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Transcript of UBS Financials Conference The quest for positive “jaws” – balancing growth and efficiency 20...
UBS Financials Conference
The quest for positive “jaws” – balancing growth and efficiency
20 October 2006
www.liberty.co.za
Key performance indicators for Liberty
Retrospective drivers of revenues and costs
Opportunities for top line growth
Enhancing operational delivery and customer service
Driving capital management efficiency
Conclusion
Questions
Agenda
3
Key performance indicators
• Return on embedded value (ROEV)
• New business margins
• New business volumes
• Management expenses
• Headline earnings per share
• Net cash flows
• CAR cover
Opening the jaws drives growth in EV
Retrospective drivers of revenues (1970’s – early 1990’s)
• High interest rates, high inflation
• Lower penetration of life products growth
• Consumerism all but non existent
• Tax advantages for life wrapped products
• Limited competition from non-assurance companies
• Strong, well remunerated sales forces
• Strong collaborative relationship with policymakers
Clearly times have changed. Has the industry been slow to adapt?
As good as it gets
Retrospective drivers of revenues – Liberty
XCost focus
• Increasing complexity of operational environment
• Duplication of resources from siloed business units
Cost and inefficiencies are tolerated in high inflationary and growth environments
Drives costs
Source: 1970, 1980, 1990 data – SARB Quarterly Bulletin; (2000 data – LOA).
• Strong sales growth in an inflationary environment
10.3%
14.6%
9.3%
5.2%
16.2%
27.6%
20.5%
4.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Average inflation Average premium growth
Growth in life assurance premiums vs inflation
Strong sales and cost growth
The jaws of the crocodile
Historical ShapeC
um
ula
tive
pe
rce
nta
ge
ch
an
ge
Time
Premiums
Costs
Pre 2005
Weaker life sales, flat cost growth
The jaws of the crocodile
Cu
mu
lativ
e p
erc
en
tag
e c
ha
ng
e
Time
Current Shape2006
Premiums
Costs
Historical shape
The jaws of the crocodile
Future Shape
2007 onwards
Sales
Costs
Cu
mu
lativ
e p
erc
en
tag
e c
ha
ng
e
Original historical shape
Time
Improved sales, … slower than the past; rigorous focus on costs
The jaws of the crocodile
Time
Premiums
Costs
Historical shape (pre 2005)
Time
Current shape (2006)
Cu
mu
lativ
e p
erc
en
tag
e c
ha
ng
e
Cu
mu
lativ
e p
erc
en
tag
e c
ha
ng
e
Historical shape
Premiums
Costs
Time
Future shape (2007 onwards)
Historical shape
Cu
mu
lativ
e p
erc
en
tag
e c
ha
ng
e
Sales
Costs
Strong sales and cost growth Weaker life sales, flat cost growth
Improved sales, … slower than past; rigorous focus on costs
The jaws will open
Top jaw dropping … preserving our basis for growth
Development of SA savings industrytotal business (incl. money market)
Source: Citigroup
(a) incl retail and institutional assets
Source: SARB, Deutsche Bank
Unit trust savings have outgrown life insurance premiums over the past three years
Off-balance sheet sales for the life industry have significantly outstripped on-balance sheet sales since
2003
22%
Rbn
0
100
200
300
400
44%63%
87% 79% 74% 75%
101%
165%
96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
187%
Unit trust deposits
Life insurance premiums
UT vs Life (%)
Development of SA life companynew savings business (ex money market) (a)
45
2003 2004 2005
Life on-balance sheet
Asset management off-balance sheet
Total
Rbn
0
40
80
120
160
48
93
46
75
120
55
94
149
Strengthening the top jaw
Defensive: prevents significant value leakage resulting from fundamental shift in Liberty’s market
Growth: provides product and distribution opportunities
Focus on building an equity franchise
Proposed acquisition of 100% of STANLIB is the most appropriate response
Sustainable asset acquisition costs
Maintaining sustainable operating margins is a key profitability requirement. A significant component of this relates to evolving the
distribution and sales structures into models which provide for long term sustainable asset acquisition costs
• Costs of distribution and sales to be more closely linked to the general sales environment
• Facilitate migrations from expensive to cheaper channels
• Differentiated service models – not “one size fits all”
• Customer and intermediary touch points through technology solutions
• Distribution and sales process
Opportunities for top line growth – sustainable asset acquisition cost
Opportunities for top line growth – Bancassurance
• Driven at strategic level
• Leverage current model more broadly
• Representation in branch structure
• Review of consultant profile and remuneration
• Technology enabled sales processes
• Senior staff seconded to Bank for simple product
Standard Bank customer base still represents substantial opportunity
Penetration 700 selling to
8 million
Opportunities for top line growth –
• Optimal product portfolio to widest IFA footprint
• Optimise overlap issues in IFA
• “Single selling message irrespective of wrapper”
• Alleviate product and channel competition in SBFC and Tied force
• Integrated wealth offering at bank branch level
• Combined and integrated direct model
• Integration of corporate benefit sales with Stanlib institutional sales
• Combined approach to Africa
Opportunities for top line growth Alternative models
Opportunities exist to broaden our distribution reach where we:
• Do not wish to build distribution
• Are unable to penetrate market segments
• Wish to convert a component of fixed cost to variable cost
• Require flexibility on human resource and remuneration practices
Operational challengesA snapshot
Poor productivity in processing
#MedianLiberty
Org
an
isat
ion
s
Commissions
Sales Reward System (Intermediary Level)
PINBALLProcessing Layer, Underwriting and Reassurance
Blueprint Online
Enquiries, Quotes, New Business and Servicing
Blueprint Mobile
Enquiries, FNA, Quotes, New Business and Servicing
Conventional Life Lifestyle Annuities CompassClient(PDB)
Cashiering Payments Tax
Call Centre / IVRwww.Liberty.co.za
IWSCHOQS
JNBLegOW
SRS/Other
Comms
LibertyActive
Caliber
ILANGAEnquiriesComms
Hyphen
Complex operating environment
• From 13 main systems to 4
• Currently +50 interfaces to Compass
• Detailed project plans for conversions in place
• Significant opportunity to improve productivity
• Individual ahead of corporate
• People, process and technology
Enhancing operational delivery and customer service
PAST / TODAY
• Reaction to consumerism led to increased operating costs and service burden
• Meeting policyholder service led to deferral of key improvements in intermediary service
• Improved ease of doing business will enhance sales productivity
• Largely an undifferentiated service model
• Complicated legacy environment
Enhancing operational delivery and customer service
TODAY / FUTURE
• Re-balance spend to provide differentiated service to intermediary
• Intermediary service spend should increase sales productivity partner of choice
• Cost savings delivered from service rationalisation
• Increased productivity through process and system rationalisation
• Ensure scalability and decreased time to market
Enhancing operational delivery and customer service
Increase productivity and prioritise service spend better
Get it right the first time
Better service at lower costs
Increase productivity and prioritise service spend better
Get it right the first time
Better service at lower costs
Detailed project plans, management structures and executive responsibility in place to ensure we deliver on our savings promise
Doing what’s right for the customer
Driving capital management efficiency
• Post Stanlib transaction we estimate excess capital at circa R1bn vs interim of R1.4bn
• Commenced risk based modelling to analyse right amount of capital for business
• T-CAR is quite onerous
• Further opportunity to gear the balance sheet
If we don’t need it we will return it to shareholders in the most effective way
The quest for positive jaws
Significant value add for shareholders
Drivers:
• Growth in sales:
– New
– In force
• Stringent cost control
• Improving capital management