TRENDS - HKGilending (Kickstarter, Indiegogo) DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN Trends in Technology...
Transcript of TRENDS - HKGilending (Kickstarter, Indiegogo) DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN Trends in Technology...
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
National Suburban Trends
Source: ULI
• Still leading the nation’s growth: – 2000-2015: Suburban areas
represented 91% of population growth, top 50 metro areas
• Becoming younger, more diverse: – 81% of those under 18 live in
suburbs – 75% of 25 – 34 year olds – 76% of nation’s minority population
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
National Suburban Trends
• Lack of options for first time home buyers: – 2015: First time buyers were 32% of purchases
(lowest level since late ‘80s) – Residential market focused on higher end homes
due to profitability – Regulations, impact fees, NIMBYism, cost of land and
materials – all have driven the cost of new homes up – Question going forward: Who can figure out
affordable products for younger, and first time, buyers?
Source: ULI
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Millennial Trends
• Millennials progress in life: – Youngest Millennials shifting to family
mode – Desire better schools, more affordability -
leading to a shift to suburbs – Prefer suburban areas with aspects of urban
living (walkability, gathering places, etc.) – Prefer renovations & rehabbing of older
homes (First ring suburbs).
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Anticipated National Trends (ULI)
• Surge in household formation, 2016 - 2025: – 12.5M new households (only 7M, from
2006-15) – Suburbs of all kinds expected to absorb
79% of new households – 58% of new households will be renters – Anticipated trend toward renting
detached homes (as opposed to apartments)
Source: ULI
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Anticipated National Trends (ULI)
• Demand for more walkable, cohesive suburban developments (“Surban”): – Retail has become experience-driven – Consumers want retail that is walkable
from housing • Diversity:
– Immigration will represent half of U.S. population growth through 2023
– Shift in immigration to affluent & upper-class families from emerging economies
Source: ULI
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Anticipated National Trends (ULI)
• “Surban” Development Attributes: – Smaller homes, with little or no
yards, meeting demands to commute less, live closer to restaurants & entertainment
– Housing affordability, home size, privacy, and kid-friendliness feel more urban than suburban
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Anticipated National Trends (ULI)
• “Surban” Development Attributes: – School quality, public
transportation, and proximity to employment feel more suburban
– Bring the “best of urban living” to more affordable suburban settings
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Anticipated National Trends
• Increased e-commuting leads to “hotel-like” suburban offices – Decrease in square feet
per employee
• Workplaces focus on diversity, work-life balance, virtual teams, health & wellness
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Anticipated National Trends
• Sharing economy – Retail: Ridesharing and
carsharing (Uber, Lyft, Zipcar) – Retail: Independent
connections from producers to sellers (Etsy, Ebay)
– Services: Car repair, home repair (Taskrabbit, Handy)
– Finance: Peer-to-peer financing / investments / lending (Kickstarter, Indiegogo)
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Trends in Technology • Connectedness
• Access to internet for education and medicine – Vulnerability of connected
systems
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Parks and Recreation Trends
• Actively aging – More senior fitness
options & programming
– Desire for volunteer opportunities
– Adaptable, multi-faceted systems to respond to changing recreation demands
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Parks and Recreation Trends
• Increased interest in trails
• Increasingly health conscious
• Increasingly environmentally conscious
• Concerns about climate change
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Demands on Parks and Recreation Systems
• Convenience • Flexible hours • More hours of
programming • After-school
programming
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Demands on Parks and Recreation Systems
• More natural areas • More educational /
interpretive programs • Balance of
environment & recreation
• Desire for passive open space
• Interest in aesthetics and gardens
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Athletic Facilities - Trends
• Designed for events, not just sports
• Include accessory amenities (concessions, restrooms, playground, trails)
• Rising demand for soccer fields
• New & niche sports (ultimate Frisbee, rugby, lacrosse, disc golf, etc.)
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Athletic Facilities - Trends
• Emergence of year-round participation in single sports
• Rise of training programs
• Increased demand for multi-purpose fields
• Divergence of “elite” sports from recreational
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Recreational / Community Facilities - Trends
• Sports & wellness facilities have become centers of community social interaction & events
• Focus on multi-generational needs
• Meeting rooms, family entertainment areas, etc.
• Greater variety of offerings (climbing walls, yoga, pilates, etc.)
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Trends in Aging
• Challenges with aging in the suburbs (lack of transit, houses not designed for aging)
• Health care needs – Alternatives to traditional long
term care facilities – In-home care, granny flats, tiny
homes, cooperatives, and new housing with care models
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Equity
• Increasing wage inequality
• Gender and racial equity issues
• Relates to jobs mix in Dakota County
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Green Stormwater Trends
• Rainwater catchment or harvesting
• Rainwater irrigation systems • Temporary containment of
water (bioswales, rain gardens, etc.)
• Constructed wetlands • Permeable pavements • Green roofs
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Transportation Trends
• Potential for autonomous vehicles
• Ride sharing helps solve “last mile” issues, may reduce congestion & pollution
• Use of technology (including smart phone apps) helps people choose the best multi-modal option(s)
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Transportation Trends • Ride-sourcing services for
kids & seniors • First / last mile
partnerships with transit agencies
• Electric bike shares for hills, heat, wind, and sprawl
• Payment integration of one card and one app for all transportation needs
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Transportation Trends • In 2014, Americans bought
more bicycles than cars and trucks
• Bike-friendly buildings with amenities (repair stations, showers and lockers, community gathering places) gaining popularity
• Younger people want more options besides cars for the 43% of trips that are less than three miles
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Transportation Trends
• Integrated mobility hubs for car, bike, transit, car parking, and dropoff are key to smoothing transitions between modes
• Uber and Lyft are merely the “gateway drug” in mobility sharing
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Transportation Trends
• Enhanced signal technologies (to provide for bike / pedestrian safety)
• Complete Streets facilities – Pavement markings – Protected bikeways – Protected and raised
intersections – ADA compliance
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Natural Resources Trends • Focus on invasive species,
particularly aquatics • Impact of new state buffer
law (along ditches, public waters)
• Focus on threatened and endangered species
• Enhancements to GIS data and remote sensing in analyzing natural resources
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Water Trends • Aquifer levels continue
to decline • Increased groundwater
contamination (particularly in ag areas)
• Focus on water sustainability at regional level
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Solid Waste Trends
• Continued need to encourage adequate resource recovery market
• Focus on source reduction to reduce waste levels
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Solid Waste Trends • Stagnant recycling rates • Landfilling, organics,
waste reduction could be the most powerful tools
• Organized collection • Trash traveling great
distances for processing or disposal
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Additional Sustainability Trends • Dramatic drop in cost of solar
technologies drives increased demand for solar panels, solar gardens
• Continued trends toward renewable energies, away from higher-carbon fossil fuels
• Significant opportunities for improved energy efficiencies in existing homes, businesses, and public buildings
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Trends in Farming • Proliferation of pattern drain tile
• Extensive irrigation
• Increasing groundwater contamination
• Tenure changes uncertain (hard to transition to new farmers)
• Consolidation of farms
• Monoculture with increasing national monopoly on seed types (and decreasing genetic biodiversity) and decrease in individual farmer choice
• Increase in fringe and pesticide resistant “super weeds” disrupting ecosystems.
• Increasing divide between rural and urban, reflected in decline of farming
• Increased number of “big” weather events with climate change is modifying how farmers farm
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Energy and Climate Change Impacts
• Negative side of renewables – Rare earth element reliance
– Battery disposal
• Concern for inequity in who is adversely impacted by climate change – Specific emphasis on
vulnerable populations
DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
Engagement and Civic Responsibility
• Challenge and opportunity to engage the community in the various planning areas