Trade and the Exchange Rate

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Trade and the Exchange Rate. NZ Exchange Rate. We have several different exchange rates, one for each currency. It measures how much we would get in terms of the other currency per $1 NZ . http://www.x-rates.com/calculator.html. NZ Exchange Rate. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Trade and the Exchange Rate

Page 1: Trade and the Exchange Rate
Page 2: Trade and the Exchange Rate

We have several different exchange rates, one for each currency.

It measures how much we would get in terms of the other currency per $1 NZ.

http://www.x-rates.com/calculator.html

Page 3: Trade and the Exchange Rate

If an exchange rate increases, our $NZ is appreciating. This means that we are now getting more of the other

currency per $1 NZ.

If an exchange rate is decreasing, our $NZ is depreciating. This means that we are now getting less of the other

currency per $1 NZ.

Page 4: Trade and the Exchange Rate

When we buy goods or services from other countries we must pay them in their currency. Therefore we must sell (SUPPLY) our dollar in return for the other currency. Hence why we have exchange rates, we need to know how

much of other countries currency we would get in return for every $1 NZ.

This also works in reverse: when other countries want to buy our exports they must sell their currency in return for our $NZ (DEMAND for the $NZ) in order to pay for the goods.

Page 5: Trade and the Exchange Rate

This means that the ‘market’ (demand and supply) for our NZ dollar determines the exchange rate.

Things that will increase the demand for the $NZ: Exports increase (more demand for our $NZ to pay

for these) Foreigners investing in NZ (they must invest in NZ in

our currency) i.e. our interest rate is high. Borrowing from abroad (they must lend us the money

in $NZ in order for us to use it) Increase in tourists coming to NZ.

Page 6: Trade and the Exchange Rate

Things that will increase the supply of the $NZ:

Imports increase (we need to sell more of our $ to get more of the foreign currency to pay for these)

NZer’s invest more overseas (we must invest in the currency that the country uses i.e. Japan-Yen)

Paying back loans to overseas lenders. More NZer’s traveling overseas (we must sell our

$NZ to get the currency to spend in the country we are traveling overseas).

Page 7: Trade and the Exchange Rate

The supply and demand model shows both appreciation and depreciation.

Price ($US)

Price ($US)

Quantity Quantity

d

d’d

s’

ss

Market for the $NZ (depreciation)

Market for the $NZ (appreciation)

Page 8: Trade and the Exchange Rate

Trade weighted index is a weighted average from five different currencies in terms of the NZ exchange rate.Australian dollar, UK pound, US dollar, Japanese

yen, and the euro.

When the TWI is increasing, on average our exchange rate is increasing which means our $NZ is appreciating.

When the TWI is decreasing, on average our exchange rate is decreasing which means our $NZ is depreciating.

Page 9: Trade and the Exchange Rate

When the exchange rate appreciates it becomes relatively more expensive for foreign countries to buy our exports, therefore we lose our international competitiveness.

If the Australian dollar increases from 0.5 to 1.0 a good that will cost $10 NZ will have cost them:

$5 originally $10 when the NZ dollar appreciates. Our goods are now relatively more expensive therefore we lose

our international competitiveness. Australia will demand less of our goods and more of another countries.

Page 10: Trade and the Exchange Rate

The exchange rate effects our NZ exports because we are a price taker country. So no matter what happens people pay for our exports in

terms of a price in usually $US.

Page 11: Trade and the Exchange Rate

When the exchange rate rises and the NZ dollar appreciates, exports stay the same price in terms of the $US. Example: Exchange rate in $US is 0.5, and it appreciates to 1.0. A

kg of cheese costs US$10.

At the original exchange rate NZ exporters of cheese would receive $20. At the new exchange rate NZ exporters would receive $10. NZ exporters are worse off.

When the exchange rate falls and the NZ dollar depreciates, our exporters are better off because they are receiving more for their goods.

Page 12: Trade and the Exchange Rate

When the $NZ appreciates, imports become relatively cheaper.NZ exchange rate in terms of the $US goes from 0.5

to 1.0. (US$1 originally cost us $2 NZ (1÷0.5), to $1(1÷1.0)). A good that costs US$10 originally cost us $20, now costs us $10.

When the $NZ depreciates, imports become relatively more expensive. NZ exchange rate in terms of the $US goes from 1.0

to 0.5. A good that costs US$10 originally costs us $10, now costs us $20 (1÷0.5=$2).

Page 13: Trade and the Exchange Rate

Price ($)

Quantity (units)

D

SPrice ($)

Quantity (units)

D

S

S’

D’

Market for the $NZ (appreciating)

UNHAPPY farmers (X), therefore happy importers!

Market for the $NZ (depreciating)

HAPPY farmers (X), therefore unhappy importers!

Page 14: Trade and the Exchange Rate

This measures the purchasing power of a nation’s exports (in terms of what we receive for exports and what we pay for our imports).

T of T = Index of export prices × base yr index Index of imported prices value

When it becomes more expensive to buy imports our purchasing power decreases (ToT).

When it becomes less expensive to buy imports our purchasing power increases (ToT).

Page 15: Trade and the Exchange Rate

1. What does the terms of trade measure?

2. Explain what a favourable movement in the ToT means.

3. Explain what an unfavourable movement in the ToT means.

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1. Measures the volume of imports that can be bought by a given volume of exports sold.

2. More imports can be bought by a given volume of exports sold than previously.

3. Less imports can be bought by a given volume of exports sold than previously.