Transport Strategy Key Component Study...Table 5.16 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 2 Summary of...
Transcript of Transport Strategy Key Component Study...Table 5.16 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 2 Summary of...
Setting Strategic Direction Transport Strategy Key Component Study
Report for London Borough of Brent
February 2009
Document Control
Project Title: Wembley Key Components Study
MVA Project Number: C377700
Document Type: Report
Directory & File Name: Q:\Projects\C37772 Wembley Key Components Study\Reports
Document Approval
Primary Author: John Emslie
Other Author(s): Paul Matthews, Mackenzie Nicholson, Chris Whitehead, Conrad Haigh, Tim
Cuthbert
Reviewer(s): Tim Cuthbert
Formatted by: YJ
Distribution
Issue Date Distribution Comments
1 31/01/2009 Final Draft Report Client Group
2 16/02/2009 Final Report Client Group
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2
Contents
1 Introduction 1.1 1.1 Background 1.1 1.2 Masterplan Transport Sub-strategies 1.2 1.3 Sub-strategy application and mode shift 1.2 1.4 Comparative Report and Masterplan Delivery 1.3
2 Bus Strategy 2.1 2.2 Existing situation 2.1 2.3 Bus strategy incentives 2.10 2.4 Future demand and capacity considerations 2.16 2.5 Deliverability 2.20
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy 3.1 3.1 Introduction 3.1 3.2 Background 3.1 3.3 Smarter Travel Research and Evidence Base 3.5 3.4 Workplace Travel Plans (WTP) 3.6 3.5 School Travel Plans (STP) 3.9 3.6 Personal Travel Planning (PTP) 3.12 3.7 Car Sharing Schemes (CSS) 3.14 3.8 Area Based Travel Planning (ABTP) 3.16 3.9 Car Clubs (CC) 3.18 3.10 Cycle Hire Schemes (CHS) 3.21 3.11 Flexible Working Hours and Home or Teleworking (FWH) 3.22 3.12 Off-Peak/ Overnight Servicing (OPOS) 3.24 3.13 Real Time Publicity on Travel Opportunities (RTP) 3.25 3.14 Car Free Development Potential (CFD) 3.27 3.15 Co-ordinated Home Delivery Systems (CHDS) 3.28 3.16 Taxi Hire (TH) 3.30 3.17 Conclusions 3.31 3.1 Deliverability 3.35
4 Travel Demand Forecasting 4.1 4.1 Transport Assessment Model 4.1 4.2 Model Outputs 4.1
5 Highway Corridor Impact 5.1 5.1 Introduction 5.1 5.2 The Highway Corridor 5.1 5.3 Methodology 5.1 5.4 Forty Avenue / Forty Lane / Bridge Road Junction 5.2 5.5 Wembley Park Drive / North End Road 5.5 5.6 The Wembley Park Drive / Empire Way gyratory 5.6
Contents
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3
5.7 Empire Way / Fulton Road junction 5.9 5.8 Empire Way / Engineers Way junction 5.10 5.9 The Empire Way / Wembley Hill Road Gyratory 5.11 5.10 Wembley Hill Road / South Way / Mostyn Avenue junction 5.12 5.11 Wembley Hill Road / High Road / Harrow Road Junction (The Triangle) 5.15
6 Strategy integration and implementation 6.1 6.1 Introduction 6.1 6.2 Movement Intervention Assessment Process 6.1 6.3 Deliverability 6.5
Tables
Table 2.1 Bus routes frequency and destinations 2.3 Table 2.2 Interchanges available at transport hubs 2.7 Table 2.3 Existing passenger distributions 2.9 Table 2.4 2008 Spare capacity by route 2.10 Table 2.5 Future demand distribution (to be revised with TAM output) 2.17 Table 2.6 Bus strategy cost estimates 2.20 Table 3.1 Applicable measure by land use 3.3 Table 3.2 iTRACE Results for Workplace Travel Plans (correct on January 13th 2008) 3.9 Table 3.3 Summary of Characteristics of Workplace TPs: 3.9 Table 3.4 iTrace STP output 3.11 Table 3.5 Summary table of Characteristics of School TPs 3.12 Table 3.6 Summary of Characteristics of Personal TPs: 3.14 Table 3.7 Summary of Characteristics of Car Sharing Schemes 3.16 Table 3.8 Summary of Characteristics of Area Based TP: 3.18 Table 3.9 Summary of Characteristics of Car Clubs 3.20 Table 3.10 Summary of Characteristics of Cycle Hire Schemes 3.22 Table 3.11 Summary of Characteristics of Flexible Working Hours and Teleworking 3.24 Table 3.12 Summary of Characteristics of Off-Peak/ Overnight Servicing 3.25 Table 3.13 Summary of Characteristics of Real Time Publicity on Travel Opportunities 3.27 Table 3.14 Summary of Characteristics of Car Free Development Potential 3.28 Table 3.15 Summary of Characteristics of Co-ordinated Home Delivery Systems 3.29 Table 3.16 Summary of Characteristics of Taxi Hire 3.31 Table 3.17 Overall potential impact of TDM measures 3.32 Table 4.1 Stage 1 Percentage change from baseline 4.4 Table 4.2 Stage 4 Percentage change from baseline 4.4 Table 5.1 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1 5.3 Table 5.2 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4 5.3 Table 5.3 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 2 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1 5.4 Table 5.4 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 2 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4 5.5 Table 5.5 North End Rd/ Bridge Rd Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1 5.6 Table 5.6 North End Rd/ Bridge Rd Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4 5.6 Table 5.7 Wembley Park Drive/ Empire Way Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage
1 5.8 Table 5.8 Wembley Park Drive/ Empire Way Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage
4 5.8
Contents
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 4
Table 5.9 Fulton Road/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1 5.10 Table 5.10 Fulton Road/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4 5.10 Table 5.11 Engineers Way/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1 5.11 Table 5.12 Engineers Way/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4 5.11 Table 5.13 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 1 Summary of TRANSYT Analysis
Stage 1 5.13 Table 5.14 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 1 Summary of TRANSYT Analysis
Stage 4 5.13 Table 5.15 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 2 Summary of TRANSYT Analysis Stage
1 5.14 Table 5.16 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 2 Summary of TRANSYT Analysis Stage
4 5.15 Table 5.17 Wembley Hill Rd/ Harrow Rd (The Triangle) TRANSYT Analysis Stage 1 5.16 Table 5.18 Wembley Hill Rd/ Harrow Rd (The Triangle) TRANSYT Analysis Stage 4 5.16 Table 6.1 Movement intervention 6.2 Table 6.2 Intervention Contribution Rating and Priority 6.5 Table 6.3 Transport Strategy Delivery Action Plan 6.7
Figures
Figure 2.1 Bus services to Wembley Park ............................................................... 2.2
Figure 2.2 Bus services to Wembley Central............................................................ 2.2
Figure 2.3 Existing AM Bus travel times (inbound) ................................................... 2.4
Figure 2.4 Existing AM Bus travel times (Outbound) ................................................ 2.5
Figure 2.5 Existing PM Bus travel times (inbound) ................................................... 2.5
Figure 2.6 Existing PM Bus travel times (outbound) ................................................. 2.6
Figure 2.7 Exisiting Wembly Central Interchange Facilities........................................ 2.7
Figure 2.8 Exciting Wembley Park Interchange facilities ........................................... 2.8
Figure 2.9 Existing stopping facilities in industrial area............................................. 2.8
Figure 2.10 Proposed routing through site .............................................................2.11
Figure 2.11 Wembley Master plan 2008 proposed bus routes ...................................2.12
Figure 2.12 Potential location for Southbound bus facilities ......................................2.14
Figure 2.13 Existing real time information at NB Wembley Park bus stop...................2.15
Figure 2.14 Atchitectural branding potential for bus stops........................................2.16
Figure 2.15 Improvements in travel time AM (inbound)...........................................2.18
Figure 2.16 Improvements in travel time AM (outbound).........................................2.18
Figure 2.17 Improvements in travel time PM(inbound) ...........................................2.19
Figure 2.18 Improvements in travel time PM (outbound) ........................................2.19
Figure 3.1 Workplace travel plans, time scales ........................................................ 3.5
Figure 3.2 Wembley Liftshare catchment ..............................................................3.15
Figure 3.3 Impacts and Costs of TDM measure based on mean average numbers .......3.34
Figure 4.1 Total trips generated ...........................................................................4.38
Figure 4.2 Stage 1 mode split ..............................................................................4.39
Figure 4.3 Stage 4 Mode split...............................................................................4.39
Figure 5.1 Wembley Hill Road S/B Uniform Queue Profile (AM peak) .........................5.17
Figure 6.1 Movement Intervention Assessment ....................................................... 6.1
Contents
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5
Appendices
Appendix A – TAM output turning diagrams
Appendix B – Indicative junction layouts for Western Highway Corridor
Transport Strategy Key Component Study i
Summary
Delivering the Masterplan
The Wembley Masterplan Transport Strategy Review report issued in November 2008
presented a technical review of the transport elements of the Draft Wembley Masterplan
2008. It assessed the deliverability of the Masterplan in transport terms, examining the
various transport infrastructure proposals and related initiatives proposed to support
movement associated with the Masterplan’s development content and coverage.
The report raised some question regarding the Masterplan’s deliverability in transport terms
given concern over the level of traffic forecast to result from the Masterplan development.
The road network was anticipated to be substantially overloaded at key points during
Masterplan Stage 1, worsening with each subsequent Masterplan stage though action to
provide additional capacity on the road network was shown to assist in prolonging its life.
However, the desirability of a highways based approach was also viewed as questionable,
particularly considering the wider needs and objectives of the Masterplan which is predicated
on a high quality living, working, retail and leisure environment. Though the benefits and
importance of car use and access to and within the area were acknowledged, delivery of
those essential core qualities were deemed too important to be threatened by possible over
reliance on a highways based access and movement philosophy.
Promoting a sustainable travel mode shift
Rather than re-assessing the development scale, an alternative course was taken leading to
this study. Further Masterplan development was proposed with a greater emphasis and
identified credible action on minimising the need for travel and encouraging travel by non car
modes. From a variety of suggested Masterplan transport sub-strategies including
accessibility and freight movement, two were taken forward for further study, a bus strategy,
and a travel demand management strategy.
The initial report had estimated that the effect of the Masterplan’s transport interventions in
terms of encouraging shift away from the private car would be modest, amounting to about a
4% change over the do-minimum scenario. A substantial increase on that was considered
necessary to provide for development-related access avoiding a reliance on over-sized
junctions and in a manner consistent with wider Masterplan objectives.
This report has examined the likely contribution to mode shift to be made through a
concerted programme of bus improvements and travel demand management interventions.
Through further application of the bespoke Transport Assessment Model (TAM) for Wembley,
the likely transport impacts of identified transport interventions have been quantified. The
further bus and TDM interventions examined here indicate a potential travel mode shift of
13% from the present day baseline figure of 27:63 (car:other modes) to completion of Stage
4, an increase of a further 9% over the figure assumed for those measures outlined within
the Masterplan. The TDM interventions, are expected to take several years to deliver their
full benefit but will play a significant role in mode transfer, complemented and partly reliant
on the bus interventions.
Summary
Transport Strategy Key Component Study ii
Western highways corridor assessment
In parallel with this work, a technical review of the layout and operation of the Western
Highway Corridor has been undertaken, comprising Wembley Hill / Road /Empire Way /
Bridge Road and all junctions, existing and proposed, including the terminating junctions at
Forty Lane and Wembley Triangle. The review identifies an ‘optimum’ set of corridor
improvements consistent with the aspirations of the Masterplan. Those feasibility designs are
tested in terms of their operation and performance with the overall corridor network
performance taken forward for consideration alongside the needs and performance of the
other two sub-strategies.
The highway corridor work concluded that, provided the bus and TDM strategies and related
interventions deliver the estimated reductions in traffic flow, all of the junctions designed and
tested could cater for the worst case Masterplan related traffic volumes. The junction
performance modelling indicated that all junctions operate within acceptable limits providing
pedestrian, cycling and bus facilities consistent with the Masterplan’s wider objectives. The
Wembley Hill Road/ Harrow Road/ Wembley High Road ‘Triangle’ junction exhibits some peak
hour queuing and would benefit from further and detailed junction design development.
Masterplan deliverability re-appraisal
This further appraisal has identified and confirmed the feasibility and potential for measures
to both minimise the need for travel and secure a substantial travel mode shift away from
the private car towards the use of sustainable transport modes. Through the provision of
enhanced bus services and facilities and the implementation of a range of travel demand
management measures, sufficient reductions in development related traffic flow are achieved
such that sufficient comfort is given that the transport network will be able to deliver
estimated Masterplan related movement.
Though there remains a measure of caution over the performance of the southernmost
Wembley Hill Road/Harrow Road/Wembley High Road junction regarding predicted peak hour
vehicle queuing though it is possible that further detailed design may release the required
performance shortfall.
It must be noted that in relation to travel demand management, the various initiatives,
measures, movement predictions and performance assessments have been
developed/made/conducted in the context of our research into a number of matters where
available industry experience and research is scarce. Practise in this field is in its infancy and
available evidence patchy. However, best efforts have been made by MVA’s industry-leading
TDM team to uncover relevant and recent research and present a robust assessment of this
important area.
The estimates presented must also be viewed in the context of a Masterplan period
extending to 2026. Clearly, during that time much may change, some initiatives may fall by
the wayside, others may take their place. Prevailing traffic levels may shift, as may travel
mode choice. The work presented here though represents our best estimate of the likely
contributions to be made through the introduction of active and purposeful bus improvement
and TDM programmes. Principal among those interventions in terms of mode shift
contribution are increases to bus service frequencies to and within the Masterplan area, and
the TDM interventions of; Workplace and School Travel Planning, Area Based and Personal
Travel Planning, and Smart\Flexible Working.
Summary
Transport Strategy Key Component Study iii
Transport Strategy Delivery Action Plan
In order to achieve and perhaps improve upon the traffic flow reductions presented by this
report, this report recommends that the council embarks upon a serious and purposeful
programme of activities to ensure those measures and initiatives presented can be woven
into the fabric of the Masterplan.
A transport delivery strategy, further developing the various measures presented by this
report, would investigate and describe how those interventions may best be realised in the
full planning context, giving full consideration to funding sources and mechanisms,
infrastructure and scheme timing, delivery partners, performance monitoring and where
relevant, enforcement. Initial consideration has been given to those matters by this report,
but further concerted consideration is recommended in order to best plan for effective
Masterplan delivery.
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 1.1
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
1.1.1 This report follows the Wembley Masterplan Transport Strategy Review (WMTSR) report
prepared for Brent Council and issued in November 2008 which presented a technical review
of the transport elements of the Draft Wembley Masterplan 2008. The report assessed the
deliverability of the Masterplan in transport terms, examining the various transport
infrastructure proposals and related initiatives proposed to support movement associated
with the Masterplan’s development content and coverage.
1.1.2 It also examined the trigger points for transport intervention, in the form of infrastructure
and initiatives, from the present day throughout the Masterplan period to the year 2026 in
relation to the proposed four Masterplan phases. A number of Masterplan amendments were
proposed in terms of the nature and timing of infrastructure and initiatives along with an
assessment of the appropriate scale of development proposed by the Masterplan.
1.1.3 The identified interventions were assessed through the development and application of the
bespoke Transport Assessment Model (TAM) for Wembley, which quantified the likely
transport impacts of the Masterplan proposals, in turn providing a valuable insight into the
adequacy of the emerging transport strategy elements in delivering a sustainable access
solution.
1.1.4 The report concluded that the Masterplan’s deliverability in transport terms was questionable
given that the level of resultant traffic forecasts gave significant cause for concern. During
build-out of the Masterplan Stage 1, the road network was anticipated to be substantially
overloaded at key points and worsened with each subsequent Masterplan Stage. However,
action to provide additional capacity on the road network was shown to assist in prolonging
the road network’s life.
1.1.5 The desirability, practicality or affordability of ‘building a way out’ of the potential problems
was viewed as questionable too, particularly considering the needs of other users and
interests such as pedestrians, cyclists, and bus movement, together with the wider needs
and objectives of the Masterplan. The Masterplan describes a forward-looking, high quality,
and convivial environment for those living and working there, along with those visiting for
leisure and shopping reasons. Whilst recognising the benefits and importance of car use and
access to and within the area, it is also important to not threaten delivery of those essential
core qualities through over reliance on a highways-based access and movement philosophy.
1.1.6 One course of action identified was to re-think the scale of the development, though this was
considered premature if traffic impact was the only issue. An alternative course of action was
identified whereby further Masterplan development with greater emphasis and identified
credible action on minimising the need for travel and encouraging travel by non car modes.
The work undertaken for the initial report had indicated that the effect of the Masterplan’s
transport interventions in terms of encouraging mode shift away from the private car would
be modest, amounting to about a 4% change over the do-minimum scenario. An increase on
that was considered necessary in order to provide for development-related access in a
manner consistent with wider Masterplan objectives.
1 Introduction
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 1.2
1.2 Masterplan Transport Sub-strategies
1.2.1 In an effort to test the scope of further mode transfer, the WMTSR proposed the
development of a number of Masterplan transport sub-strategies, including; accessibility,
walk and cycle, freight/servicing, event day management, parking (including coaches), and
public realm. Further study was recommended to provide the needed additional detailed
examination of each of those matters to optimise Masterplan related movement; with the
aim of minimising the need for travel in the first instance, and maximising the shift towards
sustainable transport.
1.2.2 Of those strategies proposed, the following have been taken forward for examination within
this study:
Bus Strategy (Chapter 2)
1.2.3 The bus based strategy assesses the most efficient linkage and penetration within and
adjacent to the Masterplan area to maximise the opportunity for all residents, visitors and
workers to use the bus with particular reference to connection with the rail/tube network.
1.2.4 It also assesses the deliverability of the step-change in bus service delivery, sought by the
WMTSR study recommendations, that is, bus service provision and ridership improvements
over and above those measures outlined and implied within the Masterplan. The study
examines the potential for; further bus priority measures, high frequency bus services and
service planning and provision based on identified key local and strategic destinations.
Travel Demand Strategy (Chapter 3)
1.2.5 This sub-strategy reviews, assesses and proposes a variety of TDM interventions designed to
reduce the need for travel and enhance travel by non-car modes.
1.2.6 It assesses the scope and reach of existing and emerging Travel Demand Management
measures as they apply to the Masterplan area, such as travel planning, personalised travel
planning, area based travel planning, car clubs and car sharing, travel opportunity
information, school and community transport, flexible working hours, home working and car
clubs. It draws on published research and our own experience as active practitioners in this
field to assess the applicability and likely contribution of these measures in reducing the
need to travel and promoting travel mode shift to non-car modes.
1.2.7 In this report we examine each of the three key sub-strategy components in turn, though
each study work stream was progressed in parallel, with the findings of one part of the study
feeding the others and vice-versa. This iterative approach ensured development of a holistic
transport strategy paving the way for preparation of the Comparative Report.
1.3 Sub-strategy application and mode shift
Travel demand forecasting (Chapter 5)
1.3.1 A revised Transport Assessment model synthesises the findings of the bus strategy and TDM
interventions and provides the context for determining the deliverability of the Masterplan.
1 Introduction
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 1.3
Western Highway Corridor (Chapter 6);
1.3.2 Taking into consideration the strategy documents, this sub-strategy is founded on a technical
review of the layout and operation of the Western Highway Corridor comprising Wembley Hill
Road/ Empire Way/ Bridge Road and all junctions, existing and proposed, including the
terminating junctions at Wembley Triangle and at Forty Lane.
1.3.3 The review, in the context of the emerging Wembley Masterplan and other committed and
proposed highway and traffic management improvements, takes into consideration the needs
of all road users, the availability of land and the quality of the public realm, identifying an
‘optimum’ set of corridor improvements consistent with the aspirations of the Masterplan and
other local plans. Those preliminary designs are tested in terms of their operation and
performance with the overall corridor network performance taken forward for consideration
alongside the needs and performance of the other two sub-strategies,
1.4 Comparative Report and Masterplan Delivery
1.4.1 Chapter 6 considers the optimum package of bus and TDM interventions and their required
nature, scope and scale to deliver the Masterplan and its related movement.
1.4.2 It also considers relevant compatibilities and tensions between the various interventions
through use of an assessment framework to derive the optimum package for accommodating
the additional Masterplan related movement without compromising wider Masterplan
objectives.
1.4.3 However, a truly integrated transport strategy needs to be viewed and developed as an
intrinsic part of any ongoing Masterplanning process. An iterative approach is needed
whereby outputs from the transport analysis are fed back into the design process to inform
decisions on scale, access, parking provision, public transport accessibility, and street
hierarchy and so on. Such an approach is more likely to produce an optimum solution that
will withstand scrutiny further downstream in the planning process. This further study
provides not only the necessary guidance on the transport measures necessary to deliver the
Masterplan in its fullest sense, but also assists in the further Masterplan iterative design and
development process.
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.1
2 Bus Strategy
2.1.1 The earlier WMTSR study found bus service provision in the Masterplan area to be generally
strong with many services offered, good coverage and sufficient service frequencies.
However, suggested that a step-change in service provision and ridership may be needed in
order to avoid reliance on the car for access in catering for Masterplan development related
movement. A strengthening of bus improvement interventions and incentives was needed
beyond those outlined in the Masterplan.
2.1.2 The bus improvements proposed were limited to re-routing and general upgrades to the
facilities, with emphasis on infrastructure schemes. In addition, it set in place a revised
roadway network to improve vehicular movement. Those reconfigurations were to also play a
role in bus operations at each stage of development, such as the revision of a two-way
system for Forth Road and Central Way, the introduction of a diagonal Boulevard through the
site, and the reconnection of North End Road to Bridge Road.
2.1.3 Building upon the Masterplan and strategic connectivity aims, a more proactive and cohesive
bus strategy has been developed and is presented in this Chapter. The strategy addresses:
Background demand and accessibility;
Measures to introduce a step change towards greater utilisation of bus transport;
Future accessibility; and
Associated costs and implementation of strategy incentives proposed.
2.1.4 The strategy strives to go beyond established infrastructure measures to improve services,
to also present a compelling case for the role of bus within the new development area.
Given the site geography and proximity to central London, the bus should offer an attractive,
convenient and competitive transport mode compared to the car and one which actively
encourages sustainable travel mode shift.
2.2 Existing situation
Bus operations and accessibility
2.2.1 The area is currently well served by buses, with five routes operating within close proximity
to the site, three routes in the peripheral area (approximately 5-10 minutes walking
distance), and four routes serving the site more remotely (approximately 10-15 minutes
walking distance). Only two routes currently penetrate the development site (Routes 92 and
PR2), which operate in the south east industrial district and along Engineers Lane and Fulton
Road, respectively.
2.2.2 Figures 2.1 and 2.2 present the bus routes serving Wembley Park and Wembley Stadium
respectively. Table 2.1 summarises each bus route, frequency, and centres served.
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.2
Figure 2.1 Bus services to Wembley Park
Figure 2.2 Bus services to Wembley Central
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.3
Table 2-1 Bus routes frequency and destinations
Frequency
(mins) Local and neighbouring centres served
Wee
kday
Sunday
Eve
nin
g
SE B
rent
E B
rent
N C
entr
al B
rent
N B
rent
S C
entr
al B
rent
Alp
erto
n
Wem
ble
y Cen
tral
W B
rent
N E
alin
g
Cen
tral
Eal
ing
E E
alin
g
W E
alin
g
Bar
net
Har
row
Direct
83 8 12 15 X X X X X X X X X
92 8 10 10 X X X X X X X
182 8 12 12 X X X X
PR2 30 -- 30 X X X X
224 15 30 30 X X X X
Periphery
18 5 8 8 X X X X
223 20 30 30 X X X X X
297 10 12 12 X X X X X X
Remote
79 12 15 15 X X X X X
204 10 15 15 X X X X X X
245 8 12 12 X X X X X
H17 15 20 20 X X X
2.2.3 The level of service frequency is a key factor in characterising the level of public transport
service available. The accepted threshold for an attractive and convenient bus service is the
operation of five buses an hour, and during the weekday peak periods, eight of the routes
operate more than that. However, routes 223, 224, H17, and PR2 operate at a lower
frequency, with routes 223 and PR2 operating at headways of 20 and 30 minutes,
respectively. Additionally, routes 223 and 224 operate at 30 minute headways during late
evenings and the weekends.
2.2.4 A further consideration is the destinations served along a given bus route. Given that the
average bus trip length a passenger takes in London is approximately 3km, the local centres
and major regional and employment centres within this radius were examined for each bus
route. The main regional employment/commercial centres in Brent include:
Southeast Brent: Willesden and Willesden Green;
East Brent: Neasden, Dollis Hill, parts of Brent Cross
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.4
North Central Brent: Kingsbury, Preston
North Brent: Kenton, Northwick Park
South Central Brent: Ealing Road, Harlesden
Alperton;
Wembley Central;
West Brent: North Wembley
2.2.5 Our examination found the majority of direct routes to/from the site serve each local centres,
with the exception of north central Brent which is only served by bus routes that are more
remote from the Masterplan area.
2.2.6 Figures 2.3 to 2.6 depict the existing bus travel times to/from the Wembley site during the
AM and PM periods. The maps were generated using Accession software to assess the
transport accessibility levels across the borough. The bus travel time includes the time
required to walk to a stop and waiting time at the stop.
Figure 2.3 Existing AM Bus travel times (inbound)
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.5
Figure 2.4 Existing AM Bus travel times (Outbound)
Figure 2.5 Existing PM Bus travel times (inbound)
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.6
Figure 2.6 Existing PM Bus travel times (outbound)
2.2.7 As apparent from Figures 2.3 to 2.6, few barriers limit bus movement to/from the site within
3km, with many important local destinations reached within a travel time of less than 30
minutes.
2.2.8 The red shading indicates areas requiring a greater travel time due to indirect services
to/from the site and/or poor frequencies on the route(s). Those areas with a more
disproportionate travel time include:
North Brent (local centres of Kenton, Northwick Park);
North Central Brent (local centre of Kingsbury); and
South Central Brent (local centre of Harlesden);
Alperton.
Stopping and interchange facilities
2.2.9 Another important factor in bus service attractiveness is the quality of the stopping and
interchange facilities available. Although interchange between two buses occurs less often
than from bus to another mode (eg rail), it is important to encourage inter-modal transfer
and providing appropriate facilities. In addition, given the location of the site situated
between two rail stations, it is important that bus interchange within the Masterplan area is
convenient thereby encouraging further subsequent interchange at those stations.
2.2.10 The Masterplan promotes the concept of the Three Stations Strategy which provides
opportunities for interchange with rail and underground stations within proximity to the site.
The interchange possible at these stations is summarised in Table 2.2 below:
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.7
Table 2-2 Interchanges available at stations
Station Interchange Routes served
Wembley Stadium Rail 18, 83, 92, 182
Wembley Central Underground 18, 79, 83, 92, 182, 204, 223, 224, 297, H17
Wembley Park Underground 83, 92, 182, 223, 224, 245, 297, PR2
2.2.11 Currently, little in the way of bus interchange facilities are offered at each station.
Wembley Central, approximately 15-20 minutes walk from the centre of the site, provides
minimal shelters which is often overcrowded by high footway volumes. Figure 2.7 illustrates
the current interchange setting.
Figure 2.7 Existing Wembley Central Interchange Facilities
2.2.12 Only a few minutes walk to the centre of the site, Wembley Stadium station is an ideal
interchange gateway to the development site. Although recent upgrades to the rail station
have been significant, bus infrastructure improvements to accommodate increased volumes
have yet to be realised. Both the northbound and southbound stops along Empire Way do
not offer a sufficiently convenient transfer from bus to rail and lack appropriate crossing
facilities.
2.2.13 At the north-west section of the Masterplan area, Wembley Park underground station has
been subject to significant recent upgrades. This work included enhancing the northbound
bus facilities, notably shelter improvements. However, few upgrades have been made to the
southbound stop. In particular, southbound bus passengers wishing to interchange to the
tube would benefit from Bridge Road crossing facilities in order to gain access to the station
at the elevated entrance (Figure 2.8).
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.8
Figure 2.8 Existing Wembley Park Interchange facilities
2.2.14 Within the Masterplan area, stopping facilities are generally inadequate, often lacking shelter
and real time information. This is the case nearly all stops along Route 92 and PR2 within
the development area (Figure 2.9). The lack of consistent bus stop layouts and shelter
provisions does not, currently, make the bus mode an attractive option.
Figure 2.9 Existing stopping facilities in industrial area
Background demand and capacity
2.2.15 The source of current demand was examined to assess if capacity constraints exist on the
routes serving the Wembley area. Bus demand was estimated from Bus Origin Destination
Surveys (BODS) provided by London Buses using the most recent data collected for the area
is from 2002. The annual average growth rate applied, 1%, was based on 3G (Third
Generation) Bus Priority. This is a conservative estimate, as the growth rate is potentially
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.9
higher given the recent construction of Wembley stadium and that BODS loadings often
present lower levels of ridership than found in reality.
2.2.16 Overall the volumes to/from the areas in South Central Brent, Wembley Central, and West
Brent are the greatest, with few passengers going to Ealing and destinations beyond Barnet
and Harrow. Passenger distributions are presented in Table 2.3.
Table 2-3 Existing passenger distributions
AM PM
In Out In Out
SE Brent 8.2% 4.7% 3.4% 6.3%
E Brent 6.3% 7.7% 8.8% 8.1%
N Central Brent 1.9% 3.7% 2.7% 1.8%
N Brent 6.3% 8.6% 8.8% 6.6%
S Central Brent 18.1% 17.4% 16.7% 17.3%
Alperton 5.5% 7.5% 7.1% 4.9%
Wembley Central 18.1% 17.7% 16.4% 17.2%
W Brent 12.6% 10.2% 9.3% 12.3%
N Ealing 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2%
Central Ealing 3.6% 4.6% 5.1% 4.0%
E Ealing 1.0% 1.2% 2.6% 1.5%
W Ealing 2.4% 2.3% 4.2% 2.7%
Barnet 4.1% 5.5% 7.5% 6.4%
Harrow 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4%
Other 7.3% 4.1% 2.0% 5.4%
2.2.17 Residual capacity was then assessed by taking the highest observed loading within 3km of
the site during the AM and PM peak period, and applying a single-decker bus capacity of 45
passengers and the double-decker bus capacity of 65 passengers. Any known upgrades to
the fleet were included in the analysis. The resultant 2008 spare capacity by route is
presented in Table 2.4.
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.10
Table 2-4 2008 Spare capacity by route
Bus Route AM PM
In Out In Out
18 63.3% 75.1% 84.6% 69.4%
79 68.3% 57.0% 72.2% 74.7%
83 68.7% 62.7% 37.9% 62.4%
92 65.4% 78.5% 81.3% 76.2%
182 46.6% 43.1% 54.7% 11.8%
204 83.7% 57.9% 73.3% 69.3%
223 70.1% 82.3% 65.8% 72.9%
224 77.0% 83.5% 77.6% 87.6%
297 34.4% 36.5% 59.4% 40.6%
H17 94.7% 92.3% 97.6% 93.5%
PR2 84.7% 95.3% 82.3% 83.5%
Overall 64.4% 65.2% 69.4% 64.3%
2.2.18 Overall, approximately one-third of the capacity available is currently being utilised, although
observations indicate that Routes 182 and 297 are operating at or near capacity. Routes 182
and 297 operate at the highest levels of capacity for the area, nearly 88.2% of capacity is
utilised for Route 182 in the PM peak, while Route 297 operates at 65.6% of capacity in the
AM peak. Route H17 and PR2 provide substantial spare capacity, 97.6% (PM) and 95.3%
(AM), respectively.
2.3 Bus strategy incentives
2.3.1 In order to realise increased modal share, bus must be considered a reliable and convenient
alternative to the car. These factors are very important for potential riders but may be
difficult to specify in terms of operations and infrastructure provision. From our investigation
of current service provision and in recognition of the nature and needs of the Masterplan,
the following are guiding principles for a substantial improvement in bus service provision in
and around the Masterplan area:
a legible route network;
high standard of interchange opportunities between buses and other modes;
a high quality of service; and
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.11
bus priority measures.
2.3.2 The first two components offer the necessary routeing and provision to establish the
network; and the latter two promote and advance the bus as an attractive option relative to
the car.
Figure 2.10 Proposed routeing through site
Legible route network
2.3.3 The simplicity and directness of the route network is important when trying to attract new
passengers, as is the maintenance, where possible, the same core network at all times of
day and day of week. More intuitive stop locations, that is, generally alighting at a similar
point on the route to boarding, can be located in the Masterplan area assuming appropriate
road network provision is made in terms of road geometry.
2.3.4 The proposed network presented in Figure 2.10 above, provides two complementary routes
operating within each Masterplan zone connecting to interchange opportunities at either
Wembley Park, Wembley Stadium, or Wembley Central, as follows:
Development core (southeast portion of site) served by routes 92 and 224;
Existing industrial district (southwest portion of site) served by routes 92 and PR2; and
Business and shopping zone (north portion of site) served by routes PR2 and 224.
2.3.5 The network introduced does not include the direct, limited stop service proposed to run
between Park Royal and Wembley Park. Upon approval and funding of this route, the route
should run along Empire Way on the Western Highway corridor to preserve the pedestrian
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.12
environment of the boulevard route, as this will be operated by the extension of the 224. The
improvement along the PR2 (which also runs between Park Royal and Wembley Park) is
advised to serve the industrial district of the site.
2.3.6 Route 92 should be diverted along the Boulevard and continue along Engineers Way.
Assumingreversion to a two-way system, Route 92 should then continue along First Way into
the industrial district of the site. This route will conveniently connect residents and workers
to Wembley Central and Wembley Stadium stations.
Figure 2.11 Wembley Masterplan 2008 proposed bus routes
2.3.7 The proposed re-routing of the PR2 bus operation will serve the industrial area and connect
North End Road via Fulton Road. The route should then be extended beyond the Paddocks
(existing terminus) and provide a link to North Central Brent, approximately one mile in
distance, connecting the site with the area surrounding Kingsbury station. This area is
currently poorly served and will be the origin/destination of 7% of all the trips generated by
the development. In addition, this diversion and extension will connect a number of business
parks and the College of North West London to the opportunity area located at Park Royal.
2.3.8 The extension of Route 224 will provide a convenient connection to those within the
development site to Wembley Park station. This will complement the high frequency routes
running along Empire Way and will operate in a parallel manner serving additional
destinations on site to promote accessibility. Within the site the 224 will run along the
Boulevard and then the shopping street, or, optionally via Olympic Way (not shown). The
route extension to Wembley Park station is feasible given its current route length and
journey time. A potential terminus location for Route 224 is at the Wembley Park ASDA on
Forty Lane, though discussions and investigations would be required to verify this possibility.
2.3.9 The proposed route structure is in line with that envisioned in the Masterplan, routes PR2
and 92 have been modified to facilitate intuitive stop locations, that is, alighting at a location
opposite to that used for boarding. This necessitates changing operation of the present one-
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Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.13
way system to two-way in the industrial estate area and would require alteration of the road
geometry along the lines of that proposed within the Wembley Industrial Estates
Regeneration Study (WIERS) of 2004. Additionally, a shuttle bus service could be introduced
to serve the industrial and business destinations of the site, potentially serving Second or
Third Way. Such a service would provide for the arrival and departure peak hour movements
to and from the area without the related higher scale of operational cost associated with
provision of a permanent off-peak service.
2.3.10 Discussed above, the implementation of a direct, limited stop service should serve run along
the Western Highway corridor, thereby minimising the number of buses running through the
pedestrian environment of the development site. Similarly, route 182 should remain on that
corridor as diversion within the site is not anticipated to increase ridership or expand the
catchment area substantially.
Interchange Facilities
2.3.11 Wembley Central, Wembley Stadium, and Wembley Park station part of the Three Stations
concept outlined in the Masterplan. In building upon the existing strategy, we propose that
these stations should be considered and designated public transport hubs, providing a
conscious point of arrival promoting the high quality of public transport service available.
They should act as a gateway providing real time information, adequate seating and lighting,
and cycle facilities. Moreover they should act as intuitive and convenient transfer locations,
with road crossings by pedestrians kept to a minimum.
2.3.12 The major Wembley Central Square shopping centre scheme and station upgrade is
currently under construction and will include needed improvements to the Wembley High
Road footway width to accommodate increasing pedestrian volumes at nearby bus stops. In
addition the provision of real time bus service information would be beneficial. A road
crossing facility along the High Road near Wembley Central station would benefit eastbound
bus passengers wishing to interchange with the underground.
2.3.13 Given Wembley Stadium station’s proximity to the core of the development area, it should
be seen as a primary gateway to the development. The current configuration does not
facilitate large passenger volumes, nor does it attract users to interchange between rail and
bus. Improvements identified near the station comprise:
Southbound bus interchange facilities would ideally be situated adjacent to the rail
station in the southwest corner of the junction between Empire Way and South Way
(Figure 2.12). The area is currently undeveloped and provides easy access to the rail
station and could facilitate interchange opportunities and establish a gateway. Other
provision, such as seating, real time information, shelter, and cycle racks could be
provided;
Given the roadway and bridge constraints, the northbound bus stop cannot be
relocated within greater proximity to the station. The bus stop should be upgraded
and signal timings revised to accommodate an all green pedestrian phase to avoid a
two-stage crossing. If possible, the northbound bus stop would also benefit from
similar branding to the station and stadium architecture.
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.14
Figure 2.12 Potential locations for Southbound bus facilities
2.3.14 Although there have been recent improvements to Wembley Park station, it would benefit
from further improvement measures:
Increase available seating at the station for northbound services,
To gain waiting room, especially during event days, the existing cycle rack should be
relocated to a more convenient location;
The southbound bus shelter should be upgraded to reflect the architecture of Wembley
Park station including the northbound bus shelter, and Wembley stadium.
A signalised crossing facility that connects the southbound bus stop to the elevated
entrance to the station.
Quality of Service
2.3.15 Routing and interchange facilities provide the necessary infrastructure, but in order to fully
realise bus service potential, the bus must be demonstrated as offering a high quality and
reliable form of transport, through high levels of service, information provision, and
appropriate Wembley service/route/fleet branding.
2.3.16 Service frequency is a key defining characteristic of service quality. According to Transport
Research Laboratory, the threshold for behaviour change occurs at 4-5 scheduled journeys
per hour. Routes with low frequency typically demonstrate greater ridership elasticity than
that for high frequency services. Therefore, even if passenger volumes do not initially justify
the increased service, the convenience and reliability make it a more attractive option for
potential riders. The following frequency increases are recommended:
Frequency of PR2 should be increased from present 30 minute headways to 12 minute
headways;
Frequency of 224 should be increased from present 15 minute headways to 10 minute
headways.
Frequency of 223 should be increased from present 20 minute headways to 12 minute
headways.
2.3.17 In addition frequency modifications can be a tool to increase capacity on a given route. It
can also improve reliability, as dwell times can be reduced slightly. We propose the following
modifications to increase capacity on the routes 297 and 182:
Frequency of 297 should be increased from 10 minute headways to 8 minute
headways to provide additional capacity.
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.15
Frequency of 182 should be increased from 8 minute headways to 6 minute headways.
2.3.18 These frequency increases are considered feasible given the current and proposed route
length and journey times. Further investigations may be necessary to review terminus point
facilities and driver turnover.
2.3.19 Information regarding buses must be simple and readily available, including both the
information available before a passenger goes to his or her neighbourhood stop and that
available at the stop. TfL London Buses already provides excellent information at most
Central London and district centre stops and this needs to be extended to the Wembley
Masterplan area. Without sufficient information, passengers may not be able to select
appropriate services suiting their needs, contributing to poor service perception, thereby
suppressing bus use.
2.3.20 In addition to standard timetable distribution, an area guide bus map and real time
information should be available at stations and centres of public activity.
2.3.21 An area guide bus map should be provided. The site is located between Wembley Central
and Wembley Park stations, each with separate bus maps. In practice, these maps can
provide confusing stop location and interchange information. With the revised and simplified
route structure, the information provided should be simplified and clearer, perhaps providing
walking distances and bus frequencies. The area bus map should be provided at various
points throughout the development area.
Real time information should be presented both on electronic displays at the bus stops,
but also at centres of public activity (such as Wembley Stadium and Wembley Arena, etc.),
similar to Figure 2.13. Information should also be available via the Internet on existing TfL
sites and, perhaps, on a Wembley centric site.
Figure 2.13 Existing Real Time Information at NB Wembley Park bus stop
2.3.22 The Branding of Wembley bus services would enhance the perception that its buses are
unique and of a bespoke quality. This is best accomplished through constructing shelters to
a uniform design standard with appropriate information and advertising provision. Figure
2.14 presents the architectural style of recent construction in the area and the influence of
Wembley Stadium’s architecture on bus stop facilities at the northbound bus stop outside
Wembley Park station. For those within the newly developed area, this design concept could
reiterate the architectural influence of Wembley Stadium. Similarly the shelters within the
industrial district should be of high quality in order to entice workers to see buses as a
worthwhile alternative to the car.
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.16
Figure 2.14 Architectural branding potential for bus stops
Bus priority measures
2.3.23 The proposed bus operational and passenger facility improvements are vital for establishing
the right conditions for a ‘step change’ in public transport usage. However, to overcome the
resistance of those habitual car users for whom the bus may represent a realistic travel
alternative, it is necessary to introduce sanctions to counteract this inertia. The simplest and
most effective method is on street and workplace parking charges with effective
enforcement. This is most applicable in the industrial district and in areas of new
construction. The following measures should be introduced alongside the strategic incentives
discussed above.
2.3.24 Bus (priority) lanes are important in affording appropriate priority to buses on the highway
network, avoiding variable levels of congestion and managing the impact of car use on bus
movement. Priority lanes along Empire Way/Bridge Way should be extended.
2.3.25 Wherever possible, bus selective vehicle detection (SVD) at signals, which minimises
delay to bus movement and helps to improve service reliability and minimise journey times,
should be installed.
2.3.26 The feasibility of these measures is addressed in the proposed corridor and junction layouts
discussed in Chapter 5.
2.4 Future demand and capacity considerations
Future demand distribution and accessibility
2.4.1 With the change of land uses within the development site the numbers of passenger trips
made will change accordingly, attracting journeys to and from different areas. Table 2.5
presents the future demand distribution. Table 2.5 presents the future demand distribution.
South Central Brent will continue to be a major origin and destination for trips to/from the
site. In addition, the demand to/from areas to the north (Kingsbury and Kenton areas) and
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.17
the south east (Willesden, Harlesden areas) of the site will increase as with the new
development and improved connections to those areas.
Table 2-5 Future demand distribution (to be revised with TAM output)
AM PM
In Out In Out
SE Brent 4.5% 3.8% 6.1% 6.3%
E Brent 4.4% 3.3% 5.4% 5.9%
N Central Brent 6.4% 6.1% 9.7% 9.2%
N Brent 7.5% 7.5% 11.8% 11.0%
S Central Brent 39.2% 45.7% 13.7% 16.6%
Alperton 5.0% 3.8% 6.2% 6.7%
Wembley Central 8.2% 6.5% 10.5% 10.9%
W Brent 6.0% 5.0% 8.1% 8.0%
N Ealing 5.1% 3.8% 6.2% 6.5%
Central Ealing 5.3% 5.2% 8.0% 7.1%
E Ealing 2.7% 2.4% 3.8% 3.4%
W Ealing 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 2.4%
Barnet 2.5% 2.9% 4.4% 3.6%
Harrow 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 2.3%
Other 4.5% 3.8% 6.1% 6.3%
2.4.2 The proposed bus strategy is designed to satisfy the future demand distribution. Figures
2.15-2.18 present the travel time savings for Brent assuming the implementation of the
transport incentives.
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.18
Figure 2.15 Improvements in travel time AM (inbound)
Figure 2.16 Improvements in travel time AM (outbound)
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.19
Figure 2.17 Improvements in travel time PM(inbound)
Figure 2.18 Improvements in travel time PM (outbound)
2.4.3 The most significant improvements occur to the north of the site, with enhancements to the
223, 224, and PR2 improving connections to local centres like Preston and Kingsbury with
travel times reduced by up to 10 minutes.
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.20
2.4.4 The residential and local centres to the south of Ealing Road and Alperton receive travel time
savings with improvements to 182 and 224.
Travel Demand Forecasting
2.4.5 The estimated impact of the bus strategy and related interventions has been taken forward
as input to the Wembley Transport Assessment Model (TAM, see Chapter 4). From the
research presented here, the bus interventions are estimated to increase the bus mode share
for internalised trips by 5% and have been offset by reducing the car mode share by 2%,
walk by 2% and cycle by 1%. Most significantly, a shift of 2.5% has been applied from car
use to bus, and to avoid double-counting of that impact only 50% of the shift associated with
the bus strategy is taken forward.
2.5 Deliverability
Cost estimates and funding sources
2.5.1 A small amount of new bus infrastructure is required to deliver the bus service improvements
as a greater emphasis to be placed on quality of public transport, The infrastructure required
surrounds interchange and stopping facilities with parking disincentives for cars. The quality
improvements encompass operations, information and branding.
2.5.2 The table below provides a broad range of cost to fulfil the bus strategy.
Table 2-6 Bus strategy cost estimates
Approximate cost
range
Route extensions and frequencies*
Route PR2 (extension, frequency and service modifications) £1m - £1.25m
Route 224 (extension, frequency modifications) £500,000 –
£750,000
Route 223 (frequency modifications) £375,000 -
£600,000
Route 182 (frequency modifications) £1m - £1.25m
Route 297 (frequency modifications) £500,000 -
£750,000
Route 92 (route diversion) No significant cost
Interchange and stopping facilities
Construct NB & SB bus stops at Wembley Central station (branding &
construction, cycle racks, real time information)
£20,000 - £40,000
Upgrade NB bus stop at Wembley Stadium Station (branding & construction of
shelter, including seating, real time information, etc)
£10,000 - £20,000
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.21
Construct SB bus interchange facility at Wembley Stadium Station (branding &
construction of shelter, cycle racks)
£25,000 - £60,000
+ land acquisition if
required
Upgrade NB stop at Wembley Park station (install seating, relocate bike rack) £5,000 - £10,000
Upgrade SB stop at Wembley Park station (branding & construction of shelter) £10,000 - £20,000
Enhance existing stops with real time information at 8 existing stops £7,500 - £15,000
Install 15 new stops (including real time information) £100,000 -
£125,000
Relocate 2 existing stops £10,000-£15,000
Bus Priority measures
Extend bus priority lanes along Empire Way (approx 100-200m) £5,000 - £10,000
Provide bus priority at junctions £20,000 - £50,000
* Does not include operating margins, cost contingencies, or concession company costs on a per annum
cost.
Service Changes
2.5.3 The key elements of the bus strategy are: the enhanced service frequency, route diversions
and route extensions. London Bus Services Limited will need to be convinced that the
proposals and the accompanying travel demand management (TDM) measures will deliver the
necessary revenues over the life of each bus contract. Clearly, establishment of a sound
business case will depend heavily on passenger forecasts. Funding and service changes could
be applied incrementally, adjusting to the increase in demand as construction of the
development proceeds however, to achieve a ‘step change’ in passenger perceptions of bus
based public transport, full service frequency improvements must be made as early as
possible. Estimated operational costs in Table 2.11 assume full implementation of
modifications.
Infrastructure Changes
2.5.4 Infrastructure changes can be considered in three parts: bus priority measures, passenger
facilities at stops and interchanges and enabling works for service changes. Provided that a
robust business case can be established, many of the infrastructure costs would be funded by
Transport for London. Establishment of a sound business case will depend heavily on
passenger forecasts.
2.5.5 Bus priority at junctions (SVD) is already funded for suitable sites throughout London under
the new iBUS GPS based automatic vehicle location (AVL) SVD system. TfL will include SVD at
all new suitable sites when the current programme has been completed.
2.5.6 Additional bus priority measures, such as the bus lane extension and junction improvements,
are likely to be funded through the London Bus Priority Network (LBPN) if they can be shown
to deliver the necessary economic cost/benefit ratio. Ad hoc funding from TfL may be
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.22
available for other specific measures that fall outside normal funding streams; this avenue has
been demonstrated to be successful in the past with the current Empire Way bus lane .
2.5.7 Funding provide or enhance the public transport interchange hubs should be available through
TfL’s area based scheme programme, including support for Station Access and Streets for
People schemes. Once again a sound business case is essential.
2.5.8 Service change enabling works (new and enhanced bus stops, bus turn-around and standing
areas) are likely to receive sympathetic support from TFL LBSL if the basic service change
business case is satisfactory.
Additional Funding
2.5.9 An important alternative to TfL financial support is developer contributions. The funds
available are addressed in the Development Agreement of September 2004. Developer
contributions may be sought as with those already secured in relation to the Stage 1 S106
Agreement (2004) which includes for a staged contribution of £1,750,000 for bus route or
other public transport measures, with mention of possible contribution towards subsidising
the provision of bus routes or other measures. Note was also made of works to the value of
£50,000 resulting from an approved bus infrastructure strategy. There is also provision for a
contribution of £100,000 towards improvement works at Wembley Central Station, along
with a contribution of £1,615,000 to Transport for London for Wembley Park Station
improvement works.
2.5.10 Developer funding could therefore be used to provide architecturally compatible stop and
interchange facilities and support for service changes that are directly affected by the
development.
2.6 Conclusions
2.6.1 This strategy attempts to transform the broad measures imagined in the Masterplan into
realisable and substantial interventions resulting in a substantial modal shift towards bus
use:
Legible network;
Convenient and appealing transfers;
High level of service and frequency; and
Bus priority measures.
2.6.2 Although these incentives can be implemented over the course of the development, a
coherent vision must be defined in order to deliver this strategy, for example, increased
frequencies require enhanced interchange facilities and bus priority, and so forth. Moreover,
this strategy fits within the constraints of the existing and proposed highway network and
sets up the capacity and facilities needed to accommodate the development and travel
demand measures.
2.6.3 The proposed bus strategy incentives are capable of implementation over the Masterplan
period. The funding obligations for the infrastructure works are considered manageable,
given the existing established network and ridership. In addition, developer contributions are
available including £1,750,000 towards bus routing and other public transport measures,
2 Bus Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 2.23
£50,000 towards bus infrastructure strategy, and £1,715,000 to improve interchange
facilities at Wembley Central and Wembley Park stations.
2.6.4 In order to fully achieve the vision set out in this document, active engagement with
Transport for London, London buses and the surrounding community is required to transform
the strategy measures listed into realisable interventions. It is worth reiterating that the
travel demand measures and the bus strategy itself hinges upon gaining TfL LBSL support for
the proposed service frequency improvements.
Next steps
2.6.5 Successful implementation of the bus strategy is vital to the success of the Wembley
Masterplan area and needs to be progressed with a minimum of delay. Engagement with TfL
London Buses should be undertaken when the partners have agreed the bases of the
strategy. A clear business case should be established and the outcomes for London buses
set out with practical, achievable and implementable supporting infrastructure schemes.
2.6.6 The aim of the process is take sound proposals to TfL London Buses if the bus strategy is to
be achieved. The following steps need to be undertaken rigorously and fully to secure
credibility, and ultimately funding, for the proposals:
Calculate realistic bus patronage levels for each route enhancement at key
development milestones;
Estimate revenue for each milestone;
Carry out practical feasibility designs for each of the proposed route service changes;
Estimate minimum and desirable infrastructure costs;
Calculate both economic benefits and residual revenues (these may be positive or
negative in the early stages);
Prepare a draft travel demand management commitment by stakeholders; and
Take clearly argued proposals to TfL London Buses
2.6.7 If TfL London Buses are able to endorse the proposals then:
Develop a delivery timetable;
Develop and funding programme; and
Initiate detailed design and implementation.
2.6.8 Once TfL support has been secured for the increased service frequencies all other bus
enhancements may be progressed.
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.1
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
3.1 Introduction
3.1.1 In this chapter we consider the effect that Travel Demand Management Interventions, or
‘Smarter Travel’ can have on overall traffic levels in a mixed-use development. This will focus
on designing-in Smarter Travel to the Masterplan development at a very early stage.
Reducing the need to travel prior to occupation of the site, takes full advantage of the
‘Change Opportunity’ that exists when relocation occurs.
3.2 Background
Context of the Study
3.2.1 TDM measures are in their infancy, in development terms, with their longevity and efficiency
yet to be proven. However, several of those initiatives, such as travel planning and car
sharing are in widespread use and a knowledge base of associated methods and performance
is building over time. We shall draw upon published research and our own experience as
active practitioners in this field to assess the applicability and likely contribution of these
measures in reducing the need to travel and promoting travel mode shift to non-car modes.
Area of Development
3.2.2 London as a whole is a hotbed of Smarter Travel Activities and is home to much of the UK
best practise. There are well established and proven Smarter Travel programmes operated
by Transport for London (TfL) and the boroughs with rigorous and tested monitoring
regimes. Many of these programmes have shown significant mode shift results on mass
scales not before seen in the UK. TfL, the London Sub Regional Partnerships and Boroughs all
provide support to organisations undertaking these activities.
3.2.3 The WESTRANS sub region is a well resourced body with an excellent reputation which
include the development of the award winning iTRACE monitoring system. West London
boroughs generally outperform most other London boroughs and sub regions in terms of
both Workplace and School Travel Planning. The results from the iTRACE database show the
West London average mode shift reduction in single car occupancy, for Workplace Travel
Planning is higher than the London average by more than 5% and more than 2% for schools.
The West London sub region also boasts the London Borough with the largest percentage
reduction in workplace travel by car and the Borough with the second largest reduction for
car travel to school.
3.2.4 These factors combine to indicate that the location and the surrounding area is a well
established area for the use of Smarter Travel and that the support and surrounding good
practise supports the concept that from a point of view of location the development should
be ideally situated for creating mode shift in excess of the London average for Smarter
Travel interventions.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.2
Services and the Built Environment
3.2.5 The development will be a new build site, which provides the opportunity to build in
measures and services that create a sustainable environment, making it easier for the site’s
population to make more sustainable travel choices. If measures such as good public
transport services to interchanges and good pedestrian and cycling facilities are built into the
site prior to occupation it will allow the Smarter Travel measures that are implemented from
point of occupation to take full advantage of the ‘Change Opportunity’ and further ratchet the
likelihood of success, as well as increase the percentage of modal shift away from the car
journey that can be achieved.
The Change Opportunity
3.2.6 The Change Opportunity is a psychological theory that is used in all behaviour change
programmes. When individuals are going through a process of intense psychological change
such as: moving house, relocation of workplace or a new job, they are more open to the
possibility of changing other aspects of their behaviour such as travel. This principle means
that the entire population of the Wembley Masterplan in theory should be more predisposed
to change. It is worth pointing out that no population can be changed away form car
journeys 100%, merely that to those where alternatives are a practical possibility, the
likelihood of them considering change, as part of their wider life change is increased. This will
be particularly relevant if the infrastructure and passenger transport services support and
encourage this change, from a push and pull (carrot and stick) perspective.
Designing in Advantage (Carrot)
3.2.7 If the very highest levels of sustainable travel and mode shift are to be achieved it is
imperative that the advantage of sustainable transport is not only built into the development
but is overtly visible. This allows these measures to act as a reminder to those who have
made the choice to travel by sustainable mode that they are valued and have a visible
advantage. It also acts as an advertising and reinforcement mechanism to those still using
non sustainable modes that there may be a better option.
3.2.8 Good examples of Carrot infrastructure and service methods that could be designed into the
site and used in the context of infrastructure to support wider Smarter Travel initiatives
include; highly visible car share and car club logos on street signage and at the entrances to
the site, clearly marked and enforced dedicated bays for car sharing, car club cars that are
located in the most advantageous and desirable positions for car parking., and clearly
advertised, well positioned public transport interchanges with attractively designed and lit
shelters. This would ideally be supported by a bus service that is connected to other
desirable public transport interchanges with a reliable service, as discussed in the previous
chapter. Also desirable is well designed cycle infrastructure with covered and lit cycle parking
built into the development, at regular points in the site in close proximity to likely desired
destinations (TfL provide detailed standards for cycle parking and infrastructure). Lastly,
good pedestrian infrastructure that takes into account the likely desire lines of users will
encourage purposeful walking.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.3
Restricting Car Usage
3.2.9 One essential infrastructural element of highly successful Smarter Travel is restricted parking
for private single occupancy vehicles and a well managed parking policy that provides a
hierarchy of car parking solutions. This ideally would be based on promoting the use of pool
cars, car sharing and car clubs. If parking is left unchecked or single occupancy private
vehicles are allocated limits, these limits will in almost all cases be met. Few developments
can expect to have a lower car usage percentage than the unrestricted private parking
allows. Full scoping of the infrastructural parking management requirements is beyond the
present scope of this study.
Land Use in the Wembley Development
3.2.10 The Land Use for the new Wembley Development can be broken down into the following
usages highlighted in the table below:
Table 3-1 Applicable measure by land use
SQM / Units Land
Usage
Estimated
Population
Likely applicable Measures
364540 sq m
Employment
\ Business
11654 persons
employed
Workplace Travel Plans, Smarter
Travel, Car Sharing,Off-Peak Servicing,
Area Based Travel Planning, Car Clubs,
Real Time Publicity
27542 sq m Educational 2,020 potential
children
one secondary
school and one
or two primary
schools to be
built
School Travel Plans, Car Sharing,
Personal Travel Planning, Area Based
Travel Planning, Real Time Publicity,
Car Free Development
7720 units Residential 18,528
additional
residents
Based on:
2.4 resident per
unit
Personal Travel Planning, Area Based
Travel Planning, Car Clubs, Cycle Hire,
Real Time Publicity, Car Free,
development , Home Delivery, Taxi Hire
3.2.11 Throughout the Masterplan, a number of TDM measures are mentioned including travel
plans, car clubs, parking strategies and travel awareness campaigns. The document also
states that reducing the need to travel by focusing the population in an area with good public
transport and providing the necessary range of facilities and amenities to allow people to
work, live and play within the local area was an important consideration within the
development. The Masterplan also mentions promoting the development of the public
transport system as a primary mode of transport for new residents while also promoting car
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.4
clubs using a travel awareness campaign. The use of a parking strategy and Travel Plans
was included in the Masterplan l. While these TDM measures are mentioned with the
Masterplan there is a general lack of detail regarding exactly what the measures will involve
so it is very difficult to predict in a robust manner quite what effect they would have. To this
end, we have explored the likely effective measures based on best practise and available
evidence.
Timescales for Smarter Travel
3.2.12 The timescale for any Smarter Travel initiative from implementation to audited results of
long term behaviour change is typically between two to five years. This timescale includes
from original project concept to seeing first audited results, and then demonstrating long
term behaviour change.
3.2.13 Smarter Travel can generally be divided into two major approaches Business to Business
(B2B) and Business to Consumer (B2C).
3.2.14 B2B is a relationship where the authority of an intermediary trusted source \ organisation is
used to contact and influence a group of people, e.g. School or Workplace. These can often
take longer periods of time to establish desired behaviour but they can be highly effective
and cost efficient, due to the amount of effort involved in communicating with many people
via one source and the ease in which reinforcement through continued contact can be done.
3.2.15 B2C is a direct relationship with the end user, via direct contact or marketing. This can be
less effective as there are perceived vested interests of the authority providing the message
e.g. Local Authority. These techniques such as Travel Awareness, Advertising and Personal
Travel Planning are often more expensive; however they can often have a more immediate
effect.
3.2.16 In the case of a new development elements of these timescales can be brought forward if
through good planning the site has good public transport and pedestrian infrastructure in
place at point of occupation and that negotiation with developers and occupiers has taken
place well in advance to allow for the pre-planning of travel plan measure to be implemented
prior to occupancy of the site.
3.2.17 For instance if all site Workplaces and Schools were expected to have operating travel plans
in place within 3 months of occupancy and all residents provided with Personal Travel
Planning (PTP) prior to occupancy, this would take full advantage of the ‘Change Opportunity’
and could speed up the process. However, this would also rely on all pedestrian and
passenger transport services within the site and beyond to be in place by occupancy. If this
approach is taken it is possible that change could be created almost instantly and that the
early effects of this could be seen within one year. The more likely outcome with a staged
development such as this is likely to be that staged smarter travel and sustainable
infrastructure support will be implemented in sections. As a result of this the outcomes of
these are likely to also take longer to produce. In this case the three to five year scenario, is
likely to stand with full adoption of sustainable behaviour and its cumulative effect not
plateauing until at least two years after final occupancy of the site.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.5
3.2.18 Below is an example of a typical Smarter Travel timeline based on the TfL Corporate
workplace travel planning process.
Figure 3.1 Workplace travel plans, time scales
3.3 Smarter Travel Research and Evidence Base
3.3.1 Best practise materials have provided us with guidance to determine the level to which
infrastructure can increase use of sustainable modes. We have looked into what evidence
currently exists for the wider social benefits that can be gained from cycling and walking. For
the main bulk of this evidence we will be rely on published TfL’s and Cycling England’s
figures and best practise, but have approached TfL’s cycling and walking section to
understand if any additional statistics are available. We have also compared the
infrastructure approach to the ‘Invisible Infrastructure’ approach, originally outlined by the
English Regions Cycle Development Team.
3.3.2 Through the gathered information we have assessed the applicability of the following travel
demand techniques:
Personalised travel planning;
Area Based Travel Planning;
Car Clubs;
Workplace Travel Plans, Typical Time Scales Based on TfL Corporate Programme for Organisation of more than 250 employees
Phase 1: Consultative selling (2–5 meetings)
Phase 1: Consultative selling (2–5 meetings)
Approaches
Expression of Interest
Senior management agreement
Partnership Pledge Forms signed
Phase 4: ReviewPhase 4: Review iTRACE travel surveys
Phase 2: DevelopmentPhase 2: Development
Management Group established
Consultants appointed (by TfL)
iTRACE surveys undertaken
Site specific travel plan report produced
~3 months~3 months
Phase 5: RenewPhase 5: Renew
Review, modify & reinvigorate plan
Ongoing monitoring
~6–12 months~6–12 months
~3 months~3 months
Phase 3: ImplementationPhase 3: Implementation
Implementation of ‘quick win’ / action planMarketing to employees \ stakeholders
~24 months~24 months
~24 months~24 months
~5 y
ears
~5 y
ears
Larg
e ta
rget
ed b
usin
esse
s
Net
wor
k gr
oups
pro
vide
acc
ess
Larg
e ta
rget
ed b
usin
esse
s
Net
wor
k gr
oups
pro
vide
acc
ess
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.6
Real Time Publicity;
Car sharing;
School and Community transport;
Flexible working hours and home working;
Co-ordinated home delivery systems;
Off-peak/ overnight servicing;
Potential for car free development;
Taxi hire;
Workplace parking restraint/ incentives for alternative travel; and
Cycle Hire schemes.
3.4 Workplace Travel Plans (WTP)
WTP
3.4.1 Workplace Travel Plans (WTPs) have been in existence since the early 1990s, though have
only been secured as standard practise in London since 2005. They are an established
Smarter Travel method that has a proven impact on the transport choices. London
government has secured more than 1,600 WTPs (with 400+ in West London and 170+ in
Brent) to date and has a well established standard methodology for implementation,
management and monitoring. Workplace Travel Plans are system management tools that
allow employers to manage transport to their site more efficiently. They are based on
surveys of the site and organisation policy and how staff and visitors travel to and from the
site and how they may be willing to travel. This then provides a number of options that can
be implemented, supported and promoted.
WTP - Approaches
3.4.2 There are two approaches as part of a workplace travel planning:
The first is to reduce the need to travel. This can be achieved using Smarter Working
measures often utilising (relatively) new technology such as teleconferencing and
allowing remote access to servers, whether from an employee’s home or another office
location. Measures might also include flexible working, the provision of on site cash
points, cafeteria etc in order that employees need only walk to the services they
require.
The second approach is to promote the existing alternative travel options to Single
Occupancy Car Journeys and in some cases improve the number of options available.
This is where infrastructural measures such as the cycle shelters and better footpaths
may be important. Other features might be facilities within the office such as changing
and showering for those who travel to work by cycle (or walk).
3.4.3 In order for a workplace travel plan to work it is likely that some incentives for using
sustainable transport and disincentives are applied to those who are single car occupiers.
This increases the costs of implementing a workplace travel plan, but this is likely to be
outweighed by the fiscal and other additional benefits of reduced car travel and possible
savings for the business.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.7
WTP - Example Practices
3.4.4 Examples of new infrastructure include cycle shelters, improved footpaths, bus stops and car
park barriers. Many of these options could be implemented by London Borough of Brent and
TfL during the development of the Wembley area, thus improving the travel choices to the
site from point of occupancy. This will increase the likelihood that businesses will promote
sustainable travel modes and employees will use these travel modes from the outset. LB
Brent should also be able to provide information to potential businesses about the travel
opportunities available on the site.
3.4.5 Increasing complementary transport links between additional transport interchanges, for
example local rail or tube station, and the site may be done as part of a 106 agreement for
the site or as a regular contribution from business. Other activity for increasing sustainable
travel use might include negotiations with TfL and rail operators for corporate discounts on
season tickets for employees using the services as well as encouraging organisations to
provide interest-free loans for season tickets. Incentives to attract the use of certain modes
have also effectively been used. GlaxoSmith Kline, a West London employer, has used a
rewards system based on increased used of cycling this provides points that that can be built
up over time, based on how often an employee has cycled, these can be traded in for
merchandise and free cycle maintenance at a local retailer (service provided on site).
3.4.6 Disincentives to car use might include charging users for parking or restricting the number of
days employees are allowed to park in the office car park. Evidence used in the Parking
Forum study ‘Parking – its role in workplace and school travel plans’ showed that greater
modal shifts away from car use were achieved where an element of parking restraint was
used. This measure has also been implemented successfully at BSkyB in West London.
BSkyB gradually reduced the number of parking spaces available to staff which helped to
reduce the number of single occupancy vehicles being driven to the site. This reduction in
parking was complemented by the use of LiftShare (a car sharing database) along with a
shuttle bus from the local stations and free consultations available to staff with trained travel
planners. TfL is currently compiling a best practise guide on Parking Management for
Workplaces and has produced a real cost of parking leaflet to show organisations how much
the provision of car parking at their sites really costs. This will be discussed later in the
study.
3.4.7 GlaxoSmithKline, in Brentford (GSK) operate a rotational car parking management scheme,
were all members of staff must forego the right to park on site 1 week out of 5. This along
with the positive other positive incentives and travel plan measures such as cycling facilities
and Smarter Working measures has allowed them to accommodate a workforce of around
5,000 into a site originally designed to accommodate 3,000 employees.
WTP – Example Outcomes
3.4.8 BSkyB reduced the proportion of single occupancy car trips to their site from 63% to 51.2%
with people transferring to the train, car sharing, walking and cycling instead, these
promising results were produced within the first year of implementation of their travel plan.
3.4.9 GlaxoSmithKline saw a threefold increase in the number of employees cycling to the site
following the incentives program. They also estimate that the cost of improving cycle
facilities, providing incentives, a free shuttle bus and car sharing scheme are 80% less than
the cost of providing parking spaces for all employees. This saving is backed up by the
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.8
Highways agency research and TfL research that give the benefit cost ratio for government
transport scheme investment in workplace travel planning as 4.2:1 and 4.1:1 respectively;
this is highly favourable compared to most transport schemes.
WTP - Implementation and sources of funding assistance available
3.4.10 LB Brent can also provide a supporting role to firms using workplace travel plans in
partnership with WESTRANS and TfL by providing advice and helping with travel planning
measures and improvements to public transport provision and advertising of these
improvements.
3.4.11 The DfT report on smarter travel states that based on 20 case studies the average reduction
in number of vehicles per 100 staff is 18%. The reduction in car use between sites ranged
from no reduction up to a reduction of 35%. The results from the iTrace database show for
London the average modal shift away from single car occupancy is 12% while the West
London average is higher at more than 17% reduction in single car occupancy.
Hammersmith and Fulham was the borough recorded as having the highest reduction in
single occupancy car mode share of 25%. These results show that the support offered by
WestTrans and TfL along with commitment from business can aid reduced car travel to the
workplace.
3.4.12 Its is likely that most of the Workplace Travel Plans required through the site could be
obtained through the planning system at little or no cost to London Government. Section
3C.2 of the London Plan states that, ‘Developments with significant transport implications
should include a Transport Assessment and Travel Plan as part of planning applications'.
Developers and planning authorities should refer to TfL’s guidance on Transport
Assessments. All developments that exceed thresholds defined in TfL guidance on Workplace
Travel Plans and Residential Travel Plans should have a Travel Plan.’.”
3.4.13 The TfL WTP Guidance for Workplace Travel Planning for Development states that Travel
Plans should be obtained at workplace sites of all sizes on a sliding scale set out on page
14. The guidance also clearly sets out a process and system for doing this with standardised
legal agreements and other useful tools.
3.4.14 For Voluntary Travel plans, significant support for existing sites is available, sometimes up to
£20,000 per site, is available via TfL and WESTRANS through the Corporate and Enterprise
support packages, this is detailed at www.anewwaytowork.org.
3.4.15 West London has a good track record in Workplace travel planning with higher than average
results for the London area and some of London’s and the UK’s most advanced and best
practise examples of workplace travel planning. These include: the BBC, GSK, and BSkyB.
The Workplace Travel Plans for the London-wide area, West London, and Brent are
summarised in Table 3.2.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.9
Table 3-2 iTRACE Results for Workplace Travel Plans (correct on January 13th
2008)
Area
#
Car
S.O.
(%)
C/S
Drv
(%)
C/S
Psgr
(%)
MC
(%)
Bus
(%)
U’grd
(%)
Rail
(%)
Bike/
Rail
(%)
Bicycl
e
(%)
Foot
(%)
Other
(%)
London
wide 35
-
11.88 -0.78 1.08 0.27 4.8 2.46 7.32 -0.33 0.31 -3.25 -0.01
West
London 5
-
17.76 -1.61 -2.37 -0.69 4.37 4.46 3.58 0.28 -0.13 9.29 0.57
Brent 2 1% 0 0.04 -1.18 2.47 -0.58 -0.58 0 0 -1.15 0
*Note workplace travel count includes only those places with repeat surveys e.g.. Travel Plans of
an advanced stage of development which have reached the repeat survey stage, these are likely
to have been developing their travel plan for a minimum of two to two and half years.
Table 3-3 Summary of Characteristics of Workplace TPs:
3.5 School Travel Plans (STP)
STP – Definition
3.5.1 School Travel Planning (STP) is a process of looking at all the problems caused by travel to
and from schools during the day, and developing a strategy that puts together a package of
solutions to help reduce the negative effects of this daily flow of pupils, staff and parents.
The Government have set a target for all schools to have travel plans by 2010 and the
Cost to LB Brent Low with development control implementation and availability of TfL
grants
National Average reduction in single occupancy car travel 18%
London wide Average reduction in single occupancy car travel 12%
West London Average reduction in single occupancy car travel 17%
Impact
Brent
To Employer
Reduced car parking costs, better retention and recruitment of staff due
to employee focus and less travel stress. Reduced absenteeism with
improved health and teleworking options. Social inclusion and more
sociable especially with car sharing. Good environmental management
Added
Value
Benefits
To Community Reduction in pollution and traffic. Possible improved infrastructure in
terms of bus services or cycle facilities. Healthier environment
Pros
Evidence of reduced car travel, low cost to Brent, improvements for
community as well as workplaces, clear guidance on implementation and
best practice
Cons Requires employers to continue plan and monitor results.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.10
Mayor of London changed the London target to 2009. More than 3000 of London primary
schools and secondary schools (550+ in West London and 90 in Brent) had travel plans by
January 2008. TfL helps to monitor the results of school travel plans and uses the iTRACE
database to collect information from surveys carried out by individual schools.
STP - Approaches
3.5.2 The main approach to school travel planning is providing the pupils, parents and staff with
information on alternatives to car travel along with making improvements to these
alternative modes. It may also be beneficial to make improvements to the infrastructure
within or around the school. Promoting sustainable travel events such as walk to school
weeks can help to impact normal school travel by persuading pupils to try new or different
modes for travelling to school. Providing incentives is also likely to be effective for
promoting sustainable travel along with other measures to discourage children being
dropped off by car at the school gates.
STP – Example Practices
3.5.3 Non infrastructural measures might include the provision of cycle training, establishing
walking buses for popular routes, teaching aids with children learning about sustainable
transport and road safety within the classroom and incentive campaigns to encourage
sustainable transport. The schools can also provide children with safety equipment such as
fluorescent clothing strips and may also like to provide pupils with more motivational items
such as pedometers allowing them to compare the distance they walk with other pupils.
Infrastructural improvements that may help to increase sustainable travel include additional
bicycle storage racks and pedestrian crossings. Schools may also promote safe routes to
school using improved or existing infrastructure that the pupils may not be aware of. These
safe routes can be promoted on maps given to pupils and displayed around the site for pupils
and parents to study.
3.5.4 Traffic calming is another physical option that can be implemented to help improve safety
and the likelihood of pupils walking or cycling to school. Improved bus services (possibly
with financial aid to some pupils) are likely to be important for those living beyond a
reasonable walking or cycling distance from the school. Improvements may include factors to
reduce the cost to users, improve the quality of the service and staggering local school start
times so that buses make multiple trips (reducing the cost of running each service). An
alternative for those living at a distance from the school is establishing car sharing schemes
for school escort trips.
STP – Example Outcomes
3.5.5 The DfT report stated that up to 20% of schools implementing a travel plan would see no
reduction in car travel. The other schools with travel plans will achieve a reduction in car
travel. The report states that for engaged schools there may be a reduction in the car escort
trips to and from schools with travel plans of either 13% or 21%. The results from iTrace
suggest that the London wide change in modal share away from car use is 6.7%. West
London boroughs implementing school travel plans have out-performed London as a whole in
terms of modal shift away from the car and have the second highest area reduction in car
travel of 8.9%. The London Borough of Ealing had the second highest reduction in car use
(15.5%) of all London boroughs. All the west London boroughs had a reduction in car use
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.11
greater than the average for London showing that the success of school travel planning in
Brent ought to be at a similar level to that of the surrounding boroughs (Table 3.4).
Table 3-4 iTrace STP output
Area # Car
Car
Share Bus Rail Bicycle Foot Park/Walk Other
London
Wide 1366
-
6.72%
-
0.43% 0.76%
-
0.41% 0.72% 4.21% 1.49% 0.39%
West
London 165
-
9.92% 0.61% 2.14%
-
0.45% 1.17% 4.50% 0.09% 0.85%
Note: School count only includes schools with repeat travel surveys
STP - Implementation and sources of funding assistance available
3.5.6 School travel plans can be implemented with minimal cost if the main impetus is on
marketing the existing travel opportunities. It is likely that some funding will be needed to
provide training to children, produce information materials and improve infrastructure.
Funding may be available from a number of sources, due to the range of associated benefits,
such as health and environmental budgets rather than just the education budget.
3.5.7 Like workplace travel plans school travel plans can be implemented as a result of
development controls meaning that most of the cost associated with developing the plan can
be met by the developer (though in some cases this may be the Local Authority itself).
3.5.8 The TFL Guidance for Workplace Travel Planning for Development also covers Thresholds for
Schools and states the thresholds for land use D1 (schools) and requires all schools to have
a travel plan the guidance defines schools as:
‘Educational establishments teaching pupils up to and including the age of 16 years (up to
19 where schools cater for pupils with Special Educational Needs). All schools are
expected to develop and implement a school travel plan (STP) regardless of size, age
range, status or location. This includes nursery schools and Children’s Centres, private
and independent schools, Local Education Authorities, Community, Special, Voluntary,
Trust or Foundation Schools, academies, City Technology Colleges, and Pupil Referral
Units.’
3.5.9 This also means that the developer may be required to provide the equivalent of safe routes
to schools in terms of good pedestrian and cycling facilities.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.12
Table 3-5 Summary table of Characteristics of School TPs
Cost to LB Brent Medium due to borough being responsible for schools. Some grants
available and possible to work in partnership with local businesses or
public transport operators to reduce costs. Also development control
measures mean developer responsible for some of the costs
National Reduced car escort trips of 13% or 20%
London wide Reduction in car escort trips of 6.6%
West London Hammersmith and Fulham reduction in car escort trips of 25%
Impact
Brent NA
To School
Improved health of pupils and safety outside the school gates. Improved
relationship with neighbours. Opportunity to teach citizenship and
sustainability ideas to children
Added
Value
Benefits
To Community Reduction in traffic around schools at peak time. Streets safer for all
pedestrians and cyclists with less traffic and improved facilities
Pros All schools required to develop travel plans anyway. 80% of schools see
a reduction in car use.
Cons 20% of schools see no reduction in car travel
3.6 Personal Travel Planning (PTP)
PTP - Definition
3.6.1 Personal travel planning involves the direct marketing of travel planning tailored to the
individual’s current travel patterns and options for changing their travel. It has been
implemented overseas since the 1980s and was first introduced in the UK in the early 2000s.
PTP - Approaches
3.6.2 The main approach for implementing Personal Travel Plans is through door-to-door
consultations with residents in a targeted area. It is often the case that multiple visits are
made in order to provide advice to as many people as possible. It can also be delivered as
part of workplace travel planning or information has more recently been available at sports
and leisure clubs. The main element of this is marketing the various travel options available
to the individual for the different journeys they make on a regular basis. It can be used as a
method of promoting changes to local infrastructure and improvements or changes to public
transport that are likely to improve or increase the travel options available to users and
potential users. To some extent the need or distance travelled can be reduced using
personal travel planning by encouraging the use of local services, as well as encouraging the
use of internet or catalogue shopping.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.13
PTP - Example Practices
3.6.3 Information is the main element of personal travelling planning. It is important that targeted
participants can be provided with information on travel opportunities that are most relevant
to them. This may include providing maps and timetables for local public transport services,
as well as producing walking and cycling maps of the targeted areas with information on the
distances and times taken in order to encourage use. Some useful infrastructural
improvements such as increasing the number of available bike racks and improving or
building bus shops and shelters may also be beneficial for increasing use.
3.6.4 Personalised Travel Planning in the UK has seen reductions in the car modal share of
between 5% and 14%. Wembley is considered to be a good opportunity for the provision of
personal travel planning since the new infrastructure being added in the area and the
improvements to roads in the area have seen significant investments that can be marketed
in such schemes. It is also stated that a time of change is a good time to introduce new
measures, as is the case with the investment in the Wembley area currently. The area also
benefits from good public transport links with the three rail/tube stations and bus services.
3.6.5 Personal travel planning can be delivered as part of a residential travel planning process.
This involves the same promotion of sustainable travel options but may also include
additional incentives such as the provision of a free bicycle to new residents, a reduction in
available parking spaces for residents or discounted or free use of local public transport.
Given the new developments in Wembley this may be a good way of implementing personal
travel planning. Residents with information and are more likely to use sustainable travel
modes from when they move in. If residents were engaged upon occupation this could
significantly increase the outputs of Personal Travel Planning as it would take advantage of
the ‘Change Opportunity’ that occurs before travel patterns have been established.
3.6.6 Using residential travel planning also means that measures can be taken during the
development process to make sustainable travel more commonplace. This might include the
provision of specific secure areas for delivery of goods and good pedestrian and cycle
facilities surrounding the site. The use of a car club and the limiting of car spaces per
residence may also aid a reduction in car use, especially if membership to a car club is
included as an incentive to use on occupation of the development. Reducing the need to
travel can also be achieved through residential travel plans with high availability of
broadband to enable working from home as well as close local facilities such as education,
childcare, shopping, leisure and community centres.
PTP - Example Outcomes
3.6.7 The results of three London pilot Personal Travel Planning Schemes in 2003 led to a modal
shift away from car use to more sustainable travel modes of 6%, with a 12% shift in the
London Borough of Kingston. With varying levels of intensity or proportion of the population
targeted in personal travel planning the impact of this measure given its reduction in car
modal share (7-15%) is either 1% or 3% for urban areas. The DfT report an average
reduction in car use where PTP is implemented of 11% with an accompanying 12% decrease
in the distance travelled by car.
PTP - Costs of implementation
3.6.8 The cost of implementation as an average from implemented schemes is 2.2pence per
vehicle km saved. By using residential travel planning however the cost to the borough will
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.14
be lower as the development may be made responsible for the implementation of the
scheme. The average cost per household is between £20 and £38, while the benefit: cost
ratio is typically about 30:1 showing that the benefits far outweigh the associated costs.
Table 3-6 Summary of Characteristics of Personal TPs:
Cost to LB Brent Medium cost level of £20 to £38 per household. Opportunities to require
developer to implement many of the measures though
National Reduction in car use of 5 to 14%
London wide Example results average 6% reduction in car use, with Kingston 12%
reduction
West London
Impact
Brent
To Residents Greater knowledge of sustainable travel, reduced costs of running and
owning a vehicle
Added
Value
Benefits
To Community Local economy benefits from increased local use. Improved PT for all
community users with reduced traffic and pollution
Pros Good PT already exists in Wembley and good benefit cost ratio
Cons High potential monitoring costs with high demands on staff time
3.7 Car Sharing Schemes (CSS)
CSS - Definition
3.7.1 Car sharing involves a system for matching trips made by at least two people that could be
made by using one car. It involves two or more people sharing a car for a whole or part of a
journey. It can be a formal scheme such as those implemented by workplaces or more
informal with friends travelling together.
CSS – Approach
3.7.2 The main approach is using a formal system or database for matching trips made by
different individuals. Liftshare is an example of such a database and offers free membership
to the general public and can also offer individualised databases to companies so that they
can set up their own car sharing scheme for employees. It provides a secure means for
people to find car sharing partners without giving out lots of personal details. Car sharing
commonly plays a part in workplace travel plans since the destination is the same and the
employer can use the individualised database to help employees find potential car sharers.
It is a good alternative for those who do not have easy access to public transport and do not
live within walking or cycling distance of their destination.
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CSS - Example Practice
3.7.3 A matching system such as LiftShare will help to provide information on possible car shares
as well as additional information on car sharing to potential users. Like most TDM measures
the use of incentives is also likely to increase uptake of any car sharing schemes. These
incentives may include prime parking spots for car sharers, free parking for car sharers or a
reward scheme for car sharing such as discount vouchers for use in employee canteens. It
may also be useful to organise events where potential car sharers can meet and find out
more about such schemes. For employers in particular it may also be useful to have a
‘guaranteed ride home’ whereby the employer pays for a taxi or public transport or is able to
find an alternative lift if a car share is not possible for some reason.
3.7.4 Increased advertising of the existence of such car sharing opportunities, especially the
existence of car sharing websites such as Liftshare, within personal travel planning
opportunities and general advertising around the development provides an option for Brent
to increase awareness and use of such travel opportunities. There is already a regional
londonliftshare website and it would be possible to set up a more local Wembley focused site
if required.
3.7.5 There are presently 3,420 car sharers registered in the Wembley area and a more integrated
and widely promoted approach to this measure could well prove effective with employees,
residents and visitors, especially if this was linked on visible on street infrastructure such as
car share only parking bays and street signs that created an advantage to the user.
CSS - Example Outcomes
3.7.6 DfT case studies suggest that implemented a car sharing scheme can increase the number of
people sharing private vehicles by an average of 3% from 13% to 16%. LiftShare currently
has 3,420 members within 5 miles of Wembley and 12,520 members within 10 miles.
Liftshare estimate that for every 10 members 4 people contact a potential sharer and 2
people share a daily commute. This means that for roughly every 10 members there is one
less return journey. Most trips (65% of a random 250 trip sample) are made daily or weekly
with the majority being for commuting purposes. Given these averages it is possible that
1250 trips are saved daily by the members within 10 miles of Wembley. Figure 3.2 shows
the post code locations of current Liftshare members within 5 miles of central Wembley.
Figure 3.2 Wembley Liftshare catchment
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Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.16
CSS - Cost of implementation
3.7.7 TfL already operate an existing London wide Liftshare system which could be adapted into a
Wembley sub grouping at relatively low cost and deals for employers via the TFL ‘new way to
work ‘scheme already exist. The costs related to car sharing vary depending on the size and
method of implementation. Using a journey matching tool such as LiftShare is relatively low
cost since there is the initial set up cost plus running costs (mostly license fee) to be paid.
Other schemes require administration in order to match trips and these will result in higher
costs due to the time involved in their management. The costs for using LiftShare for
businesses range from £400 (with £200 running costs) to £1000 (with £500 running costs),
although larger schemes will be more expensive. There are additional costs involved in
marketing the scheme in order to increase usage. The two case studies in the DfT’s Smarter
Choices report resulted in 0.7 pence per km cut and 3.3pence per km cut (involved high
administration costs).
Table 3-7 Summary of Characteristics of Car Sharing Schemes
Cost to LB Brent Low with either workplace schemes paid for privately or use of individual
system. Opportunity to develop own LiftShare database but higher cost
National Case study increases in car sharing from 13% to 16% on average
London wide
West London Impact
Brent 10% reduction in car trips by members
To User
Reduced fuel and vehicle running costs. Alternative travel option for non
car owners. More social journey with guaranteed parking likely and better
work life balance from leaving work on time
Added
Value
Benefits
To Community Reduction in peak time traffic with likely reduction in pollution
Pros Low cost and effective scheme for users, especially commuters. Existing
membership increases shows popularity.
Cons Need to offer guaranteed ride home. May be harder to increase car sharing
for leisure and personal trips
3.8 Area Based Travel Planning (ABTP)
ABTP - Definition
3.8.1 Area based travel planning involves the use of a mixture of travel planning approaches often
used to complement infrastructural changes in order to improve the traffic problems within
an area. Workplace, school and personal travel planning can be included and should help
increase the number of people in the area using sustainable travel modes. It is also likely to
involve the advertising of sustainable travel options. The aim of such a scheme will be to
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.17
reduce congestion and car use within the area by increasing the use of more sustainable
modes of transport.
ABTP - Approaches
3.8.2 As suggested above the main approaches are to implement more specific travel plan
initiatives in workplaces, schools and homes along with other schemes such as car clubs and
cycle training schemes. Marketing is likely to play an important role in promoting the
various sustainable travel options as well as the benefits associated with switching to the use
of these alternative modes.
ABTP - Example Practice
3.8.3 The first part of such a project is likely to involve a travel awareness and advertising
campaign to promote the scheme. This may included a website, poster advertising, bus back
advertising, road shows and various other events and various advertising in the media.
3.8.4 The other required outputs are similar to those related to the individual requirements for
personal, workplace and school travel plans. For example incentives for using sustainable
travel along with information available on these alternatives and distributed to potential
users.
ABTP - Example Outcomes
3.8.5 The Smarter Travel Sutton project, launched in September 2006 is one of the few examples
where area based travel planning has been used and has some preliminary results available
for analysis. The project involved use of workplace, school and residential travel planning,
with the residential planning forming the bulk of the project. Its overall aim was to help
people within the borough find out about their travel options by providing travel information.
Free personal travel planning advice was given to all residents within the borough, while
grants for cycle facilities including racks, lockers and showers were available for businesses
submitting travel plans.
3.8.6 In Smarter Travel Sutton’s first year there was a 2% decrease in the car mode share (from
49% to 47%). More than a third of residents were already, considering or willing to consider
reducing the their current level of driving. The results from opinion surveys before and after
the travel plans showed that more people knew about the public transport options and also
that they had a higher opinion of the options available to them in general. The results of this
project were compared to those of the three sustainable towns and considered to show a
good start at increasing sustainable travel.
3.8.7 The interim results for the three towns that are part of the sustainable towns project showed
a significant decrease in car use and accompanying increase in alternative modes in the
targeted populations. They used measures such as personalised travel marketing, workplace
and school travel plans and public transport improvements and marketing. Darlington saw
car use reduced by 11% for the targeted population with an additional decrease in car use by
parts of the population not targeted by the marketing schemes. Worcester’s car use
decreased by 12% while Peterborough’s decreased by 13%. Walking and cycling were the
two modes that increased their use the most during the first part of the project but there
were also increases in the percentage use of public transport as well.
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Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.18
3.8.8 While there are no figures on the likely impact of area based travel planning given in the
Smarter Choices report, the possible impact ought to be the combined impact of the
measures implemented while allowing for double counting between overlapping measures.
For example, the report suggests that journeys to work (workplace travel planning, car
sharing and teleworking combined) could result in an 8% or 26% reduction in car use or car
mileage. This figure is slightly less than the sum of the three measures showing that an
allowance for double counting has been included.
ABTP - Cost of implementation and sources of funding assistance available
3.8.9 This again will vary depending on the measures used. Advertising and travel awareness
campaigns are likely to be relatively high cost but the information can also be used in the
individual travel plan elements. The overall cost therefore will be the sum of the cost of the
measures implemented with some savings based on the overlap of some features between
measures.
Table 3-8 Summary of Characteristics of Area Based TP:
Cost to LB Brent Low to medium cost with some elements being implemented by
businesses and developers
National Given that WTP reduce single car occupancy 18% and STP’s reduce car
escort trips by 13+% possible reductions of more than 20% in car use
London wide Sutton scheme reduced car use 2% in first year of scheme
West London
Impact
Brent
To Users Better health with more walking and cycling. Able to help support local
economy
Added
Value
Benefits
To Community Increased feeling of community, reduced traffic and reduced
environmental damage
Pros Possible that the cumulative effects of individuals may produce better
results than the sum of individual parts
Cons Time and cost restraints to level of implementation. Hard to monitor
effects of scheme
3.9 Car Clubs (CC)
CC - Definition
3.9.1 Car clubs aim to provide members with quick and easy access to a car for short term hire.
Limited notice is required to book a vehicle and there should normally be one available to
any member who wishes to use a vehicle. Users pay an annual subscription which means
that a pay as you go scheme can be operated and the only other expense to users is for
mileage. The idea is that users will not need to own their own vehicle or will reduce the
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Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.19
number of vehicles they own. Car clubs seek to break the habitual use of the car by making
it more of an effort to use a car for journeys and making the cost of such car trips more
visible to the user. There are already about 30 car clubs within the London borough of
Brent, one of which is within the Wembley area.
CC - Approaches
3.9.2 Car clubs can be used by individuals or by organisations. For individual use, they may be
located within residential developments so that local members have easy access to the
vehicles. When used by a business, some of a the car club vehicles may be stored at the
business location in special car club spaces and the business is likely to block book cars
during the day leaving them available for individual use during the evenings and weekends.
CC- Example Practices
3.9.3 Unfortunately the mixed use approach means the fiscal viability of car clubs has been difficult
to establish in the UK with most car share sites tend to predominately cater to either
residential or business audiences. Car clubs are likely to be most successful when located in
relatively high density residential locations so that there are a large number of potential
members. It is also important that there are good public transport, walking and cycling
facilities available so that users are able to carry out their everyday business without the use
of a car. The pricing of a scheme should mean that it is attractive to occasional car users
while being expensive for commuters so that vehicles will be available when people require
them. Limited parking for private vehicles with prime allocated spaces for car club vehicles
is likely to increase usage. Implementing a car club scheme during a time of change such as
moving house has proved successful. It may therefore be useful to at least promote if not
provide free or reduced membership to residents moving into a new development with a car
club. In order to economically viable, it is likely that each car club will require between 15
and 25 members per vehicle.
CC - Example Outcomes
3.9.4 Vehicles are most commonly used on occasions when other modes would be difficult such as
shopping for furniture, when making occasional trips and also for day or weekend leisure
trips. Car clubs schemes in Bristol and Edinburgh estimate that each member reduces their
distance travelled by more than 3000km per year (includes in calculation members who
neither did nor previously own a car), thus reducing their annual mileage by about 25%.
3.9.5 Car Plus estimates that car club users reduce their average mileage by 50% as they are
forced to plan their car use in order to make the best use of a car club vehicle when they
have hired it. It is also likely that one car club vehicle replaces between 6 and 20 personal
vehicles on the roads. They grow somewhat organically with increasing number of members
and vehicles helping to further increase membership.
3.9.6 A TfL report (Synovate 2007) reported on evidence from car club members that there was a
reduction in the number of days spent driving by 36% per year. The report also suggested
that 13% of members sold a car after joining a car club while there is an additional reduction
in the number of cars where people might otherwise have purchased a car. It is estimated in
London that there more than 5 cars have been removed from the road for every car club
vehicle, which is based on an average of 26 members per car club car.
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3.9.7 Car clubs can also offer fairly substantial savings opportunities to most businesses when
compared to pool or company cars. The average savings are estimated to be about £2,500
per pool car due mostly to the cost of maintenance and administration involved with pool
cars.
3.9.8 The Smarter Choices report bases its car club predictions on international examples. It
assumes that the members of such schemes reduce their average car mileage by a third but
that only a small proportion of the total population become members of such schemes
leading to low figures. The figures are 0.03% or 0.06% reduction in car mileages. The more
important figure to consider therefore might be that the mileage of car club members
reduces by a third so increasing membership and using disincentives for car ownership will
help reduce mileage linked to the development.
CC - Cost of implementation
3.9.9 The costs are relatively high, especially initially since the vehicles need to be purchased and
there are other set up costs involved along with continuing administration. The cost of the
car club to the Local Authority tends to orientate around the provision of dedicated parking
bays and the enforcement of these. Many car clubs are operated by private enterprises
meaning that the level of investment needed from the local authority is lower than if they
run the scheme themselves. Using a private car club firm to set up a car club also means
that they have a greater knowledge level regarding how to go about setting up and running
the club. TfL views Car Clubs as a commercial enterprise and although some trials have
been undertaken, subsidy for the running of such club is unlikely unless it can be secured
from the developer through planning obligations. The DfT’s Smarter Choices report estimates
that it costs about 5 pence for every kilometre saved.
Table 3-9 Summary of Characteristics of Car Clubs
Cost to LB Brent Low since developers are likely to be made responsible or private
enterprises can run schemes for profit
National Average 30% reduction in car mileage for car club members
London wide
West London
Impact
Brent
To User Lower costs of car use without needing to own and maintain a vehicle Added
Value
Benefits
To Community
Scheme likely available to other community members. Sense of
community through shared use of vehicles. Less pollution since car club
cars newer and greener and often replaces older more polluting vehicles.
More socially inclusive given lower costs
Pros Increased travel choice for members with lower car use costs. Reduced
parking needs and traffic
Cons High cost of setting up scheme and reasonably large membership
required before financial viability achieved and the need to provide and
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enforce dedicated parking bays.
Many members were previously infrequent drivers so less opportunity to
reduce car trips.
3.10 Cycle Hire Schemes (CHS)
CHS - Definition
3.10.1 Cycle hire schemes can operate in a number of different ways but the idea is for users to hire
the cycles for a short period and complete their journey by cycle rather than completing the
journey by motor vehicle. In most of the schemes it is possible to return the cycle to a
location that is different to where it was collected originally.
CHS - Approaches
3.10.2 The Paris and Barcelona schemes operate on a membership basis, with deposits being taken
to encourage the return of cycles and/or the first 30mins of use being free. After the first
free period the rate of hire increases rapidly to discourage long use of the cycle so that it can
be made available to other users. Since the Paris and Barcelona examples have many cycles
and stands from which to collect those users are able to return one bike and then almost
immediately hire another cycle from another nearby bicycle stand.
CHS - Example Practices
3.10.3 The Paris and Barcelona schemes have been successful in part because of their size. It is
important to have sufficient cycles and locations for their storage so that users are always
able to find a cycle and are not restricted about where they can return it to. This means that
a relatively large number of cycles will be required with stations for their storage/rental also
being required. Improvements to the cycle infrastructure of an area may benefit users.
Advertising the scheme will be important in order to increase the number of users.
CHS - Example Outcomes
3.10.4 Significant numbers of users have been recorded by the Paris Cycle Hire Scheme. However,
it is suggested that the users are not generally switching from car use to cycling. It is
thought instead that most users are transferring from (overcrowded) public transport
(especially high usage recorded during metro strikes in Paris) and from taxi use due to its
high cost. The most common users are commuters and tourists with membership options
aimed at both user groups. This suggests that while such schemes are successful at increase
cycle riding within areas this does not necessarily accompany a reduction in motor vehicle
based travel.
3.10.5 It is suggested that the running of trial schemes would not be overly successful as each
increase in size attracts significantly more users to the scheme.
CHS - Cost of implementation
3.10.6 The costs of implementation are high due to the capital investment required to set up such a
scheme as well as continuing administration and maintenance costs.
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Table 3-10 Summary of Characteristics of Cycle Hire Schemes
Cost to LB Brent High cost of set up with additional maintenance
National Likely to be low with current schemes most successful in large cities
London wide Possible success in Central London but may not reduce car trips since
users switch from PT and Taxi use
West London
Impact
Brent
To User Health benefits of cycling, more travel choice, possibly cheaper mode of
travel Added
Value
Benefits To Community Possible increase in cycle safety given higher numbers of cyclists
Pros Health benefits to population and possible reduction in PT crowding
Cons High set up costs and very limited reduction in car use observed
3.11 Flexible Working Hours and Home or Teleworking (FWH)
FWH- Definition
3.11.1 Flexible working hours mean that employees are able to travel at times when the roads are
likely to be quieter meaning that there is some capacity for a reduction in traffic at peak
times.
3.11.2 Home working allows employees to work from their home, thus reducing their need to travel
to an office. Teleworking meanwhile means that employees can work remotely whether from
home or from site.
FWH - Approaches
3.11.3 Flexible hours can be implemented in a number of different ways allowing staff to either
work their basic hours having started at a time more convenient to them, or a scheme which
allows weekly or monthly hours to be worked more flexibly. This allows employees to take
occasional time off in lieu of hours already worked. The idea is that it reduces the need to
travel during peak travel times.
3.11.4 Teleworking can involve working from home, or from a location that is closer to home than
the office for all or some of the time. Such schemes often involve employees being granted
remote access to an employer’s server so that they can work from their alternative chosen
location.
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FHW - Example Practices
3.11.5 Flexible working hours may be able to help reduce traffic but are unlikely to lead to any
significant reduction in car use. Teleworking is more likely to reduce the number of car trips
made despite concerns that people would continue to use their vehicle but for other trips.
FWH - Example Outcomes
3.11.6 The results of BAA’s introduction of teleworking led to a decrease in the average mileage
despite an increase in non-commuting trips. Statistics suggest that London has the highest
level of teleworking within the UK with 17-26% of the workforce working from home for
some time every week, leading to a reduction in the number of am peak commuter trips of
between 4.5% and 8.3%. Meaning that the potential mileage savings for Brent are relatively
high.
3.11.7 Smarter Choices suggests that teleworking can result in a 3 or 12% reduction in car usage
for urban areas. These figures are based on the assumption that 30% of the workforce work
from home an average of 3 days per week that teleworkers live the national average
distance from their place of work and that car mode share for these workers is the same as
the national average. The reduction in car use stated is based on journey to work trips only.
However these figures are often reported as part of overall Workplace Travel Plan results, so
it is unlikely they would have much effect in the Wembley development in their own right.
However insistence that all Workplace Travel Plans implemented in the development include
Smarter Working could further bolster the WTP figures to ensure the high end of what mode
shift is possible via a WTP.
FWH - Cost of implementation
3.11.8 The cost to the local borough of such a scheme should be low given that it is up to employers
to implement such schemes and they can be an integral part of a WTP. Making businesses
aware of the options and their benefits would be a useful measure that the borough could
make. It should be the case that the savings made from implementing such schemes
outweigh the costs involved in the project.
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Table 3-11 Summary of Characteristics of Flexible Working Hours and Teleworking
Cost to LB Brent Low cost with businesses implementing changes
National 3 or 12% reduction in car use for urban area predicted with teleworking
London wide
West London
Impact
Brent
To Employer
Less stressed and generally happier staff due to not having to commute
during busiest times. Shorter or no travel time for staff seen as an
incentive with reduced staff turnover possible. Increased efficiency and
productivity
Added
Value
Benefits
To Community Less traffic during peak times. Access to broadband internet services
install for home teleworking
Pros Relatively easy and low cost for businesses to implemented with multiple
benefits
Cons Not suitable for all employment sectors and are generally amalgamated
into WTP outputs.
3.12 Off-Peak/ Overnight Servicing (OPOS)
OPOS - Definition
3.12.1 Goods deliveries and collections can be made outside peak times in order to help reduce
traffic problems in an area. Restrictions may need to be lifted in order to allow for this and
monitoring of noise levels especially at night may be important.
OPOS - Approaches
3.12.2 Servicing premises at night can be done by larger companies in order to reduce costs as well
as reducing goods vehicles disrupting traffic during peak hours. It will need to involve
measures to reduce the noise made during delivery where the premises are in a residential
area.
OPOS - Example Practices
3.12.3 Reducing noise can be done in a number of different ways including switching off engines
and radios, not loading empty roll cages and sound proofing full cages and their contents.
Larger vehicles can be used in order to reduce the number of deliveries made since there
ought to be additional space available for the larger vehicles to park. Suitability of such
measures will need to be considered on an individual basis, since it will not be practical in
some circumstances to have overnight deliveries and staff will be required to help with the
unloading process or sign for deliveries.
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OPOS - Example Outcomes
3.12.4 A trial in Barcelona showed a negligible increase in the ambient noise as a result of night
time delivery. Despite the initial investment required in order to implement quieter servicing
a return on the investment is generally expected within 3 years due to trip consolidation and
time and fuel savings.
3.12.5 There was also a trial at Sainsbury’s in Wandsworth involving deliveries taking place between
1:30am and 3:00am. The results of which were generally positive with no complaints to a
dedicated telephone number and average journey times being reduced. The customer and
store feedback was also positive and improvements in air quality were seen.
OPOS - Cost of Implementation
3.12.6 The cost to the local borough will be medium due to the noise monitoring required to ensure
that residents are not suffering increased noise pollution. There are also costs involved for
the freight company in order to research possible ways of reducing noise made during
deliveries. The costs of changing delivery restrictions should be a one off and relatively
small.
Table 3-12 Summary of Characteristics of Off-Peak/ Overnight Servicing
Cost to LB Brent Medium costs mostly due to noise monitoring and changing restrictions
National Low impact due to only small number of trips likely to be removed from
network
London wide
West London
Impact
Brent
To Employer Possibly better time for delivery e.g. fresh food supplies. More reliable
delivery slots with quicker journey times Added
Value
Benefits To Community Less goods vehicles in peak times and reduction in pollution
Pros Possible to reduce number of deliveries and time and pollution savings
Cons Limited businesses that could or would implement scheme, further
research into reducing noise needed and practicality of scheme use.
3.13 Real Time Publicity on Travel Opportunities (RTP)
RTP - Definition
3.13.1 In order to increase the number of people using public transport it is important to publicise
the existence of the different travel opportunities available. This is likely to be especially
important when improvements to services have been made.
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RTP - Approaches
3.13.2 Some schemes will advertise specific services or a number of travel options using posters
and the media. A different approach might be to advertise a change in pricing scheme
and/or ticketing policy such as the use of Oyster cards.
RTP - Example Practices
3.13.3 Advertising specific transport services may be done on a general basis with general
advertising in public areas and within the media or alternatively it can be done directly
through schemes such as personal travel planning. This means that the information can be
targeted at the most likely users of the service, so spending might be seen as more efficient
since the uptake compared to the number of people spoken to is likely to be higher as a
percentage.
RTP - Example Outcomes
3.13.4 The results of an advertising campaign aiming to persuade users of the A12 to take the train
from Chelmsford instead following timetable improvements and promoting the quicker
journey time of the train showed an increase in train ticket sales of at least 12%.
3.13.5 Schemes similar to the London Oyster card scheme were implemented in two German cities
and the results showed increased public transport patronage. The main elements of such
schemes were the simplified pricing structure and also the fact that the tickets are for more
than just a single mode of transport.
3.13.6 Direct advertising in Perth, Scotland led to an increase in patronage of 56% in the first two
years. There were service improvements including increased bus frequency, new buses,
simpler fares and bus priority and these were backed up with the advertising. The
advertising campaign included door to door interviews with potential users, free trips being
offered, children’s competitions and pensioners’ lunches. Buckinghamshire council also ran a
public transport advertising campaign following the introduction of a new route. The buses
in use had ‘every 10 mins’ printed on their sides while information was sent to residents
within 500 metres of the bus route. The marketing campaign led to great rises in use than
prior to the campaign following the improvements. Bus patronage was reported to have
increased by 28%.
3.13.7 In the DfT’s Smarter Choices Report that cite the possible reduction in car driver mileage as
0.3% or 11%. This assumes that 30% of any increase in bus patronage is made up of
former car users of whom 19% were drivers and 11% were passengers.
RTP - Cost of implementation
3.13.8 The cost of publicity schemes is often relatively high given that a large amount of marketing
will be needed in order to reach the target groups for increasing public transport use. This
results in a high cost per km saved of around 4pence. Direct marketing to new potential
users through schemes such as personal and workplace travel plans may therefore be more
efficient although some potential users will be missed by such schemes.
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Table 3-13 Summary of Characteristics of Real Time Publicity on Travel
Opportunities
Cost to LB Brent High due to cost of marketing schemes with limited help from public
transport operators available
National Possible 0.3% or 1.1% reduction in car use
London wide
West London
Impact
Brent
To users Reduces social exclusion with the public being made aware of their travel
choices. Better services available, with possible further improvements
due to increased revenue for operators
Added
Value
Benefits
To Community Relationship between business community and bus firms developed.
Increased retail vitality with more people choosing to shop more locally
Pros Effective way of increasing patronage especially following infrastructure
improvements
Cons Not guaranteed to reach target audience unless direct or individual
marketing is carried out
3.14 Car Free Development Potential (CFD)
CFD - Definition
3.14.1 Car free developments are sites which are built without providing parking spaces for the
residents or employees who will use the built space. There are normally some disabled
spaces, with the main aim of such projects being to reduce the number of car trips to and
from the site.
CFD - Approaches
3.14.2 The developments sometimes include spaces for car club vehicles but there are more
examples of developments with limited (less than one space per residence) rather than no
parking available. This should encourage people to walk, cycle and use public transport to
and from the site
CFD - Example Practices
3.14.3 It will be important that there is good public transport surrounding the development as well
as the provision of local services such as shops, cafes, childcare and healthy living centres.
It will also be beneficial to develop travel plans for the occupants of such a site so that they
are able to plan their travel without using a car. It is also necessary to have a controlled
parking zone surrounding the development to avoid the displacement of cars rather than any
reduction in car use.
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CFD - Example Outcomes
3.14.4 BedZED in Sutton is the main example within the UK of a car free development. The
development aims to reduce the average car mileage to 50% of that of a conventional site.
The main mode of travel by residents is on foot (accounting for roughly 50% of the mode
share). Public transport and cycling are also popular but the car still makes up between 15%
and 20% of the mode share within the site.
Table 3-14 Summary of Characteristics of Car Free Development Potential
Cost to LB Brent Low cost as scheme implemented by developer
National Low given small number of existing sites and limited number of potential
sites
London wide
West London
Impact
Brent
To residents Able to live in more environmentally friendly manner. Travel plan
implemented allows for more personal trip planning options
Added
Value
Benefits To Community Reduced pollution with fewer cars. Access to car club and other improved
travel options in the area
Pros Effective way to reduce car ownership to some extent and encourage
more sustainable living practices
Cons Requires CPZ in surrounding area and many residents not previous car
owners
3.15 Co-ordinated Home Delivery Systems (CHDS)
CHDS - Definition
3.15.1 Co-ordinated home delivery involves users purchasing goods without visiting a shop and
having these goods delivered directly to their home. Internet grocery shopping is an
example of such a system and is also the main area where research into home delivery has
taken place.
CHDS - Approach
3.15.2 The internet and catalogue shopping delivery services are fairly well established but
improvements to the systems can still be made. Additional delivery facilities reducing the
need for repeat attempts at delivery are one option for improving home delivery systems
would be beneficial. An alternative option would be to offer delivery to an alternative
location closer to the recipient’s home or office.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.29
CHDS - Example Practices
3.15.3 Local delivery points, lockers or secure ‘drop off’ boxes for individual residences within a
development should enable most deliveries to be made on the first attempt. This should
reduce the need for extra trips by either the delivery company or the individual in order to
receive the item and may have the additional benefit of making internet or catalogue
shopping a more attractive opportunity for people living within the development. A different
option is to deliver the items to a local post office rather than a central sorting office. This
should reduce the distance people need to travel to collect their goods, thus reduce car use
where people can walk and car mileage due to the closer location. It may also be valuable to
work with local businesses in order to set up home delivery schemes possibly in conjunction
with other local business. Promoting the benefits of such delivery systems in personal travel
planning may aid an increase in uptake of such schemes.
CHDS - Example Outcomes
3.15.4 Nottingham City Council set up a scheme that allowed those within the study area to chose
where deliveries should be made if they were not in during the attempted delivery. One of
the options was for the item to be taken to the local post office. In the trial, many people
chose to have items delivered to their local post office and some of them did walk to collect
their deliveries.
3.15.5 The Smarter Choices report suggests that more local collection choices could reduce related
mileage by 72% based on the fact that 15% of collections are made during a journey
elsewhere, that 30% of collection trips are no longer made by car and that the average
distance travelled for the remaining trips is halved. It is suggested that if such schemes
were implemented nationwide there is potential to reduce car mileage by 1.5%.
CHDS - Cost of implementation
3.15.6 Most of the investment will be needed in the private sector. The only costs will be any
liaising with local businesses and the promotion of services (probably included in PTP
budget).
Table 3-15 Summary of Characteristics of Co-ordinated Home Delivery Systems
Cost to LB Brent Low cost with most costs met by private investors
National Possible 1.5% reduction in grocery mileage
London wide
West London
Impact
Brent
To User Convenience of home delivery in terms of time savings. Added
Value
Benefits To Community Better delivery options available to people within wider area. More
delivery opportunities from local shops offering delivery
Pros Effective way to decrease grocery and delivery collection miles
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.30
Cons People may still visit the shops to view products before order for home
delivery so not always reducing number of trips made
3.16 Taxi Hire (TH)
TH - Definition
3.16.1 Taxis are most commonly hired for relatively short trips in urban areas to places that are
either not well linked by public transport or at times, such as late evening, when public
transport services are limited. London has significantly more taxis than any other area of
the UK and likewise has the highest taxi usage figures. There are also a small number of
taxi share schemes where people are likely to be heading to similar destinations.
TH- Approaches
3.16.2 Most taxis are either private hire where they are booked in advance, or taxis which are used
when needed either from a taxi stand or hailed in the street. The most likely users are those
who do not have access to a car. Taxis can provide an important form of transport for those
without cars meaning that it is important that there are reliable options available for
residents especially when there are restrictions on car ownership. Taxis are especially
popular for leisure purposes including evenings out on Fridays and Saturdays.
3.16.3 LiftShare also operate a taxi sharing database allowing taxi journey matching similar to car
sharing schemes. This resource can be used by individuals and companies. The most
common uses are to travel to or from work, the airport or hospitals.
TH - Example Practices
3.16.4 Up to a third of taxis were single occupancy in 1997/9 with an average occupancy of 2.2
people per taxi. A taxi sharing scheme at Paddington railway station has been successful
with limited operating hours between 08:30am and 10:30am on weekdays. Marshals are
used to organise people into destination sharing opportunities. Taxi sharers are given
preferential access to available taxis and pay a reduced fare rate. There are no available
figures on the use of such schemes or their possible impact on reducing the number of taxi
trips made.
TH - Cost of implementation
3.16.5 Low costs of using taxis for occasional travel since most taxis are already established as are
the checks in place to monitor them. Higher costs would be involved with a taxi sharing
scheme that involves marshals to organise people but costs would be lower with the
TaxiShare system (by LiftShare) since it is free to use for members of the public and has a
limited fixed cost with small additional maintenance for business use.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.31
Table 3-16 Summary of Characteristics of Taxi Hire
Cost to LB Brent Taxi share scheme medium cost due to marshal requirements. General
taxis low cost as most already established
National Likely low, although where taxis are used due to reduced car ownership
some reduction in car trips is likely
London wide
West London
Impact
Brent
To User Taxi share schemes are cheaper and marginally quicker. Using the
occasional taxi is cheaper than owning a car
Added
Value
Benefits To Community Possibly more taxis available adding another travel option
Pros Alternative to owning a car and more efficient use of vehicles
Cons Limited impacts and hard to monitor
3.17 Conclusions
3.17.1 Wembley has two major advantages in terms of Smarter Travel\TDM measures that may
provide greater than normal modal shift away from car journeys at the site: it is a
substantially new development and it’s location
3.17.2 New Development: As a new development, it is possible to implement measures from
point of (and sometime even before) occupation of the site. This takes advantage of the
‘Change Opportunity’ that people go through when making major life changes and will allow
the individuals and organisations to consider other travel options before set patterns of
behaviour have been established. There is also the possibility of designing and building in the
complementary measures and infrastructure that enable these choices to be easier for the
individual and the organisation to make. These two issues are likely to result in higher than
normal modal shift results.
3.17.3 Location: London as whole has been successfully implementing smarter measures on a
relative large scale over the last 3 -5 years and West London has played a leading role in this
and has been particularly proactive and successful in implementing several areas of Smarter
Travel. The WESTRANS Sub region is one of London’s most successful regional partnerships
in terms of Smarter Travel Implementation and innovation and is well resourced. The area is
also, in relative terms compared to the rest of the UK, very well served by public transport
and alternatives to car journeys are a realistic option for many journeys.
Potential Impact
3.17.4 Using the information from the DfT’s Smarter Choices – Changing the Way We Travel
document and other relevant information including iTRACE and TfL monitoring statistics, the
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.32
potential for the different measures are shown in the table below. The factors that result in
high or medium potential are those that are most worthwhile following up.
Table 3-17 Overall potential impact of TDM measures
Potential Impact Potential Cost TDM Measure
Case study results
Average
Local Figures Overall
effect
Case study
results
Overall
cost
Overall
potential
for Brent
Workplace
Travel Planning 0-35% reduction in car
use observed with 14%
average (12% London
average)
High:
West London
Borough 25%
Average: 17%
West London
High
0.5 to 1.0
pence/
vehicle km
cut
Low High
School Travel
Planning
4-20% reduction in car
use possible High:
West London
Borough
15.5%
Average: 9%
observed in
West London
Med 2.9 or 5.4
pence/
vehicle km
cut on
average
Med to
high
Medium
Personal Travel
Planning
In urban areas 7% to
15% reduction in car
use
High: 12%
London wide
Average: 6%
London wide
Med Average 2.2
pence/
vehicle km
cut
Med Med
Car Sharing Mileage reduction of
0.6% or 11% 10% reduction
in member car
use
Med Average 2
pence/
vehicle km
cut
Low to
med
Med
Area Based
Travel Planning
NA NA
Med to
high
Med Med
Car Clubs DfT suggest 0.3% to
0.6% reduction in
mileage. Case study
suggests 3% to 16%
possible where
implemented
Low to
med
5 pence/
vehicle km
cut on
average
High Low to
Med
Cycle Hire
Schemes
Paris example suggests
most users switch from
taxi, public transport
and walk not car use
Low High initial
outlay with
ongoing
running and
maintenanc
e
High Low
Flexible hours/
teleworking
Teleworking can reduce
car mileage 3% to 12%
Med Low cost to
borough
Low Med
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.33
Potential Impact Potential Cost TDM Measure
Case study results
Average
Local Figures Overall
effect
Case study
results
Overall
cost
Overall
potential
for Brent
since
private
investment
needed
Off-peak
servicing
Low Med Low
Real Time PT
opportunities
0.6% to 2.6%
reduction in mileage for
London
Low to
med
4.25 pence/
vehicle km
cut on
average
High Low
Car free
development
Low to
med
Med Low
Home Delivery 70% to 80% reduction
in grocery miles for
users. Nottingham trial
72% reduction in car
mileage for local post
office collection
Low to
med
(high for
users)
Mostly
private
investment
needed.
Relatively
low cost of
Nottingham
collection
trial
Low Low
Taxi Hire
scheme
Low Low Low
3.17.5 The results from the above summary tables are plotted on the graph below. From this
information the factors most worthwhile following up for Brent include; Area Based Travel
planning as a mix of Workplace, School and Personal Travel Planning; Car Sharing schemes,
car clubs; and flexible working hours/ teleworking.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.34
Impacts and Costs of TDM measure based on mean average numbers
Workplace TP
School TP
Personal TP
Car Share
Area Based TP
Car Clubs
Flex Hours/telework
Home Delivery
Cycle HireOff-peak Servicing
Real Time publicity
Car Free DevelopmentTaxi Hire
Cost of Measure (pence)
Impa
ct o
f Mea
sure
(% re
duct
ion
in c
ar u
se)
Most worthwhile
Lo Hig
Lo
Hig
Figure 3.3 Impacts and Costs of TDM measure based on mean average numbers
Note: the figures used where a variation in figures are given are the average of the two
figures. Where there were no figures available an arbitrary figure was used to represent the
impact or cost level (high, medium or low). For car clubs it is important to note that the
impact on members is an average annual mileage reduction of 30% but the small number of
schemes leads to a low potential impact.
3.17.6 As indicated, the Impacts and Costs of TDM Measures graph above shows some clear
winners in terms of greatest impact versus cost of implementation. The Wembley site shows
promising opportunities for some of the TDM Smarter Travel measures that provide greater
reduction in car usage. However this does not mean that the other smarter measures should
be ruled out, especially if there is a desire amongst the Local authority developers and the
community to greater reduce traffic at the site.
3.17.7 It is also fair to say that large scale implementation of multiple smarter measures within a
community is likely to magnify the result of these measures and create a result which is
greater than the sum of its parts. In other words, the fostering of a sustainable and traffic
reduced community at this site may provide better results for some of the less effective
Smarter Travel Measures than has been previous been reported. Studies have shown that
individuals and organisations that have already experienced change are more willing and
able to adopt other changes to their behaviour, for instance a car driver who has changed to
PT usage, is more likely to be open to the concept of trying cycling and walking, if they can
see the possible advantage to them.
3.17.8 Other factors that could influence the mix of Smarter Travel measures implemented may go
beyond that of the motivator of traffic reduction. To this end we have highlighted the
characteristic of each measure in the findings this will allow the authority to consider other
factors such as: health, environment, community and management of Passenger Transport
usage that may have an influencing factor in the final decision.
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.35
3.17.9 We recommend that the most worthwhile measures to take forward would include the more
established main Smarter Travel Modes:
Workplace;
School;
Area Based and Personal Travel Planning;
Car clubs;
and Smart\Flexible Working.
3.17.10 This is due to their likelihood to reduce car journeys and mode shift at site. In addition, Car
Clubs would be advisable due also to the ability to reduce the need for car ownership. We
would suggest that the best approach to Smarter\ Flexible Working would be to insist it is
explored as a component part of any Workplace Travel Plan at the site and that other
complementary measures such as Car Sharing and limited parking. Car free development,
although difficult to enforce and monitor in their own right, would provide a very
complementary aspect to the other Main Smarter Travel Measures and could lead to those
measures increasing their mode shift away from car.
3.17.11 When scaling the impact of Smarter Travel Measures it is important to remember the
timescale for any Smarter Travel measure which is typically two – five years from
implementation to audited results of long term behaviour change. Unfortunately more
detailed year on year impact is not readily available at this point.
Travel Demand Forecasting
The estimated impact of the TDM measures has been taken forward as input to the Wembley
Transport Assessment Model (TAM, see Chapter 4). From the research presented here, the
TDM interventions are estimated to reduce the total trips per person per year by 1% for
Stages 1 and 2, and 2% for Stages 3 and 4 reflecting increased home working, and internet
shopping etc. Based on the trip generation databases of observed activity, trip rates for non-
residential uses have been reduced by 1% for Stages 1 and 2, and 2 % for Stages 3 and 4.
Lastly, and most significantly, the mode share for residential trips has shifted by 9% from
car in Stages 1 and 2, and by 15% in Stages 3 and 4. This reflects the likely ‘lag’ in reaching
the full impact of the TDM interventions.
3.1 Deliverability
3.1.1 The existing Travel Plan prepared by developers Quintain makes a number of commitments
and describes a range of measures to be developed and implemented in support of the Stage
1 development, many of which have been mentioned here, including; general measures to
support sustainable travel (walking, cycling etc), journey planning and the creation of a City
Car Club. The TP also mentions related S106 commitments to public transport
improvements. Naturally, the TP is welcomed as evidence of a positive commitment to
sustainable transport, but typical of TPs at this stage in the planning process (i.e. prior to
substantial occupation), then further detailed TP specification is generally absent in terms of
operation, implementation and performance targets. Overall, that approach is consistent with
the TDM performance level assumed within our earlier Masterplan delivery report (WMTSR).
3 Travel Demand Management Strategy
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 3.36
3.1.2 The measures, approach and performance of the TDM measures described within this
chapter have been set in the wider context of further consideration of; related bus and
highway corridor improvements, the Masterplan period to 2026, and the added TDM
performance benefits we may expect from the weaving-in of TDM within the Masterplan
area’s fabric and community based on research undertaken. It is those enhanced
performance benefits that have been taken forward as inputs to the Transport Assessment
Model (TAM) re-run.
3.1.3 As described earlier in this chapter, that research captures the best intelligence and
experience from what is an emerging field, that is influencing and managing travel behaviour
and demand. As such, in going forward from this point, further more detailed take place to:
Obtain primary data from emerging best practice and specifically comparable schemes
to establish a baseline and more accurate predictions of mode shift, this would also
provide a set of best practice case studies and lessons learnt that would assist the
London Borough of Brent in ensuring that Smarter and Sustainable Travel are locked
into the Wembley development;
Fully examine and describe the required detailed specification of what would be
necessary to ensure that the Smarter Travel Measures are implemented in a successful
manner that achieves maximum mode shift;
Conduct a comprehensive Sustainable Transport Audit to understand how and where
complementary infrastructure measures could be placed within and adjacent to the
Masterplan area to support the Smarter Measures;
Provide advice and detailed specification on the funding of the measures, including the
specification of drafting planning obligation to ratchet financial support for these
measures and fully explore funding opportunities outside the direct scope of the
council’s known opportunities.
3.1.4 Smarter Travel initiatives done well may deliver substantial rewards. But these returns do
not bear a linear relationship to implementation effort. Executed without sufficient will,
enthusiasm, or vigour, the returns may be some considerable way below expectations. We
recommend therefore that the Council follow a purposeful and proactive course in further
developing the Masterplan delivery by preparing a further and more detailed TDM delivery
strategy and action plan. That work would provide the necessary strategic approach to plan
for maximum TDM effectiveness in best planning, land use, complementary transport
infrastructure, planning controls and funding opportunities.
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 4.1
4 Travel Demand Forecasting
4.1 Transport Assessment Model
4.1.1 Building on the earlier WMTSR study, the Wembley Transport Assessment Model (TAM) has
been re-run with new transport mode share inputs reflecting the bus and TDM strategies and
interventions described in earlier chapters. It is an in-house spreadsheet-based model
prepared for the purpose of enabling rapid and cost effective assessment of major mixed use
developments.
4.1.2 The Wembley Model incorporates the following elements:
Forecasts of movements to/from each individual land use (Trip Generation);
A representation of where trips are coming from and going to (Trip Distribution);
A forecast of the number of trips by transport mode; car bus, rail, tube walk, and cycle
(Mode share); and
A representation of car based trips on the local road network (Traffic Assignment).
4.1.3 The model also accounts for internal trips, linked trips, and parking restraint. It has been
adjusted to represent the unique travel behaviour associated with the large proportion of
hotels, bars, and restaurants in the Masterplan area. It applied the same land use
assumptions and likely development schedule as assumed for the November 2008 report.
4.1.4 The findings and conclusions of the bus strategy and TDM interventions tasks were then
analysed and prepared for input to the Wembley TAM Model to provide a new set of traffic
forecasts reflecting the improved bus provision and implementation TDM measures. This
involved re-running the model with a revised set of travel mode share assumptions.
4.1.5 The revised model was then evaluated to incorporate the strategies addressed in Chapters 2
and 3. The key model outputs include:
Trips by public transport, on foot and by bicycle;
AM and PM peak traffic flows.
4.2 Model Outputs
Generated and attracted trips
4.2.1 The overall trips generated decreases by less than 1% in Stage 4 due to travel demand
measures. The total movements generated during the AM and PM peaks assuming strategy
incentives are 14,350 trips in Stage 1 and 18,150 Trips in Stage 4.
4.2.2 In Stage 1, approximately half of the trips occur during the AM and PM peaks; whereas in
Stage 4, nearly 60% of trips are made during the AM peak periods. This is most likely due
to the nature of the development planned leading up to 2026, with a greater number of
dwellings and business facilities.
4 Travel Demand Forecasting
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 4.2
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
Stage 1 Baseline Stage 1 With Bus Strategy &TDM
Stage 4 Baseline Stage 4 With Bus Strategy &TDM
Trip
s G
ener
ated
PMAM
Figure 4.1 Total trips generated
Mode Shares
4.2.3 With the transport incentives applied, there is an overall modal shift towards non-car
transport modes by 3137 trips in the AM and PM peaks in Stage 1 and 2187 trips in Stage 4
compared to existing conditions. The precise mode shares vary by time of day and by stage
of development.
4.2.4 The baseline (present conditions and infrastructure as in 2008) modal split is relatively good
at 37:63. The modal split assuming the effect of the transport interventions outlined in the
Masterplan is 33:67. With the strategic interventions, the car/non-car modal split is 24:76
in Stage 4. Overall, a potential of a 13% shift towards public transport, cycling and walking
is available assuming bus strategy and travel demand measures are implemented.
4.2.5 Figures 4.2 and 4.3 present the baseline and modal share with proposed strategy incentives.
4 Travel Demand Forecasting
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 4.3
Figure 4.2 Stage 1 mode split
Figure 4.3 Stage 4 Mode split
4.2.6 A significant shift is the proportion of trips utilising bus, rail and tube. Previously in Stage 1,
24% of trips generated were using bus during the AM and PM peaks. With the
implementation of bus strategy and TDM measures the modal share shifts to 27% upon
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stage 4 Baseline Stage 4 With Bus Strategy &TDM
Stage 4 Baseline Stage 4 With Bus Strategy &TDM
AM AM PM PM
Mod
e Sh
are
TubeCycleWalkRailBusCar
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stage 1 Baseline Stage 1 With Bus Strategy &TDM
Stage 1 Baseline Stage 1 With Bus Strategy &TDM
AM AM PM PM
Mod
e Sh
are
TubeCycleWalkRailBusCar
4 Travel Demand Forecasting
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 4.4
completion of Stage 1 and Stage 4 which increases the demand for bus by over 400 trips in
the AM and PM peaks.
4.2.7 Rail and tube also gained modal share in both Stages of development. Total rail demand
anticipated to increase by 437 and 327 during peak periods in the Stages 1 and 4,
respectively. Tube demand is expected to increase by 1021 trips in the Stage 1 and 793
trips in the Stage 4. The percentage change for Stage 1 and Stage 4 is presented in Table
4.1 and 4.2 below.
Table 4-1 Stage 1 Percentage change from baseline
Stage 1 Car Bus Rail Walk Cycle Tube Total
AM -19.6% 49.2% 115.2% 9.7% 2.5% 99.5% 17.0%
PM -28.3% 61.8% 82.8% 16.8% 7.8% 66.9% 10.9%
Total -24.6% 54.9% 95.5% 12.3% 4.4% 79.5% 13.9%
Table 4-2 Stage 4 Percentage change from baseline
Stage 4 Car Bus Rail Walk Cycle Tube Total
AM -32.2% 23.3% 43.0% -2.8% -5.4% 37.4% -0.6%
PM -40.0% 40.2% 46.8% -3.3% -5.6% 40.8% -0.4%
Total -36.0% 30.0% 45.0% -3.0% -5.5% 39.2% -0.5%
4.2.8 The slight decrease in cycle and walking trips reflect more trips being made by internal bus
routes and the shift in land uses.
Vehicular traffic
4.2.9 Even with a 10% mode shift away from car modes, the volume of vehicular traffic is still
significant. Approximately 2000 to 2600 trips will be generated depending on time of day,
stage of development and scenario considered.
4.2.10 The most significant increased in traffic flow will impact the following junctions along the
Wembley Hill Road/Empire Way corridor.
Wembley High Road/Wembley Hill Road;
Wembley Hill Road/South Way;
Fulton Rd/ Empire Way; and
Empire Way/Engineers Way.
4.2.11 Individual link and junction impacts will be discussed in Chapter 5 of this report. The results
of the traffic assignment process are included in the Appendix for base and cumulative
resultant traffic (assuming strategy implementation).
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.1
5 Highway Corridor Impact
5.1 Introduction
5.1.1 This Chapter details the design and modelling work undertaken on the Wembley Corridor to
provide an understanding of the scale and nature of junction modifications required to
accommodate the increased Masterplan-related traffic flows but in the context of a road
network consistent with a high quality environment for all road users and visitors to the area.
5.1.2 The preliminary designs presented have been developed with the wider Masterplan’s
objectives in mind throughout, and also with a view to the parallel work streams developing
a bus strategy and travel demand management strategy. Both require that the layouts
afford convenient and safe access for pedestrians, cyclists and buses consistent with the
overall aim of encouraging use of sustainable modes, maximising access to the Masterplan
area, and contributing to a convivial and attractive environment.
5.2 The Highway Corridor
5.2.1 The Wembley corridor includes, from north to south, the following sections; Bridge Road
(A4089); Empire Way (A479); Wembley Park Drive; and Wembley Hill Road (A479).
5.2.2 The Highway Authority for the road included in the corridor is the London Borough of Brent
(LBB). However, the corridor links to the north with Forty Avenue (A4088) and to the south
with High Road and Harrow Road (A404), which are both on the TLRN and if taken forward
for subsequent detailed design development, the proposals would also need to be discussed
with Transport for London.
5.2.3 The major junctions within the corridor are, from north to south:
Forty Avenue / Forty Lane / Bridge Road junction;
Wembley Park Drive/ North End Road junction;
The Wembley Park Drive / Empire Way gyratory;
Empire Way / Fulton Road junction
Empire Way / Engineers Way junction;
The Empire Way / Wembley Hill Road gyratory
Wembley Hill Road / South Way / Mostyn Avenue junction;
Wembley Hill Road / High Road / Harrow Road.
5.3 Methodology
5.3.1 The current layout of the junctions listed in paragraph 5.2.3 have been modified with a view
to achieve a better balance between the different needs of road users and to accommodate,
where possible and appropriate, the additional flows generated by the proposed Masterplan
redevelopment.
5.3.2 The estimated flows generated during Stage 1 and Stage 4 of the Masterplan have been
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.2
added to the background flows in order to have an indication of junction performance at the
end of the first and final stage of the Masterplan implementation. Owing to the variation in
land use type, scale, location and its related movement activity over the course of the
Masterplan period, plus the ‘lag‘ associated with bus and TDM interventions in reaching full
effectiveness, the worst case for the highway network varies within and between
development Stages. Therefore results are presented for Stages 1 and 4. A summary table
for the modelling outputs for each junction is included for both those Stages traffic volumes.
In general the Stage 1 volumes produce the worst case results.
5.3.3 Junction performance under the proposed layouts has been estimated using, as deemed
appropriate, the LINSIG or TRANSYT signal design suites.
5.3.4 The council have indicated that degrees of saturation (DoS) of up to 95% would be
appropriate in determining acceptable junction performance. On locations where this
threshold would be exceeded, we have provided an indication of the flow reductions would be
necessary in order to reduce the maximum DoS to acceptable levels.
5.3.5 The layout and performance of each junction is discussed in turn with the proposed junction
design drawings included at the end of the Chapter.
5.4 Forty Avenue / Forty Lane / Bridge Road Junction
5.4.1 Two options have been considered for this junction; Option 1 is very similar to the current
arrangement, with Option 2 that converting Barn Way from two-way operation to a one-way
northbound arrangement.
Option 1 – All existing movements permitted
5.4.2 The only major change from the existing arrangement is to formalise the observed on-street
parking on Forty Avenue that blocks and leaves redundant the nearside lane on the three
lane western arm approach. For the proposed arrangement the existing nearside lane has
been removed and kerbside parking provided in its place leaving two traffic lanes. This
change reflects an ongoing council scheme being implemented on site at the time of writing.
5.4.3 Minor changes have been made to the signal staging arrangement, but the existing layout
has been found to be the most suitable to accommodate the predicted vehicle volumes whilst
maintaining all existing vehicle movements within the current highway constraints.
5.4.4 The modelling results for a 90s cycle time are summarised in Tables 5.1 and 5.2 below. For
the Stage 4 flows the junction would operate with all arms within the 95% DoS threshold.
However, for the Stage 1 flows Forty Avenue and Forty Lane are both at the 95% threshold
in the PM peak and Bridge Road just exceeds the threshold at 96%.
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.3
Table 5-1 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Forty Ave - Left/ Ahead 49 8 60 10
Forty Ave - Right 82 7 95 12
Barn Hill – Left/ Ahead 63 4 48 3
Forty Lane - Ahead 77 15 95 23
Forty Lane – Left 84 22 69 14
Bridge Rd - Ahead/ Right 70 15 96 29
Bridge Rd - Left 45 5 53 6
Table 5-2 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Forty Ave - Left/ Ahead 49 8 60 10
Forty Ave - Right 82 6 87 8
Barn Hill – Left/ Ahead 62 4 48 3
Forty Lane - Ahead 75 14 93 21
Forty Lane – Left 83 21 64 12
Bridge Rd - Ahead/ Right 72 15 91 24
Bridge Rd - Left 40 4 44 5
Option 2 – Barn Hill converted to one-way northbound
5.4.5 The second option at the Forty Avenue/ Bridge Road junction converts Barn Hill from two-
way to one-way northbound operation which we understand from the council to be an
acceptable proposal in principle though further local traffic management examination may be
required to verify this. No vehicles will be able to join the junction from Barn Hill. The
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.4
southbound traffic volume on Barn Hill is relatively low with 113 vehicles in the AM peak hour
and 88 in the PM peak.
5.4.6 The removal of Barn Hill from the signal staging at the junction results in the junction
operating in 3 stages as opposed to 4. This enables signal green time to be reallocated from
Barn Hill to the remaining 3 arms which provides additional capacity to these approaches.
5.4.7 Except for the conversion of Barn Hill to one-way operation and the associated changes to
the signal staging the overall design of the junction for Option 2 is identical to Option 1.
5.4.8 The modelling results for a 90s cycle time are summarised in Tables 5.3 and 5.4. The
additional capacity provided by the removal of Barn Hill results in the junction performing
well within capacity for Stage 1 and Stage 4 flows. The maximum predicted DoS is 88% for
the Stage 1 flows in the PM peak.
5.4.9 If Option 2 is progressed further the removal and redistribution of southbound traffic from
Barn Hill will need to be considered in the wider context of the local area road network to the
north of Forty Avenue.
Table 5-3 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 2 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Forty Ave - Left/ Ahead 42 7 55 10
Forty Ave - Right 70 5 88 10
Forty Lane - Ahead 68 13 87 18
Forty Lane – Left 71 15 57 10
Bridge Rd - Ahead/ Right 68 15 88 23
Bridge Rd - Left 43 4 45 5
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.5
Table 5-4 Forty Avenue/ Bridge Rd Option 2 Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Forty Ave - Left/ Ahead 43 7 55 10
Forty Ave - Right 68 5 81 7
Forty Lane - Ahead 68 13 85 18
Forty Lane – Left 70 14 52 8
Bridge Rd - Ahead/ Right 68 15 83 21
Bridge Rd - Left 36 4 37 4
5.5 Wembley Park Drive / North End Road
5.5.1 At present there is no vehicular access between North End Road and Wembley Park Drive.
As part of an ongoing feasibility study two options are being considered to provide a
connection of North End Road to Wembley Park Drive.
5.5.2 The current scheme proposals provide the connection via an all movement signal junction.
The new junction will require the existing southbound bus stop on Wembley Park Drive to be
extended southwards. The bus stop will be 35m in length with capacity for 2 standard 12m
long buses which we consider necessary due to the bus frequency of 26 bph in peak times at
this location.
5.5.3 The designs will require the relocation of an existing pedestrian refuge across Wembley Park
Drive immediately north of the junction with Brook Avenue. The main difference in the two
proposed designs is the provision of a staggered crossing as part of the junction on the
southern arm of Wembley Park Drive to replace the crossing facility or, more simply,
relocating the refuge to the south of Brook Avenue.
5.5.4 The existing taxi bay on the northbound carriageway of Wembley Park Drive remains at its
current location, but due to the need for 2 southbound lanes on the approach to the junction
the northbound bus lane would start immediately north of the Pelican crossing outside of the
station.
5.5.5 Of the two options, the layout that includes for a signalled pedestrian crossing on the
western arm of Bridge Road will have a slightly lower operational performance compared to
the option without the crossing. This is due to the increased setback of the signal stop line
on the western approach of Bridge Road to accommodate the pedestrian crossing and
resulting higher intergreen values at the junction. For the purpose of this study the analysis
presented is for the option with the signal crossing and is therefore a worst case analysis.
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.6
The results of the analysis are contained in Tables 5.5 and 5.6 below.
5.5.6 For Stage 1 and Stage 4 flows in both the AM and PM peaks the junction operates with all
arms below a 95% degree of saturation (DoS) threshold for a 90s cycle time. The maximum
DoS is 92% in the PM peak on the northern approach of Bridge Road for the Stage 1 flows.
Table 5-5 North End Rd/ Bridge Rd Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Bridge Rd North – Ahead 66 11 92 16
Bridge Rd North - Left 71 13 43 6
North End Rd – Left/ Right 71 7 90 11
Bridge Rd South – Ahead 63 10 84 13
Bridge Rd South - Right 10 <1 13 <1
Table 5-6 North End Rd/ Bridge Rd Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Bridge Rd North – Ahead 66 11 83 15
Bridge Rd North - Left 73 12 37 5
North End Rd – Left/ Right 74 7 83 9
Bridge Rd South – Ahead 61 9 76 12
Bridge Rd South - Right 8 <1 16 <1
5.6 The Wembley Park Drive / Empire Way gyratory
5.6.1 The existing triangular gyratory system includes a petrol station within the central island.
The gyratory currently acts as a bus turnaround facility for terminating northbound services.
The existing provision of pedestrian facilities at the gyratory is poor and the gyratory itself is
a barrier to more direct north-south walking routes.
5.6.2 With a view to enhancing the local public realm and improving pedestrian facilities the
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.7
gyratory has been redesigned as a signal controlled T-junction with the complete removal of
the petrol station. Depending on the configuration of the T-junction it is possible to provide
the public realm space either adjacent to Wembley Park Drive or Empire Way.
5.6.3 It is considered that access and egress movements between Wembley Park Drive and the
retail park to the north of the exiting gyratory would be facilitated by the introduction of
traffic signals. The new signals would be linked to signals at the Wembley Park Drive /
Empire Way junction. A model of this arrangement has not been developed at this stage due
to flow data for the access road not being available. However it is anticipated that, due to the
low traffic activity along the access road, the proposed signalisation should not disrupt traffic
movements along Wembley Park Drive.
Option 1 – Public Realm adjacent to Empire Way
5.6.4 For an arrangement with the public realm space adjacent to Empire Way a segregated bus
lane is provided from Wembley Park Drive to Empire Way. This will bypass the junction for
southbound buses and reduce journey times and will also provide the U-turn facility for
northbound buses. There is also an opportunity to introduce a new southbound bus stop
within this bus lane affording improved accessibility to the existing retail park.
5.6.5 In order to enhance pedestrian facilities, single phase crossings have been introduced on
each approach arm and incorporated within the signal staging of the junction.
5.6.6 Whilst all of the movements operate below the 95% threshold in both the AM and PM peaks
(Tables 5.7 and 5.8) for an 80s cycle time, the predicted queue for the right turn from
Empire Way is 19 PCUs in the PM for the Stage 1 flows which would block back to the
upstream junction of Empire Way / Fulton Road. Linking the signals between the Wembley
Park Drive/ Empire Way and Empire Way/ Fulton Road junctions would manage the
progression of vehicles and the build up of queues and is recommended at this location due
to the short distance between junctions (approximately 50m).
5.6.7 As an alternative to linking the junctions, a second version of the layout has been tested this
allows traffic on Empire Way northbound to turn right from the two lanes provided on this
approach. This in turn requires that the junction exit be widened to two lanes, thus reducing
the land that could potentially be used for redevelopment/ public realm. All queues would be
contained within the storage capacity of the corresponding links.
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.8
Table 5-7 Wembley Park Drive/ Empire Way Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis
Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Pk Drive South –
Ahead/Right
56 6 86 11
Wembley Pk Drive North – Ahead 36 4 24 2
Wembley PK Drive North - Left 43 6 29 4
Empire Way – Left 14 2 23 3
Empire Way - Right 52 9 84 19
Table 5-8 Wembley Park Drive/ Empire Way Option 1 Summary of LINSIG Analysis
Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Pk Drive South –
Ahead/Right
53 5 86 10
Wembley Pk Drive North – Ahead 37 4 26 2
Wembley PK Drive North - Left 43 6 28 3
Empire Way – Left 17 2 25 3
Empire Way - Right 55 8 84 16
Option 2 – Public Realm adjacent to Wembley Park Drive
5.6.8 To provide the public realm space adjacent to Wembley Park Drive an arrangement that is
effectively a mirror image of Option 1 would be required. This would provide for Empire Way
as the main line flow with Wembley Park Drive joining at a signalised T-junction.
5.6.9 The arrangement would need to accommodate a bus turnaround facility for northbound
terminating bus services and also need to ensure that the existing retail frontages on
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.9
Wembley Park Drive could be adequately serviced. An arrangement that provides a
combined bus turnaround and servicing route would be the most desirable to maximise the
available public realm space.
5.6.10 For the Stage 1 and Stage 4 flows the heaviest vehicle movements are the ahead
movements on the north and southbound approaches of Empire Way. The arrangement in
Option 2 that provides for these movements as the main line flow is more suitable than
Option 1 that requires two right angled turns for the north-south movements to negotiate in
the immediate junction vicinity.
5.6.11 Option 2 has not been tested with LINSIG but it is considered that with an arrangement that
provides a simpler route for the heaviest vehicle movements the results for Option 2 would
be better than for Option 1.
5.7 Empire Way / Fulton Road junction
5.7.1 The existing signal junction arrangement does not permit the right turn movement from
Empire Way northbound to Fulton Road. The proposed arrangement allows the right turn
and therefore increases accessibility to the Wembley Stadium locality. It is assumed that
20% of the estimated traffic demand will turn right into Fulton Road.
5.7.2 The two lane approach on the northbound carriageway retains the existing nearside bus lane
that extends to the signal stop line. The offside lane accommodates both ahead and right
turning vehicles with a right turn storage area located within the junction to allow right
turning traffic to wait without blocking the ahead movement. The modelling has shown that
the storage area can accommodate the estimated demand of the right turn without blocking
the ahead movement. However, due to the right turn movement being new and the
assumed volume of traffic making this turn not being based on observed values it must
therefore include a larger margin of error than with other movements. If the volume of right
turning traffic becomes considerably higher than that tested it may be necessary to stop the
northbound bus lane short of the stop line to enable general traffic to use the nearside lane
for the ahead movement and the offside lane for the right turn.
5.7.3 With a cycle time of 90 seconds the LINSIG analysis shows that all movements operate
below the 95% threshold for both Stage 1 and Stage 4 traffic flows. The maximum DoS of
82% occurs on the southern arm of Empire Way during the PM peak for Stage 1 flows.
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.10
Table 5-9 Fulton Road/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Empire Way South – Ahead/
Right
57 10 82 20
Empire Way North Left/ Ahead 66 13 49 8
Fulton Road – Right/ Left 23 1 57 3
Table 5-10 Fulton Road/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Empire Way South – Ahead/
Right
52 9 74 17
Empire Way North Left/ Ahead 65 13 44 7
Fulton Road – Right/ Left 24 1 55 3
5.8 Empire Way / Engineers Way junction
5.8.1 The existing three arm junction arrangement does not include pedestrian crossing facilities
on Empire within the main junction itself. A separate remote crossing facility on Empire Way
is provided approximately 40m south of the Engineers Way junction.
5.8.2 The proposals remove the existing remote crossing to the south of the junction and provide a
single phase crossing on Empire way within the main junction on the southern arm.
Staggered crossings are provided on the northern arm of Empire Way and on Engineers Way.
5.8.3 Consideration was given to providing two southbound ahead traffic lanes on Empire Way to
increase the capacity of the junction. However, the presence of a large BT chamber on the
southbound exit of Empire Way and the associated complication and the likely substantial
cost involved in its relocation resulted in the two lane option being discounted at this time.
5.8.4 A left turn flare on the southbound arm of Empire Way has been provided to improve overall
junction performance. Linsat software has been used to ensure the effective usable flare
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.11
length has been tested in the LINSIG model.
5.8.5 The proposed layout was tested in LINSIG with a cycle time of 90 seconds. All movements
operated within capacity with the maximum DoS of 81% on the northern approach of Empire
Way during the PM peak for Stage 1 flows.
Table 5-11 Engineers Way/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Empire Way North- Left/ Ahead 70 12 81 15
Engineers Way - Right 64 6 71 7
Engineers Way – Left 70 9 79 12
Empire Way South – Right 58 7 70 9
Empire Way South - Ahead 36 6 46 8
Table 5-12 Engineers Way/ Empire Way Summary of LINSIG Analysis Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Empire Way North- Left/ Ahead 68 12 74 13
Engineers Way - Right 66 5 63 5
Engineers Way – Left 66 8 72 10
Empire Way South – Right 61 8 56 7
Empire Way South - Ahead 32 5 42 7
5.9 The Empire Way / Wembley Hill Road Gyratory
5.9.1 The existing proposals by developer Quintain for the Empire Way / Wembley Hill Road
gyratory would not result in major modifications of the existing highway layout. Also, the
flow levels are considered compatible with the proposal. It is therefore anticipated that the
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.12
gyratory would operate satisfactorily under the Stage 1 and Stage 4 flows. As a result, a
model of the gyratory is not considered necessary as part of this assessment.
5.10 Wembley Hill Road / South Way / Mostyn Avenue junction
5.10.1 The junction of Wembley Hill Road with South Way is predicted to experience a considerable
increase in traffic volume at the completion of Stage 1 of the development proposals
particularly with vehicles entering and exiting South Way.
5.10.2 In the PM peak hour there are currently approximately 60 vehicles entering and 250 exiting
South Way. The Stage 1 flows identify approximately 517 vehicles entering and 723 exiting
in the PM peak which is an approximate 300% increase in traffic volume. It is considered
that, in order to accommodate the Stage 1 flows and provide for all turning movements
substantial upgrades are required.
5.10.3 These upgrades are largely dependent on the existing bridge over the railway to the south of
the junction being able to accommodate an additional traffic lane and the resulting increased
loading without the need for substantial strengthening. An initial assessment by specialist
consultants Giffords has concluded that the widening of the main carriageway onto the
existing footway structure to the east of the bridge would require bridge strengthening due
to the 3 tonne load capacity of this section of the bridge. Due to the cost and practicalities
of bridge strengthening we have considered two options; one with an additional traffic lane
over the bridge, and one without.
5.10.4 The junction is approximately 130m north of the junction of Wembley Hill Road with Harrow
Road. Due to the large increase in traffic in this section of the corridor and the proximity of
the two junctions a TRANSYT model has been built that includes both junctions. The
TRANSYT model allows the progression of vehicles and management of queues to be
considered at this location.
Option 1 – Additional traffic lane over the Bridge
5.10.5 Under this proposal, the southbound carriageway of Wembley Hill Road is converted to two
lanes on both the approach and the exit from the junction over the bridge. The approach
widening could be achieved by taking land from the plot opposite no. 34 Wembley Hill Road.
In order to introduce two lanes on the junction exit, the bridge over the railway line would
carry a total of four running lanes. A new pedestrian footbridge would be constructed over
the railway allowing one of the existing footways to be used as additional running
carriageway surface area subject to strengthening.
5.10.6 The carriageway on the South Way approach will be widened to include two lanes. In order
to achieve this, land from the vacant plot at the corner between South Way and Wembley
Hill Road will need to be utilised.
5.10.7 Staggered pedestrian crossing facilities are provided on South Way and the northern arm of
Wembley Hill Road. The existing junction arrangement does not include any signal controlled
crossing facilities.
5.10.8 The assessment of the proposed layout for a 90s cycle time indicates that the maximum DoS
would be 90% on the South Way right turn lane under Stage 1 flows during the PM peak.
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.13
The predicted queues would not block upstream junction in any modelled time period.
Table 5-13 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 1 Summary of TRANSYT
Analysis Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Hill Rd North – Left/
Ahead/ Right
51 17 56 19
South Way – Left 53 6 53 7
South Way – Right 73 6 90 13
Wembley Hill Rd South – Ahead 70 16 86 14
Wembley Hill Rd South - Right 46 5 85 11
Table 5-14 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 1 Summary of TRANSYT
Analysis Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Hill Rd North – Left/
Ahead/ Right
49 16 51 17
South Way – Left 60 7 44 6
South Way – Right 65 5 81 9
Wembley Hill Rd South – Ahead 71 17 80 7
Wembley Hill Rd South - Right 46 5 66 8
Option 2 – No additional traffic lanes over the Bridge
5.10.9 This option assumes that provision of an additional running lane over the bridge is not
feasible for either practical or financial reasons. If so, then the junction will be significantly
over capacity unless certain turning movements are restricted.
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.14
5.10.10 The arrangement for Option 2 bans the right turn from Wembley Hill Road to South Way for
all vehicles except local buses. Vehicles that wish to turn right into South Way will need to
continue northbound to the Wembley Hill Road/ Empire Way Gyratory. There they can either
perform a u-turn at the gyratory and then turns left from Wembley Hill Road into South Way,
or continue past the gyratory and use the Engineers Way junction to access the Wembley
Stadium area. This means that a single northbound lane can be provided over the bridge
(with a very short storage lane for buses) and two southbound lanes. Such an arrangement
will utilise the existing carriageway space over the bridge and will not increase the loading on
the structure.
5.10.11 For the purpose of this assessment and to ensure the consistency of traffic flows it has been
assumed that all right turning vehicles will perform a u-turn at the Empire Way gyratory and
turn left into South Way. The traffic flows have been adjusted accordingly for the South Way
junction.
5.10.12 The proposed arrangement provides a staggered crossing on South Way but there will be no
crossing facility across Wembley Hill Road. This is still an improvement on existing crossing
facilities at the junction as whole.
5.10.13 The results of the TRANSYT analysis are summarised in Tables 5.15 and 5.16 below. In both
the AM and PM peaks for Stage 1 and Stage 4 flows all movements operate below the 95%
DoS threshold with a 90s cycle time. The northbound ahead movement on Wembley Hill
Road is at 95% DoS in the PM peak for Stage 1 flows but the queue will not block back to the
upstream junction (The Triangle).
Table 5-15 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 2 Summary of TRANSYT Analysis
Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Hill Rd North – Left/
Ahead/ Right
52 18 57 21
South Way – Left 72 8 82 11
South Way – Right 51 5 86 11
Wembley Hill Rd Northbound –
Ahead
76 13 95 21
Wembley Hill Rd Northbound -
Right
13 0 15 0
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.15
Table 5-16 Wembley Hill Road/ South Way Option 2 Summary of TRANSYT Analysis
Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Hill Rd North – Left/
Ahead/ Right
51 18 51 17
South Way – Left 78 9 71 8
South Way – Right 43 4 77 9
Wembley Hill Rd South – Ahead 79 11 85 13
Wembley Hill Rd South - Right 13 0 12 0
5.11 Wembley Hill Road / High Road / Harrow Road Junction (The Triangle)
5.11.1 The existing Wembley Hill Road / High Road / Harrow Road Junction, commonly known as
The Triangle, is an unusual layout. Whilst a central island is present, the junction does not
operate as a gyratory, as traffic is allowed to flow in both directions through the junction on
all approaches. The junction is currently congested during the morning and evening peak
periods with delays and long queues occurring mostly on the Harrow Road and High Road
approaches.
5.11.2 The proposals for this site aim to rationalise the layout through the removal of the central
island and the conversion to a more conventional signal controlled T junction layout. The
removal of the central island will also allow substantial footway widening and enhancement
of pedestrian facilities in an area lying along desired pedestrian route to Wembley Stadium.
5.11.3 Due to the amount of traffic currently using the junction and the flow increases generated by
the proposed developments included in the Wembley Masterplan, it was not considered
feasible to introduce straight across pedestrian facilities. As a result, the proposed layout
includes staggered pedestrian crossings on Harrow Road and Wembley High Road. A signal
controlled crossing is provided on Wembley Hill Road approximately 35m to the north of the
Triangle. This crossing lines up with the pedestrian bridge and desire line over the railway
line towards Wembley Stadium station. The crossing will be linked to the Triangle to the
south and to the junction with South Way to the north.
5.11.4 The proposed layout has been tested with TRANSYT as part of the assessment that included
the junction with South Way.
5.11.5 The modelling results (Tables 5.17 and 5.18) show that the junction would not be able to
service the estimated demand below the 95% saturation level threshold for the Stage 4 flows
in the AM peak (the worst case flows at this particular junction). A saturation level of 96% is
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.16
predicted on the southbound movement from Wembley Hill Road to Harrow Road. The
associated queue of 33PCUs would also exceed the 130m link storage capacity, however, a
more detailed review of the queue as reported in the following paragraph reveals that the
extent of the queue would not be as detrimental as might immediately appear.
Table 5-17 Wembley Hill Rd/ Harrow Rd (The Triangle) TRANSYT Analysis Stage 1
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Hill Rd North – Ahead 94 25 83 11
Wembley Hill Rd North – Right/
Ahead
64 8 87 13
Harrow Road – Left 54 9 47 7
Harrow Road – Right 56 10 74 16
Wembley High Road – Left/ Right 93 22 88 21
Table 5-18 Wembley Hill Rd/ Harrow Rd (The Triangle) TRANSYT Analysis Stage 4
AM PM Approach
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Degree of
Saturation
(%)
Queue
(PCUs)
Wembley Hill Rd North – Ahead 96 33 77 9
Wembley Hill Rd North – Right/
Ahead
67 8 82 11
Harrow Road – Left 54 9 43 6
Harrow Road – Right 59 12 63 13
Wembley High Road – Left/ Right 92 21 85 19
5.11.6 The queues predicted by TRANSYT are the mean-max back of queue location and so are
not necessarily solid lengths of stationary vehicles. A review of the predicted queue on the
southbound movement of Wembley Hill Road shows that the predicted queue is not a solid
length. Figure 5.1 below shows that the uniform queue on the southbound approach of
Wembley Hill Road throughout a 90s signal cycle. At the start of the signal green period the
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.17
queue is ten PCUs and, therefore, within the link storage capacity. The back of the queue
does extend once the traffic lights turn green but the front of queue has by then started to
disperse and clear the junction and the actual stationary queue length would be
approximately 1 PCU during this clearing period.
Figure 5.1 Wembley Hill Road S/B Uniform Queue Profile (AM peak)
Modelling Conclusions
5.11.7 The additional traffic volumes generated by the developments included in the Wembley
Masterplan will increase the pressure on the eight key junctions located on the study
corridor. The modelling has shown that for seven of the junctions a layout arrangement can
be provided that will accommodate the increased traffic below a 95% saturation threshold
whilst also providing pedestrian, cycling and bus facilities that are consistent with the
Masterplan’s wider objectives.
5.11.8 The junction on the southern end of the corridor, Wembley Hill Road/ Harrow Road/
Wembley High Road, carries high traffic volumes on each approach arm and is also a key
pedestrian route to Wembley Stadium. The modelling predicts a saturation level of 96% on
Wembley Hill Road southbound in the AM peak for the Stage 4 traffic flows. A reduction in
traffic volume of 1% would be required for the saturation levels to fall below the 95%
threshold at this junction.
5.12 Deliverability
5.12.1 As indicated in the earlier Wembley Masterplan Transport Strategy Review (WMTSR) report
there are existing committed highway improvements included within the section 106
Agreement of September 2004 for the Quintain the Stage 1 development for works to be
carried out by Quintain, and approved by the council, at the following junction locations:
Wembley Hill Road/Royal Route;
Empire Way/Engineers Way;
Empire Way/Stadium Way;
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.18
Empire Way/Lakeside Way;
Wembley Hill Road/Site 09;
Engineers Way/Wembley Park Boulevard;
Engineers Way/Olympic Way;
First Way;
Engineers Way/Site E01; and
Wembley Hill Road/Empire Way.
5.12.2 The works described included a commitment to provide traffic signal linking utilising SCOOT
on the Wembley Hill Road corridor, though not identifying a contribution to physical junction
improvement works. We note that in addition, a contribution of £550,000 was identified as
payable to Transport for London as a contribution to works at the A406 prior to occupation of
the western non-residential car parking, along with £100,000 payable to the council as a
traffic calming contribution in residential roads affected by the development works no later
than six months after occupation of 20,000 m2 of retail and/or leisure floorspace.
5.12.3 A separate S106 Agreement covers works in connection to the LDA Lands for an
improvement of the Wembley Hill Road/South Way junction with an intention for
improvement of the Wembley Hill Road/High Road junction.
5.12.4 Table 5.19 below provides a measure of costs associated to the junction designs presented in
this Report. It should be noted that these are first stage estimates based on preliminary
considerations and they are intended to provide an indicative cost comparison rather than
accurate and absolute values. More accurate estimates will be required once the design of
the preferred layouts is further refined and detailed utility surveys have been undertaken.
5.12.5 Given the indicative nature of the costings and the level of detail that the designs have
progressed to, a contingency has been added to the estimates for the delivery of a
completed scheme. This includes amongst others; land purchase and fees for the detailed
design stage.
5.12.6 Due to the proximity and operational relationship between the junctions of Wembley Hill
Road/ South Way and Wembley Hill Road/ Harrow Road (the Triangle) the combined costs
for the two junctions and associated works are presented. Two options have been costed;
one with the requirement for strengthening of the existing bridge over the railway and a new
pedestrian footbridge and one without strengthening or a new footbridge.
5 Highway Corridor Impact
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 5.19
Table 5-19 Highway Corridor Cost Estimates
Indicative Cost Range Junction
Upto
£100k
£100k-
250k
£250k-
£0.5M
£0.5M-
£1M
Over
£1M
Forty Ave/Forty
Lane/Bridge Rd
x
Wembley Park
Dr/North End Way
x* (£4M)
Wembley Park Drive/
Empire Way
x*
Empire Way/Fulton Rd x*
Empire Way/
Engineers Way
x*
Empire Way/Wembley
Hill Rd Gyratory
x
Wembley Hill
Rd/South Way/ &
Wembley Hill Rd/High
Rd/ Harrow Rd
(with bridge
strengthening)
x* (£2.3M)
Wembley Hill
Rd/South Way/ &
Wembley Hill Rd/High
Rd/ Harrow Rd
(without bridge
strengthening)
x*
Note: * Requires land purchase
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.1
6 Strategy integration and implementation
6.1 Introduction
6.1.1 Our previous study for the council (WMTSR) estimated the present day ‘baseline mode split
as a relatively good car/non-car modal split at 37:63. We judged the modal split assuming
the effect of the transport interventions addressed in the Masterplan to rise by 4% to 33:67.
With the strategic bus and TDM interventions proposed within this report, we anticipate an
increase from the baseline figure of some 13% to a split of 24:76 by completion of Stage 4.
This chapter considers the optimum interventions required to deliver the Masterplan and how
the council may best move forward to further develop the optimum intervention package.
6.2 Movement Intervention Assessment Process
6.2.1 The process for determining the need, scope and contribution to mode share shift of
movement related interventions in terms of the highway corridor, bus strategy and TDM
interventions, is outlined by Figure 6.1 below. It is followed by a summary of the findings of
that process.
Figure 6.1 Movement Intervention Assessment
Initial Highway Corridor Assessment
6.2.2 The initial highway corridor assessment indicated that in general terms, if suitably modified,
then the junctions along the corridor would be expected to operate satisfactorily under
Masterplan development Stage 4 flow conditions as estimated by the TAM model for the
initial Masterplan delivery study (November 2008). Most were assessed as operating within
5% of junction operation saturation, a figure advised as acceptable by the council in this
appraisal context. Three junctions were though found to be over-saturated or exhibit vehicle
Highway Corridor
assessment
Bus Intervention
assessment
Travel Demand
Management
intervention assessment
Transport Assessment Model (re) assessment
Highway Corridor interventions re-assessment
• re-appraisal/re-design • performance assessment
Assessment of optimum Bus and TDM intervention package
6 Strategy integration and implementation
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.2
queuing difficulties, Forty Avenue/Forty Lane/Bridge Road, Wembley Park Drive/Empire way
(vehicle queuing), and Wembley Hill Road/High Road/Harrow Road.
6.2.3 The headline results from that initial assessment were encouraging, pointing to real scope for
a positive role for the bus and TDM interventions in reducing estimated future traffic flows to
a level where those problematic junctions may operate satisfactorily without further
modification.
Bus and Travel Demand Intervention (TDM) Assessment
6.2.4 Similarly, both the bus and TDM assessment identified specific and general measures that
would offer the prospect of a significant mode shift from car-based movement to bus and
sustainable modes, or more specifically in the case of TDM, a reduction in the need to travel.
Highway Corridor Assessment - Reassessment
6.2.5 A review of the Highway Corridor Strategy and interventions then followed to identify where
any amendments of the infrastructure proposals might be appropriate to perhaps improve
performance, operation, or if appropriate, scale-back junction modifications (should flow
reductions permit). That work identified that only one junction, the Wembley Hill Road/
Harrow Road/ Wembley High Road remained cause for concern, though only marginally
beyond the 95% degree of saturation criteria at 98% rather than the set 95%.
6.2.6 In general terms though, the various junction amendments did not warrant particular
attention from the study team in terms of their likely impact, whether judged in terms of
their scale, visual impact, effect on bus priority needs, pedestrian and cyclist provision, or in
terms of their alignment with the wider Masterplan objectives.
Assessment of Optimum Bus and TDM Intervention Package
6.2.7 As indicated by the TAM re-run findings (Chapter 4), the bus and TDM interventions are
estimated to deliver very real benefits in reducing the need for travel and in terms of
encouraging a mode transfer from the car to sustainable transport modes They have been
found to deliver substantial traffic flow reductions of sufficient order to give comfort that
acceptable road junction operation will be possible along the western highway corridor given
the effective delivery of those interventions. Further design development of those highway
measures, particularly at the Wembley Hill Road/ Harrow Road/ Wembley High Road junction
when a small capacity shortfall has been found..
6.2.8 Naturally, some of the transport interventions will fall by the wayside for a variety of reasons
such as; cost, acceptability, practicality or political support during the course of the
Masterplan period. Some new and yet unforeseen interventions may though appear during
that time.. In compiling a robust and prioritised package of bus and TDM interventions, we
have assessed them using the comparative matrix presented overleaf.
Table 6-1 Movement intervention
6 Strategy integration and implementation
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.3
Table 6.1 Movement
intervention
(Low/Medium/High)
Inte
rven
tio
n
ap
plica
bil
ity
Relian
ce o
n o
ther
inte
rven
tio
ns
Delivera
bilit
y
Co
st level
Co
ntr
ibu
tio
n t
o m
od
e
shif
t
Co
ntr
ibu
tio
n t
o
Mast
erp
lan
deli
very
Imp
lem
en
tati
on
tim
e
ho
rizo
n
(Sh
ort
\M
ed
ium
\Lo
ng
Overa
ll r
ati
ng
Bus Strategy Incentives
Legible bus route network H L H M M H S H
Bus frequency modifications H M M M H H M H
Bus priority measures H M M M H H M H
Public transport hubs H L H M H M M M
Interchange and stopping
facility enhancements
M L H L M L S M
Information dissemination H M H L M M S M
Branding & marketing M M M L M M M M
Travel demand interventions
Workplace Travel Planning H L H L H H M H
School Travel Planning M L H M/H M/H M M M
Personal Travel Planning M L M M M M M M
Car Sharing M M M M M M S M
Area based travel planning M L M M H M M M
Car clubs M M M H L/M M S L/M
Flexible working
hours/homeworking
H L H L M M S/M/L M
Cycle hire schemes L/M M L/M H L L M/L L
Off peak/overnight servicing M/H M L/M M L L M L
Real time PT opportunities M M M H L/M L/M M L
Car free home delivery M L M L L/M L/M S L
Taxi hire schemes M L H L L/M L S L
6 Strategy integration and implementation
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.4
6.2.9 The matrix looks across all the identified interventions and assesses a variety of key
considerations:
Intervention applicability – an assessment of how widespread the intervention
application across the various Masterplan land uses;
Reliance on other interventions – a measure of dependence upon other interventions
being delivered;
Deliverability – the likelihood of the intervention being implemented;
Cost level;
Contribution to mode shift;
Contribution to Masterplan delivery;
Implementation time horizon (short\medium\long-term);
Overall rating – having considered all factors, an assessment of the priority for each
intervention.
6.2.10 Through green, amber, and red ratings ratings for each intervention (high, medium to low
performance/contribution), we see how they perform individually and may be judged to
perform collectively. The assessments for each intervention should be considered within that
strategy group only, that is, a bus strategy interventions effectiveness should not be
compared directly to that for a TDM intervention and vice-versa. From this assessment, and
consideration in earlier chapters of the anticipated order of contribution towards mode shift,
the further Table 6.2 below presents the various interventions in overall rating and
implementation priority order.
6.2.11 As indicated by the earlier research, major contributions to influencing travel behaviour and
encouraging sustainable mode choice, thereby minimising car use, are made by wholly
achievable measures such as bus priority measures and Workplace Travel Planning. As input
to the TAM model, these interventions played a major part in reducing resultant traffic flows,
along with, though to a lesser extent, the second (M rated), and third (L rated) order
measures.
6 Strategy integration and implementation
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.5
Table 6-2 Intervention Contribution Rating and Priority
Priority Intervention Strategy Overall rating
1 Bus frequency modifications Bus H
2 Legible bus network Bus H
3 Workplace travel planning TDM H
4 Bus Priority Measures Bus H
5 Interchange and stopping facility
enhancements
Bus M
6 School travel planning TDM M
7 Area travel planning TDM M
8 Public transport hubs Bus M
9 Flexible working hours/homeworking TDM M
10 Information dissemination Bus M
6.3 Deliverability
6.3.1 Given the contribution offered by these measures, their likely deliverability, relevance and
conventional nature (notwithstanding the relative newness of the TDM measures), we are
confident that given the appropriate levels of active support, they will be able to deliver the
needed contribution towards; minimising the need for travel, encouraging sustainable mode
choice, minimising development related traffic flows and ultimately, delivering the
Masterplan in its entirety.
6.3.1 In the following, we consider deliverability issues relating to the bus, TDM and highways
corridor strategies in turn.
Bus Interventions
6.3.2 This strategy attempts to transform the broad measures imagined in the Masterplan into
realisable incentives and interventions. The measures presented a legible bus service
network convenient and appealing interchange, high level of service and frequency, and bus
priority measures provide for a significant modal shift towards bus use.
6.3.3 These incentives are implementable over the course of the Masterplan period, though a
coherent vision must be defined in order to deliver this strategy. For example, in that route
information is needed realise increased frequencies, in turn increased frequencies require
6 Strategy integration and implementation
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.6
enhanced interchange facilities and bus priority, and so on.
6.3.4 The infrastructure and funding obligations implied are viewed as manageable, given the
current level of bus ridership in the area and that anticipated over the course of the
Masterplan period. An example of this is the Section 106 Agreement of September 2004 for
the Quintain Stage 1 development which includes a staged contribution of £1,750,000 for
bus route or other public transport measures, with the identification of a possible
contribution towards subsidising the provision of bus routes or other measures that may
benefit the development. Works were also included to the value of £50,000 resulting from
an approved bus infrastructure strategy.
6.3.5 The Quintain the Stage 1 development Agreement also included for a contribution of
£100,000 towards improvement works at Wembley Central Station, along with a contribution
of £1,615,000 to Transport for London for Wembley Park Station improvement works.
6.3.6 We should note that the operational planning of London’s bus services is a sophisticated
matter and amendments to services require detailed liaison with Transport for London,
London Buses.
TDM Interventions
6.3.7 Added to these, a Green Travel Plan (Travel Plan, TP) has been prepared and submitted by
developers Quintain in support of the Stage 1 development. The TP makes a number of
commitments and describes a range of measures to be developed and implemented in
support of the Stage 1 development, many of which have been mentioned within the TDM
work described within this report, along with related S106 commitments to public transport
improvements. As such, the TP is evidence of a positive commitment to sustainable
transport, though as to be expected of pre-occupation TPs, lacking in detail regarding TP
implementation and performance targets. In general terms, we have taken the likely
development Stage 1 TP performance as consistent with the TDM performance level assumed
within our earlier Masterplan delivery report (WMTSR).
6.3.8 In appraising the performance of the TDM strategy presented within this report, we have
placed their wider contribution in the context of further consideration and development of
related bus and highway corridor improvements, the Masterplan period to 2026, and the
added TDM performance benefits we may expect from the planned weaving-in of TDM within
the Masterplan area’s fabric and community based on research undertaken. It is those
enhanced performance benefits that have been taken forward as inputs to the Transport
Assessment Model (TAM) re-run (Chapter 4).
6.3.9 As described earlier in this chapter, that research captures the best intelligence and
experience from what is an emerging field, that is influencing and managing travel behaviour
and demand. As such, in going forward from this point in developing the Masterplan, further
and more detailed research would be beneficial to develop more accurate predictions of
mode shift. That work could fully examine and describe the required detailed specification of
what would be necessary to ensure that the Smarter Travel Measures are implemented in a
successful manner to achieve maximum mode shift. Along with that, a comprehensive
Sustainable Transport Audit would identify how and where complementary infrastructure
measures could be placed within and adjacent to the Masterplan area to support the Smarter
Measures.
6 Strategy integration and implementation
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.7
6.3.10 The means of delivering TDM measures are, as to be expected, also emerging with this
comparatively new field. As with the commitment already secured for the Stage 1
development, the principle of TDM contributions is already established. However, the
mechanisms for funding, measuring, measuring and monitoring delivery of that commitment
generally require development and strengthening across London, and nationally. In the
context of this near unique opportunity for establishing a new community fully incorporating
TDM within the lives of those living, working and visiting the area, then further work would
be valuable in advising on the detailed specification on the funding of the measures,
including the specification of drafting planning obligation to ratchet financial support for
these measures and fully explore funding opportunities outside the direct scope of the
council’s known opportunities.
Transport Strategy Delivery Action Plan
6.3.11 Given the need to plan, design test and implement the various interventions identified and
maximise the various funding opportunities, there is a clear need to develop a transport
strategy delivery action plan to describe how those measures may be prioritised and
provided. The matters requiring consideration are set out below in Table 6.3.
Table 6-3 Transport Strategy Delivery Action Plan
Action Plan Element Comments
Masterplan Review
and Development
- Transport planners to work alongside council’s Masterplanners to
best develop, plan-in and actively support highway, bus and TDM
interventions within the new community
- refine bus and TDM interventions packages
- consider need for further sub-strategies (e.g. public realm,
freight movement)
Highway Corridor
design development
- take initial interventions forward for detailed design, costing
and operational assessment
- refine highways corridor strategy
Bus strategy
interventions design
development
- take initial interventions forward for detailed design, costing and
operational assessment incl. liaison with TfL, London Buses
6 Strategy integration and implementation
Transport Strategy Key Component Study 6.8
Interventions
funding strategy
- review opportunities for funding bus, public transport and TDM -
related improvements, incl. Use of funds already secured:
- review scale and timing of likely further Masterplan developer
contributions to interventions
- develop detailed strategy for TDM delivery to ‘lock-in’ Smarter
Travel, incl. S106 contributions, monitoring and enforcement
- prepare TDM funding plan with specification of planning
obligation to ratchet financial support
- review and scope available public funding opportunities at local,
sub-regional, national and Euro-level
TDM interventions
develop Sustainable Transport Audit to best locate supporting
complementary infrastructure measures within and around the
Masterplan area
Monitor interventions
performance
monitor and review road traffic volumes, bus service usage, mode
shift, smarter travel performance on an ongoing basis throughout
the Masterplan period.
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