TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

64
2021 TURNING POINTS AHEAD OUTLOOK

Transcript of TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Page 1: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

2021

TURNING POINTS AHEAD

OUTLOOK

Page 2: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Puzzle to Unlock the Investment Ideas of 2021

2

The solution to this

quiz is at the end of

the presentation

Page 3: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Recap: Our Calls In 2020

COVID- Coronavirus disease, RBI – Reserve Bank of India, AMC – Asset Management Company

MARCH-20:

Invest Aggressively in Equities

OUR CALLS

RECAP

RATIONALE

APR-20:

Invest across Fixed Income Space

including Accrual schemes

OCT-20:

Invest lumpsum in Special Situation,

Value, Dividend Yield & Focused Category

NOV-20:

Do not redeem & continue investment

in Asset Allocation Schemes

Valuations post COVID-19

correction attractive

Winding up of select schemes by an AMC.

Valuations in AA & below segments

attractive. RBI expected to cut rates

Valuations gap between Value and

Growth high & US Election triggers

Markets neither expensive nor

cheap

3

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Rear-View Mirror: Glancing Through 2020 (Equity)

23,000

28,000

33,000

38,000

43,000

48,000

Ja

n/20

Feb/20

Mar/20

Apr/20

May/2

0

Ju

n/20

Ju

l/20

Aug/2

0

Se

p/20

Oct/20

Nov/20

Dec/20

S&

P B

SE

Sensex L

evels

India FM presents

Union Budget FY21

India PM announces

national lockdown to

combat COVID-19

US announces

$2Tn.fiscal stimulus

India FM announces INR

1.7Tn. relief package India PM declares COVID

relief package of INR 20Tn.

India COVID

curve flattens

India FM

announces 3rd

stimulus package

Govt. extends

PLI scheme

New US

president

elected

Pfizer & Moderna announce

COVID vaccine candidates

India Q1FY21 GDP

slumps to -23.9%

Unlock 1.0

initiated in India

India-China Border

tensions rise

Indian Markets

witness large FPI

flows

4

Source: KPMG, www.indiabudget.gov.in, Ministry of Finance, NSO, www.pmindia.gov.in, CNN, NSE, BSE NSDL. Data as of Dec 18, 2020. COVIDE-19 Coronavirus Disease 2019, US – United States, GDP – Gross Domestic Product, FM –

Finance Minister, PM – Prime Minister, PLI – Production Linked Incentive, FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investors. Past performance may or may not sustain in future

Page 5: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

GLOBAL MARKETS

IN 2020

Map not to scale. This map has been used for design and representational purpose only, it does not depict the geographical boundaries of the country. These do not conform to the external boundaries of

India recognized by the Survey of India.

Page 6: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Global Indices Performance – Emerging Markets steal the show

South Taiwan India Japan China US Germany Brazil Indonesia Hong France Russia Singapore UK

Korea Kong

28%

19% 14%

13% 10%

6%

Absolute Performance in 2020 (%)

3%

2%

-5% -6% -8%

-12% -12%

-14%

6

Germany - DAX Index; China - SSE Composite Index; France - CAC 40 Index; Japan - Nikkei; Hong Kong - HangSeng; US - Dow Jones; Singapore - Strait Times; Russia - RTS Index; Indonesia - Jakarta Composite Index; U.K. - FTSE; South Korea -

Kospi; Brazil - Ibovespa Sao Paulo Index; Indonesia – Jakarta Composite Index; Taiwan – Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation; India – S&P BSE Sensex; Returns in % terms. Data Source: MFI & ACEMF; Returns are absolute returns for the index

calculated between December 31, 2019 – December 24, 2020. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit

http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html

Page 7: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

India – The darling of FPIs

INDIA INDONESIA KOREA THAILAND TAIWAN MALAYSIA

CY2013 19.8 -1.8 4.9 9.2 -6.2 1.1

CY2014 16.2 3.8 5.7 13.2 -1.1 -2.0

CY2015 3.3 -1.6 3.4 3.4 -4.4 5.1

CY2016 2.9 1.3 11.0 11.0 2.2 -0.6

CY2017 8.0 -3.0 5.8 5.8 -0.8 2.5

CY2018 -4.6 -3.7 -12.2 -12.2 -8.9 -2.9

CY2019 14.2 3.5 9.4 9.4 -1.5 -2.7

CY2020 21.5 -3.2 -17.6 -17.6 -8.3 -5.8

7

Foreign Flows to Emerging Markets (USD Bn)

Source: Edelweiss Research. Data as of Dec 21, 2020, FPI- Foreign Portfolio Investors.

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INDIAN

EQUITY

MARKETS

IN 2020

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S&P BSE SENSEX S&P BSE MIDCAP

Small & Midcaps trimmed sizable losses of last 2 consecutive years and ended the year on positive note

S&P BSE SMALLCAP

9

Mid and Smallcap back with a vengeance

6%

14% 14%

0%

5%

10%

15%

2018 2019 2020

S&P BSE Sensex Returns

-13%

-3%

18%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

2018 2019 2020

S&P BSE Midcap Returns

-24%

-7%

29%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

2018 2019 2020

S&P BSE Smallcap Returns

Source: BSE India; Data as of Dec 24, 2020 Past performance may or may not be sustained in future

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Sectoral Performance

Due to COVID impact,

defensive sectors like

Healthcare & IT

outperformed.

Cyclical sectors like

Banking & Financials

underperformed

10

62 58

20 17

16 15 13 12 11 10

3

-1 -5 -10

10

30

50

70

HC IT

Energy

CD

Tele

co

m

Metal

FM

CG

Auto

Pow

er

CG

In

fra

Oil &

Gas

Bankex

Returns (

%)

Absolute Returns (%) - CY 2020

All indices are of S&P BSE and carry the prefix of S&P BSE; Abbreviated CD - S&P BSE Consumer Durables; CG - S&P BSE Capital Goods; FMCG - S&P BSE Fast Moving Consumer Goods; HC - S&P BSE Health Care; Infra. - S&P BSE India

Infrastructure; IT - S&P BSE Information Technology, NBFC – Non-banking Finance Companies. Data Source: MFI, ACEMF ; Returns are absolute returns for the TRI variant of the index calculated between December 31, 2019– December 24,

2020; COVID – Coronavirus Disease. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. The sectors)/stock(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any

future position in this sector(s)/stock(s). MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html

Page 11: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

FPIs – Double time lucky!

11

FPI flows remained stronger than DII Flows in 2020 with last 2 months i.e. Nov-20 & Dec-20 witnessing large inflows

Source: Kotak Securities; Data as of Dec 18, 2020; FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investors; DII – Domestic Institutional Investors. DII includes Banks, Domestic Financial Institutions, Insurance, New Pension Scheme & Mutual Funds

9,559

5,036

-6,515

-3,356

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

CY

2013

CY

2014

CY

2015

CY

2016

CY

2017

CY

2018

CY

2019

Q4FY

20

Q1FY

21

Q2FY

21

Oct-20

Nov-20

Dec-20

FPI & DII Net Flows (US$ Mn)

FPI DII

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Now that’s an interesting chart…

12

Page 13: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

IPO Season & Big becomes Bigger

Three of the biggest

IPOs for US Tech

companies

have been in 2020 –

Snowflake,

Airbnb, DoorDash

13

Three of the biggest IPOs for US Tech

companies have been in 2020 – Snowflake,

Airbnb, DoorDash

2.1

2.2

2.6

3.4

3.7

3.9

3.9

4.1

8.1

16.0

Twitter

Altice USA

Lyft

DoorDash

Airbnb*

Snap

Snowflake

Agere Systems

Uber

Facebook

Amount Raised (USD Bn.)

May-12

May-19

Mar-01

Sep-20

Mar-17

Dec-20

Dec-20

Mar-19

Jun-17

Nov-13

IPO Date

14%

24%

10%

14%

18%

22%

CY

20

00

CY

20

02

CY

20

04

CY

20

06

CY

20

08

CY

20

10

CY

20

12

CY

20

14

CY

20

16

CY

20

18

CY

20

20

Top 5 companies as a % of S&P 500 Marketcap

2020 - Apple, Microsoft,

Amazon, Alphabet,

Facebook

2000 - GE, Exxon Mobil,

Pfizer, Cisco, Citigroup

The top 5 companies in S&P 500 Index represent

~25% of the total Index Marketcap

Source: CNBC. Edelweiss Research. IPO Data as of Dec 11, 2020. Marketcap data as of Dec 2020. *Airbnb figure assumes underwriters buy allotted shares. IPO – Initial Public Offer. Past performance may or may not sustain in future. The

sectors)/stock(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this sector(s)/stock(s).

Page 14: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Negative Duos – Crude Oil Futures & Global Debt

Three of the biggest

IPOs for US Tech

companies

have been in 2020 –

Snowflake,

Airbnb, DoorDash

14

WTI Crude oil futures for May 2020 crashed

due to excess inventory and COVID shock

Total outstanding debt globally in negative yield

zone is close to US $ 18 Trillion

-37.63

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Dec-1

8

Apr-19

Au

g-19

Dec-1

9

Apr-20

Au

g-20

Dec-2

0

WTI Futures ($/Bbl)

18

0

5

10

15

20

Dec-1

3

Dec-1

4

Dec-1

5

Dec-1

6

Dec-17

Dec-1

8

Dec-1

9

Dec-2

0

Outstandin

g D

ebt (

$ T

n)

Negative Yield ($ Tn)

Source: Edelweiss Research, CRISIL. Data as of Dec 22, 2020. WTI – West Texas Intermediate. Past performance may or may not sustain in future

Page 15: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

That feeling of 2008…

First time post 2008,

our Equity Valuation

Index entered the

Dark Green Zone

indicating a good

opportunity to invest

in equities at

reasonable price

Equity Valuation index is calculated by assigning equal weights to Price-to-Earnings (PE), Price-to-Book (PB), G-Sec*PE and Market Cap to GDP ratio. G-Sec – Government Securities. GDP – Gross Domestic Product,

Data as of Mar 31, 2020

15

78.9

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

Mar-06

Mar-07

Mar-08

Mar-09

Mar-10

Mar-11

Mar-12

Mar-13

Mar-14

Mar-15

Mar-16

Mar-17

Mar-18

Mar-19

Mar-20

Invest in Equities

Aggressively invest in Equities

Neutral

Incremental Money to Debt

Book Partial Profits

Page 16: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Outlook 2021 – Turning Points Ahead

Past decade has been favourable for equity as an asset class with accommodative stance of

Global Central Banks to encourage Growth. We believe, markets may rally further with

continued accommodative policies of Global Central Banks primarily US. However, the road

to 2021 & beyond, consists of various Turning Points, which we believe may change the

course of current market direction, leading to a change in sectoral leadership & investment

styles. We would like to present various indicators which we believe are at/close to their

turning points. Hence, we believe, this phase may require investment portfolios to be

highly nimble while giving due importance to overall asset allocation

16

NOTE: Turning Points may play out earlier or later than anticipated. If the turning points play out sooner than

anticipated, then we may come with an interim communication

Page 17: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

POTENTIAL TURNING POINTS

17

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Over the last decade, Global Central Banks, have supported growth by maintaining a low interest rate

environment. Any change in the interest rate stance may be a turning point for the current market rally

Turning Point –

Normalization of Loose Monetary Policy

18

8.0

4.0

3.5

4.5

5.5

6.5

7.5

8.5

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

India Repo Rate (%)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

US 3Y, 5Y, 10Y Treasury Yields (%)

USGG3YR Index USGG5YR Index USGG12M IndexSource: RBI, Edelweiss Research. Data as Dec 21, 2020.

Page 19: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Global Economies have expanded their balance sheets manifold in the last decade thereby increasing

liquidity. Any change in the stance on quantum of stimulus may be a turning point for current market rally

Turning Point –

Normalization of Fiscal Stimulus

19

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Nov-08

Nov-10

Nov-12

Nov-14

Nov-16

Nov-18

Nov-20

Change in Central Banks Balance Sheets (%

of GDP, 12M change)

US EA Japan UK

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Oct 9

8

Oct 0

0

Oct 0

2

Oct 0

4

Oct 0

6

Oct 0

8

Oct 1

0

Oct 1

2

Oct 1

4

Oct 1

6

Oct 1

8

Oct 2

0

Global broad money supply (%, YoY)

Multi decade high

Source: Edelweiss Research, Morgan Stanley Research.

Page 20: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

In the last decade, globally, inflation remained benign. However, easy liquidity may result in inflation picking up,

which may be a turning point for current market rally.

Commodity prices – one of the key indicators to gauge demand has already begun performing

Turning Point – Deflation to Reflation

20

1,200

1,600

2,000

2,400

2,800

Dec-10

Dec-11

Dec-12

Dec-13

Dec-14

Dec-15

Dec-16

Dec-17

Dec-18

Dec-19

Dec-20

LME Aluminium price (US$/ton)

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

Dec-10

Dec-11

Dec-12

Dec-13

Dec-14

Dec-15

Dec-16

Dec-17

Dec-18

Dec-19

Dec-20

LME Copper price (US$/ton)

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Dec-10

Dec-11

Dec-12

Dec-13

Dec-14

Dec-15

Dec-16

Dec-17

Dec-18

Dec-19

Dec-20

LME Zinc price (US$/ton)

Source: Kotak Securities Ltd. LME – London Metal Exchange. Data as of Dec 23, 2020

Page 21: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Turning Point – Dollar Index & Emerging Markets

Dollar Index has begun

depreciating on the

back of significant

Monetary stimulus by

US Fed which may be a

positive for Emerging

Markets until the trend

reverses – A Turning

Point for Equity

Markets

21

30

50

70

90

90

100

110

120

130

140

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

Dec-12

Dec-13

Dec-14

Dec-15

Dec-16

Dec-17

Dec-18

Dec-19

Dec-20

MS

CI E

mergin

g M

arkets

Index

US

Dollar I

ndex

(D

XY

)

US Dollar Index Vs. MSCI Emerging Markets

US Dollar Index MSCI Emerging Markets Index

Source: Morgan Stanley Research. Data as of Dec 21, 2020. Prices have been re-based to 100. GFC – Global Financial Crisis. Past performance may or may not sustain in future

Page 22: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

In the last decade, equity markets delivered decent returns in relatively less volatile period due to ample liquidity.

With limited room for rate cuts and fiscal stimulus there may be a turning point for current market rally

Turning Point – Volatility

22

Source: NSE. Data as of Dec 29, 2020. Past performance may or may not sustain in future

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

2000-2010 Equity Market Returns

(Nifty 50 Index)

Average

Returns:

24%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

2011-2020 Equity Market Returns

(Nifty 50 Index)

Average

Returns:

10%

Page 23: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Turning Point – Change in Market Cycles

Any change in Market Cycle may trigger a change in Business Cycle

BURST BORING BOOM BUBBLE

• Lehman Crisis 2008

• Dot com burst – 2001

• Credit in 2019

BETTER TIME

TO INVEST

• Equity Markets in

2009-2013

• Credit in 2020

• Real Estate in 2020

• Equity Markets

in 2012 & 2015

• Debt in 2016 (pre

demonetization)

• Equity Markets

in 2006 & 2017

• Equity Markets

Currently

• e-Commerce in 2014

• Bitcoin in 2017

• Equity in 2007 & 1999

/ 2000

Negative & Massive

Global Event

Attractive Valuations

No Flows

Neutral Valuations

Low Flows

High Valuations

High Flows

Expensive Valuations

Huge Flows

23

Source: MFIE, NSE. Data as of Dec 22, 2020. The sector(s)/stock(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this sector(s)/stock(s). Past

performance may or may not sustain in future. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html

Page 24: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Turning Point – Concentrated to Broad Based Rally

Post 2018 market fall, market

rally was concentrated and

led by Growth stocks. Going

forward, we expect the rally

to be more broad based on

the back of growth picking up

and expansionary policy

measures by Global Central

Banks

24

87%

29%

16% 18% 17%

-12%

-46% -60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Top 1

0

Top 1

1-20

Top 2

1-50

Top 5

1-100

101-250

251-500

>=

501

Marketcap Change (Since Feb'18 till Dec'20)

Total Universe considered is 3801 listed stocks. Stocks are arranged in descending order as per Marketcap. Marketcap change is considered for period between 28-Feb-18 and 23-Dec-20. Source: Edelweiss Research. Past

performance may or may not sustain in future

Page 25: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

To Sum Up: Turning Point in Equity Markets

LAST DECADE

Scenario

Easy Monetary Policy + Interest Rate Cuts

=

led to Lower Volatility

NEXT DECADE

Scenario

Limited room for rate cut + Elevated Global equity valuations

=

May result in Volatility

Strategy

Positive for equities as an asset class and

long duration schemes

Strategy

• Macro environment dynamic. Investment Portfolios need to

be nimble to move across sectors/themes

• Asset Allocation strategies that tend to perform across time

periods, recommended

25

Page 26: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Equity Outlook – 2021

• We are currently in a Developed World Central Bank Bull Market

• Going forward, we expect multiple turning points and triggers in the coming years to dominate market

movement

• We believe, the current market rally may continue till the time certain turning points/ triggers play out

• Market volatility too may continue given uncertainty related to COVID and Global Central Bank policies

• Macro economic environment is going to be critical and we may witness change in sectoral leaderships

• Recent market rally was narrow driven by select Growth stocks. Going forward, we expect broad-based

reasonably valued companies to perform

• As highlighted earlier, we are in a boom phase and our recommendations can be summed up using the

acronym A-B-C-D (Please refer next slide for more details)

26

Page 27: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Investment Themes For 2021: ABCD

ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FOF) –

Takes exposure across asset classes i.e. Equity,

Debt & Gold

ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund –

Dynamically manages equity & debt allocation basis

Market Valuations

ICICI Prudential Business Cycle Fund – Invest in

scheme which is nimble enough to move across

sectors/marketcap as Business Cycles change

27

A

B D

C

The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document.

Strategies which are available at a Discount to the

broader markets – ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund,

ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund, ICICI Prudential

Dividend Yield Equity Fund, ICICI Prudential Focused

Equity Fund, ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund

Page 28: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Asset Allocation Strategies –

Better equipped to handle Turning Points

28

ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FOF) aims to allocate across Equity, Debt & Gold basis relative valuations.

The scheme’s current exposure includes 53% Equity, 40% Debt & 6% Gold*

36%

83%

53%

41,254

29,468

44,150

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Nov-19

Dec-19

Jan

-2

0

Feb-20

Mar-20

Apr-20

May-2

0

Jun

-2

0

Jul-

20

Au

g-20

Sep-2

0

Oct-20

Nov-20

S&

P B

SE S

ensex

Levels

IC

IC

I P

rudentia

l A

sset A

llo

cator F

und

(FO

F) N

et E

quit

y L

evels

S&P BSE Sensex Levels Vs ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FOF) net equity exposure (%)

Net Equity Level S&P BSE Sensex

Source: MFI. Net Equity levels are as on month ends,. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes with in the provisions of the Scheme Information document of the scheme. Please refer to the SID for investment pattern, strategy

and risk factors. Data as on Nov 30, 2020. *Remaining portfolio consists of cash: 1%. The asset allocation and investment strategy of the Scheme will be as per Scheme Information Document. Past performance may or may not sustain in

future. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html. Investors may please note that they will be bearing the recurring expenses of this

Scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which this Scheme makes investment.

Page 29: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

29

ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund aims to allocate between Equity & Debt basis market valuations

41254

29468

44150

46

74

47

40

50

60

70

80

28000

32000

36000

40000

44000

Nov-19

Dec-1

9

Jan

-2

0

Feb-20

Mar-20

Apr-20

May-2

0

Jun

-2

0

Jul-

20

Au

g-20

Sep-2

0

Oct-20

Nov-20

IC

IC

I P

rudentia

l B

ala

nced A

dvantage

Fund N

et E

quit

y F

und L

evels

(%

)

S&

P B

SE

Sensex

S&P BSE Sensex Levels (Index) Vs. ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund (Scheme) Net

Equity Levels

S&P BSE Sensex Net Equity Exposure %

Source: BSE India & MFI, Data as of Nov 30, 2020. Period considered is Nov-19 to Nov-20. The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd.

For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html

Asset Allocation Strategies –

Better equipped to handle Turning Points

Page 30: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Our Top SIP Recommendations

SIP

ICICI Prudential

Asset Allocator

Fund (FOF)

ICICI Prudential

Balanced

Advantage Fund

ICICI Prudential

Business Cycle Fund

30 SIP – Systematic Investment Plan, SWP – Systematic Withdrawal Plan. The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document.

Page 31: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Our Long term SIP Recommendations with Freedom SIP

SIP

ICICI Prudential

Value Discovery

Fund

ICICI Prudential

India Opportunities

Fund

ICICI Prudential

Bluechip Fund

ICICI Prudential

Focused Equity

Fund

ICICI Prudential

Midcap Fund &

ICICI Prudential

Smallcap Fund

31

SIP – Systematic Investment Plan, SWP – Systematic Withdrawal Plan. ICICI Prudential Freedom SIP is an optional feature that allows initial investments through SIP, switch toanother scheme after a pre- defined tenure and

SWP post that. ^The SWP will be processed either till Dec2099 or till units are available in target scheme, whichever is earlier. Please read the terms and conditions inthe application form before investing..For source and

target scheme names,refer the Application Form of ICICI Prudential Freedom SIP. ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund reserves the right tomake changes in the source and target schemes. Investor may please note that ICICI

Prudential Freedom SIPis different from ICICI Prudential Freedom SWP.The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. *For more information visit www.icicipruamc.com

ICICI Prudential Freedom SIP* is a combination of Smart Features, to help investors achieve their Financial Goals. Freedom SIP

allows investors to switch the SIP investments to a target scheme, post completion of the SIP tenure & monthly SWP will

continue from the target scheme.

Page 32: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Triggers

32

We may re-visit our strategies & recommendations

once these factors come into action

US INFLATION CRUDE

US acknowledging

inflation & in

conclusion pausing

stimulus

US Treasury Yields

reaching 2%

Crude Oil touching

60$/bbl may lead to

high inflation

US 10Y TREASURY

YIELDS

Page 33: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Our Equity Valuation Index

Our Equity Valuation at

this juncture

recommends staggered

investment with a

minimum horizon of 3-5

Yrs coupled with

‘Dynamic Asset

Allocation Scheme’

33

110.98

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

Nov-06

Nov-07

Nov-08

Nov-09

Nov-10

Nov-11

Nov-12

Nov-13

Nov-14

Nov-15

Nov-16

Nov-17

Nov-18

Nov-19

Nov-20

Aggressively invest in Equities

Neutral

Incremental Money to Debt

Book Partial Profits

Invest in Equities

Equity Valuation index is calculated by assigning equal weights to Price-to-Earnings (PE), Price-to-Book (PB), G-Sec*PE and Market Cap to GDP ratio. G-Sec – Government Securities. GDP – Gross Domestic Product, Data as of Nov 30, 2020

Page 34: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

FIXED INCOME OUTLOOK:

Turning Points Ahead

34

Page 35: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Data as on Dec 31, 2020, CRISIL Research, Morgan Stanley Research. Fed – Federal Reserve, RBI – Reserve Bank of India, WHO, World Health Organization, PM – Prime Minister, MPC – Monetary Policy Committee, AMC – Asset

Management Company. Past performance may or may not sustain in future

5.7

5.9

6.1

6.3

6.5

6.7

5.5

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20

10 Yr- Gsec (%) Budget

Presented

US Fed cuts

rate by 100 bps

RBI announces Special

Liquidity Facility for

Mutual Funds RBI keeps

rates unchanged

RBI's bond auction

sees record devolvement

resulting in yield spike

RBI Kept rate unchanged

but open up its arsenal US Fed cuts

rate by 50 bps

RBI cuts rates

by 40 bps

Second Half borrowing

calendar announced

RBI keeps rates unchanged

without rocking the boat

One of the AMC

closes six high

yielding schemes

RBI cuts rates by

75 bps, Govt. announces

measures

35

Rear-View Mirror: Glancing through 2020 (Fixed Income)

Page 36: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Accommodative stance coupled with abundant liquidity and aggressive rate cut enabled the yield curve to soften

(Bull steepening: Short term rates fell more than the long term rates)

Yield Curve Movement

3

4

5

6

7

5 Yrs 10 Yrs 1M 3M 6M 1 Yr

31-Dec-20

2Yrs 3 Yrs

31-Dec-19

3

4

5

6

7

8 Yield Curve – Gsec (%) Yield Curve – Corporate Bond (%)

1M 3M 6M 1 Yr

31-Dec-20

2Yrs 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 10 Yrs

31-Dec-19

36 Data as on Dec 31, 2020, CRISIL Research

Page 37: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Outlook 2021 – Turning Points Ahead

NOTE: Turning Points may play out earlier or later than anticipated. If the turning points play out sooner than

anticipated, then we may come with an interim communication

37

Past few years have been favourable for fixed income as an asset class with RBI stance

remaining supportive in terms of aggressive rate cuts and resulting abundant liquidity. These

conditions created a conducive environment for duration and high quality instruments.

However, the road to 2021 & beyond, consists of various Turning Points, which we believe

may change the course of current market direction, leading to increased volatility and

returns moderation. We would like to present various indicators which we believe are

at/close to their turning points. Hence, we believe, this phase may require investment

portfolios to be managed actively with focus on accrual strategy

Page 38: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

TURNING POINTS

38

Page 39: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Major Changes in Debt post 2013

Formation

of MPC

Inflation

Targeting

Importance of

Real Rates

39

MPC – Monetary Policy Committee

Page 40: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Triggers – Macros to be critical going forward

HISTORICAL DEBT CYCLE PRE-2013 POST 2013: EXPECTED DEBT CYCLE

2004 2008 2017

2017 2019 2018 2020 2021E

LONG DEBT CYCLE:

• At the turnings points higher volatility

• Debt cycle were extended based on the RBI

stance

SHORTER DEBT CYCLE:

• More Volatility in short term, but

stable cycle for long term

• MPC Committee focus on inflation,

will not allow debt cycle to extend

TURNING POINT:

Post COVID, Is there a turning

point in the RBI stance based on

growth & inflation dynamics

??????

40 RBI – Reserve Bank of India, MPC – Monetary Policy Committee, COVID – Coronavirus Disease, E - Estimated

Page 41: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Neutral

Calibrated

Tightening

Neutral

Turning Point in Rate Cut and Stance

We are close to all time low repo rates with 250 bps reduction in this rate cut cycle. We assign low probability for

rate cuts and expect RBI to rationalize its stance based on the growth and inflation dynamics going forward

6.5

Accommodative

6.0

4.0

7.0

6.5

6.0

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

Ja

n-1

8

Ma

r-1

8

Ma

y-1

8

Ju

l-1

8

Sep

-18

No

v-1

8

Ja

n-1

9

Ma

r-1

9

Ma

y-1

9

Ju

l-1

9

Sep

-19

No

v-1

9

Ja

n-2

0

Ma

r-2

0

Ma

y-2

0

Ju

l-2

0

Sep

-20

No

v-2

0

Repo Rate (%)

41 Data as on Dec 31, 2020, Source: RBI

Page 42: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Shift from Conventional Inflation Targeting Framework ?

RBI may look through a high inflation phase till the growth recovers completely,

this may result in negative real rates which may be negative for fixed income markets

42

1

3

5

7

9

Jan

-1

4

Jul-

14

Dec-1

4

Jun

-1

5

Dec-1

5

Jun

-1

6

Dec-1

6

Jun

-1

7

Dec-1

7

Jun

-1

8

Dec-1

8

Jun

-1

9

Dec-1

9

Jun

-2

0

Repo Rates & Inflation (%)

CPI (%) Repo (%)

Dec-2

0

Data as on Nov 30, CRISIL Research

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

0

3

6

9

12

Jan

-1

3

Feb-14

Mar-15

May-1

6

Jun

-1

7

Au

g-18

Sep-1

9

Real R

ates (

%)

10

Yr-G

Sec and C

PI (

%)

Real Rates – 10 Yr G-Sec & Inflation

Real Rates CPI (%) 10Y-Gsec (%)

Nov-2

0

Page 43: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Turning Point in Inflation

Inflation may remain sticky as the food prices remain elevated due to supply chain shocks post COVID-19 and

due to commodity prices which have started to inch-up

43

330

350

370

390

410

430

450

Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20

Commodity Prices - CRB Index

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Jan

-20

Feb-2

0

Mar-20

Apr-2

0

May-2

0

Ju

n-2

0

Ju

l-20

Au

g-2

0

Sep-2

0

Oct-20

Nov-20

CPI Components

Food and beverages Pan, tobacco and intoxicants

Clothing and footwear Housing

Fuel and light Miscellaneous

Data as on Dec 30, Source : Morgan Stanley Research

Page 44: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Turning Point in Liquidity

Liquidity has remained abundant in system due to slowdown in economic activity, high capital flows, RBI’s

Fx Operations and accommodative stance.

We expect a turning point in liquidity conditions from abundant to moderate.

44

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

(4)

(2)

0

2

4

6

8

Jun

-1

4

Mar-15

Nov-15

Au

g-16

Apr-17

Jan

-1

8

Oct-18

Jun

-1

9

Mar-20

Nov-20

% o

f t

otal D

epo

sit

s

Bank D

epo

sit

s w

ith/(from

) R

BI

Bank Deposits (INR Tn)

Bank deposits with/(from) RBI % of deposits (RHS)

304

341 356

370

424 412

476

575

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Mar 14Mar 15Mar 16Mar 17Mar 18Mar 19Mar 20 Nov 20

India Foreign Currency Assets (US$ Tn)

Data as on Dec 30, Source : CLSA Research. RBI-Reserve Bank of India, Fx – Foreign Exchange

Page 45: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Turning Point in Returns

Capital appreciation strategy played out meaningfully due to ultra-loose monetary policy and

AAA(1-4 Yrs) segment benefitted the most. Going forward returns expectations need to be rationalized

45

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20

AAA Yield (%)

• A

COVID

Phase

NBFC Crisis

Demonetization

Phase

10.5%

8.7%

9.8%

6.0%

6.7%

9.5%

10.3%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

CY

-2014

CY

-2015

CY

-2016

CY

-2017

CY

-2018

CY

-2019

CY

TD

-202

0

CRISIL Short Term Bond Fund Index Returns

(%)

Data as on Dec 30, Source : CRISIL Research

Page 46: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

To Sum Up: Turning Point in Fixed Income

LAST COUPLE OF YEARS

Scenario

Easy Monetary Policy + Interest Rate Cuts

=

led to higher returns for Duration Funds

COMING FEW YEARS

Scenario

Limited room for rate cut + liquidity conditions might

moderate + shift in ultra-loose monetary stance

=

May result in some volatility

Strategy

Long Duration Funds and Passive Long Duration Funds

Strategy

• Be nimble, recommend active management strategy

• Positive on accrual strategy as the yields of spread assets are

reasonable compared to AAA papers and money market

instruments

46

Page 47: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Summary – Fixed Income Outlook

47

• Capital gain strategy has played out meaningfully and going forward returns expectations need to be

rationalized

• Going forward accrual strategy is expected to take the driving seat

• RBI may continue to maintain accommodative stance and may look through the high inflation phase,

but may start to rationalize stance once the economy stabilizes

• Going forward, we assign low probability for rate cuts due to change in growth and inflation dynamics

• In the coming quarters, we expect liquidity to moderate as the growth & economic activity picks-up

• In the current phase, more nimble and active duration management strategy is recommended to

benefit from high term premium

• We recommend Accrual strategy with an aim to benefit from higher carry

Page 48: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

STRATEGY GOING FORWARD

Accrual and Active Duration (AA)

48

Page 49: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Turning Point in Debt Cycle & Product Strategy

Interest R

ate

Time

Interest Rate Hike

Period :

Low duration funds

Interest Rate Pause

Period :

Active Duration

Management

Interest Rate Fall Period :

High Duration Funds and

Passive Long Duration

Strategy

Interest Rate Pause Period :

Active Duration

Management

We are here

Accrual Strategy

49

Page 50: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Yield Curve Positioning & Product Strategy

KEY TAKEAWAY:

Duration needs to be

managed actively at this

current juncture. We may

advocate barbell strategy at

this juncture by having

higher duration which may

provide better carry and

lower duration to provide

manage interest rate

volatility

50

Active

Management :

Opportunistic

Exposure

Risk reward

benefit

moderate to

low Low carry

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

1M 3M 6M 1 Yr 2Yrs 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 10 Yrs

Gsec Yield Curve (%) Corporate Bond Yield Curve (%)

Data as on Dec 30, CRISIL Research

Page 51: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Current Scenario – Accrual Strategy

Instrument

Type

Yields (%)

31-Dec-19 31-Dec-20

AAA(3 Year) 6.80 4.80

A1+(6Mnth CD) 5.56 3.49

Repo Rate 5.15 4.00

Gsec(10 Year) 6.51 5.95

AA(3 Year) 7.85 7.56

A(3 Year) 9.47 8.81

51

High Duration

Aggressively in

High Duration

Low Duration

200 207

115

56

29

66

0

50

100

150

200

250

AA

A(3 Y

ear)

A1+

(6M

nth C

D)

Repo R

ate C

ut

Gsec(10 Y

ear)

AA

(3 Y

ear)

A(3 Y

ear)

Rate Transmission (bps) for CY 2020

Value Zone

Expensive Zone

Source: CRISIL Research, Data as on Dec 31, 2020, CD – Certificate of Deposit, bps – basis points, Past performance may or may not sustain in future

Page 52: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Current Scenario – Active Duration

52

Currently, the term

premium is at one of the

highest levels seen in the

last 10 years and active

duration may help in

capturing the same with

adequate risk

management

Avg. 78 bps

250 bps

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Dec-02

Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

Dec-12

Dec-13

Dec-14

Dec-15

Dec-16

Dec-17

Dec-18

Dec-19

Dec-20

Term Premium

Term Premium (10 Yr Gsec - 1 Yr Tbill) % Long Term Average Premium %

Source: CRISIL Research, Data as on Dec 30, 2020. Past performance may or may not sustain in future

Page 53: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Our Debt Valuation Index for Duration Risk Management

We remain cautious on

duration and recommend

active duration management.

Barbell strategy (combination

of high duration and low

duration instrument) maybe

followed to benefit from high

term premium and mitigate

interest rate volatility

53

Very Cautious

Aggressive

Very Aggressive

Cautious

Data as on Dec 31, 2020. Debt Valuation Index considers WPI, CPI, Sensex returns, Gold returns and Real estate returns over G-Sec yield, Current Account Balance and Crude Oil Movement for calculation.

Dec-17

Feb-18

Apr-18

Jun-18

Aug-18

Oct-18

Dec-18

Feb-19

Apr-19

Jun-19

Aug-19

Oct-19

Dec-19

Feb-20

Apr-20

Jun-20

Aug-20

Oct-20

Dec-20

Very Cautious

Cautious

Moderate

Aggressive

Very Aggressive

Page 54: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Fixed Income scheme

recommendations: 2021

54

Page 55: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Scheme Recommendations – Fixed Income/Arbitrage

55

Approach Scheme Name Call to Action Rationale

Arbitrage ICICI Prudential Equity Arbitrage Fund Invest with 3 Months &

above horizon

Spreads at

reasonable levels

Short Duration

ICICI Prudential Savings Fund

ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund

ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund

Invest for parking surplus

funds

Accrual +

Moderate Volatility

Accrual Schemes

ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund

ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund

Core Portfolio with >1

Yr investment horizon

Better Accrual

Dynamic Duration ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund

Long Term Approach

with >3 Yrs investment

horizon

Active Duration

and Better Accrual

Page 56: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Portfolio Positioning

56

• Across our portfolios we aim to manage duration actively

• In short duration schemes, we aim to run Barbell Strategy to benefit from term

premium and to reduce interest rate volatility

• In Schemes which aim to invest in short end of the yield curve, we have added

exposure towards Floating Rate Bonds (FRB)

• We have added good quality AA Corporate Bond in select portfolios, due to

higher spread premium

Page 57: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

57

Investment Objective^: ICICI Prudential PMS Contra Strategy seeks to generate capital appreciation by investing predominantly in equity and equity related

instruments through contrarian investing.

Basis for Selection of Securities: The Portfolio Manager follows „Contra‟ style of investing which involves taking contradictory bets on equity stocks i.e. taking

calls/exposure on underperforming stocks which are currently not in favour in the market but are expected to do well in the long run. The Portfolio Manager may also

select stocks of companies in sectors where entry barriers are high, sectors in consolidation or of companies in special situation.

Investor’s may invest with us directly as well. To invest in any of our PMS strategies directly, kindly write to us at [email protected]

The investment strategy, approach and the structure of the portfolio herein involves risk and there can be no assurance that specific objectives will be met under differing market conditions or cycles. The investment strategy

and the composition of the portfolio as stated herein is only indicative in nature and is subject to change within the provisions of the disclosure document and client agreement. ̂ The details pertaining to the investment

approach mentioned herein is a subset of details specified in the Disclosure Document. Kindly refer the Disclosure Document for the detailed investment approach and risk factors before investing. The key attributes

mentioned above are indicative in nature. The Investment Manager may or may not consider all of the above key attributes and may consider such other attributes than as mentioned above

What is Contrarian Investing?

Key Features

Aims to invest in companies with a

less positive sentiment, possibly due

to temporary headwinds.

Out of Flavour Focus

On Sectors/Stocks where

widespread pessimism about a

company may drive prices low.

Avoids

Stocks/Sectors where optimism results in

high valuation that may lead to correction

when not justified by fundamentals.

1 2 3

Investment Horizon:

4 Years & Above

Benchmark Index:

S & P BSE 200

Minimum Investment Amount: Rs.50,00,000

Our PMS Strategies –

ICICI Prudential PMS Contra Strategy

Page 58: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

58

Investment Objective^: ICICI Prudential PMS Flexicap Strategy is a diversified equity strategy that endeavours to achieve long term capital appreciation and

generate returns by investing across market capitalisations.

Basis for Selection of Securities: The Portfolio Manager selects equity and equity related securities of companies from the listed universe space across

market capitalisation which fit into the investment strategy of the portfolio. The Portfolio Manager uses a blend of top-down and bottom-up approach for stock

selection. The top-down approach helps to identify key macro-economic and sectoral themes for stock selection. The bottom-up approach helps to identify

companies that are believed to be attractive investment opportunities in various industries and market conditions

Investor’s may invest with us directly as well. To invest in any of our PMS strategies directly, kindly write to us at [email protected]

The investment strategy, approach and the structure of the portfolio herein involves risk and there can be no assurance that specific objectives will be met under differing market conditions or cycles. The investment strategy

and the composition of the portfolio as stated herein is only indicative in nature and is subject to change within the provisions of the disclosure document and client agreement. ̂ The details pertaining to the investment

approach mentioned herein is a subset of details specified in the Disclosure Document. Kindly refer the Disclosure Document for the detailed investment approach and risk factors before investing. The key attributes

mentioned above are indicative in nature. The Investment Manager may or may not consider all of the above key attributes and may consider such other attributes than as mentioned above.

A Flexicap Approach

Key Features

Investment Universe is the broad-based

market cap range. Follows GARP (growth

at reasonable price) philosophy to identify

stocks with growth prospects available at

reasonable valuations

Identification: Investment Style:

Comprises a „core‟ and „satellite‟

portfolio strategy. Follows a mix of a

top-down and a bottom-up approach

which varies from time to time

Portfolio Construction:

Top-down approach helps to identify

key macro economic & sectoral

themes. The bottom-up approach helps

to identify attractive companies in

various industries & market conditions.

1 2 3

Investment Horizon:

4 Years & Above

Benchmark Index:

S & P BSE 200

Minimum Investment Amount: Rs.50,00,000

Our PMS Strategies –

ICICI Prudential PMS Flexicap Strategy

Page 59: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Solution to the Puzzle

59

Investment Ideas of 2021

• Asset Allocation

• Business Cycle

• Special Situation

• Dividend Yield

• Focused Equity

• Value

• Active Duration

• Accrual

Page 60: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Riskometers

60

ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund (An open ended dynamic asset allocation fund) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Long term wealth creation solution

An equity fund that aims for growth by investing in equity and derivatives.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Long term wealth creation

An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund (An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy) is suitable for investors who are

seeking*:

Long term wealth creation

An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Business Cycle Fund (An open ended equity scheme following business cycles based investing theme) is suitable for investors who

are seeking*:

Long Term wealth creation

An equity scheme that invests in Indian markets with focus on riding business cycles through dynamic allocation between various sectors and

stocks at different stages of business cycles

*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

Page 61: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

61

ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund (An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA and below rated corporate bonds) is suitable for

investors who are seeking*:

Medium term savings

A debt scheme that aims to generate income through investing predominantly in AA and below rated corporate bonds while

maintaining the optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund (An open ended medium term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay

duration of the portfolio is between 3 Years and 4 Years. The Macaulay duration of the portfolio is 1 Year to 4 years under anticipated)

adverse situation is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Medium term savings

A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while maintaining optimum balance

of yield, safety and liquidity

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

Macaulay duration is the weighted average term to maturity of the cash flows from a bond. The weight of each cash flow is determined by dividing the present value of the cash flow by the price

ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks) is suitable for investors who

are seeking*:

Long Term wealth creation

An open ended equity scheme that seeks to generate capital appreciation by predominantly investing in equity and equity related

securities of small cap companies.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Dividend Yield Equity Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in dividend yielding stocks)

suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Long Term wealth creation

An open ended equity scheme that aims for growth by primarily investing in equity and equity related instruments of dividend yielding companies.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

Riskometers

Page 62: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

62

ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund (An open ended dynamic debt scheme investing across duration) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

All duration savings

A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while maintaining optimum balance of yield,

safety and liquidity

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund (An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments (including

fixed rate instruments converted to floating rate exposures using swaps/derivatives) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Short term savings

An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund (An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay

duration of the portfolio is between 3 months and 6 monthsis suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Short term regular income

An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in a range of debt and money market instruments

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Long Term wealth creation

An open-ended equity scheme that aims for capital appreciation by investing in diversified mid cap companies.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

Riskometers

Page 63: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

63

ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund (An open ended equity scheme following special situations theme) is suitable for investors who are seeking*

Long term wealth creation

An equity scheme that invests in stocks based on special situations theme.

*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

ICICI Prudential Savings Fund (An open ended low duration debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 6

months and 12 months) is suitable for investors who are seeking*

Short term savings

An open ended low duration debt scheme that aims to maximize income by investing in debt and money market instruments while maintaining

optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity

*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

Riskometers

ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FoF) (An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and

gold ETFs/ schemes) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

Long Term wealth creation

An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETF/schemes.

*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

Investors may please note that they will be bearing the recurring expenses of this Scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which this Scheme makes investment.

ICICI Prudential Focused Equity Fund (An open ended equity scheme investing in maximum 30 stocks across market-capitalisation i.e focus on

multicap) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

• Long term wealth creation

• An open ended equity scheme investing in maximum 30 stocks across market-capitalisation.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

Page 64: TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India

Riskometer & Disclaimer

64

Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

All figures and other data given in this document are dated. The same may or may not be relevant at a future date. The AMC takes no responsibility of updating any data/information in this material from time to

time. The information shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI

Prudential Asset Management Company Limited. Prospective investors are advised to consult their own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal and other financial implication or

consequence of subscribing to the units of ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund. Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future.

Disclaimer: In the preparation of the material contained in this document, ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd. (the AMC) has used information that is pub- licly available, including Budget speech and

information developed in-house. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this stock(s).

Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from mem- bers/persons other than the AMC and/or its affiliates and which may have been made available to the AMC and/or to its affiliates.

Information gathered and material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. The AMC however does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and / or completeness of any informa- tion. We

have included statements / opinions / recommendations in this document, which contain words, or phrases such as “will”, “expect”, “should”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions,

that are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respect to, but

not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on our services and / or investments, the monetary and interest policies

of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or other rates or prices etc. ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Lim- ited (including its

affiliates), the Mutual Fund, The Trust and any of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special,

exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. Further, the information contained herein should not be construed as forecast or promise or

investment advice. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any decision taken on this material.

ICICI Prudential Equity Arbitrage Fund (An open ended scheme investing in arbitrage opportunities) is suitable for investors who are seeking*

Short Term Income Generation

A hybrid scheme that aims to generate low volatility returns by using arbitrage and other derivative strategies in equity markets and investments in debt and

money market instruments

*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund (An open ended equity scheme following Infrastructure theme) is suitable for investors who are seeking*

Long Term Wealth Creation

An open ended equity scheme that aims for growth by primarily investing in companies belonging to infrastructure & allied sectors

*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.