Unilever Openflame Finance
-
Upload
prasanta-mondal -
Category
Documents
-
view
221 -
download
0
Transcript of Unilever Openflame Finance
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
1/35
Changing role of finance
in FMCG company
21st April 2008
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
2/35
Finance Depts.
Tax
Operational risks
Financial accounting
Transactional finance
Management accounting
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
3/35
Financial vs. Mgnt accounting
support in decision-making
Future-oriented
Non-financial measures as well
Not-regulated
Internal use only
financial position of company
past-oriented
Financial measures
Regulated by law & accounting
rules
for external purposes
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
4/35
Finance role evolution
Collect, transform, analyse & support
Business Partnering
Role
Value added BUT at high cost: job attractiveness
and quality issues
50% time 50% time
Collect & Store
Data Quality
SAP BW
Produce & deliver
Finance Operations
Efficiency
Analysis & support
Business Partnering
Value added
Role
Benefit
100% time100% time
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
5/35
What is the role
of
modern finance?
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
6/35
External orientation
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
7/35
Grow th League
% SALES GROWTH MAT VS MAT LY LEAGUE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
ON 2005 DJ 2006 FM 2006 AM 2006 JJ 2006 AS 2006 ON 2006 DJ 2007 FM 2007 AM 2007
Unilever Masterfoods Bielmar Heinz Raisio
Danone Hochland Nestle Kamis Kraft
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
8/35
LIQUID TOILET C LEANERS brands market shares in TOT AL BALT ICS
%MarketShare
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
MA 2007JF 2007ND 2006SO 2006JA 2006MJ 2006MA 2006JF 2006ND 2005SO 2005JA 2005MJ 2005MA 2005 DOMESTOS
HARPIC
CILLIT
BREF
YP LO N
CILLIT BANG
DOSIA
KOSLITA
PRIVATELABEL
BLUX
UNILEVER
Market shares in TCL market
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
9/35
TOP TEA BRANDS SHARES BALTICS- VALUE SHARE TOP TEA BRANDS SHARES BALTICS- VOLUME SHARE
Market shares - tea
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
10/35
Simple information
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
11/35
33.5% 32.1% 31.6% 31.2% 32.3% 30.8% 1,569 4.8% 30.5% -3.0% 4,625 7.7% 31.2% -2.6% 9,310 7.4% 31.4% -2.9%
15.4% 13.6% 14.3% 14.2% 16.1% 15.0% 748 8 .7% 14.5% -0.9% 2,253 20.0% 15.2% 0.4% 4,332 19.9% 14.6% 0.3%
7.3% 6.7% 7.9% 7.2% 7.8% 7.9% 497 51.8% 9.7% 2.3% 1,256 43.3% 8.5% 1.6% 2,330 42.2% 7.9% 1.4%
9.1% 8.7% 9.8% 9.2% 11.7% 9.3% 478 17.3% 9.3% 0.2% 1,494 30.4% 10.1% 1.1% 2,863 21.3% 9.7% 0.3%
9.8% 9.4% 8.9% 10.1% 7.9% 10.2% 471 7 .4% 9.2% -0.7% 1,351 11.3% 9.1% -0.4% 2,757 20.9% 9.3% 0.3%
5.5% 7.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.8% 8.5% 399 62.3% 7.8% 2.2% 1,142 51.4% 7.7% 1.8% 2,329 55.7% 7.9% 1.9%
5.1% 7.1% 7.8% 7.8% 6.3% 7.9% 373 63.0% 7.3% 2.1% 1,065 51.4% 7.2% 1.6% 2,183 55.8% 7.4% 1.8%
7.4% 8.1% 7.5% 8.5% 7.5% 6.5% 337 1.7% 6.5% -0.9% 1,012 3.1% 6.8% -0.9% 2,204 7.3% 7.4% -0.7%
6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 319 5.7% 6.2% -0.6% 886 -2.7% 6.0% -1.2% 1,786 -5.1% 6.0% -1.4%
3.9% 3.5% 3.9% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 229 32.1% 4.4% 0.6% 587 28.5% 4.0% 0.4% 1,115 26.5% 3.8% 0.3%
2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% 219 71.1% 4.3% 1.4% 526 51.3% 3.5% 0.8% 950 54.4% 3.2% 0.8%
4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 206 16.8% 4.0% 0.1% 556 19.3% 3.7% 0.1% 1,059 16.6% 3.6% 0.0%
3.2% 3.6% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 129 -9.9% 2.5% -0.7% 364 -6.0% 2.5% -0.6% 801 10.4% 2.7% -0.2%
2.3% 2.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 67 -33.9% 1.3% -1.0% 189 -33.0% 1.3% -0.9% 466 -25.2% 1.6% -0.9%
1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 32 -50.0% 0.6% -0.8% 104 -33.5% 0.7% -0.5% 239 -24.3% 0.8% -0.4%
11.6% 10.4% 9.6% 11.6% 9.3% 8.6% 209 -9.7% 8.1% -3.5% 633 42.0% 8.6%
6.0% 5.3% 5.6% 8.0% 6.5% 5.6% 136 13.8% 5.2% -0.7% 422 82.0% 5.8%
4.7% 4.5% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 2.7% 63 -32.9% 2.4% -2.3% 185 0.4% 2.5%
0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 10 -45.0% 0.4% - 0.5% 26 -12.5% 0.4%
16.8% 16.6% 15.3% 15.6% 12.5% 15.1% 358 7 .0% 13.9% -2.9% 1,011 57.1% 13.8%
11.5% 10.6% 12.5% 11.4% 12.3% 12.4% 376 63.9% 14.5% 3.0% 958 145.4% 13.1%
14.8% 13.3% 13.5% 12.7% 15.2% 12.2% 295 0 .0% 11.4% - 3.4% 942 73.9% 12.9%
11.2% 11.6% 10.2% 10.6% 9.4% 9.5% 236 5.5% 9.1% -2.1% 685 77.3% 9.4%
3.0% 4.2% 5.6% 5.1% 4.7% 5.9% 149 150.3% 5.7% 2.8% 400 212.4% 5.5%
3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 58 -24.0% 2.2% -1.6% 169 25.6% 2.3%
17.4% 16.1% 17.0% 16.1% 16.0% 17.7% 686 38.1% 20.3% 2.8% 1,555 29.5% 18.2% 1.9% 3,009 23.9% 17.3% 1.2%
14.2% 12.7% 13.6% 13.0% 12.6% 14.3% 579 43.3% 17.1% 2.9% 1,275 33.4% 14.9% 2.0% 2,437 28.7% 14.0% 1.4%
0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 18 -10.2% 0.5% -0.2% 50 -15.8% 0.6% -0.2% 109 -33.2% 0.6% -0.5%
2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.7% 89 23.8% 2.6% 0.1% 231 25.9% 2.7% 0.2% 463 31.2% 2.7% 0.3%
15.7% 16.8% 15.6% 13.8% 15.3% 16.8% 559 24.9% 16.5% 0.8% 1,388 32.9% 16.2% 2.1% 2,753 31.3% 15.8% 1.9%
12.5% 12.0% 11.0% 9.3% 11.0% 11.3% 372 4 .1% 11.0% -1.5% 947 -5.1% 11.1% -2.4% 1,896 -2.1% 10.9% -1.9%
10.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.3% 9.5% 9.5% 340 16.9% 10.0% -0.2% 831 15.0% 9.7% -0.1% 1,670 16.5% 9.6% 0.1%
4.2% 4.7% 5.6% 8.0% 5.9% 6.1% 168 41.5% 5.0% 0.8% 477 50.9% 5.6% 1.3% 1,025 59.2% 5.9% 1.6%
22.0% 20.0% 21.9% 22.0% 20.5% 22.2% 522 39.7% 25.6% 3.6% 1,174 31.9% 23.1% 2.8% 2,234 29.4% 22.2% 2.4%17.8% 15.5% 17.3% 17.2% 15.7% 17.7% 433 43.5% 21.2% 3.4% 944 33.5% 18.5% 2.5% 1,771 29.0% 17.6% 1.9%
4.2% 4.6% 4.6% 4.8% 4.8% 4.5% 89 23.8% 4.4% 0.1% 231 25.9% 4.5% 0.4% 463 31.2% 4.6% 0.6%
21.0% 20.4% 18.9% 17.7% 19.1% 18.7% 372 4 .1% 18.2% -2.8% 947 -5.1% 18.6% -4.1% 1,896 -2.1% 18.8% -3.4%
15.4% 17.3% 15.3% 13.9% 15.5% 16.3% 322 22.9% 15.8% 0.3% 807 35.8% 15.9% 2.3% 1,580 38.0% 15.7% 2.6%
13.0% 12.2% 11.8% 12.3% 12.6% 12.5% 272 23.6% 13.3% 0.4% 654 23.1% 12.8% 0.8% 1,257 26.9% 12.5% 1.1%
4.4% 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 4.6% 5.0% 94 26.4% 4.6% 0.2% 240 0.5% 4.7% -0.7% 504 -8.0% 5.0% -1.3%
11.2% 11.0% 10.6% 10.0% 10.3% 11.3% 164 33.3% 12.9% 1.7% 381 22.7% 11.6% 0.8% 775 10.4% 11.0% -0.4%
1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 18 -10.2% 1.4% -0.4% 50 -15.8% 1.5% -0.5% 109 -33.2% 1.6% -1.1%
17.0% 16.8% 16.8% 14.3% 15.6% 18.4% 237 27.7% 18.8% 1.8% 581 29.2% 17.7% 2.0% 1,174 23.3% 16.7% 1.2%
12.7% 14.7% 13.1% 10.4% 10.6% 12.1% 158 13.1% 12.5% -0.3% 387 8.6% 11.8% -0.7% 856 1 6.2% 12.2% 0.2%
13.3% 11.5% 11.6% 10.0% 10.8% 11.0% 140 -3.8% 11.0% -2.2% 360 3.2% 11.0% -1.2% 770 13.5% 11.0% -0.1%
8.6% 9.2% 10.6% 13.9% 11.4% 10.6% 117 24.7% 9.2% 0.7% 339 34.3% 10.3% 1.5% 770 42.6% 11.0% 2.2%
9.4% 10.4% 10.0% 9.2% 8.6% 8.5% 103 0.2% 8.2% -1.3% 276 2.7% 8.4% -1.0% 644 15.0% 9.2% 0.0%
6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 6.2% 5.7% 5.2% 68 -4.0% 5.4% -1.1% 177 -7.3% 5.4% -1.3% 413 -6.9% 5.9% -1.3%
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
12/35
13,1
TR '06
5,5
Price
5,5
CPP
-7,0
ToT
0,1
Vol/Mix -1,4
Costs
4,8
A&P
-1,5
Indirects
19,2
TR '07
20xx Profit Variance
14.5
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
13/35
6%9%
5%
6%
1%
17%
7% 6%
26%
14%3%
5%
8%
4%
4%
1%0%
4%
29%
16%
14%
15%
Sales structure
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
14/35
Media spent
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
15/35
Media spent per category in 20xx-20xx
TEA YF BOULLIONS&SOUPS SPREADS DRESSINGS &
SAUCES
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
16/35
6P - Advertising
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 200 400 600 800 1000
GRPs
Awareness
increasing
returns
diminishing
returns
sharply
diminishing
returns
MAC
min
MAC
max
The awareness percentages are at the agreed frequency, assuming memory decay
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
17/35
Promo evaluation
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
18/35
Promotions
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
19/35
Source of incremental sales???
Cannibalization?
Other UL customers?
Stock loading? Time phasing?
SUPER
Do we want that?
New consumers?
Loyal consumers?
Increased consumption?
Competition?
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
20/35
Close-to-business
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
21/35
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
22/35
Economic update
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
23/35
Economic update Baltic countries
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
24/35
Innovative tools
for
Innovative Business Partnering
DMUU
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
25/35
DMUU
Results expectations
calibrated sensibly
Better decision-making
Key success factors
Risk awareness
Focus on key areas
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
26/35
Innovation Tracking
Feb '05 Mar '05 Apr '05 May '05 Jun '05 Jul '05 Aug '05
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
27/35
Buying Behaviour
Market Dynamics
and
Financial Return
6Ps
(Brand Levers)
Volume
Price
NPS/Value
Loyalty
Purchase frequency Pack size boughtPenetration
Volume Market Size Volume Share
Value Market Size Value Share
Market growthEconomy, Trends, Development
Profit
Pack ProductProposition Promotion PricePlace
Margin
6P Brand Growth Model
6P Brand HealthBrand Communication Customer Extended
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
28/35
STRONG AND WEAK PROFILES
- | + - |+ - | + - |+
Weak Strong
+3.
1+9.3
0-
5.2
Conviction
Advantage
Performance
Relevance
Presence
rand VoltageThe Brand Voltage is asummary measure of
the brands growth
potential. A high
voltage indicate thebrand is likely to
maintain or grow share.
With a low voltage a
brand can still grow, but
will have to work harder
to stand still, and will
over time be more
vulnerable.
rand SignatureThe BrandSignature
helps
understanding
the brands
strengths and
weaknesses
in comparison
with brands in
the same
category.
6P - Brand Health /Activation Development Innovation Supply Chain Other
Olympic Classic Tiger Specialist
Defender Fading Weak Clean Slate
?
Purchasing Behaviour can be measured by Value share, penetration, loyalty (behavioural +
attitudinal), total turnover
Operational Factors are
Distribution, relative price, SOS / SOM, Promotional
pressure
Consumer Mind and Quality are measured by
Brand Health Check Pyramid, Brand Signature, Brand
typology, Brand Voltage
Behavioural Strength Purchasing BehaviourMeasured By
Executional Strength Operational FactorsMeasured By
Attitudinal StrengthConsumer Mind
and QualityMeasured By
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
29/35
MMM
quantify effectiveness of drivers
remove trend and analyse movement around them
distinguish true cause and effect from spurious relationships
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
lis 97 maj 98 pa 98 maj 99 pa 99 kwi 00 pa 00
TVAdvertising0
500
1000
1500
Print0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Coupon0
50,000
100,000
150,000
Feature0
50
100
150
Display0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Featuresand Display
0
10
20
30
40
AveragePrice
24
26
28
30
32
Value Drivers Sales
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
30/35
Marketing Mix model - what is it?
Econometric model to measure the short term impact of
different elements of the marketing mix on sales
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
0
5
10
15
2025
30
35
40
1 988 1 990 1 99 2 19 94 19 96 19 98 2 000
Advancedeconometricanalysis
Total Sales
TV Advertising
PromotionWorks on historical data to
provide a basis for
decisions about the future
M k ti Mi M d lli
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
31/35
Marketing Mix Modelling
Price drives growth?
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
32/35
Price drives growth?
1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 19880
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
3,200
3,400
VOLUME Real PRICE
VOLUME Real PRICE
2,200 2,400 2,600 2,800 3,000 3,200 3,4000
500
1,000
1,500
2,0002,500
3,000
3,500
Real Price
Volume
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
33/35
Growth drivers quantified
Growth is accounted for by:
- Sampling 20%
- Distribution 15%
- Habits 15%
- Advertising 10%
- Price 40%
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
34/35
Modern finance
Expertise jobs
Financial accounting
Business Partnering
Promo evaluation
MediaBusiness info
External view
Economy
Close-to-business
-
8/13/2019 Unilever Openflame Finance
35/35
The EndThank you