‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert...

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‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

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Foresight Projects Brain Science, Addiction and Drugs Cognitive Systems Flood and Coastal Defence Cyber Trust and Crime Prevention Exploiting the Electromagnetic Spectrum Detection and Identification of Infectious Diseases Intelligent Infrastructure Systems Tackling Obesities: Future Choices Sustainable Energy and the Built Environment Mental Capital and Mental Wellbeing

Transcript of ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert...

Page 1: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’

Jon Parke

Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop

15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Page 2: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

“Strengthen strategic policy making by embedding a futures approach across government.”

By:

•Understanding what futures might be possible

•Challenging presumptions

•Building a more robust approach to the future

UK Foresight Programme - Aim -

Page 3: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Foresight Projects

Brain Science, Addiction and Drugs

CognitiveSystems

Flood and Coastal

Defence

Cyber Trust and Crime Prevention

Exploiting the Electromagnetic Spectrum

Detection and Identification of Infectious Diseases

Intelligent Infrastructure Systems

Tackling Obesities: Future Choices

SustainableEnergy and the Built Environment

Mental Capital and Mental Wellbeing

Page 4: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Horizon Scanning

Major Projects

Foresight

Programme stakeholders

Research Base

Government

Civil Society

Page 5: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Project contributors

GCSA &SponsorMinister

ScienceAdvisers

GO-Science

team

MinisterialStakeholder

Group

GovernmentDepartments

ExpertAdvisers

UK and International

Experts

Civil Society

Page 6: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Project structure

Scoping

Evidence gathering - evaluating risk and response options

•Review of science and engineering•Futures techniques•Qualitative methods•Quantitative methods

Analysis and

Implica-tions

for policy

Action

18 months to 2 years

£0.5 to 1 million

Page 7: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Impact - UK

Influencing government policy eg:• Addressing multi-departmental targets – Obesities• Informing the UK Strategy for Information Assurance –

Cyber Trust and Crime PreventionInfluencing government spending decisions eg:

• Environment – flood defence budgets• Investment in technology development• Treasury – setting departments’ budgets

Influencing research agendas eg:• Government:Research Council:Business initiative - £12

million to fund R&D in intelligent transport systems• Research Council programmes – Infectious Diseases

and Cognitive Systems

Page 8: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Impact - InternationalNorth America

•Canadian Animal Health Strategy•US Centre for Disease Control and Prevention

China •Taihu Basin flooding project •Infectious Diseases - drivers

Africa•AU and Southern African Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance

EU •Nutrition Platform•European Centre for Disease Control

Page 9: ‘UK Foresight – A Living Programme’ Jon Parke Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop 15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.

Foresight Future Flooding Project USA: Expert Workshop

15 to 19 September 2008, Washington D.C.