UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA MINISTRY OF FINANCE In ... · farmers in Tanzania mainland and 8,000 in...
Transcript of UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA MINISTRY OF FINANCE In ... · farmers in Tanzania mainland and 8,000 in...
UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA
MINISTRY OF FINANCE
In conjunction with the
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE FOOD SECURITY AND COOPERATIVES
OF MAINLAND TANZANIA
and the
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND NATURAL RESOURCES
OF THE REVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR
GLOBAL AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY PROGRAMME
REQUEST FOR FUNDING - PUBLIC SECTOR WINDOW
Tanzania Agriculture and Food Security Investment Plan
GAFSP Gap Financing Proposal
Date:March 2012
Acknowledgements
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This is a proposal seeking funding from the GAFSP Trust Fund for purposes of filling a gap in the 2011
Tanzania Agriculture and Food Security and Investment Plan (TAFSIP).
The development of the GAFSP funding proposal made use of various reviews of the agriculture sector in
Tanzania. These include the Technical Papers developed for the TAFSIP, the External Technical Review
Report of the TAFSIP prepared in accordance to the CAADP process, Public Expenditure Reviews
conducted in Tanzania from2008 to 2011 and the Agricultural Sector Development Program
Implementation Review conducted jointly by the Government of Tanzania and Development Partnersin
2011. Others include the Government Review of the Agricultural Sector Development Program, Reviews
of District Agriculture Development Plans Formulation and Implementation and the Special Study
Assessing Agricultural Extension Services conducted in 2010.Various programs and projects documents
of donor funded agriculture sector initiatives including USAID’s Feed the Future, AFDB/IFAD
Marketing Infrastructure Value Addition Rural Financial Services Project, the Investment Blue Print of
the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania and the Tanzania Rice Partnership initiative
provided useful insights to the agriculture sector in general and specifically for the proposed project area.
We acknowledge all the organizations and individuals responsible for those reports. We also thank
members of the Agriculture Sector Working Group (A-WG) for contributions made while formulating
this proposal. Special thanks go to government officials from all ASLMs, leaders of farmers associations
and networks, donor representatives, officials from non-state actors’ bodies and NGOs who attended the
consultative meeting on the 20th of March 2012 for their critique on earlier drafts and suggestions.
The Ministry of Agriculture Food Security and Cooperatives wishes to acknowledge the technical support
provided by the Food and Agricultural Organization offices in Rome and Dar-es-salaam as well as the
assistance provided by the World Bank and the United States Agency for International Development
offices in Dar-es-salaam.
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Fiscal Year July 1st – June 30
th
Exchange Rate TSHs 1600.00 = 1 USD
Weight and Measurements
Metric System
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Government of the United Republic of Tanzania has made notable progress in the last two decades to
address development challenges by improving the management and performance of the economy of
which its Gross Domestic Product growth rate has on average been 7% per annum for the last decade.
This growth, however, has not been equitably shared. The rural population is the disadvantaged party
principally due to the relatively slower growth rate of 4.4%forthe agricultural sector which employs over
75% of the population.
National Policies and Strategies for Growth and Poverty Reduction have underscored the significance of
the agricultural sector in addressing rural poverty including ensuring food security. The United Republic
of Tanzania has signed the Comprehensive African Agriculture Development Compact and has developed
the Tanzania Agriculture and Food Security Investment Plan (TAFSIP) which articulates the requisite and
rationalized investments necessary to achieve a 6% growth in agriculture, consistent with the national
objective of reducing rural poverty and improve household food and nutrition security.
The Tanzania Agriculture and Food Security Investment Plan is a CAADP inspired framework developed
through an intensive consultation process engaging public, non-state actors and private sector
stakeholders from Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar, coupled with conducting technical studies, all aiming
at translating the national agricultural development policies into implementable investments. The goal is
to enhance production, increase productivity and profitability of the agriculture sector, and transform it
from its subsistence nature to a commercially viable, competitive and sustainable sector.
The total financing requirement for TAFSIP is USD 5.3 billion over a medium term period of five years
with a funding gap of USD 2.876 billion. This proposal for a GAFSP support is seeking a USD 30 million
as part of the resource mobilization efforts by the Government to bridge the overall funding gap.
The objective of the GAFSP funded gap-filling project is to enhance smallholder production and
productivity of rice in the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania and in three selected
regions in Zanzibar islands. It will augment Government’s efforts to forge a strong public private
partnership in the rice value chain called the Tanzania Rice Partnership initiative (TARIPA). Specifically
the project will achieve the following objectives:
(a) Promote public private sector partnerships in the development of innovative approaches to the
multiplication and distribution of improved rice seed varieties in the project area.
(b) Accelerate adoption rates of high yielding rice seed varieties by rice farmers in the project area
through an agricultural inputs subsidy to cover costs for seed, fertilizer and pesticides.
(c) Rehabilitate rice irrigation schemes that are not covered by the current ASDP and ASP funding in
the selected project area of TARIPA-SAGCOT in the mainland and at Mtwango, Kibokwa and
Ole in Zanzibar.
(d) Enhance capacity of the monitoring and evaluation system to ensure effective implementation in
achieving envisaged results and providing lessons for replication of the project private public
partnership model to other areas.
The results of the project will include increased incomes and food security of over 37,000 smallholder
farmers in Tanzania mainland and 8,000 in Zanzibar. The project will contribute towards substituting
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imported rice with domestic supply saving hard earned foreign currency currently used to import the
commodity. The project increased supply will also contribute to stabilizing prices of rice which is an
important staple food for urban consumers.
The project will be executed using an already existing Agriculture Sector Development Program
implementation framework. Risks and their management strategy have been articulated and outlined.
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Table of Contents
PART I: SUMMARY OF OVERALL AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY AND
INVESTMENT PLAN ................................................................................................................ 1
1.0 OBJECTIVES AND INDICATORS ...............................................................................................1
1.1 Goals and Development Objectives .......................................................................................1
1.1.1 Investment Priorities ................................................................................................................ 1
1.1.2 Indicators for Monitoring ......................................................................................................... 1
1.2 KEY ELEMENTS OF POLICY ENVIRONMENT .............................................................................2
1.2.1 Overview: Macro Level Policies ................................................................................................ 2
1.2.2 Key Elements of the Sector Policy Framework ......................................................................... 3
1.2.3 Rationale and Justification for Agricultural Investment ........................................................... 4
1.3 TAFSIP COMPONENTS TO ACHIEVE THE OBJECTIVES...............................................................5
1.3.1 Key Issues in Agriculture and Rural Development ................................................................... 5
1.3.2 Measures to Address the Issues: TAFSIP .................................................................................. 6
1.4 PLANNED COMPOSITION AND LEVEL OF SPENDING................................................................6
1.4.1 Rationale for Investment .......................................................................................................... 6
1.4.2 Goal and Development Objectives ........................................................................................... 6
1.5 FINANCING SOURCES AND GAPS ...........................................................................................7
1.5.1 Cost Estimates and Indicative Financing Plan .......................................................................... 7
1.5.2 Sources of Funds and Financing Plan ....................................................................................... 7
1.5.3 TAFSIP Financing Modalities..................................................................................................... 9
1.6 THE TAFSIP PLANNING PROCESS .......................................................................................... 10
1.7 INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK FOR TAFSIP IMPLEMENTATION .............................................. 11
2 PART 2: SPECIFIC FUNDING PROPOSAL ........................................................................... 11
2.0 Project Description .............................................................................................................. 11
2.1 Context ............................................................................................................................... 11
2.2 Project Rationale ................................................................................................................ 14
2.2.1 Project Overall Development Objectives ............................................................................... 16
2.2.2 Specific Objectives and Results .............................................................................................. 16
2.3 ACTIVITIES TO BE FINANCED ................................................................................................ 17
2.3.1 Project Activities ..................................................................................................................... 17
2.4 IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENT THROUGH THE ASDP AND ASP SWAPs .......................... 19
2.5 AMOUNT OF FINANCING REQUESTED .................................................................................. 21
2.6 PREFERRED SUPERVSING ENTITY AND COORDINATION ........................................................ 22
2.7 TIME FRAME FOR SUPPORT ................................................................................................. 23
2.8 RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENT ............................................................................................ 23
2.9 CONSULTATION PROCESS .................................................................................................... 24
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List of Tables
Table 1: Summary of TAFSIP Cost Estimates by Programs (in TSh million) ............................................. 7
Table 2: Public Expenditure for The Agriculture Sector - Tsh. Billions ...................................................... 8
Table 3: TAFSIP Financing Plan 2011-12/2015/16 (Tsh. millions) ............................................................. 8
Table 4: Proposed Costs for TAFSIP Mainland (TSh million) ..................................................................... 9
Table 5: Proposed Costs for TAFSIP Zanzibar (TSh million) ...................................................................... 9
Table 6: Proposed Financing Plan for the gap - Tanzania Mainland (TSh million) ..................................... 9
Table 7: Proposed Financing Plan for the gap - Zanzibar (TSh million) ...................................................... 9
Table 8: TARIPA-SAGCOT Potential Project Coverage1/ ......................................................................... 14
Table 9: Funding Estimates for Key Program Interventions Mainland, USD ............................................ 21
Table 10. Funding Estimates for Key Program Interventions Zanzibar, USD ........................................... 22
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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
ACT Agricultural Council of Tanzania
AFSP Accelerated Food Security Project
ASDP Agricultural Sector Development Programme
ASDS Agricultural Sector Development Strategy
ASLMs Agricultural Sector Lead Ministries
ASP Agricultural Sector Plan (Zanzibar)
ASSP Agricultural Services Support Programme (Zanzibar)
ATI Agricultural Transformation Initiative
A-WG Agricultural Working Group (of DPG)
CAADP Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Program
CARD Coalition for African Rice Development
CBOs Community Based Organizations
DADP District Agricultural Development Plan
EAAPP East Africa Agricultural Productivity Project
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization
FDI Foreign Direct Investment
FY Fiscal Year
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GoT Government of Tanzania
JAST Joint Assistance Strategy for Tanzania
LGA Local Government Authority
M&E Monitoring and Evaluation
MAFC Ministry of Agriculture, Food Security and Cooperatives
MANR Ministry of Agriculture and Natural Resources (Zanzibar)
MDAs Ministries, Departments and Agencies
MDGs Millennium Development Goals
MFI Micro-Finance Institution
MIVARF Marketing, Infrastructure, Value Addition and Rural Finance Programme
MTEF Medium Term Expenditure Framework
NGO Non-Governmental Organization
NRDS National Rice Development Strategy
NSGRP National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty (MKUKUTA)
PMO-RALG Prime Minister’s Office – Regional Administration and Local Government
RGoZ Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar
SAGCOT Southern Agriculture Growth Corridor of Tanzania
TAFSIP Tanzania Agricultural and Food Security Investment Plan
URT United Republic of Tanzania
ZSGRP Zanzibar Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty (MKUZA)
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PART I: SUMMARY OF OVERALL AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY
STRATEGY AND INVESTMENT PLAN
1.0 OBJECTIVES AND INDICATORS
1.1 Goals and Development Objectives
1. This is a funding proposal for an initiative that will contribute towards bridging the funding gap of the
Tanzania Agriculture and Food Security Investment Plan (TAFSIP). The goal of the Tanzania
Agriculture and Food Security Investment Plan, covering both Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar, is to
contribute to national economic growth, household income, food security and off farm employment in
line with the national development aspirations. The national aspirations are articulated in the Tanzania
Development Vision 2025.The vision is of Tanzania becoming a middle-income country with a strong,
diversified, resilient competitive economy and a well educated and learning society that is
technologically capable of producing sustainable growth and shared benefits in a politically stable and
peaceful environment under good governance.
2. The TAFSIP development objective aims to rationalize allocation of resources to achieve a 6 percent
agricultural gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate consistent with national objectives of reducing
rural poverty and improving household food and nutrition security in line with CAADP objectives and
principles. This overall objective embodies the concept of allocating resources to invest more, produce
more, sell more, while reducing poverty, nurturing the environment and eliminating food insecurity, all
of which are embodied in the National Strategy for Growth and Poverty Reduction a policy instrument
for translating vision 2025 into tangible development benefits.
1.1.1 Investment Priorities
3. The TAFSIP identifies seven thematic program areas for investment with specific strategic objectives
to be achieved in line with the agricultural sector policy that would enhance productivity, profitability
and commercialization of smallholder agriculture sector. Investments include (1) irrigation
development and sustainable use of land and water resources (2) agricultural productivity and
commercialization (3)rural infrastructure and market access (4) food security and nutrition (5) disaster
management and risk mitigation (6) policy and institutional development that will create conducive
environment for development of (7) private sector led growth in the sector.
4. It is estimated that to achieve the 6 percent annual growth of the sector’s gross domestic product it will
require investments amounting to USD 5.3 billion over the five-year period. Over two thirds of the
resources are allocated to thematic program (1) and (2) reflecting the priority given to productivity and
commercialization and capital intensive irrigation development, the latter is broadly viewed as one of
the most important drivers of productivity growth.
1.1.2 Indicators for Monitoring
5. The indicators for monitoring results for expected outcomes for each of the seven strategic objectives
for each of the thematic areas of focus are clearly outlined in the TAFSIP document.
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6. The indicators for monitoring results include: Strategic Objective 1: Assured Water resources and
sustainable Land Use - Quantity and quality of land and water Resources for Irrigation Strategic
Objective 2: Accelerated Productivity Rate of Growth and Commercialization–Agricultural GDP
Growth Rate and Productivity Growth Rates. Strategic Objective 3: Improved and Expanded Rural
Marketing Infrastructure - Growth in Volume and Value of Agricultural Traded Products. Strategic
Objective 4: A thriving Competitive diverse private Sector – Structure of Market Share in Agriculture
Sub Sectors. Strategic Objective 5: Universal Household and National Food and Nutrition Security -
Level of Food Self Sufficiency and Number of Vulnerable Households to Food and Nutrition Security.
Strategic Objective 6: Improved adaptive and mitigation capacity against disaster - Response Rates to
disasters. Strategic Objectives 7: Improved Policy and Institutional Framework–Structure of market
share in agricultural sub sectors.
1.2 KEY ELEMENTS OF POLICY ENVIRONMENT
1.2.1 Overview: Macro Level Policies
7. Tanzania has maintained an economic growth averaging 7% for a decade. Tanzania has during the
period maintained prudent macro-economic policies - both monetary and fiscal policies. Government
revenue has increased steadily over the period from 10% of GDP in 2001 to 16% in 2010. In recent
years, however, investments in infrastructure and social services have substantially increased public
expenditure relative to revenue resulting to a growing fiscal deficit. A positive sign is that exports
have grown from 14.6% of GDP in 2001 to 22% in 2010. The external debt ratio has also improved
from 9.4% of exports in 2001 to 1.4% in 2010.For the last three years, however, macroeconomic
stability has been challenged by rising inflation, reaching 12% in 2010, mostly as a result of rising food
prices. Food items constitute 47.8% of the basket of goods and services determining the consumer
price index.
8. Tanzania’s sound macroeconomic management over the last decade has however resulted to only
modest progress in poverty reduction. Thirty-three percent (33%) of the population is living below the
poverty line of 1USD per day as per the 2008 household budget survey, dropping very modestly from
36% in 2000.The proportion of food insecure population has declined very little, from 18% in 2000 to
16.6% in 2008. Most pressing also is that thirty eight percent (38%) of children aged under five years
are malnourished with stunted growth, only a slight decrease from 44% in 2000. According to the
Economic Research Service of the USDA, Tanzania is one of the East African Countries that will have
the most dramatic increase in food insecure people by 2020 projected to increase by 100% from 18
million in 2010 to 36 million in 2020. Note that currently the country fairs badly in absolute terms
when compared with Uganda 14 million, Rwanda 8 million and Burundi 9 million food insecure
people.
9. The National Agriculture Policy, anchored in Vision 2025 and the National Strategies for Growth and
Poverty Reduction for both mainland and Zanzibar (NSGPR/ZSGPR) aims at the development of a
competitive and profitable agricultural industry that stimulates broad based economic growth,
contributes to faster improvement of the livelihoods of Tanzanians and poverty reduction. Key is
reducing poverty and meeting the Millennium Development Goals (MDG). The current rate of decline
in poverty levels indicates that Tanzania is off track in achieving these two targets by 2015.
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1.2.2 Key Elements of the Sector Policy Framework
10. The agricultural sector in Tanzania is a key driver of social and economic development in the
country.It generates 25 per cent of the GDP, 24 percent of exports, employs over 75 per cent of the
population, and the rural area is where the majority of the poor reside. There is a strong
interrelationship between its performance and growth of the industrial and other key sectors and
subsequent employment generated from that growth. Attempts to improve living standards of the
people must give particular attention to increased production and productivity of the agricultural sector.
The Government is committed to bring about a green revolution.This revolution entails transformation
of agriculture from subsistence farming towards commercialization and modernization through crop
intensification, irrigation, diversification, technological advancement and infrastructural development.
11. Tanzania has a comprehensive set of policies and strategies for agriculture and rural development. The
policy framework aims to create an enabling environment for improved productivity and profitability
as the basis for poverty reduction through: (i) strengthening the institutional framework; (ii) creating a
favorable climate for commercial activities; (iii) clarifying public and private sector roles in improving
support services; (iv) developing input and output markets; and (v) mainstreaming planning for
agricultural development in other sectors. Tanzania also formulated the Agricultural Sector
Development Strategy (ASDS) in 2001 putting in place a sector wide approach (SWAp) to developing
the sector with specific goals of increasing agricultural sector growth to 5% that was reviewed to 6% in
line with the CAAD P and contributing to the achievement of the NSGRP/ZSGRP targets. In an effort
to give more emphasis to a private sector-led development of agriculture, the Government, together
with private sector players formulated the Kilimo Kwanza and the Agricultural Transformation
Initiative (ATI), for Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar respectively, as special campaigns to harness
public support for the agricultural transformation agenda.
12. Implementation of the strategies in the agricultural sector is spearheaded by the Agricultural Sector
Development Program ASDP (mainland) and Agricultural Sector Program ASP (Zanzibar), both of
which are sector-wide programmes to increase agricultural productivity and profitability, generate
employment in rural areas and ensure national and household food security.
13. Both ASDP and ASP aim at transforming the sector from subsistence to commercial agriculture whilst
achieving food and nutrition security, creating wealth and reducing rural poverty. The emphasis is on
investment in the agricultural sector with the aim of: (i) increasing productivity through the adoption of
improved productive technology options; (ii) expanding area under irrigation and promoting water use
efficiency; (iii) re-focusing public expenditure to priority outcomes; (iv) attracting public and private
sector investments; and (v) promoting diversification to non-farm activities.
14. The ASDP was launched in 2006 and became fully operational in 2008. Overall, however, a recent
evaluation of the ASDP shows evidence of success in key areas including: (i) ASDP processes, which
entail channeling basket funds through Local Government Authorities (LGA),these are now are widely
understood from national down to village level; (ii) it has created a mode of operation which has
streamlined planning, M&E and reporting, all of which have shown significant improvements since
2006; and (iii) it has facilitated very significant development of human and physical capacity, which
could be used to support new initiatives.
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15. The main engine of the ASDP is at the local level where farmers participate in the formulation of
District Agricultural Development Plans (DADPs) which are supported by District Agricultural
Development Grants, Capacity Building Grants and the Extension Block Grant. Irrigation, which is a
major focus of the ASDP, has additional support through the District Irrigation Development Funds
(DIDFs).The national component of the ASDP finances research and extension activities, development
of irrigation policy and national level infrastructure, policy development and planning, capacity
building, market development, and programme coordination. The national component also provides
technical guidelines for implementation of local level activities. Within this framework, around 75% of
the resources are allocated to the local level, and 25% to the national level.
16. In Zanzibar, the ASP programmes and projects are implemented by the Ministry of Agriculture and
Natural Resources (MANR) and that of Livestock Development covering a wide range of programme
areas in crop, livestock and fisheries, forest conservation, irrigation and infrastructure and cross-cutting
issues. The Agricultural Services Support Program (ASSP), which aims at improving agricultural
extension services support, is a sub-sector programme implemented within the framework of the ASP
in Zanzibar.
17. TAFSIP, whose formulation was finalized in 2011, seeks to embrace the above, it is thus a single
investment plan under government leadership, adopting an integrated policy approach across the
sectors and progressing towards relying on Government planning, budgeting, M&E and financial
management systems to execute programs.
1.2.3 Rationale and Justification for Agricultural Investment
18. The agricultural sector has performed only modestly over most of the last decade, and thus has failed to
make significant inroads into high levels of rural poverty and household food insecurity. Real
agricultural growth is averaging at about 4.4 per cent per annum. But Tanzania’s poverty rate during
the last decade only fell from 36 to 33 percent in ten years, while the share of the population
consuming insufficient calories (food) declined marginally from 25.0 to 23.6 percent in the period.
With poverty and food insecurity largely concentrated in rural areas it is evident that there has been
hardly any improvement in the livelihoods of rural people although Tanzania was experiencing robust
economic growth.
19. The agricultural sector supports the majority of the rural population. Seventy five (75%) of the
population depends on primary agricultural production from the sector, characterized by small-scale
farmers using rudimentary tools, e.g. the hand hoe and reliant on traditional rain-fed cropping method
and animal husbandry. The International Food Policy Research Institute’s analysis of the sector
indicates that accelerating agricultural growth in a wider range of subsectors beyond those currently
leading growth (mainly cash crops such as coffee, cashew, sugar) in the sector (principally bringing in
food crops) can achieve significant reduction in poverty. A one-percentage point of GDP/per capita
growth in such a diversified bundle can reduce poverty and food insecurity by 1.36 and 2.3 percentage
points respectively. Food is the principal sub sector that has performed poorly and characteristically
grown mainly by subsistence smallholder farmers. Thus the structure of agricultural growth and how it
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is distributed between sub sectors can have a major impact on poverty reduction and food and
nutritional security.
20. The TAFSIP aims at an accelerated 6% growth of the agricultural sector to achieve poverty reduction
targets set in NSGPR/ZNGPRS. To achieve this growth there is therefore a clear need for continued
public and private investment in the agriculture, and more so in priority areas that have constrained the
sector’s growth performance.
1.3 TAFSIP COMPONENTS TO ACHIEVE THE OBJECTIVES
1.3.1 Key Issues in Agriculture and Rural Development
21. The main thematic components of the TAFSIP aimed to achieve the 6% growth in the agriculture
sector GDP include (i) Irrigation Development and Sustainable use of land and water resource
management (ii) Agricultural Productivity and Rural Commercialization (iii) Rural Infrastructure and
Market Access and Trade(iv) Private Sector Development (v) Food and Nutrition Security(vi) Disaster
Management and Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation(vii). These are in line with ASDS, ASDP
and ASP goals and theyaddress the key challenges in the sector.
22. The TAFSIP consultative process has highlighted issues that contribute to poor performance of the
sector and rural development in general. Factors that contribute to the dismal performance of the sector
in addressing poverty and food insecurity include the dependence on rain-fed subsistence smallholder
production that uses low levels of technology and knowledge resulting in low productivity. Fertilizer
usage in Tanzania is very low, averaging at 9kg/ha compared with 27kg/ha in Malawi, 50kg/ha in
South Africa and 135kg/ha in South East Asia. The result is thus generally very low productivity. In
the case of rice, Tanzania’s 1.5MT/ha productivity fairs badly when compared with other rice
producers e.g. Egypt 9.5MT/ha; Vietnam 4.9MT/ha; Bangladesh 4.0MT/ha and India 3.3MT/ha. Poor
rural infrastructure and market access has, on the other end, limited commercialization of agriculture.
Higher levels of commercialization could improve smallholder farmers’ income; mitigate the risks of
food insecurity through building of assets in savings. Overall, the generally low performance of the
sector has been analyzed and attributed to key policy gaps as well as institutional weaknesses in both
public and private institutions that hinder productivity and commercialization.
23. Major weaknesses have been noted in the sector policies that ought to directly influence sector
development. Most apparent are the poor inter-sector linkages as a result of weak coordination in
sector policy formulation and implementation. A significant gap was also noted in terms of weaknesses
in the formulation and execution of public policies that create conducive environment for the
development and growth of private sector small, medium and large-scale agro-businesses. The low
level of engagement of the private sector is thus an issue.
24. Key institutional gaps in the private sector organizations,I including farmers’ organizations and
cooperatives, agribusiness associations and non-state actors that represent farmers and the agricultural
private sector in general include limited technical and financial capacity to undertake their role in
influencing policies. Public sector institutions include Agricultural sector lead Ministries, and
corresponding Regulatory Agencies, the Local Government Authorities and backstopping structure of
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Central Government, the Regional Secretariat all also manifest capacity challenges. Capacities are
limited in policy formulation, program implementation, coordination, monitoring and evaluation of
public sector programs. Other institutional weaknesses include significant proportion of public
financing being absorbed by recurrent expenditures limiting resources for development expenditure.
1.3.2 Measures to Address the Issues: TAFSIP
25. Measures to address the issues are articulated in the seven thematic areas of TAFSIP. These include
enhancing productivity and mitigating risks of vulnerability to climatic shocks through irrigation
development and sustainable use of land and water resources. The second priority area of investment is
in enhancing productivity in promoting the adoption of improved technology and knowledge. To
promote commercialization the plan prioritizes investments in rural infrastructure and market access
and trade for smallholder farmers; that is integrated with the development of the private sector. To
achieve productivity enhancement and commercialization through private sector development, the plan
also focuses on investment in policy and institutional reforms and support services. Taking cognizant
of the fact that even under improved agricultural sector performance through accelerated and well
structured growth there will still be groups in the society that are vulnerable to food and nutrition
security. Food nutrition security and disaster management have thus been given due priority in the
plan. Climate change mitigation and adaptation measures have been accorded due weight, commonly
in Tanzania is the need to contend with the changing rainfall pattern that is becoming increasingly
erratic and thus unreliable.
1.4 PLANNED COMPOSITION AND LEVEL OF SPENDING
1.4.1 Rationale for Investment
26. Agriculture is identified as a key growth driver sector with the potential of lifting the majority
Tanzanian population out of poverty. However, despite the efforts by the Government and
Development partners, the sector has not achieved its potential contribution to these objectives.
Achieving a 6 per cent annual growth for the agricultural GDP therefore remains a major task. The
major challenge, based on Tanzania’s experience and that of other developing countries, is the strategy
to transform the agricultural sector from a traditional rain-fed one which is subsistence oriented and
characterized by low-input-low-output to a high-technological input high-output, modern and
commercial one. Achieving this transformation will require substantial increases in both public and
private investment funding from multiple sources and a high rate of return from such investments. Key
would be to contend with rain-fed agriculture while paying due attention to environmental concerns
brought by irrigation, low input use of agriculture and better engagement of the private sector all along
the commodity value chains.
1.4.2 Goal and Development Objectives
27. The Goal of the TAFSIP is to “contribute to the national economic growth, household income and food
security in line with national and sectorial development aspirations.” The Development Objective aims
to “rationalize allocation of resources so as to achieve an annual six percent agricultural GDP growth,
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consistent with national objectives to reduce rural poverty and improve household food and nutrition
security” in line with CAADP objectives and principles.
28. This objective embodies the concepts of allocating resources to invest more, produce more, sell more,
nurturing the environment, and eliminating food insecurity; all of which are embodied in various
national policy instruments, and are expressed in terms of seven (7) main themes, each with its own
Strategic Objective and major investment programs and projects: irrigation development, productivity
enhancement and commercialization; rural infrastructure, market access and trade; private sector
development; food and nutrition security; disaster management and climate change mitigation, policy
and institutional reforms and support.
1.5 FINANCING SOURCES AND GAPS
1.5.1 Cost Estimates and Indicative Financing Plan
29. It is estimated that in order achieve a 6 percent annual growth of the agriculture sector GDP the
country will require investments that will cost USD 5,304.49 million over five years. Over two-thirds
of the resources are allocated to TAFSIP’s Program 2 reflecting the high priority given to agricultural
productivity and commercialization, and the capital-intensive nature of irrigation development, which
is expected to be one of the main drivers of productivity growth. The share per investment area is as
presented in Table 1below.
Table 1: Summary of TAFSIP Cost Estimates by Programs (in TSh million) PROGRAMME YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5 TOTAL
Irrigation Development 187,002 214,165 235,929 264,613 298,401 1,200,111
Production and Commercialization 957,651 1,147,609 1,254,195 1,360,786 1,500,359 6,220,600
Rural Infrastructure, Market Access &
Trade
66,208 76,474 79,051 72,285 63,236 357,256
Private Sector Development 3,501 2,836 2,997 2,999 3,230 15,562
Food and Nutrition Security 22,973 49,303 49,021 44,3167 45,820 211,433
Disaster Management and CC Mitigation 9,454 10,931 18,661 15,696 11,570 66,313
Policy and Institutional Reforms and
Support
103,869 170,393 130,521 144,981 131,367 681,130
TOTAL TSh million 1,350,657 1,671,712 1,770,376 1,905,677 2,053,983 8,752,405
US$ million 818 1,013 1,073 1,155 1,245 5,305
Source: TAFSIP 2011
1.5.2 Sources of Funds and Financing Plan
30. Historically financing for agricultural development in Tanzania has been the Government’s task -
traditionally being the main source of funds, supplemented by Development Partners – through ASDP
Basket Fund and stand-alone projects. Other investors include NGOs and private sector firms. Overall,
financing for agriculture in the last three years has been growing with dramatic increases in the current
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fiscal year to 6.8 percent of the national budget demonstrating the commitment of the Government to
investment in the sector; see Table 2: Public Expenditures for the Agricultural Sector 2008/9 – 2011/12
Table 2: Public Expenditure for The Agriculture Sector- Tsh. Billions
Particulars Public Expenditure in Fiscal Years
Tsh. Billion
2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
Agricultural Sector Budget 257 340 353 919
Total National Budget 6522 9509 11609 13526
% Agriculture Expenditure 3.95 3.58 3.04 6.8
Source: Economic Survey 2010 and Budget 2011/12
31. The availability of TAFSIP funding is estimated on the basis of Mainland and Zanzibar Medium Term
Expenditure Framework (MTEF) projections, which cover the same period as the first five years of
TAFSIP. This estimation assumes and considers a 6 percent sector growth and that 10 percent of the
Government Budget would be going to the sector.
32. The agricultural sector budget allocation is divided at 50:50 proportions between development and
recurrent expenditures. It is expected that there will be gradual increase in allocations to the
development budget.
33. The indicative financing plan focuses on the first five years (2011-12 to 2015-16) of the ten-year
TAFSIP period is as summarized in Table 3.Financial projections are based on: (i) estimates of the
likely availability of funding from various sources; and (ii) estimates of the size of the investments
needed to generate a six percent per annum growth in agricultural sector GDP. The difference between
(i) and (ii) is the financing gap which will have to be filled if the TAFSIP objectives are to be reached.
Table 3: TAFSIP Financing Plan 2011-12/2015/16 (Tsh. millions)
ESTIMATE
Annual Budget- TZS Millions
Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Total
Total Available Funds 906,673 807,758 787,684 747,863 755,883 4,005,861
Proposed Funds for TAFSIP 1,350,658 1,671,712 1,770,376 1,905,677 2,053,983 8,752,405
Financial Gap (443,985) (863,954) (982,692) (1,157,814) (1,298,100) (4,746,544)
US$ (269) (524) (596) (702) (787) (2,877)
% Gap 15.4% 19.1% 20.2% 21.8% 23.5% 100%
34. Despite the Government commitment to allocate 10% of its annual budget to agricultural development
investment in line with CAADP principle, and despite the commitment made by development partners,
TAFSIP has a huge funding gap equivalent to USD 2.876 billion over the five year period, an average
of USD 575 million per year. World Bank has made a commitment to contribute USD 200 million over
the period for financing the ASDP and ASP. It is assumed that the Government, other Development
Partners and Private Sector would finance the required additional amount. Tables 4 and 5 present the
financial plan, available funds and funding gaps for Mainland and Zanzibar respectively. Tables 6 and
7 present the proposed financing plan for Mainland and Zanzibar respectively.
9
Table 4: Proposed Costs for TAFSIP Mainland (TSh million)
Annual Budget –Tshs. Million
ESTIMATE Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Total
Available Funds 877,273 774,758 746,484 699,763 707,983 3,806,261
Proposed TAFSIP 1,263,468 1,516,615 1,644,032 1,765,611 1,919,110 8,108,8367
Financial Gap (386,195) (741,857) (897,548) (1,065,848) (1,211,127) (4,302,576)
% Gap 31.0% 17.2% 20.9% 24.8% 28.2% 100%
Table 5: Proposed Costs for TAFSIP Zanzibar (TSh million)
ESTIMATE
Annual Budget Tshs. Million
Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Total
Available Funds 29,400 33,000 41,200 48,100 47,900 199,600
Proposed TAFSIP 87,190 155,096 126,343 140,065 134,873 643,355
Financial Gap 57,790 122,096 85,143 91,965 86,973 443,755
% Gap 13.0% 27.5% 19.2% 20.7% 19.6% 100%
Table 6: Proposed Financing Plan for the gap- Tanzania Mainland (TSh million) Source Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Total
Government (20%) 77,239 148,371 179,510 213,170 242,225 860,515
Development Partner (45%) 173,788 333,836 403,897 479,632 545,007 1,936,159
Private Sector (25%) 96,549 185,464 224,387 266,462 302,7812 1,075,644
Others (NGOs, Far, etc. 10%) 38,619 74,186 89,755 106,585 121,113 430,258
Total Financing Plan 386,195 741,857 897,548 1,065,848 1,211,127 4,302,576
Table 7: Proposed Financing Plan for the gap- Zanzibar (TSh million) Source Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Total
Government- 20% 11,558 24,419 17,029 18,393 17,395 88,794
Development Partners - 65% 37,563 79,363 55,343 59,777 56,532 288,579
Private Sector - 10% 5,779 12,210 8,514 9,197 8,697 44,397
Others NGOs, Farmersetc5% 2,890 6,105 4,257 4,598 4,349 22,198
TotalFinancing plan 57,790 122,096 85,144 91,965 86,973 443,968
35. Development partner commitments to existing initiatives coupled with aggressive mobilization of new
funding sources over the next five years could to bridge the funding gap. Annex 1 presents the Main
Ongoing and Planned Externally funded Investments. Continued donor support for the expanded
ASDP is expected to run at around USD 200 million per annum, most of this flowing through the
basket fund, USAID is expected to provide around USD 300 million over five years to fund the Feed
the Future, MIVARF (IFAD/AfDB/AGRA) will invest around USD 170 million for seven years, and
the Bread Basket initiative (AGRA/Private Sector) is costed at USD 173 million planned for five years.
In addition the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor initiative (SAGCOT) is estimated to invest
USD 3.4 billion over 20 years, to be funded largely by the private sector with support from the World
Bank and other donors.
1.5.3 TAFSIP Financing Modalities
36. Government’s contribution to TAFSIP financing will be through the normal budgetary allocations to
the ASLMs in accordance with the MTEF expenditure targets and the CAADP Compact. Whilst
GoT/RGoZ has a preference for general and sectoral budget support and pooled funding arrangements
10
it also welcomes other forms of financial assistance including project funding, technical assistance,
education and training grants, support for NGOs and PPPs provided these are within the JAST
framework, and integrated within the ASDP/ASP.
37. Increased private investment is also a key part of the TAFSIP which the United Republic of Tanzania
(URT) is keen to encourage through PPPs and by the establishment of an Agricultural Investment Bank
to facilitate the flow of private capital into the sector. The United Republic of Tanzania also maintains
a favorable outlook towards foreign direct investment in the agricultural sector.
1.6 THE TAFSIP PLANNING PROCESS
38. TAFSIP planning process was based on the CAADP principle of promoting local ownership through
dialogue and building consensus among key stakeholder in the agricultural sector. Thus the process to
develop the investment plan is a product of a broad based consultative and collaborative process that
involved all key stakeholders.
39. First the composition of the CAADP task force team that was established to spearhead its development
was very inclusive constituting members from both parts of the Union Government, Tanzania
Mainland and Zanzibar. It also included other key stakeholders from the Private Sector, Civil Societies,
Non State Actors and Development partners and Representatives from Regional Organizations - AU
and Sub Regional Economic Groupings. It also included Regional Think Tanks, Research Institutions
namely The Regional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support Network System.
40. Second the process was also intensively consultative. A composition of stakeholders similar to the
composition of the CAADP task force met in July 2010 under the leadership of the President to
endorse and make commitments to CAADP objectives and principles. The process to develop the
TAFSIP was borne out of the commitment made to CAADP Compact. The process to develop TAFSIP
engaged key stakeholders and was facilitated through stakeholder workshops that were conducted both
at the national and regional/zonal levels. These workshops analyzed the agricultural sector
performance and identified key priority areas for investments that would address key sector constraints.
Government Ministries and Development Agencies, private sector organizations and industry
associations including Tanganyika Farmers Associations, Agricultural council of Tanzania, a Network
of smallholder Farmers in Tanzania (MVIWATA), donor funded programs and projects, Tanzania
National Business Council, Agriculture sub-sector Associations such as Tanzania Milk Processors
Association and the Tanzania Horticulture Association all participated in the stakeholder consultation
workshops. The consultative process is well acknowledged in the post compact technical review report
of TAFSIP and that the process was inclusive and generated consensus and ownership and agreements
on key policy priorities. The TAFSIP that was developed has been reviewed by CAADP technical
review team and was endorsed by the business meeting held in November 2011. The business meeting
drew in the participation of all stakeholders who were part of the process to developing the plan and
was chaired by His Excellency the President of the United Republic of Tanzania - Dr. Jakaya Mrisho
Kikwete.
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1.7 INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK FOR TAFSIP IMPLEMENTATION
41. The TAFSIP process included a comprehensive review of policies, strategies and institutions, and
identification of gaps and weaknesses. The Agricultural Sector Lead Ministries (ASLMs) in the
Mainland and Zanzibar are the key ministries responsible for policy and strategy development.
Tanzania has 26 administrative regions and 133 Local Governments while Zanzibar has five and 10
Local Governments. Under the Government’s decentralization policy, that has taken hold in the
mainland, the districts are responsible for the implementation of agricultural plans and policies.
Directorates of Policy and Planning in the Agriculture Sector Lead Ministries are directly responsible
for overseeing the implementation of the TAFSIP. In Zanzibar it is the central government that
implements programs.
42. The CAADP country process was essentially a complementary sector-wide approach as it looked at the
agricultural sector as a whole, holistically; aiming to strengthen linkages between policy, strategy,
action plans, activities, budgets and M&E with a thrust of building country capacity and encouraging
alignment of donor support behind country-owned agricultural development plans.
43. Institutions in the private sector in view of TAFSIP implementation include the Tanzania Private
Sector Foundation (TPSF), the Confederation of Tanzania Industries (CTI), the Tanzania Chamber of
Commerce Industry and Agriculture (TCCIA), and the Tanzania National Business Council (TNBC)
which represent the private sector in various capacities and have influence on policy and budgeting
decision-making processes. The Agricultural Council of Tanzania (ACT) and the National Network of
Farmers Groups in Tanzania also known in Kiswahili as Mtandao wa Vikundi vya Wakulima Tanzania
(MVIWATA) as well as the Non-State Actors Forum (ANSAF) are national bodies for advocacy in the
agricultural sector and were engaged in the process.
44. This Tanzania GAFSP proposal is amongst initiatives aiming at mobilizing resources for gap financing
in line with the commitment endorsed in the TAFSIP planning process. The focus is to address a
particular niche, enhancing productivity and commercialization of rice. This will contribute
significantly towards reduction of poverty and enhancing food security as outlined below.
2 PART 2: SPECIFIC FUNDING PROPOSAL
2.0 Project Description
2.1 Context
45. Tanzania is a country with vast land and water resources potential. The country has 95.5 million ha of
land of which 46%, around 44 million, is classified as arable land and only 27%, equivalent 11 million
ha, is under cultivation.
46. The Tanzania agricultural sector is dominated by smallholder subsistence farmers with 0.2 to 2.0 ha
who utilize 80% of the cultivated arable land to produce both food and cash crops. Only 1.5 million ha
is under medium and large-scale agriculture producing tea, sugarcane, coffee, tobacco, sisal and
horticultural crops. The sector performance has varied between subsectors with good performance in
export crops namely sugar, tea and tobacco that have recorded up to 10% growth. Food crop
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production has lagged behind with average growth rates of 3%, almost equal to the average annual
population growth rate of 2.9%. Food insecurity at household levels, both in urban and rural areas,
continues to be a challenge in Tanzania. TAFSIP approach to food insecurity is holistic with
investments aligned towards achieving increased production and productivity along main staples’value
chains – more so for maize and rice.
47. Both the mainland Government and the Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar (RGoZ)are committed
through their national agricultural strategies and policies to achieve national food self-sufficiency as a
long-term goal. The Revolutionary Governmentof Zanzibar (RGoZ)has earmarked rice a key
agricultural subsector to be developed for commercial production. This goal is an integral part of the
Zanzibar Agricultural Transformation Initiative. Through this initiative the RGoZ is committed to
raisethe production of rice from the current level of 18,000 tons to 45,000 tons within the medium term
framework of five years. If achieved, this may reduce rice imports by almost 50%. The strategy is to
enhance productivity and commercialization of smallholder rice farmers. This can be achieved through
public investments in agricultural support services coupled with private sector investments along the
value chain, particularly for agro processing and marketing. Amongst areas identified for the rice
development initiative are Mtwango, Kibokwa in Zanzibar and Ole in Pemba; these are
underdeveloped and have run down schemes and are thus earmarked for the proposed GAFSP funding
proposal.
48. The mainland Government has committed itself to the development of staple foods including riceso as
to achieve food security. To achieve the national strategy for food self-sufficiency in rice, the
mainland Government has committed itself to transform the existing subsistence rice sub sector to a
commercially viable one. The goal is to double rice production within the long-term period of ten
years, from around 890,000 tons in 2008 to 1.9 million tons by 2018. This is also part of Tanzania’s
contribution tothe Coalition of African Rice Development international initiative that has adopted a
target of doubling Africa’s rice production from 14 million tons in 2008 to 28 million tons by around
2017. The rice development strategy embodies innovative approaches entailing public private
partnerships supported by an overall enabling policy environment. The objective is to increase
production and productivity, reduce post harvest losses, improve access to agricultural inputs and
appropriate technology, and fund related infrastructure for irrigated rice production as well as for
improving market access.
49. The World Bank and IFAD, AFDB, Irish Aid and the Japan International Cooperation are currently
supporting the URT with investments into the Agricultural Sector Development Program, which
executes the national agricultural development strategy for food self sufficiency. Investments through
this program, and with respect to rice sub-sector development, have funded the National Irrigation
Development Fund, the District Irrigation Development Fund and District Agricultural Development
Plans. It has also covered investments for other infrastructure development such as feeder roads, as
well as investments aiming at improving agricultural support services through institutional capacity
development for extension services and irrigation development technology. The framework allows for
additional resources to be channeled targeting specifically identified development areas.
13
50. Recently the World Bank provided the United Republic of Tanzania with a grant of US$ 14 million
through the Japan Policy Human Resource Development Fund. The objective of the grant is to
strengthen farmers' access to improved rice production technologies through building capacity in cost
effective extension services and irrigation development technology to enhance productivity. This grant
is targeting 20 irrigation schemes in 14 districts. Apparently it covers less than 50% of districts that
have been earmarked to increased rice production. There is a need and room to extend support to
additional rice producing areas so as to achieve the intended national and continental production
targets.
51. The efforts are also buttressed by a World Bank/IDA USD 30 Million East Africa Agricultural
Productivity Project (EAAPP) that is funding research for improved rice varieties through developing a
center of excellence for rice research. However there is a gap in this initiative in the promotion of seed
multiplication and distribution systems. It is therefore critical that Private Sector firms are now
facilitated and brought on board through strategic PPPs to play a deserved role in commercial seed
multiplication and distribution.
52. Along the same lines of enhancing productivity, the Government has in place the national input
voucher systems (NAIVS), which provides subsidies for a range of food and cash crops but mainly
maize. The current level of inputs subsidy is around TShs.150 billion, equivalent to USD 90million.
The current World Bank Accelerated Food Security Project (AFSP), with USD a 160 million budget is
funding this system but ends in June 2012. Furthermore this amount covers only 3 out of an estimated
6 to 7 million farmers who would be eligible for the subsidy, i.e. about55% of the farmers and has
principally been directed to maize as the food crop. The need to provide additional funding to meet the
whole range of inputs required by rice growing farmers in targeted areas is critical, especially when
there is an apparent need to encourage farmers to use improved seed and other inputs as a way to instill
crop husbandry practices that would meet the objective of enhancing smallholders’ productivity.
53. Other development support in the agricultural sector also include the IFAD/AFDB funded project on
Market Infrastructure Value Addition and Rural Finance (MIVARF) provides USD 150 million
support for enhancing both access to markets through investments in market infrastructure and district
road accessibility. The project also provides support to improve farmers’ access to rural financial
services. The MIVARF project covers all of the districts in mainland and Zanzibar including districts
in the proposed project area – SACGOT regions
54. Ongoing-investments specifically targeting the rice sub sector include Feed the Future a USAID
program that is coordinating the Tanzania Rice Partnership (TARIPA) within a strategic geographic
area with high growth potential for rice production - the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of
Tanzania (SACGOT). TARIPA is a public and private sector partnership in which the Government
and Private sector firms, such as Kilombero Plantations Limited, Norfund, Yara and Syngenta aim to
support 5,000 out-grower rice farmers. The Kilombero cluster development is however only the first in
the SACGOT area. The target is to develop other clusters so as to reach 20,000 rice farmers in
Kilombero and Rufiji districts who will be able to produce over 40,000 tons of paddy rice and to lay
the foundation for the expansion of TARIPA cluster development approach into other areas in coming
14
years. TARIPA’s medium to longer-term vision is to further promote public private partnerships to
cover the eight other targeted districts within the corridor on the basis of feasibility assessments.
Table 8: TARIPA-SAGCOT Potential Project Coverage1/
Region District Irrigation Land
Area Ha
Number of
farmers
Morogoro Morogoro 100 30,000
Morogoro Mvomero 2,901 35,000
Morogoro Kilombero 7,160 52000
Iringa Iringa 4,513 10,000
Mbeya Mbarali 29,586 35,000
Mbeya Kyela 900 37,000
Mbeya Mbozi 1,570 3,000
Rukwa Sumbawanga 162 18,000
Rukwa Mpanda 635 20,000
Songea Songea 120 9,000
TOTALS 47,647 259,000
1/.The Rufiji District is part of TARIPA but does not have developed Irrigation Scheme.
The main objectives of TARIPA are to: (i) develop a partnership framework to respond to rice value
chain constraints and opportunities; (ii) build markets and small-scale farmer capacity to produce rice
to address key food security issues in the country, expand domestic production, improve
competitiveness and increase value addition; (iii) scale-up core value chain activities to catalyze
significant small–scale and large-scale farmer and agribusiness development in the rice sub-sector; (iv)
support commercial initiatives by building on ongoing plans and activities to scale up through learning.
TARIPA is thus a platform that allows for additional resources for assisting smallholder rice
producers’ to access inputs and markets. The SAGCOT region in general and specifically the area
earmarked for the Tanzania Rice Partnership (TARIPA) offers a great potential to achieve the goal to
increase rice production in Tanzania. There is therefore a clear need and room for additional funding to
augment the formative TARIPA efforts. TARIPA-SAGCOT is a ready platform that will ensure that
the project can contend with inception challenges and make use of the extensive consultation and
collaborative processes that are already on going.
2.2 Project Rationale
55. In view of the context, the rationale for the GAFSP support is to mobilize complementary resources
within the ASDP and ASP framework to support public investments in selected high potential areas
along the Southern Agriculture Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SAGCOT) and an earmarked rice
production zone in Zanzibar where the Governments are developing strong public private partnerships
in support of smallholder agricultural development.
56. Rice has been selected as the strategic crop for development because of several reasons. Economically
rice offers higher rates of returns compared to other food crops. A recent evaluation of ASDP has
indicated that economic returns to investment of USD 1,000 per ha yields an internal rate of return of
75% and Net Present Value Benefits of USD 10.28 compared to the same level of investment in maize
that yields an economic rate of return of 13% and Net Present Value Benefits of only 1.42.
Technologically rice has a comparative advantage over other food crops. It is less affected by storage
15
pests compared to maize and sorghum. It can offer quick win results because of already available
improved varieties that have proven successful in more than doubling productivity in Tanzania from
1.5 tons/ha to above 4 tons/ha. Rice is also the most important food crop, second to maize in terms of
the number of households engaged, area and volume of production. About 18% of the rural households
are engaged in rice production and the potential to draw in more exists. There are 2.4 million ha of
potential arable land for rice irrigation.It is also a lucrative income-generating crop for low income and
poor households that engage in its production and marketing. The recent rise in food prices, and
specifically rice, provides further opportunities for such farmers to benefit. Within the last twelve
months the consumer price of rice has increased by 60% compared to the price of maize that has risen
by only 29%. This is because of the increasing demand for rice, both domestically and in neighboring
countries as evidenced by the growing cross border trade. The production of rice and food in general
offers an opportunity to stabilize general price increases. This will augment efforts to curb inflation,
which as noted earlier, is principally a result of increases in food price.
57. Rice offers a high probability for attaining food security in the country as well as increase household
income and reduces income poverty. Currently, and despite its large potential, the country is not self-
sufficient in rice. Production is about 600,000 metric tons of milled rice or 900,000 tons of paddy. The
country imports about 80,000 metric tons. The deficit has, however, been declining over the last ten
years, not only following an increase in domestic production, but also by being driven by an import
tariff set at around 75%, in accordance with the East African Customs union agreement. In Zanzibar,
the total annual consumption of rice stands at 80,000 tons compared to an annual production of only
18,000 tons. Currently the East Africa sub-regional demand for rice is estimated to be 2.5 to 3 million
tons per annum, with 90% of the demand being met by imports. Tanzania is the largest producer of rice
in the East and Southern Africa sub region and has great natural resource potential to increase
production in the next decade and take advantage of this regional market thus enhancing both
household and national incomes in pursuit of the poverty reduction goal.
58. A significant proportion of theavailable potentialland for irrigated rice lies within the SACGOTwhere
there are already formative initiatives to develop the sub-sector. The GAFSP proposed project would
augment already on-going activities in the SAGCOT region to further address supply constraints and
challenges in rice production. The potential for rice to generate quick win results in terms of enhanced
productivity, increased farmer incomes and improved food security is high. The project will facilitate
the up-take and adoption of improved rice varieties of which with proper husbandry may yield up to at
least 4.0 tons per ha. Current national average rice yields on smallholder farms is less than 1.5 tons per
ha. Nutritionally, rice is the second most important food crop in terms of calorific energy intake. Rice
consumption in the country is increasing at 5.4% annually, exceeding the population growth of 2.8%.
Mainland Tanzanian and Zanzibar import 8 and 85% percent of rice respectively in order to meet their
domestic demand.
59. The SAGCOT’s center, a Public - Private - Partnership coordinating structure, oversees the TARIPA
program to facilitate joint efforts of the rice partners. The beneficiaries prepare a District Cluster Rice
Action Plan and a Commodity Improvement Plan in a participatory manner. The plan sets out the
objectives and strategy, identifies actions and targets, clarifies roles and responsibilities and develops
timelines and resource requirements. Major policy and regulatory constraints are then identified and
16
ways to address them articulated. The Plan ought to provide the background for an Environmental
Impact Assessment, include adaptations to climate change and enhance the role of women. Such an
approach requires all stakeholders – LGAs, Farmers Groups, NGOs, and Private sector firms to be able
to engage effectively. Therefore the GAFSP proposed project is anchored on an already intensive
stakeholder consultative process that has potential to address environmental and social safeguards.
2.2.1 Project Overall Development Objectives
60. The overall development objective of the project is to contribute to the agricultural sector growth with
a particular focus on enhancing rice production in the TARIPA-SAGCOT area in Tanzania Mainland,
Mtwango, Kibokwa and Ole in Zanzibar Islands. The ultimate aim is to improve food and nutrition
security of smallholder farmers in the identified project area. Indirect benefits will include increased
income and better livelihoods in the local project area, price stability for rice staple in the domestic
market, contributing towards curbing the noted inflationary pressure attributed to rising food prices.
The project will also contribute towards rice import substitution whereby domestic supplies will save
hard earned foreign currency. The initiative is also expected to trigger spillovers in terms of
employment creation from growth of agribusiness and rural off-farm enterprises along the value chain.
61. The specific objective of the Tanzania GAFSP funding project is therefore to contribute towards
achieving increased smallholder farmer rice productivity within the TARIPA regions and 3 schemes in
Zanzibar islands. In the project areas, both SAGCOT in the Mainland and in Zanzibar, rice farmers are
growing an average of about 0.2-2 hectare of land: average yield levels, both in TARIPA and Zanzibar
schemes do note exceed 1.5 MT/ha, far below the demonstrated local areas potential of above 4 Mt/ha.
62. Currently the Governments of Mainland Tanzania and Zanzibar have mobilized financing for the
agricultural sector development program under a medium term financing. These are now encapsulated
in the ten year TAFSIP. However available resources under the plan are spread across all the 133 Local
Government Authorities in mainland and ten districts in the island with responsibility of implementing
the ASDP.
63. Specifically therefore, the GAFSP funding will finance interventions that will focus on these
prioritized investment areas to complement and fill clearly identified gaps of the on-going investments
and therefore address challenges faced along the rice value chain. The proposal is in line with and will
augment efforts to implement in Tanzania the initiative under the Coalition for African Rice
Development (CARD).
2.2.2 Specific Objectives and Results
64. The project will focus on small-scale farmers along the SAGCOT supporting the Tanzania Rice
Partnership Initiative (TARIPA) in Tanzania Mainland, and the regions of Mtwango and Kibokwa in
Unguja Island and Ole in Pemba. The project is anticipated to ultimately support about 37,000 farm
households producing irrigated rice in 18,500 ha of land. The project is expected to gradually increase
rice productivity in the project area from the current level averaging at 1.5 tons per hectare up to 4.0
tons per hectare through accelerating the adoption rates of improved agricultural knowledge and
technologies, namely: improved seed varieties, fertilizers and where there is need - herbicides and
17
pesticides. The project will improve adoption rates of these inputs by expanding the input subsidy
voucher system that will in this case specifically target rice farmers. It will also improve access to
improved seed varieties by developing and promoting a seed multiplication and distribution system
through public – private partnerships in the area. The project, at its peak, is expected to contribute an
average of around 50,000 tons of rice per year, equivalent to 60% of the current level of rice imports to
Tanzania Mainland.
.
65. In Zanzibar the project is planned to support8,000 smallholder farmers and enhance their productivity
on irrigation schemes covering 300 ha through access to improved rice technology and inputs raising
productivity to the same level as in the mainland. Annex II presents the Results Framework and the
M&E Indicators for this investment.
2.3 ACTIVITIES TO BE FINANCED
2.3.1 Project Activities
66. The project main activities will be to:
(e) Promote public private sector partnerships in the development of innovative approaches to the
multiplication and distribution of improved rice seed varieties in the project area.
(f) Accelerate adoption rates of high yielding rice seed varieties by rice farmers in the project area
through an agricultural inputs subsidy to cover costs for seed, fertilizer and pesticides where
needed.
(g) Rehabilitate rice irrigation schemes that are not covered by the current ASDP and ASP funding in
the selected project area of TARIPA-SAGCOT in the mainland and at Mtwango, Kibokwa and Ole
in Zanzibar.
(h) Enhance capacity of the monitoring and evaluation system to ensure effective implementation in
achieving envisaged results and providing lessons for replication of the project private public
partnership model to other areas.
2.3.1.1 Promoting A Seed Multiplication Distribution System
67. The Government of Tanzania through its agency - The Tanzania Seed Farm Agency - has five seed
foundation farms that have the sole responsibility for producing foundation seed in accordance with the
Seed Act of 2003.One of the farms - Kilangali Seed Farm - is located strategically in the SAGCOT
project area and is responsible for producing foundation seed. The Seed Agency is supported through
the EAAPP to strengthen its capacity to meet the growing demand for improved seed varieties,
specifically for rice. The challenge has been in the area of seed multiplication and distribution. This
project will provide technical assistance to the Tanzania Seed Agency and partnering private sector
entities, to develop and promote innovative public-private partnerships with farmers/producer
organizations and other interested private sector entities for certified rice seed multiplication and
distribution to smallholder farmers in the targeted project districts. On the part of farmer groups, FtF is
already piloting support to farmer groups who are to produce quality declared seeds; this project will
pursue this initiative further and operationalize the proven model. Bringing on board the private sector
is expected to draw in innovative and result oriented, more effective business approaches and deploys
efficient networks to avail agricultural inputs to farmers, e.g. the use of mobile phone networks to
18
reduce paper work and contend with past abuses of the manual system. Results may as well benefit
other rice producing areas in the country including up-land rice producers. The Agency and
specifically the rice seed farm at Kilangali has 1200 ha for rice seed production. This offers a potential
to produce 6000 tons of rice seed per annum to meet a demand for 300,000 ha of rice production per
annum.
68. In Zanzibar the objective is exactly as per TAFSIP: to develop a 150 ha seed farm. In addition, the
project will provide technical assistance to develop a certified seed multiplication and distribution
system in Zanzibar, similarly through private-public including farmer organization partnership models.
The Zanzibar seed farm has the capacity to produce 750 tons of seed per annum, adequate to meet the
seed demand needed to cultivate 37,500 ha of rice.
2.3.1.2 Accelerating Adoption Rates of New Technologies
69. Rice productivity growth rates in Tanzania have remained stagnant at an average of 1.5MT/ha. The
GAFSP project will finance the national input voucher system to accelerate adoption rates of new
available tested seed varieties namely Nerica and TXD 360 SARO. The subsidy will enable project
area farmers to access the requisite inputs in terms of seed varieties, fertilizer, herbicides and pesticides
where needed, for boosting productivity. The national input voucher system funded through the World
Bank Accelerated Food Security Project (AFSP) provides USD 90 million for selected cash crops
including maize as a food. The USAID Feed the Future Program is supporting the promotion of private
sector/agro-dealers’ participation in input supply business. The GAFSP funded project will
complement this program through a 50% subsidization of a full package of inputs specifically for rice
production, a crop that has had no input subsidy support in the past.
2.3.1.3 Rehabilitating Irrigation Schemes and Improving Management Systems
70. The rehabilitation of irrigation infrastructure, developing the technical capacity for operation and
maintenance as well as management of schemes, is an ongoing activity under the Agricultural Sector
Development program with resources from the basket funding mechanism for the District Irrigation
Development Fund. ASDP and DADP Reviews report that there is notable progress being made in
rehabilitating irrigation infrastructure. However, there are also serious absorptive capacity challenges
as pointed out by the Joint Implementation Review of the Government and Development Partners.
These are being addressed by improving the capacity for planning, procurement and execution of
irrigation development projects at the Local Government Level, including technical support for
Regional Secretariats.
.
71. Augmenting efforts of ongoing programs, the GAFSP project will crowd in support and focus intensive
efforts to the selected TARIPA-SAGCOT, Mtwango, Kibokwa and Ole schemes to ensure that tangible
results are attained. The project will allocate funds to the Local Government Authorities in these
specific project areas to rehabilitate schemes and bring them to full operation and develop their
management systems to enhance sustainability. In Zanzibar, in addition, the plan is to construct three
water reservoirs in Mtwango, Kibokwa and Ole, construct 1000 m of water canals, drill boreholes, and
rehabilitates the schemes and improve farmer based and water users’ associations management
19
systems. All the activities in the case of Zanzibar were fully endorsed under the TAFSIP but remain
without funding.
2.2.1.4Enhancing Capacity for Monitoring and Evaluation
72. The GAFSP project is not a stand-alone project. The proposed the project will be a key component
within the Agricultural Sector Development Program and will be executed through the Government
planning, budgetary, monitoring and evaluation system. GAFSP funding will however be ring-fenced
to ensure that it reaches the targeted project districts. Thus implementation of project component as
part of the ASDP will involve all relevant levels. These transcend from the Central Government to the
Local Governments through The Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security (MAFSC) and the Prime
Minister’s office for Regional Administration and Local Government (PMORALG). In Zanzibar, the
responsibility will be under The Ministry of Agriculture and Natural Resources. In accordance with the
TAFSIP coordination mechanism, the ultimate responsibility for coordination of the ASDP for which
this project is a component lies with the Cabinet led by the President. The Directors of Policy and
Planning of the two ministries in mainland and Zanzibar will be directly responsible for planning,
budgeting, monitoring and evaluation to produce information necessary for decision making at Cabinet
level. They will be responsible to see to it that the ring-fenced budget reaches the target area for
stipulated purposes. The Local Government Authorities in the respective project districts will execute
the project on the ground. The GAFSP project will provide funding for monitoring and evaluating the
project activities and outcomes. A review of the coordination mechanisms for the ASDP and the
technical review of the CAADP post compact have been undertaken. The reviews strongly recommend
for strengthening the capacity of the Government planning, budgetary and monitoring and evaluation
so that it provides more timely, better quality and regular correct information for decision making at all
levels–at Central and Local Governments. The review also recommended for broadening the
participation of stakeholders in the consultative mechanism for annual reviews of the performance of
the sector and in this way enhance non-state actors’ participation. Implementation of the GAFSP
funded project will adhere to these recommendations. Annexes III and IV presents the monitoring and
evaluation framework and key indicators.
2.4 IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENT THROUGH THE ASDP AND ASP SWAPs
73. This project being proposed for GAFSP funding, as a component of the TAFSIP, is implementation
ready. The following clarifications elucidate this fact. The project will make full use of the TAFSIP
institutional framework and the broad range of stakeholders engaged in the formulation. Notably, there
are some differences in the institutional set up between the Mainland and Zanzibar. However, the
implementation arrangements outlined below cater for both parts of the Union with some minor
adjustments in the case of Zanzibar.
74. The design of the TAFSIP is fully aligned along the ASDP/ASP program, which accommodates a
varied range of programs, projects and other initiatives at all levels in the administrative hierarchy. The
GAFSP funded component will thus stand as an embedded program within the broader ASDP. The
budget will be ring-fenced and targeted to the TARIPA-SAGCOT LGAs for purposes and activities
described in this proposal.
20
75. As is the case with the overall TAFSIP, at the central level, the GAFSP component of the program will
be coordinated by MAFC and implemented by the ASLMs and other institutions including PMO-
RALG and other line Ministries. At the SAGCOT Regions – depending of specific schemes selection
in Morogoro, Iringa and Mbeya - the Regional Secretariats will facilitate coordination between the
sector Ministries and the LGAs. The Regional Secretariats’ general responsibilities are relevant for this
program and hence will continue to (i) provide technical support for LGAs to operate efficiently; (ii)
assist LGAs in capacity building; (iii) monitoring the performance of LGAs. Regional Secretariats will
thus have to add on to the LGA capacity building program the specific requirements proposed for this
program.
76. Key players for the GAFSP funded component are the LGAs in the TARIPA-SAGCOT targeted
districts. They will have a critical role to implement GAFSP funded activities within the DADPs
framework. The SAGCOT Centre and The ASDP Inter-ministerial Committee will design specific
instruments for the implementation of the GAFSP component of TAFSIP. Important will be to ensure
that the district authorities in the SAGCOT undertake the identification of interventions and articulate
investment proposals with a clear mind and knowledge about SAGCOT and TARIPA prioritized
interventions. The DADP is a key instrument in agricultural and rural development and it will be
deployed fully to design and implement the four outlined GAFSP funded project activities.
77. Because TAFSIP was built on an already established ASDP/ASP framework that allows the inclusion
of additional modalities for delivery of development assistance to agriculture, it is well positioned to
ensure that GAFSP funded component avoids duplication and or loss of synergies from other
initiatives such as the Feed the Future, Bread Basket; MIVARF, Muunganisho wa Ujasiriamali Vijijini
(MUVI) and the Southern Highlands Food Systems Project. Complementarity with these projects has
been outlined in the context section.
78. The GAFSP funded component will make use of TAFSIP’s comprehensive institutional coordination
of work plans, planning, budgeting, reporting, monitoring and communication. This will be made
possible by building on the existing ASDP/ASP coordination framework both at national and local
level, extending it to accommodate more members from those initiatives and designing an expanded
ASDP/ASP sector-wide program. The extended ASDP/ASP coordination framework will provide a
mechanism to share Annual Work Plans and Budgets from the GAFSP funded initiative and through
that the overseeing team would be able to fill gaps, and agree on further indicators to be used for
monitoring joint implementation progress.
79. The GAFSP funded initiative will feed information into the TAFSIP systems and inform Development
Partners’ Agriculture Working Group (A-WG) where resources are allocated; Zonal Coordination
Committee Responsible for the SAGCOT region; The Technical Committee of the Directors that meets
quarterly and oversees work-plans and budgets; the Inter-ministerial Coordinating Committee
composed of PSs from ASLMs, CBOs and Private Sector where overall coordination of TAFSIP takes
place; the National Coordination Committee brings together the mainland and Zanzibar ministers and
goes up to the Presidential Retreat.
21
80. Budget control for the GAFSP funded component of the TAFSIP will be the responsibility of the MoF
working with DPs within the MTEF and Joint Assistance strategy as is the case for the overall
TAFSIP. Budgets will be allocated to the TARIPA-SAGCOT Regional Secretariats and LGAs as per
DADPs components that address GAFSP funded activities.
81. The results framework, Annex II, provides a framework against which detailed M&E items will be
prepared and built onto the existing systems. Details of activities and outcomes that are expected from
the outlined activities for the GAFSP funded component of the TAFSIP will be prepared together with
milestones that can gauge progress. At this point the SAGCOT Center will play a crucial role of
making sure that progress in the LGAs and Farmer Organizations, in terms of readiness to partner with
private sector, is matched with efforts to encourage private sector investments in rice production as per
TARIPA.
2.5 AMOUNT OF FINANCING REQUESTED
82. The United Republic of Tanzania (URT) is requesting for USD 30 million from GAFSP Trust Fund as
part of resource mobilization to bridge the funding gap for the five year TAFSIP.
The goal is to modestly contribute towards bridging the overall TAFSIP gap of US $ 2.876 billion. The
basis has been to allocate the available funds over a period of 5 years, appreciating that there is
normally a slow start-up in the first year, intensively during the next two subsequent years and
lowering thereafter. The design of the project and hence the proportions to the various activities
conforms to the TAFSIP budget which is inclined towards addressing the productivity and
commercialization programs – the main thrust. Tables 9 and 10 summarize the proposed funding
requirements for Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar respectively. The costs are commensurate to those
used to establish the TAFSIP budget. Levels are also in line with those used in other programmes in
the country required to rehabilitate irrigation infrastructure. Annex V presents further budgeting details
and coefficients used for this purpose.
Table9: Funding Estimates for Key Program Interventions Mainland, USD
Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
1. Productivity Enhancement
1.1 Promoting the up-take of
new technology through an
inputs subsidy scheme 2,464,500 2,703,000 2,941,500 2,941,500 2,941,500 13,992,000
1.2 Facilitating a seed
multiplication and distribution
system through PPP 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 3,000,000
1.3 Rehabilitation of
strategically selected irrigation
schemes 1,000,000 3,375,000 3,750,000 - - 8,125,000
2. Support to the Monitoring
and Evaluation 450 450 450 450 450 2,250
Total 4,064,500 6,678,000 7,291,500 3,541,500 3,541,500 24,802,250
Source: Annex V
22
Table 10. Funding Estimates for Key Program Interventions Zanzibar,USD
Sno Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
1 Productivity Enhancement
1.1
Rehabilitation strategically
selected irrigation schemes &
feeder roads
(Rehabilitation is in year 1 &
2 only)
640,726 521,920 120,313 125,000 216,563 1,624,521
Farm feeder roads
component in 1.1 above 66,563 71,563 120,313 125,000 216,563
1.2
Promoting the up-take of new
technology through an inputs
subsidy scheme
1,031,281 428,100 266,281 272,181 182,571 2,180,415
1.3
Facilitating a seed
multiplication& distribution
system through PPP
209,469 201,169 221,169 204,256 205,331 1,041,394
2 Supporting the Monitoring
&Evaluation 11,875 14,063 14,603 12,438 12,438 65,416.50
Total In USD 4,911,745.75
Source: Annex V.
2.6 PREFERRED SUPERVSING ENTITY AND COORDINATION
83. The preferred supervising entity for the GAFSP funded component of TAFSIP would be the World
Bank where it would team-up with The SAGCOT Center. The Bank is amongst the lead Development
Partners in Tanzania, both in the mainland and Zanzibar, providing substantial funding and technical
assistance in the Agriculture sector. The World Bank is supporting Research and Development in the
Rice Sub Sector through the East African Productivity Fund. The World Bank is also funding URT
USD 155 million under ASDP for wider national program on food security that support enhancement
of productivity through Local Government Capacity development for program implementation.
Furthermore it is financing improved access to technology including the input supply voucher scheme
(NAIVS) that is ending in June 2012.
84. The SAGCOT Center is overseeing the Tanzania Rice Partnership Initiative in the proposed schemes.
It is also a principal partner of the USAID initiative - Feed the Future, which will be implementing
activities both in Tanzania mainland and Zanzibar. It is thus prudent to use of the WB and the
SAGCOT Center to ensure that the proposed funding augments what is already being implemented and
avoid duplication.
23
2.7 TIME FRAME FOR SUPPORT
85. The time frame for support is aligned to the TAFSIP costing period of five years 2012/13 – 2016/17.
The GAFSP is providing funding to a component within the TAFSIP and hence the timing will align
with both TAFSIP timeframe and the GAFSP program life.
2.8 RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENT
86. This project is a component of the main agricultural sector development program being led and
managed by the Government of the United Republic of Tanzania. Thus risks inherent in this
component are similar to those for the overall country agricultural development program. These risks
have been identified and addressed in the overall agricultural investment plan-TAFSIP. They include
Institutional Capacity of both Central and Local Government to execute the project in an effective
and timely manner and to ensure that results are achieved. Specific measures to address this risk in
this project would entail Central Government, particularly the Prime Minister’s office instituting a
strong leadership and Project Administration and management Team at the local Government Level
to oversee the implementation of the project with specific and objectively defined, time bound
targets to be achieved. These smart targets will form the basis for performance assessment and
performance accountability.
87. The willingness of the private sector to participate, especially in the seed multiplication and
distribution sub-component, may pose a risk for the project as it is for the overall TAFSIP. The
Feed the Future Project - Nafaka - is addressing these constraint and disincentives for the private
sector to take the lead and drive the operationalization of this program component as well as the
overall ASDP.
88. All interventions in this program are aimed at the smallholder agriculture to ensure that they have the
capacity to capitalize on the opportunities unfolding from the SAGCOT initiative and investments
by both public and private entities. Environmental risk mitigation issues will aim to ensure
sustainable utilization of both land and water resources in the TARIPA project area. Those in
Kilombero valley are currently being addressed through the USAID funded Feed theFuture program.
The Feed the Future is supporting Rufiji River Basin Development a Government Agency with
mandate to sustainable manage the river basin and advice the government on policy matters related
to land use and water resource management in the basin. The lessons will be used across the rest of
the TARIPA district.
89. The CAADP Technical Review report pointed out the need to address the coordination issue as an
area that poses a risk to effective implementation of TAFSIP given the number of stakeholders
involved. Coordination poses a risk to this component of the TASFIP as well. A review of ASDP
coordination mechanism has been done and a new coordination structure/mechanism has been
defined that streamlines the coordination much as it brings on board all stakeholders in the sector but
with Government taking the lead from the top most level structures of policy making, the Cabinet
and President. This same coordination structure and mechanism will be applied to coordinate
GAFSP component
24
2.9 CONSULTATION PROCESS
90. The design for this project is a progression of and is fully based on the TAFSIP that was developed
through a rigorous consultative process of all stakeholders. The CAADP Technical Review of
TAFSIP acknowledges the consultative process. Furthermore, TARIPA is a partnership bringing
together state, non-state actors, private firms and donor funded projects together to jointly address
the rice sub-sector challenges. TARIPA’s approach is basically a stakeholder facilitation process.
Their inputs are holistically incorporated in this proposal. SAGCOT is a further avenue for
stakeholder partnership and hence the very nature of implementation will be stakeholder engaging.
91. This specific proposal was presented to Development Partners/ GOT Agricultural sector working
group for harmonization with other agricultural development programs that fall outside the basket
funding mechanism, which is coordinated by URT.
ANNEX 1: On-Going Donor Funded Agricultural Sector Programs and Projects Cost Funding Time Horizon
Project/Programme Summary
Agricultural Sector Development
Programme (ASDP)
The ASDP provides a framework for the implementation of the Agricultural Sector Strategy (ASDS) to improve
production and productivity in the agricultural sector to increase incomes and raise the standard of living in rural areas.
The ASDP is implemented in all regions of mainland Tanzania.A follow-on basket program is currently being planned.
Approx.
$200million per
annum
URT, WB, JICA,
Ireland,AfDB,
IFAD
2006-2013
Agriculture Strategic Plan
Zanzibar (ASP)
The ASP was developed to create conducive environment to support agricultural sector policy implementation, and hence
improve livelihoods of the population. However, the main shortcoming of ASP is limited of sector wide approach to
accommodate livestock and fisheries.
NA NA NA
Feed the Future The programme will support value chain development in the agricultural sector through irrigation, rural roads, food
processing trade, policy reforms, research, and capacity building in the sector and will cover the regions of Morogoro,
Manyara and Dodoma as well as Zanzibar.
Estimated $300
million
USAID
2011-2015
Tanzania Bread-Basket
Transformation Project
Pilot approach to creating a bread basket in the southwestern highlands of Tanzania covering the regions of Rukwa,
Morogoro, Iringa, Mbeya and Ruvuma. The project aims to increase smallholder incomes and improve food security by
focusing on the development of maize, rice and beans.
Estimated cost of
$173 Million URT, AGRA 2010-2015
Southern Agriculture Growth
Corridor for Tanzania (SAGCOT)
Public private partnership initiative to transform the agricultural sector. Building on the Kilimo Kwanza declaration of
2009. It will cover the regions of Coast, Dar-Es-Salaam, Morogoro, Rukwa, Iringa, Mbeya and Ruvuma. Estimated costs of
$3.4 billion
URT, Private
Sector, WB, other
DPs
2011-2031
Marketing Infrastructure, Value
Addition and Rural Finance
Support Programme (MIVARF)
MIVARF will provide support towards increased financing of agricultural activities and development of market
infrastructure and agro-processingincluding supporting grassroots MFIs to provide better services to small scale farmers
and will cover all regions in Tanzania mainland and Zanzibar
$150 million URT, IFAD,AfDB,
AGRA 2011-2018
Southern Highlands Food
Systems Programme (SHFS)
Technical support and capacity building to develop national food chains with focus on grain supply systems; food
industry development and sub-sector policy and institutional support in the Southern Highlands covering the regions of
Rukwa, Mbeya, Iringa, Morogoro and Ruvuma.
$5.3 million FAO 2011-2012
Rural Micro, Small and Medium
Enterprise Support Programme
(MUVI)
Providing financial services to rural communities to facilitate value chains development in the regions of Tanga,
Manyara, Mwanza, Iringa, Ruvuma and Coast regions. $25 million IFAD 2007-2013
National Rice Development
Strategy (NARDS)
Aimed at promoting increased production and productivity of rice to increase farmer incomes and to promote food
security by transforming the existing subsistence-dominated rice sub-sector progressively into commercially and viable
production system by 2018.
NA JICA 2009-2018
Rural Livelihoods Development
Programme (RLDP)
The programme aims atmaking market systems work better for the welfare of rural producersapplying the “making
markets for the poor” approach(M4P). The programme is currently addressing market constraints in six sub-sectors,
namely cotton; sunflower; dairy; rice; poultry and rural radio and covering the Central Corridor in the regions of
Morogoro, Dodoma, Singida, Tabora, Shinyanga and Manyara.
$21 million SDC 2005-2011
Accelerating Progress Towards
the MDGs: Country Action Plan
The Country Action Plan aims to put in place interventions in agriculture and nutrition to accelerate the attainment of the
MDGs in Tanzania. It is aligned with the TDV 2025, the MKUKUTA and the ASDS as well as the Tanzania Nutrition
Strategy. It is in line with the CAADP pillars and principles.
NA UNDP 2010-2015
26
Annex II. Results Framework for the GAFSP Funded TAFSIP Component – Mainland and Zanzibar
Strategic Objective ExpectedResults, Outcomes and Impacts Institutional and Policy
Considerations
Productivity
Enhancement
Intervention
Results Outcomes Impact
1. Seed Multiplication
and Distribution
Increased amounts of
high yielding varieties
of rice seed multiplied
and distributed to
smallholder farmers.
Improved access and
usage of high yielding
rice seed leading to
higher productivity
Increased
Household
Income and
Food Security
Facilitated PPPs and policy
incentives and regulations
encouraging private sector
engagement in rice seed
multiplication and distribution
2. Incentives for higher
adoption rates of
modern rice
production
technology
Expanded NAIVS to
cover rice farmers.
Higher levels of
fertilizer and other
inputs usage in rice
production leading to
higher productivity
Increased
Household
Income and
Food Security
Policy and regulatory
incentives for public and
private sector increasing role in
inputs use extension services.
3. Irrigation Development Expanded rehabilitated
and better managed land
area under irrigated rice
Improved rice
productivity and
increased overall
commodity production
Increased
Household
Income and
Food Security
Sustainable water resources,
land use and irrigation schemes
management.
27
Annex III. Monitoring and Evaluation Indicators Mainland
Activity Outputs Results
A. Irrigation Development Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year5 Total
1. Scheme Rehabilitation Ha 500 1500 1500 0 0 3500
B. Input Supply and Distribution
1. Seed Distribution (tons) 330 360 360 360 360 1770
2. Fertilizer Distribution (tons) 4125 4500 4500 4500 4500 22125
3. Chemicals: Herbicides, Pesticides etc. (liters) 107250 117000 117000 117000 117000 575250
Result Indicators Outcomes
1. Land Area Irrigated on Subsidy (Ha) 15500 17000 18500 18500 18500
2. Productivity tons/Ha (Ha) 2.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
3. Production (Tons) 31,000 61000 74000 74000 74000
Results Indicators Impact
1. Number of Households Food Secure 31,000 34,000 37,000 37,000 37,000
2. Savings Foreign Exchange Rice Imports USD Mill 14.88 16.32 17.76 17.76 17.76
3. Increase Small Holder Marketed Surplus (tons) 24000 48400 59200 59200 59200
28
Annex. IV Monitoring and Evaluation Indicators – Zanzibar
Activity Outputs Results
Irrigation Development Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year5 Total
1. Scheme Rehabilitation Ha 150 150 0 0 0
Input Supply and Distribution
2. Seed Distribution (tons) 6 6 6 6 6
3. Fertilizer Distribution (tons) 75 75 75 75 75
4. Pesticides(Lts) 1950 1950 1950 1950 1950
Result Indicators Outcomes
1. Land Area Irrigated on Subsidy (Ha) 150 300 300 300 300
2. Land Area Rain Fed on Subsidy (Ha) 300 300 300 300 300
3. Productivity tons/Ha (Ha) 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
4. Production (Tons) 1800 2400 2400 2400 2400
Results Indicators Impact
1.Number of Households Food Secure 6000 8000 8000 8000 8000
2. Foreign Exchange Savings USD Mill 0.540 0.720 0.720 0.720 0.720
3. Increase Small Holder Marketed Surplus (tons) 1440 1920 1920 1920 1920
29
Annex V: Costing Coefficients
SNo. Basic coefficient / information Source
1 According to Table 9:
2 (a) Number of Districts TARIPA 10
3 (b)Total ha TARIPA 47,647
4 (c )Estimated ha under reasonable
irrigation MAFC 15,000
5 (d) Project will rehabilitate Proposal 3,500
6 (d) Total hectares to receive seed/input
subsidy (c + d)) Projections 18,500
7 (e) Number of farmers, assuming .5 ha per
farmer Projections 37,000
8 (f) Cost of irrigation per ha US$ TAFSIP est 2,000
9 (g) Input subsidy per farmer US $ TAFSIP est 159
10 (h) TA for seed multiplication and PPPs
facilitation Estimated 50,000 (Man month = 45,000 + 5,000 facilitation)
Tanzania Mainland Estimates
SNo Particulars Units Year 1 Years 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Total
1 Area on Irrigated Rice HA 15,000 15,500 17,000 18,500 18,500
2 Area Rehabilitation Ha 500 1,500 1500
Cumulative Rehabilitation Ha 500 2,000 3,500 3,500 3,500
Cumulative Area Ha 15,500 17,000 18,500 18,500 18,500
Rehabilitation Unit Cost USD HA 2,000 2,250 2,500
Total Rehabilitation Costs USD USD 1,000,000 3,375,000 3,750,000 0 0 8,125,000
3 Input Subsidy Costs
Unit Costs in USD Per Ha irrigated 159 159 159 159 159
Total Costs Input Subsidy for total farmers
covered 2,464,500 2,703,000 2,941,500 2,941,500 2,941,500 13,992,000
4 Development of Seed Multiplication and
distribution
Technical Support ASA & Facilitation
5 Unit Costs Man/Months plus facilitation
budget USD 12 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 3,000,000
6 Monitoring and Evaluation 450 450 450 450 450 2,250
Total 4,064,500 6,678,000 7,291,500 3,541,500 3,541,500 25,119,250
30
Zanzibar Estimates
SNo. Item Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total
1 Rehabilitation Irrigation & feeder roads 640,726 521,920 120,313 125,000 216,563 1,624,522
Farm feeder roads component-note it is the
only in last yrs. 66,563 71,563 120,313 125,000 216,563
2 Input Subsidy Scheme 1,031,281 428,100 266,281 272,181 182,571 2,180,415
3 Seed Multiplication& Distribution 209,469 201,169 221,169 204,256 205,331 1,041,394
Coordination M&E 11,875 14,063 14,603 12,438 12,438 65,416
Total In USD 4,911,746
Total 30,030,996
Notes:
The ten districts under TARIPA-SAGCOT have a total of 47,647 hectares of irrigated rice. Of these, 15,000 hectares require simple interventions
to develop them further. Their infrastructure may require modest repairs, but more serious is that farmers use low levels, or none at all, of inputs:
fertilizer, herbicides andeven pesticides where required. They also predominantly use traditional seed. Husbandry practices are sub-optimal and
yields are thus very low, the maximum achieved is 1.5 MT per ha. The project will intervene to address the above challenge by implementing the
seed multiplication and distribution and an inputs subsidy component of the project to improve productivity of such farmers. The subsidy is
brought in purely as a time bound incentive to enhance higher adoption rates of improved inputs amongst these otherwise traditional smallholder
farmers. In addition, the project will rehabilitate a total of 3,500 ha of run down irrigation area, bringing the total hectares under cultivation with
improved crop husbandry to 18,500ha in the 5 years project life. Rehabilitation will start slowly, 500 ha in year 1 and then 1,500 ha per year will
be rehabilitated in the two subsequent years. The cost of rehabilitation is as estimated by TAFSIP, US 2,000 per ha, slightly adjusted for inflation
in the two subsequent years. TAFSIP estimates also indicate that the cost of a 50% inputs subsidy per farmer is US $150 to 160. Lastly the seed
multiplication component will require 12-month days for the project period, costing US 45,000 pm plus a US 5,000 budget for promotion and
facilitating public-private-farmer organizations seed multiplication partnerships. Costs per farmer in Zanzibar areexactly as estimated by TAFSIP
and are higher because in Zanzibar theyinclude farm power and other equipment.