Traders September 2015
Transcript of Traders September 2015
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Interview: J. C. Parets – How I Trade False Signals P. 74
Your Personal Trading Coach
September 2015 | www.traders-mag.co.uk
H o w t o G e t
a J o b i n
P r o p T r a d i n g
P. 1 4
The Best ofBoth WorldsTrading for Short Term &
Longer Term Gains P. 46
Narrow RangeBreakoutThe Silence Prior
to the Big Move P. 50
The Stop-Loss Controversy P. 24Do You Need Life Insurance in the Markets?
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EDITORIAL
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www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015
» It is true, trading is par ticularly about making money. Nevertheless I am convinced
that t here is more to it than that. Sometimes, it can even turn out to be a hindrance
seeing your trading account in terms of real money. The reason for that are our
emotions, which can keep us from taking the right actions . But what else is trading
about?
In the long run, it is hard to endure the tough lessons of trading only being motivated
by money, because there will always be difficult times. In order to invest necessar y
time and energy to keep going, it takes something else.
I am talking about the fascination of trading. The sophisticated challenge of
surviving and profiting in the markets. The curiosity of finding out how to be
successful in the stock market and of course, enjoying adapting to the constantly
changing conditions that the market presents.
It is just like in any other job. Is your work only about earning money, or do you really
enjoy it and see a purpose in what you do? Over the years one will feel apathetic if
the only moti vation is earning money. A nd this is not a t rivial problem, since we will
be spending a decent amount of our lifetime doing this work .
But there is even more that trading is about: personal development. With every
win or loss on your trading journey, you will make progress. The stock market is
an instrument that will make you humble over time. It is an instrument that helps us
to appreciate the things we have other than our career. Above all, life is precious,and because in the end, it is not the money that makes us happy. It is the people,
experiences and memories. Whereas money is a means to an end, we should not
let it control us.
“The stock market is man’s invention that has humbled him the most.” (Alan Shaw) «
Good Trading,
What Trading is About (Apart From Money)
Marko GraenitzDeputy Editor-in-chief
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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24
TABLE OF CONTENTS
September 2015
14
NewsFind the latest notes and
announcements from around the world
of trading in our “News“ section.
INSIGHTS
COVER STORY
34 New Products The Latest Trading Technology
36 Web Review www.optionslam.com
40 Book Review Frontier
42 App Review CBOE Mobile
TOOLS
12 TRADERS´ Talk We talked to Chris Weaver, CEO of My Trading Zone, about
his idea of teaching others how to coach traders, and about
coaching traders in general.
14 How to Get a Job in Proprietary Trading Trader Rayner Teo discusses the traits you need to get a foot
in the door at a prop trading firm.
18 Portfolio MetricsDirk Vandycke explains why looking at returns is a very bad
idea when it comes to estimating one’s long term potential in
financial markets.
22 Trading Seasonalities Thomas Bopp trades coffee shares and the DAX.
24 The Stop-loss Controversy
A stop is an order that is triggered automatically when theprice reaches a preset adverse level. However, it is not a
perfect risk control tool. Azeez Mustapha discusses the
controversy surrounding this enigmatic instrument.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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74
Publisher
Lothar Albert
Subscription Service
www.tradersonline-mag.com/subscribe;
Tel: +49 (0) 931 45226-15
Address of Editorial
and Advertising Department
TRADERS´ media GmbH
Barbarastrasse 31a
97074 Wuerzburg, Germany
Contact:
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +49 (0) 931 45226-17
Editor-in-ChiefLothar Albert
Editors
Katharina Boetsch, Leanne Chesterman,
Prof. Dr. Guenther Dahlmann-Resing,
Marko Graenitz, Carmen Hellmann,
Sandra Kahle, Simone Kirksey, Inessa Liss,
Rodman Moore, Najia Rasuli, Stefan Rauch,
Katja Reinhardt, Markus Schneider, Karin Seidl,
Tina Wagemann, Christine Weissenberger
Articles
Thomas Bopp, Richard Chignell, Alvaro Echeverri,
Alan Ellman, Azeez Mustapha, Dave Landry,
David Pieper, Rayner Teo, Dan Valcu, Dirk Vandycke,Stu Whisson
Pictures© Africa Studio, Svyatoslav Lypynsky y, md3d, psdesign1, Brian
Jackson, Matej Kastelic, Andrew Ostrovsky, Andrew Bayda,
IMaster, Massimo Cavallo, lassedesignen, Bjoern Wylezich, lev
dolgachov, Wrangler, DenisNata, Stefan Yang/ www.fotolia.com,
Sandra Binder
Price data
www.captimizer.de; www.esignal.com;
www.metaquotes.net; www.tradesignalonline.com;
www.tradestation.com
ISSN
1612-9423
Distributor / Retail:
DPV GmbH, www.dpv.de , [email protected]
Disclosure
The information in TRADERS´ is intended for
educational purposes only. It is not meant to
recommend, promote or in any way imply the
effectiveness of any trading system, strategy or
approach. Traders are advised to do their own
research and testing to determine the validity
of a trading idea. Trading and investing carry
a high level of risk. Past performance does notguarantee future results.
© 2015 TRADERS´ media GmbH,Barbarastrasse 31a, 97074 Wuerzburg, Germany
BASICS
STRATEGIES
60 Performance Analytics Regarding the ever more complex financial data analysis, Dan
Valcu takes a look at Open-source R-packages.
64 The Physical Game Stu Whisson explains how to develop your trading with the
help of physical fitness.
66 Why Choose the Short Term? Alvaro Echeverri shows why the short term time frame offers
the most trading opportunities.
46 The Best of Both WorldsDave Landry wants to capture both short term and
longer term gains.
50 Narrow Range Breakout David Pieper teaches you what is important and how to
develop a trading strategy based on below-average prices.
54 Generate Monthly Cash Flow by Selling Stock Options In this article Alan Ellman discusses cash-secured puts..
70 The Pro‘s Process – Larry Tentarelli
74 J. C. Parets – How I Trade False Signals J. C. Parets is the founder and president of Eagle Bay
Capital, LLC. He earned the Chartered Market Technician
designation (CMT) and is the New York City Chapter
Chair of the Market Technicians Association (MTA). Heis a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Business News
Network and in the Wall Street Journal.
PEOPLE
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INSIGHTS – NEWS
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www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015
INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONFERENCE IN TOKYO
The International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA)
will hold its 28th annual conference from 2nd to 4th
October 2015 in Tokyo, Japan, hosted by the Nippon
Technical Analysts Association (NTAA). The IFTA annual
conference is an event for technical analysts, traders, fund
managers, asset allocators, and investors. Presentations,
debates, and panel discussions for this year’s conference
will include many different lectures and a panel discussion
on how technical analysis is being used at leading
investment management organisations around the world.
More events and schedule details can be found at the
website.
Source: www.ifta.org
FIBONACCI EXTENSION S&P 500
The high of the S&P 500 almost exactly hit
the 161.8 per cent Fibonacci extension. The
initial range for the extension was from
the low of 2009 to the old high of 2007.
Source: www.tradesignalonline.com
OIL PRICES AT NEW 6.5 YEAR LOWS
Oil prices have fallen to a fresh 6.5 year low in
August, amid continued worries of high global oil
supply while investors expect the demand fromChina to remain weak due to its growth slowdown.
Brent crude has declined below $45 per barrel, while
WTI crude has come down below $40.
Source: www.ibtimes.co.uk
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INSIGHTS – NEWS
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STOCK-PICKING CHALLENGE
VectorVest’s StockPickingChallenge.com is a new site for market enthusiasts with weekly and monthly cash prizes
from $100 to $5,000. No purchase or subscription is required. StockPickingChallenge.com offers beginners and
experts the opportunity to compete for weekly and monthly cash prizes by simply entering five stock picks. The top
five entrants in the weekly competition receive Visa Reward Cards from $100 to $500, based on the performance of
their five stock picks. Weekly entrants are entered into the monthly contest for a chance at $5,000. There is no limit to
how many times entrants can win. Included are a streaming market newsfeed, 15-minute delayed quotes on indexesand stocks, the Stock Picking Blog, Lightning Video Lessons, and free Stock Analysis Reports.
Source: www.StockPickingChallenge.com
CFD SPOOFERS FINED OVER £7 MILLION BY UK COURT
A UK court ruled that the Financial Conduct Authority
(FCA) is entitled to permanent injunctions and penalties
totalling £7,570,000 against three Hungarian traders and a
Swiss investment firm for unfair trading practices.
The technique consisted of entering and trading of
orders in relation to shares traded on the London Stock
Exchange in such a way as to create a false or misleading
impression as to the supply and demand for those shares,
enabling them to trade those shares at an artificial price.
The traders typically used a mixture of large and small
orders entered on one side of the LSE’s order book to
create a false impression of supply or demand in a
particular stock. These orders were not intended to be
traded. The large orders were carefully placed at prices
close enough to the best bid or offer prevailing on the
LSE at the time to give a false impression of supply and
demand, but far away enough to minimize the risk that
they would be traded.
The small share orders (typically around 100 shares) were
used to improve the best bid or offer price. As the price
improved, further large orders were strategically placed at
prices close to the new best bid or offer in order to support
the improved price. In this way the traders systematicallysought to manipulate the share price up and down. These
orders had the effect of moving the share price as the
market adjusted to the apparent shift in the balance of
supply and demand. Once the price had been moved to
an advantageous level, they initiated a trade on the other
side of the order book in order to profit from the price
movement that they had created. These trades took place
either on the LSE or on a competing venue in order to take
advantage of available liquidity.
The large “layered” orders, which were never intended
to trade and which were used to stimulate the price
movement of the relevant shares, were then cancelled
and the process would start over again, typically aimed at
moving the share price in the opposite direction. In this
way the actions consistently resulted in buying shares at
lower prices and selling shares at higher prices than would
have been the case had the strategy not been employed.
The traders accessed the relevant trading platforms via
Direct Market Access (DMA) brokers. DMA allows clients
direct access to exchanges and other trading platforms.
They did not trade directly in shares but used a derivative
instrument called a Contract for Difference (CFD), the price
of which precisely matches the price of the underlying share.
Source: www.financemagnates.com, written by Avi Mizrahi
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INSIGHTS – NEWS
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HIGH FREQUENCY TRADING AND MARKET SPIKES
HFT is typically 50 per cent of overall volume, but they have
to walk away in a heightened volume event such as on
24th August. This dramatically reduces liquidity. Hightened
volatility was mainly unwinding of hedges, not panic.
Anyone who actually trades knows that this precisely what
happens every time there is a spike in market volatility:
HFTs simply walk away leading to the dreaded “HFT
STOP” moment, creating a feedback loop of even less
liquidity, and even more volatility, until circuit breakers
are finally hit or asset prices hit limits. On 24th August,
for the first time in history, not only the S&P 500, but the
Nasdaq and the Dow Jones all hit their particular “limit
down” triggers. HFT’s had an amazingly profitable day because as a result of the total chaos, they were able to frontrun
block orders from a mile away and as a result of soarking bid/ask spreads, raking in millions by simply capitalising on the
chaos it and its peers have created.
Source: www.zerohedge.com
NOTHING BUT HOT AIR?
As the chart on the left shows, it seems as if almost all
the gains of the stock market took place after some sort
of Quantitative Easing was announced. That said, we
may see tough times soon in case the era of QE finally
comes to an end, and monetary policy begins to tighten.Source: Charlie Bitello, Stockcharts
DOW JONES IN TIGHTEST RANGE
EVER JUST BEFORE CRASH
A few days short of the crash, on 18th August Ryan Detrick
posted a fascinating statistic. Until that point in time (morethan half into the year) the Dow traded in just a 6.44 per cent
range since January. Then, in the crash on 24th August, it
fell 1089 points at the lows, largest 1-day decline ever.
Source: Ryan Detrick, FactSet. Stockcharts
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BROKERS‘ CORNER
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Saxo Bank announced the appointment of Søren Kyhl as Chief
Operating Officer (COO) and member of the Management Board
effective from 1st January 2016. His appointment will further
strengthen the organisation and streamline the bank’s digital and
operational value chain. In this newly created role, Søren Kyhl will
assume responsibility for daily operations and execution including
overseeing the bank’s digital experience, marketing, data science
and Saxo Privatbank. He joins Saxo Bank with significant senior
experience most recently as Head of Transaction Banking and COO
in C&I (Corporates and Institutions) at Danske Bank. During his
13-year career at Danske Bank Kyhl also served as co-head
and global head of sales of Danske Markets and global head of
research, quant and business development. Søren Kyhl, who holds
a PhD in economics from University of Copenhagen, brings to the
role significant expertise and a strong track record of performance,
which together with his unique financial sector experience will
further strengthen Saxo Bank’s focus on its core business.
Source: www.saxobank.com
In the first half of 2015, Swissquote increased net revenues by 5.2
per cent year-on-year to CHF 74 million. Despite this growth, pre-
tax profit decreased by 11.1 per cent to CHF 11.7 million, due largely
to higher marketing costs. Showing a loss of CHF 10.6 million,
Swqissquote’s current half-year report is the first not to present a
net profit. This loss is attributable to the extraordinary provision of
CHF 25 million (announced in January) created to cover the negative
balances incurred by clients as a result of the Swiss National Bank
decision to remove the floor against the Euro. Net new monies
increased by 27.1 per cent year-on-year to CHF 580.2 million.
Source: www.swissquote.ch
IG Group has officially launched its Dubai office. This marks
the second regulatory license received by the company in a
new jurisdiction within a year after the broker obtained a Swiss
banking license last September. Commenting on the opening
of IG’s Group’s Dubai office at the Al Fatan Currency House, the
Interim CEO of IG Group, Peter Hetherington, said, “Dubai is a
thriving hub for commerce and trade and given its geographic
location, investors are in the perfect position to access a varietyof markets in real time using our tried and tested online platform.”.
Source: www.financemagnates.com
GAIN Capital limits omnibus accounts for institutional clients.
The company will scrap the Dealbook 360 platform, while
supporting institutional white labels via City Index’s Advantage
Trader. After completing a string of acquisitions in the retail
space over the past few years, GAIN Capital is poised to
consolidate its institutional foreign exchange business and to
calibrate its partnerships to claim greater visibility and exposure.
The NYSE-listed brokerage envisions a limited role for the
omnibus accounts it is operating on its platform, where trades
are facilitated for other brokers’ clients, such as Ameritrade and
the German headquartered FXFlat.
Source: www.financemagnates.com
Interactive Brokers has revealed its volumes for the month
ending August 2015, showing a higher performance in a few
notable metrics compared with July but overall mixed results.
For the month ending August 2015, the number of Daily
Average Revenue Trades (DARTs) were reported at 652,000,
corresponding to a jump of 13 per cent from July 2015 and 49
per cent higher from August 2014. These gains were partly pared
by the equity balance in customers accounts totaled just $62.9
billion in August 2015, which represents a decline of four per
cent from $65.8 billion in July 2015. As is the case with most
of its business however, 2015 has been a more fruitful year for
Interactive Brokers, with equity balance rising 13 per cent from
August 2014.
Source: www.financemagnates.com
Shares of Plus500 will be delisted from the London Stock
Exchange’s Alternative Investments Market (AIM) after the
conclusion of the merger deal with Playtech. Both companies
have recently reported their earnings for the second quarter of
2015. The brokerage reported revenues higher by 20 per cent
as profit declined 25 per cent. Playtech expects to conclude
the merger with Plus500 not earlier than September according
to its earnings report. After the conclusion of the deal the
owner of the company will be a subsidiary established by the
gaming company under the name Brighttech. The merger is still
pending the formal approval from the U.K. Financial ConductAuthority (FCA).
Source: www.financemagnates.com
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INSIGHTS – TRADERS´ TALK
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www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015
Chris Weaver
CEO of My Trading Zone
TRADERS´ Talk
We talked to Chris Weaver, CEO of My Trading Zone, about his idea of
teaching others how to coach traders and about coaching traders in general.
Coaching Is about Listening
» TRADERS´: Your idea of teaching someone how to coach
other traders is new – what is your motivation behind
My Trading Zone?
Weaver: Coaching is about listening. A lot of trading
coaches are very keen to demonstrate their expertise in
an attempt to impress the coaching candidate enough
that they will want to buy more coaching. On the surface
this makes sense, but in reality it does not work. Clients
normally have a very strong idea of what they actuallywant to learn or get out of a coaching session. It is critical
that the coach identifies what the candidate would like
to learn and address it during the session. The candidate
finds value in the session and is more likely to buy more
coaching.
TRADERS´: What is the most important thing
when you want to be a coach in the financial market?
Weaver: Online infrastructure and product strategy. We
are very big on the sales funnel which is the process of
taking a client who is unknown to your product or brand
and moving them all the way up to a premium customer.How your trading and coaching products are displayed
and accessed are directly related to the success of your
business.
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INSIGHTS – TRADERS´ TALK
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TRADERS´: Are there common mistakes
a coach should avoid?
Weaver: Do not talk too much and do not assume that you
know what the candidate wants to learn. I am stressing
this point as I feel it is such a common error that trading
coaches make. We suggest having a very thorough fact
finding document filled in by the client before the series
of coaching sessions begin. This is a great way to get to
know your customer and portrays a very professional
image.
TRADERS´: What do you think about the coaching market?
Is there a backlog of demand? What is a trader looking for
when he/she is interested in coaching courses?
Weaver: I believe there is a strong demand for quality
coaching with well thought out and professionally
presented products. More and more retail traders are
coming to the market every day and they are interested
in learning. There are plenty of amateurs out there but I
believe they will be forced to either increase the overall
quality of their offering or exit the market.
TRADERS´: So, what can My Trading Zone offer?
Are there special products?
Weaver: My Trading Zone is an online resource centre for
both private trading coaches and larger trading education
providers. We provide websites for individuals and
organisations who would like to run their own trading
education businesses. We also offer custom and/or white
labelled courses and presentations for trading education
companies, as well as free initial consultations and product
demonstrations to anyone interested in our services.
TRADERS´: Webinars are now a common thing. What do you
prefer – an online coaching or a personal coaching?
Weaver: I prefer convenience and comfort. Whichever is
best for the client and the coach to be productive makes
sense to me. They can both work extremely well.
TRADERS´: What can we expect from the coaching market
in the future?
Weaver: I believe that the “cream will rise to the top”.
As I stated earlier, the amateur coaches and trading
organisations who are not properly structuring their
marketing, product offering and presentation will be
forced out by those who are. I think there will be some real
quality coaching companies that seize the opportunity
over the next few years and generate heavy profits. «
I believe there is a strong demand for quality coaching
with well thought out and professionally presented products.
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INSIGHTS
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Critical Traits to Possess in Order to Make it
How to Get a Job
in Proprietary Trading
Trader Rayner Teo discusses the traits you need in order to land a job at a prop firm. In addition to a
passion for trading, there are things like having grit and being good at numbers. And the list goes on.
» Proprietary trading is when a bank, firm or other any
financial institution trades on its own account rather than
on behalf of a customer. The instruments traded can be
anything from options, futures, currencies, derivatives
etc. Proprietary trading involves risking the firm’s capital,thus any profits or losses are borne entirely by the firm.
It is a highly sought after job as traders do not need to
cough up with initial capital, receive professional training
from seasoned traders, and still get a share of profits if
they make money. Thus it is no surprise to see many fresh
graduates applying for such a role.
But the interesting aspect about trading is that your
IQ has little to do with successful trading. We have seentraders who made millions with a zero level education,
and traders who failed even with a master’s degree.
Because of this fact, proprietary trading firms are not
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INSIGHTS
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about trading and are not just walking the talk. This will
make you stand out from the thousands of applicants you
are competing with.
Even if you are a losing trader, it does not matter.
Because it tells them you are accepting your current
status (a losing trader) and want to improve your trading
by joining a proprietary trading firm.
If you want to take it further, bring along your trading
journal and charts during the interview to explain your
thought processes behind your trades. Which interviewer
would dislike a candidate like this?
Grit
Grit means firmness of character, indomitable spirit
(dictionary.com). Passion alone is not enough to succeed,
studies have shown that Grit plays an important factor as
well. So what is grit?
Grit is the ability to keep moving forward even when
crap hits the fence. Most traders will quit and stay away
from trading after blowing up a few trading accounts. But
those with grit will constantly reflect upon their actions
and seek to better themselves, which separates the
winners from the losers.
The author spent close to four years learning how
to trade but still was not profitable. It was depressing
as he knew so much about trading and yet he could notturn his knowledge into profits. Many times he felt that
profitable trading was an illusion but never once did he
consider giving up. There was always something in him
that pushed him forward, and today he realizes it is none
other than grit.
looking to hire candidates with the best educational
background or the highest IQ. So what does it take to get
a job in proprietary trading?
Passion for Trading
Just like anything else in life, if you have no passion in
whatever you are doing you will not be able to give your
100 per cent. And the same goes for trading, you must
have passion for it to have a chance of succeeding at it.
So what is passion?
It is not reading a few books on trading and thinking
you can make money by clicking your mouse. Neither is
it going to forums looking for the best trading strategy.
These are hobbies and hobbies cost money.
Rather, passion for trading is devoting countless
hours each day, week, month and even years to improve
yourself. To get better and better each day yet staying
humble all the way.
You will be reading hundreds of books, spending
infinite hours on Youtube watching trading videos, and
keeping a trading journal to record your progress as a
trader. Sounds like hard work? That is passion for trading.
Prove it
When you are interviewing for a proprietary trading job,
you want to convince the interviewer about your passionfor trading and your ability to persevere. What is the best
way?
We feel the best way to go about it is to start trading
on your own retail account. By showing the interviewer
your own trading records, it tells them you are passionate
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If you do not believe, check out this book, “Pit Bull:
Lessons from Wall Street’s Champion Day Trader” about
a trader called Martin Schwartz who lost money for nine
years before making millions every year.
Minimal Liabilities
It would be ideal to come into proprietary trading with as
little liabilities and commitment as possible. It is best you
are not married with kids, have no outstanding loans or
any form of financial liabilities. Why is that so?
Because most proprietary trading firms operate on
the basis of giving their traders a basic allowance and a
profit sharing scheme. Not forgetting that trading has a
steep learning curve which can take a trader anywhere
from six to 18 months to be consistently profitable.
This means you will be living on a shoestring budget
for a period of time till you are consistently profitable.
Thus it makes perfect sense to reduce or have no liabilitiesat all.
Most proprietary trading firms will look out for this
factor, and this explains why they tend to hire fresh
graduates who are below 30 years old.
Quick with Numbers
The trading approach of most proprietary trading firms
is scalping, arbitraging or day trading. Because you are
trading on such low time frames, you need to think fast
and act fast. So how do they test you?
During the interviews they would ask you
mathematical questions (48 x 67) or solve some
statistical puzzle (Monty Hall). Some proprietary trading
firms take it one step further by requiring you to pass
Rayner Teo
Rayner Teo is a trader, blogger and founderof TradingWithRayner.com. He has threadsfeatured in Forexfactory and Hardw arezone.Traders around the world have benefited from his
sharing, and he is widely followed on YouTubeand ForexFactory. When he is not trading, he hitsthe gym or reads a book.
www.tradingwithrayner.com
a mathematical test before granting you an interview.
You may even be asked to play a game of poker with the
other candidates.
You can consider doing mathematical speed test a
few weeks prior to your interview to improve your mental
calculation.
Commonly Asked Questions
The author has been through a number of interviews at
different proprietary trading firms, and here are some
commonly asked questions:
• Why do you want to be a trader?
• Can you survive without a fixed pay?
• How long are you willing to give yourself?
• What trading books have you read?
• What is your trading approach to the markets?
• How much money do you want to make? • Where did you learn how to trade?
• Solve the Monty Hall problem
• What is 32 x 32?
Tell a Story
For every interview the author will highlight his passion
for trading, show evidence to prove it and explain his
determination to succeed. He does it by sharing his story
with the interviewer from childhood till present. He loves
to share his story because it engages the interviewers and
gives them an idea of personal traits and characteristics.
Conclusion
In Singapore, proprietary trading jobs are usually
advertised four to six times a year on jobs portal like
Jobstreet, Jobsdb and Efinancialcareers. If you want a
career in proprietary trading, always keep a look out for
such openings.
When granted an interview, you must convince the
interviewers you are passionate about trading and have
the grit to see through the tough days ahead. You canconsider telling a story like the author does to illustrate
the key characteristics proprietary trading firms are
looking for. «
You must convince the interviewers
you are passionate about trading and have
the grit to see through the tough days ahead.
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www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015
Portfolio MetricsAn Abnormal Fixation on Return
Trading and investing are done with one major purpose in
mind: making profits. Even though preventing losses are part
of the package as well, one’s returns seem to be the ultimate
(dis)proof of one’s ability. In this article we are going to take a
shot at convincing you of why looking at returns is a very badidea when it comes to estimating one’s long term potential in
financial markets. And of course, we will end up suggesting
what better indicators there might be.
Dirk Vandycke
Dirk Vandycke has been actively and independentlystudying the markets since 1995 with a focus ontechnical analysis, market dynamics and behaviouralfinance. He writes articles on a regular basis and
develops software partly available at his co-ownedwebsite www.chartmill.com. He teaches softwaredevelopment and statistics at a Belgian University.
http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.chartmill.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.chartmill.com/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/
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decision (process)
good bad
outcome
good deserved
success
dumb
luck
bad bad
luck
poetic
justice
This table shows how outcomes might relate to decisions made.
Source: www.chartmill.com
F1) On Decisions and Outcomes
probability
possibility
» Making it alive running through a dynamite factory with
a burning match in your hand does not mean you are not
an idiot. More accurately, it does not mean deciding to do
so was a good idea to begin with. Welcome to our biased
world.
The Third Monkey
As evolutionary biologists well know by now, we are a
species (not the only one) of overactive pattern seekers.
During our evolution, this started out with physical
patterns but quickly turned into looking for causal
relationships as well. All of this is good, because it has putus where we are today. The sons and daughters of a very
impressive chain of survivors harnessing those powers
along the way. However, falsely recognising something
that is not there, does not diminish our survival chances.
Not seeing what actually is there, almost guarantees not
handing over genetic material to the next generation. So
up until today, we see way too many patterns and causal
relationships.
Biases in Abundance
The relationship relevant in the search for where our
obsession with returns comes from, is the one between
the decisions we make (process) and the outcomes we
eventually get. To most it is crystal clear that with good
decisions must come good results. And while affirming
the antecedent we wrongly turn this upside down into
good results having to be proof of good decisions made.
Unfortunately there is a lot wrong with this default view.
Figure 1 shows that with good and bad decisions on
one side and good and bad outcomes on another, there
are four, not two, possible combinations. So on anyindividual occasion, good decisions may unfortunately
turn into bad outcomes while good outcomes may spring
from even bad decisions. That is what we call bad luck
We see way too many
patterns and causal relationships.
in the former case and dumb luck in the latter. For an
individual occasion we are talking (four) possibilities, but
in a repetitive frame, sticking to good decisions will on
average have good results as output. That is probability
taking over. Having four possibilities does not mean they
will share equal likelihood (25 per cent).
Judging decisions on their outcome, although not all
that is known now was known at the time the decision
had to be made, is what is called outcome bias. Its close
friend, hindsight bias, states that we are prone to estimate
what we knew or how we felt making the decision. The
”I knew effect”. Well, you probably did not know it then!While similar to the outcome bias, the two phenomena
are markedly different. The hindsight bias focuses on
memory distortion to favour the actor, while the outcome
bias focuses exclusively on weighting the past outcome
heavier than other pieces of information in deciding, if a
past decision was a good one.
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Profit (De)bunk(ing)
There is no shortage of fisherman’s
yarn in the financial industry.
One way to defuse the excessive
importance we put on returns (after
all the good outcome we are looking
for), is to put them in perspective
on a larger time scale. We present
you Table 1, a table of long term
compound returns. In blue, we have
the average risk free return over
the past 53 years. In red Warren
Buffett’s net worth is shown, while
in green and yellow we have the
GDP of Belgium (a small country)
and the USA (a very large country).
Now that should put it into
perspective, a few of the examples
of great returns. For instance on the lowest row we have
the winner of a one-month guru competition. Simple math
indicates that these examples are highly probably just
plain luck (or fraud) and very likely impossible to be even
an average sustainable return. Another one is a service
stating it is easy to achieve a 200 bucks earning a day on a
10,000 portfolio. Of course you cannot compound or this
would make too much money, we were told criticising thisscam with the same numbers of Table 1.
Repetitiveness and scalability are key in turning your
traders’ mind around such examples. If something sounds
Being profitable in the long r un with trading, and every investing enterprise for that matter, is about cutting
losses and letting profits run. Although this is a hearsay thing of ages, statistical exp ectancy actually proofs
the saying mathematical. It is not about being right or wrong but handling both profits and losses well.
Source: www.chartmill.com
F2) Expectancy Depicted as Scales
So this is what to expect when cumulating profits (given both on a p er month as well as a per year base) over ten and up to 60 years. As Einstein put it: “Compound interest
is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it ... he who does not, p ays it”.
Source: www.chartmill.com
Return Per Month Return Per Year Return Over 10 Years 100 Over 10 Years 100 Over 60 Years
0.21% 2.50% 28% 128 440
0.47% 5.84% 76% 176 3009
1.00% 12.68% 230% 330 129238
2.00% 26.82% 977% 1077 155640877
2.84% 39.99% 2789% 2889 58200000000
3.00% 42.58% 3371% 3471 174904823971
3.13% 44.83% 3960% 4060 447599831447
3.65% 53.70% 7260% 7360 15889960045023
4.00% 60.10% 10966% 11066 183655650658859
5.00% 79.59% 34791% 34891 180424425186733000
10.00% 213.84% 9270807% 9270907 63494091560654900000000000000000
15.00% 435.03% 1921944400% 1921944500 5040168486422420000000000000000000000000000000
T1) Cumulative Effect of Returns
A colleague once tried to convince me of the fact that
it seemed obviously a good idea, at least to him, having
bought shares of a tumbling bank in 2008 a week before
breaking news. Having made a whopping 200 per cent out
of it, he was all confused and surprised by my question, if
it had seemed a good idea at the moment when he made
the decision. Mind the fact that good decisions are not
restricted to knowing what stock to buy. There is far moreimportant decisions a good trader can make, in the absence
of knowing what the outcome will be. Selling losers before
a mistake turns into a problem is just one of them.
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too beautiful to be true, it probably is. If they promise you
quick wealth, quick is how you need to get out.
New Quality Metrics
If returns are not the way to measure achievement, then
what is? Well, in true science we have to keep track of the
misses, not just the hits! Likewise a good trader is to be
spot by looking at his losses.
Take Figure 2. A picture we frequently (re)use
to explain that profits come from balancing the
average size of profits and losses over their relative
frequency. Since we have far more control over the
average size of our profits and losses than we have
over their frequency, we should focus on minimising
losses and maximising gains. From this it follows
that a good portfolio or trader must be recognisable
from an overall historical picture showing (lots of)
small losses and (probably fewer) big winners. In
contrast though, with each momentarily look at such
a portfolio, chances are that you will find just the
opposite. For there will be few small losses and almost
only (big) winners. Because losses need to be weeded
out quickly. So metrics might include the average size
of losers against the average size of winners but also
the average holding period of losers against that of
winners. Also having a rising equity curve with small
drawdowns and more losers than winners is a strong
indication of a good trader.
One remarkable psychological study even showed
how long term performance of traders was, to a certain
extent, inversely correlated with how frequently
performance was measured (by return). So the more
traders look at their returns, the less they seem to have
them. But we cannot deduce any causality from this
without further study. It could just as well be that bad
traders look at their returns more. But even then it is a
correlative indicator, nevertheless.
In Conclusion
Returns, in the end, will be the result of being a consistent
trader focusing on self reflection while keeping a
constant eye on risk management and position sizing.
So as bad as metric returns are on short time scales,
as inevitable they will be in the long run as the ultimate
proof of being able to do the right things instead of
doing things right. «
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In September and October there is a
good chance that many stocks and
indices will end their correction. In this
issue we show you the ideal entry date
for an American stock and the German
DAX.
Trading Seasonalities
Seasonal Low for a Coffee Stock and the German DAX
Keurig Green Mountain has lost heavily during the past months. The seasonal analysis recommends a buyon 30th September with a holding period until 7th February of the following year. In the past, you could have
achieved a profit of 32 per cent on average with an average loss of 17 per cent.
Source: www.lp-software.de
F1) Trading Idea Keurig Green Mountain
» Trading Idea Keurig Green Mountain
The US-stock Keurig Green Moun-
tain (GMCR), formerly known as
Green Mountain Coffee Roaster,
is the first seasonal trading idea.
The stock may be a long candidate
on 30th September, with a hold-
ing period until 4th February 2016.Based on the data of the past 16
years you could have achieved an
average profit of 32 per cent during
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traded indices. It lost about 15 per cent and even closed
well below the 10,000 level. Figure 2 shows that buyers
used the opportunity of the low prices to buy. Another
pullback to the lower downtrend line on 10th Octoberwould be an ideal entry date to trade the seasonal strat-
egy. The DAX may quote at about 9,070 points at that
time. Then you would achieve a risk-reward-ratio of
3.65, which is very good. Both trading ideas could also
be implemented with leveraged instruments (options,
futures and CFDs). «
these 127 days. One year there was
even a profit of over 200 per cent.
The stop-loss should be placed 17
per cent below the entry price. The
stock has dropped considerably
during the past months and as the
quarterly earnings at the beginning
of August did not fulfil the expecta-
tions, the stock lost another 30 per
cent overnight. Figure 1 shows the
price development of the stock with
several seasonal lines as well as
the entry and exit dates displayed
with vertical lines in green and red.
The chart shows, that a lower down
trend line was touched and a small
reversal started. The stock shows
a bottom formation starting at the
entry date and therefore we should
look for an entry. The maximum po-
tential is the uptrend line, where you can find the 200-
day line as well. Another interesting entry would be the
support from the years 2011 and 2012 at the level of $34.
In August of the previous year, Coca-Cola closed a longterm deal with the company and bought ten per cent of
the shares. The low prices could challenge Coca-Cola to
buy further stocks and to eventually take over the com-
pany. That could possibly lead to increasing prices.
Trading Idea German DAX
The second trading idea is one of the darlings of Eu-
rope’s traders – the German DAX. Based on seasonali-
ties the ideal entry date for a long position would be
10th October with a holding period until 4th January
2016. Based on the data of the past 27 years you would
have achieved a profit of ten per cent with a hit ratio
of 86 per cent. The risk of loss was 2.64 per cent. The
maximum profit was over 22 per cent. The stop-loss
should be placed about 22 per cent below the entry.
The DAX started a correction like most of the active
We will publish an update on 1st and on 13th October
2015 on our TRADERS´ website and on facebook, with an
analysis based on the current chart. The profit targets and
stop-losses will be calculated as well.
Update
The DAX has been in a strong correction during the past months. We suggest to use the touch of the triple
support at the area of 9,070 on the entr y date 10th October to buy until 4th January of the following year.
Source: www.lp-software.de
F2) Trading Idea German DAX
Table 1 shows the entry- and exit-dates of the introduced trading ideas.
Source: www.captimizer.com
T1) Seasonal Trades of the Month
Instrument Keurig Green Mountain German DAX
Direction Bullish Bullish
Entry 30.09.2015 10.10.2015
Exit 04.02.2016 04.01.2016
%-Win 94.00% 86.00%
History in years 16 27
Average profit 32.00% 9.32%
Maximum profit 219.00% 22.91%
Average loss 17.00% 2.64%
Maximum loss 58.00% 4.92%
Holding period 127 days 86 days
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A stop-loss is an order that is triggered automatically when the price reaches a preset adverse level.
However, it is not a perfect risk control tool (there is no perfect risk control tool). And that is the reason
why certain professionals are preaching against it. On the other hand, some veterans, each with decades
of experience, vehemently advocate the use of stops. Who should you believe? Should you use stop-loss
in your trading? This article discusses the controversy surrounding this enigmatic risk control tool.
Do You Need Life Insurance in the Markets?
The Stop-Loss Controversy
» Arguments Against Stops
Those who preach against stop-loss believe that it has
negative effects on the performance of their trading
systems. They believe the only smart thing they can do is
to avoid the use of stops, for it increases negative ordersin the account history, including trades that could have
won, but which were stopped out at losses, for volatility
invariably affects the initial stop and price target. They
feel one can become profitable without the use of stops,
since there are profitable traders who do not use stops.
They make people realise that every stop stands for either
a loss of capital or a loss of profits.
Problems with Trading Methodologies that Do Not Use Stops
When the author was a neophyte, he once came across
an institutional trader who advised him against the use
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of stops. He thought she was giving him good advice,
without knowing that he would suffer for believing her.The majority of those professionals once thought that
they could survive without stops; whereas you would
hardly come across sane forex traders who do not use
stops. Many professionals have learned bitter lessons as
a result of their past failure to use stops to safeguard all
their trades. You might even need to find out the truth
yourself. Open a demo account with a broker that does
not allow their demos to expire, as long as a few trades
per month are placed. Trade with such a demo account
without using stop-loss in all your trades. Do that for two
years and then report to us, showing us your account
history.
Believe us, when you receive margin calls, you will
not experience the gains enjoyed by stop-loss users. Any
trading methodology that does not use stops, or that
recommends the use of mental stops should be monitored
more closely, simply for the benefit of the doubt. With such
a methodology, traders may transiently appear cute when
some drawdowns are recovered and when losing positions
eventually break even or become positive positions, but it is
inevitable that an event will happen, like natural disasters,high frequency trading disasters, unprecedented volatility
in some pairs, et cetera. which will make your mental stops
useless or make you freeze in terror. You will be unable
to act until the inevitable happens
to your account. Why would you
lose a colossal amount of money
in a trade when it could simply be a
negligible loss? Do you want to be like
those gamblers who call themselves
pros? Those who treat trading like a
business use stops, gamblers do not!
Why would someone lose tens
of thousands of dollars or hundreds
of thousands of dollars or millions
of dollars before they learn a simple
lesson? Why can they not limit
their loss with stops in order to
avoid the harrowing consequences
of stupidity? If you are already a
speculator and right now you do not
use stops, then the best favour you
can do for yourself is to stop the no
stop-loss mentality and set stops
with your positions.
The only life insurance that can
guarantee your permanent success
in the markets is stop-loss. Please check what happened
to JPY pairs in October and November 2014. Good profitswould have been made if you were in the right direction,
but if you got caught in the wrong direction, what would
you have done? We pity those large institutions that do
not currently believe in stops. Obviously, they fail to learn
lessons from large institutions that crashed and burned
in the past.
When your portfolio experiences severe roll-downs,
we know you are not going to be happy. Your main
preoccupation is how to recover the roll-downs, which
is more difficult than preventing it in the first case. There
is a probability that your portfolio will never recover
when another roll-down drives it further into more
negative territory, while you are trying to recover from
the first roll-down. A margin call can follow. So why did
you not prevent this in the first place by using objective
stops? You can only enjoy higher probability of survival
with stop-loss. Stop-loss is mandatory as you give
your winning trades some leeway. One professional
even declares, without mincing words that anyone who
would argue against risk control by discouraging the
use of stops is a fool indeed. In effect, they are sayingyou should put your capital at unlimited risk. It should
become clear to yourself which one is sensible for you –
limited risk or unlimited risk.
In 2013 and 2014, Silver fell in an established downtrend. The bull should have cut his loss at a negligible
amount and looked for another trading opportunity. But what might have happened to a so-called professional
who refused to use a stop?.
Source: www.tradesignalonline.com
F1) Sustained Bearish Movement on Silver
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Some Recent Examples
Remember the 6th May 2010 Flash Crash, in which the
Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged about 1,000 points
(about nine per cent), only to recover those losses within
minutes. Because of that, some people argued against
the use of stops, while some argued in favour of stops.
Some experts thought that they would not suffer losses
because the market bounced back quickly. What if the
market had not bounced back quickly? In fact, the hope
that the market will – at some point in the future – bounce
back quickly is the only seemingly rational explanation
behind sermons against stops. “Stop deniers” preach
against stops because it is not a perfect risk control tool.
Although there are disadvantages in using risk control
tools, you need to know that the disadvantages pale in
insignificance when compared with the advantages.
Please see Figure 1, from 14th July 2014 to
5th November 2014, silver fell by 6,200 points. While a
position trader, who likes to go with the flow of the market
would have made some heartwarming gains, a bull that
got caught in a wrong direction would have suffered a
significant loss. The bearish trend on silver as a worse-
case scenario at that period is one of the worst-case
scenarios experienced by the bull. The bull should have
cut his loss at a negligible amount and looked for anothertrading opportunity. But what could have happened to a
so-called professional who refused
to use a stop? That professional
would have tried to cut his loss with
the hope that the market would
reverse that week, or the following
one, or the following month; but
the hope would be dashed as the
person got to his office every day,
sorrowing over his own stupidity. A
small position size could amount to
a gargantuan loss if the loss was not
contained.
Nobody can predict the future.
A Harvard PhD and a high school
dropout have equal skills at
prophecy. The GBP/USD suffered a
massive plunge in the year 2008 and
since then, the pair is far from seeing
the distribution level at 2.0000 again.
What would have happened to thosewho failed to cut their losses on
GBP/USD as a result of their long
trades? They would eventually be
forced to cut those losses at much larger losses. In a bull
or a bear market, some accumulation and distribution
territories can be respected. The occasional respect,
however, is not always dependable, and only stops can
rescue our portfolios when a strong trend continues
against us. If you are over the age of 60, then the cable may
not see the supply level at 2.0000 again in your generation.
The author is tired of seeing the self-professed “gurus”
suffering from a quick and speedy financial ruin, not only
because of high lot sizes in proportion to their account
sizes, but also because of their failure to use stops. Those
who encourage you not to use stops have other sources of
income that can sustain them in case of receiving margin
calls; and their portfolios are probably not risk capital. Do
you want to imitate them? They preach against the use of
stops, but they will not tell you what happened to them
when their preferred methodologies go through a baptism
of fire. Your stop may not be hit but a margin call will
force you out of the market. If this advice has given you
cause to think, then you have taken a huge step in your
evolution as a super trader, knowing the inherent dangers
and problems that come with illogical trading methods
that do not use stops. A great trader who has made tens
of millions of dollars from the stocks and commodities
markets told me the one individual universal reason forfailure is the inability to take a loss.
The chart shows the Flash Crash in a one hour time frame. In that scenario, stops were run but the losses wererecovered quickly. This is often used as an argument against the use of stops. What, however, if prices had
not rebounded and the decline continued as it did the days after?
Source: www.tradesignalonline.com
F2) Flash Crash 6th May 2010
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Further Arguments for Stops
The author has experienced the wonders of stops allthrough his career as a trader. At some point, you will
suffer limited losses if you use stops and unlimited
losses if you do not use stops. Your stop may stop
you out of a trade that could have ended up being a
winner, but you are safer with the stop in place (you
are vulnerable without one). We are not talking about
mental stops, but physical stops. Even a veteran may
not respect mental stops because
of the heat of emotion. The markets
have a knack for moving faster
against us than we think.
It is much more satisfying to
control our urge to ignore stops.
In the end, is it worth losing your
entire portfolio because you want
to satisfy momentarily irrational
thoughts? Is the use of stop-loss
unduly restrictive? Not at all!
To disregard its use is to invite
problems and unhappiness in your
trading experience. Heeding the
advice to use stops and other risk
limiting tools adds peace of mind to
your career. Furthermore, you have
the prospect of enjoying lasting
survival in the markets, whereas
those who cultivate emotional and
irrational trading styles lose out
on both happiness and money.
Perhaps you might go scot-free in
other types of financial markets without s tops, but you
cannot emerge unscathed out of forex if you do not usestops.
The Greatest Achievement in Trading
The greatest skill in trading is your ability to cut losses.
This has nothing to do with what or who you are. The
greatest achievement in trading is controlling the
treacherous statistics called drawdowns, not making
profits, for profits are easy to make but difficult to
control. For example, if you made a profit of ten per cent
in this month, you could start experiencing losses in the
first or the second week of the next month (as is true of
any trading approach you might adopt). Proof of your
proficiency then lies in your ability to lose as lit tle money
as possible, going down by, say, three per cent to six per
cent maximum. This way it is easier for you to bounce
back when the strategy enters another encouraging
winning streak. However, a bad trader would lose from
ten to 40 per cent or even more, during such a transitory
losing streak. What is the benefit of gaining 20 per cent
this month and losing 40 per cent the next?
Your ability to cut your losses when they are stillinsignificant is the most important aspect of your trading
career. It is the greatest determinant to your everlasting
success, your ability to survive losing streaks (which all
Anybody not using a stop when tr ading short against the trend in USD/JPY could easily have been killed if the
position size had been sufficiently large. When breaking out above 110, price did not bounce back as is often
assumed will happen.
Source: www.tradesignalonline.com
F3) USD/JPY Bull Run in 2014
A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to sell
a security when it reaches a certain price. A stop-loss
order is designed to limit an investor’s loss on a position in
a security. Although most investors associate a stop-loss
order only with a long position, it should also be used for
a short position, in which case the security will be bought,
if it trades above a defined price. A stop-loss order takes
the emotion out of trading decisions and can especially
be handy when one is on holiday or cannot watch his/her
position. However, execution is not guaranteed, particularly
in situations where trading in the stock is interrupted or
gaps down (or up) in price.Source: Investopedia.com
Stop-Loss Order
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29
The ability to use and respect stop-loss is the foundation
of your progress in trading. If you fail to do this, other
things are completely useless.
Like in real life, doing the right things does not always
make you appear smart. In fact, you may sometimes look
stupid by doing the right things. A trader that uses a stop
may appear stupid when they are stopped out on a trade
that eventually reverses and turns positive. A trader may
appear stupid when a position they are trying to ride fails
to meet its target, turning from positivity to negativity.
But in the end, we will reap the benefits by doing the right
things. «
proficient traders must inevitably face occasionally), and
the possibility of ending up being profitable.
Final Thoughts
Many pragmatic traders advise that stop-loss is
extremely crucial (not mental stops). Please enter a stop
before or after you enter a trade. You cannot afford to
be married to your screen because every movement in
price – whether significant or moderate – will cause you
anguish if your position is negative. Every movement
can run you mad.
On the battlefield of the financial markets, the most
common factor that will demoralise you or kill your
portfolio is your inability to respect your stops. Every
trader must decide to use stops when trading, for this is
part of the rock solid discipline required for successful
trading. Some people think that they can set stop-loss
some hours or days later (too wide stops), and at last, the
plan to use stops is abandoned. There are also traders,
who widen their stops more and more because they want
to give losing positions more leeway. When the use of
stops becomes a part of you, you are already triumphant.
Azeez Mustapha
Azeez Mustapha is an official analyst at Instaforex
Companies Group, a blogger at Advfn.com, anda freelance author for trading magazines. He isworking as a tr ading signals provider at somewebsites. He is a senior analyst at Paxforex.com.His articles are also available on other websites likewww.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com.
http://www.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com/mailto:[email protected]://www.tradersonline-mag.com/index.php/forummailto:[email protected]://www.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com/
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Ad vice from Our Pro fes
sionals
When you hear the word trading the first thought that may spring to mind
is profit. In Forex trading a popular function is a take profit order, which is
an automated order to close a profiting trade.
The words take profit may make your eyes shine when you hear them, but
what if the market goes against you and you start losing, and you wish
you had closed your position earlier…
Well, thank the man who invented the take profit order, as he also
invented the stop-loss order which is designed to limit an investor’s loss
on an open position when trading a security.
You may ask yourself: what can the benefit of a loss be? I will answer
your question with a question: why would you ignore the word “stop”?
When you use a stop-loss order you avoid liquidation, minimise your
loss, close positions if the market goes against you, and remove the
need to monitor your position on a daily basis .
A popular theory says if you open ten positions, seven become losing
positions and three become winning ones, your total will be positive if
you place a stop-loss for each.
A final note to all traders is: do not open any order without protecting
your positions!
Wissam Al Sallakh, Business Development Manager at ICM Capital
When placing an order I limit a single trade to one or two per cent of my
account balance and use the entry to stop distance to calculate the contract
size. By using this approach the underlying volatility of the market is taken
into consideration, so higher volatility in the market results in a wider stop
but smaller contract size, whilst a lower volatility market results in a tighter
stop and higher contract value.
When choosing my stop placement I try to find less obvious places
because too many stops in the same place (like, say, a swing high or low)
attracts price like a magnet and usually ends with you being stopped
out before the price reverses. Instead I will go for a wider stop behind
a cluster of technical levels, allowing so called “breathing room” for
market noise.
Additionally I limit myself to two new positions of uncorrelated markets,
and only seek to add positions if my original orders have been moved
to break-even.
By using smaller positon size and limiting my market exposure to
uncorrelated markets I have significantly reduced my chances of a
margin call should an unexpected and extreme move force me out of
my positions.Matt Simpson, Senior Market Analyst at ThinkForex
What is Your Life Insurance in the Markets?
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ADVERTORIAL
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TOOLS www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015
» Seoul-based financial technology firm SYSTRA has
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the technology, traders can build a complex algorithm,
without writing a single line of code. FXTraBox is a modular-
based FX algorithm builder that allows independent,
interchangeable, reusable modules such as Conditions and
Actions. As there are some solutions on the market which
already address this segment of the market, FXTraBox aims
to deliver a multi-asset solution. The product is offered on
a monthly subscription basis, with a free version dubbed
“Lite” offering a number of the features for usage. SYSTRA
is initially positioning the product towards the OTC Forex
trading market with back testing of the strategies available
for MT4. For more information visit www.fxtrabox.com.
» iStockAlerts has relaunched its stock trading app forApple or Android tablets, phones, and desktop computers.
The application constantly monitors financial data and
issues buy, sell, and hold recommendations for equities on
the NYSE and NASDAQ. iStockAlerts uses a proprietary
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34
News from the World of Technology
NEW PRODUCTS WEBREVIEW SOFTWAREREVIEW BOOKREVIEW APPREVIEW
New Products
iStockAlerts
features and added functionality incorporate earnings
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basic charting. The relaunched app, which was originally
developed by Eli Engelman in 2013 when he was still a high
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iStockAlerts platform to complete the transaction. The new
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» MetaQuotes has made an important product
announcement. The company’s flagship MetaTrader 4platform is getting web trading support in the latest
build of the beta version of the platform. With the
new solution in beta, we are still months away from
seeing an officially available product, but the news that
MetaQuotes is working on a web-based solution should
please a number of brokers. All of the features of the
platform will be available for traders from a web browser
of their choice within a secure environment. The trading
account number and passwords will be encrypted and
stored locally