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Two Wheelers in India
India, is the second largest producer of
two wheelers in the world. In the last few years,the Indian two-wheeler industry has seen
spectacular growth. The country stands next to
China and Japan in terms of production and
sales respectively.
Majority of Indians, especially the youngsters
prefer motorbikes rather than cars. Capturing alarge share in the two-wheeler industry, bikes
and scooters cover a major segment. Bikes are
considered to be the favorite among the youth
generation, as they help in easy commutation.
Large variety of two wheelers are available inthe market, known for their latest technology
and enhanced mileage. Indian bikes, scooters
and mopeds represent style and class for both
men and women in India.
Benefits of two wheelers
Two-wheelers are the most popular and highly
sought out medium of transport in India. The
trend of owning two-wheelers is due to its-
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Economical price
Safety
Fuel-efficient
Comfort level
However, few Indian bike enthusiasts prefer
high performance imported bikes. Some of the
most popular high-speed bikes are Suzuki
Hayabusa, Kawasaki Ninja, Suzuki Zeus, HeroHonda Karizma, Bajaj Pulsar and Honda
Unicorn. These super bikes are specially
designed for those who have a zeal for speedy
drive.
Browse through the pages and catch all the
details of high-performance two wheelers inIndia. Know more about latest launches and
happenings in two wheelers industry.
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Indian Two-Wheeler Industry
ICRA Sectoral Analysis - Jan 2005
INTRODUCTION
The Indian automotive industry consists of five
segments: commercial vehicles; multi-utilityvehicles & passenger cars; two-wheelers; three-
wheelers; and tractors. With 5,822,963 units sold
in the domestic market and 453,591 unitsexported during the first nine months of FY2005
(9MFY2005), the industry (excluding tractors)marked a growth of 17% over the correspondingprevious. The two-wheeler sales have witnessed a
spectacular growth trend since the mid nineties.
Two-wheelers: Market Size & Growth
In terms of volume, 4,613,436 units of two-
wheelers were sold in the country in 9MFY2005with 256,765 units exported. The total two-
wheeler sales of the Indian industry accounted foraround 77.5% of the total vehicles sold in the
period mentioned.
Figure 1
Segmental Growth of theIndian Two Wheeler
Industry (FY1995-2004)
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After facing its worst recession during the early
1990s, the industry bounced back with a 25%
increase in volume sales in FY1995. However, themomentum could not be sustained and sales
growth dipped to 20% in FY1996 and further downto 12% in FY1997. The economic slowdown in
FY1998 took a heavy toll of two-wheeler sales,with the year-on-year sales (volume) growth ratedeclining to 3% that year. However, sales picked
up thereafter mainly on the strength of an increasein the disposable income of middle-income salariedpeople (following the implementation of the Fifth
Pay Commission's recommendations), higheraccess to relatively inexpensive financing, and
increasing availability of fuel efficient two-wheelermodels. Nevertheless, this phenomenon proved
short-lived and the two-wheeler sales declinedmarginally in FY2001. This was followed by arevival in sales growth for the industry in FY2002.
Although, the overall two-wheeler sales increasedin FY2002, the scooter and moped segments faced
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de-growth. FY2003 also witnessed a healthygrowth in overall two-wheeler sales led by higher
growth in motorcycles even as the sales of
scooters and mopeds continued to decline. Healthygrowth in two-wheeler sales during FY2004 was ledby growth in motorcycles even as the scooterssegment posted healthy growth while the mopeds
continued to decline. Figure 1 presents thevariations across various product sub-segments of
the two-wheeler industry between FY1995 and
FY2004.
Demand Drivers
The demand for two-wheelers has been influenced
by a number of factors over the past five years.The key demand drivers for the growth of the two-
wheeler industry are as follows:
Inadequate public transportation syst
especially in the semi-urban and rural a Increased availability of cheap consumer f
in the past 3-4 years; Increasing availability of fuel-efficient an
maintenance models;
Increasing urbanisation, which creates a personal transportation;
Changes in the demographic profile Difference between two-wheeler and pas
car prices, which makes two-wheelers
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entrylevel vehicle; Steady increase in per capita income ov
past five years; and
Increasing number of models with diffefeatures to satisfy diverse consumer n
While the demand drivers listed here operate at
the broad level, segmental demand is influencedby segment-specific factors.
MARKET CHARACTERISTICS
Demand
Segmental Classification and Characteristics
The three main product segments in the two-
wheeler category are scooters, motorcycles andmopeds. However, in response to evolvingdemographics and various other factors, other
subsegments emerged, viz. scooterettes, gearlessscooters, and 4-stroke scooters. While the first two
emerged as a response to demographic changes,the introduction of 4-stroke scooters has followed
the imposition of stringent pollution control normsin the early 2000. Besides, these prominent sub-segments, product groups within these sub-segments have gained importance in the recent
years. Examples include 125cc motorcycles, 100-
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125 cc gearless scooters, etc. The characteristicsof each of the three broad segments are discussed
in Table 1.
Table 1Two-Wheelers: Comparative
Characteristics
ScooterMotorc
ycleMoped
Price*(Rs. asin January
2005)
>
22,000
>
30,000
>
12,000
Stroke2-stroke,4-stroke
Mainly4-stroke
2-stroke
Engine
Capacity (cc)90-150
100,
125, >125
50, 60
Ignition Kick/Electronic
Kick/Electronic
Kick/Electroni
c
Engine Power(bhp)
6.5-97-8 andabove
2-3
Weight (kg) 90-100 > 100 60-70
Fuel Efficiency
(kms per litre)
50-75 50-80+ 70-80
Load Carrying High Highest Low
*Ex-showroom MumbaiCompiled by INGRES
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Segmental Market Share
The Indian two-wheeler industry has undergone a
significant change over the past 10 years with thepreference changing from scooters and mopeds tomotorcycles. The scooters segment was the largesttill FY1998, accounting for around 42% of the two-
wheeler sales (motorcycles and mopeds accountedfor 37% and 21 % of the market respectively, that
year). However, the motorcycles segment that had
witnessed high growth (since FY1994) becamelarger than the scooter segment in terms of
market share for the first time in FY1999. BetweenFY1996 and 9MFY2005, the motorcycles segmentmore than doubled its share of the two-wheeler
industry to 79% even as the market shares ofscooters and mopeds stood lower at 16% and 5%,
respectively.
Figure 2
Trends in Segmental Share inIndustry Sales (FY1996-
9MFY2005)
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While scooter sales declined sharply by 28% in
FY2001, motorcycle sales reported a healthy
growth of 20%, indicating a clear shift in consumerpreference. This shift, which continues, has been
prompted by two major factors: change in thecountry's demographic profile, and technological
advancements.
Over the past 10-15 years the demographic profile
of the typical two-wheeler customer has changed.The customer is likely to be salaried and in the first
job. With a younger audience, the attributes thatare sought of a two-wheeler have also changed.Following the opening up of the economy and the
increasing exposure levels of this new targetaudience, power and styling are now as important
as comfort and utility.
The marketing pitch of scooters has typically
emphasised reliability, price, comfort and utilityacross various applications. Motorcycles, on the
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other hand, have been traditionally positioned asvehicles of power and style, which are rugged and
more durable. These features have now been
complemented by the availability of new designsand technological innovations. Moreover, highermileage offered by the executive and entry-levelmodels has also attracted interest of two-wheeler
customer. Given this market positioning ofscooters and motorcycles, it is not surprising that
the new set of customers has preferred
motorcycles to scooters. With better groundclearance, larger wheels and better suspension
offered by motorcycles, they are well positioned tocapture the rising demand in rural areas wherethese characteristics matter most.
Scooters are perceived to be family vehicles, which
offer more functional value such as broader seat,bigger storage space and easier ride. However,with the second-hand car market developing, a
preference for used cars to new two-wheelersamong vehicle buyers cannot be ruled out.
Nevertheless, the past few years have witnessed ashift in preference towards gearless scooters (that
are popular among women) within the scooterssegment. Motorcycles, offer higher fuel efficiency,greater acceleration and more environment-friendliness. Given the declining difference in prices
of scooters and motorcycles in the past few years,
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the preference has shifted towards motorcycles.Besides a change in demographic profile,
technology and reduction in the price difference
between motorcycles and scooters, another factorthat has weighed in favour of motorcycles is thehigh re-sale value they offer. Thus, the customer iswilling to pay an up-front premium while
purchasing a motorcycle in exchange for lowermaintenance and a relatively higher resale value.
Supply
Manufacturers
As the following graph indicates, the Indian two-
wheeler industry is highly concentrated, with threeplayers-Hero Honda Motors Ltd (HHML), Bajaj Auto
Ltd (Bajaj Auto) and TVS Motor Company Ltd(TVS) - accounting for over 80% of the industrysales as in 9MFY2005. The other key players in the
two-wheeler industry are Kinetic Motor CompanyLtd (KMCL), Kinetic Engineering Ltd (KEL), LML Ltd
(LML), Yamaha Motors India Ltd (Yamaha),Majestic Auto Ltd (Majestic Auto), Royal Enfield Ltd
(REL) and Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India (P)Ltd (HMSI).
Figure 3Shares of Two-Wheeler
Manufacturers in Industry Sales
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(FY2000-9MFY2005)
Although the three players have dominated themarket for a relative long period of time, theirindividual market shares have undergone a majorchange. Bajaj Auto was the undisputed market
leader till FY2000, accounting for 32% of the two-wheeler industry volumes in the country that year.
Bajaj Auto dominance arose from its complete hold
over the scooter market. However, as the demandstarted shifting towards motorcycles, the company
witnessed a gradual erosion of its market share.HHML, which had concentrated on the motorcyclesegment, was the main beneficiary, and almost
doubled its market share from 20% in FY2000 to40% in 9MFY2005 to emerge as the market leader.
TVS, on the other hand, witnessed an overalldecline in market share from 22% in FY2000 to18% in 9MFY2005. The share of TVS in industry
sales fluctuated on a year on year basis till FY2003as it changed its product mix but has declined
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since then.
Technology
Hitherto, technology transfer to the Indian two-wheeler industry took place mainly through:licensing and technical collaboration (as in the case
of Bajaj Auto and LML); and joint ventures(HHML).
A third form - that is, the 100% owned subsidiaryroute - found favour in the early 2000s. A case in
point is HMSI, a 100% subsidiary of Honda, Japan.Table 2 details the alliances of some major two-wheeler manufacturers in India.
Besides the below mentioned technology alliances,
Suzuki Motor Corporation has also followed thestrategy of joint ventures (SMC reportedly acquiredequity stake in Integra Overseas Limited for
manufacturing and marketing Suzuki motorcyclesin India).
Table 2Technological tie-ups of Select Players
Nature of
AllianceCompany
Produ
ct
BajajAuto
Technological tie-up
Kawasaki HeavyIndustries Ltd,
Motorcycles
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Japan
Technological tie-up
Tokya R&D CoLtd, Japan
Two-wheele
rsTechnological tie-up
Kubota Corp,Japan
DieselEngines
HHML Joint
Venture
Honda Motor Co,
Japan
Motorc
ycles
KEL Technologic
al tie-up
Hyosung Motors &
Machinery Inc
Motorc
yclesKEL Tie up for
manufacturing
anddistribution
Italjet, Italy Scooter
s
LML Technologic
al tie-up
Daelim Motor Co
Ltd
Motorc
yclesHero
Motors
Technologic
al tie-up
Aprilia of Italy Scooter
s
Compiled by INGRES
With the two-wheeler market, especially the
motorcycle market, becoming extremelycompetitive and the life cycle of products gettingshorter, the ability to offer new models to meet
fast changing customer preferences has becomeimperative. In this context, the ability to deliver
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newer products calls for sound technologicalbacking and this has become one of the critical
differentiating factor among companies in the
domestic market. Thus, the players have increasedtheir focus on research and development withsome having indigenously developed new modelsas well as improved technologies to cater to the
domestic market. Further, with exports being oneof the thrust areas for some Indian two-wheeler
companies, the Indian original equipment
manufacturers (OEMs) have realised the need toupgrade their technical capabilities. These relate to
three main areas: fuel economy, environmentalcompliance, and performance. In India, because ofthe cost-sensitive nature of the market, fuel
efficiency had been an interest area formanufacturers.
It is not only that the OEMs are increasing theirfocus on in-house R&D, they also provide support
to the vendors to upgrade the technology and alsoassist them striking technological alliances.
TRENDS IN THE TWO-WHEELER INDUSTRY
Companies raising capacity to meet thegrowing demand
All the major two-wheeler manufacturers, viz.
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Bajaj Auto, HHML, TYS, HMSI and others, haveincreased their manufacturing capacities in the
recent past. The total capacity of these players
stood at 7.8 million units per annum (FY2003) asagainst total market sales of 3.8 million units inFY2002. Most of the players have either expandedcapacity, or converted their existing capacities for
scooters and mopeds into those for manufacturingmotorcycles. The move has been prompted by the
rapid growth reported by the motorcycles segment
since FY1995.
HHML increased the capacity of its plants from 1.8million units in FY2003 to 2.25 million in FY2004and has been able to achieve 92% capacity
utilisation. In light of the increase in demand formotorcycles, the company plans to set up a new
plant. Since its entry in the Indian market duringFY2002, HMSI has aggressively expanded itscapacity.
Niche markets also witnessing intense
competition
A significant trend witnessed over the past fiveyears is the inclination of consumers towardsproducts with superior features and styling. Betterawareness about international models has raised
expectations of consumers on some key attributes,
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especially quality, styling, and performance. Highcompetitive intensity has prompted players to
launch vehicles with improved attributes at a price
less than the competitive models.
In an effort to satisfy the distinct needs ofconsumers, producers are identifying emerging
consumer preferences and developing new models.For instance, in the motorcycles segment,
motorcycles with engine capacity over 150cc, is a
segment that has witnessed significant newproduct launches and hence, become more
competitive. The indigenously launched Pulsar 150had met with success on its launch and thereafter,a host of models have been launched in this
segment by various players. While Bajaj Autolaunched the Pulsars (150 and 180 cc) with digital
twin spark technology (DTSi) that offers a powerfulengine and fuel efficiency of 125 cc models, modellaunches by other players include LML's
Graptor/Beamer, HMSI's Unicorn besides theHHML's CBZ (improved version launched in 2003-
04) and TVS' Fiero F2. Moreover, in the recentpast, the motorcycle segment has witnessed
launch of vehicles with higher engine capacity(higher than 150cc) and power (higher than15bhp). These include models such as Bajaj AutoEliminator and Royal Enfield's Thunderbird followed
by HHML's Karisma. Besides these, KEL has
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launched premium segment motorcycles GF 170and GF Laser besides launching products from the
portfolio of its technology partner (Hyosung's
Aquila and Comet 250). The products in thissegment cater for style conscious consumers.Quite a few players are developing modelscombining features such as higher engine capacity"
optimum mix of power and performance, andsuperior styling. However, the extent of shift to
these products would depend on the positioning of
such products in terms of price.
In the scooters segment, the market for plastic-bodied variomatic scooters continues to witnessgrowth in the scenario of overall decline in scooter
volumes. Higher volumes and growth areespecially true for certain scooter models, such as
Honda Activa, that brought in new technology(besides variomatic transmission) to furtherdifferentiate themselves. Thus, the need to
differentiate and create a niche has led tocompanies strengthening their research and
development (R&D) capabilities and reducing thedevelopment time for new models.
Increasing focus on exports
For the first nine months of FY2005, two-wheeler
exports increased by 37% over the corresponding
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previous, led mainly by motorcycles even asexports of other two-wheelers were healthy. While
motorcycle exports increased by 40%, scooter and
moped exports increased by 29% and 27%respectively.
Motorcycle exports by Bajaj Auto, HHML and TVS
have reported a tobust growth in FY2005 and areexpected to increase further in the medium term.
Table 3Two-Wheeler Exports from India (in
numbers)
FY2000
FY2001
FY2002
FY2003
FY2004
CAGR(FY20
00-04)
9MFY2005
Scooters
20,188
25,625
28332
30116
53148
27.4 44832
Motorcycles
35,295
41,339
56,880
126122
187287
51.4 188807
Mopeds
27,754
44,174
18,971
23330
24234
-3.3 22739
Total 83,237
111,138
104183
179568
264669
33.5 256378
Source: SIAMAlthough the Indian two-wheeler manufacturers
have forayed on their own in their target exportmarkets, there have been instances of tie-ups with
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the technology partners. Bajaj Auto's tie-up withKawasaki to jointly market Bajaj products in
Philippines is a case in point. Under the tie-up, M/s
Kawasaki Motors Philippines Corporation has beenappointed as exclusive distributors to marketselect Bajaj two-wheelers that include Byk, Caliber115 and Wind 125. These vehicles are being sent
to Philippines in the completely built unit (CBU)form. Other strategy of expanding international
presence considered by few players is that of
setting up assembly lines in select South EastAsian countries either on their own or in
partnership with local players. Besides, plans ofselect overseas technology partners to source fromtheir Indian partners and plans of global majors to
develop their Indian manufacturing unit as asourcing hub may also lead to increase in two-
wheeler exports from India.
Companywise two-wheeler exports since FY2000
are presented in the following Table 4.
Table 4Company-wise two-wheeler exports
(FY2000-9MFY2005)
FY2
000
FY2
001
FY2
002
FY2
003
FY2
004
CAGR
(FY2000-04)
9MFY
2005
Bajaj 149 161 285 533 902 56.8 87225
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Auto 24 12 27 66 10
HHML10061
10324
13023
21165
39254
40.5 43441
HMSI 0 0 1293
10916
31414
n.a 27734
TVS7265
6621
7765
9636
28093
40.2 36666
Yama
ha
151
97
204
46
203
21
455
46
329
0621.3 27539
Other
s
357
90
576
35
327
52
390
53
427
924.6 33773
Total83237
111138
103681
179682
264669
33.525637
8
Source: SIAMVehicle Emission Norms
Emission norms for all categories of petrol anddiesel vehicles at the manufacturing stage were
introduced for the first time in India in 1990 andwere made stricter in 1996. When the 1996 norms
were introduced, it resulted in certain modelsbeing withdrawn from the market. With Stage IIndia 2000 emission norms coming into place, the
cost of developing suitable technology hasremained high.
The emission norms that are currently in force fortwo-wheelers and three-wheelers are more
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stringent than the Euro II norms. The roadmapsuggested for emission norms for two/three-
wheelers by the Expert Committee on Auto Fuel
Policy is as follows:
For two-/three-wheelers the emissionnorms are recommended to be the same inthe entire country:
For new vehicles:
Bharat Stage II norms throughout the countryfrom April 1, 2005
Bharat Stage III norms to be applicable
preferably from April 1, 2008 but not later thanApril 1, 2010.
For reducing pollution from in-use vehicles
New pollution under control (PUC) chec
system for all categories of vehicles to beplace by April 1, 2005
Inspection & maintenance (I&M) system
categories of vehicles to be put place by1, 2010
Performance checking system of catalconverters and conversion kits installe
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vehicles to be put in place by April 1, 2
Table 5 presents the emission norms for two-
wheelers that were in place in the past, the India2000 emission norms, and the norms that havebeen implemented for April 2005 (Stage II) andproposed for 2008 (Stage III).
Table 5
Exhaust Emission Norms
Vehicle
Pollutants
OldNorm
s
1996
2000
2005
*
2008/10*
*
Tow-wheelers
(gm/Km)
CO 12-304.52.0 1.5 1
HC+Nox
8-12 3.62.0 1.5 1
Three-
wheelers(petrol)
CO 12-306.84.02.2
51.25
HC+Nox
8-12 5.41.5 2 1.25
Three-
wheeler
s(Diesel)
CO 1 1.1
HC+
Nox
0.8
5
1
PM0.10
0.05
CO: Carbon Monoxide; HC:
Hydrocarbon; Nox: Nitrogen Oxide,
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PM: Particulate Matter, * MaximumSulphur parts per million (ppm)
permissible of 150 and ** Maximum
Sulphur ppm permissible of 50Compiled by INGRES
To be able to meet the exhaust norms, the AutoFuel Policy has suggested following technologies:
Table 6
Technologies for meeting the emissionnorms for Spark Ignited Vehicles
2/3 -wheelers
Level ofEmissionNorms
2-StrokeTechnology
4-StrokeTechnology
Euro I/India
2000
Intake,
exhaust,combustion
optimisationCatalyticconverter
4-Stroke
enginetechnology
Euro
II/BharatStage II
Secondary air
injectionCaatalytic
Converter
Hot tube
Secondaryair injection
EuroIII/Bharat
Fuel injectionCatalytic
Fuel injectionCarburetor +
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Stage III converter catalyticconverter
Euro
IV/BharatStage IV
To be
developed
Learn burn Fuel
injection+ catalyticconverter
Source: National Auto Fuel Policy
The adoption of new technologies for compliance
with stricter emission norms may affect the prices
of vehicles. Some two-wheeler manufacturers aretesting electronic fuel injection systems for
motorcycles. To begin with, electronic systems arelikely to be introduced in premium segment
motorcycles.
Fiscal Policy
The Union Budget for 2001-02 had lowered theexcise duty on two-wheelers (with engine capacity
in excess of 75 cc) from 24% to 16%. Themanufacturers responded to this by passing on a
relatively large part of the excise cut to customers.The Union Budget thereafter have left the excise
duty on two-wheelers unchanged. But the UnionBudget 2004-05 provides for a weighted deductionof 150% for investments in R&D. This may
facilitate increasing R&D allocations and allow forimprovement in the technical as well as product
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development skills of the Indian companies.
Indian Auto Policy 2002
The Government of India approved acomprehensive automotive policy in March 2002,the main proposals of which are as under:
Foreign direct investment : Automatic approval
is proposed to be granted to foreign equity
investment up to 100% for manufacture ofautomobiles and components.
Import tariff : Import tariffs are proposed to befixed at a level such that they facilitate the
development of manufacturing capabilities asopposed to mere assembly.
Incentives for R&D : The weighted average taxdeduction under the Income Tax Act, 1961 for
automotive companies is proposed to be increasedfrom current level of 125% (The weighted average
deduction for R&D was increased to 150% in theUnion Budget 2004-05). Further, the policy
proposes to include vehicle manufacturers for arebate on the applicable excise duty for every 1%of the gross turnover of the company expendedduring the year on R&D.
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Environmental aspects : Adequate fiscalincentives are proposed to promote the use of low-
emission auto fuel technology (in line with the Auto
Fuel Policy). The auto policy states theGovernment's intent to align domestic policy withthe international practice of imposing higher roadtax on old vehicles so as to discourage their use.