UniCredit Group Munich, 24 September 2007 Ranieri de Marchis Chief Financial Officer.
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Transcript of UniCredit Group Munich, 24 September 2007 Ranieri de Marchis Chief Financial Officer.
UniCredit Group
Munich, 24 September 2007
Ranieri de MarchisChief Financial Officer
2
Re-assessment of funding mix and tenor based on market appetite
Well balanced balance sheet structure
UNICREDIT POSITIONING IN THE CURRENT FINANCIAL TURMOIL
Clear funding and liquidity management based on three solid pillarsLIQUIDITY
EXPOSURE TO SUB-PRIME &
CONDUITS Negligible exposure to the areas affected by the recent market turmoil
3(1) Medium-long term funding, 139 mln (above 1 year - capital instruments and funds not included) / Medium to long term commercial Banking book assets (254 mln)
(2) Ex Bank of Italy structural liquidity Rule 2 aimed to ensure a structural equilibrium between assets and liabilities by a specific weighting system
WELL BALANCED GROUP ASSET & LIABILITY STRUCTURE
30 June 2007
BANKING BOOK
303
218
708 bn
254
339
25139
48618 bn
32
130
26224
Total Liabilities 869 bn
Total Assets 869 bn
OtherOther
Trading assets
Fixed assets
M/L term assets
S/T assets
Trading liabilities
M/L term liabilities
Due to customers
S/T liabilities
Regulatory Capital
Customer Loans (454 bn)
Customer Deposits (303 bn) = 150%
Financial Equilibrium ratio(1): from 15.3% in 2003 to 56.4% as of June 07
Former Bank of Italy Rule 2(2) +31.9 bn
Strong discipline provided by internal rule:
Liquidity ratio limit above 0.90
4
AGENDA
UniCredit Funding Model
US Sub-prime and Conduit exposure
5
UNICREDIT: A PAN-EUROPEAN FUNDING NETWORK
Four regional liquidity centres
Comprehensive liquidity metrics
Daily Group exposure monitoring
Regular stress testing performed
ALM function with Group-wide access to data
Robust work flow around intra-group liquidity flow management
Intra-Group liquidity management trading platform
UniCreditPlus
Branches & UCI Dublin
HVBPlus
BranchesBA-CA
Pekao
Co-ordinated, decentralised funding model with clear liquidity governance
UNICREDIT FUNDING MODEL
6
Maintaining eligible and marketable collateral
>56 bn of collateral available within 1 month
Increasing access to secured funding with new asset classes
200 mln of new collateral through the Italian “ABACO” initiative, rising to 2.2 bn by YE
Projects in place to monetise existing assets through ECB and other Central Bank facilities
THREE PILLARS OF FUNDING & LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
Diversification of geography and instruments for both S/T and M/L termDepos, CD’s, CP, Private Placements, Pfandbriefe, Retail
Leveraging on the historical funding reach of HVB & BA-CA
Centralised co-ordination of pricingMinimise cost of funds
Avoid internal competition
Extensive sharing of liquidity between all regional liquidity centres … cash pooling
Trading with Market Place, UCI’s digitalized trading and accounting platform
Active since March 07, live in all Italian entities, HVB, BA-CA, Pekao, Capitalia
Third party funding needs reduced by a further 3.2 bn in 2007
MANAGING INTRA-GROUP
LIQUIDITY
FUNDING
RAISING LIQUIDITY WITH
ASSETS
7
UCI Holding
acting as the second level netting center (obligation of “first call” for each Legal Entity) and monitoring and steering the Group’s position
coordinating and accessing the medium/long term debt capital markets
accessing the unsecured Money Market and issuing CD/CPs to fund the open position of the Group
Cash pooling to optimize cost of funding and unnecessary access to the market
CO-ORDINATED AND DECENTRALIZED MARKET ACCESS:UCI CASH POOLING SYSTEM
Regional Liquidity Centers acting as first level netting for each Legal Entity under their perimeter
* Access to Global Markets needed for specific instruments, e.g. Pfandbriefe
MIB
acting on the trading market for all the Group
accessing the market for Repos, derivatives and unsecured Money Market for its own needs
Global Markets
UCI - Holding
Regional Liquidity Center
MIB
Regional Liquidity Center
HVB/BA-CA
Regional Liquidity Center
Italian Legal Entities
Local Markets
Close net position, as todayObligation of “first call” for net excess/deficit
8
IN RECENT YEARS UNICREDIT HAS SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFIED SOURCES OF S/T FUNDING & LIQUIDITY…
Stable and diversified Funding with three key accesses to the market:London, Vienna and New York
Avg maturity 92days(1)
Avg maturity
108days(1)
Avg maturity
104days(1)
GEOGRAPHICAL DIVERSIFICATION INSTRUMENTS DIVERSIFICATION
+16%
+2.5%
(1) Calculated using gross inter-bank data
2005 2006 2007
EEC Total
Tokyo
Paris
Warsaw
Vienna
Munich
Hong Kong
Luxemburg
Dublin
New York
London
Milan
Net Reposwith banks
Extendible
CP's
CD's
Net interbank
2005 2006 2007
9
… AS WELL AS OF MEDIUM/LONG TERM FUNDING
(*) UCI + HVB combined “pro forma”
COLLATERALIZED
DELINKED FROM SENIOR RATING
MLT Funding Plan
Public
Bank Capital
Private Placements
Retail
Pfandbriefe
ABS/RMBS
Trend
PUBLIC MARKET
RETAIL/PRIVATE PLACEMENTS
Diversified medium/long term funding in large liquid markets
Pursuing niche funding opportunities
Funding increasingly de-linked from senior credit rating using asset backed products and covered bonds. Parallel to Pfandbriefe, entering the new Italian covered bond market in 2008
Well established presence in the key liquid markets across different products
7% 15%22% 30%16%
19%
24%21%
16%11%
6%12%32%
32% 21%
25%4%6% 12%
6%25% 18% 15%7%
2004* 2005* 2006 2007
10
THE MARKET CRISIS DID NOT AFFECT UCI STRONG LIQUIDITY POSITION IN AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER
UniCredit Group 1 month available liquidity(1)
(1) Calculated as: (sum of net liquidity inflows in the timeframe) + (securities eligible for discount to the ECB, marketable repoable securities)
2 Apr 16 Apr 30 Apr 14 May 28 May 11 Jun 25 Jun 9 Jul 23 Jul 6 Aug 20 Aug 3 Sep 17 Sep
Strong increase of intra-group liquidity flows in August (+61.2% m/m), reducing need to access the market
Money Market prices in the Internal liquidity market always below Euribor
60
100
140
Indexfigure
Sound and comfortable positive liquidity gap, even after August 07 crisis
11
AS A RESULT OF MARKET TURMOIL BANKING FUNDING COST HAS GONE UP
1)1) Funding mix does not consider the Core Tier I because its cost is not directly affected by the liquidity crisis
2)2) Spreads are derived from secondary market. Because of current market high volatility they could change substiantially from day to day
Funding mix (1) Spreadsante crisis
Spreadspost crisis
Average Spread 14bp Average Spread 54bp
+40bp (2)
Senior 5Y 95.61%
Preference shares 1.05%
Tier II 3.34%
Senior 12bp
Preference shares 80bp
Tier II 33bp
Senior 50bp
Preference shares 210bp
Tier II 118bp
FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY
12
UNICREDIT ANSWER TO CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS:KEY INITIATIVES
Focus of Funding Strategy:
Concentrate on collateralized funding sources like Pfandbriefe (Eur Jumbo) and Italian covered bond
Strengthen/continue diversification of funding sources
Manage higher funding cost going forward
Manage actively our assets base and re-price
Push to ensure “easy” liquidity transfer across the Group
Increased value of retail deposit base
13
AGENDA
UniCredit Funding Model
US Sub-prime and Conduit exposure
14
Euro mlnTotal
Unicredit Group
On balance
US sub-prime RMBS 127
CDO with partial sub-prime 139
of which equity tranches/income notes 11
Retained interest 11
Total on balance 277
Off balance 77
Total 354
Exposure to US sub-primes:
RMBS collateralized by US sub-prime mortgages (mainly vintage, 2002-2003), still AAA rated
CDO with sub-prime collateral: 90% still investment grade, 70% AA or better at the end of August
Retained interest held by Pioneer
NEGLIGIBLE EXPOSURE FOR UNICREDIT TO US SUB-PRIME…
RMBS: Residential Mortgage Backed SecuritiesCDO: Collateralized Debt Obligations(1) Off balance items include conduits with sub-prime exposure and investments in SIVs(2) On Unicredit reported total regulatory capital as of June 07
(1)
Exposure equivalent to 0.8% total regulatory capital(2)
15
8.5
6.2
14.3
July 07 Aug 07 5 Sep 07 Feb 08E
… AND TO CONDUIT BUSINESS
Very quick response to market turmoil by reducing Bavaria TRR assets from 14 to 6 Euro bn
Bavaria TRR exposure, Euro bnEuro bn
HVB sponsored conduits
Size as of 29 Aug-07
Type of Conduit
Liquidity line
HVB Liquidity line
Letter of Credit
Arabella 1.8 Customer Yes 1.84 0.18
Salome 1.1 Customer Yes 1.12 0.69
Black Forest* 0.8 Customer Yes 0.82 0.35
Maximillian* 0.8 Arbitrage Yes 0.82 0.04
BUFCO* 1.1 Arbitrage Yes 1.13 0.10
Bavarian TRR* 6.2 TRR No - -
Total 11.8 5.73 1.36
* US $ denominated; €/$ 1.365 ratio
Bavarian TRR as of Sept 5
Extremely low exposure to 3rd parties conduits: total liquidity lines provided by HVB/BA-CA ~0.55 bn
0(1)
(1) Total Rate of Return Conduit
16
ANNEX
17
273229
343338
130140
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
5 years 7 years
2005
2006
Jun 07
Sep 07
813
17
1015
19
912
16
35
50
65
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
3 years 5 years 7 years
2005
2006
Jun 07
Sep 07
RECENT MARKET DEVELOPMENT TRIGGERED A SUBSTANTIAL WIDENING OF UCI CREDIT SPREADS ACROSS ALL PRODUCT CLASSES
SENIOR
LOWER TIER 2
RMBS(*)
UCI credit spreads have widened In line with peers across all product types
New issue spreads are even wider:
Deutsche B. eur 1.75 bn (Aa1/AA-) 10 year Senior + 65bp vs. 18bp
BNP eur 1 bn (Aa2/AA) 10 year Lower Tier II + 80bp vs. 30bp
BNP gbp 425 mln (Aa2/AA) 10nc5 Lower Tier II + 68bp vs. 25bp
Credit Suisse eur 1.0 bln (Aa1/AA-) 10 year Senior + 75bp vs. 18bp
Also under stabilized market conditions spreads will remain substantially above average levels within FY 2007
(*) Source UBS for 2003/2004: data are derived from issuance made by italian peers as no RMBS issuance were made by UCI
13 1515 1714 16
60
72
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
7 years 9 years
2005
2006
Jun 07
Sep 07