Security risk elevated for TunisiaThe risk rating for Tunisia following the announcement of a state of emergency and the dissolution of parliament by President Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali on 14 December. The announcement comes amid clashes between demonstrators and the authorities in the capital Tunis. Security forces used batons and fired tear gas at demonstrators calling for the immediate resignation of the president outside the interior ministry. Unconfirmed reports also indicated that heavy gunfire could be heard. Demonstrations have been reported in a number of other locations in the country, including Sidi Bouzid where the unrest began. Meanwhile a number of tour operators are cancelling departures to Tunisia, with some attempting to pull their customers out of the country. However, the army has secured the main airport and Tunisian air space is reported to have been closed. There is a high likelihood of further protests and continued violence throughout the country. Security forces have imposed a curfew from 1700 to 0700 hours, while further restrictions on travel are likely to be in place throughout the country, particularly in urban areas. Much of the anger from demonstrators appears to have been directed towards the wife of Ben Ali, Layla Ben Ali, and as such any assets, companies or buildings associated with her may be at risk of being targeted by demonstrators. Personnel are advised to stay clear of areas where protests may occur, including urban centers, especially in Tunis, near government buildings and police stations. Media personnel covering the demonstrations are advised to wear flak jackets and helmets. Stay under hard cover where possible and be prepared to leave at short notice if the security situation deteriorates. While some foreign nationals are attempting to evacuate the country this may not always be the best option. It may be preferable to stay put and monitor the situation rather than traveling outside where there is a risk of violence, particularly during curfew hours when movements will likely be restricted anyway. Contingency plans should nonetheless be put in place and personnel should assess possible exit routes and safe havens. Note that many rural areas and suburbs are not being directly affected. In the event that the unrest continues martial law may be imposed. A prolonging of violence and looting may also lead to disruption in utilities (such as water and electricity). Mobile coverage may also become restricted.Risk issued an advisory for TunisiaTunisia A risk advisory for Tunisia as the situation remains uncharacteristically hazardous in the country. Gun battles are being reported between the military and the former presidential guard (who constituted the special forces of the former regime). The army is reported to be gaining the upper hand at present and they are certainly more numerous but the guards are very well trained and very well armed. They are attempting to disrupt the situation through the use of small arms, arson and even possibly with explosives. Amid the fluidity of the situation personnel are advised to remain in close contact with colleagues and employees. Movements should be undertaken only when necessary. It may be preferable to stay put under hard cover rather than evacuating although the latter may become necessary in areas particularly affected by violence or fire. Have contingency plans in place and designate nearby safe havens in case you need to move at short notice.

Faheem Ul Hasan