u-blox Investor Presentation · Source: McKinsey The internet of things: Mapping the value beyond...
Transcript of u-blox Investor Presentation · Source: McKinsey The internet of things: Mapping the value beyond...
locate, communicate, accelerate
u-blox Investor Presentation
January 2017
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. Such forward looking statements reflect the current views of management and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the Group to differ materially from those expressed or implied herein.
Should such risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation.
u-blox is providing the information in this presentation as of this date and does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in it as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 2
Company Overview
Our vision
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 4
To be the leading supplier of high-quality
communications and positioning components in
The Internet of Things that Really Matter
The Internet of Things: Billions of devices waiting to be connected
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 5
Source: Geeny.io
Drones ~5 Mio
Pets ~0.5 bn
Cars ~0.5 bn
Laptops ~900 Mio
Bicycles ~1.3 bn
Kids ~1.8 bn
Parking Spaces ~1.2 bn
Hospital Beds ~1 Mio
Power Tools ~1.3 bn
u-blox: Enabling the Internet of Things (IoT)
• Founded in 1997
• Listed on the SIX Swiss Exchange since 2007 (SIX:UBXN)
• Global semiconductor player
• The only company focusing on wireless and positioning, with leading technology delivered as both integrated circuits and modules
• 2015 revenue CHF 338m; 2016 H1 revenue CHF 180m
• 2009-2015 compound annual growth 28%
• More than 800 employees worldwide (end of June 2016)
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 6
A global business
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 7
Revenue by geography / EBITDA in m CHF u-blox revenue split per market
Expanding the global reach
• Broad customer base with more than 5700 customers and significant market share
• Expanding customer base: customers in more than 66 countries worldwide
• Customer diversity: Top 60 customers in 25 countries
• No single customer responsible for more than 6% of total sales
• 15 sales offices; 14 R&D locations
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 8
5700
CUSTOMERS
WORLDWIDE
15
SALES OFFICES
66 COUNTRIES
WORLDWIDE
Strong product line-up for IoT
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 9
Positioning Cellular
Communication Short Range
Communication
Integrated Circuits
Modules
Services and Solutions
CellLocate®
AssistNowTM
Correction Data
Reference Designs
Maker boards
• u-blox technology is available in a unique combination of chips and modules
• This combination provides for a inimitable market positing and drives our profitability
u-blox leading connectivity technology for the Internet of Things that Really Matter
• u-blox solves the What, Where and When of the IoT
• What – the data transmitted
• Where – the device located
• When – the time the data was captured
• u-blox unique technology
• Technology leader in GNSS based positioning and timing
• Strong intellectual property in GNSS, LTE, BT and Wi-Fi
• Driving connectivity technology for adoption to IoT
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 10
u-blox plays in the high growth markets
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 11
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, November 2016
• The mobile phone market has plateaued
• The future growth lies in both, wide-area and short-range IoT applications
They are u-blox heartland
Connected devices (billions)
u-blox target markets
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Ever expanding Mobility index
Mobility and the Cloud economics drive our markets for IoT (1)
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 12
Source: The Economics Of The Cloud, Microsoft
Strong scale economies in the Cloud
• The mobility of people continues to increase year on year
• Cost of data processing in the cloud decreases exponential with volume
These forces work hand in hand giving a multiplier effect for IoT
80% reduction of total
cost of ownership
TC
O/S
erv
er
(at
avera
ge
uti
lizati
on
)
# of Servers in Public Cloud
Source: Transport Outlook 2011, OECD
Mobility and the Cloud economics drive our markets for IoT (2)
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 13
Internet Cloud
Sensors & Actuators Content
Mobility
Rover
Infrastructure
Mobility and the Cloud economics drive our markets for IoT (3)
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 14
Internet Cloud
Sensors & Actuators Content
Mobility
Rover
Infrastructure
Source: u-blox estimates
400m BLE (Bluetooth Low
Energy) beacons shipping in
2021
90m cars sold with USD300
electronic components
content by 2020
65m smart meters
installed by 2020
20b connected devices
by 2020
The Internet of Things that Really Matter – IoT market will become large
• M2M deployments to grow strongly
• Price points to decline
• Strong integration into
chipset feasible for cellular
M2M modems
This is the opportunity for
u-blox in-house silicon
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 15
Source: ABI research 2016 Cellular M2M
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Cellular M2M
LTE Cat-1 LTE Cat-M NB-IoT
millions of units
Our Focus
Four IoT focus areas for u-blox
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 17
Connected vehicle Connected city Connected industry
Adaptive cruise control shipments to be 80 million by 2025
7.7 million truck platoon systems to ship by 2025
Over 246 million connected auto infotainment systems to ship between 2015-2020 (Source: ABI research, 2016)
600 million Smart home device shipments by 2021
Home care robotics to revenue to quadruple to $6 Billion by 2025
46 million Connected street lights by 2021
Smart meter connections to exceed 789 million by 2021
(Source: ABI research, 2016)
Goods tracking market to swell to $5.6 Billion in 2021
From 2014 to 2020, the number of connected industrial controllers will triple; growing at an average rate of 20%
Global wireless sensor network market expected to grow to $1 Billion by 2020
Source: (Technavio 2016)
Connected consumer
Massive use of smart phones: 3.9 Billions in 2016 will grow to 6.8 Billions in connected consumers in 2022 with many regions having more subscriptions than people
100 million BT connected sports and wellness devices and 250 million Wi-Fi connected flat screen TVs and set top boxes by 2020
Global wearable market expected to grow to $5.8 Billion by 2018
Source: (Ericsson Mobility Report November 2016, ABI Wireless IoT and Cellular 2016 & Statista 2016 )
The IoT focus areas offer vast potential
• Attractive value of connectivity and positioning in the four IoT segments
• Expected CAGR of 19.2% from 2015 to 2025
• Especially the potential of smart factories (Industry 4.0) is very large
• The size of the economical benefits will drive investments
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 18
Source: McKinsey The internet of things: Mapping the value beyond the hype. 2015
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
Vehicle City Industry Consumer
$ b
illio
ns
Connectivity value by 2025
Low estimate High estimate
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Vehicle City Industry Consumer
$ b
illio
ns
Positioning value by 2025
Low estimate High estimate
Connected vehicle
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 19
Automated parking
technology to grow by 30% CAGR over next decade
7.7 million truck platoon systems to ship by 2025
Over 246 million connected
auto infotainment systems to
ship between 2015-2020 (Source: ABI research, 2015)
u-blox applications
• ADAS
• Car connectivity
• Driving recorder
• Emergency call
• In-car navigation
• Insurance box
• Mobile gaming
• Road pricing
• Stolen vehicle recovery
• Vehicle telematics
• Vehicle tracking
• Infotainment
• V2X
The future of the connected vehicle
Slide 20 © u-blox Holding AG
2015 2020 2025 2030
Basic V2X
Communication
• Roadwork warning
• Emergency Vehicle Warning
• Traffic-jam warning
• Post-crash warning
Fusion of V2X and
Sensor Data
• ACC-Adjustment
• Lane Change Warning
• Simple Merge-In warning
Fully Developed
Situation Analysis
• Advanced Merge-in assistance
• Hazardous Area Warning
• Platoon start at intersection
Active Coordination
• Highly Automated Driving
• Cooperative Merging
• Overtaking Assistance
V2X Basis Data Fusion Collective Perception Cooperative
Agreements
Wireless connectivity and high precision positioning enable the autonomous car.
Connected city
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 21
600 million Smart home
device shipments by 2021
Home care robotics to
revenue to quadruple to $6 billion by 2025
46 million connected street
lights by 2021
Smart meter connections to
exceed 789 million by 2021
(Source: ABI research, 2016)
u-blox applications
• Point of sales
• Home entertainment
• Metering
• Mobile hotspot & router
• Street light systems
• Traffic management system
• Waste & water management
The future of the connected city
Slide 22 © u-blox Holding AG
2015 2020 2025 2030
Smart meters
• Power balancing
• Supply stability
• Network management
Smart
infrastructure
• Adaptive capacity
• Preventive maintenance
2000W community
• Power and energy control
• Optimizing supply and demand
• Reduction of losses
Autonomous public
transport
• More granular transport capacity
• Adaptive capacity
• Reduction of foot print
Collective
Perception System adoptions Deep change Optimization
Cellular and positioning technology are the route to connected infrastructure.
Connected industry
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 23
Goods tracking market to
swell to $5.6 billion in 2021
From 2014 to 2020, the
number of connected industrial controllers will
triple; growing at an
average rate of 20%
Global wireless sensor network market expected to
grow to $ 1 billion by 2020
Source: (Technavio 2016)
u-blox applications
• Asset tracking
• Aviation & UAV
• Healthcare
• Industrial terminal
• Machine control
• Monitoring & control
• Router and gateway
• Security
• Farming
• Fleet management systems
The future of the connected industry
Slide 24 © u-blox Holding AG
2015 2020 2025 2030
Cloud and agility
• Smart service
• Customer feedback
• Self learning
Smart Engineering
• Digital collaboration
• Digital modeling
Smart Factory
(Industry 4.0)
• Integrated planning
• Proactive maintenance
• Process automation
• Product lifecycle
Digital Marketing
• CRM
• Omni channel presence
• Self service portals
• Dynamic pricing
Agility Fast loop Closed loop Cooperative loop
Wireless technology makes the things that matter connected.
Connected consumer
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 25
Massive use of smart phones:
3.9 billion in 2016 will grow to
6.8 billion in connected
consumers by 2022 with many
regions having more
subscriptions than people
100 million BT connected sports
and wellness devices by 2020
250 million Wi-Fi connected flat
screen TVs and set top boxes by
2020
Global wearable market
expected to grow to $5.8
billion by 2018
Source: (Ericsson Mobility Report November 2016, ABI Wireless IoT and Cellular 2016 & Statista 2016 )
u-blox applications
• Child tracking
• Pet tracking
• Fitness
• Cameras
• Watches
• Toys
• Personal health
The future of the connected consumer
Slide 26 © u-blox Holding AG
2015 2020 2025 2030
Social Media
• Media landscape reshuffled
• Immense information flow
• Internet giants dominate
Smart sensing
• Immense data gathering
• Extraction of features and patterns
• Fast feed-back
Augmented Reality
• Seamless merging of virtual and real world
• Broader access to relevant information on the spot
Artificial intelligence
• Delegating tasks to personal agents
• Agents learns and anticipates users needs
Sharing Intelligence
gathered Deeper involved
Enhanced
capabilities
Wireless technology and position sensors make the consumer connected.
Highly automated driving calls for
Dead reckoning and high
integrity
Inspection drones call for
Decimeter accuracy
Cellular infrastructure calls for
Precision timing
Personal tracking call for
Ubiquitous positioning
In car infotainment calls for
High-bandwidth cellular
Water, waste, lighting, etc call for
Low whole-life cost: NB-IoT
Asset tracking, fleet mgt
call for
Global coverage
Consumer devices call for
Low and high bandwith
connectivity
Highly automated driving calls for
Vehicle to Vehicle comms
Point of Sale, smart home call for
Multi-standard solutions
Sensor networks
call for
Intelligent gateways
The quantified self call for
Low power connectivity
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 27
Leading u-blox IP for the IoT focus markets
Positioning technology
• Standard precision products
• Meter level accuracy
• Suitable for most applications
• High tracking sensitivity
• Low power consumption
• High precision products
• Centimeter to decimeter level accuracy
• Suitable for a range of new applications
• Dead Reckoning products
• 100% positioning coverage incl. tunnels
and urban canyons
• For road-vehicle applications
• Timing & Frequency products
• For stationary and time, or frequency
synchronization
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 28
LEA
17 x 22.4 mm2
CAM
9.6 X 14 mm2
NEO
12.2 x 16 mm2
EVA
7 x 7 mm2
MAX
9.7 x 10.1 mm2
u-blox module form factors – de-facto industry standards
High precision for the mass market
Communication link
Base
NEO-M8P-2
Rover
NEO-M8P-0
Cellular
• Extensive range of cellular modules for
GSM, UMTS and CDMA
• Global coverage; competitive
specification, common physical
footprint and software APIs
• High performance multi-mode LTE
modules
• Global certifications, Cat 4 & Cat 6
performance with higher categories to
follow, automotive specification
options
• Low data-rate single-mode LTE, NB-IoT
and RPMA modules
• Leading edge products, first to market
in many territories
• Aimed at IoT applications
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 29
Short-Range technology
• Bluetooth Low Energy for low data rates
• BT 4.2
• Expansion; BT 5.0 and Mesh in 2017
• Wi-Fi for high data rates
• 802.11 a/b/g/n/ac
• Expansion; 2.4/5 GHz 802.11ax
• V2X modules for automotive applications
• Based on a variant of Wi-Fi (IEEE
802.11p)
• US legislation drives deployment for 2021 timeline
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 30
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Millio
ns
per
year
Positioning Cellular Short Range
Developing profitable growth
• On track to build a robust business
with three “legs”
• Positioning
• Cellular
• Short-Range
• Strong volume growth track
• Synergies between each area in the
key markets
• Combination of 3rd Party and u-blox
silicon provides a broad product range and scope for differentiation
© u-blox AG Slide 31
* acquisition of assets
modules
shipped
Neon Seven
Geotate
Fastrax
Signav*
4M Wireless
Cognovo
lesswire* antcor
connectBlue
AirSemi*
Fusion Wireless
Financial Outlook
Continuous growth and profitability (1)
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 33
Geographical revenue mix Application revenue mix
25.3%
Continuous growth and profitability (2)
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 34
Gross Profit trend EBIT trend
Outlook Goals
Slide 35 © u-blox Holding AG
• Grow business with new products
Wireless
• Expansion of module product line for 4G and LPWA
Positioning
• Business growth based on u-blox M8 and u-blox 8
• Attractive new products
Short Range
• Expansion of product line
• Growth driven by many IoT* applications
• Continued focus on strategic development
• Strengthening of the global presence
• Operational excellence for higher efficiency
*) Internet of Things
Financial performance prediction 2016 and guidance 2017
Slide 36 © u-blox Holding AG
• Continued business growth in 2017
• Impact by product mix on relative gross margin
• Natural hedging protects relative gross margin against foreign exchange variations
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
H1.2016
Prediction 2016 Guidance 2017*)
Revenue 338.3m 179.7m 360m 410m…425m
EBIT 51.3m 27.8m 56m…58m 60m… 65m
CHF CHF CHF CHF
+10% of USD EUR GBP
Revenue + 8.6% + 1.3% 0%
EBIT + 21.1% + 1.0% - 2.0%
• Exchange rate assumptions for 2017: EUR/CHF: 1.07 USD/CHF: 1.02 GBP/CHF: 1.23
• FX-sensitivity against CHF on Guidance 2017
*) This guidance is based on the absence of unforeseen economic adversity and exchange rates assumed at budget level
Key takeaways
u-blox positioned for profitable growth
Technology Leadership: investing to expand our technology roadmap and lead in GNSS and wireless technology for IoT
Consistent Execution: First to market with new products tailored to various applications
Focus and invest in key markets with a sustainable future
Control of the core technology
Growing organization to meet market demands
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 37
Corporate Information
Legal structure u-blox group u-blox Holding AG Thalwil, Switzerland
u-blox AG (Headquarter)
Thalwil, Switzerland
u-blox Singapore Pte. Ltd.
Singapore
u-blox Japan K.K.
Japan
u-blox Asia Pacific Ltd.
Hong Kong
100% 100% 100% 100%
u-blox Italia S.p.A. Italy
100%
u-blox Espoo Oy
Finland
100%
u-blox America, Inc.
USA
u-blox AG Beijing
representative office
Beijing
Representative office of u-blox Singapore Pte. Ltd. Taipei
u-blox Singapore Pte. Ltd. (Branch office) Seoul
Sales organization R&D entities
u-blox AG Shenzen
representative office
Shenzen Representative office of u-blox Singapore Pte. Ltd. Bangalore
Representative office of
u-blox Singapore Pte. Ltd. Sydney
u-blox AG Shanghai
representative office
Shanghai
100% u-blox UK Ltd.
UK
u-blox San Diego Inc. USA
100%
u-blox Luton Ltd. UK
100%
u-blox Melbourn Ltd. UK
100%
u-blox Lahore (Private) Pty.
Pakistan
100%
u-blox Melbourn Ltd. Leuven Branch
Belgium
100% u-blox Cork Ireland
u-blox Malmö Sweden
100% ConnectBlue Inc. USA
u-blox Athens
Greece
100%
u-blox Berlin Germany
100%
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 39
u-blox AG Chongqing representative office Chongqing
100%
Board of directors
Additional information – see Corporate Governance and Financial Report 2015 p. 8 - 13
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 40
Fritz Fahrni Chairman
Member NCC
André Müller Member AC
Prof. Gerhard Tröster Chairman NCC
Gina Domanig Dr. Paul van Iseghem Chairman AC
Thomas Seiler CEO
Jean-Pierre Wyss COO
Executive Committee
Additional information – see Corporate Governance and Financial Report 2015 p. 14 - 16
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 41
Thomas Seiler CEO
Head of Marketing and Sales
Jean-Pierre Wyss Executive Vice President
Head of Production and Logistics
Co-founder u-blox AG
Daniel Ammann Executive Vice President
Positioning Products
Co-founder u-blox AG
Andreas Thiel Executive Vice President
Wireless Products
Co-founder u-blox AG
Roland Jud CFO
Shares
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 42
Stock Exchange SIX Swiss Exchange
Swiss Security Number / ISIN 3336167 / CH0033361673
Ticker UBXN
Nominal value CHF 0.90
Shares issued 6'835'094 (December 31, 2016)
Market cap CHF 1.3 billion (December 31, 2016)
High / Low 52 weeks CHF 249.00/ CHF 162.30 (December 31, 2016)
Latest market price CHF 191.20 (December 31, 2016)
Analyst Coverage & Market making
Please note that any opinions, estimates or forecasts regarding u-blox' performance made by these analysts are theirs alone and do not represent opinions, forecasts or predictions of u-blox or its management.
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 43
Analysts
Zürcher Kantonalbank Andreas Müller
Credit Suisse Felix Remmers
Vontobel Michael Foeth
MainFirst Schweiz Michael Inauen
Bank am Bellevue Mischa Roelli
Kepler Chevreux Torsten Sauter
Baader/Helvea Günther Hollfelder
Julius Bär Bruno Winiger
Mirabeau Mark Diethelm
BRYAN, GARNIER & CO Dorian Terral
UBS Francesca Caramenti Market making Zürcher Kantonalbank
© u-blox Holding AG
Upcoming events
• Annual results 2016: March 16, 2017
• Annual General Meeting: April 25, 2017
Slide 44
Investor relations contact
Thomas Seiler
Chief Executive Officer
u-blox Holding AG
Zürcherstrasse 68
8800 Thalwil, Switzerland
Phone: +41 44 722 74 44
Fax: +41 44 722 74 99
E-mail: [email protected]
Roland Jud
Chief Financial Officer
u-blox Holding AG
Zürcherstrasse 68
8800 Thalwil, Switzerland
Phone: +41 44 722 74 44
Fax: +41 44 722 74 99
E-mail: [email protected]
© u-blox Holding AG Slide 45
Thank you!
locate, communicate, accelerate