TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India
Transcript of TURNING POINTS AHEAD - Mutual Funds India
2021
TURNING POINTS AHEAD
OUTLOOK
Puzzle to Unlock the Investment Ideas of 2021
2
The solution to this
quiz is at the end of
the presentation
Recap: Our Calls In 2020
COVID- Coronavirus disease, RBI – Reserve Bank of India, AMC – Asset Management Company
MARCH-20:
Invest Aggressively in Equities
OUR CALLS
RECAP
RATIONALE
APR-20:
Invest across Fixed Income Space
including Accrual schemes
OCT-20:
Invest lumpsum in Special Situation,
Value, Dividend Yield & Focused Category
NOV-20:
Do not redeem & continue investment
in Asset Allocation Schemes
Valuations post COVID-19
correction attractive
Winding up of select schemes by an AMC.
Valuations in AA & below segments
attractive. RBI expected to cut rates
Valuations gap between Value and
Growth high & US Election triggers
Markets neither expensive nor
cheap
3
Rear-View Mirror: Glancing Through 2020 (Equity)
23,000
28,000
33,000
38,000
43,000
48,000
Ja
n/20
Feb/20
Mar/20
Apr/20
May/2
0
Ju
n/20
Ju
l/20
Aug/2
0
Se
p/20
Oct/20
Nov/20
Dec/20
S&
P B
SE
Sensex L
evels
India FM presents
Union Budget FY21
India PM announces
national lockdown to
combat COVID-19
US announces
$2Tn.fiscal stimulus
India FM announces INR
1.7Tn. relief package India PM declares COVID
relief package of INR 20Tn.
India COVID
curve flattens
India FM
announces 3rd
stimulus package
Govt. extends
PLI scheme
New US
president
elected
Pfizer & Moderna announce
COVID vaccine candidates
India Q1FY21 GDP
slumps to -23.9%
Unlock 1.0
initiated in India
India-China Border
tensions rise
Indian Markets
witness large FPI
flows
4
Source: KPMG, www.indiabudget.gov.in, Ministry of Finance, NSO, www.pmindia.gov.in, CNN, NSE, BSE NSDL. Data as of Dec 18, 2020. COVIDE-19 Coronavirus Disease 2019, US – United States, GDP – Gross Domestic Product, FM –
Finance Minister, PM – Prime Minister, PLI – Production Linked Incentive, FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investors. Past performance may or may not sustain in future
GLOBAL MARKETS
IN 2020
Map not to scale. This map has been used for design and representational purpose only, it does not depict the geographical boundaries of the country. These do not conform to the external boundaries of
India recognized by the Survey of India.
Global Indices Performance – Emerging Markets steal the show
South Taiwan India Japan China US Germany Brazil Indonesia Hong France Russia Singapore UK
Korea Kong
28%
19% 14%
13% 10%
6%
Absolute Performance in 2020 (%)
3%
2%
-5% -6% -8%
-12% -12%
-14%
6
Germany - DAX Index; China - SSE Composite Index; France - CAC 40 Index; Japan - Nikkei; Hong Kong - HangSeng; US - Dow Jones; Singapore - Strait Times; Russia - RTS Index; Indonesia - Jakarta Composite Index; U.K. - FTSE; South Korea -
Kospi; Brazil - Ibovespa Sao Paulo Index; Indonesia – Jakarta Composite Index; Taiwan – Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation; India – S&P BSE Sensex; Returns in % terms. Data Source: MFI & ACEMF; Returns are absolute returns for the index
calculated between December 31, 2019 – December 24, 2020. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit
http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html
India – The darling of FPIs
INDIA INDONESIA KOREA THAILAND TAIWAN MALAYSIA
CY2013 19.8 -1.8 4.9 9.2 -6.2 1.1
CY2014 16.2 3.8 5.7 13.2 -1.1 -2.0
CY2015 3.3 -1.6 3.4 3.4 -4.4 5.1
CY2016 2.9 1.3 11.0 11.0 2.2 -0.6
CY2017 8.0 -3.0 5.8 5.8 -0.8 2.5
CY2018 -4.6 -3.7 -12.2 -12.2 -8.9 -2.9
CY2019 14.2 3.5 9.4 9.4 -1.5 -2.7
CY2020 21.5 -3.2 -17.6 -17.6 -8.3 -5.8
7
Foreign Flows to Emerging Markets (USD Bn)
Source: Edelweiss Research. Data as of Dec 21, 2020, FPI- Foreign Portfolio Investors.
INDIAN
EQUITY
MARKETS
IN 2020
S&P BSE SENSEX S&P BSE MIDCAP
Small & Midcaps trimmed sizable losses of last 2 consecutive years and ended the year on positive note
S&P BSE SMALLCAP
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Mid and Smallcap back with a vengeance
6%
14% 14%
0%
5%
10%
15%
2018 2019 2020
S&P BSE Sensex Returns
-13%
-3%
18%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
2018 2019 2020
S&P BSE Midcap Returns
-24%
-7%
29%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
2018 2019 2020
S&P BSE Smallcap Returns
Source: BSE India; Data as of Dec 24, 2020 Past performance may or may not be sustained in future
Sectoral Performance
Due to COVID impact,
defensive sectors like
Healthcare & IT
outperformed.
Cyclical sectors like
Banking & Financials
underperformed
10
62 58
20 17
16 15 13 12 11 10
3
-1 -5 -10
10
30
50
70
HC IT
Energy
CD
Tele
co
m
Metal
FM
CG
Auto
Pow
er
CG
In
fra
Oil &
Gas
Bankex
Returns (
%)
Absolute Returns (%) - CY 2020
All indices are of S&P BSE and carry the prefix of S&P BSE; Abbreviated CD - S&P BSE Consumer Durables; CG - S&P BSE Capital Goods; FMCG - S&P BSE Fast Moving Consumer Goods; HC - S&P BSE Health Care; Infra. - S&P BSE India
Infrastructure; IT - S&P BSE Information Technology, NBFC – Non-banking Finance Companies. Data Source: MFI, ACEMF ; Returns are absolute returns for the TRI variant of the index calculated between December 31, 2019– December 24,
2020; COVID – Coronavirus Disease. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. The sectors)/stock(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any
future position in this sector(s)/stock(s). MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html
FPIs – Double time lucky!
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FPI flows remained stronger than DII Flows in 2020 with last 2 months i.e. Nov-20 & Dec-20 witnessing large inflows
Source: Kotak Securities; Data as of Dec 18, 2020; FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investors; DII – Domestic Institutional Investors. DII includes Banks, Domestic Financial Institutions, Insurance, New Pension Scheme & Mutual Funds
9,559
5,036
-6,515
-3,356
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
CY
2013
CY
2014
CY
2015
CY
2016
CY
2017
CY
2018
CY
2019
Q4FY
20
Q1FY
21
Q2FY
21
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
FPI & DII Net Flows (US$ Mn)
FPI DII
Now that’s an interesting chart…
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IPO Season & Big becomes Bigger
Three of the biggest
IPOs for US Tech
companies
have been in 2020 –
Snowflake,
Airbnb, DoorDash
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Three of the biggest IPOs for US Tech
companies have been in 2020 – Snowflake,
Airbnb, DoorDash
2.1
2.2
2.6
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.9
4.1
8.1
16.0
Altice USA
Lyft
DoorDash
Airbnb*
Snap
Snowflake
Agere Systems
Uber
Amount Raised (USD Bn.)
May-12
May-19
Mar-01
Sep-20
Mar-17
Dec-20
Dec-20
Mar-19
Jun-17
Nov-13
IPO Date
14%
24%
10%
14%
18%
22%
CY
20
00
CY
20
02
CY
20
04
CY
20
06
CY
20
08
CY
20
10
CY
20
12
CY
20
14
CY
20
16
CY
20
18
CY
20
20
Top 5 companies as a % of S&P 500 Marketcap
2020 - Apple, Microsoft,
Amazon, Alphabet,
2000 - GE, Exxon Mobil,
Pfizer, Cisco, Citigroup
The top 5 companies in S&P 500 Index represent
~25% of the total Index Marketcap
Source: CNBC. Edelweiss Research. IPO Data as of Dec 11, 2020. Marketcap data as of Dec 2020. *Airbnb figure assumes underwriters buy allotted shares. IPO – Initial Public Offer. Past performance may or may not sustain in future. The
sectors)/stock(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this sector(s)/stock(s).
Negative Duos – Crude Oil Futures & Global Debt
Three of the biggest
IPOs for US Tech
companies
have been in 2020 –
Snowflake,
Airbnb, DoorDash
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WTI Crude oil futures for May 2020 crashed
due to excess inventory and COVID shock
Total outstanding debt globally in negative yield
zone is close to US $ 18 Trillion
-37.63
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
Dec-1
8
Apr-19
Au
g-19
Dec-1
9
Apr-20
Au
g-20
Dec-2
0
WTI Futures ($/Bbl)
18
0
5
10
15
20
Dec-1
3
Dec-1
4
Dec-1
5
Dec-1
6
Dec-17
Dec-1
8
Dec-1
9
Dec-2
0
Outstandin
g D
ebt (
$ T
n)
Negative Yield ($ Tn)
Source: Edelweiss Research, CRISIL. Data as of Dec 22, 2020. WTI – West Texas Intermediate. Past performance may or may not sustain in future
That feeling of 2008…
First time post 2008,
our Equity Valuation
Index entered the
Dark Green Zone
indicating a good
opportunity to invest
in equities at
reasonable price
Equity Valuation index is calculated by assigning equal weights to Price-to-Earnings (PE), Price-to-Book (PB), G-Sec*PE and Market Cap to GDP ratio. G-Sec – Government Securities. GDP – Gross Domestic Product,
Data as of Mar 31, 2020
15
78.9
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
Mar-06
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Invest in Equities
Aggressively invest in Equities
Neutral
Incremental Money to Debt
Book Partial Profits
Outlook 2021 – Turning Points Ahead
Past decade has been favourable for equity as an asset class with accommodative stance of
Global Central Banks to encourage Growth. We believe, markets may rally further with
continued accommodative policies of Global Central Banks primarily US. However, the road
to 2021 & beyond, consists of various Turning Points, which we believe may change the
course of current market direction, leading to a change in sectoral leadership & investment
styles. We would like to present various indicators which we believe are at/close to their
turning points. Hence, we believe, this phase may require investment portfolios to be
highly nimble while giving due importance to overall asset allocation
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NOTE: Turning Points may play out earlier or later than anticipated. If the turning points play out sooner than
anticipated, then we may come with an interim communication
POTENTIAL TURNING POINTS
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Over the last decade, Global Central Banks, have supported growth by maintaining a low interest rate
environment. Any change in the interest rate stance may be a turning point for the current market rally
Turning Point –
Normalization of Loose Monetary Policy
18
8.0
4.0
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
India Repo Rate (%)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
US 3Y, 5Y, 10Y Treasury Yields (%)
USGG3YR Index USGG5YR Index USGG12M IndexSource: RBI, Edelweiss Research. Data as Dec 21, 2020.
Global Economies have expanded their balance sheets manifold in the last decade thereby increasing
liquidity. Any change in the stance on quantum of stimulus may be a turning point for current market rally
Turning Point –
Normalization of Fiscal Stimulus
19
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Nov-08
Nov-10
Nov-12
Nov-14
Nov-16
Nov-18
Nov-20
Change in Central Banks Balance Sheets (%
of GDP, 12M change)
US EA Japan UK
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Oct 9
8
Oct 0
0
Oct 0
2
Oct 0
4
Oct 0
6
Oct 0
8
Oct 1
0
Oct 1
2
Oct 1
4
Oct 1
6
Oct 1
8
Oct 2
0
Global broad money supply (%, YoY)
Multi decade high
Source: Edelweiss Research, Morgan Stanley Research.
In the last decade, globally, inflation remained benign. However, easy liquidity may result in inflation picking up,
which may be a turning point for current market rally.
Commodity prices – one of the key indicators to gauge demand has already begun performing
Turning Point – Deflation to Reflation
20
1,200
1,600
2,000
2,400
2,800
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
LME Aluminium price (US$/ton)
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
LME Copper price (US$/ton)
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
LME Zinc price (US$/ton)
Source: Kotak Securities Ltd. LME – London Metal Exchange. Data as of Dec 23, 2020
Turning Point – Dollar Index & Emerging Markets
Dollar Index has begun
depreciating on the
back of significant
Monetary stimulus by
US Fed which may be a
positive for Emerging
Markets until the trend
reverses – A Turning
Point for Equity
Markets
21
30
50
70
90
90
100
110
120
130
140
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
MS
CI E
mergin
g M
arkets
Index
US
Dollar I
ndex
(D
XY
)
US Dollar Index Vs. MSCI Emerging Markets
US Dollar Index MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Source: Morgan Stanley Research. Data as of Dec 21, 2020. Prices have been re-based to 100. GFC – Global Financial Crisis. Past performance may or may not sustain in future
In the last decade, equity markets delivered decent returns in relatively less volatile period due to ample liquidity.
With limited room for rate cuts and fiscal stimulus there may be a turning point for current market rally
Turning Point – Volatility
22
Source: NSE. Data as of Dec 29, 2020. Past performance may or may not sustain in future
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
2000-2010 Equity Market Returns
(Nifty 50 Index)
Average
Returns:
24%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
2011-2020 Equity Market Returns
(Nifty 50 Index)
Average
Returns:
10%
Turning Point – Change in Market Cycles
Any change in Market Cycle may trigger a change in Business Cycle
BURST BORING BOOM BUBBLE
• Lehman Crisis 2008
• Dot com burst – 2001
• Credit in 2019
BETTER TIME
TO INVEST
• Equity Markets in
2009-2013
• Credit in 2020
• Real Estate in 2020
• Equity Markets
in 2012 & 2015
• Debt in 2016 (pre
demonetization)
• Equity Markets
in 2006 & 2017
• Equity Markets
Currently
• e-Commerce in 2014
• Bitcoin in 2017
• Equity in 2007 & 1999
/ 2000
Negative & Massive
Global Event
Attractive Valuations
No Flows
Neutral Valuations
Low Flows
High Valuations
High Flows
Expensive Valuations
Huge Flows
23
Source: MFIE, NSE. Data as of Dec 22, 2020. The sector(s)/stock(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this sector(s)/stock(s). Past
performance may or may not sustain in future. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html
Turning Point – Concentrated to Broad Based Rally
Post 2018 market fall, market
rally was concentrated and
led by Growth stocks. Going
forward, we expect the rally
to be more broad based on
the back of growth picking up
and expansionary policy
measures by Global Central
Banks
24
87%
29%
16% 18% 17%
-12%
-46% -60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Top 1
0
Top 1
1-20
Top 2
1-50
Top 5
1-100
101-250
251-500
>=
501
Marketcap Change (Since Feb'18 till Dec'20)
Total Universe considered is 3801 listed stocks. Stocks are arranged in descending order as per Marketcap. Marketcap change is considered for period between 28-Feb-18 and 23-Dec-20. Source: Edelweiss Research. Past
performance may or may not sustain in future
To Sum Up: Turning Point in Equity Markets
LAST DECADE
Scenario
Easy Monetary Policy + Interest Rate Cuts
=
led to Lower Volatility
NEXT DECADE
Scenario
Limited room for rate cut + Elevated Global equity valuations
=
May result in Volatility
Strategy
Positive for equities as an asset class and
long duration schemes
Strategy
• Macro environment dynamic. Investment Portfolios need to
be nimble to move across sectors/themes
• Asset Allocation strategies that tend to perform across time
periods, recommended
25
Equity Outlook – 2021
• We are currently in a Developed World Central Bank Bull Market
• Going forward, we expect multiple turning points and triggers in the coming years to dominate market
movement
• We believe, the current market rally may continue till the time certain turning points/ triggers play out
• Market volatility too may continue given uncertainty related to COVID and Global Central Bank policies
• Macro economic environment is going to be critical and we may witness change in sectoral leaderships
• Recent market rally was narrow driven by select Growth stocks. Going forward, we expect broad-based
reasonably valued companies to perform
• As highlighted earlier, we are in a boom phase and our recommendations can be summed up using the
acronym A-B-C-D (Please refer next slide for more details)
26
Investment Themes For 2021: ABCD
ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FOF) –
Takes exposure across asset classes i.e. Equity,
Debt & Gold
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund –
Dynamically manages equity & debt allocation basis
Market Valuations
ICICI Prudential Business Cycle Fund – Invest in
scheme which is nimble enough to move across
sectors/marketcap as Business Cycles change
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A
B D
C
The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document.
Strategies which are available at a Discount to the
broader markets – ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund,
ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund, ICICI Prudential
Dividend Yield Equity Fund, ICICI Prudential Focused
Equity Fund, ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund
Asset Allocation Strategies –
Better equipped to handle Turning Points
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ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FOF) aims to allocate across Equity, Debt & Gold basis relative valuations.
The scheme’s current exposure includes 53% Equity, 40% Debt & 6% Gold*
36%
83%
53%
41,254
29,468
44,150
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan
-2
0
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-2
0
Jun
-2
0
Jul-
20
Au
g-20
Sep-2
0
Oct-20
Nov-20
S&
P B
SE S
ensex
Levels
IC
IC
I P
rudentia
l A
sset A
llo
cator F
und
(FO
F) N
et E
quit
y L
evels
S&P BSE Sensex Levels Vs ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FOF) net equity exposure (%)
Net Equity Level S&P BSE Sensex
Source: MFI. Net Equity levels are as on month ends,. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes with in the provisions of the Scheme Information document of the scheme. Please refer to the SID for investment pattern, strategy
and risk factors. Data as on Nov 30, 2020. *Remaining portfolio consists of cash: 1%. The asset allocation and investment strategy of the Scheme will be as per Scheme Information Document. Past performance may or may not sustain in
future. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd. For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html. Investors may please note that they will be bearing the recurring expenses of this
Scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which this Scheme makes investment.
29
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund aims to allocate between Equity & Debt basis market valuations
41254
29468
44150
46
74
47
40
50
60
70
80
28000
32000
36000
40000
44000
Nov-19
Dec-1
9
Jan
-2
0
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-2
0
Jun
-2
0
Jul-
20
Au
g-20
Sep-2
0
Oct-20
Nov-20
IC
IC
I P
rudentia
l B
ala
nced A
dvantage
Fund N
et E
quit
y F
und L
evels
(%
)
S&
P B
SE
Sensex
S&P BSE Sensex Levels (Index) Vs. ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund (Scheme) Net
Equity Levels
S&P BSE Sensex Net Equity Exposure %
Source: BSE India & MFI, Data as of Nov 30, 2020. Period considered is Nov-19 to Nov-20. The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. MFI Explorer is a tool provided by ICRA Online Ltd.
For their standard disclaimer please visit http://www.icraonline.com/legal/standard-disclaimer.html
Asset Allocation Strategies –
Better equipped to handle Turning Points
Our Top SIP Recommendations
SIP
ICICI Prudential
Asset Allocator
Fund (FOF)
ICICI Prudential
Balanced
Advantage Fund
ICICI Prudential
Business Cycle Fund
30 SIP – Systematic Investment Plan, SWP – Systematic Withdrawal Plan. The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document.
Our Long term SIP Recommendations with Freedom SIP
SIP
ICICI Prudential
Value Discovery
Fund
ICICI Prudential
India Opportunities
Fund
ICICI Prudential
Bluechip Fund
ICICI Prudential
Focused Equity
Fund
ICICI Prudential
Midcap Fund &
ICICI Prudential
Smallcap Fund
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SIP – Systematic Investment Plan, SWP – Systematic Withdrawal Plan. ICICI Prudential Freedom SIP is an optional feature that allows initial investments through SIP, switch toanother scheme after a pre- defined tenure and
SWP post that. ^The SWP will be processed either till Dec2099 or till units are available in target scheme, whichever is earlier. Please read the terms and conditions inthe application form before investing..For source and
target scheme names,refer the Application Form of ICICI Prudential Freedom SIP. ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund reserves the right tomake changes in the source and target schemes. Investor may please note that ICICI
Prudential Freedom SIPis different from ICICI Prudential Freedom SWP.The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. *For more information visit www.icicipruamc.com
ICICI Prudential Freedom SIP* is a combination of Smart Features, to help investors achieve their Financial Goals. Freedom SIP
allows investors to switch the SIP investments to a target scheme, post completion of the SIP tenure & monthly SWP will
continue from the target scheme.
Triggers
32
We may re-visit our strategies & recommendations
once these factors come into action
US INFLATION CRUDE
US acknowledging
inflation & in
conclusion pausing
stimulus
US Treasury Yields
reaching 2%
Crude Oil touching
60$/bbl may lead to
high inflation
US 10Y TREASURY
YIELDS
Our Equity Valuation Index
Our Equity Valuation at
this juncture
recommends staggered
investment with a
minimum horizon of 3-5
Yrs coupled with
‘Dynamic Asset
Allocation Scheme’
33
110.98
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
Nov-06
Nov-07
Nov-08
Nov-09
Nov-10
Nov-11
Nov-12
Nov-13
Nov-14
Nov-15
Nov-16
Nov-17
Nov-18
Nov-19
Nov-20
Aggressively invest in Equities
Neutral
Incremental Money to Debt
Book Partial Profits
Invest in Equities
Equity Valuation index is calculated by assigning equal weights to Price-to-Earnings (PE), Price-to-Book (PB), G-Sec*PE and Market Cap to GDP ratio. G-Sec – Government Securities. GDP – Gross Domestic Product, Data as of Nov 30, 2020
FIXED INCOME OUTLOOK:
Turning Points Ahead
34
Data as on Dec 31, 2020, CRISIL Research, Morgan Stanley Research. Fed – Federal Reserve, RBI – Reserve Bank of India, WHO, World Health Organization, PM – Prime Minister, MPC – Monetary Policy Committee, AMC – Asset
Management Company. Past performance may or may not sustain in future
5.7
5.9
6.1
6.3
6.5
6.7
5.5
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20
10 Yr- Gsec (%) Budget
Presented
US Fed cuts
rate by 100 bps
RBI announces Special
Liquidity Facility for
Mutual Funds RBI keeps
rates unchanged
RBI's bond auction
sees record devolvement
resulting in yield spike
RBI Kept rate unchanged
but open up its arsenal US Fed cuts
rate by 50 bps
RBI cuts rates
by 40 bps
Second Half borrowing
calendar announced
RBI keeps rates unchanged
without rocking the boat
One of the AMC
closes six high
yielding schemes
RBI cuts rates by
75 bps, Govt. announces
measures
35
Rear-View Mirror: Glancing through 2020 (Fixed Income)
Accommodative stance coupled with abundant liquidity and aggressive rate cut enabled the yield curve to soften
(Bull steepening: Short term rates fell more than the long term rates)
Yield Curve Movement
3
4
5
6
7
5 Yrs 10 Yrs 1M 3M 6M 1 Yr
31-Dec-20
2Yrs 3 Yrs
31-Dec-19
3
4
5
6
7
8 Yield Curve – Gsec (%) Yield Curve – Corporate Bond (%)
1M 3M 6M 1 Yr
31-Dec-20
2Yrs 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 10 Yrs
31-Dec-19
36 Data as on Dec 31, 2020, CRISIL Research
Outlook 2021 – Turning Points Ahead
NOTE: Turning Points may play out earlier or later than anticipated. If the turning points play out sooner than
anticipated, then we may come with an interim communication
37
Past few years have been favourable for fixed income as an asset class with RBI stance
remaining supportive in terms of aggressive rate cuts and resulting abundant liquidity. These
conditions created a conducive environment for duration and high quality instruments.
However, the road to 2021 & beyond, consists of various Turning Points, which we believe
may change the course of current market direction, leading to increased volatility and
returns moderation. We would like to present various indicators which we believe are
at/close to their turning points. Hence, we believe, this phase may require investment
portfolios to be managed actively with focus on accrual strategy
TURNING POINTS
38
Major Changes in Debt post 2013
Formation
of MPC
Inflation
Targeting
Importance of
Real Rates
39
MPC – Monetary Policy Committee
Triggers – Macros to be critical going forward
HISTORICAL DEBT CYCLE PRE-2013 POST 2013: EXPECTED DEBT CYCLE
2004 2008 2017
2017 2019 2018 2020 2021E
LONG DEBT CYCLE:
• At the turnings points higher volatility
• Debt cycle were extended based on the RBI
stance
SHORTER DEBT CYCLE:
• More Volatility in short term, but
stable cycle for long term
• MPC Committee focus on inflation,
will not allow debt cycle to extend
TURNING POINT:
Post COVID, Is there a turning
point in the RBI stance based on
growth & inflation dynamics
??????
40 RBI – Reserve Bank of India, MPC – Monetary Policy Committee, COVID – Coronavirus Disease, E - Estimated
Neutral
Calibrated
Tightening
Neutral
Turning Point in Rate Cut and Stance
We are close to all time low repo rates with 250 bps reduction in this rate cut cycle. We assign low probability for
rate cuts and expect RBI to rationalize its stance based on the growth and inflation dynamics going forward
6.5
Accommodative
6.0
4.0
7.0
6.5
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
Ja
n-1
8
Ma
r-1
8
Ma
y-1
8
Ju
l-1
8
Sep
-18
No
v-1
8
Ja
n-1
9
Ma
r-1
9
Ma
y-1
9
Ju
l-1
9
Sep
-19
No
v-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
Ma
r-2
0
Ma
y-2
0
Ju
l-2
0
Sep
-20
No
v-2
0
Repo Rate (%)
41 Data as on Dec 31, 2020, Source: RBI
Shift from Conventional Inflation Targeting Framework ?
RBI may look through a high inflation phase till the growth recovers completely,
this may result in negative real rates which may be negative for fixed income markets
42
1
3
5
7
9
Jan
-1
4
Jul-
14
Dec-1
4
Jun
-1
5
Dec-1
5
Jun
-1
6
Dec-1
6
Jun
-1
7
Dec-1
7
Jun
-1
8
Dec-1
8
Jun
-1
9
Dec-1
9
Jun
-2
0
Repo Rates & Inflation (%)
CPI (%) Repo (%)
Dec-2
0
Data as on Nov 30, CRISIL Research
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
0
3
6
9
12
Jan
-1
3
Feb-14
Mar-15
May-1
6
Jun
-1
7
Au
g-18
Sep-1
9
Real R
ates (
%)
10
Yr-G
Sec and C
PI (
%)
Real Rates – 10 Yr G-Sec & Inflation
Real Rates CPI (%) 10Y-Gsec (%)
Nov-2
0
Turning Point in Inflation
Inflation may remain sticky as the food prices remain elevated due to supply chain shocks post COVID-19 and
due to commodity prices which have started to inch-up
43
330
350
370
390
410
430
450
Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20
Commodity Prices - CRB Index
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Jan
-20
Feb-2
0
Mar-20
Apr-2
0
May-2
0
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-20
Au
g-2
0
Sep-2
0
Oct-20
Nov-20
CPI Components
Food and beverages Pan, tobacco and intoxicants
Clothing and footwear Housing
Fuel and light Miscellaneous
Data as on Dec 30, Source : Morgan Stanley Research
Turning Point in Liquidity
Liquidity has remained abundant in system due to slowdown in economic activity, high capital flows, RBI’s
Fx Operations and accommodative stance.
We expect a turning point in liquidity conditions from abundant to moderate.
44
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
(4)
(2)
0
2
4
6
8
Jun
-1
4
Mar-15
Nov-15
Au
g-16
Apr-17
Jan
-1
8
Oct-18
Jun
-1
9
Mar-20
Nov-20
% o
f t
otal D
epo
sit
s
Bank D
epo
sit
s w
ith/(from
) R
BI
Bank Deposits (INR Tn)
Bank deposits with/(from) RBI % of deposits (RHS)
304
341 356
370
424 412
476
575
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Mar 14Mar 15Mar 16Mar 17Mar 18Mar 19Mar 20 Nov 20
India Foreign Currency Assets (US$ Tn)
Data as on Dec 30, Source : CLSA Research. RBI-Reserve Bank of India, Fx – Foreign Exchange
Turning Point in Returns
Capital appreciation strategy played out meaningfully due to ultra-loose monetary policy and
AAA(1-4 Yrs) segment benefitted the most. Going forward returns expectations need to be rationalized
45
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Dec-20
AAA Yield (%)
• A
COVID
Phase
NBFC Crisis
Demonetization
Phase
10.5%
8.7%
9.8%
6.0%
6.7%
9.5%
10.3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
CY
-2014
CY
-2015
CY
-2016
CY
-2017
CY
-2018
CY
-2019
CY
TD
-202
0
CRISIL Short Term Bond Fund Index Returns
(%)
Data as on Dec 30, Source : CRISIL Research
To Sum Up: Turning Point in Fixed Income
LAST COUPLE OF YEARS
Scenario
Easy Monetary Policy + Interest Rate Cuts
=
led to higher returns for Duration Funds
COMING FEW YEARS
Scenario
Limited room for rate cut + liquidity conditions might
moderate + shift in ultra-loose monetary stance
=
May result in some volatility
Strategy
Long Duration Funds and Passive Long Duration Funds
Strategy
• Be nimble, recommend active management strategy
• Positive on accrual strategy as the yields of spread assets are
reasonable compared to AAA papers and money market
instruments
46
Summary – Fixed Income Outlook
47
• Capital gain strategy has played out meaningfully and going forward returns expectations need to be
rationalized
• Going forward accrual strategy is expected to take the driving seat
• RBI may continue to maintain accommodative stance and may look through the high inflation phase,
but may start to rationalize stance once the economy stabilizes
• Going forward, we assign low probability for rate cuts due to change in growth and inflation dynamics
• In the coming quarters, we expect liquidity to moderate as the growth & economic activity picks-up
• In the current phase, more nimble and active duration management strategy is recommended to
benefit from high term premium
• We recommend Accrual strategy with an aim to benefit from higher carry
STRATEGY GOING FORWARD
Accrual and Active Duration (AA)
48
Turning Point in Debt Cycle & Product Strategy
Interest R
ate
Time
Interest Rate Hike
Period :
Low duration funds
Interest Rate Pause
Period :
Active Duration
Management
Interest Rate Fall Period :
High Duration Funds and
Passive Long Duration
Strategy
Interest Rate Pause Period :
Active Duration
Management
We are here
Accrual Strategy
49
Yield Curve Positioning & Product Strategy
KEY TAKEAWAY:
Duration needs to be
managed actively at this
current juncture. We may
advocate barbell strategy at
this juncture by having
higher duration which may
provide better carry and
lower duration to provide
manage interest rate
volatility
50
Active
Management :
Opportunistic
Exposure
Risk reward
benefit
moderate to
low Low carry
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
1M 3M 6M 1 Yr 2Yrs 3 Yrs 5 Yrs 10 Yrs
Gsec Yield Curve (%) Corporate Bond Yield Curve (%)
Data as on Dec 30, CRISIL Research
Current Scenario – Accrual Strategy
Instrument
Type
Yields (%)
31-Dec-19 31-Dec-20
AAA(3 Year) 6.80 4.80
A1+(6Mnth CD) 5.56 3.49
Repo Rate 5.15 4.00
Gsec(10 Year) 6.51 5.95
AA(3 Year) 7.85 7.56
A(3 Year) 9.47 8.81
51
High Duration
Aggressively in
High Duration
Low Duration
200 207
115
56
29
66
0
50
100
150
200
250
AA
A(3 Y
ear)
A1+
(6M
nth C
D)
Repo R
ate C
ut
Gsec(10 Y
ear)
AA
(3 Y
ear)
A(3 Y
ear)
Rate Transmission (bps) for CY 2020
Value Zone
Expensive Zone
Source: CRISIL Research, Data as on Dec 31, 2020, CD – Certificate of Deposit, bps – basis points, Past performance may or may not sustain in future
Current Scenario – Active Duration
52
Currently, the term
premium is at one of the
highest levels seen in the
last 10 years and active
duration may help in
capturing the same with
adequate risk
management
Avg. 78 bps
250 bps
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
Term Premium
Term Premium (10 Yr Gsec - 1 Yr Tbill) % Long Term Average Premium %
Source: CRISIL Research, Data as on Dec 30, 2020. Past performance may or may not sustain in future
Our Debt Valuation Index for Duration Risk Management
We remain cautious on
duration and recommend
active duration management.
Barbell strategy (combination
of high duration and low
duration instrument) maybe
followed to benefit from high
term premium and mitigate
interest rate volatility
53
Very Cautious
Aggressive
Very Aggressive
Cautious
Data as on Dec 31, 2020. Debt Valuation Index considers WPI, CPI, Sensex returns, Gold returns and Real estate returns over G-Sec yield, Current Account Balance and Crude Oil Movement for calculation.
Dec-17
Feb-18
Apr-18
Jun-18
Aug-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Jun-19
Aug-19
Oct-19
Dec-19
Feb-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Dec-20
Very Cautious
Cautious
Moderate
Aggressive
Very Aggressive
Fixed Income scheme
recommendations: 2021
54
Scheme Recommendations – Fixed Income/Arbitrage
55
Approach Scheme Name Call to Action Rationale
Arbitrage ICICI Prudential Equity Arbitrage Fund Invest with 3 Months &
above horizon
Spreads at
reasonable levels
Short Duration
ICICI Prudential Savings Fund
ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund
ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund
Invest for parking surplus
funds
Accrual +
Moderate Volatility
Accrual Schemes
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund
ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund
Core Portfolio with >1
Yr investment horizon
Better Accrual
Dynamic Duration ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund
Long Term Approach
with >3 Yrs investment
horizon
Active Duration
and Better Accrual
Portfolio Positioning
56
• Across our portfolios we aim to manage duration actively
• In short duration schemes, we aim to run Barbell Strategy to benefit from term
premium and to reduce interest rate volatility
• In Schemes which aim to invest in short end of the yield curve, we have added
exposure towards Floating Rate Bonds (FRB)
• We have added good quality AA Corporate Bond in select portfolios, due to
higher spread premium
57
Investment Objective^: ICICI Prudential PMS Contra Strategy seeks to generate capital appreciation by investing predominantly in equity and equity related
instruments through contrarian investing.
Basis for Selection of Securities: The Portfolio Manager follows „Contra‟ style of investing which involves taking contradictory bets on equity stocks i.e. taking
calls/exposure on underperforming stocks which are currently not in favour in the market but are expected to do well in the long run. The Portfolio Manager may also
select stocks of companies in sectors where entry barriers are high, sectors in consolidation or of companies in special situation.
Investor’s may invest with us directly as well. To invest in any of our PMS strategies directly, kindly write to us at [email protected]
The investment strategy, approach and the structure of the portfolio herein involves risk and there can be no assurance that specific objectives will be met under differing market conditions or cycles. The investment strategy
and the composition of the portfolio as stated herein is only indicative in nature and is subject to change within the provisions of the disclosure document and client agreement. ̂ The details pertaining to the investment
approach mentioned herein is a subset of details specified in the Disclosure Document. Kindly refer the Disclosure Document for the detailed investment approach and risk factors before investing. The key attributes
mentioned above are indicative in nature. The Investment Manager may or may not consider all of the above key attributes and may consider such other attributes than as mentioned above
What is Contrarian Investing?
Key Features
Aims to invest in companies with a
less positive sentiment, possibly due
to temporary headwinds.
Out of Flavour Focus
On Sectors/Stocks where
widespread pessimism about a
company may drive prices low.
Avoids
Stocks/Sectors where optimism results in
high valuation that may lead to correction
when not justified by fundamentals.
1 2 3
Investment Horizon:
4 Years & Above
Benchmark Index:
S & P BSE 200
Minimum Investment Amount: Rs.50,00,000
Our PMS Strategies –
ICICI Prudential PMS Contra Strategy
58
Investment Objective^: ICICI Prudential PMS Flexicap Strategy is a diversified equity strategy that endeavours to achieve long term capital appreciation and
generate returns by investing across market capitalisations.
Basis for Selection of Securities: The Portfolio Manager selects equity and equity related securities of companies from the listed universe space across
market capitalisation which fit into the investment strategy of the portfolio. The Portfolio Manager uses a blend of top-down and bottom-up approach for stock
selection. The top-down approach helps to identify key macro-economic and sectoral themes for stock selection. The bottom-up approach helps to identify
companies that are believed to be attractive investment opportunities in various industries and market conditions
Investor’s may invest with us directly as well. To invest in any of our PMS strategies directly, kindly write to us at [email protected]
The investment strategy, approach and the structure of the portfolio herein involves risk and there can be no assurance that specific objectives will be met under differing market conditions or cycles. The investment strategy
and the composition of the portfolio as stated herein is only indicative in nature and is subject to change within the provisions of the disclosure document and client agreement. ̂ The details pertaining to the investment
approach mentioned herein is a subset of details specified in the Disclosure Document. Kindly refer the Disclosure Document for the detailed investment approach and risk factors before investing. The key attributes
mentioned above are indicative in nature. The Investment Manager may or may not consider all of the above key attributes and may consider such other attributes than as mentioned above.
A Flexicap Approach
Key Features
Investment Universe is the broad-based
market cap range. Follows GARP (growth
at reasonable price) philosophy to identify
stocks with growth prospects available at
reasonable valuations
Identification: Investment Style:
Comprises a „core‟ and „satellite‟
portfolio strategy. Follows a mix of a
top-down and a bottom-up approach
which varies from time to time
Portfolio Construction:
Top-down approach helps to identify
key macro economic & sectoral
themes. The bottom-up approach helps
to identify attractive companies in
various industries & market conditions.
1 2 3
Investment Horizon:
4 Years & Above
Benchmark Index:
S & P BSE 200
Minimum Investment Amount: Rs.50,00,000
Our PMS Strategies –
ICICI Prudential PMS Flexicap Strategy
Solution to the Puzzle
59
Investment Ideas of 2021
• Asset Allocation
• Business Cycle
• Special Situation
• Dividend Yield
• Focused Equity
• Value
• Active Duration
• Accrual
Riskometers
60
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund (An open ended dynamic asset allocation fund) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Long term wealth creation solution
An equity fund that aims for growth by investing in equity and derivatives.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Long term wealth creation
An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund (An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy) is suitable for investors who are
seeking*:
Long term wealth creation
An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Business Cycle Fund (An open ended equity scheme following business cycles based investing theme) is suitable for investors who
are seeking*:
Long Term wealth creation
An equity scheme that invests in Indian markets with focus on riding business cycles through dynamic allocation between various sectors and
stocks at different stages of business cycles
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
61
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund (An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA and below rated corporate bonds) is suitable for
investors who are seeking*:
Medium term savings
A debt scheme that aims to generate income through investing predominantly in AA and below rated corporate bonds while
maintaining the optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund (An open ended medium term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay
duration of the portfolio is between 3 Years and 4 Years. The Macaulay duration of the portfolio is 1 Year to 4 years under anticipated)
adverse situation is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Medium term savings
A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while maintaining optimum balance
of yield, safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
Macaulay duration is the weighted average term to maturity of the cash flows from a bond. The weight of each cash flow is determined by dividing the present value of the cash flow by the price
ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks) is suitable for investors who
are seeking*:
Long Term wealth creation
An open ended equity scheme that seeks to generate capital appreciation by predominantly investing in equity and equity related
securities of small cap companies.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Dividend Yield Equity Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in dividend yielding stocks)
suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Long Term wealth creation
An open ended equity scheme that aims for growth by primarily investing in equity and equity related instruments of dividend yielding companies.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
Riskometers
62
ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund (An open ended dynamic debt scheme investing across duration) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
All duration savings
A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while maintaining optimum balance of yield,
safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund (An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments (including
fixed rate instruments converted to floating rate exposures using swaps/derivatives) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Short term savings
An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund (An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay
duration of the portfolio is between 3 months and 6 monthsis suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Short term regular income
An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in a range of debt and money market instruments
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Long Term wealth creation
An open-ended equity scheme that aims for capital appreciation by investing in diversified mid cap companies.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
Riskometers
63
ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund (An open ended equity scheme following special situations theme) is suitable for investors who are seeking*
Long term wealth creation
An equity scheme that invests in stocks based on special situations theme.
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
ICICI Prudential Savings Fund (An open ended low duration debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of the portfolio is between 6
months and 12 months) is suitable for investors who are seeking*
Short term savings
An open ended low duration debt scheme that aims to maximize income by investing in debt and money market instruments while maintaining
optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Asset Allocator Fund (FoF) (An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and
gold ETFs/ schemes) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
Long Term wealth creation
An open ended fund of funds scheme investing in equity oriented schemes, debt oriented schemes and gold ETF/schemes.
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
Investors may please note that they will be bearing the recurring expenses of this Scheme in addition to the expenses of the underlying Schemes in which this Scheme makes investment.
ICICI Prudential Focused Equity Fund (An open ended equity scheme investing in maximum 30 stocks across market-capitalisation i.e focus on
multicap) is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
• Long term wealth creation
• An open ended equity scheme investing in maximum 30 stocks across market-capitalisation.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them
Riskometer & Disclaimer
64
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
All figures and other data given in this document are dated. The same may or may not be relevant at a future date. The AMC takes no responsibility of updating any data/information in this material from time to
time. The information shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI
Prudential Asset Management Company Limited. Prospective investors are advised to consult their own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal and other financial implication or
consequence of subscribing to the units of ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund. Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future.
Disclaimer: In the preparation of the material contained in this document, ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd. (the AMC) has used information that is pub- licly available, including Budget speech and
information developed in-house. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this stock(s).
Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from mem- bers/persons other than the AMC and/or its affiliates and which may have been made available to the AMC and/or to its affiliates.
Information gathered and material used in this document is believed to be from reliable sources. The AMC however does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and / or completeness of any informa- tion. We
have included statements / opinions / recommendations in this document, which contain words, or phrases such as “will”, “expect”, “should”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions,
that are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respect to, but
not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on our services and / or investments, the monetary and interest policies
of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or other rates or prices etc. ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Lim- ited (including its
affiliates), the Mutual Fund, The Trust and any of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special,
exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. Further, the information contained herein should not be construed as forecast or promise or
investment advice. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any decision taken on this material.
ICICI Prudential Equity Arbitrage Fund (An open ended scheme investing in arbitrage opportunities) is suitable for investors who are seeking*
Short Term Income Generation
A hybrid scheme that aims to generate low volatility returns by using arbitrage and other derivative strategies in equity markets and investments in debt and
money market instruments
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund (An open ended equity scheme following Infrastructure theme) is suitable for investors who are seeking*
Long Term Wealth Creation
An open ended equity scheme that aims for growth by primarily investing in companies belonging to infrastructure & allied sectors
*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.