Trust – global and local · 2016. 5. 20. · Edelman 2016 Trust Barometer Source: Edelman Trust...
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Trust – global and local The Hugo Group Wellington Feb 24 2016
Transcript of Trust – global and local · 2016. 5. 20. · Edelman 2016 Trust Barometer Source: Edelman Trust...
Trust–globalandlocal
TheHugoGroupWellingtonFeb242016
Edelman2016TrustBarometer
Source:Edelman
Trustisvaluable/distrustistoxic
Source:Edelman
TheVWeffect
Source:Edelman
Thetrustgap
Source:Edelman
Linkedtoincomeinequality
Source:Edelman
It’snotallbadnewsforbusiness
Source:Edelman
Source:Edelman
Sourcesofinfluence
Source:Edelman
USpoliQcs–aproductofthenewtrustdynamic?
• Tappinginto‘sickofpoliQcsasusual’– BothpoliQcalhierarchies:super-delegateinfluenceoncandidateselecQonmayworsenthis
– AndglobalisaQon:arisingprotecQonistsenQment• March1“super-Tuesday”primariescrucial• TrumpvsRubio–Bloomberg?• HillaryvsBernie• MorepollscurrentlyshowBernieseenmorelikelythanHillarytobeatTrump
ANewZealandcontext-relaQvecomplacency
-inequality/distrustpresent
EconomicexpectaQons
45
60 64 63
59
50 46
59
68 69
62 56 58 59
39
51 46
42
68 62
47 53
63
49 49
31
21
8
19 18 21
31
23
11
18 21 22
25 22
44
21 27
44
20 23
36
28
17
30 27
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Expectations for 2016
Be_er Worse
Source:UMR,Feb2016
Right/wrongtrack–longterm
26
37
46
54 52 51
37 32
39
46
54
60 56 56 58
54 52 47
65 60 58
52 53
62 58
60
47
39 32 33 32
48
56
48
40 32
27 33 34 32
36 37 42
23
30 31
37 36
28 32
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
The mood - annual average RightdirecQon
Wrongtrack
Source:UMR,Feb2016
Theriseofconcernaboutinequality
12
8 9 8
11 13 13
22
33
25
33
26 22
15 15 15
10 9
5 4 4 3 4
14 13
14
20 20
12 10 5 5 6 5 6
5
5
4
4 4 4 7
11
23 21
0
10
20
30
40
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Most important issue - annual average
Economy
Unemployment/Jobs
Inequality/Poverty
Longtermpartystandings
Source:UMR,Feb2016
30
36 38 38
41
37 34
35 33 34 33
25 24
37 36
42
48 49 52
50 52
44 44 47
45
40
36
38
23 26
23
42 42 40 41
43
48 48
41 41
40 36
34 32 34
32 32 34
29 32
1 1 2
6 7 7
7 6 7
7 7 8 8 8 8
14 13 12 12 9 8
6
19
4 3 5
3 3 7
10 7 8
4 3 3 2 2 3 4 4 6 7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
NaQonal Labour Green NZFirst
Businessandunions–publicstanding
Source:UMR,Feb2016
27
30
30 27
31 29
26 27
22
27
32 29
32 31 34 34
44 45 44 42 42 43 42
46
48
39 41
44
58
62 65
61 64
58 56
50 49 48
56
51
59 56
23 20
25 27 27 26 26
24 22
27 28 25
23
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Apr-01 Apr-02 Apr-04 Mar-05 Jun-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Jun-12 Aug-13 Apr-14 Apr-15
Business and Unions
Bigbusiness Banks Smallbusiness Unions
Keyeconomicagencies–publicstanding
42 35
39 45 44
37
36
40 40 45
42 48 48
45 41
44 43 45
23 20
27
30 26 27
37 35
36 40
39 37
39
33 29
32 32 29
33 37
21 23 26
25
39 35
35
40
35
35 35 41
41
37
38
35 40 41 39
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Jun-94Nov-96Nov-97Dec-98Dec-99Nov-00Nov-01Nov-02Nov-03Nov-04Nov-05Dec-06Nov-07Dec-08Nov-09Nov-10Nov-11Nov-12Oct-13Nov-14Oct-15
Transport, MBIE, Treasury
MinistryofTransport MinistryofBusiness,InnovaQonandEmployment* TheTreasury
Source:UMR,Feb2016
Media–publicstanding
Source:UMR,Feb2016
26 30 29
31 29
31 27
22 20
26
32
23
29 26
52 54
48 49 50 49
43 44
39 43
49
36
46
38
43 42 43 43 42 42 38
33 32 34
40
33 39 36
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Apr-01 Apr-02 Apr-04 Mar-05 Jun-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Jun-12 Aug-13 Apr-14 Apr-15
Themediagenerally Televisionnews Newspapers
Trustinmedia–RNZ’sopportunity
9
14
13
14
14
13
17
19
21
18
12
21
42
40
43
43
44
47
46
51
51
56
62
56
40
40
38
38
36
35
32
27
25
23
23
20
8
7
6
6
6
5
5
3
3
3
2
3
RadioNZ
OneNews
3News
TVNZ
TV3
Stuff.co.nz
NZHerald
NewstalkZB
SkyTV
RadioLive
DominionPost
SundayNews
0-3-Low/notrust 4-6+unsure/neverheardof 7-9 10-Trustcompletely
Source:UMR,Feb2016
Opinionofothercountries
Source:UMR,Feb2016
77
71 73 74 70
74 71 69
63 61
14
20 17
22
37
34 29
32
23
48 53
48
29 31
33
34 31
45
35
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Jun-99 Jul-00 Aug-01 Oct-03 Apr-07 Sep-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Nov-14 Nov-15
Australia, China and USA
Australia China USA
Winninghelps
Source:UMR,Feb2016
64
73 70
68
73 73 76
74
69 71
68
75 72
71
65 69 68
76
70 71 71
62 63 62 61
54
54 63
60
54
55 53 54 52
48
49
48
44 43 40
45
53 59
57 55
56
69 65
67
63 62 62 64 64 65
56 56 53
57
50 51
49
59
66
57 53
49
53 53
58
60
50
44 47
50
50
47
51 48
50
45 47
43
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Rugby Cricket Netball Rugbyleague
OtherpoliQcalissues
Freshwaterreform
• Twoimportantdevelopments:– CreaQonof‘freshwatermanagementunits’• ReducescapacitytooffsetwaterqualitydeterioraQoninonecatchmentagainstimprovementinanother
– Inclusionofa‘macro-invertebrateindex’asamonitoringtool
• BUT–nomeaningfulmovementonallocaQon– FrustraQngtoirrigators– ReflectstheminefieldofiwiaspiraQons• GovtmaynotwanttodealbeforetheelecQon
ProducQvityCommissiononterQaryeducaQon
• WeightyissuespaperissuedWednesday• Noconclusions,butemphasisofintereston:– RelaQvelackofteachingqualificaQonsamonguniversitystaffvslowerorderinsQtuQons
– ThelackofdiversityinNZuniversityofferings• Allare‘research’,noneare‘teachingonly’
– Cross-subsidyforresearchbuiltintostudentfees– LackofevidencethatterQaryqualificaQonisimprovingnaQonalproducQvity
– Divergentviewsbetweenunisandemployersaboutthecompetence/qualityofgraduates
Flagchangelookslikealoser,but…
