Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

43
Transport and Logistics: Forging Sub-Regional Links Meeting of Governmental Experts from Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries July 30 - Aug. 3, 2001 Uma Subramanian The World Bank

description

Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Transcript of Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Page 1: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Transport and Logistics:Forging Sub-Regional Links

Meeting of Governmental Experts from Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries

July 30 - Aug. 3, 2001

Uma SubramanianThe World Bank

Page 2: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

•Globalization

•Decentralization of production, processing and

marketing

•Economic liberalization

•Deregulation of industries and markets

•Reduced role of the state and expanding role for the

private sector

Emerging Trends

Page 3: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Sub-region of Focus

Indian states

BiharW. Bengal

Uttar PradeshOrissa

N.E. Region

Countries

Bangladesh BhutanNepal

India (Eastand N.East)

Page 4: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

150 125 100 75 50 25 0 25 50 75 10150 125 100 75 50 25 0 25 50 75 100 125 1500 125 150

U.PU.P

Population (millions)Population (millions)

JapanJapanBangladeshBangladesh

MexicoMexico

IranIranWest BengalWest Bengal

Chile & PeruChile & PeruOrissaOrissa

KenyaKenyaAssamAssam

IraqIraqManipurManipur

ZambiaZambiaArunachal PradeshArunachal Pradesh

BiharBihar

BrazilBrazil

PopulationComparative Statistics

Page 5: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Socio-economic IndicatorsGNPpercapita1998

% of pop <$1/day

% of pop <$2/day

Infantmortalityrate per1000 livebirths

LifeExpectancyat birth1997

Maleilliteracyrate1997

Femaleilliteracyrate 1997

Bangladesh 430 47 87.5 71 63 33 61

India 350 50.3 86.7 75 58 50 73

Nepal 210 -- -- 83 57 44 79

Bhutan 430 -- -- 63 61 -- --

China 750 22.2 57.8 32 70 9 25

Brazil 4570 23.6 43.5 34 67 16 16

Page 6: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Growth in FDI (1990 and 1997)

0.0

10,000.0

20,000.0

30,000.0

40,000.0

50,000.0

60,000.0

70,000.0

S.Asia East Asia &Pacific

Latin America Sub SaharanAfrica

Middle Eastand N.Africa

Europe andC.Asia

Foreign Direct Investment($ mill ions) 1990Foreign Direct Investment($ mill ions) 1997

Page 7: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

World OECD DevelopingCountries

LatinAmerica

East Asia South Asia

Ratio of Total Trade to GDP

1975-19791990-1994

Page 8: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Exports within Regional Trade blocs (% of total exports)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1980 1985 1990 1994 1995 1996 1997

APECNAFTAEUMercosurSADCASEANSAARC

Page 9: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

India : Trade with neighborsUS $million 1998 Export % Import %

Bangladesh 1038 1.9 65 0.2

Nepal 324 0.6 147 0.5

Bhutan 12 0.0 15 0.05

OtherCountries

52987 97.5 28958 99.2

Total 54341 100 29185 100Source: UN COMTRADE data

Page 10: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Bangladesh: Trade with neighborsUS $million 1998

Export % Import %

India 55 1.4 1179 16.1

Nepal 18 0.5 14 0.2

Bhutan -- 0.0 5 0.1

OtherCountries

3749 98.1 6115 83.6

Total 3822 100 7313 100Source: UN COMTRADE data

Page 11: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Nepal: Trade with neighborsUS $million 1998

Export % Import %

India 145 32.9 440 30.7

Bangladesh 10 2.3 6 0.4

Bhutan -- -- -- --

OtherCountries

288 64.9 988 68.9

Total 444 100 1434 100Source: UN COMTRADE data

Page 12: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Towards increased regional integration

• SAPTA followed by SAFTA• In terms of absolute value, intra-regional trade

is increasing. Between 1988-98:– India exports to Bangladesh increased 6 folds– Bangladeshi exports to India increased by 4 to 5

folds

Page 13: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Impediments to efficient transport and logistics in South Asia

• Physical infrastructure gaps or inefficiencies• Procedural inefficiencies --excessive and

complex documentation and customs procedures

• Constraints due to protocol (on choice of routes, border crossings, restrictions on movements etc.)

• Institutional inefficiencies

Page 14: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Physical infrastructure: Roads

• The primary mode for freight movement • Two lane highways, poorly maintained and congested in

many parts resulting in low speeds (200-400 kms/day)• Small private sector owned and operated trucking services• Competition and low turnover combine to enable low cost

operations (average operating cost $ 0.044 to 0.049 per ton/km)

• Load limits vary (8.5 tons per axle for Bangladesh versus 10 tons for the others)

• Bilateral protocol restrictions

Page 15: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Rail • Mix of broad and meter gauge in both Bangladesh and India; efforts to

integrate gauge and links across countries being undertaken • Public sector run organizations in both India and Bangladesh • Characterized by old rolling stock, overstaffing, poor maintenance despite

recent efforts to improve performance; in Bangladesh, track maintenance a particular problem in flood prone areas

• Declining market share of freight• With CONCOR, increase in container movement in India; • Limited movement of containers in Bangladesh between Dhaka-Chittagong

due to anomalies in charges, regulations and problems. Only 10-12% (<40,00TEU) of containers are moved by rail to Dhaka ICD)

• Protocol for exchange of wagons between Bangladesh and India

Page 16: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Table 10: Border Crossing Documentation

India toBangladesh

For India Customs – Customs Export Declaration, Bill of Lading, Invoice, PaclingList, Letter of Credit,For Bangladesh Customs – Import Permit, Bill of Lading, Packing List, Letter ofCredit, Consignment Insurance Cover, Certificate of Registration (VAT), ImporterPass Book , and for goods for EPZ (bonded warehouse licenses, Value bonded Form,Risk and Duty Bond

Nepal to India For Nepal customs – Customs Transit Declaration, Customs Export Declaration, DutyInsurance Certificate, Invoice, Packing List, Certificate of Origin , Certificates ofRegistration (income tax, VAT, company), Letter of Credit,For India Customs – Customs Transit document, duty Insurance, Invoice, PackingList, Letter of Credit, Certificate of Origin

Bangladesh toNepal

For Bangladesh Customs – export Registration Certificate, Invoice, Letter of Credit,Packing List, Certificate of Origin, Truck ReceiptFor Nepal Customs – Customs Import Declaration, Invoice, Packing List, Certificateof Origin , Import License, Letter of Credit, Health/ Quarantine Certificate andEquipment Interchange Receipt and Duty Insurance Coverage for Containers

BangladeshPorts

Exports – Export Bill of Entry, Invoice, Packing List, Export Permit, Undertaking byExport of Company and Outpass Statement Letterhead, Export Permit, Risk Bond

Indian Ports Imports - Customs Transit declaration, Bill of Lading, Invoice, Packing List,Certificate of Origin , Import License, Letter of Credit, Health/ Quarantine Certificateand Equipment Interchange Receipt and Duty Insurance Coverage for ContainersExports – Customs Transit Document

Source: Annex A

Page 17: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Approach • Comprehensive approach -- physical and nonphysical barriers in

transport and logistics

• Development of an analytic framework that would facilitate rational dialogue among public and private sector and among countries

• Inter-active or participatory approach to AAA; continual national, and regional consultations with stakeholders from various sectors in order to build ownership in the countries.

• Combining detailed case studies of commodity flows with transport-logistics systems in the region

• Knowledge sharing with global case-studies from other regional trade blocs such as Mercosur, NAFTA, SADC.

Page 18: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Two types of analyses• identifying the critical impediments along a logistics chain (physical

gaps and constraints, policies, procedures, commodity type and market conditions, helped determining where improvements in the short term can bring about significant returns in terms of efficiency improvements

• comparing among alternative routes (and modes), as a means toward the more cost-effective route. The comparative analysis not only provides information on the potential savings if these routes wereoperationalized, but also allows a dynamic analysis of how improvements in the components of both logistics chains would affect overall benefits and route selection.

Page 19: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Logistics Cost Model

Page 20: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Commodity flow cases studiedCommodity Mode on land Route / Type of commodity

Domestic CementGeneralfreight

Indian RailIndian Truck

Domestic/ low value bulkDomestic/ med value bulk

Regional CementAgr. produceLimestoneYarn

Ind-BGD barge/truckNep-BGD trucksBhutan/BGD trucksInd/BGD trucks

Regional/ low value bulkRegional/ Med valueLow value/bulkHigh value/ containerizable

International WoolTeaCarpetPolypropeleneGarments

Ind-Nep trucksIndian truckNep-Indian trucksIndian-trucksBGD trucks

High value/containerMed value/break bulkHigh value/containerMed value/ break bulkHigh value/containerizable

Page 21: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

• The core set of strategic commodities and routes selected for this study, were chosen for two reasons: – they provide opportunities for landlocked areas

to reach markets; – they are critical commodities that link the sub-

region to the global market.

Page 22: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Case Studies presented -

• High value trade within the region• High value commodity exports to

international market • Medium value commodity movement

within the region

Page 23: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Case 1: Yarn Export India to Bangladesh

Consignment AttributesCommodity Yarn

Shipment Size 14.8 tonnes

Origin Calcutta, India

Destination Dhaka, Bangladesh

Landing Port Benapole, Bangladesh

Shipment Value $ 38,000

Mode of Transport Truck

Distance 360 kilometers

Page 24: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links
Page 25: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Cost HoursTransport and HandlingInland Transport $ 516 17Cargo Handling $ 525 24Crossborder ProceduresCargo Transfer $80 156Customs Inspec $97 73Trade Related LogisticsTime Cost ofTransport

$158

Other (Insurance,Documentation/Forwarding, L/Cprocessing

$817

Total $ 2193 270TransportLogistics Cost $ 2193Logistics Time 270 hours

Page 26: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Case 2: Carpet Exports Nepal to Germany

Consignment AttributesCommodity Carpet

Shipment Size 1 TEU

Origin Kathmandu, Nepal

Destination Germany

Landing Port Port Bremen

Shipment Value $ 90,000

Mode of Transport Truck and Ocean freight

Distance >1200 kilometers

Page 27: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links
Page 28: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Route AKathmandu Thru’ Calcutta

Route BKathmandu thru’ JNPT

Cost Hours Cost HoursTransport andHandlingInland Transport $ 480 117 $ 740 88Cargo Handling $ 260 74 $ 463 155Ocean Freight $ 1200 528 $ 750 336Cross BorderProceduresCargo Transfer 164 $80 37Customs Inspec 20 $97 7Trade LogisticsTime Cost of Transport $1252 $864Other (Insurance,Documentation/Forwarding, L/Cprocessing

$1485 $1485

Total $ 5343 $ 2193TransportLogistics Cost

$ 5343 $ 2193

Logistics Time 903 623

Page 29: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Case 3: General Freight Calcutta to Agartala

Consignment AttributesCommodity General Freight

Shipment Size 8 tonnes

Origin Calcutta, India

Destination Agartala, India

Border Crossings Petrapole - BenapoleAkhoura – Agartala

Shipment Value $ 24,000

Mode of Transport Truck

Distance >1600 kilometers

Page 30: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links
Page 31: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Route AAll India Road

Route BTransshipment thru’

Bangladesh

Route CTransit thru’Bangladesh

Cost Hours Cost Hours Cost HoursTransport and HandlingInland Transport $ 760 180 $ 263 41 $ 263 41Cargo Handling $ 278 18 $ 270 20 $ 270 20

Cross Border ProceduresCargo Transfer -- -- $ 106 35 $0 0Customs Inspec -- -- $125 152 $75 12Trade LogisticsTime Cost of Transport $ 73 $ 96 $96Other (Insurance,Documentation/Forwarding, L/Cprocessing

$ 396 $ 516 $516

Total $ 1507 $ 1,376 $ 1220Transport LogisticsCost

$1507 $1,376 $ 1220Logistics Time (hours) 198 248 73

Page 32: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Constraints highlighted by Private Sector User Groups

– Regulatory and physical restrictions to potentially cost-effective transit corridors

– Poor physical facilities and infrastructure at border points– Poor harmonization of documents and complementary time-

consuming procedures– Delays caused by current customs procedures, facilities and

communications– Regulatory and physical restrictions to operation of cost-effective

vehicles including container transport – Poor dialogue between public sector as facilitator and private sector

as user, as beneficiary of regulatory systems and as potential contributor to public investments and facilities

– Constraints due to bilateral protocols and agreements– Need for eliciting views from user groups before choice of transit

corridors in inter-country agreements

Page 33: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Constraints highlighted by Private Sector User Groups

– Regulatory and physical restrictions to potentially cost-effective transit corridors

– Poor physical facilities and infrastructure at border points– Poor harmonization of documents and complementary time-

consuming procedures– Delays caused by current customs procedures, facilities and

communications– Regulatory and physical restrictions to operation of cost-effective

vehicles including container transport – Poor dialogue between public sector as facilitator and private sector

as user, as beneficiary of regulatory systems and as potential contributor to public investments and facilities

– Constraints due to bilateral protocols and agreements– Need for eliciting views from user groups before choice of transit

corridors in inter-country agreements

Page 34: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Public - Private RolesPublic sector:

•Facilitate private sector capacity to contract, handle, and transport the country’s foreign trade

•Update and conduct bilateral negotiations to improve transit protocols and bilateral agreements

•Interact on a continual basis with private sector through trade associations

Private sector:•Keep government informed through trade associations of

constraints and realistic needs •

Page 35: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Summary Findings• Ports are critical in determining regional routes because of the high logistics

costs at the port. Elimination of delays in cargo handling and customs procedures will move cargo to more efficient ports.

• Containerization of high value cargo at the earliest point in the logistics chain would reduce inefficiencies at the port

• Customs clearances are not the only factors that constrain cross border movements. Onerous procedures, inadequate preparation of document, multiple copies and signatures, limited number of gates receiving cargo, limitations on working hours etc. all add to inefficiencies

• High value goods in the region will continue to move mainly by truck. Constraints at border crossings would be reduced if cargo was allowed to move unrestricted across borders in bond.

• Intraregional shipments of perishables require tighter logistics by emphasizing reliability and delivery time, minimizing damages/ losses. Allow cargo to move in a single truck from origin to destination with minimum delays a borders.

Page 36: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Summary Findings (continued)• Extension and integration of the BG railway system in Bangladesh and India,

combined with efficiency improvements and capital investments in comaptible rolling stock, may help capture some of the medium value bulk cargo.

• IWT role in transporting low value bulk cargo could be enhanced if the low travel speeds could be compensated by improvements to facilitate night navigation, and improvements in port operations to reduce turnaround time.

Page 37: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Priorities for the Region should address -

• Alternative and more cost-effective routing from landlocked countries/ regions to international markets

• Increased capacity in the region to trade in higher value goods

• Easier movement of goods between eastern and N.E.India • Regional markets for exports from Bhutan and Nepal, a lot

which would be perishables• Increased trade between Bangladesh and neighboring

countries

Page 38: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Short term priorities

• Improve design/ provision of infrastructure (e.g. warehouses) at selected border crossings e.g. Benapole; Birgunj; Bhairawa; Phulbari;Akhoura) and market centers (e.g. Noapara; Siliguri)

• Use of freight operations information system for real time monitoring of cargo and wagons. Tracking system for transit cargo by road

• Extend movement of container traffic particularly for high valuecommodities (such as yarn). Concept for extending container movements within Bangladesh is important.

• Expand e-commerce opportunities more broadly for remote sector/ regions for small enterprises to reach markets

• Improve port performance through multiple measures (e.g. create greater competition among ports through flexible routings; dedicated terminals operated by private sector so that feeder vessels can operate to a fixed schedule; etc.)

Page 39: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Short term priorities (cont)

• Reduce/ eliminate need for transshipment • Simplification and equally importantly, harmonization of

documentation and procedures• Electronic communication among shippers and customs • Reform of regulations on carriage of goods by different modes (assign

clearer liabilities for tighter intermodal operations• Assignment of liability for goods carriage and harmonization across

borders

Page 40: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Long Term Needs• Investments in the road network along with increased maintenance• Strengthening and widening bridges (Bangladesh and N.E. India)• Information services (e.g.EDI); introduction of smart card system • Third party logistics providers

Page 41: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Recent Developments• Subregional Quadrangle under SAARC • Emergence of “champions” within the region -- private sector forum• Revision of the IWT protocol• India and Bangladesh have launched a direct bus service between Dhaka

and Calcutta• Transshipment for Indian cargo through Bangladesh is being debated • Rail integration (new border crossings open; Dhaka-Akhoura-Agartala)• Phulbari treaty • Pre-shipment Inspection introduced for selected imports in Bangladesh• Agreement to air flights between Dhaka and Gauhati (Private sector led)

• Bus link between Dhaka -Sylhet to Shillong/Gauhati

Page 42: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Potential/Proposals for Private SectorParticipation

• Direct (private sector operated) flights between Dhaka and Gauhati• Inland water transport vessels (sp. refinery products from Numaligarh) • Port terminals • Bonded warehouses/ ICD at strategic market centers and sea/ land ports• Cold storage warehouses/ trucks for perishables • Containers/ tractor trailers • Joint industrial ventures

– cement factories; gas cracker plants • Small enterprises - several possibilities

– horticulture, floriculture (orchids; medicinal herbs) – handicrafts– eco-tourism (cultural heritage)

• Third Party Logistics Provision

Page 43: Transport And Logistics - Forging Sub Regional Links

Institutions to Promote Private Sector Participation

• I-WIN [WBIDC, ICICI, All India PFI] • ILFS (India)• Infrastructure Investment Facilitation Center (GOB, WB,

DFID, CIDA)• Infrastructure Development Company Limited (GOB and

WB)