Traders September 2015

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    Interview: J. C. Parets – How I Trade False Signals P. 74

    Your Personal Trading Coach

    September 2015 | www.traders-mag.co.uk

     H o w  t o  G e t

     a  J o b  i n

     P r o p  T r a d i n g

     P.  1 4

    The Best ofBoth WorldsTrading for Short Term &

    Longer Term Gains P. 46

    Narrow RangeBreakoutThe Silence Prior

     to the Big Move P. 50

    The Stop-Loss Controversy  P. 24Do You Need Life Insurance in the Markets?

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    EDITORIAL

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    » It is true, trading is par ticularly about making money. Nevertheless I am convinced

     that t here is more to it than that. Sometimes, it can even turn out to be a hindrance

    seeing your trading account in terms of real money. The reason for that are our

    emotions, which can keep us from taking the right actions . But what else is trading

    about?

    In the long run, it is hard to endure the tough lessons of trading only being motivated

    by money, because there will always be difficult times. In order to invest necessar y

     time and energy to keep going, it takes something else.

    I am talking about the fascination of trading. The sophisticated challenge of

    surviving and profiting in the markets. The curiosity of finding out how to be

    successful in the stock market and of course, enjoying adapting to the constantly

    changing conditions that the market presents.

    It is just like in any other job. Is your work only about earning money, or do you really

    enjoy it and see a purpose in what you do? Over the years one will feel apathetic if

     the only moti vation is earning money. A nd this is not a t rivial problem, since we will

    be spending a decent amount of our lifetime doing this work .

    But there is even more that trading is about: personal development. With every

    win or loss on your trading journey, you will make progress. The stock market is

    an instrument that will make you humble over time. It is an instrument that helps us

     to appreciate the things we have other than our career. Above all, life is precious,and because in the end, it is not the money that makes us happy. It is the people,

    experiences and memories. Whereas money is a means to an end, we should not

    let it control us.

    “The stock market is man’s invention that has humbled him the most.” (Alan Shaw) «

    Good Trading,

    What Trading is About (Apart From Money)

    Marko GraenitzDeputy Editor-in-chief

    http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/mailto:[email protected]://www.traders-mag.co.uk/

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    24

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    September 2015

    14

    NewsFind the latest notes and

    announcements from around the world

    of trading in our “News“ section.

    INSIGHTS

    COVER STORY

    34 New Products  The Latest Trading Technology

    36  Web Review  www.optionslam.com

    40  Book Review Frontier

    42 App Review  CBOE Mobile

    TOOLS

    12  TRADERS´ Talk  We talked to Chris Weaver, CEO of My Trading Zone, about

    his idea of teaching others how to coach traders, and about

    coaching traders in general.

    14 How to Get a Job in Proprietary Trading  Trader Rayner Teo discusses the traits you need to get a foot

    in the door at a prop trading firm.

    18 Portfolio MetricsDirk Vandycke explains why looking at returns is a very bad

    idea when it comes to estimating one’s long term potential in

    financial markets.

    22 Trading Seasonalities  Thomas Bopp trades coffee shares and the DAX.

    24 The Stop-loss Controversy

      A stop is an order that is triggered automatically when theprice reaches a preset adverse level. However, it is not a

    perfect risk control tool. Azeez Mustapha discusses the

    controversy surrounding this enigmatic instrument.

    60

    8

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

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    74

    Publisher 

    Lothar Albert

    Subscription Service

    www.tradersonline-mag.com/subscribe;

    [email protected];

    Tel: +49 (0) 931 45226-15

    Address of Editorial

    and Advertising Department

    TRADERS´ media GmbH

    Barbarastrasse 31a

    97074 Wuerzburg, Germany

    Contact:

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Phone: +49 (0) 931 45226-17

    Editor-in-ChiefLothar Albert

    Editors

    Katharina Boetsch, Leanne Chesterman,

    Prof. Dr. Guenther Dahlmann-Resing,

    Marko Graenitz, Carmen Hellmann,

    Sandra Kahle, Simone Kirksey, Inessa Liss,

    Rodman Moore, Najia Rasuli, Stefan Rauch,

    Katja Reinhardt, Markus Schneider, Karin Seidl,

    Tina Wagemann, Christine Weissenberger

    Articles

    Thomas Bopp, Richard Chignell, Alvaro Echeverri,

    Alan Ellman, Azeez Mustapha, Dave Landry,

    David Pieper, Rayner Teo, Dan Valcu, Dirk Vandycke,Stu Whisson

    Pictures© Africa Studio, Svyatoslav Lypynsky y, md3d, psdesign1, Brian

    Jackson, Matej Kastelic, Andrew Ostrovsky, Andrew Bayda,

    IMaster, Massimo Cavallo, lassedesignen, Bjoern Wylezich, lev

    dolgachov, Wrangler, DenisNata, Stefan Yang/ www.fotolia.com, 

    Sandra Binder

    Price data

    www.captimizer.de; www.esignal.com;

    www.metaquotes.net; www.tradesignalonline.com;

    www.tradestation.com 

    ISSN

    1612-9423

    Distributor / Retail:

    DPV GmbH, www.dpv.de , [email protected]

    Disclosure

    The information in TRADERS´ is intended for

    educational purposes only. It is not meant to

    recommend, promote or in any way imply the

    effectiveness of any trading system, strategy or

    approach. Traders are advised to do their own

    research and testing to determine the validity

    of a trading idea. Trading and investing carry

    a high level of risk. Past performance does notguarantee future results.

    © 2015 TRADERS´ media GmbH,Barbarastrasse 31a, 97074 Wuerzburg, Germany

    BASICS

    STRATEGIES

    60 Performance Analytics  Regarding the ever more complex financial data analysis, Dan

    Valcu takes a look at Open-source R-packages.

    64  The Physical Game  Stu Whisson explains how to develop your trading with the

    help of physical fitness.

    66  Why Choose the Short Term?  Alvaro Echeverri shows why the short term time frame offers

    the most trading opportunities.

    46  The Best of Both WorldsDave Landry wants to capture both short term and

    longer term gains.

    50  Narrow Range Breakout  David Pieper teaches you what is important and how to

    develop a trading strategy based on below-average prices.

    54  Generate Monthly Cash Flow by Selling Stock Options  In this article Alan Ellman discusses cash-secured puts..

    70  The Pro‘s Process – Larry Tentarelli

    74  J. C. Parets – How I Trade False Signals  J. C. Parets is the founder and president of Eagle Bay

    Capital, LLC. He earned the Chartered Market Technician

    designation (CMT) and is the New York City Chapter

    Chair of the Market Technicians Association (MTA). Heis a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Business News

    Network and in the Wall Street Journal.

    PEOPLE

    http://www.tradersonline-mag.com/subscribemailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.fotolia.com/http://www.captimizer.de/http://www.esignal.com/http://www.metaquotes.net/http://www.tradesignalonline.com/http://www.tradestation.com/http://www.dpv.de/mailto:[email protected]://www.dpv.de/mailto:[email protected]://www.tradestation.com/http://www.tradesignalonline.com/http://www.metaquotes.net/http://www.esignal.com/http://www.captimizer.de/http://www.fotolia.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.tradersonline-mag.com/subscribe

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    INSIGHTS – NEWS

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONFERENCE IN TOKYO

    The International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA)

    will hold its 28th annual conference from 2nd to 4th

    October 2015 in Tokyo, Japan, hosted by the Nippon

    Technical Analysts Association (NTAA). The IFTA annual

    conference is an event for technical analysts, traders, fund

    managers, asset allocators, and investors. Presentations,

    debates, and panel discussions for this year’s conference

    will include many different lectures and a panel discussion

    on how technical analysis is being used at leading

    investment management organisations around the world.

    More events and schedule details can be found at the

    website.

    Source: www.ifta.org

    FIBONACCI EXTENSION S&P 500

    The high of the S&P 500 almost exactly hit

    the 161.8 per cent Fibonacci extension. The

    initial range for the extension was from

    the low of 2009 to the old high of 2007.

    Source: www.tradesignalonline.com

    OIL PRICES AT NEW 6.5 YEAR LOWS

    Oil prices have fallen to a fresh 6.5 year low in

    August, amid continued worries of high global oil

    supply while investors expect the demand fromChina to remain weak due to its growth slowdown.

    Brent crude has declined below $45 per barrel, while

    WTI crude has come down below $40.

    Source: www.ibtimes.co.uk

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    INSIGHTS – NEWS

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    STOCK-PICKING CHALLENGE

    VectorVest’s StockPickingChallenge.com is a new site for market enthusiasts with weekly and monthly cash prizes

    from $100 to $5,000. No purchase or subscription is required. StockPickingChallenge.com offers beginners and

    experts the opportunity to compete for weekly and monthly cash prizes by simply entering five stock picks. The top

    five entrants in the weekly competition receive Visa Reward Cards from $100 to $500, based on the performance of

    their five stock picks. Weekly entrants are entered into the monthly contest for a chance at $5,000. There is no limit to

    how many times entrants can win. Included are a streaming market newsfeed, 15-minute delayed quotes on indexesand stocks, the Stock Picking Blog, Lightning Video Lessons, and free Stock Analysis Reports.

    Source: www.StockPickingChallenge.com

    CFD SPOOFERS FINED OVER £7 MILLION BY UK COURT

    A UK court ruled that the Financial Conduct Authority

    (FCA) is entitled to permanent injunctions and penalties

    totalling £7,570,000 against three Hungarian traders and a

    Swiss investment firm for unfair trading practices.

    The technique consisted of entering and trading of

    orders in relation to shares traded on the London Stock

    Exchange in such a way as to create a false or misleading

    impression as to the supply and demand for those shares,

    enabling them to trade those shares at an artificial price.

    The traders typically used a mixture of large and small

    orders entered on one side of the LSE’s order book to

    create a false impression of supply or demand in a

    particular stock. These orders were not intended to be

    traded. The large orders were carefully placed at prices

    close enough to the best bid or offer prevailing on the

    LSE at the time to give a false impression of supply and

    demand, but far away enough to minimize the risk that

    they would be traded.

    The small share orders (typically around 100 shares) were

    used to improve the best bid or offer price. As the price

    improved, further large orders were strategically placed at

    prices close to the new best bid or offer in order to support

    the improved price. In this way the traders systematicallysought to manipulate the share price up and down. These

    orders had the effect of moving the share price as the

    market adjusted to the apparent shift in the balance of

    supply and demand. Once the price had been moved to

    an advantageous level, they initiated a trade on the other

    side of the order book in order to profit from the price

    movement that they had created. These trades took place

    either on the LSE or on a competing venue in order to take

    advantage of available liquidity.

    The large “layered” orders, which were never intended

    to trade and which were used to stimulate the price

    movement of the relevant shares, were then cancelled

    and the process would start over again, typically aimed at

    moving the share price in the opposite direction. In this

    way the actions consistently resulted in buying shares at

    lower prices and selling shares at higher prices than would

    have been the case had the strategy not been employed.

    The traders accessed the relevant trading platforms via

    Direct Market Access (DMA) brokers. DMA allows clients

    direct access to exchanges and other trading platforms.

    They did not trade directly in shares but used a derivative

    instrument called a Contract for Difference (CFD), the price

    of which precisely matches the price of the underlying share.

    Source: www.financemagnates.com, written by Avi Mizrahi

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    INSIGHTS – NEWS

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    HIGH FREQUENCY TRADING  AND MARKET SPIKES

    HFT is typically 50 per cent of overall volume, but they have

    to walk away in a heightened volume event such as on

    24th August. This dramatically reduces liquidity. Hightened

    volatility was mainly unwinding of hedges, not panic.

    Anyone who actually trades knows that this precisely what

    happens every time there is a spike in market volatility:

    HFTs simply walk away leading to the dreaded “HFT

    STOP” moment, creating a feedback loop of even less

    liquidity, and even more volatility, until circuit breakers

    are finally hit or asset prices hit limits. On 24th August,

    for the first time in history, not only the S&P 500, but the

    Nasdaq and the Dow Jones all hit their particular “limit

    down” triggers. HFT’s had an amazingly profitable day because as a result of the total chaos, they were able to frontrun

    block orders from a mile away and as a result of soarking bid/ask spreads, raking in millions by simply capitalising on the

    chaos it and its peers have created.

    Source: www.zerohedge.com

    NOTHING BUT HOT AIR?

    As the chart on the left shows, it seems as if almost all

    the gains of the stock market took place after some sort

    of Quantitative Easing was announced. That said, we

    may see tough times soon in case the era of QE finally

    comes to an end, and monetary policy begins to tighten.Source: Charlie Bitello, Stockcharts

    DOW JONES IN TIGHTEST RANGE

    EVER JUST BEFORE CRASH

    A few days short of the crash, on 18th August Ryan Detrick

    posted a fascinating statistic. Until that point in time (morethan half into the year) the Dow traded in just a 6.44 per cent

    range since January. Then, in the crash on 24th August, it

    fell 1089 points at the lows, largest 1-day decline ever.

    Source: Ryan Detrick, FactSet. Stockcharts

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    BROKERS‘ CORNER

    11

     

    Saxo Bank announced the appointment of Søren Kyhl as Chief

    Operating Officer (COO) and member of the Management Board

    effective from 1st January 2016. His appointment will further

    strengthen the organisation and streamline the bank’s digital and

    operational value chain. In this newly created role, Søren Kyhl will

    assume responsibility for daily operations and execution including

    overseeing the bank’s digital experience, marketing, data science

    and Saxo Privatbank. He joins Saxo Bank with significant senior

    experience most recently as Head of Transaction Banking and COO

    in C&I (Corporates and Institutions) at Danske Bank. During his

    13-year career at Danske Bank Kyhl also served as co-head

    and global head of sales of Danske Markets and global head of

    research, quant and business development. Søren Kyhl, who holds

    a PhD in economics from University of Copenhagen, brings to the

    role significant expertise and a strong track record of performance,

    which together with his unique financial sector experience will

    further strengthen Saxo Bank’s focus on its core business.

    Source: www.saxobank.com

    In the first half of 2015, Swissquote increased net revenues by 5.2

    per cent year-on-year to CHF 74 million. Despite this growth, pre-

    tax profit decreased by 11.1 per cent to CHF 11.7 million, due largely

    to higher marketing costs. Showing a loss of CHF 10.6 million,

    Swqissquote’s current half-year report is the first not to present a

    net profit. This loss is attributable to the extraordinary provision of

    CHF 25 million (announced in January) created to cover the negative

    balances incurred by clients as a result of the Swiss National Bank

    decision to remove the floor against the Euro. Net new monies

    increased by 27.1 per cent year-on-year to CHF 580.2 million.

    Source: www.swissquote.ch

    IG Group has officially launched its Dubai office. This marks

    the second regulatory license received by the company in a

    new jurisdiction within a year after the broker obtained a Swiss

    banking license last September. Commenting on the opening

    of IG’s Group’s Dubai office at the Al Fatan Currency House, the

    Interim CEO of IG Group, Peter Hetherington, said, “Dubai is a

    thriving hub for commerce and trade and given its geographic

    location, investors are in the perfect position to access a varietyof markets in real time using our tried and tested online platform.”.

    Source: www.financemagnates.com

    GAIN Capital limits omnibus accounts for institutional clients.

    The company will scrap the Dealbook 360 platform, while

    supporting institutional white labels via City Index’s Advantage

    Trader. After completing a string of acquisitions in the retail

    space over the past few years, GAIN Capital is poised to

    consolidate its institutional foreign exchange business and to

    calibrate its partnerships to claim greater visibility and exposure.

    The NYSE-listed brokerage envisions a limited role for the

    omnibus accounts it is operating on its platform, where trades

    are facilitated for other brokers’ clients, such as Ameritrade and

    the German headquartered FXFlat.

    Source: www.financemagnates.com

    Interactive Brokers has revealed its volumes for the month

    ending August 2015, showing a higher performance in a few

    notable metrics compared with July but overall mixed results.

    For the month ending August 2015, the number of Daily

    Average Revenue Trades (DARTs) were reported at 652,000,

    corresponding to a jump of 13 per cent from July 2015 and 49

    per cent higher from August 2014. These gains were partly pared

    by the equity balance in customers accounts totaled just $62.9

    billion in August 2015, which represents a decline of four per

    cent from $65.8 billion in July 2015. As is the case with most

    of its business however, 2015 has been a more fruitful year for

    Interactive Brokers, with equity balance rising 13 per cent from

    August 2014.

    Source: www.financemagnates.com

    Shares of Plus500 will be delisted from the London Stock

    Exchange’s Alternative Investments Market (AIM) after the

    conclusion of the merger deal with Playtech. Both companies

    have recently reported their earnings for the second quarter of

    2015. The brokerage reported revenues higher by 20 per cent

    as profit declined 25 per cent. Playtech expects to conclude

    the merger with Plus500 not earlier than September according

    to its earnings report. After the conclusion of the deal the

    owner of the company will be a subsidiary established by the

    gaming company under the name Brighttech. The merger is still

    pending the formal approval from the U.K. Financial ConductAuthority (FCA).

    Source: www.financemagnates.com

    http://www.saxobank.com/http://www.swissquote.ch/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.financemagnates.com/http://www.swissquote.ch/http://www.saxobank.com/

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    INSIGHTS – TRADERS´ TALK

    12

    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    Chris Weaver

    CEO of My Trading Zone

    TRADERS´ Talk

    We talked to Chris Weaver, CEO of My Trading Zone, about his idea of

    teaching others how to coach traders and about coaching traders in general.

    Coaching Is about Listening

    » TRADERS´: Your idea of teaching someone how to coach

    other traders is new – what is your motivation behind

    My Trading Zone?

    Weaver: Coaching is about listening. A lot of trading

    coaches are very keen to demonstrate their expertise in

    an attempt to impress the coaching candidate enough

    that they will want to buy more coaching. On the surface

    this makes sense, but in reality it does not work. Clients

    normally have a very strong idea of what they actuallywant to learn or get out of a coaching session. It is critical

    that the coach identifies what the candidate would like

    to learn and address it during the session. The candidate

    finds value in the session and is more likely to buy more

    coaching.

    TRADERS´: What is the most important thing

    when you want to be a coach in the financial market?

    Weaver: Online infrastructure and product strategy. We

    are very big on the sales funnel which is the process of

    taking a client who is unknown to your product or brand

    and moving them all the way up to a premium customer.How your trading and coaching products are displayed

    and accessed are directly related to the success of your

    business.

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    INSIGHTS – TRADERS´ TALK

    13

    TRADERS´: Are there common mistakes

    a coach should avoid?

    Weaver: Do not talk too much and do not assume that you

    know what the candidate wants to learn. I am stressing

    this point as I feel it is such a common error that trading

    coaches make. We suggest having a very thorough fact

    finding document filled in by the client before the series

    of coaching sessions begin. This is a great way to get to

    know your customer and portrays a very professional

    image.

    TRADERS´: What do you think about the coaching market?

    Is there a backlog of demand? What is a trader looking for

    when he/she is interested in coaching courses?

    Weaver: I believe there is a strong demand for quality

    coaching with well thought out and professionally

    presented products. More and more retail traders are

    coming to the market every day and they are interested

    in learning. There are plenty of amateurs out there but I

    believe they will be forced to either increase the overall

    quality of their offering or exit the market.

    TRADERS´: So, what can My Trading Zone offer?

    Are there special products?

    Weaver: My Trading Zone is an online resource centre for

    both private trading coaches and larger trading education

    providers. We provide websites for individuals and

    organisations who would like to run their own trading

    education businesses. We also offer custom and/or white

    labelled courses and presentations for trading education

    companies, as well as free initial consultations and product

    demonstrations to anyone interested in our services.

    TRADERS´: Webinars are now a common thing. What do you

    prefer – an online coaching or a personal coaching?

    Weaver: I prefer convenience and comfort. Whichever is

    best for the client and the coach to be productive makes

    sense to me. They can both work extremely well.

    TRADERS´: What can we expect from the coaching market

    in the future?

    Weaver: I believe that the “cream will rise to the top”.

    As I stated earlier, the amateur coaches and trading

    organisations who are not properly structuring their

    marketing, product offering and presentation will be

    forced out by those who are. I think there will be some real

    quality coaching companies that seize the opportunity

    over the next few years and generate heavy profits. «

    I believe there is a strong demand for quality coaching

    with well thought out and professionally presented products.

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    INSIGHTS

    14

    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    Critical Traits to Possess in Order to Make it

    How to Get a Job

    in Proprietary Trading

    Trader Rayner Teo discusses the traits you need in order to land a job at a prop firm. In addition to a

    passion for trading, there are things like having grit and being good at numbers. And the list goes on.

    »  Proprietary trading is when a bank, firm or other any

    financial institution trades on its own account rather than

    on behalf of a customer. The instruments traded can be

    anything from options, futures, currencies, derivatives

    etc. Proprietary trading involves risking the firm’s capital,thus any profits or losses are borne entirely by the firm.

    It is a highly sought after job as traders do not need to

    cough up with initial capital, receive professional training

    from seasoned traders, and still get a share of profits if

    they make money. Thus it is no surprise to see many fresh

    graduates applying for such a role.

    But the interesting aspect about trading is that your

    IQ has little to do with successful trading. We have seentraders who made millions with a zero level education,

    and traders who failed even with a master’s degree.

    Because of this fact, proprietary trading firms are not

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    about trading and are not just walking the talk. This will

    make you stand out from the thousands of applicants you

    are competing with.

    Even if you are a losing trader, it does not matter.

    Because it tells them you are accepting your current

    status (a losing trader) and want to improve your trading

    by joining a proprietary trading firm.

    If you want to take it further, bring along your trading

     journal and charts during the interview to explain your

    thought processes behind your trades. Which interviewer

    would dislike a candidate like this?

    Grit

    Grit means firmness of character, indomitable spirit

    (dictionary.com). Passion alone is not enough to succeed,

    studies have shown that Grit plays an important factor as

    well. So what is grit?

    Grit is the ability to keep moving forward even when

    crap hits the fence. Most traders will quit and stay away

    from trading after blowing up a few trading accounts. But

    those with grit will constantly reflect upon their actions

    and seek to better themselves, which separates the

    winners from the losers.

    The author spent close to four years learning how

    to trade but still was not profitable. It was depressing

    as he knew so much about trading and yet he could notturn his knowledge into profits. Many times he felt that

    profitable trading was an illusion but never once did he

    consider giving up. There was always something in him

    that pushed him forward, and today he realizes it is none

    other than grit.

    looking to hire candidates with the best educational

    background or the highest IQ. So what does it take to get

    a job in proprietary trading?

    Passion for Trading

    Just like anything else in life, if you have no passion in

    whatever you are doing you will not be able to give your

    100 per cent. And the same goes for trading, you must

    have passion for it to have a chance of succeeding at it.

    So what is passion?

    It is not reading a few books on trading and thinking

    you can make money by clicking your mouse. Neither is

    it going to forums looking for the best trading strategy.

    These are hobbies and hobbies cost money.

    Rather, passion for trading is devoting countless

    hours each day, week, month and even years to improve

    yourself. To get better and better each day yet staying

    humble all the way.

    You will be reading hundreds of books, spending

    infinite hours on Youtube watching trading videos, and

    keeping a trading journal to record your progress as a

    trader. Sounds like hard work? That is passion for trading.

    Prove it

    When you are interviewing for a proprietary trading job,

    you want to convince the interviewer about your passionfor trading and your ability to persevere. What is the best

    way?

    We feel the best way to go about it is to start trading

    on your own retail account. By showing the interviewer

    your own trading records, it tells them you are passionate

    mailto:[email protected]

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    If you do not believe, check out this book, “Pit Bull:

    Lessons from Wall Street’s Champion Day Trader” about

    a trader called Martin Schwartz who lost money for nine

    years before making millions every year.

    Minimal Liabilities

    It would be ideal to come into proprietary trading with as

    little liabilities and commitment as possible. It is best you

    are not married with kids, have no outstanding loans or

    any form of financial liabilities. Why is that so?

    Because most proprietary trading firms operate on

    the basis of giving their traders a basic allowance and a

    profit sharing scheme. Not forgetting that trading has a

    steep learning curve which can take a trader anywhere

    from six to 18 months to be consistently profitable.

    This means you will be living on a shoestring budget

    for a period of time till you are consistently profitable.

    Thus it makes perfect sense to reduce or have no liabilitiesat all.

    Most proprietary trading firms will look out for this

    factor, and this explains why they tend to hire fresh

    graduates who are below 30 years old.

    Quick with Numbers

    The trading approach of most proprietary trading firms

    is scalping, arbitraging or day trading. Because you are

    trading on such low time frames, you need to think fast

    and act fast. So how do they test you?

    During the interviews they would ask you

    mathematical questions (48 x 67) or solve some

    statistical puzzle (Monty Hall). Some proprietary trading

    firms take it one step further by requiring you to pass

    Rayner Teo

    Rayner Teo is a trader, blogger and founderof TradingWithRayner.com. He has threadsfeatured in Forexfactory and Hardw arezone.Traders around the world have benefited from his

    sharing, and he is widely followed on YouTubeand ForexFactory. When he is not trading, he hitsthe gym or reads a book.

     www.tradingwithrayner.com

    a mathematical test before granting you an interview.

    You may even be asked to play a game of poker with the

    other candidates.

    You can consider doing mathematical speed test a

    few weeks prior to your interview to improve your mental

    calculation.

    Commonly Asked Questions

    The author has been through a number of interviews at

    different proprietary trading firms, and here are some

    commonly asked questions:

     • Why do you want to be a trader?

     • Can you survive without a fixed pay?

     • How long are you willing to give yourself?

     • What trading books have you read?

     • What is your trading approach to the markets?

     • How much money do you want to make? • Where did you learn how to trade?

     • Solve the Monty Hall problem

     • What is 32 x 32?

    Tell a Story

    For every interview the author will highlight his passion

    for trading, show evidence to prove it and explain his

    determination to succeed. He does it by sharing his story

    with the interviewer from childhood till present. He loves

    to share his story because it engages the interviewers and

    gives them an idea of personal traits and characteristics.

    Conclusion

    In Singapore, proprietary trading jobs are usually

    advertised four to six times a year on jobs portal like

    Jobstreet, Jobsdb and Efinancialcareers. If you want a

    career in proprietary trading, always keep a look out for

    such openings.

    When granted an interview, you must convince the

    interviewers you are passionate about trading and have

    the grit to see through the tough days ahead. You canconsider telling a story like the author does to illustrate

    the key characteristics proprietary trading firms are

    looking for. «

    You must convince the interviewers

    you are passionate about trading and have

    the grit to see through the tough days ahead.

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    INSIGHTS

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    Portfolio MetricsAn Abnormal Fixation on Return

    Trading and investing are done with one major purpose in

    mind: making profits. Even though preventing losses are part

    of the package as well, one’s returns seem to be the ultimate

    (dis)proof of one’s ability. In this article we are going to take a

    shot at convincing you of why looking at returns is a very badidea when it comes to estimating one’s long term potential in

    financial markets. And of course, we will end up suggesting

    what better indicators there might be.

    Dirk Vandycke

    Dirk Vandycke has been actively and independentlystudying the markets since 1995 with a focus ontechnical analysis, market dynamics and behaviouralfinance. He writes articles on a regular basis and

    develops software partly available at his co-ownedwebsite www.chartmill.com. He teaches softwaredevelopment and statistics at a Belgian University.

     [email protected]

    http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.chartmill.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.chartmill.com/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/

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    INSIGHTS

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    decision (process)

    good bad

    outcome

    good  deserved

    success

    dumb

    luck

    bad  bad

    luck

    poetic

    justice

    This table shows how outcomes might relate to decisions made.

    Source: www.chartmill.com

    F1) On Decisions and Outcomes

    probability

    possibility

    » Making it alive running through a dynamite factory with

    a burning match in your hand does not mean you are not

    an idiot. More accurately, it does not mean deciding to do

    so was a good idea to begin with. Welcome to our biased

    world.

    The Third Monkey

    As evolutionary biologists well know by now, we are a

    species (not the only one) of overactive pattern seekers.

    During our evolution, this started out with physical

    patterns but quickly turned into looking for causal

    relationships as well. All of this is good, because it has putus where we are today. The sons and daughters of a very

    impressive chain of survivors harnessing those powers

    along the way. However, falsely recognising something

    that is not there, does not diminish our survival chances.

    Not seeing what actually is there, almost guarantees not

    handing over genetic material to the next generation. So

    up until today, we see way too many patterns and causal

    relationships.

    Biases in Abundance

    The relationship relevant in the search for where our

    obsession with returns comes from, is the one between

    the decisions we make (process) and the outcomes we

    eventually get. To most it is crystal clear that with good

    decisions must come good results. And while affirming

    the antecedent we wrongly turn this upside down into

    good results having to be proof of good decisions made.

    Unfortunately there is a lot wrong with this default view.

    Figure 1 shows that with good and bad decisions on

    one side and good and bad outcomes on another, there

    are four, not two, possible combinations. So on anyindividual occasion, good decisions may unfortunately

    turn into bad outcomes while good outcomes may spring

    from even bad decisions. That is what we call bad luck

    We see way too many

    patterns and causal relationships.

    in the former case and dumb luck in the latter. For an

    individual occasion we are talking (four) possibilities, but

    in a repetitive frame, sticking to good decisions will on

    average have good results as output. That is probability

    taking over. Having four possibilities does not mean they

    will share equal likelihood (25 per cent).

    Judging decisions on their outcome, although not all

    that is known now was known at the time the decision

    had to be made, is what is called outcome bias. Its close

    friend, hindsight bias, states that we are prone to estimate

    what we knew or how we felt making the decision. The

    ”I knew effect”. Well, you probably did not know it then!While similar to the outcome bias, the two phenomena

    are markedly different. The hindsight bias focuses on

    memory distortion to favour the actor, while the outcome

    bias focuses exclusively on weighting the past outcome

    heavier than other pieces of information in deciding, if a

    past decision was a good one.

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    Profit (De)bunk(ing)

    There is no shortage of fisherman’s

    yarn in the financial industry.

    One way to defuse the excessive

    importance we put on returns (after

    all the good outcome we are looking

    for), is to put them in perspective

    on a larger time scale. We present

    you Table 1, a table of long term

    compound returns. In blue, we have

    the average risk free return over

    the past 53 years. In red Warren

    Buffett’s net worth is shown, while

    in green and yellow we have the

    GDP of Belgium (a small country)

    and the USA (a very large country).

    Now that should put it into

    perspective, a few of the examples

    of great returns. For instance on the lowest row we have

    the winner of a one-month guru competition. Simple math

    indicates that these examples are highly probably just

    plain luck (or fraud) and very likely impossible to be even

    an average sustainable return. Another one is a service

    stating it is easy to achieve a 200 bucks earning a day on a

    10,000 portfolio. Of course you cannot compound or this

    would make too much money, we were told criticising thisscam with the same numbers of Table 1.

    Repetitiveness and scalability are key in turning your

    traders’ mind around such examples. If something sounds

    Being profitable in the long r un with trading, and every investing enterprise for that matter, is about cutting

    losses and letting profits run. Although this is a hearsay thing of ages, statistical exp ectancy actually proofs

    the saying mathematical. It is not about being right or wrong but handling both profits and losses well.

    Source: www.chartmill.com

    F2) Expectancy Depicted as Scales

    So this is what to expect when cumulating profits (given both on a p er month as well as a per year base) over ten and up to 60 years. As Einstein put it: “Compound interest

    is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it ... he who does not, p ays it”.

    Source: www.chartmill.com

    Return Per Month Return Per Year Return Over 10 Years 100 Over 10 Years 100 Over 60 Years

    0.21% 2.50% 28% 128 440

    0.47% 5.84% 76% 176 3009

    1.00% 12.68% 230% 330 129238

    2.00% 26.82% 977% 1077 155640877

    2.84% 39.99% 2789% 2889 58200000000

    3.00% 42.58% 3371% 3471 174904823971

    3.13% 44.83% 3960% 4060 447599831447

    3.65% 53.70% 7260% 7360 15889960045023

    4.00% 60.10% 10966% 11066 183655650658859

    5.00% 79.59% 34791% 34891 180424425186733000

    10.00% 213.84% 9270807% 9270907 63494091560654900000000000000000

    15.00% 435.03% 1921944400% 1921944500 5040168486422420000000000000000000000000000000

    T1) Cumulative Effect of Returns

    A colleague once tried to convince me of the fact that

    it seemed obviously a good idea, at least to him, having

    bought shares of a tumbling bank in 2008 a week before

    breaking news. Having made a whopping 200 per cent out

    of it, he was all confused and surprised by my question, if

    it had seemed a good idea at the moment when he made

    the decision. Mind the fact that good decisions are not

    restricted to knowing what stock to buy. There is far moreimportant decisions a good trader can make, in the absence

    of knowing what the outcome will be. Selling losers before

    a mistake turns into a problem is just one of them.

    http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.chartmill.com/http://www.chartmill.com/http://www.chartmill.com/http://www.chartmill.com/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/

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    INSIGHTS

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    too beautiful to be true, it probably is. If they promise you

    quick wealth, quick is how you need to get out.

    New Quality Metrics

    If returns are not the way to measure achievement, then

    what is? Well, in true science we have to keep track of the

    misses, not just the hits! Likewise a good trader is to be

    spot by looking at his losses.

    Take Figure 2. A picture we frequently (re)use

    to explain that profits come from balancing the

    average size of profits and losses over their relative

    frequency. Since we have far more control over the

    average size of our profits and losses than we have

    over their frequency, we should focus on minimising

    losses and maximising gains. From this it follows

    that a good portfolio or trader must be recognisable

    from an overall historical picture showing (lots of)

    small losses and (probably fewer) big winners. In

    contrast though, with each momentarily look at such

    a portfolio, chances are that you will find just the

    opposite. For there will be few small losses and almost

    only (big) winners. Because losses need to be weeded

    out quickly. So metrics might include the average size

    of losers against the average size of winners but also

    the average holding period of losers against that of

    winners. Also having a rising equity curve with small

    drawdowns and more losers than winners is a strong

    indication of a good trader.

    One remarkable psychological study even showed

    how long term performance of traders was, to a certain

    extent, inversely correlated with how frequently

    performance was measured (by return). So the more

    traders look at their returns, the less they seem to have

    them. But we cannot deduce any causality from this

    without further study. It could just as well be that bad

    traders look at their returns more. But even then it is a

    correlative indicator, nevertheless.

    In Conclusion

    Returns, in the end, will be the result of being a consistent

    trader focusing on self reflection while keeping a

    constant eye on risk management and position sizing.

    So as bad as metric returns are on short time scales,

    as inevitable they will be in the long run as the ultimate

    proof of being able to do the right things instead of

    doing things right. «

    http://goo.gl/4Z2C8

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    In September and October there is a

    good chance that many stocks and

    indices will end their correction. In this

    issue we show you the ideal entry date

    for an American stock and the German

    DAX.

    Trading Seasonalities

    Seasonal Low for a Coffee Stock and the German DAX

    Keurig Green Mountain has lost heavily during the past months. The seasonal analysis recommends a buyon 30th September with a holding period until 7th February of the following year. In the past, you could have

    achieved a profit of 32 per cent on average with an average loss of 17 per cent.

    Source: www.lp-software.de

    F1) Trading Idea Keurig Green Mountain

    » Trading Idea Keurig Green Mountain

    The US-stock Keurig Green Moun-

    tain (GMCR), formerly known as

    Green Mountain Coffee Roaster,

    is the first seasonal trading idea.

    The stock may be a long candidate

    on 30th September, with a hold-

    ing period until 4th February 2016.Based on the data of the past 16

    years you could have achieved an

    average profit of 32 per cent during

    http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.lp-software.de/http://www.lp-software.de/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/

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    INSIGHTS

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    traded indices. It lost about 15 per cent and even closed

    well below the 10,000 level. Figure 2 shows that buyers

    used the opportunity of the low prices to buy. Another

    pullback to the lower downtrend line on 10th Octoberwould be an ideal entry date to trade the seasonal strat-

    egy. The DAX may quote at about 9,070 points at that

    time. Then you would achieve a risk-reward-ratio of

    3.65, which is very good. Both trading ideas could also

    be implemented with leveraged instruments (options,

    futures and CFDs). «

    these 127 days. One year there was

    even a profit of over 200 per cent.

    The stop-loss should be placed 17

    per cent below the entry price. The

    stock has dropped considerably

    during the past months and as the

    quarterly earnings at the beginning

    of August did not fulfil the expecta-

    tions, the stock lost another 30 per

    cent overnight. Figure 1 shows the

    price development of the stock with

    several seasonal lines as well as

    the entry and exit dates displayed

    with vertical lines in green and red.

    The chart shows, that a lower down

    trend line was touched and a small

    reversal started. The stock shows

    a bottom formation starting at the

    entry date and therefore we should

    look for an entry. The maximum po-

    tential is the uptrend line, where you can find the 200-

    day line as well. Another interesting entry would be the

    support from the years 2011 and 2012 at the level of $34.

    In August of the previous year, Coca-Cola closed a longterm deal with the company and bought ten per cent of

    the shares. The low prices could challenge Coca-Cola to

    buy further stocks and to eventually take over the com-

    pany. That could possibly lead to increasing prices.

    Trading Idea German DAX

    The second trading idea is one of the darlings of Eu-

    rope’s traders – the German DAX. Based on seasonali-

    ties the ideal entry date for a long position would be

    10th October with a holding period until 4th January

    2016. Based on the data of the past 27 years you would

    have achieved a profit of ten per cent with a hit ratio

    of 86 per cent. The risk of loss was 2.64 per cent. The

    maximum profit was over 22 per cent. The stop-loss

    should be placed about 22 per cent below the entry.

    The DAX started a correction like most of the active

    We will publish an update on 1st and on 13th October

    2015 on our TRADERS´ website and on facebook, with an

    analysis based on the current chart. The profit targets and

    stop-losses will be calculated as well.

    Update

    The DAX has been in a strong correction during the past months. We suggest to use the touch of the triple

    support at the area of 9,070 on the entr y date 10th October to buy until 4th January of the following year.

    Source: www.lp-software.de

    F2) Trading Idea German DAX

    Table 1 shows the entry- and exit-dates of the introduced trading ideas.

    Source: www.captimizer.com

    T1) Seasonal Trades of the Month

    Instrument Keurig Green Mountain German DAX

    Direction Bullish Bullish

    Entry 30.09.2015 10.10.2015

    Exit 04.02.2016 04.01.2016

    %-Win 94.00% 86.00%

    History in years 16 27

    Average profit 32.00% 9.32%

    Maximum profit 219.00% 22.91%

    Average loss 17.00% 2.64%

    Maximum loss 58.00% 4.92%

    Holding period 127 days 86 days

    http://www.lp-software.de/http://www.captimizer.com/http://www.captimizer.com/http://www.lp-software.de/

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    COVER STORY

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    A stop-loss is an order that is triggered automatically when the price reaches a preset adverse level.

    However, it is not a perfect risk control tool (there is no perfect risk control tool). And that is the reason

    why certain professionals are preaching against it. On the other hand, some veterans, each with decades

    of experience, vehemently advocate the use of stops. Who should you believe? Should you use stop-loss

    in your trading? This article discusses the controversy surrounding this enigmatic risk control tool.

    Do You Need Life Insurance in the Markets?

    The Stop-Loss Controversy

    » Arguments Against Stops

    Those who preach against stop-loss believe that it has

    negative effects on the performance of their trading

    systems. They believe the only smart thing they can do is

    to avoid the use of stops, for it increases negative ordersin the account history, including trades that could have

    won, but which were stopped out at losses, for volatility

    invariably affects the initial stop and price target. They

    feel one can become profitable without the use of stops,

    since there are profitable traders who do not use stops.

    They make people realise that every stop stands for either

    a loss of capital or a loss of profits.

    Problems with Trading Methodologies that Do Not Use Stops

    When the author was a neophyte, he once came across

    an institutional trader who advised him against the use

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    http://www.fxpro.co.uk/

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    COVER STORY

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    of stops. He thought she was giving him good advice,

    without knowing that he would suffer for believing her.The majority of those professionals once thought that

    they could survive without stops; whereas you would

    hardly come across sane forex traders who do not use

    stops. Many professionals have learned bitter lessons as

    a result of their past failure to use stops to safeguard all

    their trades. You might even need to find out the truth

    yourself. Open a demo account with a broker that does

    not allow their demos to expire, as long as a few trades

    per month are placed. Trade with such a demo account

    without using stop-loss in all your trades. Do that for two

    years and then report to us, showing us your account

    history.

    Believe us, when you receive margin calls, you will

    not experience the gains enjoyed by stop-loss users. Any

    trading methodology that does not use stops, or that

    recommends the use of mental stops should be monitored

    more closely, simply for the benefit of the doubt. With such

    a methodology, traders may transiently appear cute when

    some drawdowns are recovered and when losing positions

    eventually break even or become positive positions, but it is

    inevitable that an event will happen, like natural disasters,high frequency trading disasters, unprecedented volatility

    in some pairs, et cetera. which will make your mental stops

    useless or make you freeze in terror. You will be unable

    to act until the inevitable happens

    to your account. Why would you

    lose a colossal amount of money

    in a trade when it could simply be a

    negligible loss? Do you want to be like

    those gamblers who call themselves

    pros? Those who treat trading like a

    business use stops, gamblers do not!

    Why would someone lose tens

    of thousands of dollars or hundreds

    of thousands of dollars or millions

    of dollars before they learn a simple

    lesson? Why can they not limit

    their loss with stops in order to

    avoid the harrowing consequences

    of stupidity? If you are already a

    speculator and right now you do not

    use stops, then the best favour you

    can do for yourself is to stop the no

    stop-loss mentality and set stops

    with your positions.

    The only life insurance that can

    guarantee your permanent success

    in the markets is stop-loss. Please check what happened

    to JPY pairs in October and November 2014. Good profitswould have been made if you were in the right direction,

    but if you got caught in the wrong direction, what would

    you have done? We pity those large institutions that do

    not currently believe in stops. Obviously, they fail to learn

    lessons from large institutions that crashed and burned

    in the past.

    When your portfolio experiences severe roll-downs,

    we know you are not going to be happy. Your main

    preoccupation is how to recover the roll-downs, which

    is more difficult than preventing it in the first case. There

    is a probability that your portfolio will never recover

    when another roll-down drives it further into more

    negative territory, while you are trying to recover from

    the first roll-down. A margin call can follow. So why did

    you not prevent this in the first place by using objective

    stops? You can only enjoy higher probability of survival

    with stop-loss. Stop-loss is mandatory as you give

    your winning trades some leeway. One professional

    even declares, without mincing words that anyone who

    would argue against risk control by discouraging the

    use of stops is a fool indeed. In effect, they are sayingyou should put your capital at unlimited risk. It should

    become clear to yourself which one is sensible for you –

    limited risk or unlimited risk.

    In 2013 and 2014, Silver fell in an established downtrend. The bull should have cut his loss at a negligible

    amount and looked for another trading opportunity. But what might have happened to a so-called professional

    who refused to use a stop?.

    Source: www.tradesignalonline.com 

    F1) Sustained Bearish Movement on Silver

    http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.tradesignalonline.com/http://www.tradesignalonline.com/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/

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    COVER STORY

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    Some Recent Examples

    Remember the 6th May 2010 Flash Crash, in which the

    Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged about 1,000 points

    (about nine per cent), only to recover those losses within

    minutes. Because of that, some people argued against

    the use of stops, while some argued in favour of stops.

    Some experts thought that they would not suffer losses

    because the market bounced back quickly. What if the

    market had not bounced back quickly? In fact, the hope

    that the market will – at some point in the future – bounce

    back quickly is the only seemingly rational explanation

    behind sermons against stops. “Stop deniers” preach

    against stops because it is not a perfect risk control tool.

    Although there are disadvantages in using risk control

    tools, you need to know that the disadvantages pale in

    insignificance when compared with the advantages.

    Please see Figure 1, from 14th July 2014 to

    5th November 2014, silver fell by 6,200 points. While a

    position trader, who likes to go with the flow of the market

    would have made some heartwarming gains, a bull that

    got caught in a wrong direction would have suffered a

    significant loss. The bearish trend on silver as a worse-

    case scenario at that period is one of the worst-case

    scenarios experienced by the bull. The bull should have

    cut his loss at a negligible amount and looked for anothertrading opportunity. But what could have happened to a

    so-called professional who refused

    to use a stop? That professional

    would have tried to cut his loss with

    the hope that the market would

    reverse that week, or the following

    one, or the following month; but

    the hope would be dashed as the

    person got to his office every day,

    sorrowing over his own stupidity. A

    small position size could amount to

    a gargantuan loss if the loss was not

    contained.

    Nobody can predict the future.

    A Harvard PhD and a high school

    dropout have equal skills at

    prophecy. The GBP/USD suffered a

    massive plunge in the year 2008 and

    since then, the pair is far from seeing

    the distribution level at 2.0000 again.

    What would have happened to thosewho failed to cut their losses on

    GBP/USD as a result of their long

    trades? They would eventually be

    forced to cut those losses at much larger losses. In a bull

    or a bear market, some accumulation and distribution

    territories can be respected. The occasional respect,

    however, is not always dependable, and only stops can

    rescue our portfolios when a strong trend continues

    against us. If you are over the age of 60, then the cable may

    not see the supply level at 2.0000 again in your generation.

    The author is tired of seeing the self-professed “gurus”

    suffering from a quick and speedy financial ruin, not only

    because of high lot sizes in proportion to their account

    sizes, but also because of their failure to use stops. Those

    who encourage you not to use stops have other sources of

    income that can sustain them in case of receiving margin

    calls; and their portfolios are probably not risk capital. Do

    you want to imitate them? They preach against the use of

    stops, but they will not tell you what happened to them

    when their preferred methodologies go through a baptism

    of fire. Your stop may not be hit but a margin call will

    force you out of the market. If this advice has given you

    cause to think, then you have taken a huge step in your

    evolution as a super trader, knowing the inherent dangers

    and problems that come with illogical trading methods

    that do not use stops. A great trader who has made tens

    of millions of dollars from the stocks and commodities

    markets told me the one individual universal reason forfailure is the inability to take a loss.

    The chart shows the Flash Crash in a one hour time frame. In that scenario, stops were run but the losses wererecovered quickly. This is often used as an argument against the use of stops. What, however, if prices had

    not rebounded and the decline continued as it did the days after?

    Source: www.tradesignalonline.com

    F2) Flash Crash 6th May 2010

    http://www.tradesignalonline.com/http://www.tradesignalonline.com/

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    Further Arguments for Stops

    The author has experienced the wonders of stops allthrough his career as a trader. At some point, you will

    suffer limited losses if you use stops and unlimited

    losses if you do not use stops. Your stop may stop

    you out of a trade that could have ended up being a

    winner, but you are safer with the stop in place (you

    are vulnerable without one). We are not talking about

    mental stops, but physical stops. Even a veteran may

    not respect mental stops because

    of the heat of emotion. The markets

    have a knack for moving faster

    against us than we think.

    It is much more satisfying to

    control our urge to ignore stops.

    In the end, is it worth losing your

    entire portfolio because you want

    to satisfy momentarily irrational

    thoughts? Is the use of stop-loss

    unduly restrictive? Not at all!

    To disregard its use is to invite

    problems and unhappiness in your

    trading experience. Heeding the

    advice to use stops and other risk

    limiting tools adds peace of mind to

    your career. Furthermore, you have

    the prospect of enjoying lasting

    survival in the markets, whereas

    those who cultivate emotional and

    irrational trading styles lose out

    on both happiness and money.

    Perhaps you might go scot-free in

    other types of financial markets without s tops, but you

    cannot emerge unscathed out of forex if you do not usestops.

    The Greatest Achievement in Trading

    The greatest skill in trading is your ability to cut losses.

    This has nothing to do with what or who you are. The

    greatest achievement in trading is controlling the

    treacherous statistics called drawdowns, not making

    profits, for profits are easy to make but difficult to

    control. For example, if you made a profit of ten per cent

    in this month, you could start experiencing losses in the

    first or the second week of the next month (as is true of

    any trading approach you might adopt). Proof of your

    proficiency then lies in your ability to lose as lit tle money

    as possible, going down by, say, three per cent to six per

    cent maximum. This way it is easier for you to bounce

    back when the strategy enters another encouraging

    winning streak. However, a bad trader would lose from

    ten to 40 per cent or even more, during such a transitory

    losing streak. What is the benefit of gaining 20 per cent

    this month and losing 40 per cent the next?

    Your ability to cut your losses when they are stillinsignificant is the most important aspect of your trading

    career. It is the greatest determinant to your everlasting

    success, your ability to survive losing streaks (which all

    Anybody not using a stop when tr ading short against the trend in USD/JPY could easily have been killed if the

    position size had been sufficiently large. When breaking out above 110, price did not bounce back as is often

    assumed will happen.

    Source: www.tradesignalonline.com

    F3) USD/JPY Bull Run in 2014

    A stop-loss order is an order placed with a broker to sell

    a security when it reaches a certain price. A stop-loss

    order is designed to limit an investor’s loss on a position in

    a security. Although most investors associate a stop-loss

    order only with a long position, it should also be used for

    a short position, in which case the security will be bought,

    if it trades above a defined price. A stop-loss order takes

    the emotion out of trading decisions and can especially

    be handy when one is on holiday or cannot watch his/her

    position. However, execution is not guaranteed, particularly

    in situations where trading in the stock is interrupted or

    gaps down (or up) in price.Source: Investopedia.com

    Stop-Loss Order

    http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.tradesignalonline.com/http://www.tradesignalonline.com/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/

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    COVER STORY

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    The ability to use and respect stop-loss is the foundation

    of your progress in trading. If you fail to do this, other

    things are completely useless.

    Like in real life, doing the right things does not always

    make you appear smart. In fact, you may sometimes look

    stupid by doing the right things. A trader that uses a stop

    may appear stupid when they are stopped out on a trade

    that eventually reverses and turns positive. A trader may

    appear stupid when a position they are trying to ride fails

    to meet its target, turning from positivity to negativity.

    But in the end, we will reap the benefits by doing the right

    things. «

    proficient traders must inevitably face occasionally), and

    the possibility of ending up being profitable.

    Final Thoughts

    Many pragmatic traders advise that stop-loss is

    extremely crucial (not mental stops). Please enter a stop

    before or after you enter a trade. You cannot afford to

    be married to your screen because every movement in

    price – whether significant or moderate – will cause you

    anguish if your position is negative. Every movement

    can run you mad.

    On the battlefield of the financial markets, the most

    common factor that will demoralise you or kill your

    portfolio is your inability to respect your stops. Every

    trader must decide to use stops when trading, for this is

    part of the rock solid discipline required for successful

    trading. Some people think that they can set stop-loss

    some hours or days later (too wide stops), and at last, the

    plan to use stops is abandoned. There are also traders,

    who widen their stops more and more because they want

    to give losing positions more leeway. When the use of

    stops becomes a part of you, you are already triumphant.

    Azeez Mustapha

    Azeez Mustapha is an official analyst at Instaforex

    Companies Group, a blogger at Advfn.com, anda freelance author for trading magazines. He isworking as a tr ading signals provider at somewebsites. He is a senior analyst at Paxforex.com.His articles are also available on other websites likewww.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com.

    [email protected]

    http://www.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com/mailto:[email protected]://www.tradersonline-mag.com/index.php/forummailto:[email protected]://www.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com/

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    COVER STORY

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015COVER STORY

    30

    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    Ad vice  from Our Pro fes

    sionals

    When you hear the word trading the first thought that may spring to mind

    is profit. In Forex trading a popular function is a take profit order, which is

    an automated order to close a profiting trade.

    The words take profit may make your eyes shine when you hear them, but

    what if the market goes against you and you start losing, and you wish

    you had closed your position earlier…

    Well, thank the man who invented the take profit order, as he also

    invented the stop-loss order which is designed to limit an investor’s loss

    on an open position when trading a security.

    You may ask yourself: what can the benefit of a loss be? I will answer

    your question with a question: why would you ignore the word “stop”?

    When you use a stop-loss order you avoid liquidation, minimise your

    loss, close positions if the market goes against you, and remove the

    need to monitor your position on a daily basis .

    A popular theory says if you open ten positions, seven become losing

    positions and three become winning ones, your total will be positive if

    you place a stop-loss for each.

    A final note to all traders is: do not open any order without protecting

    your positions!

    Wissam Al Sallakh, Business Development Manager at ICM Capital 

    When placing an order I limit a single trade to one or two per cent of my

    account balance and use the entry to stop distance to calculate the contract

    size. By using this approach the underlying volatility of the market is taken

    into consideration, so higher volatility in the market results in a wider stop

    but smaller contract size, whilst a lower volatility market results in a tighter

    stop and higher contract value.

    When choosing my stop placement I try to find less obvious places

    because too many stops in the same place (like, say, a swing high or low)

    attracts price like a magnet and usually ends with you being stopped

    out before the price reverses. Instead I will go for a wider stop behind

    a cluster of technical levels, allowing so called “breathing room” for

    market noise.

    Additionally I limit myself to two new positions of uncorrelated markets,

    and only seek to add positions if my original orders have been moved

    to break-even.

    By using smaller positon size and limiting my market exposure to

    uncorrelated markets I have significantly reduced my chances of a

    margin call should an unexpected and extreme move force me out of

    my positions.Matt Simpson, Senior Market Analyst at ThinkForex 

    What is Your Life Insurance in the Markets?

    http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/http://www.traders-mag.co.uk/

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    ADVERTORIAL

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    www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    QuantAnalyzer is a tool that allows you to import your backtest or real trading results and analyse them, to find potential

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    QuantAnalyzer

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    TOOLS   www.traders-mag.co.uk 09.2015

    »  Seoul-based financial technology firm SYSTRA has

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    implement their own algorithmic trading strategies. With

    the technology, traders can build a complex algorithm,

    without writing a single line of code. FXTraBox is a modular-

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    interchangeable, reusable modules such as Conditions and

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    already address this segment of the market, FXTraBox aims

    to deliver a multi-asset solution. The product is offered on

    a monthly subscription basis, with a free version dubbed

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    for MT4. For more information visit www.fxtrabox.com.

    » iStockAlerts  has relaunched its stock trading app forApple or Android tablets, phones, and desktop computers.

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    34

    News from the World of Technology

    NEW PRODUCTS   WEBREVIEW SOFTWAREREVIEW BOOKREVIEW APPREVIEW

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    » MetaQuotes  has made an important product

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