UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in...

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UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February – 1 March 2018

Transcript of UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in...

Page 1: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February –1 March 2018

Page 2: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

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0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

24%

28%

32%

36%

-

0.5

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Mortgage rates

Affordability ratio (X)

Income/Amortisation(x) Mortgage rates

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2.8 3.1 3.1 3.03.5

3.94.3

4.7 4.85.4

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.0

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Number of visitors (m)

-2.0%

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4.0%

6.0%

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GDP growth PCE growth

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23 25 26 27 28

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In US$bn

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Page 6: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

P545bnin total resources (end-Sep2017)

P140bnin total

revenues (2016)

4,231Hotel room keys

(2017)

2%Parent net

debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

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Page 7: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

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• Competitive strengths: property and consumer sectors.

• Future-proofing the business: iTownships – ilive. iwork. iplay. iconnect

Increasing share of dependable recurring income.Rentals contribute ~25% of MEG revenues and 50% of EBITDA.

Non-gaming revenues account for 15-20% of RWM net revenues.

Undertaking geographical expansion, both domestic and international.Ex-Metro Manila projects contribute ~30% of MEG real estate sales.

WMG accounts for ~30% of EMP revenues.

RWM is looking to launch Westside City Resorts World by 2020/21.

Going into hospitality, a new area of growth.

Pursuing infrastructure projects to promote connectivity and sustainability of Group property assets.

• Continued heavy capital spending to ensure future growth.

• Implementing prudential practices to keep balance sheet strong.

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Mactan Newtown Iloilo Business Park

iLive. iWork. iPlay. iConnect.

Uptown Bonifacio McKinley WestMcKinley Hill

Page 9: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

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Southwoods Mall

One West Campus

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200

400

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1,200

1,400

1,600

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851

1,510

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E

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E

273

525

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5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2016 2017

Project value (Pbn)

18.7

30.0

NCR Pampanga Cavite Laguna Batangas Iloilo

Bacolod Cebu Aklan Davao

88%71% 70%

12%29% 30%

2011 2015 2016Metro Manila Provincial

The Ellis

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Page 11: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

Looking to add 40-50 stores each year 11

Page 12: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

US$ 24PHP 120-140 (1L) € 10.95 12

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13Fundador store at Venice Grand Canal Mall Dalmore flagship store at Uptown Bonifacio

Page 14: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

• AGI is the country’s largest hotel developer, with widest selection of well-known international brands. Existing capacity 4,203 rooms: targeting to reach 12,000 capacity in five years

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191 rooms357 rooms391 rooms

128,000 sq.m. Gross Floor Area

Page 16: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

• The 5th leg of AGI that will handle infrastructure projects, particularly transport solutions around Metro Manila, key growth areas throughout the country and various AGI/MEG township developments.

• INFRACORP is expected to help transform MEG into a transit-oriented township developer.

• Its first project is Skytrain, a 1.88-km monorail that will connect MRT 3 Guadalupe Station to MEG township in Uptown Bonifacio.

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• AGI remains committed to a heavy capex to grow the business.• 60% of this year’s capex already spent in 9M2017.

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 9M 17

24 32

40

55 46

60

33

1

16

36 6 15

4

5

5

6

10

10 11 10

9

1.2

1.3

1.1

1.1 1.8 4.0

0.4

MEG EMP RWM GADC

31

55

87

72

7875

47

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• End-Sep2017 group borrowings stood at P177bn, mainly to fund capex, taking advantage of lower average cost of debt.

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0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M17

MEG EMP RWM

GADC Parent Group average

2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4 2 0 1 5 2 0 1 6 9 M 1 7

20 29 34 53 61 70

--

29

29 29

33

19 18

13

14

22

38

1 2

2

2

2

1

24 22

19

20

30

35

MEG EMP RWM GADC Parent & others

64 70

118

144

177

97

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• Group net debt/equity in end-Sep 2017 stood at 0.38x (vs 0.34x in end-2016).

• Parent net debt/equity remained low at 0.02x.

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-0.06x -0.16x

0.04x

0.18x

0.34x0.38x

-0.2x

-0.1x

0.0x

0.1x

0.2x

0.3x

0.4x

-50.0

-20.0

10.0

40.0

70.0

100.0

130.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M17

Net debt/equityNet debt (cash), Pbn

Net debt (cash) Net debt/equity

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9M2017 performance highlights

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• Group revenues -1% to P100.3bn; net income -8% to P10.2bn.• MEG: revenues +4% / profit +11%

• Driven by strong revenue growth in rentals and hotels; residential segment up due to faster completion rate.

• Broad-based improvement in pre-sales.

• Overall margin enhancement given changing income mix.

• EMP: revenues flat / profit -8%• Brandy sales steady helped by new product offerings; whisky sales grew 4%.

• Lower margins amid higher packaging costs, salaries and marketing expenses.

• RWM: revenues -24% / profit -98%.• Weighed down by June 2 incident; recovery underway.

• Non-gaming business up given higher hotel occupancy rate.

• GADC: revenues +13% / profit +19%.• Boosted by new stores, healthy same-store sales growth and economies of scale.

• Increased borrowings to fund ongoing capex, but financial gearing remains comfortable.

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P&L highlights (Pbn) 9M2017 9M2016 % chg Comments

Group revenues 100.3 101.6 -1%

Megaworld 36.5 35.2 4% Robust growth in rentals; higher project completion.

Emperador 27.5 27.6 0% Continued in growth in whisky sales; contribution

from new product offerings support brandy sales.

Travellers 15.8 20.8 -24% Weighed by June 2 incident, ramping up casino

business; hotel/MICE operations continued to do well.

GADC 18.7 16.5 13% 5.8% systemwide SSSG; active store expansion.

Others 2.0 1.5 32%

Group costs/expenses (80.6) (80.0) 1%

Megaworld (23.2) (23.2) 0% Cost of sales steady; modest growth in cash opex.

Emperador (22.2) (21.7) 2% Higher packaging costs, salaries, marketing spend.

Travellers (15.5) (17.7) -12% Drop in casino-related expenses but higher interest.

GADC (17.2) (15.3) 12% Increases in COGS, G&A expenses.

Others (2.5) (2.0) 24%

Net income to owners 10.2 11.0 -8%

Megaworld 6.7 6.0 11% Changing profit mix buoys overall margins.

Emperador 3.7 4.0 -8% Improved whisky margins pared the profit decline.

Travellers 0.0 1.3 -98% Includes P321m in losses from casualty.

GADC 0.5 0.4 19% Achieving economies of scale with store growth.

Others (0.6) (0.6) -1%

Net profit margin 10.1% 10.9% -73bps

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MEG, P36.5bn,

36%

EMP, P27.5bn,

27%

RWM, P15.8bn,

16%

GADC, P18.7bn,

19%

Others, P2.0bn,

2%

MEG EMP RWM GADC Others

P100.3bn -1%

MEG, P6.7bn,

62%

EMP, P3.7bn,

34%

GADC , P0.5bn,

4%

MEG EMP RWM GADC

P10.2bn -8%

Page 24: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

9M2017 performance highlights

Page 25: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

sqmcommercial

GLA

BPO clients

sqm office GLA

hectares landbank

townships

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Page 26: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

• Total revenues +5% YoY to P37.1bn.• Residential revenues +1% to P25.7bn (or 69% of total).

• Total realized gross profit +8% to P10.0bn with higher project completion.

• Growing share of projects outside of Metro Manila.

• Rentals +19% to P8.8bn (or 24% of total).

• Increasing share of rentals to 24% from 22% a year before.

• Rental income split: office 61% / commercial 39%.

• Rental GLA split: office 76% / commercial 24%.

• Hotel income +8% to P950m.

• Overall margin direction due to changing income mix.• Residential gross profit margin 45.4% from 46.1%.

• Rental EBIT margin 75.2% from 74.6%.

• Overall EBIT margin 39.0% from 37.1%.

• Net income +12% to P10.3bn.

• Net debt/equity in end-Sep2017 at 0.38x (vs 0.31x in end-2016).

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Page 27: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

8.2 8.3 8.8 7.8 8.3 8.4 8.9

2.4 2.6 2.6 2.4

3.0 3.0 3.1 0.3 0.3 0.30.3

0.3 0.3 0.3

Development Rental Hotels

10.8 11.211.8 11.6

10.511.8 12.3

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

25.7 25.3

9.1 7.6

0.9 0.8

Development Rental Hotels

35.7 33.8

+6%

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

1.9 2.1 2.71.8 2.0

2.7 2.6

1.72.0

2.0

2.0 2.2

2.3 2.30.10.1

0.0

0.10.1

0.1 0.1

Development Rental Hotels

3.7

4.24.7

4.23.9

5.1 5.0

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

7.3 6.7

6.8 5.7

0.2 0.2

Development Rental Hotels

14.312.5

+10%

16*Covers residential, rental and hotel operations only. Excludes financial and other income.

Page 28: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

74% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75%

10.0%

25.0%

40.0%

55.0%

70.0%

85.0%

-

0.7

1.4

2.1

2.8

3.5

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

EBIT margin

Rentals, EBIT (Pbn)

Total rentals Rental EBIT EBIT margin

28

46% 45% 47% 46% 46% 46% 45%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

RES, Gross profit (Pbn)

Gross profit margin

Real estate sales Gross profit Gross Profit Margin

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

1.7 2.02.4

3.0

1.92.4 2.4

0.91.2

1.10.8

1.0

1.2 1.1

Realised GP - current year Realised GP - prior years

2.6

3.13.5 3.5

3.8

2.9

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8

0.91.0 1.0 1.0

1.1 1.1 1.2

Office Commercial

2.32.5 2.5

2.9

2.62.9

3.5

3.0

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-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

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3.0

3.5

4.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

2.5

3.3 3.2

2.3

2.8

3.6 3.5

-0.08x-0.03x

0.07x

0.22x

0.31x0.38x

-0.2x

-0.1x

0.0x

0.1x

0.2x

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-10.0

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50.0

60.0

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M17

Net debt/ equity

Net debt (cash), Pbn

Net debt (cash) Net debt/equity

22% 21%

17%

22% 21%18%

21%

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Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

EBIT margin

Hotel revenue, EBIT (Pbn)

Hotel revenues Hotel EBIT EBIT margin

46% 45% 47% 46% 46% 46% 45%

74% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75%

22% 21%17%

22% 21%18% 21%

34%40%

37%

30%36%

43%39%

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

Devt GP margin Rental EBIT margin

Hotel EBIT margin Overall EBIT margin

Page 30: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

9M2017 performance highlights

Page 31: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

Distribution network

Consolidated Revenues(2016)

Sales offices nationwide

Total resources

(end-Sep2017)

1st Dalmore flagship store in the Philippines

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Page 32: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

• Consolidated revenues -1% to P27.6bn.• Brandy revenues stood at P19.5bn (or 71% of total).

• ‘New’ products lifted brandy sales in Q317; kept 9M2017 brandy sales steady.

• RTDs Hotshots, Smirnoff Mule and Andy Cola continued to gain market traction.

• Whisky revenues reached P8.1bn (or 29% of total).

• Whisky sales +4% in 9M2017 driven by increased sales of Dalmore, Jura and Whyte & Mackay labels in UK, Travel Retail, US, Asia and Greater Europe.

• Overall margin direction amidst higher packaging costs, salaries, selling and marketing expenses.• GP margin to 32.5% from 33.4%.

• Brandy GP margin to 33.5% from 35.9%; Whisky GP margin to 27.5% from 27.2%.

• EBITDA margin to 23.0% from 25.7%.

• Net profit margin to 16.1% from 17.7%.

• Net income -10% to P4.4bn helped by lower interest, income taxes.

• Net debt/equity in end-Sep2017 at 0.45x (vs 0.37x in end-2016).

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Page 33: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

6.7 6.7 6.69.4

6.5 6.4 6.6

2.2 2.7 3.0

3.7

2.4 2.8 2.9

Brandy Whisky

9.0

13.1

9.59.48.9 9.1

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

1.2

1.9

1.2

2.4

1.2 1.0 1.3

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.3 0.2

0.4

Brandy Whisky

1.5

2.8

1.5

2.0

1.41.2

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9.5

1.7

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

19.5 20.0

8.1 7.9

Brandy Whisky

27.927.6-1%

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

3.5 4.2

0.9 0.7

Brandy Whisky

4.94.4

-10%

Page 34: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

6.6 6.3 6.5

10.2

6.5 6.2 6.4

2.2 2.7 2.9

3.6

2.4 2.7 2.7

Brandy Whisky

9.0

13.7

9.49.08.8 8.8

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

2.1 2.6 2.2

4.9

2.3 2.1 2.1

0.6 0.7 0.8

1.0

0.7 0.7 0.7

Brandy Whisky

3.0

5.9

3.13.32.7 2.9

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9.2

2.8

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

19.1 19.4

7.9 7.8

Brandy Whisky

27.227.0 -1%

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

6.6 7.0

2.2 2.1

Brandy Whisky

9.18.8

-4%

Page 35: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

32% 42% 34%

48%

35% 34%31%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0

10.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

GP marginSales, GP (Pbn)

Brandy sales Gross profit GP margin

28%25%

29% 29% 29%28% 26%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

GP marginSales, GP (Pbn)

Whisky sales Gross profit GP margin

-0.60x

-0.55x

-0.78x

-0.13x

-0.00x

0.37x 0.45x

-1.1x

-0.8x

-0.5x

-0.2x

0.1x

0.4x

0.7x

(30.0)

(20.0)

(10.0)

-

10.0

20.0

30.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M17

Net debt/ equity

Net debt (cash), Pbn

Net debt (cash) Net debt/equity

35

31%

37%33%

43%

34% 33%31%

20%

27%23%

28%

22%19%

22%

16%

22%

16%

21%17%

13%

18%

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

GP margin EBIT margin Net income margin

Page 36: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

9M2017 performance highlights

36

Page 37: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

EBITDA (2016)

Total Resources (end-Sep2017)

Gross Revenues (2016)

gaming tables (end-

Sep17)

retail outlets

hotel rooms

sqmretail space

Seating Capacity

MGB

Slots (end-

Sep17)

hotel occupancy

rate (9M17)

37

Page 38: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

• Net revenues -24% to P14.4bn weighed by the June 2 incident.• Gross gaming revenues -29% to P12.8bn due to lower gaming capacity while

RWM ramps up casino operations in Q317.

• Non-gaming revenues +5% to P2.9bn, boosted by healthy hotel and MICE operations; average hotel room occupancy rates at 78%.

• Visitation has recovered: Q317 average daily visitors reached 23k; 25k in 9M17.

• EBITDA stood at P2.6bn in 9M17 (from P4.9bn in 9M16).

• Margin direction due mainly to decline in gaming capacity. • GP margins 48.3% from 53.2%

• EBITDA margins 16.5% from 23.4%

• EBIT margins 7.4% from 17.5%

• Net loss of P37m, inclusive of P321m in losses from casualty.

• Net debt/equity in end-Sep2017 at 0.35x (vs 0.19x in end-2016).

38

Page 39: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

5.66.2 6.2

5.6 5.34.0 3.6

1.00.9 0.9

1.11.1

0.90.9

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

Gross gaming Non-gaming

6.36.7

7.26.6

4.9

7.1

39

4.5

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

12.8 18.0

2.9

2.8

Gross gaming Non-gaming

20.8

15.7

-24%

3.7 3.8 3.5 3.7 4.0

2.6 2.6

1.92.4 2.7 1.9 1.2

1.4 1.0

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

Mass VIP

5.35.6

6.26.25.6

4.03.6

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

9.2 11.0

3.6

7.0

Mass VIP

18.0

12.8

-29%

Page 40: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

52%54%

53% 51% 52%

48%

44%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

GP marginGP (Pbn)

Gross profit Gross profit margin

40

21% 22%

26%23% 22%

16%

9%

0%

6%

12%

18%

24%

30%

-

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

EBITDA marginEBITDA (Pbn)

EBITDA (Pbn) EBITDA margin

0.10x 0.11x

-0.24x -0.11x

0.05x

0.19x

0.35x

-0.50x

-0.30x

-0.10x

0.10x

0.30x

0.50x

(10.0)

(5.0)

-

5.0

10.0

15.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M17

Net debt/ equity

Net debt (cash), Pbn

Net debt (cash) Net debt/equity

-

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

19 19 18 20 20 16 15

8 9 8 9 9

8 8

292926

2827

2423

Page 41: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

9M2017 performance highlights

Page 42: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

In sales revenues (2016)

Systemwide same-store sales growth (9M 2017)

dessert centers (2016)

McDelivery hubs (2016)

42

Page 43: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

• Sales revenues grew at a healthy clip of +13% to P18.5bn.– Sales by company-owned stores (90% of total): +12% to P16.7bn.

– Rent, royalty & others (10% of total): +17% to P1.8bn.

– Systemwide same-store sales growth +5.8% YoY (6.8% in 3Q17).

– Number of stores by end-Sep2017: 547 vs 500 a year before.

– Average sales per store +5% YoY.

• Margin direction given economies of scale.– GP margin 22.9% from 22.5%.

– EBITDA margin 13.0% from 12.8%.

– EBIT margin 8.6% from 7.8%.

– Net profit margin 5.3% from 5.0%.

• Net income +19% to P966m.

• Net cash position further improved.

43

Page 44: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

21% 23% 23% 28% 23% 22% 24%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

Gross profit margin

Revenues, GP (Pbn)

Sales revenues Gross profit Gross profit margin

44

23% 22%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

- 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0

10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0

9M17 9M16

Gross profit margin

Revenues, GP (Pbn)

Sales revenues Gross profit Gross profit margin

Q 1 1 6 Q 2 1 6 Q 3 1 6 Q 4 1 6 Q 1 1 7 Q 2 1 7 Q 3 1 7

4.7 5.1 5.0 5.7 5.3 5.6 5.7

0.5 0.5 0.5

0.5 0.6

0.6 0.6

Sales by company operated restaurants Rent, royalty & others

5.96.25.65.6

5.2

6.3 6.3

9 M 1 7 9 M 1 6

16.7 14.8

1.8 1.5

Sales by company operated restaurants Rent, royalty & others

16.418.5

+13%

Page 45: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

-0.24x -0.17x

-0.08x 0.04x

-0.03x

-0.19x

-0.62x -1.00x

-0.80x

-0.60x

-0.40x

-0.20x

0.00x

0.20x

(5.0)

(4.0)

(3.0)

(2.0)

(1.0)

-

1.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 9M17

Net debt/ equity

Net debt (cash) (Pbn)

Net debt (cash) Net debt/equity

45

6%

8%9%

8%8%

8%

10%

4%

5% 6%

7%

5%5%

6%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

-

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

MarginsEBIT, Net income (Pbn)

EBIT Net income EBIT margin Net profit margin

21%23% 23%

28%

23% 22%24%

11%13% 13%

14%13% 13% 13%

6%8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 10%

4%5% 6% 7%

5% 5% 6%

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

Gross profit EBITDA EBIT Net profit

9%8%

5% 5%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

9M17 9M16

MarginsEBIT, Net income (Pbn)

EBIT Net income EBIT margin Net profit margin

Page 46: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

46

7.2%

12.6%

3.5%

6.8%

5.3% 5.2%

6.8%7.2%

9.9%

7.7% 7.4%

5.3% 5.2% 5.8%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

SSSG quarterly SSSG end-of-period

484

494

500

520

526

533

547

440 460 480 500 520 540 560

Q116

Q216

Q316

Q416

Q117

Q217

Q317

9 9 9 10 10 10 11

18

1918

20

19

2019

15.0

16.0

17.0

18.0

19.0

20.0

21.0

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

Q116 Q216 Q316 Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317

Sales per store (Pm)

Systemwidesales (Pbn)

Systemwide sales (Pbn) Sales per store (Pm)

192 212 221 230 237

151168 180 202 2123542

4548 54

3035

3540

44

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2013 2014 2015 2016 9M17

NCR Luzon Visayas Mindanao

547520481

457408

Page 47: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

• 9M2017 mixed performance: property, QSR segments as key growth drivers, mitigating weaker gaming, liquor businesses.

• AGI continues to pursue the following growth initiatives: Ongoing build-up in office + commercial GLA.

Rental revenues to hit P20bn, rental GLA to reach 2m sqm by 2020.

Initiating more residential projects in high-growth areas. Backed by massive landbank outside of Metro Manila.

Continuing aggressive tourism thrust. Targeting 12,000 hotel room keys in next five years.

Launching new gaming and non-gaming facilities at RWM by 2018. Increasing market penetration for McDonald’s. Expanding liquor product portfolio, a move towards premiumization. Initiating infra projects to enhance the Group’s overall value.

• Aggressive capex to continue but maintain healthy balance sheet. 47

Page 48: UBS Philippines CEO/CFO Forum 28 February 1 …P545bn in total resources (end-Sep2017) P140bn in total revenues (2016) 4,231 Hotel room keys (2017) 2% Parent net debt/equity (end-Sep2017)

Thank you.

48