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    Two Wheelers in India

    India, is the second largest producer of

    two wheelers in the world. In the last few years,the Indian two-wheeler industry has seen

    spectacular growth. The country stands next to

    China and Japan in terms of production and

    sales respectively.

    Majority of Indians, especially the youngsters

    prefer motorbikes rather than cars. Capturing alarge share in the two-wheeler industry, bikes

    and scooters cover a major segment. Bikes are

    considered to be the favorite among the youth

    generation, as they help in easy commutation.

    Large variety of two wheelers are available inthe market, known for their latest technology

    and enhanced mileage. Indian bikes, scooters

    and mopeds represent style and class for both

    men and women in India.

    Benefits of two wheelers

    Two-wheelers are the most popular and highly

    sought out medium of transport in India. The

    trend of owning two-wheelers is due to its-

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    Economical price

    Safety

    Fuel-efficient

    Comfort level

    However, few Indian bike enthusiasts prefer

    high performance imported bikes. Some of the

    most popular high-speed bikes are Suzuki

    Hayabusa, Kawasaki Ninja, Suzuki Zeus, HeroHonda Karizma, Bajaj Pulsar and Honda

    Unicorn. These super bikes are specially

    designed for those who have a zeal for speedy

    drive.

    Browse through the pages and catch all the

    details of high-performance two wheelers inIndia. Know more about latest launches and

    happenings in two wheelers industry.

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    Indian Two-Wheeler Industry

    ICRA Sectoral Analysis - Jan 2005

    INTRODUCTION

    The Indian automotive industry consists of five

    segments: commercial vehicles; multi-utilityvehicles & passenger cars; two-wheelers; three-

    wheelers; and tractors. With 5,822,963 units sold

    in the domestic market and 453,591 unitsexported during the first nine months of FY2005

    (9MFY2005), the industry (excluding tractors)marked a growth of 17% over the correspondingprevious. The two-wheeler sales have witnessed a

    spectacular growth trend since the mid nineties.

    Two-wheelers: Market Size & Growth

    In terms of volume, 4,613,436 units of two-

    wheelers were sold in the country in 9MFY2005with 256,765 units exported. The total two-

    wheeler sales of the Indian industry accounted foraround 77.5% of the total vehicles sold in the

    period mentioned.

    Figure 1

    Segmental Growth of theIndian Two Wheeler

    Industry (FY1995-2004)

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    After facing its worst recession during the early

    1990s, the industry bounced back with a 25%

    increase in volume sales in FY1995. However, themomentum could not be sustained and sales

    growth dipped to 20% in FY1996 and further downto 12% in FY1997. The economic slowdown in

    FY1998 took a heavy toll of two-wheeler sales,with the year-on-year sales (volume) growth ratedeclining to 3% that year. However, sales picked

    up thereafter mainly on the strength of an increasein the disposable income of middle-income salariedpeople (following the implementation of the Fifth

    Pay Commission's recommendations), higheraccess to relatively inexpensive financing, and

    increasing availability of fuel efficient two-wheelermodels. Nevertheless, this phenomenon proved

    short-lived and the two-wheeler sales declinedmarginally in FY2001. This was followed by arevival in sales growth for the industry in FY2002.

    Although, the overall two-wheeler sales increasedin FY2002, the scooter and moped segments faced

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    de-growth. FY2003 also witnessed a healthygrowth in overall two-wheeler sales led by higher

    growth in motorcycles even as the sales of

    scooters and mopeds continued to decline. Healthygrowth in two-wheeler sales during FY2004 was ledby growth in motorcycles even as the scooterssegment posted healthy growth while the mopeds

    continued to decline. Figure 1 presents thevariations across various product sub-segments of

    the two-wheeler industry between FY1995 and

    FY2004.

    Demand Drivers

    The demand for two-wheelers has been influenced

    by a number of factors over the past five years.The key demand drivers for the growth of the two-

    wheeler industry are as follows:

    Inadequate public transportation syst

    especially in the semi-urban and rural a Increased availability of cheap consumer f

    in the past 3-4 years; Increasing availability of fuel-efficient an

    maintenance models;

    Increasing urbanisation, which creates a personal transportation;

    Changes in the demographic profile Difference between two-wheeler and pas

    car prices, which makes two-wheelers

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    entrylevel vehicle; Steady increase in per capita income ov

    past five years; and

    Increasing number of models with diffefeatures to satisfy diverse consumer n

    While the demand drivers listed here operate at

    the broad level, segmental demand is influencedby segment-specific factors.

    MARKET CHARACTERISTICS

    Demand

    Segmental Classification and Characteristics

    The three main product segments in the two-

    wheeler category are scooters, motorcycles andmopeds. However, in response to evolvingdemographics and various other factors, other

    subsegments emerged, viz. scooterettes, gearlessscooters, and 4-stroke scooters. While the first two

    emerged as a response to demographic changes,the introduction of 4-stroke scooters has followed

    the imposition of stringent pollution control normsin the early 2000. Besides, these prominent sub-segments, product groups within these sub-segments have gained importance in the recent

    years. Examples include 125cc motorcycles, 100-

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    125 cc gearless scooters, etc. The characteristicsof each of the three broad segments are discussed

    in Table 1.

    Table 1Two-Wheelers: Comparative

    Characteristics

    ScooterMotorc

    ycleMoped

    Price*(Rs. asin January

    2005)

    >

    22,000

    >

    30,000

    >

    12,000

    Stroke2-stroke,4-stroke

    Mainly4-stroke

    2-stroke

    Engine

    Capacity (cc)90-150

    100,

    125, >125

    50, 60

    Ignition Kick/Electronic

    Kick/Electronic

    Kick/Electroni

    c

    Engine Power(bhp)

    6.5-97-8 andabove

    2-3

    Weight (kg) 90-100 > 100 60-70

    Fuel Efficiency

    (kms per litre)

    50-75 50-80+ 70-80

    Load Carrying High Highest Low

    *Ex-showroom MumbaiCompiled by INGRES

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    Segmental Market Share

    The Indian two-wheeler industry has undergone a

    significant change over the past 10 years with thepreference changing from scooters and mopeds tomotorcycles. The scooters segment was the largesttill FY1998, accounting for around 42% of the two-

    wheeler sales (motorcycles and mopeds accountedfor 37% and 21 % of the market respectively, that

    year). However, the motorcycles segment that had

    witnessed high growth (since FY1994) becamelarger than the scooter segment in terms of

    market share for the first time in FY1999. BetweenFY1996 and 9MFY2005, the motorcycles segmentmore than doubled its share of the two-wheeler

    industry to 79% even as the market shares ofscooters and mopeds stood lower at 16% and 5%,

    respectively.

    Figure 2

    Trends in Segmental Share inIndustry Sales (FY1996-

    9MFY2005)

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    While scooter sales declined sharply by 28% in

    FY2001, motorcycle sales reported a healthy

    growth of 20%, indicating a clear shift in consumerpreference. This shift, which continues, has been

    prompted by two major factors: change in thecountry's demographic profile, and technological

    advancements.

    Over the past 10-15 years the demographic profile

    of the typical two-wheeler customer has changed.The customer is likely to be salaried and in the first

    job. With a younger audience, the attributes thatare sought of a two-wheeler have also changed.Following the opening up of the economy and the

    increasing exposure levels of this new targetaudience, power and styling are now as important

    as comfort and utility.

    The marketing pitch of scooters has typically

    emphasised reliability, price, comfort and utilityacross various applications. Motorcycles, on the

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    other hand, have been traditionally positioned asvehicles of power and style, which are rugged and

    more durable. These features have now been

    complemented by the availability of new designsand technological innovations. Moreover, highermileage offered by the executive and entry-levelmodels has also attracted interest of two-wheeler

    customer. Given this market positioning ofscooters and motorcycles, it is not surprising that

    the new set of customers has preferred

    motorcycles to scooters. With better groundclearance, larger wheels and better suspension

    offered by motorcycles, they are well positioned tocapture the rising demand in rural areas wherethese characteristics matter most.

    Scooters are perceived to be family vehicles, which

    offer more functional value such as broader seat,bigger storage space and easier ride. However,with the second-hand car market developing, a

    preference for used cars to new two-wheelersamong vehicle buyers cannot be ruled out.

    Nevertheless, the past few years have witnessed ashift in preference towards gearless scooters (that

    are popular among women) within the scooterssegment. Motorcycles, offer higher fuel efficiency,greater acceleration and more environment-friendliness. Given the declining difference in prices

    of scooters and motorcycles in the past few years,

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    the preference has shifted towards motorcycles.Besides a change in demographic profile,

    technology and reduction in the price difference

    between motorcycles and scooters, another factorthat has weighed in favour of motorcycles is thehigh re-sale value they offer. Thus, the customer iswilling to pay an up-front premium while

    purchasing a motorcycle in exchange for lowermaintenance and a relatively higher resale value.

    Supply

    Manufacturers

    As the following graph indicates, the Indian two-

    wheeler industry is highly concentrated, with threeplayers-Hero Honda Motors Ltd (HHML), Bajaj Auto

    Ltd (Bajaj Auto) and TVS Motor Company Ltd(TVS) - accounting for over 80% of the industrysales as in 9MFY2005. The other key players in the

    two-wheeler industry are Kinetic Motor CompanyLtd (KMCL), Kinetic Engineering Ltd (KEL), LML Ltd

    (LML), Yamaha Motors India Ltd (Yamaha),Majestic Auto Ltd (Majestic Auto), Royal Enfield Ltd

    (REL) and Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India (P)Ltd (HMSI).

    Figure 3Shares of Two-Wheeler

    Manufacturers in Industry Sales

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    (FY2000-9MFY2005)

    Although the three players have dominated themarket for a relative long period of time, theirindividual market shares have undergone a majorchange. Bajaj Auto was the undisputed market

    leader till FY2000, accounting for 32% of the two-wheeler industry volumes in the country that year.

    Bajaj Auto dominance arose from its complete hold

    over the scooter market. However, as the demandstarted shifting towards motorcycles, the company

    witnessed a gradual erosion of its market share.HHML, which had concentrated on the motorcyclesegment, was the main beneficiary, and almost

    doubled its market share from 20% in FY2000 to40% in 9MFY2005 to emerge as the market leader.

    TVS, on the other hand, witnessed an overalldecline in market share from 22% in FY2000 to18% in 9MFY2005. The share of TVS in industry

    sales fluctuated on a year on year basis till FY2003as it changed its product mix but has declined

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    since then.

    Technology

    Hitherto, technology transfer to the Indian two-wheeler industry took place mainly through:licensing and technical collaboration (as in the case

    of Bajaj Auto and LML); and joint ventures(HHML).

    A third form - that is, the 100% owned subsidiaryroute - found favour in the early 2000s. A case in

    point is HMSI, a 100% subsidiary of Honda, Japan.Table 2 details the alliances of some major two-wheeler manufacturers in India.

    Besides the below mentioned technology alliances,

    Suzuki Motor Corporation has also followed thestrategy of joint ventures (SMC reportedly acquiredequity stake in Integra Overseas Limited for

    manufacturing and marketing Suzuki motorcyclesin India).

    Table 2Technological tie-ups of Select Players

    Nature of

    AllianceCompany

    Produ

    ct

    BajajAuto

    Technological tie-up

    Kawasaki HeavyIndustries Ltd,

    Motorcycles

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    Japan

    Technological tie-up

    Tokya R&D CoLtd, Japan

    Two-wheele

    rsTechnological tie-up

    Kubota Corp,Japan

    DieselEngines

    HHML Joint

    Venture

    Honda Motor Co,

    Japan

    Motorc

    ycles

    KEL Technologic

    al tie-up

    Hyosung Motors &

    Machinery Inc

    Motorc

    yclesKEL Tie up for

    manufacturing

    anddistribution

    Italjet, Italy Scooter

    s

    LML Technologic

    al tie-up

    Daelim Motor Co

    Ltd

    Motorc

    yclesHero

    Motors

    Technologic

    al tie-up

    Aprilia of Italy Scooter

    s

    Compiled by INGRES

    With the two-wheeler market, especially the

    motorcycle market, becoming extremelycompetitive and the life cycle of products gettingshorter, the ability to offer new models to meet

    fast changing customer preferences has becomeimperative. In this context, the ability to deliver

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    newer products calls for sound technologicalbacking and this has become one of the critical

    differentiating factor among companies in the

    domestic market. Thus, the players have increasedtheir focus on research and development withsome having indigenously developed new modelsas well as improved technologies to cater to the

    domestic market. Further, with exports being oneof the thrust areas for some Indian two-wheeler

    companies, the Indian original equipment

    manufacturers (OEMs) have realised the need toupgrade their technical capabilities. These relate to

    three main areas: fuel economy, environmentalcompliance, and performance. In India, because ofthe cost-sensitive nature of the market, fuel

    efficiency had been an interest area formanufacturers.

    It is not only that the OEMs are increasing theirfocus on in-house R&D, they also provide support

    to the vendors to upgrade the technology and alsoassist them striking technological alliances.

    TRENDS IN THE TWO-WHEELER INDUSTRY

    Companies raising capacity to meet thegrowing demand

    All the major two-wheeler manufacturers, viz.

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    Bajaj Auto, HHML, TYS, HMSI and others, haveincreased their manufacturing capacities in the

    recent past. The total capacity of these players

    stood at 7.8 million units per annum (FY2003) asagainst total market sales of 3.8 million units inFY2002. Most of the players have either expandedcapacity, or converted their existing capacities for

    scooters and mopeds into those for manufacturingmotorcycles. The move has been prompted by the

    rapid growth reported by the motorcycles segment

    since FY1995.

    HHML increased the capacity of its plants from 1.8million units in FY2003 to 2.25 million in FY2004and has been able to achieve 92% capacity

    utilisation. In light of the increase in demand formotorcycles, the company plans to set up a new

    plant. Since its entry in the Indian market duringFY2002, HMSI has aggressively expanded itscapacity.

    Niche markets also witnessing intense

    competition

    A significant trend witnessed over the past fiveyears is the inclination of consumers towardsproducts with superior features and styling. Betterawareness about international models has raised

    expectations of consumers on some key attributes,

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    especially quality, styling, and performance. Highcompetitive intensity has prompted players to

    launch vehicles with improved attributes at a price

    less than the competitive models.

    In an effort to satisfy the distinct needs ofconsumers, producers are identifying emerging

    consumer preferences and developing new models.For instance, in the motorcycles segment,

    motorcycles with engine capacity over 150cc, is a

    segment that has witnessed significant newproduct launches and hence, become more

    competitive. The indigenously launched Pulsar 150had met with success on its launch and thereafter,a host of models have been launched in this

    segment by various players. While Bajaj Autolaunched the Pulsars (150 and 180 cc) with digital

    twin spark technology (DTSi) that offers a powerfulengine and fuel efficiency of 125 cc models, modellaunches by other players include LML's

    Graptor/Beamer, HMSI's Unicorn besides theHHML's CBZ (improved version launched in 2003-

    04) and TVS' Fiero F2. Moreover, in the recentpast, the motorcycle segment has witnessed

    launch of vehicles with higher engine capacity(higher than 150cc) and power (higher than15bhp). These include models such as Bajaj AutoEliminator and Royal Enfield's Thunderbird followed

    by HHML's Karisma. Besides these, KEL has

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    launched premium segment motorcycles GF 170and GF Laser besides launching products from the

    portfolio of its technology partner (Hyosung's

    Aquila and Comet 250). The products in thissegment cater for style conscious consumers.Quite a few players are developing modelscombining features such as higher engine capacity"

    optimum mix of power and performance, andsuperior styling. However, the extent of shift to

    these products would depend on the positioning of

    such products in terms of price.

    In the scooters segment, the market for plastic-bodied variomatic scooters continues to witnessgrowth in the scenario of overall decline in scooter

    volumes. Higher volumes and growth areespecially true for certain scooter models, such as

    Honda Activa, that brought in new technology(besides variomatic transmission) to furtherdifferentiate themselves. Thus, the need to

    differentiate and create a niche has led tocompanies strengthening their research and

    development (R&D) capabilities and reducing thedevelopment time for new models.

    Increasing focus on exports

    For the first nine months of FY2005, two-wheeler

    exports increased by 37% over the corresponding

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    previous, led mainly by motorcycles even asexports of other two-wheelers were healthy. While

    motorcycle exports increased by 40%, scooter and

    moped exports increased by 29% and 27%respectively.

    Motorcycle exports by Bajaj Auto, HHML and TVS

    have reported a tobust growth in FY2005 and areexpected to increase further in the medium term.

    Table 3Two-Wheeler Exports from India (in

    numbers)

    FY2000

    FY2001

    FY2002

    FY2003

    FY2004

    CAGR(FY20

    00-04)

    9MFY2005

    Scooters

    20,188

    25,625

    28332

    30116

    53148

    27.4 44832

    Motorcycles

    35,295

    41,339

    56,880

    126122

    187287

    51.4 188807

    Mopeds

    27,754

    44,174

    18,971

    23330

    24234

    -3.3 22739

    Total 83,237

    111,138

    104183

    179568

    264669

    33.5 256378

    Source: SIAMAlthough the Indian two-wheeler manufacturers

    have forayed on their own in their target exportmarkets, there have been instances of tie-ups with

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    the technology partners. Bajaj Auto's tie-up withKawasaki to jointly market Bajaj products in

    Philippines is a case in point. Under the tie-up, M/s

    Kawasaki Motors Philippines Corporation has beenappointed as exclusive distributors to marketselect Bajaj two-wheelers that include Byk, Caliber115 and Wind 125. These vehicles are being sent

    to Philippines in the completely built unit (CBU)form. Other strategy of expanding international

    presence considered by few players is that of

    setting up assembly lines in select South EastAsian countries either on their own or in

    partnership with local players. Besides, plans ofselect overseas technology partners to source fromtheir Indian partners and plans of global majors to

    develop their Indian manufacturing unit as asourcing hub may also lead to increase in two-

    wheeler exports from India.

    Companywise two-wheeler exports since FY2000

    are presented in the following Table 4.

    Table 4Company-wise two-wheeler exports

    (FY2000-9MFY2005)

    FY2

    000

    FY2

    001

    FY2

    002

    FY2

    003

    FY2

    004

    CAGR

    (FY2000-04)

    9MFY

    2005

    Bajaj 149 161 285 533 902 56.8 87225

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    Auto 24 12 27 66 10

    HHML10061

    10324

    13023

    21165

    39254

    40.5 43441

    HMSI 0 0 1293

    10916

    31414

    n.a 27734

    TVS7265

    6621

    7765

    9636

    28093

    40.2 36666

    Yama

    ha

    151

    97

    204

    46

    203

    21

    455

    46

    329

    0621.3 27539

    Other

    s

    357

    90

    576

    35

    327

    52

    390

    53

    427

    924.6 33773

    Total83237

    111138

    103681

    179682

    264669

    33.525637

    8

    Source: SIAMVehicle Emission Norms

    Emission norms for all categories of petrol anddiesel vehicles at the manufacturing stage were

    introduced for the first time in India in 1990 andwere made stricter in 1996. When the 1996 norms

    were introduced, it resulted in certain modelsbeing withdrawn from the market. With Stage IIndia 2000 emission norms coming into place, the

    cost of developing suitable technology hasremained high.

    The emission norms that are currently in force fortwo-wheelers and three-wheelers are more

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    stringent than the Euro II norms. The roadmapsuggested for emission norms for two/three-

    wheelers by the Expert Committee on Auto Fuel

    Policy is as follows:

    For two-/three-wheelers the emissionnorms are recommended to be the same inthe entire country:

    For new vehicles:

    Bharat Stage II norms throughout the countryfrom April 1, 2005

    Bharat Stage III norms to be applicable

    preferably from April 1, 2008 but not later thanApril 1, 2010.

    For reducing pollution from in-use vehicles

    New pollution under control (PUC) chec

    system for all categories of vehicles to beplace by April 1, 2005

    Inspection & maintenance (I&M) system

    categories of vehicles to be put place by1, 2010

    Performance checking system of catalconverters and conversion kits installe

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    vehicles to be put in place by April 1, 2

    Table 5 presents the emission norms for two-

    wheelers that were in place in the past, the India2000 emission norms, and the norms that havebeen implemented for April 2005 (Stage II) andproposed for 2008 (Stage III).

    Table 5

    Exhaust Emission Norms

    Vehicle

    Pollutants

    OldNorm

    s

    1996

    2000

    2005

    *

    2008/10*

    *

    Tow-wheelers

    (gm/Km)

    CO 12-304.52.0 1.5 1

    HC+Nox

    8-12 3.62.0 1.5 1

    Three-

    wheelers(petrol)

    CO 12-306.84.02.2

    51.25

    HC+Nox

    8-12 5.41.5 2 1.25

    Three-

    wheeler

    s(Diesel)

    CO 1 1.1

    HC+

    Nox

    0.8

    5

    1

    PM0.10

    0.05

    CO: Carbon Monoxide; HC:

    Hydrocarbon; Nox: Nitrogen Oxide,

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    PM: Particulate Matter, * MaximumSulphur parts per million (ppm)

    permissible of 150 and ** Maximum

    Sulphur ppm permissible of 50Compiled by INGRES

    To be able to meet the exhaust norms, the AutoFuel Policy has suggested following technologies:

    Table 6

    Technologies for meeting the emissionnorms for Spark Ignited Vehicles

    2/3 -wheelers

    Level ofEmissionNorms

    2-StrokeTechnology

    4-StrokeTechnology

    Euro I/India

    2000

    Intake,

    exhaust,combustion

    optimisationCatalyticconverter

    4-Stroke

    enginetechnology

    Euro

    II/BharatStage II

    Secondary air

    injectionCaatalytic

    Converter

    Hot tube

    Secondaryair injection

    EuroIII/Bharat

    Fuel injectionCatalytic

    Fuel injectionCarburetor +

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    Stage III converter catalyticconverter

    Euro

    IV/BharatStage IV

    To be

    developed

    Learn burn Fuel

    injection+ catalyticconverter

    Source: National Auto Fuel Policy

    The adoption of new technologies for compliance

    with stricter emission norms may affect the prices

    of vehicles. Some two-wheeler manufacturers aretesting electronic fuel injection systems for

    motorcycles. To begin with, electronic systems arelikely to be introduced in premium segment

    motorcycles.

    Fiscal Policy

    The Union Budget for 2001-02 had lowered theexcise duty on two-wheelers (with engine capacity

    in excess of 75 cc) from 24% to 16%. Themanufacturers responded to this by passing on a

    relatively large part of the excise cut to customers.The Union Budget thereafter have left the excise

    duty on two-wheelers unchanged. But the UnionBudget 2004-05 provides for a weighted deductionof 150% for investments in R&D. This may

    facilitate increasing R&D allocations and allow forimprovement in the technical as well as product

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    development skills of the Indian companies.

    Indian Auto Policy 2002

    The Government of India approved acomprehensive automotive policy in March 2002,the main proposals of which are as under:

    Foreign direct investment : Automatic approval

    is proposed to be granted to foreign equity

    investment up to 100% for manufacture ofautomobiles and components.

    Import tariff : Import tariffs are proposed to befixed at a level such that they facilitate the

    development of manufacturing capabilities asopposed to mere assembly.

    Incentives for R&D : The weighted average taxdeduction under the Income Tax Act, 1961 for

    automotive companies is proposed to be increasedfrom current level of 125% (The weighted average

    deduction for R&D was increased to 150% in theUnion Budget 2004-05). Further, the policy

    proposes to include vehicle manufacturers for arebate on the applicable excise duty for every 1%of the gross turnover of the company expendedduring the year on R&D.

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    Environmental aspects : Adequate fiscalincentives are proposed to promote the use of low-

    emission auto fuel technology (in line with the Auto

    Fuel Policy). The auto policy states theGovernment's intent to align domestic policy withthe international practice of imposing higher roadtax on old vehicles so as to discourage their use.