TRANSMISSION MASTER PLAN FOR RWANDA June 2019...28.65 5,442,254 2019 GoR 9 110kV Nyamugari-Bugesera...

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www.reg.rw TRANSMISSION MASTER PLAN FOR RWANDA June 2019

Transcript of TRANSMISSION MASTER PLAN FOR RWANDA June 2019...28.65 5,442,254 2019 GoR 9 110kV Nyamugari-Bugesera...

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    TRANSMISSION MASTER PLAN FOR RWANDA

    June 2019

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    HIGH VOLTAGE TRANSMISSION NETWORK

    PURPOSE OF TRANSMISSION PLAN▪ The function of the Transmission Network (110kV and 220kV) is to evacuate power from the Generation stations to

    the main substations in the country. The objective is to do this efficiently to minimize losses, enable reliability and

    flexibility

    ▪ To plan and design Internationally Interconnected Transmission lines

    ▪ To plan and design the network to function under contingency conditions

    ▪ To plan and design how every significant power plant must have more than one evacuation line in order to optimize

    the availability of the power plants at all conditions.

    ▪ To plan and design how existing lines can be upgraded/maintained without network interference.

    CHALLENGES WITH THE EXISTING TRANSMISSION NETWORK▪ Isolated from the Transmission Networks of the neighbouring countries.

    ▪ Many substations have only one source of supply and some of them don`t have n-1 connections.

    ▪ All power plants have only one evacuation line each which reduces the availability of the power plants during the

    failure of the evacuation line and this may result to the catastrophic circumstance of blackout.

    ▪ Voltage Drop from Ntaruka switchyard towards Rwinkwavu Substation are very high due to the small size of the

    conductor and long distance.

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    CONTENTS

    ▪ Methodology

    ▪ Planning Criteria

    ▪ Load Forecast Methodology

    ▪ Assumptions

    ▪ Network Development

    ▪ Load forecast

    ▪ Recommendations

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    Methodology1. Model the existing network using PowerFactory2. Model network with existing loads3. Do load forecast

    1. Existing network2. New Electrification3. Bulk loads

    4. Simulate existing network with future loads to determine network supply limits

    5. Model future networks6. Simulate future loads on future network7. Determine problem areas and test alternative proposals

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    PLANNING CRITERIA

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    Planning Criteria• All transmission lines in Rwanda must have n-1 supply option (supplied from at least two sources).• All Power Substations in Rwanda must have n-1 supply (at least two evacuation options).• Evacuation of Generation must be able at n-1 conditions (at least two evacuation options).• High Voltage supply and substations must be installed at all Major Cities and Industrial Parks.• All new transmission lines are constructed to allow for two circuits (allow for future growth – use same corridor and

    structures).• The transmission network will be operated at 110kV where required until the load justifies the 220kV (reduce reactive

    losses) or other reactive compensation is installed for local network conditions.• The 220kV lines used for major international load transfer will be operated on 220kV.• Distribution (15kV and 30kV) must not be on the same transformer as the 220kV network. Distribution must be done from

    the 110kV intermediate voltage network (Reliability of the 220kV network may not be compromised).• Transmission Substations must be designed and positioned in accordance with the requirements of the Distribution

    Master Plan.• All substations shall have a double HV busbar with split or double MV busbar and coupler breaker to allow operational

    flexibility (and availability) of the network.• All new substations must be designed and prepared for two transformers, even if only one is installed initially.• A minimum transformer size of 20MVA must be used for all new Distribution substations.• International Consultants shall follow the REG master plan guidelines for Transmission network development.

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    LOAD FORECAST METHODOLOGY

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    LOAD FORECAST METHODOLOGY Load Growth Calculations(Maximum Demand vs Years)• Load growth is a combination from different growth types.

    LOAD GROWTH CALCULATIONS

    1Growth on existing networks (grow to saturation)

    (a)Growth of existing consumers

    (b)Fill-in connections

    2 New Networks connections (S-Curve)

    3 Bulk loads (Step input)

    -

    500

    1,000

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    2,000

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    3,000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

    12% growth

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    • Data is 5 years old. Data is extrapolated

    with population growth before use.

    1. LOCATE POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS (LOAD)

    2. NOW WHERE THE LOAD IS (Feeder,

    Substation)

    3. SIMULATE LOAD TO IDENTIFY

    REINFORCEMENT REQUIREMENTS

    LOAD FORECAST METHODOLOGY Capture Potential Customers AND LOAD GEOGRAPHICALLY

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    ASSUMPTIONS FOR LOAD FORECAST AND PLANNING

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    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

    Growth on Existing load LOW 0.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%

    Growth on Existing load MED 0.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%

    Growth on Existing load HI 0.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%

    AssumptionsFor the distribution planning, certain assumptions must be made to calculate load forecast.

    • A target of 65% of all customers must be connected on-grid, the remaining 35% off-grid

    • The population growth is taken at 3%. That implies that the target connections are growing

    every year with 3% and after 100% electrification, the population growth must still be catered for

    to maintain the 100%.

    • The growth on existing load is divided into 3 categories for urban to rural load. This only

    represents the growth of existing networks and excludes new electrification and bulk loads.

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    Assumptions (Continued)

    • Individual households can take up to 6 years from connection date to saturation load. In most African

    conditions, new connections do not take up full capacity at the time of connection, but it saturates after

    some time. Taking this into consideration will prevent unnecessary high forecast and wrong generation

    planning.

    • The average saturation load of new connections after 6 years is 80W per household. (ADMD after

    Diversity Maximum Demand = 80W)

    Initial Load at 100% (European model)

    Initial Load saturates after 6 years (African model)

    The same connections and ADMD used in two different ways.

    2025

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    Assumptions (Continued)

    • Method of calculating potential electrification load:

    The 48/52% rule for on-grid is used on average for all feeders.

    1. Count number of households next to the feeder using GIS Functionality

    2. Due to age of Orthophoto's data, add 3% growth from 2014 = 12%

    3. Calculate 64% average on each feeder to be connected

    4. Do load forecast applying the S-Curve characteristic using PowerFactory functionality.

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    TRANSMISSION NETWORK DEVELOPMENT

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    Overview of new projects

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    List of all Transmission Projects

    List of Planned Projects/Transmission Projects 1.xlsxList of Planned Projects/Transmission Projects 1.xlsx

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    Transmission Projects with funds

    No. Project Name Components Length/Capacity Estimated Cost(USD)

    Starting Period

    Source of Funds

    1 Replacement of a 15MVA 6.6/110 Transformer No1 in Mukungwa Switchyard

    Upgrade of Mukungwa Switchyard From 15MVA to 31.5MVA

    1,750,000 2019 AFDB/RBF

    2 Installation of 110/30kV 20MVA Transformer at Nyabarongo I Switchyard

    Extension of Nyabarongo I Switchyard20MVA 1,750,000 2019 FDB/RBF

    3 Replacement of 2*15MVA 110/15kV Transformers No 1 and No2) in Gikondo Substation by 2*31.5MVA

    Upgrade of Gikondo SSFrom 2*15MVA to 2*31.5MVA

    3,500,000 2019 FDB/RBF

    4 110kV Gahanga-BugeseraConstruction of Transmission Line, Construction of Bugesera SS

    17.5 3,150,000 2019 GoR

    5 110kV Bugesera-Bugesera IP Construction of Transmission Line 24 4,780,415 2019 GoR

    6 220kV Shango-Bugesera Construction of Transmission Line 34.12 11,987,113 2019 AFDB and ADF

    7 220kV Bugesera-RwabusoroConstruction of Transmission Line , Construction of Rwabusoro SS

    39.78 29,160,616 2019 GoR

    8 110kV Mukungwa-NyabihuConstruction of Transmission Line ,Construction of Nyabihu SS, Construction of Nyabihu Line bay at Mukungwa SS

    28.65 5,442,254 2019 GoR

    9 110kV Nyamugari-BugeseraConstruction of Transmission Line , Construction of Nyamugari SS 81.25 28,544,928 2019

    AFDB and ADF for Transmission Line;GoR for Nyamugari SS

    10220kV Symbion Cut-in, Cut-out

    Construction of Transmission Line , Construction of Symbion Switchyard

    10.5 19,890,000 2019 GoR

    11220kV Mamba-Rwabusoro

    Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Mamba Switchyard

    21.52 14,822,213 2019 GoR

    12220kV Rusumo-Nyamugari

    Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Rusumo Switchyard

    2.5 878,305 2019 AFDB and ADF

    13220kV Bwishyura-Kigoma-Rwabusoro

    Construction of Transmission Line , Construction of Bwishyura SS, Upgrade of Kigoma SS

    74 14,282,392 2019 GoR

    14 220kV Kigoma-Gisagara-Burundi BorderConstruction of Transmission Line , Construction of Gisagara SS

    64 19,601,009 2020 KFW

    17 New Gasogi Substation Construction of new Gasogi Substation 2 x 15MVA 23,542,130 2020 JAIKA

    15 110kV Nyabarongo II-RulindoConstruction of Transmission Line, Construction of Nyabarongo II Switcyard 16.65 14,995,200 2024 GoR

    16 220kV Bwishyura-Kamanyola-Rusizi III Construction of Transmission Line, Consctruction of Kamanyola SS,Consctruction of Rusizi III Switcyard

    93 30,353,201 2024 EU

    Total 228,429,777

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    Planned Transmission Projects N0. Project Name Components Length/Capacity Estimated

    Cost(USD)Starting Period

    Financial aspects

    1 110kV Nyabarongo I-Nyabihu Construction of Transmission Line 46 14,073,091 2020 Needs to be financed

    2 Construction of Bugesera Industrial Park Substation

    110/30kV substation 2 x 20MVA 9,000,000 2020 Needs to be financed

    3 110kVGasogi-Bugesera Construction of Transmission Line 17.8 3,382,000 2020 Needs to be financed

    4 110kV Nyamugari-Rwinkwavu Construction of Transmission Line 57.2 10,868,000 2020 Needs to be financed

    5 220kV Mamba-Gisagara Construction of Transmission Line 21 4,620,000 2020 Needs to be financed

    6 Installation of 220/110kV Transformer at Rubavu SS

    Upgrade of Rubavu SS 75/93.8MVA 2,057,819 2020 Planned in future

    7 110kV Nyabihu-Rubavu Construction of Transmission Line 40 7,200,000 2021 Needs to be financed

    8 110kV Musanze Substation cutt-in cutt-out

    Construction of Transmission Line, Constructiomn of Musanze SS

    0.596 2X20MVA 9,113,240 2021 Planned in future

    9 110kV Rukarara - Huye -Gisagara

    Construction of Transmission Line, Extension of Rukarara SS, Construct Huye substation

    40.71 19,327,800 2022 Needs to be financed

    10 110kV Rwabusoro-Bugesera IP

    Construction of Transmission Line 39 7,020,000 2022 Needs to be financed

    11 Installation of 220/110kV Transformer at Gisagara SS

    Upgrade of Gisagara SS 75/93.8MVA 2,057,819.12 2022 Planned in future

    12 110kV Kirehe cutt-in cutt-out Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Kirehe SS

    2 9,380,000 2023 Planned in future

    13 110 Nyabarongo I-Muhanga and Muhanga Substation

    Construction of Transmission Line, Muhanga 110/30kV SS

    20.35 8,866,500 2023 Planned in future

    14 Replacement of 2*16.5MVA 6.6/110 Transformers at Nyabarongo I Switchyard

    Upgrade of Nyabarongo I Switchyard

    From 16.5MVA to 31.5MVA

    3,500,000 2024 Planned in future

    15 Installation of 220/110kV Transformer at Bugesera SS

    Upgrade of Bugesera SS 75/93.8MVA 2,057,819 2025 Planned in future

    16 110kV Gicumbi-Nyagatare Construction of Transmission Line 43 8,113,000 2025 Planned in future

    17 110kV Gicumbi cutt-in cutt-out

    Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Gucumbi SS

    1.54 9,292,600 2025 Planned in future

    18 110kV Kigoma-Muhanga Construction of Transmission Line, COnstruction of Muhanga SS

    17.59 12,342,100 2025 Planned in future

    19 110kV Nyabarongo II-Shango Construction of Transmission Line 26.55 23,732,636.54 2026 Needs to be financed

    20 110kV Nyagatare-Gabiro Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Nyagatare SS

    23.87 4,535,300 2026 Planned in future

    Total 170,539,725

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    SHORT TERM NETWORK CONFIGURATION

    220kV Lines:Mamba - RwabusoroRusumo-NyamugariMamba-GisagaraShango- Mirama220/110kV Transformations:Rwabusoro 220/110kV 93.8MVARubavu 220/110kV 93.8MVABwishura 220/110kV 93.8MVAShango 220/110kV 93.8MVANyamugari 220/110kV 93.8MVAKigoma 220/110kV 93.8MVA

    220kV Line to be operated on 110kVBwishyura-Rubavu-ShangoRwabusoro-BugeseraNyamugari-Bugesera-Shango

    Note – Gisagara has no 220/110kV Trf. This must be installed before upgrade to 220kV

    PREVIEW OF SHORT TERM NETWORK CONFIGURATION

    SHORT TERM NETWORK CONFIGURATION

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    Existing Network (2019)Existing Transmission Network is made by the following

    Transmission Lines:

    ➢ 220kV Bwishyura-Rubavu-Shango which is currently

    operating under 110kV.

    ➢ 110kV MururuII-Ntendezi

    ➢ Ntendezi-Karongi

    ➢ Ntendezi-Bugarama

    ➢ Ntendezi-Kibogora

    ➢ Gishoma Peat to Power-Bugarama

    ➢ Karongi-Kilinda

    ➢ Nyabarongo I HPP-Kilinda

    ➢ Rukarara-Kilinda

    ➢ Kilinda-Kigoma

    ➢ Kigoma-Mount Kigali

    ➢ Kigoma-Gikondo

    ➢ Gikondo-Jabana SS

    ➢ Jabana I TPP-Jabana SS

    ➢ Jabana II TPP-Jabana SS

    ➢ Ntaruka HPP-Mukungwa I HPP

    ➢ Mukungwa I HPP-Gifurwe

    ➢ Mukungwa I HPP-Rulindo

    ➢ Rulindo-Jabana SS

    ➢ Jabna SS-Birembo

    ➢ Birembo-Gasogi

    ➢ Birembo-Musha

    ➢ Musha-Kabarondo

    ➢ Kabarondo-Rwinkwavu

    ➢ Rulindo-Gabiro-Musha

    ➢ Jabana-Nzove-Mount Kigali-Gahanga

    ➢ Ramba-Ndera

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    Order Project Name Components Length/Capacity Estimated Cost(USD)

    Starting Period

    Source of Funds

    1 Replacement of a 15MVA 6.6/110 Transformer No1 in Mukungwa Switchyard

    Upgrade of Mukungwa Switchyard From 15MVA to 31.5MVA

    1750000 2019AFDB/RBF

    2 Installation of 110/30kV 20MVA Transformer at Nyabarongo I Switchyard

    Extension of Nyabarongo I Switchyard

    20MVA 1750000 2019FDB/RBF

    3 Replacement of 2*15MVA 110/15kV Transformers No 1 and No2) in GikondoSubstation by 2*31.5MVA

    Upgrade of Gikondo SS From 2*15MVA to 2*31.5MVA

    3,500,000 2019FDB/RBF

    17 Construction of New Gasogi SS Construction of New Gasogi SS 2*15MVA 23,542,130 2019 JAICA

    4 110kV Gahanga-BugeseraConstruction of Transmission Line

    17.5 3,150,000 2019 GoRConstruction of Bugesera SS

    5 110kV Bugesera-Bugesera IPConstruction of Transmission Line 24 4,780,415.35

    2019GoR

    Construction of Bugesera IP SS 1*20MVA 4,500,000 AFDB6 110kV Shango-Bugesera Construction of Transmission Line 34.12 11,987,113.27 2019 AFDB and ADF

    7 110kV Bugesera-RwabusoroConstruction of Transmission Line

    39.78 29,160,615.63 2019 GoRConstruction of Rwabusoro SS

    8 110kV Mukungwa-Nyabihu

    Construction of Transmission Line

    28.65 5,442,254 2019 GoRConstruction of Nyabihu SSConstruction of Nyabihu Line bay at Mukungwa SS

    9 110kV Nyamugari-BugeseraConstruction of Transmission Line

    81.25 28,544,928.29 2019AFDB and ADF for Transmission Line;GoR for

    Nyamugari SSConstruction of Nyamugari SS

    10 220kV Symbion Cut-in, Cut-outConstruction of Transmission Line

    10.5 19,890,000 2019 GoRConstruction of Symbion Switchyard

    11 220kV Mamba-RwabusoroConstruction of Transmission Line

    21.52 14,822,213.37 2019 GoRConstruction of Mamba Switchyard

    12 220kV Rusumo-NyamugariConstruction of Transmission Line

    2.5 878,305.48 2019 AFDB and ADFConstruction of Rusumo Switchyard

    13 220kV Bwishyura-Kigoma-RwabusoroConstruction of Transmission Line

    74 14,282,392 2019 GoRConstruction of Bwishyura SSUpgrade of Kigoma SS

    14 220kV Kigoma-Gisagara-Burundi BorderConstruction of Transmission Line

    64 19,601,008.70 2019 KFWConstruction of Gisagara SS

    Total 187,581,376.09

    2019 Ongoing Transmission Projects

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    2020 Projects

    N0. Project Name Components Length/ Capacity

    Estimated Cost(USD)

    1 110kV Nyabarongo I-Nyabihu

    Construction of Transmission Line

    46 14,073,091

    2 Construction of Bugesera Industrial Park Substation

    110/30kV substation 2 x 20MVA 9,000,000

    3 110kVGasogi-Bugesera

    Construction of Transmission Line

    17.8 3,382,000

    5 110kV Nyamugari-Rwinkwavu

    Construction of Transmission Line

    57.2 10,868,000

    6 220kV Mamba-Gisagara

    Construction of Transmission Line

    21 4,620,000

    7

    Installation of 220/110kV Transformer at Rubavu SS

    Upgrade of Rubavu SS

    75/93.8MVA

    2,057,819

    8220kV Kigoma-Gisagara-Burundi Border

    Construction of Transmission Line , Construction of Gisagara SS

    64 19,601,009

    8New Gasogi Substation

    Construction of new Gasogi Substation

    2 x 15MVA 23,542,130

    TOTAL 87,144,049

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    N0. Project Name Components Length/ Capacity

    Estimated Cost(USD)

    1110kV Nyabihu-Rubavu Construction of Transmission Line 40 7,200,000

    2

    110kV Musanze Substation cutt-in cutt-out

    Construction of Transmission Line, Constructiomn of Musanze SS

    0.596 2x20MVA

    9,113,240

    TOTAL 16,313,240

    2021 Projects

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    N0. Project Name Components Length/ Capacity

    Estimated Cost(USD)

    1

    110kV Rukarara -Huye - Gisagara

    Construction of Transmission Line, Extension of Rukarara SS, Construct Huye substation

    40.71 19,327,800

    2

    110kV Rwabusoro-Bugesera IP

    Construction of Transmission Line 39 7,020,000

    3

    Installation of 220/110kV Transformer at Gisagara SS

    Upgrade of Gisagara SS 75/93.8MVA 2,057,819

    TOTAL 28,405,619

    2022 Projects

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    2023 Projects

    N0. Project Name Components Length/ Capacity

    Estimated Cost(USD)

    11110kV Kirehe cutt-in cutt-out

    Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Kirehe SS

    2 9,380,000

    12110 Nyabarongo I-Muhanga and Muhanga Substation

    Construction of Transmission Line, Muhanga 110/30kV SS

    20.35 8,866,500

    TOTAL 18,246,500

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    2024 ProjectsN0. Project Name Components Length/

    CapacityEstimated Cost(USD)

    1

    110kV Nyabarongo II-Rulindo

    Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Nyabarongo II Switcyard

    16.65 14,995,200

    2

    Replacement of 2*16.5MVA 6.6/110 Transformers at Nyabarongo I Switchyard

    Upgrade of Nyabarongo I Switchyard

    From 16.5MVA

    to 31.5MVA

    3,500,000

    3

    220kV Bwishyura-Kamanyola-Rusizi III

    Construction of Transmission Line, Consctruction of Kamanyola SS,Consctruction of Rusizi III Switcyard

    93 30,353,201

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    2025 Projects

    N0. Project Name Components Length/ Capacity

    Estimated Cost(USD)

    1Installation of 220/110kV Transformer at Bugesera SS

    Upgrade of Bugesera SS 75/93.8MVA

    2,057,819

    2110kV Gicumbi-Nyagatare Construction of Transmission Line 43 8,113,000

    3

    110kV Gicumbi cutt-in cutt-out Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Gucumbi SS

    1.54 9,292,600

    4

    110kV Kigoma-Muhanga Construction of Transmission Line, COnstruction of Muhanga SS

    17.59 12,342,100

    TOTAL 31,805,519

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    2026 Projects

    N0. Project Name Components Length/ Capacity

    Estimated Cost(USD)

    1110kV Nyabarongo II-Shango

    Construction of Transmission Line

    26.55 23,732,637

    2

    110kV Nyagatare-Gabiro

    Construction of Transmission Line, Construction of Nyagatare SS

    23.87 4,535,300

    TOTAL 28,267,937

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    No ongoing project planned in this

    year, but according to the

    development of the Transmission

    Master Plan, some new projects may

    be started in this year even after.

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    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

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    300.0

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

    Rwanda Grid Load Forecast (MW) after Modelling and Simulation with Power Factory

    Year 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030Peak demand (MW) 173.9 188.2 205.1 218.0 236.5 249.5 257.2 264.9 272.5 276.6 280.7 282.7

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    RECOMMENDATIONS

    ➢ The size of 110kV Ntaruka-Mukungwa-Rulindo-Jabana-Birembo-Gasogi-Musha-Kabarondo-Rwinkwavumust be upgraded from ACSR 157/25 to 240/40 to reduce voltage drop.

    A second evacuation route for Hakan Peat Power Station to Gisagara is recommended.➢ Since Gisagara Substation will have a dual transformer(220-110/30 i.e 220/30kV or 110/30kV), a new

    220/110kV Transformer must be installed before the completion of 110kV Rukarara-Huye-Gisagara➢ 220/110kV Transformers must be installed at Rubavu and Bugesera Substations before upgrading Rwanda

    Transmission Network to 220kV➢ A SVC must be installed in 2020 to help stabilize the network from reactive power.➢ All transmission lines must be installed as per these guidelines to ensure efficient power distribution and

    reliability for the Rwanda network.

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    Thank You