Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed...

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Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region Andrew Bell and Shannon Still Chicago Botanic Garden

Transcript of Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed...

Page 1: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'

Trees 2050:

Adaptive Urban Tree List for the

Chicago Region

Andrew Bell and Shannon Still

Chicago Botanic Garden

Page 2: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'

Developing an Adaptive Planting List

Page 3: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'
Page 4: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'

Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming under A2 High Emissions Climate Scenario (IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007).

Page 5: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'

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Current 2020 2050 2080

MeanClimatic

Suitability

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Projected Habitat Suitability for 50 TaxaAcross 7 Counties Surrounding Chicago, IL

Page 6: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'

Fig. 5: Ginkgo biloba ‘Autumn Gold’ projections made with MaxEnt Species Distribution Modeling under A2 High Emissions Climate Scenario.

Page 7: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'

Fig. 4: Tilia americana projections made with MaxEnt Species Distribution Modeling under A2 High

Emissions Climate Scenario.

Page 8: Trees 2050: Adaptive Urban Tree List for the Chicago Region · Multi-model averages and assessed ranges for Surface Warming ... Max: 0.702061 Mean: 0.434394 Lake 080 'Autumn Gold'