Tornadoes - University of Maine Systemiceage.umeqs.maine.edu/ERS323/pdf/Chapter18.pdf · Tri-State...
Transcript of Tornadoes - University of Maine Systemiceage.umeqs.maine.edu/ERS323/pdf/Chapter18.pdf · Tri-State...
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Tornadoes
tornado: a violently rotating column of air
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Tornadoes
What is the typical size of a tornado?
What are typical wind speeds for a tornado?
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Five-stage life cycle of a tornado Dust Swirl Stage
Tornado begins when rotation makes contact with
the ground (A, B)
Organizing Stage Funnel cloud descends to
ground, and increases intensity (C)
Mature Stage Intensity of vortex peaks, reaches largest size, often nearly vertically erect (D)
Shrinking Stage Vortex tilts over, often
begins to look rope-like (E)
Decay Stage Becomes more rope-like
and dissipate (F)
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Tornado Formation in Supercells
What causes a supercell thunderstorm to rotate?
mesocyclone: cyclonic circulation within the updraft region of a supercell. The width of a mesocyclone is approximately 5 km (the width of an extra tropical cyclone can be thousands of km). It is associated with an area of lower pressure.
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Supercell features related to tornado formation:
A mesoscylone occlusion forms when the RFD gust front catches up to the FFD gust front.
When this occurs the updraft is weakened in the lower part of the supercell, but remains strong aloft.This leads to vertical stretching of the rotating updraft (vortex stretching), and a strengthening of the rotation.
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Vortex stretching occurs in nearly all supercells, but is not sufficient to create a tornado (only 30% of mesocyclones within supercells produce tornadoes).
Exactly how vortex stretching proceeds to form the final tornado is unknown, but there are three theories.
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Theory 1: Dynamic Pipe Effect
Constricted flow at mid-levels can result from vortex stretching
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Theory 2: Bottom-up Approach
The generation of rotation in a tornado, in the bottom-up approach, is similar to how the rotation of a mesocyclone is created due to tilting.
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Vertical cross section of supercell thunderstorm and tornado near Friona, Texas on 2 June 1995
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Theory 3: Vortex Breakdown
A. Initially the tornado consists of only an updraft, with low pressure at the center near the surface.
B. If the low pressure at the surface becomes strong enough a downdraft forms in the center of the tornado.
C. As the downdraft descends the tornado widens.
D. Smaller vortices (suction vortices) can form on the edge of the original tornado.
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Figure 18 A
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Figure 18 B
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A process similar to vortex breakdown in a tornado can occur in the mesocyclone updraft of a supercell thunderstorm.
Occlusion downdraft (OD) – the central downdraft that can form in the mesocyclone
Tornadoes can form in the region between the occlusion downdraft and the mesocyclone updraft, similar to suction vortices forming in a tornado.
This is one way that tornadoes may form in a supercell thunderstorm, but other processes may also cause tornadoes to form in supercells.
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Figure 18.9
What causes the tornado to dissipate?
Where will a new tornado form in relation to the features of a supercell?
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The super outbreak of 3-4 April 1974
Several supercell thunderstorms formed ahead of a cold front.
A total of 148 tornadoes formed during this outbreak; this was the largest tornado outbreak recorded in the US.
335 people were killed, and 5500 people were injured.
76% of the tornadoes that formed in this outbreak occurred in tornado families.
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Tri-State tornado, 18 March 1925
Killed 695, injured 2027
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Tornado Formation within Non-Supercell Thunderstorms
landspout: a tornado that forms in a non-supercell thunderstorm
What causes a landspout tornado to form?
Large horizontal shear across a front can result in the formation of small vortices.
These vortices can be stretched, and intensify, if they form underneath a thunderstorm updraft.
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Gustnado: a weak tornado that forms in a manner similar to a landspout, except the formation is associated with shear across a gust front
Non-supercell tornadoes also form in the NE quadrant of landfalling hurricances, but the mechanisms responsible for the formation of these tornadoes is unknown.
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Waterspout: a weak tornado (similar to a landspout) that occurs over water
Waterspouts form when cold air moves over warm water, but the exact mechanism is not well understood.
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Cold-air funnels
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Dust Devils
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Tornado Statistics
Tornado alley: the area of most frequent tornado occurrence in the United States
Why would so many tornadoes form in tornado alley?
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75% of all tornadoes worldwide occur in the US.
What correlation is there between tornado prone areas and local climate?
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Tornado Intensity
Fujita Scale (F-scale) of tornado intensity is based on the maximum wind speed in a tornado. The F-scale rating of a tornado is often based on the damage done by the tornado since it is difficult to measure the wind speed in a tornado.
Why would this be problematic?
The Enhanced Fujita Scale (EF-scale) replaced the F-scale beginning February 1, 2007.
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Tornado Intensity
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What categories of tornadoes are most common?
Least common?
Only 0.3% of all tornadoes in the US are F5.
Only one tornado has ever been classified as an EF5.
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Figure 18.16
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Plainfield, Illinois tornado 28 August 1990
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What time of year are tornadoes most common?
Why are tornadoes most common at this time of year?
What time of day are tornadoes most common?
Why do tornadoes form most often during the late afternoon
or early evening?
Why is there a minimum in the early morning?
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Figure 18.20
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Tornado Detection
Doppler Radar reflectivity
Hook echo: area of weaker reflectivity near mesoscylone updraft
Doppler Radar radial velocity
Mesocyclone signature: small area where radial winds rapidly switch from outbound to inbound. This is an indication of the circulation associated with the mesocyclone
Tornado vortex signature (TVS): one pulse of a radar radial velocity image that has an unusually large velocity
Storm spotters, police reports, reports from the public, doppler radar How do we known when a tornado is occurring?
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Severe Weather Watches and Warnings
Severe weather watches are issued by the Storm Prediction Center, and typically cover large portions of one or more states
Severe thunderstorm watch: conditions are favorable for the development of thunderstorms that contain strong winds, hail, frequent lightning, heavy
rain, and possible tornadoes in and near the watch area
Tornado watch: conditions are favorable for the formation of tornadoes in and near the watch area
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Severe weather warnings are issued by local National Weather Service offices and cover one or more counties
When a warning is issued for your area, seek shelter immediately!
Severe thunderstorm warning: a severe thunderstorm is occurring or is imminent in or near the warning area
Tornado warning: a tornado is present or imminent in or near the warning area Severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings are issued based on:
• Doppler radar indications of a severe thunderstorm or tornado • Police or storm spotter reports • Reports from the public
Information on watches and warnings are broadcast by TV and radio stations and on NOAA Weather radio.
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Tornado Safety
In the event of a tornado:
• Seek shelter in a basement or underground shelter • If no basement is available go to an interior room or
hallway (stay away from windows and abandon mobile homes)
• If caught outside move as far away as possible from potential airborne objects and lie in the lowest spot available
• Do not try to outrun a tornado in a car. Instead abandon the car and seek shelter in a low-lying area.
• Do not seek shelter under highway overpasses, as wind speeds can be increased underneath the overpass
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Figure 18.22
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Table 18.2
TABLE 18.2: Indices Used to Forecast Tornado Potential
CAPE: Convective Available Potential Energy (Joules/Kilogram) 0 - 500 Very weak instability 500 - 1500 Weak Instability 1500 - 2500 Moderate Instability 2500 - 4000 Strong Instability > 4000 Extreme Instability SRH: Storm Relative Helicity (meters2 / seconds2) 0 - 150 Weak Shear 150 - 300 Moderate Shear 300 - 500 Strong Shear > 500 Extreme Shear EHI: Energy Helicity Index 0 - 2 Tornadoes unlikely 2 - 4 Tornadoes possible 4 - 6 Significant tornado threat
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Doppler on Wheels (DOW)
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Scottsbluff, Nebraska, 21 May 1998
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Oklahoma City Tornado, 3 May 1999