UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
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Client-tailored solutions for what’s next UK & German Monthly Hotel Market Forecast June Highlights Presented by E-forecasting.com
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Monthly hotel forecasts for key UK and German markets. New reports launched as result of predictive intelligence collaboration between e-forecasting.com and HotStats. Hotel market forecasts highlights for April for following markets: Berlin, Birmingham, Bristol, Cardiff, Frankfurt, Glasgow, Liverpool, London, Manchester, Munich, Newcastle, Provincial UK and Total UK. This month's new addtional focus feature is the 'myhotel' customization which provides property level forecasts.
Transcript of UK and German June Monthly Hotel Forecast Highlights
Client-tailored solutions for what’s next
UK & German Monthly Hotel Market Forecast June Highlights
Presented byE-forecasting.com
Client-tailored solutions for what’s next
7/30/2013
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Monthly Hotel Forecasts
Launched in June 2013, e−forecasting.com released market Monthly Hotel Forecasts of key UK and German markets using HotStats historical data
More markets in Europe and MENA to follow in the coming months
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7/30/2013
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Current Forecast Markets
Berlin Birmingham Bristol Cardiff Frankfurt Glasgow Liverpool London Manchester Munich Newcastle Provincial UK Total UK
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4Monthly Hotel Forecast
Reports Historic hotel market data from powerful HotStats database 24 month forecast, 8 quarters out, 2 years out Key metrics: occupancy, ADR, RevPAR Proprietary hotel metrics:
– HIP - hotel industry pulse– HIL - hotel industry leading indicator– FTLI – foreign travel leading indicator– Monthly GDP
Additional econometric insights:– Labor market conditions– Inflation– Exchange and interest rates– Energy prices– Special events
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5Monthly Hotel Forecast
Reports – UPDATED FEATURE
‘myhotel’ add-on customization provides property level forecasts
Properties individual data is analyzed within market forecasts and each month clients receive these forecasts in addition to market level details
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6UK Hotel Market Forecast
June Report Highlights
UK countrywide 2 year forecast:– Increase 2% in 2014 and 2.2% in 2015– Long term economic growth = 2.2%
Monetary policy: no policy changes in previous month, all other key rates on hold
Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering Financial futures: US dollar and British
Pound mixed
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7UK Hotel Market Forecast
June Data Highlights UK HIP – up 2.5% UK HIL – up 0.1% Probability of upcoming recession: 33.1% UK Monthly GDP – up 0.2% UK FTLI up 0.1% Consumer prices up 2.9% Unemployment rate at 7.8% Consumer confidence up Business executives less optimistic Builders showing lower expectations
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UK Hotel Forecast Highlights
Market 2014 RevPAR Forecast
2015 RevPAR Forecast
Birmingham (0.2%) 1.9%
Bristol 0.2% 1.5%
Cardiff 1.3% 2%
Glasgow (1.8%) (4.2%)
Liverpool 4.4% 0.2%
London 0.2% (5.1%)
Manchester (1.9%) (1.6%)
Newcastle 6.9% 2.5%
Provincial UK (0.2%) (1.2%)
Total UK (2.3%) (1.7%)
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9German Hotel Market Forecast
June Report Highlights
German countrywide 2 year forecast:– Increase 1.7% in 2014 and 1.9% in 2015– Long term economic growth = 1.7%
Monetary policy: no policy changes in previous month, all other key rates on hold
Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering Financial futures: US dollar and Euro
mixed
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7/30/2013
10German Hotel Market Forecast
June Data Highlights German HIP – up 0.5% German HIL – up 0.1% Probability of upcoming recession: 22.5% German Monthly GDP – up 0.4% German FTLI up 0.2% Consumer prices up 2% Unemployment rate at 5.3% Consumer confidence up Business executives less optimistic Builders showing lower expectations
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11German Hotel ForecastJune Report Highlights
Market 2014 RevPAR Forecast
2015 RevPAR Forecast
Berlin (8.3%) 0.3%
Frankfurt (4%) (1.1%)
Munich (14.5%) 1.5%
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For More Information
Monthly hotel forecast highlights were taken from the June issue of Monthly Hotel Forecasts, please visit:– http://www.e-forecasting.com or email
[email protected] for subscription rates and queries on additional markets
