United States Agriculture Cotton · due to the effects of last month’s hurricanes in the delta...

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA

Circular Series FOP 10 - 08 October 2008

Major Changes For 2008/09 From Last Month’s Forecast

(Thousands of 480 Lb. Bales)

Production Exports Imports China up 1,000 U.S. down 1,500 China down 1,000India up 500 India down 150 India down 300Brazil up 100 Kazakhstan down 150 Turkey down 200Argentina up 75 Uzbekistan down 150 Russia down 100United States down 135 Bangladesh down 100

Use Ending Stocks China down 250 U.S. up 1,300 Turkey down 200 India up 450 India down 100 Brazil up 360 Pakistan down 100 Uzbekistan up 150 Russia down 100 Pakistan up 100 Bangladesh down 100 Kazakhstan up 81

This month’s 2008/09 forecast showed increased production and lower consumption, resulting in decreased trade and higher ending stocks. Increases in production were seen in most major producers, including China, India and Brazil. The only exception was U.S. production, which was reduced slightly due to the effects of last month’s hurricanes in the delta region. With the worldwide economic turmoil damping demand, consumption forecasts were lowered for nearly all major consumers. Total world use was lowered by over 1 percent and is now expected to be slightly below the previous season’s estimate. With increased production and lower demand, world trade was reduced by over 6 percent. China is now forecast to import 11 million bales, down 1 million from last month. Turkey is projected to lower imports by 200,000 bales as their consumption decreases. U.S. exports in 2008/09 are projected to decline to 13 million bales, 1.5 million below last month. Exports were also lowered for India, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan. With the weakened demand and increased production, 2008/09 world ending stocks increased 6 percent, with over 1/3 of this in the United States. As a result, the forecast for the average U.S. farm price was reduced by 6.5 cents to 56.5 cents/ pound.

Cotton: World Markets and Trade

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month (Working Statistics)

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg Year Area Harvested

Beginning Stocks

Production Imports Exports Use Loss Total Dom. Cons.

Ending Stocks

Argentina

22000-166000 2007/08

52-250-2520-50752230 2008/09

Australia

50000-500000 2008/09

Azerbaijan, Republic of

10000-91000 2007/08

25000-1500100 2008/09

Bangladesh

0-1000-1000-100000 2008/09

Benin

25000-250000 2008/09

Bolivia

-100010000 2005/06

3000-130-10 2006/07

500002030 2007/08

500000050 2008/09

Brazil

210000002100-13 2007/08

360000-5001002100 2008/09

Burkina

30000-300000 2008/09

Chile

100001000 2007/08

100000010 2008/09

China, Peoples Republic of

250-2500-25000000 2007/08

0250500-2500-1,0001,0002500 2008/09

Colombia

-20000-2000 2006/07

-7-150-15-3-230-20 2007/08

-22-250-250-400-70 2008/09

Cote d'Ivoire

25000-250000 2008/09

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

October 2008

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month (Working Statistics) (Continued)

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)


Beginning Stocks


Ending Stocks

Croatia

-1-20-20-3000 2007/08

-1-20-20-20-10 2008/09

Czech Republic

3-100-100-7000 2007/08

-2-150-150-20030 2008/09

Ecuador

200002000 2006/07

600004020 2007/08

600000060 2008/09

Egypt

50-250-25-250000 2008/09

France

-40000-4000 2007/08

-4-50-50-50-40 2008/09

Germany

-10-100-100-20000 2007/08

0-350-350-250-100 2008/09

Greece

50000-500000 2008/09

India

450-1000-100-150-3005000200 2008/09

Indonesia

0-750-750-75000 2008/09

Iran

250000-2550010 2008/09

Italy

0-250-250-25000 2007/08

0-500-500-50000 2008/09

Kazakhstan, Republic of

81000-245-164000 2007/08

81000-150-1500810 2008/09

Korea, Republic of


October 2008


(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)


Beginning Stocks


Ending Stocks

0-750-750-75000 2008/09

Malawi

140005019013 2006/07

24000200301423 2007/08

34000200302423 2008/09

Mali

15000-150000 2008/09

Mexico

50-500-5000000 2008/09

Mozambique

15000-150000 2008/09

Pakistan

100-1000-10000000 2008/09

Russian Federation

0-750-750-75000 2007/08

0-1000-1000-100000 2008/09

South Africa, Republic of

-300000-30-1 2006/07

-900000-6-3-2 2007/08

-4000010-5-9-2 2008/09

Spain

-5-100-10-100-2500 2008/09

Syria

25000-250000 2008/09

Taiwan

-11-750-750-86000 2007/08

-11-750-750-750-110 2008/09

Tajikistan, Republic of

50000-500000 2008/09

Tanzania, United Republic of

25000-250000 2008/09

Thailand

0-750-750-75000 2008/09


October 2008


(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)


Beginning Stocks


Ending Stocks

Turkey

106000-3967000 2007/08

131-2000-200-25-20001060 2008/09

Turkmenistan

25000-250000 2008/09

Ukraine

-30000-3000 2007/08

-3000000-30 2008/09

United States

-990900000 2007/08

1,30056560-1,5000-135-9-31 2008/09

Uzbekistan, Republic of

150000-1500000 2008/09

Vietnam

25000025000 2008/09

World

World

-100010000 2005/06

140004316-112 2006/07

664-4530-453-292-329234148 2007/08

3,128-836556-1,392-2,370-2,3321,590664230 2008/09


October 2008

Table 01 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 MT)

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Sep

2008/09Oct

2008/09

Production none

6,597 China, Peoples Republic 6,183 7,729 8,056 7,729 7,947

4,137 India 4,148 4,746 5,356 5,334 5,443

5,062 United States 5,201 4,700 4,182 3,015 2,985

2,425 Pakistan 2,213 2,155 1,938 1,960 1,960

1,285 Brazil 1,023 1,524 1,602 1,393 1,415

1,132 Uzbekistan, Republic of 1,208 1,165 1,197 1,110 1,110

904 Turkey 773 827 675 501 501

4,898 Other 4,632 3,713 3,249 3,380 3,407

26,440 Total 25,382 26,560 26,255 24,422 24,769

USE Dom. Consumption none


3,222 India 3,636 3,941 3,984 3,984 3,963

2,286 Pakistan 2,504 2,722 2,700 2,678 2,656

1,546 Turkey 1,502 1,589 1,350 1,219 1,176

938 Brazil 969 996 1,002 1,002 1,002

1,457 United States 1,278 1,074 1,004 958 958

408 Bangladesh 479 540 599 664 642

468 Indonesia 474 474 484 501 484

457 Mexico 457 457 435 425 414

457 Thailand 446 425 419 430 414

4,037 Other 3,789 3,778 3,561 3,533 3,437

23,660 Total 25,332 26,882 26,860 26,933 26,630

Imports none


382 Pakistan 352 502 827 718 718

743 Turkey 740 871 711 697 653

403 Bangladesh 482 540 610 664 642

479 Indonesia 479 479 501 501 484

497 Thailand 412 415 420 430 414

394 Mexico 380 295 333 294 294

316 Russian Federation 310 305 261 261 239

148 Vietnam 153 196 207 229 234

291 Taiwan 247 253 210 218 201

2,239 Other 1,913 1,994 1,690 1,762 1,602

7,283 Total 9,667 8,153 8,280 8,386 7,878

Exports none

3,143 United States 3,821 2,833 2,973 3,157 2,830

144 India 751 994 1,568 1,361 1,328

860 Uzbekistan, Republic of 1,045 980 969 936 904

339 Brazil 429 283 486 566 555

435 Australia 628 464 265 218 207

255 Greece 294 272 229 207 196

212 Burkina 305 294 169 202 196

82 Turkmenistan 120 152 174 185 180

136 Benin 103 109 109 125 120

136 Kazakhstan, Republic of 192 189 115 136 103

1,877 Other 2,016 1,513 1,323 1,292 1,250

7,619 Total 9,705 8,083 8,379 8,385 7,869

Ending Stocks none


1,908 India 1,756 1,669 1,571 1,734 1,832

1,196 United States 1,321 2,064 2,154 1,067 1,350

1,063 Brazil 787 1,177 1,361 1,217 1,296

1,077 Pakistan 1,069 953 947 887 909

390 Turkey 363 426 405 311 340

283 Uzbekistan, Republic of 272 261 283 245 277

3,272 Other 3,081 2,659 2,423 2,299 2,437

13,192 Total 13,556 13,679 13,390 11,391 12,073


October 2008

Table 02 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 Bales)

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08Sep

2008/09Oct

2008/09

Production none

5,900 Brazil 4,700 7,000 7,360 6,400 6,500


19,000 India 19,050 21,800 24,600 24,500 25,000

11,138 Pakistan 10,165 9,900 8,900 9,000 9,000

4,150 Turkey 3,550 3,800 3,100 2,300 2,300

23,251 United States 23,890 21,588 19,207 13,846 13,711


22,498 Other 21,274 17,052 14,922 15,524 15,649

121,437 Total 116,579 121,990 120,589 112,170 113,760

USE Dom. Consumption none

1,875 Bangladesh 2,200 2,480 2,750 3,050 2,950

4,310 Brazil 4,452 4,573 4,600 4,600 4,600


14,800 India 16,700 18,100 18,300 18,300 18,200

2,150 Indonesia 2,175 2,175 2,225 2,300 2,225

2,100 Mexico 2,100 2,100 2,000 1,950 1,900

10,500 Pakistan 11,500 12,500 12,400 12,300 12,200

2,100 Thailand 2,050 1,950 1,925 1,975 1,900

7,100 Turkey 6,900 7,300 6,200 5,600 5,400

6,691 United States 5,871 4,935 4,609 4,400 4,400

18,543 Other 17,402 17,352 16,357 16,226 15,784

108,669 Total 116,350 123,465 123,366 123,701 122,309

Imports none

1,850 Bangladesh 2,214 2,480 2,800 3,050 2,950


2,200 Indonesia 2,200 2,200 2,300 2,300 2,225

1,810 Mexico 1,744 1,353 1,530 1,350 1,350

1,756 Pakistan 1,615 2,305 3,800 3,300 3,300

1,450 Russian Federation 1,425 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,100

1,337 Taiwan 1,133 1,160 964 1,000 925

2,282 Thailand 1,892 1,905 1,928 1,975 1,900

3,414 Turkey 3,400 4,000 3,267 3,200 3,000

680 Vietnam 703 900 950 1,050 1,075

10,285 Other 8,788 9,156 7,762 8,092 7,360

33,449 Total 44,398 37,447 38,031 38,517 36,185

Exports none

1,998 Australia 2,884 2,129 1,219 1,000 950

625 Benin 475 500 500 575 550

1,557 Brazil 1,972 1,300 2,231 2,600 2,550

975 Burkina 1,400 1,350 775 930 900

1,170 Greece 1,350 1,250 1,050 950 900

660 India 3,450 4,565 7,200 6,250 6,100

625 Kazakhstan, Republic of 883 869 530 625 475

375 Turkmenistan 550 700 800 850 825

14,436 United States 17,549 13,010 13,653 14,500 13,000


8,623 Other 9,260 6,950 6,078 5,932 5,742

34,994 Total 44,573 37,123 38,486 38,512 36,142

Ending Stocks none

4,882 Brazil 3,616 5,408 6,251 5,591 5,951


8,764 India 8,064 7,664 7,214 7,964 8,414

4,945 Pakistan 4,912 4,375 4,350 4,075 4,175

1,790 Turkey 1,665 1,955 1,861 1,430 1,561

5,495 United States 6,069 9,479 9,891 4,900 6,200


15,027 Other 14,152 12,212 11,129 10,558 11,195

60,589 Total 62,262 62,827 61,498 52,320 55,448


October 2008

Table 04 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last yearMBalesPercent

Yield(Kilograms per hectare)

Oct 2006/07 MBales

Country / Region

Area(Million hectares)

Production(Million 480 lb. bales)

Change in Production

2006/07Prel.

2007/08 Sep SepPrel.

2007/08 OctPrel.

2007/08 Sep Oct Percent2008/09 Proj.2008/09 Proj. 2008/09 Proj.

2006/07

34.71World -5.66-6.831.421.59113.7633.26 31.34 31.57 765 790 779 785 121.99 120.59 112.17

5.15United States -28.61-5.50-0.98-0.1413.714.25 3.17 3.14 912 985 951 951 21.59 19.21 13.85

29.55Total Foreign -1.31-1.331.751.73100.0529.01 28.17 28.43 740 761 760 766 100.40 101.38 98.32

none

Western Hemisphere

1.09 Brazil -11.68-0.861.560.106.501.08 0.98 0.98 1,393 1,488 1,422 1,444 7.00 7.36 6.40

0.12 Mexico 9.680.060.000.000.680.11 0.12 0.12 1,231 1,227 1,287 1,287 0.65 0.62 0.68

0.40 Argentina 32.140.238.820.080.930.31 0.40 0.43 435 490 463 468 0.80 0.70 0.85

0.13 Paraguay 20.000.020.000.000.120.06 0.09 0.09 279 363 290 290 0.16 0.10 0.12

0.09 Peru 0.000.000.000.000.300.09 0.09 0.09 726 726 726 726 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.05 Colombia 2.600.010.000.000.200.04 0.04 0.04 862 995 997 997 0.20 0.19 0.20

Africa

0.70 Burkina 40.740.280.000.000.950.40 0.50 0.50 404 367 414 414 1.30 0.68 0.95

0.46 Mali 2.220.010.000.000.460.28 0.25 0.25 375 345 401 401 0.79 0.45 0.46

0.21 Cote d'Ivoire 11.110.030.000.000.250.20 0.19 0.19 317 245 286 286 0.31 0.23 0.25

0.20 Cameroon 33.330.080.000.000.300.14 0.16 0.16 397 350 408 408 0.37 0.23 0.30

0.23 Benin 15.000.080.000.000.580.23 0.26 0.26 448 465 482 482 0.48 0.50 0.58

0.25 Chad 34.620.050.000.000.180.20 0.18 0.18 174 142 212 212 0.20 0.13 0.18

0.07 Togo 13.640.020.000.000.130.07 0.08 0.08 268 368 340 340 0.08 0.11 0.13

0.04 Senegal 7.950.010.000.000.100.04 0.05 0.05 495 435 460 460 0.10 0.09 0.10

0.25 Egypt -42.50-0.430.000.000.580.24 0.14 0.14 863 907 927 927 0.98 1.00 0.58

0.35 Zimbabwe 4.550.030.000.000.580.40 0.40 0.40 311 299 313 313 0.50 0.55 0.58

0.38 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.450.40 0.40 0.40 229 248 248 248 0.40 0.45 0.45

Asia Oceania

6.00 China, Peoples -1.35-0.502.821.0036.506.20 6.00 6.00 1,288 1,299 1,288 1,325 35.50 37.00 35.50

9.17 India 1.630.402.040.5025.009.55 9.20 9.40 518 561 580 579 21.80 24.60 24.50

3.25 Pakistan 1.120.100.000.009.003.00 2.90 2.90 663 646 676 676 9.90 8.90 9.00

0.20 Kazakhstan, Republic -25.60-0.160.000.000.470.20 0.16 0.16 698 680 633 633 0.63 0.63 0.47

0.26 Tajikistan, Republic of -12.50-0.080.000.000.530.25 0.23 0.23 551 523 497 497 0.65 0.60 0.53

0.60 Turkmenistan 0.000.000.000.001.300.60 0.60 0.60 435 472 472 472 1.20 1.30 1.30

1.43 Uzbekistan, Republic -7.27-0.400.000.005.101.45 1.42 1.42 815 826 782 782 5.35 5.50 5.10

0.63 Turkey -25.81-0.800.000.002.300.52 0.38 0.38 1,313 1,298 1,318 1,318 3.80 3.10 2.30

0.15 Australia 93.550.580.000.001.200.07 0.15 0.15 2,027 2,077 1,742 1,742 1.35 0.62 1.20

0.21 Syria -13.04-0.150.000.001.000.20 0.18 0.18 1,038 1,252 1,210 1,210 1.02 1.15 1.00

0.30 Burma, Union of 0.000.000.000.000.270.30 0.30 0.30 196 196 196 196 0.27 0.27 0.27

Europe

0.33 Greece -16.98-0.230.000.001.100.32 0.25 0.25 924 916 958 958 1.40 1.33 1.10

2.03Others 11.780.321.670.053.042.07 2.09 2.12 316 286 311 312 2.94 2.72 2.99

Note: Yeild for Total Foreign and Others is an incorrect calculation.


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09

Area Harvested

ExportsLossUseTotal Supply

ImportsProductionBeginning Stocks

Country

85 0709801350 Afghanistan 15

1 035423471 Albania 0

0 020272070 Algeria 0

5 0510322 Angola 3

925 98251,77675776430 Argentina 50

0 012110 Armenia, Republic 0

1,200 -50501,7300530150 Australia 950

0 0405140110 Austria 2

110 06520909951 Azerbaijan, 70

0 0758975140 Bahrain 0

60 102,9503,5942,95058442 Bangladesh 0

0 030353050 Belarus 0

0 085134120140 Belgium-Luxembour 30

575 0107130138260 Benin 550

48 080127403920 Bolivia 10

6,500 -1504,60012,9512006,251980 Brazil 2,550

10 0607350132 Bulgaria 0

950 041,1520202500 Burkina 900

270 0180343073300 Burma, Union of 90

0 020262060 Cambodia 0

300 045370070160 Cameroon 250

0 0253220120 Canada 0

15 05200525 Central African 10

175 015218043180 Chad 155

0 0607860180 Chile 0

36,500 -2,50052,75067,00411,00019,5046,000 China, Peoples 75

197 54004922108543 Colombia 5

15 0303515530 Congo, Democratic 0

1 023111 Costa Rica 0

250 0504230173190 Cote d'Ivoire 200

0 034310 Croatia 0

4 045484044 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0

0 0759985140 Czech Republic 10

0 000000 Denmark 0


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09 (Continued)

Area Harvested



Country

3 0810524 Dominican Republic 0

9 0759165173 Ecuador 0

575 138501,890500815135 Egypt 425

1 0150184150331 El Salvador 0

0 025312560 Estonia 0

85 07510602160 Ethiopia 10

0 08010790170 France 10

0 0200276250260 Germany 40

40 0155501525 Ghana 25

1,100 502501,51020390250 Greece 900

3 0125146120232 Guatemala 0

14 00180414 Guinea 15

5 01011517 Haiti 0

4 023291962 Honduras 0

0 02504393251140 Hong Kong 90

0 011131030 Hungary 0

25,000 018,20032,7145007,2149,400 India 6,100

30 502,2252,6442,2253899 Indonesia 20

450 0620855225180130 Iran 40

30 0100119701920 Iraq 0

0 011100 Ireland 0

50 04895347 Israel 55

0 0400459400590 Italy 10

0 0550638550880 Japan 0

465 05070150186160 Kazakhstan, 475

25 05580401537 Kenya 10

55 01501851003019 Korea, Democratic 0

1 09001,1399002381 Korea, Republic of 5

130 0517204233 Kyrgyzstan, 130

0 010121020 Latvia 0

0 034310 Lebanon 0

0 010131030 Lithuania 2

1 020252041 Macedonia, 0

60 0507101130 Madagascar 10

130 0522609670 Malawi 115


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

0 0170200170300 Malaysia 0

460 0255770117250 Mali 435

0 0150184150340 Mauritius 0

680 251,9002,9621,350932115 Mexico 175

0 010141040 Moldova, Republic 0

1 0175216175401 Morocco 0

150 010203053196 Mozambique 125

0 09131030 Netherlands 1

10 0112024 Nicaragua 9

5 048035 Niger 1

450 037063970119395 Nigeria 150

9,000 2512,20016,6503,3004,3502,900 Pakistan 250

0 000000 Panama 0

120 03017955490 Paraguay 90

300 055096127538690 Peru 5

10 0607750174 Philippines 0

0 060686080 Poland 0

1 0240321240801 Portugal 2

0 020252050 Romania 0

0 01,1001,2971,1001970 Russian Federation 0

95 02012903445 Senegal 75

0 014181440 Serbia and 0

0 00232030 Singapore 20

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 020252050 Slovenia 0

7 010113112 Somalia 0

50 02503482009815 South Africa, 0

115 080167153750 Spain 60

5 069135 Sri Lanka 0

160 08266010680 Sudan 160

0 000000 Sweden 0

0 025322570 Switzerland 0

1,000 07251,2940294180 Syria 325

0 09501,1909252650 Taiwan 0

525 0657430218230 Tajikistan, Republic 475


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

575 01308900315510 Tanzania, United 375

15 251,9002,2561,9003418 Thailand 2

125 01516704280 Togo 110

10 0110123100132 Tunisia 0

2,300 05,4007,1613,0001,861380 Turkey 200

1,300 04501,9590659600 Turkmenistan 825

100 020160060270 Uganda 75

0 0607460140 Ukraine 0

0 020312560 United Kingdom 5

13,711 174,40023,617159,8913,138 United States 13,000

0 023210 Uruguay 0

5,100 09756,39801,2981,420 Uzbekistan, 4,150

60 07596152110 Venezuela 0

28 01,1001,3411,07523813 Vietnam 0

65 025740940 Yemen 40

190 0653650175190 Zambia 140

575 15907960221400 Zimbabwe 450

World

113,760 -2,456122,309211,44336,18561,49831,570 World 36,142


October 2008

(1000 MT)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09

Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks


ImportsProductionCountry

0 301521193 Afghanistan 3

7 008902 Albania 2

4 004602 Algeria 2

1 101210 Angola 0

16 112180387201169 Argentina 194


0 207-1111377261115 Australia 170

9 0091102 Austria 2

0 15014462422 Azerbaijan, 16

16 00161903 Bahrain 3

642 0264278313127 Bangladesh 138

7 007801 Belarus 1


0 1200215512530 Benin 33

9 201728108 Bolivia 8

44 555-331,0022,8201,4151,361 Brazil 1,296

11 00131623 Bulgaria 3

0 1960125120744 Burkina 54

0 20039755916 Burma, Union of 16

4 004601 Cambodia 1

0 54010816515 Cameroon 16

4 005703 Canada 2


0 340347389 Chad 10

13 00131704 Chile 4

2,395 16-54411,48514,5897,9474,247 China, Peoples 3,631

46 11871074319 Colombia 18



0 44011925438 Cote d'Ivoire 38

1 001100 Croatia 0

9 00101011 Cuba 1

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


October 2008

(1000 MT)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2008/09 (Continued)

Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks




14 00162024 Ecuador 3

109 933185412125177 Egypt 131

33 00334007 El Salvador 7

5 005701 Estonia 1

0 201623195 Ethiopia 5

20 20172304 France 4

54 90446006 Germany 8

0 5031293 Ghana 3

4 196115432923985 Greece 67

26 00273215 Guatemala 5

0 300431 Guinea 1

1 002210 Haiti 0

4 005611 Honduras 1

71 2005496025 Hong Kong 22

2 002301 Hungary 0

109 1,32803,9637,1235,4431,571 India 1,832

484 411484576785 Indonesia 76

49 901351869839 Iran 42

15 00222674 Iraq 4

0 000000 Ireland 0

1 120119117 Israel 7

87 2087100013 Italy 11

120 00120139019 Japan 19

11 10301115310140 Kazakhstan, 38

9 20121753 Kenya 3


196 10196248052 Korea, Republic of 51

0 280137289 Kyrgyzstan, 8

2 002300 Latvia 0

1 001100 Lebanon 0

2 002301 Lithuania 0

4 004501 Macedonia, 1

0 201115132 Madagascar 2

0 2501492821 Malawi 23


October 2008

(1000 MT)


Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks



37 00374407 Malaysia 7

0 950512610025 Mali 25

33 00334007 Mauritius 7

294 385414645148203 Mexico 188


38 00384709 Morocco 9

0 2702443312 Mozambique 15



0 001211 Niger 1

15 330811399826 Nigeria 26

718 5452,6563,6251,960947 Pakistan 909

0 000000 Panama 0

1 2007392612 Paraguay 13

60 101202096584 Peru 88


13 00131502 Poland 2

52 005270017 Portugal 17

4 004501 Romania 1

239 00239282043 Russian Federation 43

0 160428217 Senegal 7

3 003401 Serbia and 1

4 400501 Singapore 1

0 000000 Slovakia 0

4 004501 Slovenia 1

1 002220 Somalia 0

44 0054761121 South Africa, 21

3 1301736258 Spain 6


0 3502583523 Sudan 21

0 000000 Sweden 0


0 71015828221864 Syria 53

201 00207259058 Taiwan 52



October 2008

(1000 MT)


Beginning Stocks

Ending Stocks



0 8202819412569 Tanzania, United 84

414 05414491374 Thailand 72

0 240336279 Togo 9

22 00242723 Tunisia 3

653 4401,1761,559501405 Turkey 340

0 180098427283143 Turkmenistan 149

0 1604352213 Uganda 14

13 00131603 Ukraine 3


3 2,83049585,1422,9852,154 United States 1,350

0 000100 Uruguay 0

0 90402121,3931,110283 Uzbekistan, 277

3 001621135 Venezuela 5

234 00239292652 Vietnam 52

0 90516142 Yemen 2

0 30014794138 Zambia 35

0 9832017312548 Zimbabwe 52

World

7,878 7,869-53526,63046,03724,76913,390 World 12,073


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008

Area Harvested



Country

85 0709801350 Afghanistan 15

1 035423471 Albania 0

0 020272070 Algeria 0

5 0510322 Angola 3

700 98251,624181743311 Argentina 14


620 -25501,77401,15465 Australia 1,219

0 045595090 Austria 3

175 065285110980 Azerbaijan, 121

0 0758975140 Bahrain 0

39 102,7503,3442,80050529 Bangladesh 0

0 030353050 Belarus 0


500 0106480148234 Benin 500

48 080129423920 Bolivia 10

7,360 -1504,60012,9321645,4081,077 Brazil 2,231

10 0607350132 Bulgaria 0

675 049810306400 Burkina 775

270 0180343073300 Burma, Union of 90

0 020262060 Cambodia 0

225 0453250100140 Cameroon 210

0 0506240220 Canada 0


130 015193063200 Chad 135

0 0607861170 Chile 0

37,000 -2,50052,00069,06611,53020,5366,200 China, Peoples 62

192 541050220210842 Colombia 2



225 0504480223200 Cote d'Ivoire 225

0 034220 Croatia 0

4 045494054 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008 (Continued)

Area Harvested



Country


9 0759269143 Ecuador 0

1,000 131,0002,378550828240 Egypt 550

1 0145178143341 El Salvador 0

0 025322570 Estonia 1

85 07510602160 Ethiopia 10

0 0100131106250 France 14

0 0230306270360 Germany 50

40 0155501525 Ghana 25

1,325 503001,79020445315 Greece 1,050

3 0125148120252 Guatemala 0

14 00190514 Guinea 15

5 01011517 Haiti 0

4 023291962 Honduras 0

0 03005084001080 Hong Kong 94

0 011141040 Hungary 0

24,600 018,30032,7144507,6649,550 India 7,200

32 502,2252,6842,30035210 Indonesia 20

400 0620825250175120 Iran 25

30 0100119701920 Iraq 0

0 011100 Ireland 0

82 0412854113 Israel 90

0 0475554475790 Italy 20

0 0585673581920 Japan 0

625 05076636105200 Kazakhstan, 530

25 05580401537 Kenya 10


1 01,0001,2429752661 Korea, Republic of 4

150 0519704735 Kyrgyzstan, 150

0 010121020 Latvia 0

0 034310 Lebanon 0

0 010151050 Lithuania 2

1 020242031 Macedonia, 0

60 0507101130 Madagascar 10

130 0521608670 Malawi 115


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

0 0170200170300 Malaysia 0

450 0236400190284 Mali 500

0 0150184160240 Mauritius 0

620 252,0003,1771,5301,027110 Mexico 220


1 0175215175391 Morocco 0

100 010163063196 Mozambique 100



5 048035 Niger 1

450 037063970119395 Nigeria 150

8,900 2512,40017,0753,8004,3753,000 Pakistan 300

0 000000 Panama 0

100 030164105460 Paraguay 80

300 052591427034490 Peru 3


0 0707965140 Poland 1

1 0240322240811 Portugal 2

0 0253020100 Romania 0

0 01,2251,4221,2002220 Russian Federation 0

88 02012904144 Senegal 75

0 014181440 Serbia and 0

0 00232030 Singapore 20

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 020262060 Slovenia 1

7 010113112 Somalia 0

49 025034819010915 South Africa, 0

185 0100257135954 Spain 120


110 08274016460 Sudan 160

0 000000 Sweden 0


1,150 07251,4690319200 Syria 450

0 01,0251,2909643260 Taiwan 0



October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area Harvested



Country

310 01305850275450 Tanzania, United 140

15 251,9252,2951,9283528 Thailand 4

110 01515704765 Togo 100

10 0110123100132 Tunisia 0

3,100 06,2008,3223,2671,955520 Turkey 261

1,300 04401,8990599600 Turkmenistan 800

60 020145085270 Uganda 65

0 0607457170 Ukraine 0


19,207 5454,60928,698129,4794,245 United States 13,653

0 023210 Uruguay 0

5,500 09506,69801,1981,450 Uzbekistan, 4,450

60 07596152110 Venezuela 0

26 09501,18895021213 Vietnam 0

65 025740940 Yemen 40

160 0653800220200 Zambia 140

550 15907510201400 Zimbabwe 425

World

120,589 -1,903123,366221,44738,03162,82733,255 World 38,486


October 2008

(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008

Area Harvested

ExportsEnding Stocks

LossUseImportsProductionBeginning Stocks

Country

19 30150311 Afghanistan 3

0 208720 Albania 0

0 204420 Algeria 0

1 001100 Angola 1

152 16921803916268 Argentina 3


135 115-511025114 Australia 265

0 20101120 Austria 1

38 2201402417 Azerbaijan, 26

0 30161630 Bahrain 0

8 12725996101106 Bangladesh 0

0 107710 Belarus 0


109 300203251 Benin 109

10 8017984 Bolivia 2

1,602 1,361-331,002361,177234 Brazil 486

2 30131130 Bulgaria 0

147 440106787 Burkina 169

59 1603901665 Burma, Union of 20

0 104410 Cambodia 0

49 1501002230 Cameroon 46

0 3011950 Canada 0


28 90301444 Chad 29

0 40131340 Chile 0

8,056 4,247-54411,3222,5104,4711,350 China, Peoples 13

42 1918944249 Colombia 0



49 3801104944 Cote d'Ivoire 49

0 001000 Croatia 0

1 1010911 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


October 2008

(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2007/2008 (Continued)

Area Harvested



Country


2 40161531 Ecuador 0

218 177321812018052 Egypt 120

0 70323170 El Salvador 0

0 105520 Estonia 0

19 50160513 Ethiopia 2

0 40222350 France 3

0 60505980 Germany 11

9 303035 Ghana 5

288 85116549769 Greece 229

1 50272650 Guatemala 0

3 100013 Guinea 3

1 002102 Haiti 0

1 105410 Honduras 0

0 2506587240 Hong Kong 20

0 102210 Hungary 0

5,356 1,57103,984981,6692,079 India 1,568

7 8511484501772 Indonesia 4

87 390135543826 Iran 5

7 40221544 Iraq 0

0 000000 Ireland 0

18 701193 Israel 20

0 130103103170 Italy 4

0 190127126200 Japan 0

136 4001182344 Kazakhstan, 115

5 3012938 Kenya 2


0 520218212580 Korea, Republic of 1

33 9010108 Kyrgyzstan, 33

0 002200 Latvia 0

0 001100 Lebanon 0

0 102210 Lithuania 0

0 104410 Macedonia, 0

13 2011027 Madagascar 2

28 210101915 Malawi 25


October 2008

(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area Harvested



Country

0 70373770 Malaysia 0

98 250504162 Mali 109

0 70333550 Mauritius 0

135 203543533322424 Mexico 48


0 90383880 Morocco 0

22 120201443 Mozambique 22



1 101011 Niger 0

98 26081152686 Nigeria 33

1,938 94752,700827953653 Pakistan 65

0 000000 Panama 0

22 120721213 Paraguay 17

65 840114597520 Peru 1


0 20151430 Poland 0

0 1705252180 Portugal 0

0 105420 Romania 0

0 430267261480 Russian Federation 0

19 7040910 Senegal 16

0 103310 Serbia and 0

0 100410 Singapore 4

0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 104410 Slovenia 0

2 002103 Somalia 0

11 2105441243 South Africa, 0

40 802231312 Spain 26


24 230203613 Sudan 35

0 000000 Sweden 0


250 64015806944 Syria 98

0 580223210710 Taiwan 0



October 2008

(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area Harvested



Country

67 6902806098 Tanzania, United 30

3 745419420772 Thailand 1

24 90301014 Togo 22

2 30242230 Tunisia 0

675 40501,350711426113 Turkey 57

283 1430960130131 Turkmenistan 174

13 130401959 Uganda 14

0 30131240 Ukraine 0


4,182 2,1541191,00432,064924 United States 2,973

0 000000 Uruguay 0

1,197 28302070261316 Uzbekistan, 969

13 5016352 Venezuela 0

6 520207207463 Vietnam 0

14 205029 Yemen 9

35 3801404844 Zambia 30

120 4832004487 Zimbabwe 93

World

26,255 13,390-41426,8608,28013,6797,240 World 8,379


October 2008

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 09: World Cotton Supply and Distribution

Area Harvested

LossUseExportsTotal Supply


Country Mktg Year

World

World

63,908 61,02226,441113,40827,12022,38033,576 1977/78 308

59,496 63,22927,253112,26227,12925,63732,814 1978/79 -76

65,446 65,90430,662117,80830,50621,85632,219 1979/80 10

63,377 65,02126,265111,86227,25321,23232,369 1980/81 -33

68,839 63,30925,764115,14625,69820,60932,938 1981/82 239

66,332 66,96625,515118,23726,07125,83431,394 1982/83 302

66,277 68,68025,333118,79027,05925,45430,920 1983/84 496

88,706 70,81627,200140,61627,62924,28133,741 1984/85 474

80,142 75,33028,078151,24928,98142,12631,581 1985/86 252

70,359 82,09533,350151,04133,09347,58929,347 1986/87 179

81,446 84,14630,103147,39230,52935,41730,871 1987/88 534

84,220 85,23833,481150,41133,58232,60933,831 1988/89 642

79,716 86,90531,357143,46932,70331,05031,696 1989/90 234

87,149 85,52429,560142,70030,57824,97333,151 1990/91 170

95,295 86,19228,249151,76329,02227,44634,786 1991/92 368

82,348 86,33225,475146,35527,05336,95432,667 1992/93 63

77,720 85,55026,660140,15627,95134,48530,743 1993/94 143

86,345 84,61728,157144,43530,28727,80332,278 1994/95 -330

93,873 85,94027,361152,86126,99731,99135,947 1995/96 -544

90,115 87,93626,838158,79628,57740,10433,769 1996/97 -585

92,281 87,26726,722162,81625,92844,60733,800 1997/98 -581

86,096 84,76023,524159,98424,48049,40832,894 1998/99 -1,114

87,964 91,08227,140168,75427,97652,81432,356 1999/00 -602

89,099 92,15826,275166,46026,22751,13432,016 2000/01 -1,339

98,702 94,31729,069177,37229,30449,36633,728 2001/02 -706

90,977 98,39030,332175,78130,11254,69230,752 2002/03 -779

96,758 98,02333,273178,60834,01247,83832,310 2003/04 -884

121,437 108,66934,994203,08233,44948,19635,709 2004/05 -1,170

116,579 116,35044,573221,56644,39860,58934,737 2005/06 -1,619

121,990 123,46537,123221,69937,44762,26234,706 2006/07 -1,716

120,589 123,36638,486221,44738,03162,82733,255 2007/08 -1,903

113,760 122,30936,142211,44336,18561,49831,570 2008/09 -2,456


October 2008

Table 10: United States Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Yield Beginning Stocks

Production Imports Total Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending Stocks

Stock to Use %

United States

324,221-3057,7695,31116,9963413,7043,2585685,255 1972/73

283,808-1607,4726,12317,2434812,9744,2215834,844 1973/74

585,708-1125,8603,92615,3823411,5403,8084945,086 1974/75

353,681-1407,2503,31114,102928,3025,7085083,560 1975/76

262,928-866,6744,78414,3003810,5813,6815224,417 1976/77

455,34786,4835,48417,322514,3892,9285835,372 1977/78

323,958-2836,3526,18016,207410,8565,3474715,018 1978/79

193,000-1436,5069,22918,592514,6293,9586135,193 1979/80

232,668-3355,8915,92614,1502811,1223,0004535,348 1980/81

566,632-1235,2646,56718,3402615,6462,6686085,601 1981/82

747,937-425,5135,20718,6152011,9636,6326613,939 1982/83

222,7752385,9216,78615,720127,7717,9375692,973 1983/84

354,102-745,5386,21515,7812412,9822,7756734,200 1984/85

1129,348-1546,4131,96017,5673313,4324,1027064,140 1985/86

365,026-807,4526,68419,08239,7319,3486183,427 1986/87

415,771-1827,6176,58219,788214,7605,0267924,059 1987/88

517,0921657,7826,14821,187515,4115,7716944,835 1988/89

183,000-1638,7597,69419,290212,1967,0926883,860 1989/90

142,344-2858,6577,79318,509415,5053,0007114,748 1990/91

233,70489,6136,64619,9711317,6142,3447315,245 1991/92

304,662-19010,2505,20119,923116,2183,7047854,501 1992/93

203,530-810,4186,86220,802616,1344,6626795,173 1993/94

132,650-3811,1989,40223,2122019,6623,5307945,391 1994/95

142,6092710,6477,67520,95840817,9002,6506026,478 1995/96

223,971-811,1266,86521,95440318,9422,6097915,216 1996/97

213,8874111,3497,50022,7771318,7933,9717545,425 1997/98

273,939-39410,4014,29818,24443913,9183,8877014,324 1998/99

233,91514510,1946,75021,0049716,9683,9396805,433 1999/00

386,000-4838,8626,74021,1191617,1883,9157085,282 2000/01

407,4481807,69611,00026,3242120,3036,0007905,596 2001/02

285,3851667,27311,90024,7246717,2097,4487465,025 2002/03

173,4502116,26613,75823,6854518,2555,3858184,858 2003/04

265,4951086,69114,43626,7302923,2513,4509585,284 2004/05

266,069-765,87117,54929,4132823,8905,4959315,586 2005/06

539,4792524,93513,01027,6761921,5886,0699125,152 2006/07

549,8915454,60913,65328,6981219,2079,4799854,245 2007/08

366,200174,40013,00023,6171513,7119,8919513,138 2008/09


October 2008

Table 11: Foreign Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Yield Beginning Stocks

Production Imports Total Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending Stocks

Total Foreign

20,26619651,73022,50594,69727,34348,16319,19137128,285 1972/73

23,35022352,79620,09796,46626,69649,50420,26638528,001 1973/74

27,64422351,18120,36999,41723,79052,27723,35040028,421 1974/75

22,22028554,35022,65699,51126,19445,67327,64437826,310 1975/76

19,45222453,56419,81993,05924,89345,94622,22038326,116 1976/77

20,29030054,53920,95796,08627,11549,51919,45238228,204 1977/78

17,89820756,87721,07396,05527,12548,64020,29038127,796 1978/79

18,23215359,39821,43399,21630,50150,81717,89840927,026 1979/80

17,94130259,13020,33997,71227,22552,25518,23242127,021 1980/81

19,20236258,04519,19796,80625,67253,19317,94142427,337 1981/82

17,51734461,45320,30899,62226,05154,36919,20243127,455 1982/83

21,50625862,75918,547103,07027,04758,50617,51745627,947 1983/84

38,02454865,27820,985124,83527,60575,72421,50655829,541 1984/85

38,24140668,91726,118133,68228,94866,71038,02452927,441 1985/86

30,39125974,64326,666131,95933,09060,62838,24150925,920 1986/87

26,83871676,52923,521127,60430,52766,68630,39154226,812 1987/88

23,95847777,45627,333129,22433,57768,80926,83851728,996 1988/89

21,97339778,14623,663124,17932,70167,52023,95852827,836 1989/90

25,10245576,86721,767124,19130,57471,64421,97354928,403 1990/91

33,25036076,57921,603131,79229,00977,68125,10257329,541 1991/92

29,82325376,08220,274126,43227,05266,13033,25051128,166 1992/93

24,27315175,13219,798119,35427,94561,58629,82352425,570 1993/94

29,341-29273,41918,755121,22330,26766,68324,27354026,887 1994/95

37,495-57175,29319,686131,90326,58975,97329,34156129,469 1995/96

40,636-57776,81019,973136,84228,17471,17337,49554328,553 1996/97

45,521-62275,91819,222140,03925,91573,48840,63656428,375 1997/98

48,875-72074,35919,226141,74024,04172,17845,52155028,570 1998/99

47,219-74780,88820,390147,75027,87970,99648,87557426,923 1999/00

43,366-85683,29619,535145,34126,21171,91147,21958626,734 2000/01

47,244-88686,62118,069151,04829,28378,39943,36660728,132 2001/02

42,453-94591,11718,432151,05730,04573,76847,24462425,727 2002/03

44,746-1,09591,75719,515154,92333,96778,50342,45362327,452 2003/04

55,094-1,278101,97820,558176,35233,42098,18644,74670330,425 2004/05

56,193-1,543110,47927,024192,15344,37092,68955,09469229,151 2005/06

53,348-1,968118,53024,113194,02337,428100,40256,19374029,554 2006/07

51,607-2,448118,75724,833192,74938,019101,38253,34876129,010 2007/08

49,248-2,473117,90923,142187,82636,170100,04951,60776628,432 2008/09


October 2008

United States Agriculture Cotton · due to the effects of last month’s hurricanes in the delta...

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