Trends in in DHS Forecast Programs Prepared by Minnesota Department of Human Services Office of...
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Transcript of Trends in in DHS Forecast Programs Prepared by Minnesota Department of Human Services Office of...
Trends inin DHS Forecast Programs
Prepared by Minnesota Department of Human Services
Office of Management and BudgetApril 2008
What is a forecast program?
• A program for which the state has a legal obligation to provide a benefit or service to an eligible person.
• Estimates of these current law obligations are included in the state’s forecast projections and reflected in fund balance statements.
• Through the budget process, appropriations are adjusted to ensure that adequate resources are available to pay for “forecast” programs.
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast and Department of Finance February 2008 Fund Balance Analysis
DHS’ General Fund-financed Forecast Programs in FY 2008-09
($ reflect state share and are in millions) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2008-09
Health Care Programs
Long Term Care Facilities $505 $511 $1,016
Long Term Care Waivers $927 $1,049 $1,976
Elderly and Disabled Basic Care $993 $1,107 $2,100
Families with Children Basic Care $753 $846 $1,599
General Assistance Medical Care $258 $287 $545
Chemical Dependency Entitlement $89 $102 $191
Economic Assistance and Housing Programs
Minnesota Family Investment Program Cash/Food $87 $74 $161
MFIP/TY Child Care Assistance $49 $61 $110
General Assistance $40 $44 $84
Group Residential Housing $84 $97 $181
Minnesota Supplemental Aid $31 $31 $62
Total, General Fund-financed forecast programs $3,816 $4,209 $8,025
Total, DHS General Fund Budget $4,622 $4,993 $9,615
Percent of DHS GF Budget Composed of Forecast Programs 82.57% 84.30% 83.47%
Long Term Care: Chronic health care services, long-term care in residential
settings, at-home care and social services for the elderly and people with disabilities.
Data Source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Long Term Care: FY 2008-09 vs. FY 2010-11($ in millions; state share only)
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$ in M
illions
FY 2008-09
FY 2010-FY 11
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Long Term Care Average Monthly Recipients
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Facilities
Waivers & Home Care
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Long Term Care Waiver Monthly Average Recipients
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
15,000
17,500
20,000
22,500
25,000
Mon
thly
Ave
rage
Wai
ver R
ecip
ient
s
DevelopmentalDisabilitiesElderly
CADI
CAC
TBI
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Average Monthly Costs in Long Term Care Facilities and Waivers & Home Care
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
Ave
rage
Mon
thly
Cos
t
Facilities
Waivers & Home Care
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Long Term Care Waiver Monthly Cost
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Mon
thly
Cos
t
DevelopmentalDisabilitiesElderly
CADI
CAC
TBI
Consolidated Chemical Dependency Treatment Fund Placement Costs
$0$1,000$2,000$3,000$4,000$5,000$6,000
Cos
t Pe
r A
nnu
al P
lac
emen
t
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Data Source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Basic Health Care: Primary and acute care health services for low-income
adults, families with children, elderly and people with disabilities.
Basic Health Care Costs FY 2008-09 vs. FY 2010-11($ in Millions; State Share Only)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
MA Families MA Elderly and
Disabled
GAMC MinnesotaCare
$ in M
illions
FY 2008-09
FY 2010-11
Data source: DHS February 2008 forecast
Basic Health Care Average Monthly Enrollment
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
Ave
rage
Mon
thly
Elig
ible
s
MA Families
MA Elderly andDisabledGAMC
MinnesotaCare
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Basic Health Care Programs Average Monthly Payments
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
Ave
rage
Mon
thly
Pay
men
ts
MA Families
MA Elderly andDisabledGAMC
MNCare
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Children and Family Services Forecast Programs FY 2008-09 vs. FY 2010-11 (all funds; $ in millions)
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
MFIP Cash/Food MFIP/TY Child
Care
General
Assistance
Group
Residential
Housing
Minnesota
Supplemental
Aid
Dollar
s in
Millions
FY 2008-09
FY 2010-11
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Minnesota Family Investment Program Cash/Food and MFIP/Transition Year Child Care
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Aver
age
Mon
thly
Cas
es
MFIP
CCAP
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
Minnesota Family Investment Program and MFIP/Transition Year Child Care
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
Mon
thly
Ave
rage
Pay
men
t
MFIPChild Care
Data source: DHS February 2008 Forecast
General Assistance, Minnesota Supplemental Aid and
Group Residential Housing Monthly Average
Enrollment
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Mon
thly
Ave
rage
Rec
ipie
nts
MSA
GRH
GA