TURKCELL GROUP · DIRECT CARRIER BILLING BILL PAYMENT PAYCELL CARD MERCHANT SOLUTIONS 216% 3.2...
Transcript of TURKCELL GROUP · DIRECT CARRIER BILLING BILL PAYMENT PAYCELL CARD MERCHANT SOLUTIONS 216% 3.2...
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Q1 2020 Results
Q1 2020
Turkcell Group
April 29, 2020
Q1 2020 Results
Business Overview
Murat ErkanTurkcell CEO
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Q1 2020 Results
Q1 2020: Strong Start to the Year
REVENUE GROWTH
17.3%
6.7Bn TL
EBITDA MARGIN
42.2%
Up 2pp yoy
TOTAL SUBSCRIBERNET ADD
614K
towards 1Mn/y target
POSTPAIDSHARE
63.2%
Up 8pp yoy
MOBILEARPU GROWTH
21.5%
Double-digit growth
RESIDENTIAL FIBER ARPU GROWTH
13.4%
• Strong growth
Solid profitability
Strong net add
2 week/limited impact of COVID-19
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Q1 2020 Results
Note: Figures are based on IFRS. 1Excluding license fees
Turkcell Group Financials
Highlights
• Double digit revenue growth and strong operational profitability
• 2 week/limited impact of COVID-19
• Excluding the 772Mn TL transaction gain in Q119, yearly net income growth is 93%
Revenue 6,658 (0.4%) 17.3%
EBITDA 2,809 2.0% 23.1%
EBITDA Margin 42.2% 1.0pp 2.0pp
EBIT 1,437 6.5% 30.3%
EBIT Margin 21.6% 1.4pp 2.2pp
Net Income 873 15.5% (28.7%)
Opr. Capex/Sales1 12.6% (12.8pp) (3.0pp)
QoQ % YoY %Q1 2020MILLION TL
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Q1 2020 Results
1.9%
4.5%
2.0%
1.9% 2.1%1.7%
Q1 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
TURKEY SUBSCRIBERS ARPU
MONTHLY AVERAGE MOBILE CHURN RATE
21.0
12.2
Postpaid Prepaid
QoQ 679K↑ 113K↓ 34K↑ 28K↑
Net add
Operational Highlights
23K↓
1.5
0.7
59K
Fixed subscribers
0.7
IPTV
fiber ADSL
fiber
cable
ADSL
2.3
MILLIONTL
62.870.4 71.2
38.1
45.9 46.3
Mobile blended (excl.M2M)Q1 19 Q1 20
21.5% YoY
Fiber ResidentialQ1 19 Q1 20
13.4% YoY
Q4 19 Q4 19
63%Postpaid
Share
Total
614K↑
excluding the impact of regulatory change &
involuntary deactivated lines
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Q1 2020 Results
MOBILE POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
Shifting to a More Valuable Portfolio
18.718.9
19.4
20.4
21.0
Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
MILLION
(155K) 215K 503K 679KNet add 984K
55.4% 55.7% 56.3% 63.2%Postpaid
share 62.2%
• Solid performance in a seasonally weak quarter
• Strong start to 2020 with 679K postpaid net adds
• Rising postpaid share is encouraging
• More secure for upsell & collection during this fragile period
• Supportive of blended ARPU growth
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Q1 2020 Results
56
130
217
323
400
Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
SUBSCRIBER TREND
23K 73K 88K 106KNet Add
~2xthe ARPU of
fixed broadband
THOUSAND
76K
Superbox«The Brand for FWA»
• Sole alternative to fiber, offering fiber-like speed
• Demand rose %125 in late Mar; doubled in the first week of Apr
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Q1 2020 Results
• Standalone revenue growth: 29% yoy
• First enterprise customer on BiP Multicloud
• New: Digital Security Service
• Turkcell Data Management Platform: 1st phase concluded
• Efforts and campaigns in all our apps to motivate «stay-at-home»
Strategic Focus Areas: First Quarter Highlights
DIGITAL SERVICES
DIGITAL BUSINESS SOLUTIONS
TECHFIN SERVICES
• Strong topline growth continued: 42% yoy
• Secured nearly 700 new projects in Q1 2020
• Rise in demand for our services for remote working &education, security & cloud
• New city hospital inauguration on 20 April: earlier than scheduled
• Highest-ever yoy transaction volume growth in March with 146%
• Active Paycell app user growth 50%; active Paycell Card users doubled yoy
• Paycell integration with Istanbulkart mobile application
• Acceleration of payment habits into cashless methods
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Q1 2020 Results
3.44.4 4.7
7.4
10.8 11.6
5.9
9.0 9.8
Q1 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
Non 4.5G Users 4.5G Users Total Users
MOBILE DATA USAGE 4.5G SUBSCRIPTION
Growth Engine: Mobile Data
94% are 4.5G
subscribers
20 million with
4.5G compatible SPs89% are 4.5G
compatible SPs
Monthly data consumption of a 4.5G user reached to 13GB in March 2020
78% smartphone
penetration
31.0 30.7 31.4
18.5 19.2 20.4
Q1 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
4.5G subscribers 4.5G compatible smartphone
66%YoY data
usage growth
AV. GB/USER MILLION
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Q1 2020 Results
23 22
Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
Turkcell Op1 Op2
Leadership in Quality & ExperienceCUSTOMER EXPERIENCECONSUMER NET PROMOTER SCORE (POINTS)
LEADER IN QUALITY
Source: Future Bright
• Widest: 234 MHz spectrum
• Fastest: 1.2 Gbps LTE-Advanced/5G ready
• AI-based Smart network operation
• Fiber-to-the-home: 10Gbps NETWORK
SALES CHANNEL
• 1,315 exclusive stores
• 5,200+ non-exclusive stores
• Digital channel: Turkcell website and app
LEADER IN DISTRIBUTION
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Q1 2020 Results
16%
1 Figures are based on IFRS
Turkcell International
SUBSIDIARIES AT A GLANCE
Note: Remaining 5% comprises lifecell Germany, other international operations and intra-company eliminations. Ukraine, Belarus and TRNC local currency growth figures are based on stand-alone financials.
• 12% yoy revenue growth in local currency
• 4G user data usage: 10GB/month, ↑42% yoy
• 2% yoy revenue growth in local currency
• 4G user data usage: 11GB/month, ↑35% yoy
Lifecell Ukraine
Life :) Belarus
Revenue 560 (0.2%) 31.7%
EBITDA 250 2.5% 29.0%
EBITDA Margin 44.6% 1.1pp (1.0 pp)
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS1
10%
69%
KKTCell TRNC
• 14% yoy revenue growth
• Increasing contribution of fixed & corporate business
Q1 2020 Revenue ShareMILLION TL
QoQQ1 2020 YoY
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Q1 2020 Results
COVID-19 Impacts – Recap
• Rise in data usage in total network: 35%
• Customer acquisitions are:
• Mobile (postpaid): 35% lower• Fixed: 52% higher
• Churn:
• Mobile (postpaid): 37% lower• Fixed: 28% lower
• Accelerated demand for digital channel
• %30 more visitor• %76 more sales volume
• Digital Services
• Group video call in BiP increased 10x
• TV+ Login & session time: up by 15%
• Digital Business Solutions
• higher demand for cloud, security services
• city hospital projects accelerated & new ones
• Techfin solutions
• 30% increase in online payments
• 42% increase in DCB
• Quarantine rules apply in Ukraine and TRNC
• Stores open
• Customers are encouraged to use online channels
• Higher consumption (Ukraine):
• Voice traffic: 9%
• Data: 3%
OPERATIONS IN TURKEY STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
Note: Impact figures compare last week of March to last week of February
RISKS
IMPACTS
• Roaming revenue
• Prepaid revenue
• SME segment and equipment sales
• Lower acquisition
• Lower handset sales
• Roaming revenue
• Lower acquisition
• Prepaid dominated markets
• Price increase limitations
• Digital Business Solutions
• deferral of projects
• collection risk
• Techfin solutions
• decline in consumer finance business
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Q1 2020 Results
*Excluding license
2020 Guidance Revisited
REVISEDEXISTING IMPACTS
Long Term Opportunities
Techfin
Fixed Wireless Access
Faster Digitization of Service Channels
Faster Digitization of Customer
REVENUE GROWTH 10% - 12%13% - 16%
• Lower roaming revenues• Less mobility, store working hours• Lower handset sales, consumer finance• Risk at SME and equipment revenues
EBITDA MARGIN 40% - 42%39% - 42%• S&M savings • Overhead savings
OP.CAPEX/SALES* 17% - 19%16% - 18%• Revised revenue guidance• Level to preserve quality
EBIT MARGIN 19% - 21%18% - 21%• S&M savings • Overhead savings
Important notice: Revised guidance is based on a scenario where gradual normalization of pandemic related impacts starts in 3Q 2020
Q1 2020 Results
Financial Overview
Osman YılmazTurkcell CFO
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Q1 2020 Results
• Yearly incremental revenue generation of 1.0 bn TL in Q120
• Top-line impacted by slowdown in TCF and exit from Inteltek
• Growth excluding TCF and Inteltek: 20.8% yoy
Revenue
* Turkcell Consumer Finance Company (Financell)
5,675
6,658
905
135 (79) 22
RevenueQ119
Δ TurkcellTurkey
Δ TurkcellInternational
ΔTCF* Δ OtherSubsidiaries
RevenueQ120
17.3%
MILLION TL
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• 23.1% EBITDA growth via revenue increase & effective OPEX management
• 2.0pp yoy EBITDA margin improvement driven mainly by lower S&M expenses
2,281
2,2812,797 2,797 2,799 2,809
2,809983
(467)2 54 (44)
EBITDAQ119
Δ in Revenues
Δ in Direct cost of
revenues**
Δ in G&Aexpenses
Δ in S&Mexpenses
Δ Doubtful trade
receivables***
EBITDAQ120
EBITDA & EBIT
** Excluding depreciation and amortization *** net impairment losses on financial and contract assets
MILLION TL
23.1%Margin 40.2%
Margin 42.2%
EBIT: 1.10319.4%
EBIT: 1,43721.6%
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Q1 2020 Results
Techfin: Consumer Finance Business
HANDSET FINANCING
0.3 0.4 0.4
3.62.4 2.1
Q1 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
Turkcell Contracted Receivables Financell Consumer Loans
3.9
2.8
MILLION TLBILLION TL
• Declining portfolio due to regulation
• Potential further decline expected due to lower handset sales
• Potential increased CoR on BRSA’s resolution on deferral of payments
Revenue 162.5 (19.2%) (32.8%)
EBITDA 101.5 (21.0%) (7.2%)
EBITDA Margin 62.5% (1.4pp) 17.2pp
Net Income 64.3 (36.6%) (21.2%)
YoYQoQQ1 20202.5
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Q1 2020 Results
69%171 Million TL
DCB transactions
Techfin: Payment Services Platform
HIGHLIGHTS
• Value focus: 82% increase in non-group revenues, representing majority of revenues
• Change of payment habits towards cashless payment has set the scene for further growth for Paycell
• Big data analytics helping Paycell to achieve micro-segment marketing
• Upcoming: wide-spread use of QR code
FOUR PILLARS OF REVENUE GENERATION
DIRECT CARRIERBILLING
BILL PAYMENT
PAYCELL CARD
MERCHANT SOLUTIONS
216%3.2 million
3rd party Bill Payments
9.3KPoints Paycell Is
Accepted
73%52.6 million TL
Paycell Card transactions
61 57 58
7764
43 44 4232 36
71%77%
72%
42%
57%
Q119 Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120
Revenue EBITDAEBITDA Margin
MILLION TL
Note: Growth figures are based on non-group transactions and indicate y-o-y growth in Q1 2020.
4.6 million Paycell 3MAU*
2.4 billion TL Total transaction volume*
* includes direct carrier billing, bill payments and Paycell Cardtransaction volumes, both group and non-group
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Solid Balance Sheet
NET DEBT/ EBITDA
1 Excludes Turkcell Consumer Finance Company’s loan portfolio
TCF loan portfolio
Net Debt1
6,9757,658 8,213
2,7242,409 2,075
1.0x 1.0x 0.9x
0.7x 0.8x 0.8x
Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
Net Debt/EBITDA Net Debt/EBITDA 1
Total Cash 10,975 10,239 9,212
Total Assets 45,515 45,715 45,329
Total Debt 20,675 20,306 19,500
Lease Obligations 1,544 1,533 1,482
Total Equity 17,431 18,083 18,678
Net Debt 9,700 10,067 10,288
Net Debt1 6,975 7,658 8,213
SUMMARYMILLION TL
Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
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Liquidity Management• Maturity risk management: Average debt maturity around 5 years. Working capital is funded mainly through bank
loans matching the maturity of our obligations.
• Liquidity: Sufficient buffer to sustain operations with:
• ~1.4Bn USD equivalent cash, mostly in hard currency
• Lower debt service until 2023 (~1Bn USD in 3 years excluding short term local currency loans)
• Available credit lines from diversified funding sources
• Potential for further slow down in consumer finance business will mean additional working capital release
PRINCIPAL & INTEREST PAYMENTS*
*Data of Turkcell Group companies, excluding TCF
253 221 271 211
1,675
335
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024+
FX Local Currency
588
221 271 211
1,675~USD1.4Bn cash covers payments until 2024
USD MILLION
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Q1 2020 Results
(224)
216 207155
115 114
Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20
FX Exposure
USD MILLIONNET FX POSITION2
2 Including advance payments, derivative transactions for hedging purposes and excluding FX swap transactions1 Excluding FX swap transactions.
9.2Bn TLNominal
52%28%
11%
9%
CASH1 DEBT
Before Hedging After Hedging
19.5Bn TL
Share
USD EUR TRY Other
88%
5%7%
36%
4%
53%
8%
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Q1 2020 Results
Notice
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities ExchangeAct of 1934 and the Safe Harbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This includes, in particular, our targets for revenue, EBITDA,EBIT and capex in 2020 or for the medium term 2020 to 2022. More generally, all statements other than statements of historical facts included in thispresentation, including, without limitation, certain statements regarding the launch of new businesses, our operations, financial position and business strategymay constitute forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the written or oral use of forward-lookingterminology such as, among others, "will," "expect," "intend," "estimate," "believe", "continue" and “guidance”.
Although Turkcell believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable at this time, it can give no assurance that suchexpectations will prove to be correct. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us are expressly qualified in their entirety byreference to these cautionary statements. For a discussion of certain factors that may affect the outcome of such forward looking statements, see our AnnualReport on Form 20-F for 2019 filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and in particular the risk factor section therein. We undertake no duty toupdate or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The Company makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation, which remains subject toverification, completion and change. No responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by the Company or any of its subsidiaries, board members, officers,employees or agents as to or in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation or any other written or oralinformation made available to any interested party or its advisers.
Please note that all financial data are consolidated whereas non-financial data are unconsolidated unless otherwise specified. In the charts or tables used in thispresentation totals may not foot due to rounding differences. The figures used in this presentation are rounded while percentage changes are calculated based onthe figures disclosed in the press release.
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THANK YOUFor further information please e-mail
[email protected] call Turkcell Investor Relations at
(+90 212 313 1888)
Turkcell IR Website
THANK YOU