Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making
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Transcript of Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making
Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making
THE SAHEL & WEST AFRICA WEEK
Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
Transformations of the food economy and implications for policy making
Current situation and implications for the future
Philipp Heinrigs
Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
3 The regional opportunities
4 Outlook
2 Food: The largest private sector
1 Changing demand
17 %
37 %
2 %
16 %
27 %
Fruits & Vegetables Meat & Fish Dairy Cereals Others
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Consumers’ diversifying consumption
17 %
26 %
4 % 22 %
31 %
Urban Rural
Processed foods39 %
Unprocessed foods30 %
Cereals27 %
Beverages4 %
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Demand for convenience
Urban
36%
Rural
41%
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
3 The regional opportunities
4 Outlook
1 Changing demand
2 Food: The largest private sector
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Size of the food economy
100 %c
178 USD billion
(2010)
36% of regional GDP
100 %32 USD billion
(2010)
GDP Ghana
The region’s largest private sector
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Food imports = 7%…
Imports7 %
Domestic production93 %
178 USD billion
(2010)
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Increasingly non agricultural
Non agricultural40 %
Agriculture60 %
178 USD billion
(2010)
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
4 Outlook
1 Changing demand
2 Food: The largest private sector
3 The regional opportunities
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Huge regional opportunities
The food sector is 9x bigger than the export sector
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Concentrations and interdependences
Traded on markets
126 USD billion
(2010)
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
1 Changing demand
2 Food: The largest private sector
3 The regional opportunities
4 Outlook
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Demand for post-harvest activities to grow fastest
Forecasted demand growth in urban areas (income elasticities)
Source: Hollinger and Staatz (2015)
High food pricesClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
5000
50
100
150
200
250IC
P Fo
od p
rice
leve
l ind
ex
GDP per capita2,000 8,000 32,000 128,000
WorldAfricaAsia & PacificWest Africa
Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making
THE SAHEL & WEST AFRICA WEEK
Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
Thematic sessionClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
ALH. ALI MADUGU, mni Managing director
Dala Foods Ltd, Kano Vice-president
Manufacturers’ association of Nigeria
Transformations in the food economy and implications for policy making
THE SAHEL & WEST AFRICA WEEK
Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
Transformations of the food economy and implications for policy making
Implications for policy design
Ousman Tall
Abuja, Nigeria, 15 December 2016
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
33 %
28 %
39 %
Farm-level production Marketing & processing
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Increase level and mix of investment
Nigeria
35 %
6 %
59 %
Senegal
NAIP budget allocation
33 %
28 %
39 %
Farm-level production Marketing & processing
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Increase level and mix of investment
Nigeria
35 %
6 %
59 %
Senegal
• Policy and budget allocation should change to reflect changes in the food economy
• Stronger emphasis on post-harvest segments of the food value chains
• Processing, packaging, logistics and marketing will experience the fastest growth
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Increase the level of investment
CAADP target of 10%
At farm level:
• boost long-term productivity: infrastructure, technology development, farmer support services
• target high demand growth products: fruit & vegetables, meat & fish, dairy
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Increase policy co-ordination
Move beyond the traditional confines of agricultural ministries
• Multi-sectoral: Agriculture, Trade, Transport, Energy, Industry, Health
• Longer value chains, MORE actors: Farmers, traders, processors, consumers
• Level of government: ECOWAS/UEMOA, national, local
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Improve policy co-ordination
The food sector is 9x bigger than the export sector
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Improve policy co-ordination
Match export crop value chains structuring (cocoa, rubber, cotton)
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Connect producers and consumers
67% of demand is concentrated in urban markets
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Connect producers and consumers
Meeting demand is about connecting producers and consumers
• Movement of goods and services
• Transport, storage and marketing infrastructure
• Input markets and support services in rural areas
• Grades and standards
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Deepen regional integration
Greater regional integration is the key to scale-up opportunities
• Connect regional producers to regional consumers
• Increase scale economies in production and policy
• Improve the region’s international competitiveness
• Develop regionally co-ordinated systems for grades and standards, for agricultural research and technology development
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat
The transforming food system requires profoundly different set of skills AT ALL LEVELS of the systems
Develop new skills and techniques
ClubSAHEL ANDWEST AFRICA
Secretariat Develop new skills and techniques
The transforming food system requires profoundly different set of skills AT ALL LEVELS of the systems University of Ghana - BSc Food Science curriculum
Fundamentals of Food Science and Technology Human Nutrition
Structure and Function of Biomolecules Organic Chemistry
General Microbiology Analytical Chemistry
Unit Operations in Food Processing Nutritional Physiology
History of Nutrition and Concepts in Nutrition Cell Biology
Enzymology Food Chemistry Food Microbiology and Safety
Beverage and Sugar Processing Technology Nutrients and their Metabolism
Thermal Processing of Foods Post-harvest Science and Technology