Torun Tower Development Valuation Report...This Report titled “Torun Tower Development Valuation...
Transcript of Torun Tower Development Valuation Report...This Report titled “Torun Tower Development Valuation...
www.dtz.com/tr
Torun Tower Development
Valuation Report
Prepared on behalf of
Torunlar GYO
31 December 2012
www.dtz.com/tr
This Report titled “Torun Tower Development Valuation Report Update” has been
prepared by DTZ Pamir & Soyuer, as requested by Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatırım
Ortaklığı A.Ş.
DTZ Debenham Tie Leung International Property Advisers is exclusively represented
in Turkey by Pamir ve Soyuer Gayrimenkul Danışmanlık A.Ş. (“DTZ Pamir &
Soyuer”).
The mailing address of Pamir & Soyuer is presented below:
Hakkı Yeten Caddesi 15/7
Şişli - İstanbul 34365
Phone : +90 (212) 231 5530
Fax : +90 (212) 231 5820
E-mail : [email protected]
Executive contacted for the purposes of this Report is:
Prepared by:
Fadime Coban, Urban Planner,
M.Sc. in Real Estate Development
CMB Licensed Valuer
Manager/Advisory Services
(e-mail: [email protected])
Reviewed by:
Firuz Soyuer, MBA, MRICS
Managing Partner
We do not guarantee the fulfillment of any estimates contained within this report, although they have been conscientiously prepared on the basis of our own
research and information made available to us. The report may not be published, reproduced or quoted in part or in whole, nor may it be used as a basis for any
contract, prospectus, agreement or other document without our prior written consent.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................................................... 1
II. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................... 2
A. INSTRUCTION ............................................................................................................................................ 2 B. PURPOSE OF VALUATION .......................................................................................................................... 2 C. BASIS AND DEFINITION OF VALUATION .................................................................................................... 2 D. MARKET VALUE ....................................................................................................................................... 2 E. DEFINITION OF VALUE .............................................................................................................................. 2
1. Definitions ........................................................................................................................................... 2 2. Market Value ....................................................................................................................................... 2
F. APPROACHES TO VALUATION ................................................................................................................... 3 G. ASSUMPTIONS AND SOURCES OF INFORMATION ........................................................................................ 4 H. HIGHEST AND BEST USE ASSESSMENT ...................................................................................................... 4 I. APPROACH & METHOD ............................................................................................................................. 5 J. DATE OF VALUATION ................................................................................................................................ 5 K. CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES .................................................................................................................. 5
III. ISTANBUL GENERAL INFORMATION .......................................................................................... 6
A. GENERAL OVERVIEW ................................................................................................................................ 6 B. POPULATION ............................................................................................................................................. 6 C. TRANSPORTATION ..................................................................................................................................... 7 D. ECONOMY ................................................................................................................................................. 9
IV. MARKET OVERVIEW ...................................................................................................................... 11
A. İSTANBUL OFFICE MARKET .................................................................................................................... 11 B. OFFICE MARKET IN THE SUBJECT AREA.................................................................................................. 12
V. DESCRIPTION OF THE PROPERTY .................................................................................................. 18
A. LOCATION & ACCESS .............................................................................................................................. 18 B. DESCRIPTION OF THE PROPERTY ............................................................................................................. 19 C. LEGAL DESCRIPTION OF THE PROPERTY ................................................................................................. 19
1. Deed Registry Records ...................................................................................................................... 19 2. Zoning ................................................................................................................................................ 20
D. TORUN TOWER DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................................................... 20
VI. VALUATION ....................................................................................................................................... 22
A. COMMENTS / EXPLANATION / METHODOLOGY........................................................................................ 22 B. VALUATION OF THE PROPERTY - WITH DEVELOPMENT DCF - LAND RESIDUAL METHOD ....................... 22
1. Construction Area ............................................................................................................................. 22 2. Project Timing ................................................................................................................................... 23 3. Construction Costs ............................................................................................................................ 23 4. Soft Costs ........................................................................................................................................... 23 5. Infrastructure Cost ............................................................................................................................ 23 6. Rental Assumptions ........................................................................................................................... 23 7. Discount Rate .................................................................................................................................... 25 8. Cost Spent to Date ............................................................................................................................. 25 9. Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................... 26
VII. APPENDICES ...................................................................................................................................... 27
A. VALUATION TERMS AND CONDITIONS .................................................................................................... 27 B. TITLE ...................................................................................................................................................... 27 C. ENVIRONMENTAL MATTERS ................................................................................................................... 27 D. STATUTORY REQUIREMENTS AND PLANNING ......................................................................................... 27 E. INFORMATION ......................................................................................................................................... 28 F. LEGAL ISSUES ......................................................................................................................................... 28 G. DATE OF VALUATION AND CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS .................................................................. 28 H. DISPOSAL RIGHTS ................................................................................................................................... 28 I. INFRASTRUCTURE ................................................................................................................................... 28
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J. ROAD PROPOSALS ................................................................................................................................... 29 K. SURVEYS ................................................................................................................................................. 29
VIII. REFERENCES AND EXHIBITS ....................................................................................................... 30
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I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
We herewith submit our Valuation Report pertaining to the Torun Tower
Development located in Şişli, İstanbul where Torunlar Tower has been implemented.
We have inspected the Property and analysed the market conditions in the related
area. Our report has been prepared in accordance with RICS (Royal Institute of
Chartered Surveyors) standards.
Property Type Land
Owner of Record Freehold rights owned by Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatırım
A.Ş.
Deed Record 1 City İstanbul
District Şişli
Quarter Mecidiyeköy
Block No. 2011
Lot No. 7
Area 11,099.39 sq m
Type Land
Zoning Commercial and Tourism Area FAR=2.75, hmax=unlimited
(*)
Proposed
Development
Mixed use development including office and retail
components.
Total GLA 51,183.88 sq m (tower)
15,101. 87 sq m (under ground level)
(*) Provided by the client
Based on the available data and market information, together with our analysis and
experience in the İstanbul real estate market, our opinion of value of the Torunlar
GYO Property is;
Residual Land Value : USD 142,386,269
Cost Spent to Date : USD 16,185,347
Total Value of Torunlar Tower Development : USD 158,571,616
Rounded : USD 158,600,000
(One hundred fifty eight million and six hundred thousand US Dollars)
(Exhibits pp. 31 - 33)
Based on Development DCF and Residual method.
We hereby certify that we have no undisclosed interest in the Properties, and our
employment and compensation are not contingent upon our findings and valuation.
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II. INTRODUCTION
A. Instruction
DTZ Pamir & Soyuer has been instructed by Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatırım
Ortaklığı A.Ş. (“Torunlar GYO”) to update the valuation of the property located
in Mecidiyeköy Quarter of Şişli District of İstanbul.
DTZ Pamir & Soyuer and the Client have agreed the exact scope of instructions.
In summary, Torunlar GYO requires the “market value” of the subject property.
B. Purpose of Valuation
The valuation has been undertaken to estimate the value of the property which
is included in the portfolio of Torunlar GYO, listed in İstanbul Stock Exchange
(ISE). This is an update report of which the original was dated 30 June 2010
and will be publicized on the web page of Torunlar GYO.
C. Basis and Definition of Valuation
The basis of valuation is the Market Value.
D. Market Value
The value of Esentepe Property has been assessed in compliance with the RICS
(Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors) standards.
The International Valuation Standards Council (IVSC) publishes the
International Valuation Standards (IVS) that set out internationally accepted
valuation principles, procedures and definitions. RICS has adopted these
standards.
The approved IVSC definition of “Market Value” is stated in the paragraph
“Definitions”.
E. Definition of Value
1. Definitions
The Property has been valued in accordance with the relevant parts of the IVSC
(International Valuation Standards Committee) manual as adopted by RICS.
The bases of valuation are as follows:
2. Market Value
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“Market Value” is the estimated amount for which a property should exchange
on the date of valuation between a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arm’s
length transaction after proper marketing wherein the parties had each acted
knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion.
Notes:
“…date of valuation…” means the date at which the property is deemed to
be sold.
“…the estimated amount…” refers to a price expressed in terms of money
payable for the property an arm’s-length market transaction.
“…a property should exchange…” refers to the fact that the value of a
property is an estimated amount rather than a predetermined or actual sale
price. It is the price at which the market expects a transaction to be
completed.
“…on the date of valuation…” requires that the estimated Market Value is
time specific to a given date and this date is normally the date that the
hypothetical sale is deemed to take place and is therefore different from the
date when the valuation is actually prepared.
“…between a willing buyer…” refers to one who is motivated, but not
compelled to buy.
“…a willing seller…” is neither an over-eager nor a forced seller who is
prepared to sell at any price, nor one prepared to hold out for a price not
considered reasonable in the current market.
“… in an arm’s-length transaction…” an arm’s length transaction is one
between parties, who do not have a particular or special relationship which
may make the price level uncharacteristic of the market, or make it inflated
because of an element of special value.
“…after proper marketing…” means that the property would be exposed to
the market in the most appropriate manner to effect its disposal at the best
price reasonably in accordance with the Market Value definition.
“…wherein the parties had each acted knowledgeable and prudently…”
presumes that both the willing buyer and the willing seller are reasonably
well informed about the nature and characteristics of the property, its actual
and potential uses and the state of the market at the date of valuation.
“…and without compulsion…” establishes that each party is motivated to
undertake the transaction, but neither is forced nor unduly coerced to
complete it.
F. Approaches to Valuation
The three approaches to valuation are:
- Sales Comparison Approach
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The Sales Comparison Approach is based on the comparable asking price
and/or realized transaction value of similar properties located in the subject
area, having the same quantitative and qualitative specifications with the
subject property. The value indication is produced by comparing the
subject property to sales of similar properties. The sale prices of the
properties that are judged to be the most comparable indicate a range in
which the value of the subject property will fall.
- Income Capitalization Approach
The Income Capitalization Approach measures the present value of the
future benefits of property ownership. Income streams are converted into a
present value estimate through discounting (“discounted cash flow
analysis”).
- Cost Approach (Depreciated Replacement/Reproduction Cost)
The Cost Approach reflects market thinking by recognizing that market
participants relate value to cost. In estimating the value of a property, the
reproduction or replacement cost of the building improvements are
estimated, accrued depreciation is subtracted, and estimated land value is
added.
G. Assumptions and Sources of Information
These general terms, conditions and assumptions are the basis of our valuations
and reports normally prepared and also applied to the valuation contained in
this Report unless otherwise stated.
We have relied upon the details and information about the subject Property that
are provided by the officials of the owner company Torunlar GYO.
Areas have been taken from the information supplied by the owner company. We
have not carried out measurements on sites, but from our inspection of the
properties we have no reason to believe that the stated areas are materially
inaccurate.
H. Highest and Best Use Assessment
The “Highest and Best Use Value” is synonymous with Market Value. Highest
and best use is defined by IVSC as: The most probable use of a property which
is physically possible, appropriately justified, legally permissible, financially
feasible, and which results in the highest value of the property being valued.
The concept of highest and best use is inherent in the Market Value definition.
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We are in the opinion that commercial use is the highest and best use of the
Property, and is in accordance with the zoning of the Property.
I. Approach & Method
In the valuation study of Esentepe Property; Development DCF and Residual
method to Valuation has been applied.
J. Date of Valuation
The date of valuation is 31 December, 2012.
K. Currency Exchange Rates
Central Bank of Turkey selling rates of the valuation date used in the valuation
report are as below.
TL/USD : 1.7826
TL/EUR : 2.3517
USD/EUR : 1.3192
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III. ISTANBUL GENERAL INFORMATION
A. General Overview
İstanbul, the commercial and cultural capital of Turkey is one of the most
crowded metropolitan areas of the world with a total population of over 13.6
million.
Because of the geographically strategic location, İstanbul has direct control of the
Turkish Straits that link the Black and Aegean Seas. The city serves as a junction
between the land and sea trade routes.
The city is located on two continents separated by the Bosphorus, one of the
busiest and strategic straits of the world. The Bosphorus and Fatih Sultan
Mehmet Bridges connect the Asian and European Sides. European Side has
mainly a commercial and residential character while the Asian Side is basically
residential. Two thirds of the population resides in the European Side that also
contains the CBD of İstanbul such as Maslak, Levent, and Zincirlikuyu areas.
B. Population
There are 39 districts in İstanbul. According to address based population census
in 2012 population of İstanbul is 13.8 million (18.3% of Turkey). Average
population density is 2,666/sq km in the province. Approximately 100% of the
population live in the urban areas.
The most crowded district is Bağcılar with a population of 749,000 (5.4% of
total) and the less populated district is Adalar with a population of 14,552.
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The population increase between 2009 and 2010 was 2.6%, between 2010 and
2011 was 3%, and 2011 and 2012 has been recorded as 1.6% in İstanbul
province. Male and female populations are approximately the same. People aged
less than 35 years comprise 58.8% of the total population
According to the 2012 Census, the populations of the districts are as follows:
District Population District Population
Adalar 14,552 Gaziosmanpaşa 488,258
Arnavutköy 206,299 Güngören 307,573
Ataşehir 395,758 Kadıköy 521,005
Avcılar 395,274 Kağıthane 421,356
Bağcılar 749,024 Kartal 443,293
Bahçelievler 600,162 Küçükçekmece 721,911
Bakırköy 221,336 Maltepe 460,955
Başakşehir 316,176 Pendik 625,797
Bayrampaşa 269,774 Sancaktepe 278,998
Beşiktaş 186,067 Sarıyer 289,959
Beykoz 246,352 Silivri 150,183
Beylikdüzü 229,115 Sultanbeyli 302,388
Beyoğlu 246,152 Sultangazi 492,212
Büyükçekmece 201,077 Şile 30,218
Çatalca 63,467 Şişli 318,217
Çekmeköy 193,182 Tuzla 197,657
Esenler 458,694 Ümraniye 645,238
Esenyurt 553,369 Üsküdar 535,916
Eyüp 356,512 Zeytinburnu 292,407
Fatih 428,857
Total 13,854,740
Source : Turkstat
C. Transportation
Transportation to İstanbul is provided by airways, railways, highways and
seaways. TEM (Trans European Motorway) and D-100 (E-5) highways
connect Asia and Europe via bridges over the Bosphorus and provide access to
Ankara and other European cities.
There are two airports in İstanbul. Atatürk International Airport is located in
Yeşilköy on the European side of the City approximately 25 kilometres from
the city centre (Taksim). Sabiha Gökçen International Airport is located in
Kurtköy on the Asian Side of İstanbul 50 km away from city center.
İstanbul has three ports, namely İstanbul Port (Karaköy), Haydarpaşa Port and
Ambarlı Port. Haydarpaşa and Ambarlı are freight, container and Ro-Ro ports,
while İstanbul Port is the cruiser port. Relocation of İstanbul Port is being
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considered and new port developments are planned in Bakırköy and
Zeytinburnu.
Public transportation system within city limits of İstanbul comprises of various
railway systems, funicular, bus network and maritime services.
İstanbul maritime system operates on the shores of Bosphorus and Marmara
Sea. Ferryboats, car ferries and catamarans operate between 70 terminals.
Metrobus BRT (Bus Rapid Transit) system between Söğütlüçeşme on the
Asian Side and Avcılar on the European Side provides transportation following
the E5 Road via Bosphorus Bridge. Metrobus line currently is 41 km and has
32 stations. Construction of BRT extension to Beylikdüzü is being continued.
The railway transportation system of İstanbul comprises of various suburban
network, light railway system, metro and funicular systems.
Railway transportation in İstanbul can be summarized as below.
Railway System Type Length
(km)
Passenger
Capacity
Şişhane – Atatürk Oto Sanayi Metro 14.5 195,000 person/day
Kadıköy - Kartal Metro 22 70,000 person/hr
Aksaray – Atatürk Airport Light Railway 19.6 240,000 person/day
Kabataş - Zeytinburnu Tramway 13.2 245,000 person / day
Zeytinburnu - Güngören - Bağcılar Tramway 5.2 40,000 person / day
Topkapı - Habibler Tramway 15.3 150,000 person / day
Tünel - Karaköy Funicular 0.5 13,000 person / day
Taksim – Kabataş Funicular 0.64 30,000 person / day
Taksim - Tünel Nostalgic Tramway 1.6 5,000 person / day
Kadıköy - Moda Nostalgic Tramway 2.6 2,500 person / day
Maçka - Taşkışla Cable Car 0.347 1,000 person / day
Eyüp – Piyer Loti Cable Car 0.384 2,160 person / day
Sirkeci - Halkalı Subway Train 30 13,000 person / hour
Haydarpaşa - Gebze Subway Train 42 13,000 person / hour
Bosphorus Rail Link ‘MARMARAY’:
Marmaray is the major transportation project of İstanbul aiming to link the
European and the Asian sides’ railway systems with an undersea rail tunnel
across Bosphorus.
The project includes 1.4 km İstanbul Strait crossing by a tunnel from Yenikapı
on the European side and Söğütlüçeşme on the Asian side. 41 stations and the
upgrade of 63 km of suburban lines will create a 76.3 km high capacity line
between Gebze and Halkalı Intermediate stations will be built at Sirkeci and
Üsküdar. An interchange station with İstanbul metro and light rail will be built
at Yenikapı. Marmaray is expected to start operating in 2013.
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Major projects under construction are:
Taksim - Yenikapı Metro 5.2 km; across the Golden Horn on a bridge and
underground through the old city.
Otogar (City bus terminal in Esenler) - Kirazlı 5.8 km LRT Line (2012)
Kirazlı - Olympic Village Metro 21.7 km with 16 stations (will serve 212)
D. Economy
Throughout history, İstanbul has been a strategic intersection between Europe,
Asia and the Middle East, allowing trade to flourish. İstanbul boasts a young
population, a dynamic private sector, regional connections and a developing
infrastructure. It has been one of the major seaports of Turkey for imports and
exports of traditional commodities such as textiles, tobacco, glass and leather.
The city is the dominant force in the Turkish economy providing 27.65% of
gross value added (GVA) activities. İstanbul takes the first place with USD
182.8 billion GVA in 2008. Based on the current data, the share of İstanbul
increased from 21% to 27.65% in Turkey’s gross value added (GVA) activities,
between 2001 and 2008. (2008 is last data available)
In terms of total gross value added, İstanbul ranked first place. The share of
industrial sector is 27.1% in total Turkish industrial sector, while share of
services sector is 31.4% in total Turkish services sector in 2008.
The contribution of services, industrial and agricultural sectors to total GVA of
İstanbul is 73.1%, 26.7% and 0.2% in 2008, respectively.
İstanbul has the highest share in foreign trade with 44% and 52.5% of export
and import of goods and services in Turkey, respectively. 2011 volume of
exports is recorded as USD 59.5 billion while volume of imports amounted to
USD 124 billion.
Many of Turkey’s manufacturing industries and commercial sectors are
concentrated around İstanbul, with large developments to the borders of the
city, within İzmit and Gebze Organized Industrial Zones. The original
industrial zones of İstanbul were concentrated within the city. Currently, large
scale manufacturing plants are located on the TEM Highway and towards the
outskirts of the city.
The city never played a dominant role in agricultural activities, but it is the
biggest consumer of agricultural goods in the country.
41.5 % of the bank deposits are collected in İstanbul, the financial capital of the
country. 38.5 % of the credits are also used in the city. Headquarters of major
local banks and insurance companies are located in İstanbul.
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Along with the industry, insurance and banking companies, major corporations
and multinational firms in the city steer the nation's economic life.
As end of 2011, İstanbul accommodated 56.4% of all FDI firms in terms of
number of firms. Of these firms 36% are active in retail sector, 17% in
manufacturing and 15% in real estate.
İstanbul plays an important role in tourism sector with meeting, conventions,
exhibitions and congresses in the last couple of years. İstanbul accommodates
approximately 8 million foreign visitors per year.
Economic Indicators İstanbul Turkey
GDP per capita (USD, 2008) 14,591 9,384
Unemployment rate (%, 2011) 11.8 9.8
Total export volume (billion USD, 2011) 59.5 134.6
Total import volume (billion USD, 2011) 123.9 240.8
Total bank deposit (billion USD, 2010) 165.9 339.6
Total banking loan (billion USD, 2010) 126.8 329.7 Source: TURKSTAT.
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IV. MARKET OVERVIEW
A. İstanbul Office Market
New office supply was quite limited during 2012, compared with the previous
year. As end of 2012, total Grade A office supply reached to 2.2 million sq m
in the primary office regions.
Total office supply in the European and Asian sides are 1.37 million sq m and
0.8 million sq m, respectively. Total Grade A office supply is estimated 2.7
million sq m including secondary office areas.
Approximately 63% of total Grade A office supply is located in the European
side. Although Levent - Etiler region still remain as the supply leader,
Ümraniye became the second largest primary office region, as the fastest
growing region for the last four years.
İstanbul : Grade A office supply (by regions, as 2012Q4)
Source: DTZ Pamir & Soyuer
Approximately 650,000 sq m under construction (450,000 sq m in the
European side and 200,000 sq m in the Asian side) will be delivered to the
market by 2015. Total Grade A office supply is estimated to exceed 3 million
sq m in the primary areas within the next four years. In addition,
approximately 800,000 sq m office supply in planning stage is expected to be
delivered to the market in the next five years.
The majority of the under construction developments are concentrated on the
main CBD areas, Levent and Maslak regions where availability is relatively
low. On the other hand, most of the planning stage developments are located
on the Asian side, especially, Kozyatağı - Ataşehir area where will be the new
“İstanbul Financial Center” with the relocation plan of government institutions
and banks.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Etile
r-Levent
Ümraniye
Ma
sla
k
Sis
li-Z
.kuyu
Ko
zya
tag
i
Airp
ort
Kavacık
Altuniz
ade
Th
ousands
Kozyatagi Airport
Secondary office areas(*)
(*) Estimation
Primary office areas
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İstanbul office market supply forecast (2012 – 2017), ‘000 sq m
Source: DTZ Pamir & Soyuer
As end of 2012, the rental level turned back to pre-crisis level. Vacancy rate
decreased in the European side, while it slightly increased in the Asian side.
The highest asking rent is still running around USD 45 /sq m/month in Levent -
Etiler region where vacancy rate decreased to 1.5% in 2012Q4. The highest
asking rent stand at USD 30 /sq m/month and vacancy rate decreased 5.75% in
Maslak region. In Şişli – Zincirlikuyu – Beşiktaş region, the highest asking
rent is USD 40 /sq m/month and vacancy rate was 6.85% in the 2012Q4.
The highest asking rent is USD 25 /sq m/month and the vacancy rate is 10% in
Kozyatağı. In Ümraniye, the highest asking rent stands at USD 22 /sq m/month
and vacancy rate is 15% in the third quarter of 2012.
B. Office Market in the Subject Area
Büyükdere Avenue has been developing as main CBD – Central business
district area of İstanbul since 1980s. Major part of Büyükdere Avenue is Levent
region, and Mecidiyeköy is an extension of Levent.
In the following years, due to availability of land, office developments has
extended towards both north and south-west directions of Büyükdere Avenue.
Maslak region, located on the north side of Büyükdere Avenue, was an
industrial area since late 1980s. Within time Maslak has developed as an office
area and high-rise office buildings including İz Giz Plaza, Sun Plaza, Beybi Giz
Plaza, Vodafone, Oyak, Doğus, Alarko, Akbank Headquarters were built in this
once industrial area.
-
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,250
2012 2013 2014 2015* 2016-18*
Asia Europe
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Prime high-rise office buildings and high-end residences are located in Levent,
such as Sapphire, Kanyon, Metrocity etc.
Mecidiyeköy, Zincirlikuyu and Esentepe are located on the south and south-
west direction of Büyükdere Avenue. Majority of the office space was
converted from former residential buildings along the Zincirlikuyu, Esentepe
and Mecidiyeköy region.
Delivered new office developments; Trump Tower and Rönesansbiz in
Mecidiyeköy, in central business district (CBD) of İstanbul are, as below;
Development Developer Completion GLA
Trump Tower Doğan H. 2011 36,000 sq m office,
Trump Tower
Development Developer Completion Land Area
RönesansBiz Rönesans 2013 March 3,917 sq m
Gross Closed A. GLA Parking Capacity Floor
24,896 sq m
13,766 sq m
office, 893 sq m
retail 1 / 100 sq m GLA
3 Basement, 8
Normal F.
Rönesansbiz
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Rönesansbiz
Pipeline new office developments are as below;
Development Developer 2013 2014 2015
Kristal Tower Soyak
55,000
Zorlu Center Zorlu 23,700
Levent Zorlu Zorlu 70,000
Skymark Tower Pramerica-Eria
n/a
Özdilek – River Plaza Özdilek 35,000
İstanbloom Esin Yapı 9,700
Torun Tower Torunlar GYO
63,395
Ali Sami Yen T. Center Torunlar GYO 53,244
Quasar İstanbul Viatrans&Meydanbey n/a
Supply/year
138,400 118,395 53,244
Total Supply
310.039
Kristal Tower
Trump
Towers
Astoria
Maya
Akar
Tat Towers
Zorlu C.
Özsezen
The Property
Ali Sami Yen
& Quasar D.
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Zorlu Center
Levent Zorlu Tower
Skymark Tower
Levent Özdilek D.
16
İstanbloom
Torun Center Quasar İstanbul
New office developments
Subject property is located in Mecidiyeköy region which is the major hub of
European side of Istanbul. Existing office buildings in close vicinity are Entaş,
Aygaz, Kuveytturk, Finansbank, TMSF, Denizbank, Halkbank headquarters,
and Astoria, Maya Akar, Özensen and Maya Akar office buildings.
Pipeline developments are Quasar İstanbul Development, Torun Center Ali
Sami Yen Development, Zorlu Center and Tat Towers mixed use projects in
the region.
17
Currently asking rents in CBD – Central Business District, between Şişli and
Levent area range between USD 30/sq m/month and USD 45/sq m/month.
Realized rents in A grade offices is highest in Levent region between USD 30
and USD 40/sq m/month. Asking office rents are as below;
Development GLA –sq m Asking Rent-USD sqm/mnth
Mecidiyeköybiz Office 1,700 USD 24 - 30
Trump Tower 10,000 USD 32 - 42
Metrocity D Block 2,762 USD 32 - 35
Kanyon 1,167 USD 45
Telpa 1,180 USD 45
Akmerkez
USD 30 - 40
RBS 780 USD 52
Özdilek (River Plaza) 35,000 USD 40 – 45
İstanbloom 9,700 USD 30
Astoria (Semi-furnished) USD 30 – 43
Maya Akar USD 26 – 33
Maya Akatlar USD 24 – 30
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V. DESCRIPTION OF THE PROPERTY
A. Location & Access
Esentepe property is located on Büyükdere Avenue in Mecidiyeköy quarter of
Şişli District on the European side of İstanbul. The property is easily accessible
via E5 Highway, metro system and Metrobus mass transportation. The
property is approximately 20 km to Atatürk International Airport, 5.5 km to
Fatih Sultan Mehmet Bridge and 3 km to Bosphorus Bridge.
It is situated close to Astoria, Birleşik Fon Bank building, Şişli Municipality &
Governorship and headquarters of Kuveytturk and Finansbank. Other
developments in the area are Trump Towers, İstanbloom and Zorlu Karayolları
mixed use development.
The Property
19
B. Description of the Property
Esentepe property is located on the corner of Büyükdere Avenue and Yazarlar
Street. The land is slopped with the higher edge along Büyükdere Avenue.
Formerly it was used as a car park. Construction works have started in
November 26, 2011 and planned to be completed by the Q1 2014.
Below are the photos of development as of December 2012.
C. Legal Description of the Property
1. Deed Registry Records
As per records of Şişli Deed Registrar’s Office, the lot is defined as
follows:
Province : İstanbul
District : Şişli
Region : 2.Bölge
Quarter : Mecidiyeköy
Plan No : 306
Block No : 2011
Lot No : 7
Land Area : 11,099.39 sq m
Type : Land
Owner : Torunlar GYO A.Ş.
20
Based on the information provided by İstanbul Şişli Deed Registry;
There is a mortgage for USD 100,000,000 dated 30.11.2007 with serial
no. 16823 on behalf of Garanti Bank.
There is a leasing agreement annotation for 1 TL dated 28.12.2011 for
99 years on behalf of TEDAŞ – Turkey Electricity Delivery Inc.
2. Zoning
The property is in the regulation zone of Şişli municipality. Land had
tourism and commercial use permit with FAR: 2.75 and compulsory
purchase order for metro subway station, road and public green area.
Allocation for public use was realized in April 2011.
Land owners have appealed for plan amendments in the 1/5000 and
1/1000 scale Zoning Plan.
According to provided information from Şişli Municipality; 1/5000 and
1/1000 Zoning Plan amendments have been approved. Floor Area Ratio
(FAR) has increased to 2.75. Latest legal land area and permitted
buildable area are as below;
Gross Land Area: 14,991.60 sq m
Title Deed Area: 11,099.39 sq m
Net Land Area for Building Permit: 13,257.66 sq m
F.A.R 2.75
Net Buildable Area 36,458.57 sq m
D. Torun Tower Development
Torun Tower is comprised of an office tower and basement floors which
include office space, four car-parking floors, retail units, meeting facilities,
sport center and restaurant and bank areas on ground floor.
Provided GLA is 51,183.85 sq m for office tower and 15,101.87 sq m for
podium office in Torun Tower office development.
Breakdown of areas are as below;
Use Area, sq m
Total Gross Car Parking Areas 37,208
Total Horizontal Gross Office Areas (Basement 1 & 2) 17,289
Total Tower Gross Office Areas 52,452
Total Development Gross Area 106,949
Breakdown of Net Leasable Areas are as below;
21
Use Area, sq m
Office Tower 39,465.53
Horizontal Office Basement Floors 13,027.93
Total Development Net Area 52,493.46
Breakdown of areas according to floors are as below;
Use Floor
Car parking and shelter Basement 6
Car parking Basement 5
Car parking Basement 4
Car parking, security, building management Basement 3
Office, Retail Basement 2
Office, Retail, Fitness center Basement 1
Lobby, restaurant, bank office Ground Floor
Office, floor gardens, mechanical and technical space Tower Floors
Layout Plan Tower Floor Plan Building Section
Torun Tower office floor plate sizes are between 1,542.17 and 1,616.65 sq m
which increase on the upper floors. Building with 35 floors above ground level
and 6 basement floors will have a height of 153.37 m. Normal floor height is
4.00 m.
Construction works of Torun Tower has started at the end of November 2011 to
be completed by the end of 2014 Q1. Currently, 23% of development has been
constructed and planned to be completed as shell & core in Q1 2014.
Construction cost as of 31/12/2012 is TL 28,852,000.
22
VI. VALUATION
A. Comments / Explanation / Methodology
Market Value of Esentepe Property is estimated with the Development
DCF and Land Residual method.
Our DCF residual valuation analysis is based on the current design of the
development. Proposed construction and marketable areas of different
components have been provided by Torunlar GYO and residual land
valuation is based on these areas.
Torunlar GYO has indicated that office and retail areas will be leased. In
our valuation study office and retail areas (sq m), estimated rents and all
related costs have been considered.
For the DCF analysis, valuation studies of retail and office components
have been carried out with 1.5 years construction and 8.5 years holding
period followed by capitalization of the estimated net operating income at
the point of expected reversion. We have assumed sales of the properties at
the end of the 10th year, based on capitalization assumed to be applicable at
that point in time.
For the Residual Valuation, the same market assumptions are used to
estimate the market value of the development at completion of construction,
or the Gross Development Value (GDV). After deduction of all necessary
costs including developer’s profit, the residual land value is determined.
B. Valuation of the Property - with development DCF - Land Residual
Method
In arriving at our opinion of Market Value of the property with DCF
analysis we have adopted the following main input variables:
1. Construction Area
Total construction area is 106,949.28 sq m of which the breakdown
is as below.
Construction Area
Under Ground Office and Facility Areas 17,289 sq m
Above Ground Areas 58,328.28 sq m
23
Above information is provided by Torunlar GYO.
2. Project Timing
Project timing is estimated as follows;
Construction Period 1.5years
3. Construction Costs
Unit construction costs of different components are estimated as
follows.
Type Average Unit Construction Cost
(US$ /sq m)
Office & Retail Areas $850
Car Parking & Technical Areas $300
4. Soft Costs
Soft costs are architecture/engineering projects, development and
project control, legal advisory and other professional expenses and
are estimated as 8% of total construction costs.
5. Infrastructure Cost
Infrastructure expenses are estimated as 10% of total construction
costs.
6. Rental Assumptions
Gross Leasable Area
Breakdown of areas is as follows.
Office Area-sq m
Above Ground Leasable Area (Tower) 51,183.88
Under Ground Leasable Area 15,101.87
Total GLA 66,285.75
Estimated Unit Rents
Closed Car Parking, Common & Technical Areas 31,332 sq m
Total 106,949.28 sq m
24
Taking into consideration the rent levels in İstanbul CBD average
monthly unit rents per sq m are estimated as USD 37 / sq m / month
for above ground office areas and USD 18 / sq m / month for
underground office area. Annual rent increase is assumed as 3%.
Lease Schedule
Delivery of office areas has been estimated to be at year 1.5. The
property will be leased to a single tenant with 100% occupancy
according to on-going leasing negotiations.
Property Tax
Tax amount is estimated as USD 780,004. Tax amount is increased
by 4% for the following years.
Insurance Premiums
Insurance premium for the office area to be paid by Torunlar GYO is
estimated as 2% of total annual office revenues starting from Year 2.
Operational Costs
Generally, operational costs of the office buildings (management,
security, energy etc.) are paid by the tenants. Facility management
service fee (administrative expenses) is assumed to be included in
the operational costs and is not considered as an additional expense.
Operational costs are not included in the cash flow.
Vacancy and Collection Loss
5% of total rent revenues is assumed to be vacancy and collection
loss.
Replacement Allowances
2% of total rent revenues is assumed to be replacement allowances
starting from the 5th
year of operation.
Taxes
25
The figures provided in this study do not include VAT.
Capitalization Rate – Terminal Value
The capitalization rate expresses the relation between annual net
operating income produced by the property and its sales price.
We have estimated a capitalization rate of 7.5% for the office
development terminal value projections at the end of the 10-year.
Deed Transaction & Brokerage Fee
It is assumed that the property will be sold at the end of the 10 year
holding period. Deed transaction fee is 2% of sales price. Brokerage
fee is estimated as 0.75% of sales price (2.75% total).
7. Discount Rate
The discount rate reflects the required return on investment assumed
for a project by a typical investor. The present value of the expected
cash flows is calculated by discounting the income expected to be
generated by this rate.
Discount rate for the NPV calculation of development is estimated as
10.50%. Risks involve development risk, developer’s risks and
competition risk in the market.
8. Cost Spent to Date
It has been stated by Torunlar GYO that circa USD 16,185,000 has
been spent on site works, levelling and first floors of development as
of 31/12/2012.
26
9. Conclusion
Having regard to the above factors and assumptions, we are of the
opinion that the total Market Value of the Esentepe Property is;
Residual Land Value : USD 142,386,269
Cost Spent to Date : USD 16,185,347
Total Value of Torunlar Tower Property : USD 158,571,616
Rounded : USD 158,600,000
(One hundred fifty eight million and six hundred thousand US
Dollars)
(Exhibits pp. 31 - 33)
27
VII. APPENDICES
A. Valuation Terms and Conditions
These are the general terms, conditions and assumptions upon which our
valuations and reports are normally prepared. They apply to the valuations
contained in this Report unless we have specifically mentioned otherwise
elsewhere in this Report. In the event that any of these assumptions prove to be
incorrect then our valuations should be reviewed.
B. Title
We have been provided the title deeds of the properties. Where a Certificate of
Title has been made available, we have reflected its contents in our valuations. We
have not observed the presence of mortgage records at the related Deed Office.
Latest record summary issued by the Deed Registrar’s Office was provided by
Torunlar GYO.
We have sighted copies of title documentation and have verified title only based
on the documents received. In addition, we have relied on copies of other
documentation made available to us and have assumed that such copies are both
accurate and valid and that there have been no material changes since these
documents were issued.
C. Environmental Matters
No investigations have been carried out to establish the presence of deleterious
materials on or near the properties, and for the purposes of our report we have
assumed that no such materials are present.
However, should it be established subsequently that contamination, seepage or
pollution exists at the properties, or on any neighboring land, or that any of these
properties have been, are, or will be put to a contaminative use, our conclusions,
including our valuation, may be significantly affected.
D. Statutory Requirements and Planning
Verbal or written enquiries have been made of the relevant planning authorities as to
the possibility of highway improvement proposals, comprehensive development
schemes and other ancillary planning matters that could affect property values. The
results of our enquiries have been included within our Report where relevant.
28
We would draw your attention to the fact that employees of town planning
departments now always give information on the basis that it should not be relied
upon and that formal searches should be made if more certain information is
required.
E. Information
We have assumed that the information that the landlord and your/their respective
professional advisers have supplied to us in respect of the properties are both full and
correct.
It follows that we have assumed that details of all matters likely to affect value
within your/their collective knowledge have been made available to us and that the
information is up to date.
F. Legal Issues
Legal issues, and in particular the interpretation of matters relating to title and leases,
may have a significant bearing on the value of an interest in property. Where we
have expressed an opinion upon legal issues affecting the valuation, then such
opinion should be subject to verification by the client with a suitable qualified
lawyer. In these circumstances, we accept no responsibility or liability for the true
interpretation of the legal position of the client or other parties in respect of the
valuation of the property.
G. Date of Valuation and Current Market Conditions
All conclusions reached are as reasonably could be expected given today’s market
conditions and are valid as at the date of valuation only. We would make the very
important observation that real estate markets are dynamic and subject to
fluctuation.
We accept no responsibility for legal, economic, financial or other changes after
the date of our valuation which may impact either on the real estate market or on
investor motivations.
H. Disposal Rights
We have assumed that the owners of the properties have full and unhindered rights
to dispose of its interest in the related property.
I. Infrastructure
29
In carrying out this valuation report we have stated the available infrastructure.
J. Road Proposals
Unless we have commented to the contrary, we have assumed that no proposed
road schemes shall adversely or beneficially affect the properties.
K. Surveys
We have not carried out any geological, archaeological or soil surveys of the
properties.
We have assumed that the properties contain no inherent or unforeseen defects or
pollutive substances; that there are no unusual soil conditions which may hinder
development or use of the properties; that the load bearing qualities of the site are
sufficient to support the building(s) proposed to be built thereon; that no harmful
or dangerous materials are present in, on, under, or near the properties; and that no
items of an historical nature are present on or under the sites.
If the properties are subject to any legal burden which has not been disclosed to us
then we reserve the right to amend our valuation.
30
VIII. REFERENCES AND EXHIBITS
İsmail Kazanç
Torunlar Group of Companies
CFO
Tel : (216) 425 1328
Yıldırım Sarıbal
Torunlar REIC
Tel : (216) 425 2007
DTZ Pamir & Soyuer’s data base
Sales personnel of the major developments mentioned.
Sources of demographic and economic information:
State Planning Organization (SPO)
Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (CBRT)
Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT)
Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency (BRSA)
Ministry of Tourism and Culture
31
DCF – LAND RESIDUAL VALUATION METHOD
Gross Land Area 14,992.00 sq m
Net Land Area 13,257.66 sq m
FAR 2.75
Construction Area (included to FAR) 36,458.57 sq m
Above Ground Total Areas 52,452.00 sq m
Under Ground Total Areas 17,289.00 sq m
Closed Car Parking, Common & Technical Areas 37,208.00 sq m
TOTAL CONSTRUCTION AREAS 106,949.00 sq m
Construction Program Years 1 2 Total
Office Areas 80% 20% 100%
Retail Areas 100% 100%
Car Parking 100% 100%
Infrastructure,Landscaping, etc. 80% 20% 100%
Soft Costs (*) 80% 20% 100%
Construction Costs
Years 1 2 Total
Av. Office & Retail Areas 850.00 /sq m $47,423,880 $12,211,649 $59,635,529
Car Parking & Technical Areas 300.00 /sq m $11,162,400 $11,162,400
Annual cost increase rate @ 3%
Infrastructure, Landscaping, etc. 10% Cons. Costs $4,686,902.40 $244,232.98 $4,931,135
Soft Costs (*) 8% Cons. Costs $3,749,522 $195,386 $3,944,908
Property Tax During Construction Period $721,157 $721,157 $750,004 $1,471,161
Annual property tax increase rate @ 4%
TOTAL $67,743,862 $13,401,272 $81,145,134
NPV of Costs @ 10.50% $72,282,090
*(Soft Costs - other services and costs include project management, design/engineering, general administrative expenses, legal advisory and other professional works)
TORUN TOWER DEVELOPMENT
Development Program & Capital Investment Costs
TORUN TOWER DEVELOPMENT
Breakdown of Mixed Use Project
32
Above Ground Leasable Office Areas: 51,183.88 sqm
Under Ground Leasable Office Areas: 15,101.87 sqm
Av. Tower Rent : $37.00 /sqm/mth
Av. Podium Floor Rent : $18.00 /sqm/mth
Annual Rent Escalation 3%
Office Area Rent Revenues
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11
$11,362,821 $23,066,527 $23,758,523 $24,471,279 $25,205,417 $25,961,580 $26,740,427 $27,542,640 $28,368,919 $29,219,987
$1,631,002 $3,310,934 $3,410,262 $3,512,570 $3,617,947 $3,726,485 $3,838,280 $3,953,428 $4,072,031 $4,194,192
Total Rent Revenues $12,993,823 $26,377,461 $27,168,785 $27,983,849 $28,823,364 $29,688,065 $30,578,707 $31,496,068 $32,440,950 $33,414,179
8% $1,039,506 $1,039,506
4% $780,004 $811,204 $843,652 $877,398 $912,494 $948,994 $986,954 $1,026,432 $1,067,489 $1,110,189
2% $527,549 $527,549 $543,376 $559,677 $576,467 $593,761 $611,574 $629,921 $648,819 $668,284
$649,691 $1,318,873 $1,358,439 $1,399,192 $1,441,168 $1,484,403 $1,528,935 $1,574,803 $1,622,048 $1,670,709
5%
2% $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $593,761 $611,574 $629,921 $648,819 $668,284
$0 $9,997,073 $22,680,329 $24,423,318 $25,147,581 $25,893,234 $26,067,145 $26,839,670 $27,634,990 $28,453,776 $29,296,714
Capitalization Rate 7.50%
Terminal Value $390,622,854
Deed Transaction & Brokerage Fee @ 2.75% $10,742,128
Net Cash From Sale $379,880,725
Office Net Cash Flow $0 $9,997,073 $22,680,329 $24,423,318 $25,147,581 $25,893,234 $26,067,145 $26,839,670 $27,634,990 $408,334,501
NPV of Office Rental Revenues
NPV of Office Revenues @ 10.50% $257,602,031
of total revenues @
Total Net Income
of total revenues @
Vacancy and Collection Loss
Replacement Allowances
Marketing Costs
Operating Expenses
TORUN TOWER DEVELOPMENT
Cash Flow
Under Ground Office Areas Rent Revenues
Insurance Premium (@ 1% of Total Revenues)
Above Ground Office Areas Rent Revenues
Property Tax (annual increase @)
33
TORUN TOWER
RESIDUAL LAND VALUATION
NPV of Revenues
Office $257,602,031
Total Revenues $257,602,031 $257,602,031
NET Realization $257,602,031
NPV of Costs
Construction Costs $72,282,090 $72,282,090
Total Costs $72,282,090
Profit 20% $42,933,672
Residual Land Value $142,386,269