 120,645

23,345 Oceania 25,751 24,157 24,914 33,430 33,418

181 Others 187 186 191 191 191

658,630 Total 715,052 728,279 735,586 752,690 748,238

Domestic Consumption none

53,990 North America 50,333 47,234 46,891 51,313 51,231

26,212 South America 27,126 26,780 26,675 28,015 28,065

119,250 European Union - 28 117,300 124,677 130,984 129,200 129,200

4,721 Other Europe 4,807 4,850 4,880 5,120 5,120


56,786 Middle East 58,767 58,462 60,240 61,110 61,185

41,340 North Africa 42,475 42,726 43,646 44,875 44,675


140,071 East Asia 130,201 129,524 125,239 131,200 131,700

121,007 South Asia 132,041 132,302 128,959 138,661 138,651

16,515 Southeast Asia 16,610 19,295 23,195 23,440 24,840

8,111 Oceania 8,280 8,569 8,612 9,365 9,365

3,366 Others 3,494 3,571 3,574 3,774 3,774

687,084 Total 690,489 700,365 709,607 734,807 735,910

Ending Stocks none

24,925 North America 26,782 28,095 32,239 38,837 37,521

3,538 South America 6,834 8,468 5,024 5,019 5,084

10,711 European Union - 28 9,938 12,730 13,985 10,131 10,147

1,057 Other Europe 935 1,101 1,112 1,018 1,018


14,300 Middle East 18,801 18,344 18,441 15,271 15,021

12,069 North Africa 14,049 13,204 16,537 13,213 13,913


57,214 East Asia 68,314 79,217 100,432 114,788 114,288

27,995 South Asia 21,661 23,219 21,224 17,664 14,824

3,718 Southeast Asia 3,491 3,891 5,310 4,735 4,900

4,978 Oceania 4,861 4,956 6,217 6,928 6,905

341 Others 367 388 359 380 380

177,817 Total 194,922 217,505 240,766 253,286 248,609

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


10

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW For 2016/17, global rice production, already at a record, is raised fractionally this month on revisions to the crops in Bangladesh and Kazakhstan. Global trade is up, with larger imports for the United Arab Emirates and Brazil. Exports are raised for India, Thailand, and Burma. Global stocks are revised slightly lower, but are still the highest in 15 years. PRICES

Exporter quotes for long-grain rice rose for a number of markets over the past month. Pakistani quotes increased the most, up $40/mt to $395, on stronger purchases from China and East Africa. Indian quotes rose $15/mt to $370, reflecting robust African purchases. The Vietnamese quotes went up $7/mt to $346, with relatively quiet trading during the Lunar New Year holidays. Western Hemisphere quotes rose $20/mt to $494 for Uruguay and $5/mt to $460 for the United States, partly in response to the recent Iraq tender. In contrast, Thai quotes declined $9/mt to $370 in anticipation of government auctions of stocks.

300

350

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450

500

550

$/MT Weekly Price Quotes: Last 12 Months

U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B

VIET 5% INDI 5%

PAK 5% UGY 5%


11

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2017

• Burma exports are lifted 100,000 tons to 1.5 million on improved prospects to Asian markets.

• India exports are raised 300,000 tons to 10.3 million on enhanced opportunities in the Middle East.

• Thailand exports are boosted 300,000 tons to 10.0 million on commitments from the government to auction food-grade stocks. Exports for 2016 are up 367,000 tons to 9.9 on final data.

• United Arab Emirates imports are up 140,000 tons to 750,000 on growing consumption demand by foreign workers and tourists, in addition to the local population. Imports for 2016 are also lifted 70,000 tons to 670,000.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

550550527310494526 Argentina

250250150323404460 Australia

650650641895852830 Brazil

1,5001,4001,1711,7351,6881,163 Burma

1,0001,0009001,1501,0001,075 Cambodia

275275275262393447 China

300300200250600700 Egypt

280280270251284203 European Union

500500460486446346 Guyana

10,30010,00010,20011,04611,58810,480 India

4,2004,2004,3004,0003,7004,126 Pakistan

470470581371380365 Paraguay

10,0009,7009,8679,77910,9696,722 Thailand

850840983718957939 Uruguay

5,8005,8005,1006,6066,3256,700 Vietnam

1,0301,0151,0991,0901,0811,116 Others

37,95537,23036,72439,27241,16136,198 Subtotal

3,5503,5503,5413,3552,9473,295 United States

41,50540,78040,26542,62744,10839,493 World Total

none

TY Imports

475475450450500430 Angola

700650771363586712 Brazil

530530530525610550 Cameroon

5,0005,0004,5005,1504,4503,500 China

1,3501,3501,3001,150950830 Cote d'Ivoire

510510544575377413 Cuba

1,8501,8501,8001,7861,5561,375 European Union

650650650500590725 Ghana

500500450350380360 Guinea

490490470447387416 Haiti

1,0001,0001,1001,3501,225650 Indonesia

1,0501,0501,1001,3001,4002,220 Iran

1,0001,0009001,0091,0801,294 Iraq

685700685688669690 Japan

470470460450440410 Kenya

9509509501,051989885 Malaysia

750750700719685749 Mexico

600600575575590500 Mozambique

550550450529510340 Nepal

1,9001,9002,0002,1003,2002,400 Nigeria

1,4001,4008002,0001,8001,000 Philippines

1,5501,5501,5001,6001,4591,326 Saudi Arabia

990990985990960902 Senegal

9259251,000912910990 South Africa

750610670580560540 United Arab Emirates

11,25911,26910,89611,72813,51411,561 Others

37,88437,71936,23638,87740,37735,768 Subtotal

2,8712,3113,2612,9922,9763,050 Unaccounted

750750768758755675 United States

41,50540,78040,26542,62744,10839,493 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Milled Production

34,58134,51534,50034,50034,39033,820 Bangladesh

7,8207,8207,2108,4658,3008,037 Brazil

12,50012,50012,20012,60011,95711,715 Burma

4,7004,7004,7054,7004,7254,670 Cambodia

144,850144,850145,770144,560142,530143,000 China

4,5544,5544,0004,5304,7504,675 Egypt

106,500106,500104,320105,482106,646105,241 India

36,60036,60036,20035,56036,30036,550 Indonesia

7,7907,7907,6707,8497,9317,907 Japan

4,1974,2004,3274,2414,2304,006 Korea, South

3,1003,1003,1003,1003,3613,003 Nepal

6,6406,6406,8006,9006,7985,536 Pakistan

11,50011,50011,00011,91511,85811,428 Philippines

18,60018,60015,80018,75020,46020,200 Thailand

27,80027,80027,45828,16628,16127,537 Vietnam

41,28541,23040,85140,12939,82138,857 Others

473,017472,899465,911471,447472,218466,182 Subtotal

7,1177,1176,1337,1066,1176,348 United States

480,134480,016472,044478,553478,335472,530 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,00035,00035,10035,10034,90034,500 Bangladesh

7,8507,8507,8507,9257,9007,850 Brazil

11,00011,00010,80010,50010,45010,400 Burma

3,7253,7253,7003,6153,6503,550 Cambodia

144,000144,000144,000144,500143,000141,000 China

4,0004,0003,9004,0004,0004,050 Egypt

3,6503,6503,5503,4003,2503,250 European Union

97,00097,00093,48098,24498,72793,972 India

37,50037,50037,90038,30038,50038,127 Indonesia

8,5008,5008,5008,6008,3808,351 Japan

4,7004,4844,2124,1974,4224,489 Korea, South

5,0005,0005,2005,4005,5005,300 Nigeria

12,90013,10013,00013,20012,85012,850 Philippines

10,30010,3009,10010,00010,60010,600 Thailand

22,70022,70022,60022,00022,00021,600 Vietnam

63,64363,50061,93061,73361,81259,157 Others

474,441473,620466,995473,161474,371461,649 Subtotal

4,1904,1913,5554,3013,9773,779 United States

478,631477,811470,550477,462478,348465,428 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

69,31069,31063,73557,43653,10249,832 China

1,4781,478924924610427 Egypt

17,70017,90018,40017,80022,80025,500 India

3,6113,6113,5114,1115,5016,476 Indonesia

2,5122,5162,6222,8213,0072,857 Japan

1,7361,8211,8311,406899780 Korea, South

6,9537,0208,40311,27011,99912,808 Thailand

13,00413,46615,55517,64214,92814,048 Others

116,304117,122114,981113,410112,846112,728 Subtotal

1,6551,5911,4751,5521,0251,156 United States

117,959118,713116,456114,962113,871113,884 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,779 North America 1,801 1,839 1,818 1,865 1,865

969 Caribbean 911 1,174 1,174 1,155 1,155

1,833 South America 1,814 1,685 1,979 1,762 1,812

125 Other Europe 132 128 135 140 140

557 Former Soviet Union - 12 626 569 485 501 491

7,252 Middle East 6,711 6,467 5,865 6,100 6,240

487 North Africa 485 391 470 670 670


5,349 East Asia 6,044 6,686 6,004 6,631 6,616

722 South Asia 2,566 1,692 825 1,060 1,060

3,606 Southeast Asia 5,023 5,674 4,088 4,420 4,420

2,197 Others 2,392 2,531 2,786 2,675 2,675

36,443 Total 41,132 39,635 37,004 38,469 38,634

Production none

6,479 North America 6,248 7,285 6,289 7,290 7,307

974 Caribbean 1,054 979 992 982 982

15,852 South America 16,384 16,431 15,397 15,922 15,907

2,100 European Union - 28 1,937 1,954 2,050 2,050 2,050


2,251 Middle East 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,521 2,521

4,704 North Africa 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,554 4,554


157,953 East Asia 157,701 159,486 160,211 159,584 159,581

150,660 South Asia 154,377 153,218 152,411 153,508 153,574

115,490 Southeast Asia 116,867 115,367 111,089 115,471 115,471

1,501 Others 1,339 1,207 811 1,378 1,378

472,530 Total 478,335 478,553 472,044 480,016 480,134


4,987 North America 5,216 5,539 4,788 5,446 5,445

1,171 Central America 1,200 1,203 1,338 1,333 1,333

1,954 Caribbean 1,992 2,051 2,142 2,201 2,201

14,341 South America 14,582 14,637 14,754 14,788 14,773

3,250 European Union - 28 3,250 3,400 3,550 3,650 3,650


8,989 Middle East 9,190 9,235 8,796 8,808 8,948

4,572 North Africa 4,480 4,379 4,220 4,370 4,370


157,459 East Asia 159,414 160,566 159,592 160,209 160,425

137,375 South Asia 143,433 143,291 138,677 142,103 142,103

101,694 Southeast Asia 102,763 102,557 102,244 103,441 103,241

713 Others 717 556 530 545 545

462,825 Total 473,918 475,015 468,377 475,500 475,658

Ending Stocks none

1,349 North America 1,184 1,717 1,602 1,742 1,830

186 Central America 210 233 305 293 293

289 Caribbean 264 223 227 168 168

1,586 South America 1,844 2,151 1,435 1,357 1,345

1,188 European Union - 28 1,163 1,151 1,182 1,152 1,152

2,004 Middle East 1,864 1,777 1,163 951 951

427 North Africa 610 924 924 1,478 1,478


53,832 East Asia 57,296 61,919 68,424 73,903 73,814

26,891 South Asia 24,920 21,428 21,571 19,840 19,697

23,486 Southeast Asia 21,976 20,857 17,427 15,840 15,252

238 Oceania 241 223 73 180 180

179 Others 166 168 146 131 121

113,884 Total 113,871 114,962 116,456 118,713 117,959




15

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Record corn production for 2016/17 is raised from last month with larger crops in both Ukraine and Mexico more than offsetting lower production in the EU. Robust demand in both Iran and Vietnam support a higher volume of global exports. Moreover, a smaller barley crop in Iran boosts the demand for imported feedstuffs. The U.S. season-average farm price for corn is unchanged at $3.40 per bushel. PRICES Corn prices in major exporting countries are minimally changed from last month. Argentine quotes are around $182 per ton, mostly unchanged from last month, while Brazilian FOB quotes have been seasonally unavailable. Black Sea quotes are nearly the same at $170. U.S. prices displayed the strongest growth, briefly surpassing $170 but nevertheless retreating to $168 per ton. Reflecting abundant new-crop supplies, both U.S. and Black Sea quotes show significant divergence from South American bids in advance of upcoming harvests. However, Argentine forward prices, March onward, are competitive relative to the United States.

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River


16

TRADE CHANGES IN 2016/17 Selected Exporters

• U.S. sorghum is cut 500,000 tons to 5.8 million on a continued slow pace of sales and shipments particularly to China.

• Canadian corn is up 300,000 tons to 1.0 million reflecting larger sales to Spain.

• Kazakh barley is boosted 300,000 tons to 1.0 million with the brisk pace of recent exports.

• Ukrainian corn is raised 700,000 tons to 18.7 million reflecting higher exportable supplies.

• European Union barley is down 300,000 tons to 5.9 million due to the slow pace of exports.

Selected Importers

• Chinese sorghum is cut 500,000 tons to 4.5 million on a slower pace to date. Note: 2016/17 (Oct-Sep) corn consumption is boosted this month to partly offset lower imports of alternative feedstuffs, particularly sorghum and distillers’ dried grains (DDGS). Since the elimination of the support price, corn prices in China have dropped substantially, encouraging greater use of domestic corn. Also, higher duties on U.S. DDGS have resulted in substantially lower imports. The corn use for food, seed, industrial (FSI) is also raised as lower prices and government support policies are expected to promote domestic use and exports of corn products - corn starch, glucose, fructose, and citric acid. As a result, corn ending stocks are forecast lower from last month.

• Iranian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 7.5 million to partly offset the smaller barley crop.

• Vietnamese corn is raised 500,000 tons to 8.0 million reflecting larger shipments from Argentina.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

28,35528,35525,28421,00316,63029,497 Argentina

7,7757,7756,6827,2917,0096,416 Australia

22,03022,03035,41521,95422,05926,078 Brazil

4,4504,0504,6873,5995,4824,658 Canada

8,2308,53010,93415,0687,8418,943 European Union

2,3152,3152,6763,0312,7182,861 Paraguay

9,2359,2358,4659,1557,0744,366 Russia

2,5602,5601,5463,0011,799605 Serbia

1,3251,3257697622,1282,412 South Africa

23,91023,21021,45724,20824,12515,527 Ukraine

7,4307,1257,9598,42111,61010,454 Others

117,615116,510125,874117,493108,475111,817 Subtotal

62,48562,98559,29556,42356,77620,586 United States

180,100179,495185,169173,916165,251132,403 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,4255,4255,2244,8634,9463,289 Algeria

2,2502,2502,1211,0231,1841,238 Brazil

2,0252,0251,8051,7071,6211,327 Chile

12,70013,20017,49925,69912,4455,603 China

5,1405,1404,8244,7474,7954,090 Colombia

9,1059,1058,8497,9408,7755,097 Egypt

13,65513,65514,2619,40816,35511,778 European Union

9,1008,6008,3008,0006,6004,800 Iran

1,8101,8101,5101,6032,0731,564 Israel

16,87016,87017,06316,72617,50117,742 Japan

1,4751,4751,7221,4591,6721,406 Jordan

9,8859,88510,19210,24510,4998,265 Korea, South

1,5001,5001,9051,6851,4931,220 Libya

3,8003,8004,1343,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

14,77514,77514,90411,64011,3127,624 Mexico

3,2003,2003,1822,2172,8581,832 Morocco

3,0353,0353,0772,8632,3362,404 Peru

14,21014,21013,99211,11511,33212,390 Saudi Arabia

2,7302,7302,72869323592 South Africa

4,7004,7004,7813,9384,3464,413 Taiwan

1,8001,8001,7131,5251,4491,608 Tunisia

1,8051,8057132,7191,9771,922 Turkey

2,2002,2001,8002,4332,6272,154 Venezuela

8,0007,5008,6006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

1,4401,440834720620720 Zimbabwe

20,01119,99620,17121,18719,55016,048 Others

172,646172,131175,904166,093156,386123,274 Subtotal

3,8993,8895,2834,5285,5422,614 Unaccounted

3,5553,4753,9823,2953,3236,515 United States

180,100179,495185,169173,916165,251132,403 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Production

43,88443,83437,93936,78235,66537,246 Argentina

14,48414,48412,43712,60512,15811,414 Australia

89,01789,01769,12687,66982,60384,253 Brazil

25,63025,63025,61921,99228,74524,445 Canada

227,354227,354231,822222,750225,407212,192 China

12,75012,7509,98514,44213,07912,286 Ethiopia

151,998152,356151,740170,688159,212146,188 European Union

42,26042,26038,04343,07643,21639,910 India

10,20010,20010,5009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

32,32531,82532,39732,68932,06528,881 Mexico

18,50018,50017,95019,01519,29218,573 Nigeria

40,91540,91537,42740,38635,73528,658 Russia

13,51313,4688,36411,11015,51812,873 South Africa

10,92510,92514,2759,42513,09010,595 Turkey

39,20538,10033,38739,38940,02229,528 Ukraine

153,467153,441150,611159,378147,581145,649 Others

926,427925,059881,622930,396912,488851,191 Subtotal

402,598402,598367,009377,234367,089285,311 United States

1,329,0251,327,6571,248,6311,307,6301,279,5771,136,502 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

15,53415,53414,27114,23213,69512,050 Argentina

61,42761,42759,69360,02358,02855,803 Brazil

22,09522,49521,23621,29522,34520,340 Canada

249,050245,550239,165229,059223,546209,671 China

16,05816,05815,80314,83214,12212,910 Egypt

159,880160,180156,910162,555164,401153,341 European Union

40,97040,97039,49040,40037,60035,075 India

15,52015,92013,82012,02011,32010,520 Iran

17,18117,18117,25816,90317,57017,830 Japan

45,91545,81544,71542,17540,93536,195 Mexico

18,50018,50018,15018,95019,35018,700 Nigeria

30,82530,82529,64031,13928,61925,134 Russia

14,80514,63014,10511,90511,41110,750 Saudi Arabia

13,23013,23014,42513,05513,43013,005 Turkey

14,39514,29513,86515,43015,97714,661 Ukraine

247,180246,439241,130240,522227,554218,848 Others

995,284992,029936,749960,472927,440858,948 Subtotal

329,101327,491312,705311,339305,044275,537 United States

1,324,3851,319,5201,249,4541,271,8111,232,4841,134,485 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,7766,7766,1668,21314,2599,560 Brazil

4,8414,7414,6663,3344,6483,024 Canada

103,125107,130112,156102,02782,65968,386 China

12,43911,85514,89618,94015,56513,055 European Union

6,3146,7147,1747,1345,0944,654 Iran

6,2935,9855,9084,8323,4871,542 Mexico

4,1654,1274,4053,3613,7223,230 Saudi Arabia

43,87342,76142,55052,06747,29036,962 Others

187,826190,089197,921199,908176,724140,413 Subtotal

62,84763,73648,11246,94834,31323,531 United States

250,673253,825246,033246,856211,037163,944 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

14,661 North America 15,349 16,648 19,976 19,340 19,420

2,470 Central America 2,923 3,456 3,938 3,875 3,875

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,597 2,685 2,685

11,812 South America 13,180 13,355 13,993 15,635 15,675

11,778 European Union - 28 16,355 9,408 14,261 13,655 13,655


25,078 Middle East 26,614 27,768 29,379 31,080 31,580

13,046 North Africa 19,521 18,230 20,873 21,030 21,030


36,176 East Asia 44,865 56,665 49,588 44,735 44,235

7,961 Southeast Asia 12,814 14,736 15,810 13,875 14,375

1,010 Others 1,335 1,386 1,900 1,636 1,611

129,789 Total 159,709 169,388 179,886 175,606 176,201

Production none

338,637 North America 427,899 431,915 425,025 460,053 460,553

136,025 South America 131,844 138,220 120,789 145,736 145,786

146,188 European Union - 28 159,212 170,688 151,740 152,356 151,998

6,567 Other Europe 8,864 10,736 8,976 10,523 10,523


18,632 Middle East 21,630 17,819 22,697 19,903 19,284

10,473 North Africa 11,560 11,092 12,497 9,815 9,815


214,616 East Asia 227,797 225,528 234,465 230,003 230,003

47,642 South Asia 51,986 51,822 46,597 51,088 51,088

29,005 Southeast Asia 30,616 30,945 31,418 32,773 32,773

12,082 Oceania 12,805 13,283 13,129 15,124 15,059

4,846 Others 4,975 4,564 4,418 4,704 4,744

1,136,502 Total 1,279,577 1,307,630 1,248,631 1,327,657 1,329,025


332,072 North America 368,324 374,809 378,656 395,801 397,111

89,796 South America 94,375 97,049 97,345 100,833 100,953

153,341 European Union - 28 164,401 162,555 156,910 160,180 159,880

7,098 Other Europe 7,751 8,117 8,361 8,497 8,472


42,852 Middle East 45,753 45,586 51,186 52,687 52,462

25,171 North Africa 28,059 30,230 32,391 32,013 32,013


242,831 East Asia 257,690 262,947 273,506 279,902 283,402

42,704 South Asia 46,165 49,329 48,985 50,524 50,524

35,387 Southeast Asia 38,543 41,133 43,589 45,666 46,016

6,107 Oceania 5,764 5,846 6,654 6,769 6,749

9,533 Others 10,025 10,266 10,906 11,191 11,231

1,140,370 Total 1,224,947 1,255,834 1,266,381 1,306,540 1,311,666

Ending Stocks none

28,097 North America 42,448 55,114 58,686 74,462 73,981

15,559 South America 21,435 16,069 12,342 12,809 13,420

13,055 European Union - 28 15,565 18,940 14,896 11,855 12,439

618 Other Europe 750 1,069 865 1,218 1,218


9,933 Middle East 11,721 12,634 13,998 12,595 12,230

3,584 North Africa 5,629 5,443 5,880 4,602 4,602


71,687 East Asia 86,671 105,900 116,423 111,229 107,224

2,404 South Asia 4,093 5,289 3,056 3,631 3,631

3,259 Southeast Asia 4,114 4,040 4,728 3,205 3,325

902 Oceania 1,115 1,634 1,493 2,118 2,073

780 Others 936 976 972 1,020 1,020

163,944 Total 211,037 246,856 246,033 253,825 250,673




World Corn Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

25,50025,50021,67218,44812,84622,789 Argentina

22,00022,00035,38221,90922,04126,044 Brazil

1,1001,1001,0001,2501,100750 Burma

1,0007001,7643951,9391,813 Canada

2,0002,0001,9494,0272,4042,194 European Union

2,3002,3002,6613,0122,7142,858 Paraguay

5,3005,3004,6913,2134,1941,917 Russia

2,5002,5001,5132,9641,780578 Serbia

1,3001,3007597462,1042,398 South Africa

18,70018,00016,59519,66120,00412,726 Ukraine

4,8504,8505,7575,9719,0138,417 Others

86,55085,55093,74381,59680,13982,484 Subtotal

56,50056,50051,19846,83150,69118,262 United States

143,050142,050144,941128,427130,830100,746 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,5004,5004,3294,1164,1562,918 Algeria

1,8001,8001,566534846869 Brazil

1,0001,0009491,536678492 Canada

1,8001,8001,6001,5161,456844 Chile

3,0003,0003,1745,5163,2772,702 China

4,8004,8004,4584,4964,4363,266 Colombia

1,3501,3501,3511,2021,0111,046 Dominican Republic

9,0009,0008,7767,8418,7265,059 Egypt

13,10013,10013,7688,90816,01411,362 European Union

7,5007,0006,6006,1005,5003,700 Iran

1,5001,5001,1521,2961,6521,224 Israel

15,00015,00015,19414,65715,12114,411 Japan

9,8009,80010,12110,16810,4068,174 Korea, South

3,8003,8004,1343,2383,4853,048 Malaysia

13,80013,80014,01111,34110,9495,676 Mexico

2,3002,3002,2241,9412,3491,684 Morocco

2,9002,9002,9542,7412,2322,254 Peru

3,7003,7003,5832,9042,6842,063 Saudi Arabia

2,5002,5002,579469790 South Africa

4,6004,6004,6563,8104,1794,241 Taiwan

1,2001,2001,0171,042993846 Tunisia

1,5001,5005672,3771,3811,656 Turkey

2,2002,2001,8002,4332,6262,154 Venezuela

8,0007,5008,6006,7004,3001,600 Vietnam

1,4001,400800700600700 Zimbabwe

16,47016,45016,67017,30916,82312,876 Others

138,520137,500136,633124,891125,95994,865 Subtotal

3,1303,1506,5292,7274,1441,616 Unaccounted

1,4001,4001,7798097274,265 United States

143,050142,050144,941128,427130,830100,746 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Production

36,50036,50029,00029,75026,00027,000 Argentina

86,50086,50067,00085,00080,00081,500 Brazil

13,20013,20013,55911,48714,19413,060 Canada

219,554219,554224,632215,646218,489205,614 China

6,3006,3005,0507,2356,4926,158 Ethiopia

60,30960,68458,40875,72064,93159,142 European Union

24,50024,50021,80024,17024,25922,258 India

10,20010,20010,5009,0009,1008,500 Indonesia

26,00024,50025,97125,48022,88021,591 Mexico

7,2007,2007,0007,5157,7007,630 Nigeria

7,9007,9006,9707,6717,5327,261 Philippines

15,50015,50013,16811,32511,6358,213 Russia

7,5007,5006,0007,7005,9003,750 Serbia

13,00013,0007,90010,62914,92512,365 South Africa

28,00027,00023,33328,45030,90020,922 Ukraine

93,26593,11194,93497,70194,17191,482 Others

655,428653,149615,225654,479639,108596,446 Subtotal

384,778384,778345,506361,091351,272273,192 United States

1,040,2061,037,927960,7311,015,570990,380869,638 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,50010,5009,1509,3008,8007,900 Argentina

58,50058,50057,00057,00055,00052,500 Brazil

12,90013,30012,35412,82012,67511,604 Canada

231,000227,000217,500202,000208,000200,000 China

15,10015,10014,85013,90013,20012,000 Egypt

73,30073,60073,20077,88076,79669,846 European Union

23,40023,40022,65022,30019,60017,500 India

12,30012,30012,10012,20011,90010,900 Indonesia

10,60010,3008,8007,4006,8006,200 Iran

15,10015,10015,20014,60015,00014,300 Japan

9,9009,90010,12310,2509,8918,481 Korea, South

38,60037,50037,30034,55031,70027,000 Mexico

9,6009,6008,7008,1007,5006,400 Russia

11,30011,30011,20011,65011,50011,000 South Africa

12,90012,40012,0009,4007,7006,200 Vietnam

160,986160,846157,954158,428153,268144,087 Others

718,187712,997661,239678,784655,797601,597 Subtotal

314,847313,958298,869301,792292,958262,973 United States

1,033,0341,026,955960,108980,576948,755864,570 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,4426,4425,8427,84213,9729,150 Brazil

2,5432,3432,2431,4021,6001,549 Canada

102,308106,308110,774100,47281,32367,579 China

2,1012,1012,2112,2952,3981,076 Egypt

4,7485,0156,6399,6126,8915,146 European Union

5,4965,2966,0565,7164,4763,236 Iran

5,6135,2425,2134,0902,603975 Mexico

29,37828,41427,28934,36430,21823,578 Others

158,629161,161166,267165,793143,481112,289 Subtotal

58,93359,82244,12343,97431,29220,859 United States

217,562220,983210,390209,767174,773133,148 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

10,433 North America 12,354 13,686 16,739 16,200 16,200

2,470 Central America 2,922 3,456 3,938 3,875 3,875

9,651 South America 12,025 12,042 12,554 14,300 14,320

11,362 European Union - 28 16,014 8,908 13,768 13,100 13,100


10,944 Middle East 13,812 15,237 14,916 16,475 16,975

11,154 North Africa 17,036 15,624 16,927 17,700 17,700


29,681 East Asia 33,057 34,208 33,198 32,480 32,480

7,943 Southeast Asia 12,768 14,722 15,795 13,860 14,360

2,327 Caribbean 2,330 2,444 2,597 2,685 2,685

751 Others 979 1,106 1,332 1,135 1,135

99,130 Total 126,686 125,700 138,412 138,900 139,920

Production none

307,843 North America 388,346 398,058 385,036 422,478 423,978

120,997 South America 117,456 126,592 107,559 133,484 133,484

59,142 European Union - 28 64,931 75,720 58,408 60,684 60,309

4,912 Other Europe 7,222 8,963 7,191 8,729 8,729


7,493 Middle East 8,173 7,769 9,228 8,439 8,508

5,919 North Africa 5,898 6,161 6,201 6,201 6,201


207,737 East Asia 220,582 218,095 226,983 221,908 221,908

28,857 South Asia 31,865 31,740 29,170 32,070 32,070

3,755 Central America 3,817 3,416 3,300 3,560 3,600

28,740 Southeast Asia 30,334 30,651 31,123 32,483 32,483

1,378 Others 1,321 1,453 1,356 1,448 1,431

869,638 Total 990,380 1,015,570 960,731 1,037,927 1,040,206


301,577 North America 337,333 349,162 348,523 364,758 366,347

78,981 South America 83,551 86,451 86,626 89,785 89,885

69,846 European Union - 28 76,796 77,880 73,200 73,600 73,300

5,194 Other Europe 5,847 6,147 6,422 6,520 6,520


18,710 Middle East 19,785 21,710 23,845 25,680 26,030

18,450 North Africa 20,800 22,100 23,140 24,020 24,020


229,234 East Asia 239,185 233,237 249,453 258,955 262,955

23,980 South Asia 26,982 30,007 30,720 31,570 31,570

35,109 Southeast Asia 38,254 40,799 43,284 45,360 45,710

6,175 Central America 6,600 6,710 7,175 7,350 7,390

3,516 Others 3,581 3,984 3,984 4,110 4,110

868,891 Total 942,288 963,570 978,950 1,014,604 1,020,833

Ending Stocks none

23,383 North America 35,495 49,466 51,579 67,407 67,089

13,628 South America 19,022 14,004 10,151 10,969 11,530

5,146 European Union - 28 6,891 9,612 6,639 5,015 4,748

371 Other Europe 504 852 716 1,065 1,065


4,108 Middle East 5,872 7,067 7,194 6,264 6,502

1,771 North Africa 3,117 3,306 3,037 2,908 2,908


70,387 East Asia 84,864 103,922 114,648 110,061 106,061

1,744 South Asia 3,005 3,935 2,465 2,835 2,835

3,254 Southeast Asia 4,108 4,034 4,722 3,205 3,325

487 Central America 597 600 627 692 692

332 Others 396 459 421 389 372

133,148 Total 174,773 209,767 210,390 220,983 217,562




World Barley Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

2,0002,0002,8361,5992,8293,647 Argentina

7,0007,0005,4005,2666,2614,622 Australia

1,7001,7001,1461,3861,7141,316 Canada

5,9006,2008,60310,6424,9266,501 European Union

7070597546546 India

1,000700776476501151 Kazakhstan

3,9003,9003,7355,8072,7912,366 Russia

606033371826 Serbia

5,0005,0004,6734,3323,8272,659 Ukraine

5050444336107 Uruguay

7575641234258 Others

26,75526,75527,31529,80823,49121,999 Subtotal

150150161291336163 United States

26,90526,90527,47630,09923,82722,162 World Total

none

TY Imports

900900864723778364 Algeria

450450551489337369 Brazil

5,0005,0005,8699,8594,8912,183 China

285285301249253232 Colombia

10010072984637 Egypt

3503503152695853 European Union

1,6001,6001,7001,9001,1001,100 Iran

275275321278304244 Israel

1,1001,1001,1541,0971,2941,356 Japan

800800902759997831 Jordan

400400247412436388 Kuwait

8008001,3241,001681573 Libya

17517513218410847 Mexico

900900958276471148 Morocco

1101109812287103 Peru

10,50010,50010,4008,2008,50010,200 Saudi Arabia

200200100100100300 Syria

600600696483456762 Tunisia

300300146332596266 Turkey

400400467394468541 United Arab Emirates

1,0511,0761,0701,2411,0771,112 Others

26,29626,32127,68728,46623,03821,209 Subtotal

259234-5611,203266522 Unaccounted

350350350430523431 United States

26,90526,90527,47630,09923,82722,162 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Production

3,2003,1504,9402,9004,7505,000 Argentina

10,60010,6008,5938,6469,1747,472 Australia

2,1002,1001,8491,9881,6741,917 Belarus

8,8008,8008,2267,11910,2378,012 Canada

2,0002,0001,8701,8101,7001,626 China

2,0502,0501,9501,9531,9081,782 Ethiopia

59,78759,75961,52760,62559,67454,875 European Union

1,5101,5101,6131,8311,7521,619 India

3,0003,8003,0003,2002,8002,770 Iran

1,1001,1001,0501,000944500 Iraq

3,2312,7002,6752,4122,5391,500 Kazakhstan

1,0761,0763,5001,7002,7231,201 Morocco

17,50017,50017,08320,02615,38913,952 Russia

4,7504,7507,4004,0007,3005,500 Turkey

9,9009,8008,7519,4507,5616,935 Ukraine

9,0109,0239,1559,1509,4489,675 Others

139,614139,718143,182137,810139,573124,336 Subtotal

4,3394,3394,7503,9534,7194,768 United States

143,953144,057147,932141,763144,292129,104 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,0502,1502,0502,0502,000 Algeria

3,1003,1003,3003,0002,8003,000 Australia

2,1002,1001,8502,0001,8002,000 Belarus

7,1657,1656,9686,4717,7186,811 Canada

7,1007,1007,90011,6006,3004,000 China

2,0252,0251,9901,9751,9251,725 Ethiopia

54,10054,10051,70050,90053,40051,000 European Union

1,5701,5701,5201,4001,2001,525 India

4,9005,6005,0004,6004,5004,300 Iran

2,2002,0002,0002,0002,0001,375 Kazakhstan

2,8002,8003,4502,7002,3001,900 Morocco

13,70013,70013,60014,10012,70012,100 Russia

10,72510,72510,2258,5258,6258,325 Saudi Arabia

5,5005,5006,9005,3506,9506,200 Turkey

4,9004,9004,7004,7005,0005,100 Ukraine

17,09917,11917,63716,86517,04715,754 Others

141,164141,659142,969137,331136,093126,663 Subtotal

4,5284,5284,4064,2354,7754,638 United States

145,692146,187147,375141,566140,868131,301 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,1401,1401,2901,3041,1781,217 Algeria

1,5131,5131,0131,120693536 Australia

1,4531,4531,4431,2171,950983 Canada

5,3575,0525,2205,8875,6215,044 European Union

8181,4181,1181,4186181,418 Iran

3,8443,8444,0593,0743,3893,003 Saudi Arabia

9148149091,265971872 Ukraine

5,5875,5247,3417,0637,6515,615 Others

20,62620,75822,39322,34822,07118,688 Subtotal

2,2512,2512,2231,7111,7911,750 United States

22,87723,00924,61624,05923,86220,438 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

499 North America 640 779 613 600 600

1,064 South America 886 1,169 1,157 980 980

53 European Union - 28 58 269 315 350 350

126 Other Europe 163 120 84 155 130


13,906 Middle East 12,537 12,480 14,415 14,555 14,555

1,884 North Africa 2,432 2,581 3,914 3,300 3,300

52 Sub-Saharan Africa 116 138 40 120 120

3,668 East Asia 6,320 11,080 7,136 6,225 6,225

2 South Asia 11 22 187 131 131

8 Oceania 46 32 7 25 25

21,640 Total 23,561 28,896 28,037 26,671 26,646

Production none

13,812 North America 15,550 11,918 13,728 13,874 13,874

5,884 South America 5,737 3,769 5,929 4,472 4,522

54,875 European Union - 28 59,674 60,625 61,527 59,759 59,787

1,188 Other Europe 1,187 1,286 1,299 1,307 1,307


9,686 Middle East 12,043 8,653 12,058 10,068 9,265

3,631 North Africa 4,739 3,975 5,375 2,684 2,684


1,920 East Asia 1,991 2,134 2,158 2,291 2,291

1,956 South Asia 2,261 2,340 2,116 2,042 2,042

7,911 Oceania 9,591 9,052 9,030 11,000 10,945

129,104 Total 144,292 141,763 147,932 144,057 143,953


12,349 North America 13,243 11,556 12,299 12,618 12,618

3,152 South America 3,528 3,398 3,768 3,713 3,713

51,000 European Union - 28 53,400 50,900 51,700 54,100 54,100

1,298 Other Europe 1,334 1,404 1,384 1,404 1,379


22,435 Middle East 24,410 22,277 25,870 25,566 24,866

5,790 North Africa 6,282 7,182 8,303 7,038 7,038


5,812 East Asia 8,009 13,162 9,481 8,660 8,660

1,868 South Asia 1,713 1,923 2,053 2,128 2,128

3,425 Oceania 3,250 3,450 3,750 3,525 3,500

131,753 Total 141,090 142,471 145,296 146,082 145,562

Ending Stocks none

3,014 North America 3,974 3,326 4,069 4,092 4,092

657 South America 816 716 958 847 897

5,044 European Union - 28 5,621 5,887 5,220 5,052 5,357

220 Other Europe 205 179 122 122 122


5,733 Middle East 5,781 5,508 6,749 6,281 5,678

1,785 North Africa 2,489 2,089 2,794 1,640 1,640


736 East Asia 1,038 1,090 903 759 759

137 South Asia 247 259 271 276 276

588 Oceania 748 1,174 1,060 1,560 1,530

20,438 Total 23,862 24,059 24,616 23,009 22,877




World Sorghum Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

8508507729549533,059 Argentina

4004001,0001,7004101,430 Australia

25252913112 Brazil

252525757575 Ethiopia

50508512188231 India

100100501005050 Nigeria

150150120156229124 Ukraine

130125133195218191 Others

1,7301,7252,2143,3142,0345,162 Subtotal

5,8006,3007,8959,2695,7142,136 United States

7,5308,02510,10912,5837,7487,298 World Total

none

TY Imports

90901223 Bolivia

15015013498109404 Chile

4,5005,0008,28410,1624,161631 China

150150119131184291 European Union

7007006499031,0031,897 Japan

10010010511794102 Kenya

700700661291621,793 Mexico

100100231321410 Pakistan

100100100866144 South Africa

10010020012075175 Sudan

4454454824158761,266 Others

7,1357,63510,96612,0956,7416,616 Subtotal

370365-9554611,004439 Unaccounted

252598273243 United States

7,5308,02510,10912,5837,7487,298 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Production

3,6003,6003,3753,5004,4004,700 Argentina

1,5001,5002,0372,2091,2822,230 Australia

1,5301,5301,0802,0551,8902,102 Brazil

1,9001,9001,4361,7081,8801,924 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,100 Cameroon

9009008358977451,172 Chad

3,3003,3002,7502,8852,8922,556 China

3,7003,7002,6004,3393,8293,604 Ethiopia

5,5005,5004,4105,4455,5425,281 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2728201,212 Mali

5,5006,5005,5876,2708,5006,174 Mexico

1,3001,3001,9171,4261,3201,376 Niger

6,5006,5006,1506,7006,5925,943 Nigeria

900900900990720650 South Sudan

5,5005,5002,3886,2812,2494,524 Sudan

6,9506,8356,9917,3057,0646,615 Others

51,03051,91544,90654,43250,87551,163 Subtotal

12,19912,19915,15810,9889,9666,293 United States

63,22964,11460,06465,42060,84157,456 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9502,9502,9002,8002,7002,300 Argentina

1,1051,1051,1055059051,080 Australia

1,5001,5001,1502,0002,0002,300 Brazil

1,8001,8001,4651,7001,9001,850 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1751,1651,110 Cameroon

9009008659008501,150 Chad

8,2008,70011,00012,9006,8003,200 China

3,6503,6503,1004,1003,9003,700 Ethiopia

5,3505,3504,8205,1005,2005,150 India

1,3001,3001,3001,2009501,200 Mali

6,2007,2006,3006,6008,3008,100 Mexico

1,4501,4501,8201,4501,3001,200 Niger

6,4006,4006,0506,6506,5505,900 Nigeria

9609609501,050790650 South Sudan

5,5005,5003,1006,0002,5504,700 Sudan

8,3608,2358,4488,7668,57010,077 Others

57,13558,64055,14162,77055,50752,472 Subtotal

6,4765,8416,2132,4594,1304,796 United States

63,61164,48161,35465,22959,63757,268 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6466468969711,202781 Argentina

302307717706568326 China

19319393588364109 India

286349286338647285 Mexico

268268393271270225 Niger

200200200150200208 Nigeria

321321226743357588 Sudan

1,2881,3031,1081,9041,4761,837 Others

3,5043,5873,9195,6715,0844,359 Subtotal

963963930468864385 United States

4,4674,5504,8496,1395,9484,744 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

2,036 North America 165 56 759 725 725

1,071 South America 240 114 237 325 325

291 European Union - 28 184 131 119 150 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

194 Middle East 232 23 33 20 20

1 North Africa 41 1 1 5 5


2,650 East Asia 5,281 11,142 9,011 5,755 5,255

18 Southeast Asia 46 14 15 15 15

11 Others 15 32 231 100 100

6,859 Total 6,744 12,122 11,064 7,660 7,160

Production none

12,467 North America 18,466 17,258 20,745 18,699 17,699

339 Central America 335 335 335 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 92 92 91 91

7,495 South America 7,081 6,404 5,297 5,877 5,877

473 European Union - 28 703 887 731 744 744

667 Middle East 634 691 650 635 750

757 North Africa 767 809 755 755 755


2,560 East Asia 2,895 2,887 2,752 3,302 3,302

5,404 South Asia 5,661 5,548 4,555 5,630 5,630


2,230 Oceania 1,282 2,209 2,037 1,500 1,500

209 Others 354 224 191 225 225

57,456 Total 60,841 65,420 60,064 64,114 63,229


12,896 North America 12,430 9,059 12,513 13,041 12,676

325 Central America 325 330 340 335 335

92 Caribbean 94 92 92 91 91

6,076 South America 5,757 5,785 5,052 5,482 5,482

795 European Union - 28 880 995 860 880 880

877 Middle East 755 845 695 650 775

756 North Africa 813 785 755 755 755


5,221 East Asia 7,951 13,911 11,734 9,460 8,960

5,283 South Asia 5,334 5,235 5,176 5,580 5,580


1,080 Oceania 905 505 1,105 1,105 1,105

80 Others 75 75 75 75 75

58,463 Total 58,560 65,355 61,761 64,016 63,276

Ending Stocks none

670 North America 1,511 806 1,216 1,312 1,249

30 Central America 33 38 28 23 23

1,146 South America 1,468 1,243 1,078 843 843

5 European Union - 28 18 27 13 22 22

61 Middle East 27 39 35 30 30

27 North Africa 22 47 48 53 53


413 East Asia 627 736 743 330 325

109 South Asia 364 588 93 193 193

185 Oceania 172 246 178 173 173

25 Others 76 69 65 59 59

4,744 Total 5,948 6,139 4,849 4,550 4,467




World Oats Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

554222 Argentina

300300225270270240 Australia

1,6001,5001,6661,7291,7321,351 Canada

757575844941 Chile

200200220231291126 European Union

1010161464 Russia

5050484662 Ukraine

1010981410 Others

2,2502,1502,2632,3842,3701,776 Subtotal


2,2802,1802,2982,4132,3991,794 World Total

none

TY Imports

550300 Albania

25253124127 Algeria

554432 Bosnia and Herzegovina

15151012279 Canada

20020017216211687 China

551221 Colombia

402038212119 Ecuador


505050474651 Japan

1001001008693108 Mexico

1010743836 Norway

551222 Serbia

505031461911 South Africa

505042495144 Switzerland

550400 Turkey

5510886 Others

575555506478441387 Subtotal

1251252541689252 Unaccounted

1,5801,5001,5381,7671,8661,355 United States

2,2802,1802,2982,4132,3991,794 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

500500553525445496 Argentina

1,8001,8001,3081,1981,2551,121 Australia

400400492522352422 Belarus

650650783351380361 Brazil

3,0003,0003,4282,9793,9062,830 Canada

600600533421610680 Chile

600600600600580600 China

7,8037,8077,5017,8328,3807,909 European Union

335275244226305200 Kazakhstan

909087939184 Mexico

240240236236214232 Norway

4,7504,7504,5275,2674,9324,027 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

500500498610467630 Ukraine

341334326298319315 Others

21,92921,86621,43621,47822,55620,227 Subtotal

9409401,3001,019938892 United States

22,86922,80622,73622,49723,49421,119 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135137126118119 Algeria

500500550525425500 Argentina

1,3501,3501,025950950925 Australia

400400500500375400 Belarus

645645765345375350 Brazil

1,6501,6501,6161,6811,6601,592 Canada

525525425355570600 Chile

850850795750700675 China

7,7007,7006,9007,7308,0757,700 European Union

300270245225275225 Kazakhstan

190190190175185195 Mexico

250250245245245295 Norway

4,6504,6504,6005,2004,9004,300 Russia

215215210215215215 Turkey

450450450600475600 Ukraine

549524488473492451 Others

20,42620,37719,36520,09220,25519,217 Subtotal

2,6962,6102,7022,4472,7572,743 United States

23,12222,98722,06722,53923,01221,960 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

606065656749 Argentina

3013011519310560 Australia

6937939286731,054446 Canada

606060274561 Chile

7474124147135139 China

1,0865121,178781894901 European Union

289289199289230203 Russia

225193188193201222 Others

2,7882,2822,8932,2682,7312,081 Subtotal

676676824780359527 United States

3,4642,9583,7173,0483,0902,608 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

1,472 North America 1,986 1,865 1,648 1,615 1,695

26 South America 29 30 45 30 50

4 European Union - 28 3 4 9 5 5

84 Other Europe 94 62 54 75 75


0 Middle East 0 4 0 5 5

7 North Africa 12 24 31 25 25


138 East Asia 162 209 222 250 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,742 Total 2,307 2,245 2,044 2,055 2,155

Production none

3,806 North America 4,935 4,091 4,815 4,030 4,030

1,577 South America 1,478 1,325 1,910 1,792 1,792

7,909 European Union - 28 8,380 7,832 7,501 7,807 7,803

365 Other Europe 349 371 374 375 375


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

166 North Africa 156 147 166 175 175


602 East Asia 582 602 601 601 601

1,139 Oceania 1,283 1,233 1,337 1,830 1,837

21,119 Total 23,494 22,497 22,736 22,806 22,869


4,530 North America 4,602 4,303 4,508 4,450 4,536

1,515 South America 1,447 1,285 1,805 1,742 1,762

7,700 European Union - 28 8,075 7,730 6,900 7,700 7,700

474 Other Europe 435 436 439 446 446


215 Middle East 215 215 210 215 215

175 North Africa 164 163 193 200 200


730 East Asia 750 800 845 900 900

943 Oceania 978 985 1,054 1,380 1,385

21,885 Total 22,792 22,542 21,843 22,914 23,055

Ending Stocks none

974 North America 1,417 1,459 1,758 1,475 1,375

128 South America 129 106 155 150 150

901 European Union - 28 894 781 1,178 512 1,086

27 Other Europe 41 38 27 31 31


13 Middle East 8 6 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


144 East Asia 138 149 127 78 78

60 Oceania 105 93 151 301 303

2,608 Total 3,090 3,048 3,717 2,958 3,464




World Rye Trade


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

TY Exports

202024000 Belarus

1501501118997178 Canada

125125160167201122 European Union

2525231218379 Russia

101021135916 Ukraine

000111 Others

330330339391441396 Subtotal


335335345394447403 World Total

none

TY Imports


252515183334 Israel

202016223727 Japan

5554812 Korea, South

1010262118 Norway

5555525 Russia

553669 Switzerland

0016614 Others

120120112163207197 Subtotal

151516-3136-15 Unaccounted

200200217262204221 United States

335335345394447403 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jan

2016/17

Feb

none

Production


8008007538676481,082 Belarus

410410226218223337 Canada

8,0948,0957,8318,86910,1518,763 European Union

2,5402,5402,0843,2793,3602,132 Russia

350350350300365370 Turkey

390375394475638676 Ukraine

133137122148128146 Others

12,78712,77711,82114,25315,56513,546 Subtotal

342342295183194166 United States

13,12913,11912,11614,43615,75913,712 World Total

none

Total Consumption


252522191940 Australia

8008008008507001,000 Belarus

160160118134107127 Canada

8,4008,4008,1008,6009,6508,700 European Union

252515183334 Israel

404537654050 Kazakhstan

2,2502,2502,1753,2503,1002,000 Russia

350350350325350375 Turkey

380370420475625625 Ukraine

10810889108142122 Others

12,59412,58912,20613,94614,81313,121 Subtotal

554554515406424387 United States

13,14813,14312,72114,35215,23713,508 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

797999166149201 Belarus

15215252424446 Canada

6316401,0121,3911,204795 European Union

544483 Kazakhstan

400400130264344153 Russia

141414143318 Turkey

757075106128166 Ukraine

112347 Others

1,3571,3601,3881,9901,9141,389 Subtotal


1,3811,3841,4002,0051,9211,399 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Jan

2016/17

Feb

2016/17

TY Imports none

221 North America 204 262 217 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

68 European Union - 28 96 96 50 50 50

29 Other Europe 28 12 5 15 15


34 Middle East 33 24 15 25 25


39 East Asia 45 26 21 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

418 Total 411 425 329 320 320

Production none

503 North America 417 401 521 752 752

47 South America 59 105 69 82 82

8,763 European Union - 28 10,151 8,869 7,831 8,095 8,094

46 Other Europe 55 56 52 52 52


370 Middle East 365 300 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

40 Oceania 20 20 22 25 25

13,712 Total 15,759 14,436 12,116 13,119 13,129


514 North America 531 540 633 714 714

47 South America 59 105 69 82 82

8,700 European Union - 28 9,650 8,600 8,100 8,400 8,400

76 Other Europe 84 70 56 67 67


409 Middle East 383 343 365 375 375


37 East Asia 48 27 22 26 26

40 Oceania 19 19 22 25 25

13,500 Total 15,242 14,347 12,702 13,157 13,162

Ending Stocks none

56 North America 51 57 64 176 176

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

795 European Union - 28 1,204 1,391 1,012 640 631

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


18 Middle East 33 14 14 14 14


7 East Asia 4 3 2 1 1

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,399 Total 1,921 2,005 1,400 1,384 1,381




35

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 36 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 37 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 38 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 39 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 45 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 48

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..49 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 50 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 51 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 52 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 53

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.0 131.061.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 14.0

144.9 129.258.525.56.05.327.1 2016/17 10.1

Coarse Grains

149.7 150.9112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.7 162.6121.414.09.25.530.8 2014/15 18.9

151.7 156.9116.013.114.25.030.3 2015/16 14.9

152.0 159.9119.28.213.75.130.1 2016/17 12.4

Wheat and Coarse Grains

282.5 279.1175.420.09.44.859.2 2005/06 46.9

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.6 287.2176.449.415.25.757.5 2014/15 31.7

311.7 287.9177.047.821.25.557.1 2015/16 28.9

296.9 289.1177.733.719.75.257.2 2016/17 22.6


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.50.73.55.424.1 2015/16 97.0

128.9 118.016.00.84.05.324.2 2016/17 111.1

Coarse Grains

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9

159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7

222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0

231.8 239.2166.90.017.55.840.2 2015/16 112.2

227.4 249.1170.50.012.75.838.9 2016/17 103.1


245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4

267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9

349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1

362.0 351.2177.40.821.05.664.3 2015/16 209.2

356.2 367.1186.50.816.75.663.1 2016/17 214.2


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.31.94.50.9 2013/14 0.9

3.9 4.91.10.71.84.01.0 2014/15 1.1

4.0 4.91.21.01.84.50.9 2015/16 1.1

4.6 5.11.41.41.84.71.0 2016/17 1.0

Coarse Grains

10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.4

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.0 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

8.9 7.86.41.90.94.52.0 2013/14 0.8

10.7 8.16.83.10.85.81.9 2014/15 1.1

9.0 8.47.01.60.84.91.8 2015/16 0.9

10.5 8.57.12.60.95.61.9 2016/17 1.2


13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.38.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.0 12.67.53.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.7

14.7 13.07.93.72.55.22.8 2014/15 2.2

13.0 13.28.22.52.64.82.7 2015/16 2.0

15.1 13.68.53.92.75.32.8 2016/17 2.2


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

81.0 75.624.413.85.61.845.8 2010/11 23.3

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.6

77.8 71.721.625.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.5

103.9 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.8

112.7 75.424.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.7

118.2 78.226.951.57.42.449.1 2015/16 16.6

130.2 79.327.953.47.52.650.6 2016/17 21.7

Coarse Grains

47.5 41.928.38.61.12.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.524.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.1

68.2 50.235.519.80.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.8 55.740.030.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.0

91.6 58.142.133.90.83.030.2 2014/15 7.4

82.1 54.639.531.30.52.927.9 2015/16 4.2

93.1 57.141.734.60.73.328.2 2016/17 6.3


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.17.50.11.212.4 2016/17 3.2

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 39.016.028.50.52.727.1 2016/17 11.1

Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.35.217.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.2

26.8 11.34.416.50.04.26.5 2016/17 2.3

Uzbekistan

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.72.40.22.75.11.4 2016/17 2.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.8 12.02.90.54.32.63.4 2013/14 3.1

8.8 12.73.50.44.52.63.4 2014/15 3.3

9.0 12.63.40.73.82.63.4 2015/16 2.7

8.7 12.43.00.74.22.63.3 2016/17 2.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

103.9 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.8

112.7 75.424.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.7

118.2 78.226.951.57.42.449.1 2015/16 16.6

130.2 79.327.953.47.52.650.6 2016/17 21.7



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

3.2 2.21.91.00.01.71.9 2016/17 0.2

Russia

15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.68.94.20.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8

17.5 13.79.03.90.12.28.0 2016/17 0.8

Ukraine

7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0

9.5 4.73.24.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.3

8.8 4.73.24.40.02.93.0 2015/16 0.9

9.9 4.93.45.00.03.23.1 2016/17 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0


3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4

3.4 3.62.80.10.22.71.3 2014/15 0.3

3.5 3.52.70.10.02.81.2 2015/16 0.2

3.8 3.82.90.10.12.71.4 2016/17 0.2


29.2 23.516.45.60.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6

35.6 24.717.110.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.4

32.2 24.116.79.60.12.214.4 2015/16 2.1

34.6 24.917.510.00.22.414.4 2016/17 2.1



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.70.60.00.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.8 0.70.60.10.05.60.1 2016/17 0.2

Russia

11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.3

13.2 8.77.84.70.04.92.7 2015/16 0.2

15.5 9.68.75.30.15.52.8 2016/17 0.8

Ukraine

30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.4

28.5 9.48.019.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.8

23.3 8.06.716.60.05.74.1 2015/16 0.6

28.0 8.47.018.70.16.64.3 2016/17 1.5

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0


3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

2.5 2.92.60.10.32.90.8 2015/16 0.5

3.2 3.12.80.30.33.70.9 2016/17 0.6


46.9 21.118.424.80.45.78.3 2013/14 3.4

43.8 21.518.823.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.0

39.8 20.417.821.40.45.17.8 2015/16 1.4

47.6 22.019.224.40.45.98.1 2016/17 3.1


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

13.9 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.8

11.3 5.90.29.60.02.93.9 2015/16 0.6

15.0 6.30.18.90.03.14.9 2016/17 0.4

Australia

22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.7 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.7

24.5 7.23.816.10.21.912.8 2015/16 6.0

33.0 8.04.524.50.22.513.0 2016/17 6.7

Canada

27.2 9.64.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.13.724.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 7.92.722.10.52.99.6 2015/16 5.2

31.7 10.25.021.00.53.68.9 2016/17 6.2

European Union

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.0 131.061.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 14.0

144.9 129.258.525.56.05.327.1 2016/17 10.1

Kazakhstan

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.17.50.11.212.4 2016/17 3.2

Russia

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 39.016.028.50.52.727.1 2016/17 11.1



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.35.217.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.2

26.8 11.34.416.50.04.26.5 2016/17 2.3

Total Wheat Competitors

256.6 193.576.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.2

306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2

320.8 201.181.8121.17.63.495.4 2014/15 44.5

325.5 208.289.0133.18.53.397.4 2015/16 37.2

338.8 210.990.6132.47.23.499.8 2016/17 40.0



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

29.8 9.36.019.00.08.53.5 2014/15 2.9

29.0 9.25.921.70.08.33.5 2015/16 1.1

36.5 10.56.825.00.08.14.5 2016/17 2.1

Brazil

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 10.1

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

67.0 57.048.515.03.04.216.0 2015/16 5.8

86.5 58.549.528.00.65.216.7 2016/17 6.4

China

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.03.25.938.1 2015/16 110.8

219.6 231.0161.00.03.06.036.8 2016/17 102.3

South Africa

12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


10.6 11.76.20.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4

7.9 11.25.70.83.03.62.2 2015/16 1.3

13.0 11.35.61.50.54.23.1 2016/17 2.0

Total Corn Competitors

245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 64.2

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.1

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.8

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

341.0 280.0200.254.17.85.759.4 2014/15 113.7

328.5 294.9213.637.59.25.559.8 2015/16 119.0

355.6 311.3222.954.54.15.861.1 2016/17 112.9



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.6 3.01.75.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.1

8.6 3.32.05.40.02.14.1 2015/16 1.0

10.6 3.11.87.00.02.74.0 2016/17 1.5

Canada

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.31.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 7.05.81.20.23.52.4 2015/16 1.4

8.8 7.26.01.70.14.02.2 2016/17 1.5

European Union

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.6 50.935.59.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.9

61.5 51.736.310.80.35.012.2 2015/16 5.2

59.8 54.138.75.90.44.812.5 2016/17 5.4



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.4 2.92.50.60.04.50.8 2015/16 0.9

3.6 3.02.60.90.04.50.8 2016/17 0.6

Australia

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.2

2.0 1.11.11.00.03.00.7 2015/16 0.2

1.5 1.11.10.40.03.00.5 2016/17 0.2


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

20,47731,3343,09222,99923,5183,9644,11755,147nr318,771 2014/15

26,55232,0214,14121,85621,0943,0563,07356,117nr319,149 2015/16

31,00633,9116,12327,50027,8963,4003,40262,859nr417,762 2016/17

Corn

43,974301,792134,10846,83147,421809804361,091nr1133,644 2014/15

44,123298,869130,33951,19848,2021,7791,714345,506nr1132,680 2015/16

58,933314,847142,24756,50056,5181,4001,397384,778nr1135,106 2016/17

Sorghum

4682,4592,0789,2698,935271010,988nr42,590 2014/15

9306,2132,6127,8958,6009811715,158nr53,177 2015/16

9636,4763,3025,8005,715252512,199nr52,494 2016/17

Barley

1,7114,2359362913114305133,953nr41,011 2014/15

2,2234,4061,0851612353504034,750nr41,278 2015/16

2,2514,5281,1971501313503484,339nr41,035 2016/17

Oats

7802,4471,33029271,7671,8761,019nr2419 2014/15

8242,7021,58235291,5381,4751,300nr3516 2015/16

6762,6961,56530291,5801,637940nr2397 2016/17

Rye

1540616436262237183nr2104 2014/15

1251527065217222295nr2148 2015/16

2455430656200230342nr2168 2016/17

Rice, Milled

1,5524,301nr3,3553,0617587837,10610,07981,187 2014/15

1,4753,555nr3,5413,4217687666,1338,76181,046 2015/16

1,6554,190nr3,5503,4937507467,11710,16781,253 2016/17

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,285.9 422.81,329.8656.6202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.11,301.9619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.31,346.2644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.5 368.31,369.6669.8190.12.6545.6 1990/91

1,355.6 357.91,365.9653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.7 398.51,388.2664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.5 366.01,389.1657.1188.22.5536.0 1993/94

1,393.0 363.21,395.7670.5200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.9 320.31,381.8641.8187.52.5527.3 1995/96

1,490.1 368.71,441.6674.6198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.6 416.11,443.2685.6190.42.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.3 449.01,448.3685.3198.72.8520.2 1998/99

1,465.6 444.21,469.9690.4214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,446.3 418.21,472.2700.3204.92.8509.2 2000/01

1,480.2 402.71,495.7713.6208.32.9511.5 2001/02

1,445.0 341.31,506.4711.6209.22.9504.2 2002/03

1,473.6 278.91,536.0718.1205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,643.2 335.61,586.6756.3214.43.2514.8 2004/05

1,600.2 318.41,617.3758.1222.53.1517.5 2005/06

1,584.7 272.81,630.4749.5229.93.1519.1 2006/07

1,691.9 289.21,675.4764.1244.73.2534.4 2007/08

1,792.2 359.61,721.9773.8253.53.3539.4 2008/09

1,804.2 396.01,767.8782.3254.13.4533.6 2009/10

1,747.7 359.91,783.8773.5249.93.3523.4 2010/11

1,853.8 360.41,853.3807.8287.13.4537.8 2011/12

1,795.1 341.81,813.8807.1279.73.4532.4 2012/13

1,994.6 406.01,930.4860.2327.83.7540.5 2013/14

2,035.9 464.41,977.5883.4335.73.7547.1 2014/15

1,984.2 486.81,961.8901.7357.23.6545.4 2015/16

2,077.3 499.32,064.8942.1358.43.8544.2 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

523.1 164.7541.7103.0101.52.5213.4 1994/95

537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00

582.8 206.0587.1111.2102.12.7215.4 2000/01

583.9 203.3586.6112.0107.92.7214.3 2001/02

569.7 169.0603.9116.1106.52.7213.4 2002/03

555.7 135.8588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04

626.8 156.2606.3110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.3621.8117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.4616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

611.9 128.1617.3104.6116.02.8216.9 2007/08

684.0 169.1642.9124.0143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.2 203.3653.1122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.5 198.9653.8116.8134.03.0216.9 2010/11

697.3 198.5697.8148.7153.73.2221.0 2011/12

658.6 177.8679.3138.2147.33.1215.8 2012/13

715.1 194.9697.9126.6162.53.3219.6 2013/14

728.3 217.5705.7131.8161.83.3221.7 2014/15

735.6 240.8712.3138.5172.13.3225.0 2015/16

748.2 248.6740.4149.0178.33.4222.1 2016/17

Coarse Grains

869.8 198.5854.0567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

908.7 203.5869.0573.294.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.4 217.2866.7579.485.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.8 238.6869.4575.996.73.0301.0 1998/99

878.1 233.9882.3585.8102.13.0293.5 1999/00

863.5 212.2885.1589.2102.82.9293.9 2000/01

896.3 199.5909.1601.6100.43.0297.3 2001/02

875.3 172.3902.5595.5102.73.0290.8 2002/03

917.9 143.1947.1616.4102.33.0303.3 2003/04

1,016.4 179.4980.2645.6101.23.4299.1 2004/05

981.3 165.1995.6640.4108.43.3300.0 2005/06

988.1 139.31,013.9636.4114.53.2306.8 2006/07

1,080.0 161.21,058.1659.5128.73.4317.5 2007/08

1,108.2 190.51,078.9649.8110.43.5315.3 2008/09

1,117.0 192.71,114.7660.0118.83.6308.0 2009/10

1,098.2 161.01,129.9656.7115.93.6306.6 2010/11

1,156.5 161.91,155.5659.0133.43.7316.8 2011/12

1,136.5 163.91,134.5668.9132.43.6316.6 2012/13

1,279.6 211.01,232.5733.5165.34.0320.9 2013/14

1,307.6 246.91,271.8751.6173.94.0325.4 2014/15

1,248.6 246.01,249.5763.1185.23.9320.4 2015/16

1,329.0 250.71,324.4793.2180.14.1322.1 2016/17

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

559.6 153.3535.7371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.7 133.3536.8365.364.83.8135.1 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.1 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.468.74.4139.0 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.1422.572.04.4138.8 1999/00

591.7 175.2610.8427.375.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.5436.372.74.4137.1 2001/02

603.9 126.9628.5433.476.84.4137.7 2002/03

627.7 104.6649.9445.779.04.4141.6 2003/04

717.1 131.1690.7476.076.04.9145.4 2004/05

701.0 123.6708.5479.582.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.5 108.9731.2480.291.34.8150.5 2006/07

795.5 127.9776.6501.398.25.0160.3 2007/08

800.1 143.5784.4481.983.65.0158.7 2008/09

825.2 140.9827.8492.792.75.2158.4 2009/10

835.8 123.4853.2503.591.75.1164.6 2010/11

889.7 128.1885.1508.5103.75.2172.1 2011/12

869.6 133.1864.6518.4100.74.9177.5 2012/13

990.4 174.8948.8570.6130.85.5180.3 2013/14

1,015.6 209.8980.6584.4128.45.6179.8 2014/15

960.7 210.4960.1598.3144.95.4177.6 2015/16

1,040.2 217.61,033.0629.1143.15.7181.4 2016/17

Barley

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.553.1 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.9 23.5147.0103.314.82.458.4 2003/04

152.4 33.1142.7100.217.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.197.417.42.555.2 2005/06

136.8 21.4143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.5133.691.018.52.455.7 2007/08

155.0 31.6143.9100.418.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.2145.3101.517.32.854.2 2009/10

123.0 24.1136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11

133.5 22.6135.091.721.42.749.2 2011/12

129.1 20.4131.388.822.22.650.2 2012/13

144.3 23.9140.997.323.82.850.7 2013/14

141.8 24.1141.697.430.12.949.6 2014/15

147.9 24.6147.499.927.53.049.7 2015/16

144.0 22.9145.7100.026.93.048.3 2016/17

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.8 105.3313.211.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.6325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.6345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.9 126.7353.214.4353.33.5147.6 1991/92

524.0 123.1357.414.9353.93.6146.4 1992/93

526.1 118.9358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

563.8 120.3378.218.9380.43.8150.2 1996/97

575.3 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.3 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.23.9152.8 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.227.9399.53.9151.6 2001/02

563.0 103.0408.127.6378.23.8147.7 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.5 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.4 2004/05

622.3 76.5415.429.0417.94.0154.2 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.1154.3 2006/07

643.6 80.9428.129.5433.64.2155.0 2007/08

669.5 92.9437.929.4449.94.2158.5 2008/09

656.2 95.1438.531.8440.74.2155.8 2009/10

672.1 100.1445.436.5450.44.2158.2 2010/11

697.2 106.8460.940.0467.64.3160.4 2011/12

704.6 113.9465.439.5472.54.4158.8 2012/13

713.3 113.9478.344.1478.34.4161.6 2013/14

713.5 115.0477.542.6478.64.4160.9 2014/15

703.7 116.5470.640.3472.04.4159.1 2015/16

715.9 118.0478.641.5480.14.4161.4 2016/17

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


54

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES

North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.

Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British

Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies,

Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique,

Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the

Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S.

South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas

Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta,

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar,

Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa.

East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan.

South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives.

Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

Thailand, Vietnam.

Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


55

OTHER NOTES

Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main

harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed

begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains

in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second

year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website

(https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads).

Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local

marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in

time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed,

industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local

marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however,

reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables

contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for

analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye

are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union

(Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through

1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for

grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10,

plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain

equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and

mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.



56

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries,

and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural

Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from

official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.

agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information.

Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448.

Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade January 2017. For

further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production February

2017.

This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home

Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat

Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat

Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice

Rhiannon Elms (202) 649-3872 [email protected] Rice

Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Graham Soley (202) 772-4235 [email protected] Coarse Grains


http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]






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