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MPAT TEMPEST EXPRESS (TE) 26

Pandemic Timeline

2-10 April 2015Nouméa, New Caledonia

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Ebola Pandemic 2015 Global Snapshot

The Ebola Pandemic continues to spread unchecked with cases being reported regularly throughout the North and South America, Europe, and the Middle East. Reported cases are in excess of 450 cases with 38 confirmed fatalities.

The epicentre remains Western and Central Africa with UN efforts via UNMEER and unilateral national responses from the US and UK (most notably) not effectively containing the spread.

Within the Asia Pacific, Ebola ‘s spread has until now remain limited to returning health care workers. Effective and strict travel restrictions and quarantine procedures in most regional countries, particularly the ASEAN nations, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand have limited reported cases to less than 50 cases and nil fatalities

2Dead – 18000 Infected – Over 40000

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• D-120: The Ebola Pandemic continues to worsen in Africa with over 40000 laboratory confirmed cases and 18000 deaths.

• D-40: A Fijian Contingent (RFMF, Police and Corrective Services) assigned to UNMISS in Southern Sudan returns home to Fiji at the end of its tour. Sudan in recent months experienced a number of reported Ebola related fatalities . The Fijian contingent was cleared by the Force RMO in Juba just prior to redeployment.

• D-30: The contingent is stood-down to clear post deployment leave. Within days numerous soldiers fall ill `symptomatic with an Influenza like illness.

• D-25: Numerous carers and family members soon also fall ill with flu like symptoms. Fatalities occur in Suva, Lautoka, Nadi and Sigatoka however Health officials do not initially suspect a virulent form of influenza or other contagion.

• D-20: More illnesses and deaths are reported and Fiji Health authorities in Suva identify a pattern emerging. They immediately call upon SPC influenza specialists in Fiji.

• D-16: SPC pandemic specialists assess that the illness may be Ebola. Lab results are sent to Melbourne, Australia for Level 3 testing. WHO generates a report for the UN.

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Regional Pandemic Timeline / Storyline

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Regional Pandemic Timeline / Storyline

•D-15: The Fijian Disaster Management Office establishes its National Emergency Operations Centre (NEOC) as the Fiji Health and disaster management system is quickly overwhelmed. Key capabilities such as first responders (including the RFMF) are falling ill, dying or being placed into quarantine. Instances of law and order issues emerge in major urban areas on Viti Levu as regular services including fuel and food distribution becomes less regular.

• D-14: Melborne Lab confirms Ebola with MoH and SPC.

•D-13: WHO report to the UN calls for immediate action to stem th tiud eof Ebola across the globe.

• D-12: With reports of Ebola being leaked by the media, Major Airlines and Cruise Line Companies announce that they are suspending services to Fiji after reports of Airport and Port employees in Nadi and Suva falling sick with Ebola. Expatriates and tourists call for evacuation and remain in quarantine at their homes and resorts on Viti Levu and the outlying islands.

• D-10: Govt of Fiji calls upon urgent military and NGO assistance as its Disaster Management Plan falls into disarray with the overwhelming number of issues.

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Regional Pandemic Timeline / Storyline

• D-9: The FRANZ agreement is enacted with France, Australia and New Zealand all making immediate offers of support to the Government of Fiji. Other nations also make offers of support to a multilateral regional response.

• Today: The Interim MNF HQ is established at FANC facilities in Noumea. A core planning team has been drawn together to commence planning for possible options for support to the RFMF and other Fijian government agencies. The highly politicized nature of military support to a pandemic response in the region has led to a number of nations offering general but unspecified support until the MNF Commander develops the plan.

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D-25: Initial reporting on Viti Levu

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50-250 Infected 10-50 Infected 1-10 Infected

SPC / NDMO EstimatesInfected – 18 approxDead – 2Daily Infection rate – 6 approx

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D-20: Coordinated reporting occurs

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50-250 Infected 10-50 Infected 1-10 Infected

SPC / NDMO EstimatesInfected – 300 approxDead – 30Daily Infection rate – 100 approx

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D-16: SPC Triggers WHO Report

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50-250 Infected 10-50 Infected 1-10 Infected

SPC / NDMO EstimatesInfected – 1000 approxDead – 100 approxDaily Infection rate – 300 approx

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D-10: Fiji Request for Assistance

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50-250 Infected 10-50 Infected 1-10 Infected

SPC / NDMO EstimatesInfected – 2200 approxDead – 220Daily Infection rate – 400 approx

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D-10: Fiji Request for Assistance

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50-250 Infected 10-50 Infected 1-10 Infected

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Today: MNF HQ Established

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50-250 Infected 10-50 Infected 1-10 Infected

SPC / NDMO EstimatesInfected – 6200 approxDead – 447Daily Infection rate – 400 approx

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WHO Projections – 90 to 120 Days

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50-250 Infected10-50 Infected 1-10 Infected

250-5000 Infected

WHO EstimatesInfected – 20000 approxDead – 2500+Daily Infection rate – 1000 approx