Treasury Today Webinar - Managing the All Mighty Greenback
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Transcript of Treasury Today Webinar - Managing the All Mighty Greenback
MANAGING THE ALL MIGHTY GREENBACK:OPTIMIZING YOUR US DOLLAR CASH FLOWS GLOBALLY
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 18, 201711:00 EST / 16:00 GMT / 17:00 CET
TREASURY TODAY
2
AGENDA
WELCOME REMARKS & INTRODUCTION1
TREASURY CONSIDERATIONS FOR OPTIMIZING USD Centralized Structures Decentralized Structures
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USD – THE GLOBAL FUNCTIONAL CURRENCY… THE YIELD GENERATING CURRENCY
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3
WELCOME REMARKS& INTRODUCTION
1
Walid T. ShumanHead of Cash Management Americas, Corporate & Institutional Banking
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USD is the most dominant global currency
52%
3YEARS
80%International Trade [Value]
International Flows [Volume]
Inter-Regional Flows
78%Americas to
Europe
92%Europe toAmericas
49%
Continues to increase over the past
2.5Trillion in
USD*US + European Corporates Holding
Worldwide Currency Usage and Trends, SWIFT, Dec. 2015
*Capital Economics Sept. 2016
Global importance of USD
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Why is USD important
Key currency for global trade Key industries trade in USD
globally (e.g. energy, aviation, commodities)
Relative stability (reference currency in emerging markets)
Banking infrastructure
Control Visibility Time zones Regulations Cost/efficiency
Key challenges
Determining the best approach
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What are your key drivers
Cash position (positive or negative)
Cost/profitability Technology Supply chain Risk management
Global treasury infrastructure:– Decentralized, regionalized,
centralized– Where is working capital
managed?– Do you have visibility into your
global cash flows? Global vendors – geography Legal and tax infrastructure.
Which entities and where? Liquidity Management and
Investment strategy
Key considerations
To manage USD efficiently; you need a comprehensive review across all 3 layers of cash management
3 layers of cash management
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3. Yield Optimization of Cash Use• Investment options• Short-term borrowing
Cash/Yield Optimization3
Geographic / Currency scope
Cas
h flo
w
2. Concentration ofCash Balances • Cash Pooling• Visibility• Control
Liquidity Management2
1. Managing Payments & Collections • Accounts• Connectivity• Transaction processing
Transaction Management1
What are best practices for establishing USD cash management structures worldwide?
3 key questions to answer
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1
What opportunities and benefits can be gained by managing USD more efficiently?2
Are centralized Treasury structures or decentralized structures better for increasing investment returns on USD?3
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USD – THE GLOBAL FUNCTIONAL CURRENCY… THE YIELD GENERATING CURRENCY
2
James SantoroHead of Liquidity & Investment Advisory Americas, Corporate & Institutional Banking
Centralized structures – seek out consolidating operations as well as institutions seeking funding
Decentralized structures – seek out global banks rewarding ‘global’ activity, irrespective of where cash resides
Standard principles apply – operational cash is king, forecasting is key, funding needs help drive price
Centralized vs. Decentralized – many ways to optimize cash
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3 Pillars of Liquidity
LIQUIDITY• Payment need will determine
‘liquidity’ requirements.
• Working capital needs require products offering daily liquidity.
• Reserve/strategic cash can seek yield in longer tenor options.
YIELD• Opportunity for yield with every
liquidity product.
• Often not primary ‘driver’ of investment decisions with ‘Treasury’ cash, but still extremely important.
• Has to be compelling enough to compensate for ‘switching’ costs.
RISK• Principal preservation is often
cited as primary concern (validated in IPS).
• Treasury cash is for working capital needs/shareholders, not generating investment returns.
• Demonstrating soundness of principal requires ‘right’ product and provider.
Regulation: Basel III focus for banks
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Counterparty Runoff Rates
Operational Corporate Deposits 25%
Non-operational Corporate Deposits 40%
Financial Institutions 100%
Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)
LCR =Stock of High Quality Liquid Assets
Net Cash Outflows Over a 30-Day Period≥ 100%
Liquid assets requirement to offset 30-day loss of funding. Each dollar of run-off requires dollar of liquid asset buffer. Deposit types with lower runoff equates to more value.
Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR)
1-year ratio requirement designed to improve longer term funding. Deposits assumed to run off during a one-year stress environment that do not provide stable funding are required to be held liquid, rather than, deployed against longer-term assets requiring more stable funding.
Stable funding requirement over 1-year period. Equity and liability (deposit) financing viewed as stable. Required amount depends on nature of risky assets. Ratio likely to undergo some revisions prior to 2018.
30-day ratio requirement designed to ensure that sufficient high-quality liquidity exists to manage through an acute stress scenario (e.g., 3-notch downgrade, partial loss of deposits, etc.) lasting one month.
Laws and regulations created and implemented.
Introduction of the Net Stable Funding Ratio.
Basel III fully implemented.
2011
2015
2018
2019
Tier 1 capital will take into full effect on January 2015.
Introduction and required 60% LCR.
Corporate Demand Deposit
Accounts
LCR NFB Economic ValueProduct Type Maturity
HIGH
MEDIUM
HIGH
MEDIUM
LOW
HIGH
MEDIUM
HIGH
MEDIUM
LOW
HIGH
MEDIUM
MEDIUM
MEDIUM
MEDIUM
Operational
Non Operational
Beyond 2 months
Between 1 and 2 months
Up to 1 month
Corporate Term
Deposits
Value to BNP Paribas
The key implication for bank customers is that the Basel III Liquidity standards will have an overarching impact on how banks value and provide return on client liquidity.
NSFR =Available Amount of Stable Funding
Required Amount of Stable Funding≥ 100%
Which products do banks value highest? The ability to provide banks with additional transactions or the ability to place funds ‘out along the curve’ will translate into the highest yields.
Banks – not all liquidity is valued equally
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Time Deposits (TDs) > 30 Days
Tenor Linked
Stable Non-transactional Demand Accounts
TDs < 30 Days
Off Balance Sheet - MMF
Dec
reas
ing
Valu
e to
Ban
ks
Increasing Ability to Realize Higher Yields
Transactional Demand Accounts
Operational flows – increased consolidation/transactions improve position Bank funding needs – it pays to shop around Forecasting can be key – >30 days yields ‘outsized’ returns
Centralized Treasury – liquidity solutions opportunities
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Operating Flows – Consolidate/Increase Transactions
Forecasting for Yield
Banking 101 – Liabilities Funding Assets
• ECR – Should I be paying bank fees?• IB DDA – Reg Q ancient history• Hybrid – Best of both worlds
• IB DDA/MMDAs – Yield still exists where need• Structured IB DDAs/MMDAs – ST need/LT gain• Notice/Evergreen Deposits – Call when needed
• TDs – The longer the better• CDs – Secondary market backstop• Other Fixed Income/Private Funds – Hold to maturity endeavor
1
3
2
Solutions example – ‘structured’ demand account
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$
Daily
X%
Monthly
+Y%
+Z%
Quarterly
X% + Y% + Z%
Total
Min MaxLiquidity
Yield
Security
O/N 6mL
Low High
Maintains daily liquidity available for immediate withdrawal with no “penalty.”
Core+ DDA pays additional yield monthly provided average deposit targets are met.
Core+ DDA pays additional yield quarterly provided stable deposits.
Core+ DDA pays interest on daily balances just like an IB DDA, but offers the opportunity to receive ‘add-on’ yield provided monthly and quarterly average deposit thresholds are met. Average thresholds are negotiable depending upon expected levels and stability of funds.
Decentralized Treasury – liquidity solutions opportunities
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Operational flows still rule – global opportunities and yield ‘leverage’ Global view of funding – whole equals sum of the parts Centralized products still apply – dialogue helps uncover best opportunities
depending on need
Operating Flows – Consolidate/Increase Transactions • Global ECR – Global balance benefit on fee offset• Remunerated Current Accounts – Do transactions warrant yield concessions?
1
Regional Preferences Dialogue• Bank Deposit Products – What currency/region is preferred?• Other Fixed Income – Does where incorporated create opportunity?
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Global View of Excess/Trapped Cash• Global Balance Aggregating – More is usually better• Multiple Currencies Considerations – JPY + USD
2
In establishing a Decentralized Treasury function, the ability to aggregate funds notionally across the globe can provide an investment advantage.
Certain products and bank funding needs enable Treasurers to receive greater remuneration by notionally aggregating funds
Solutions example – global balances
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USD20MM
USD10MM
USD30MM
USD5MM
USD15MM
USD80MM
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TREASURY CONSIDERATIONS FOR OPTIMIZING USD STRUCTURES
3
Jan RottiersHead of Liquidity Management Products & Projects
Liquidity centralization
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Enablers of Centralization
Physical Cash Pool allowing regional or global centralization of group liquidity to a designated master account
In-House Bank cash concentration, an in-house alternative to bank sweeping services
Notional cash pool overlay structure (if legally possible), allowing negative and positive group’s balances offsetting
Payment factory leveraging PoBo/RoBo schemes
A combination of the solutions above
Reduce borrowing costs Maximize opportunity for investment Improve control over cash Increase real availability of cash Eliminate interest spread paid
to banks Centralize FX risk management
Benefits
Centralization is not a goal in itself
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Enablers of Decentralization
Channels/connectivity delivering real time information over cash positions across regions and banks
Harmonized reporting Local physical cash pooling Domestic or cross boarder notional
cash pooling allowing interest optimization
Ability to make local payments quickly/seamlessly
Possibility to match a decentralized treasury model at customer’s side, leaving required autonomy to the subsidiaries
Benefits
Influencing factors: Currency and location of transaction flows Company structure Strategic planning Functional versus non-functional currency
…and, a more general point of discussion: proactive FX currency exposure management or automated multiple currency pooling solutions?
USD balances management
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CENTRALIZED MODEL
Global USD structures
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REGIONAL MODEL
USD balances
USD
balances
Americas (New York)
USD Master Account
EMEA (London)
USD, GBP, CHFMaster Accounts
Entity 1 Entity 2 Entity 3
ZBA(s)
APAC (Singapore)
USD, HKD, SGD Master Accounts
Entity 1 Entity 2 Entity 3
ZBA(s)
Entity 1 Entity 2 Entity 3
ZBA
Entity 1 Entity 2 Entity 3 Entity 4 Entity 5
New York
USD Master Account
ZBA
Considerations: USD denominated industry High value/low volume Time sensitive transactions
Benefits: Centralized liquidity Lower cost & better cut-offs Ease of management
Considerations: USD functional
currency Transactions flows in
USD as well as in local currencies across over 70 countries globally
Benefits: Global view/control on cash and
system harmonization Multiple currency balances
management via notional cash pool Optimized yield on USD excess
cash investments in USA
In conclusion – 3 key questions answered
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What are best practices for establishing USD cash management structures worldwide?1
What opportunities and benefits can be gained by managing USD more efficiently?2
Are centralized Treasury structures or decentralized structures better for increasing investment returns on USD?3
Degree of centralization Key drivers and considerations Cost/Benefit
Optimize yield Cost efficiencies Working capital Non-economic benefits
Opportunities exist, irrespective of structure Decentralized structure - products that enable ‘aggregating’ cash Centralized structure - products/providers that value incremental cash
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