Topics & Basics July 2013/media/hd/en/files/doc/pdf/e_ir/nksj2013/e_20… · Topics & Basics July...
Transcript of Topics & Basics July 2013/media/hd/en/files/doc/pdf/e_ir/nksj2013/e_20… · Topics & Basics July...
Topics & Basics
July 2013
1. Current Topics
2. About NKSJ Group
3. Appendix
1
Turnaround in Automobile Insurance
Combined ratio of automobile insurance has turned into improvement trend as a result of our several pricing measures.
Combined Ratio of Automobile Insurance (Sum of SJ and NK)
Population of elderly drivers who tend to have frequent accidents is growing.
Increase in number of adjusters and system cost to solve “non-payment problem”
Rising repair cost as car parts are getting more sophisticated The previous Driver Rating System was not rational
Rate revision for elderly drivers (Started in April 2011)
Series of base rate revision (See Page 15)
Revision of Driver Rating System (See Page 15&16)
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Adverse issues; Our measures;
61% 64% 64% 66% 69% 69% 71% 72% 72% 71% 68% 68%
32%31% 31%
31%33% 33%
33% 33% 33%33%
32% 30%
93.1% 94.4% 95.2%97.5%
101.5% 101.9%104.0% 104.9% 104.7%
103.1%100.6% 98.3%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(e)
2015(plan)
Expense Ratio Loss Ratio Combined Ratio
Struggle to cope with adverse issues Enjoy the benefits of measures
2,038
1,869
1,327 1,314
1,103
638
30.6%
31.0%
32.8%
32.4%
34.1%
34.8%
27%
29%
31%
33%
35%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Sompo JapanNipponkoa
Company A Sompo Japan
Company B Company C Nipponkoa
Net Premiums Written (Left axis) Net Expense Ratio (Right axis)
Expense Reductions through Merger
Sompo Japan and Niponkoa intend to realize merger synergies such as expense reductions through operational
standardization and streamlining of operations.
Comparison of Premiums and Expense Ratio1
Source: Company disclosures
(¥ bn)
3
2015 Plan 2012 Actual
■,■
Merger synergies
20
30
40
Beginning of FY2010
Beginning of FY2012
Beginning of FY2015
80
100
120
FY2011 FY2015
20
40
60
FY2011 FY2015
vs. beginning of FY2010-7,500 employees
vs. beginning of FY2012-4,800 employees
Personnel expensessynergies
¥28.0 billions(before tax)
(Thousand employees) (Billions of yen) (Billions of yen)
Reduction Reduction
Number of employees Non-personnel expenses (excl. system costs)
Non-personnel expenses (system costs)
Reduce the number of employees through voluntary retirement in addition to natural attrition
Target the industry’s highest level of personnel efficiency by fiscal 2015.
Reduce property rent and other related expenses by co-locating sales offices nationwide.
Reduce administration and printing costs through standardization.
Reduce employee dormitory rent, travel costs and other related expenses by reducing the number of personnel.
Reduce running costs by integrating systems.
Transfer data of long-term policies after the merger, and integrate systems completely.
Non-personnel expensessynergies
¥28.0 billions(before tax)
¥56 billion of expense reduction in FY 2015 compared to FY 2011 are projected.
- Personnel expenses: ¥28 billion
- Non-personnel expenses: ¥28 billion
4
Improving Combined Ratio through the merger etc.
Among three major P&C insurance groups in Japan, NKSJ is the only group that can enjoy the merger synergy.
Aiming to achieve under 95% of combined ratio in FY 2015.
Trends of Combined Ratio (Domestic P&C)
±0pt
Down 5pt
Down 2pt
101.4%
FY 2011 FY 2015
94.7%
- Aiming to improve
6.7 pt by FY 2015
- 2.3 pt out of 6.7 pt
has been already
achieved in FY 2012
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(Note) Calculation standard of combined ratio shown here are as follows:• One-time merger costs are excluded.• Assumed Impact of natural disasters is ¥38.0 billion in every year.• Impact of the increase in Japan’s consumption tax rate is not reflected• CALI is excluded.
- ¥ 48 bn increase in auto premiums (Down 3pt)
- ¥ 39 bn increase in assumed reinsurance premiums etc. (Down 2pt)
- ¥ 56 bn of merger synergies (Down 3pt)
- Commissions(Up 1pt)
Claim Payments
Increase in Premiums
Expenses
- Decrease of the number of petty claims by the revision of driver rating system
Offset
- Increase in repair cost for automobiles
(Actual) (Plan)
9.4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
319.1333.9
349.2364.8
280
300
320
340
360
380
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
(¥ bn)
62%
Growth with High Margin in Domestic Life Insurance Business
NKSJ Himawari Life aims to enhance sales by utilizing P&C agency network and focus on highly profitable
protection-type products. Both bring us growth coupled with high margin.
Sales Channel Strategy
Product Portfolio Strategy
Utilizing P&C agency
network, i.e. no need to
develop new infrastructure
for sales from scratch.
There is room to broaden
cross-selling to the P&C
customer base of 20 million
customers through P&C
agency network.
Focusing on highly
profitable protection-type
products.
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P&C
Insurance
Channel
48%52%
Medical29%
Cancer5%
8%Term
6%
Channel Weight1
Product Weight2
Growth with High Margin
Trends of annualized premium in force
New business Margin Comparison (EEV, MCEV)
Steady Growth
(Note) Company A, B, C, D and G adopt EEV.
NKSJ Himawari, Company E and F adopt MCEV.
Other
Channels
Protection
Type
Saving
Type
1. Annualized new premium as of March 31, 20132. Annualized premium in force as of March 31, 2013
IncomeCompensation
(FY2012)
Source:Company disclosures
P&C 1.1P&C 1.5
Life 0.1
Life 0.6
Net Assets (J-GAAP) Adjusted Net Assets
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5(¥ tn)
Share Price Valuation
We believe our share price is undervalued.
Net Assets and Adjusted Net Assets1
Trends of Adjusted PBR3
7
Per Share 3,077Yen 5,415Yen
PBR2 0.7x 0.4x
Background on low PBR Fact & Prospect
Long term deficit in
automobile insurance
Tangible cycle of profit
improvement has appeared
Higher certainty to achieve
our management plan
Frequent occurrence of
natural disasters
Improved accumulation risk
management
Low recognition of Life EV as
profit
Trend of growing MCEV
ensures our future profit
Anxiety about dividend cut
Commitment for 60 yen
dividend per share at the
minimum level.
Upside potential for
shareholder return via an
improvement in business
performance0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Total ¥1.2 tn
Total ¥2.2 tn
1. As of March 31, 2013. Adjusted Net Assets: Consolidated Net assets (excluding life insurance subsidiaries’ net assets) + Catastrophic loss reserve (after tax) + Reserve for price fluctuation(after tax) + Life insurance subsidiaries’ EV
2. As of June 28, 2013.3. Adjusted PBR: Share Price / Adjusted Net Assets Per Share
2. About NKSJ Group
1. Current Topics
3. Appendix
8
Selected Financial Data of NKSJ HD (Consolidated)NKSJ Group Structure
9
To be merged on September 1, 2014
1.As of March 31, 2013
100% 100%
P&C
Insurance
P&C
Insurance
Life Insurance
Asset Management
(¥ bn)FY2011 FY2012
Ordinary Income 2,790.5 2,843.2
OrdinaryProfit (Loss)
(51.8) 104.7
Net Income (Loss) (92.2) 43.6
Total Assets 8,893.3 9,178.1
Total Net Assets 1,000.5 1,283.4
Market Capitalization1 814.4
Total Assets (Non-consolidated)1
¥4,745.0 bn
Total Assets (Non-consolidated)1
¥1,972.6 bn
Total Assets (Consolidated)1
¥9,178.1 bn
Assistance
Healthcare
Overview of NKSJ Group
NKSJ Group is an insurance group that consists mainly of P&C insurance companies and has life insurance and asset
management business as well. Sompo Japan and Nipponkoa are its core P&C insurance companies and aim to further
realize group synergies through a merger scheduled on September 1, 2014.
Other Businesses
Total Assets (Non-consolidated)1
¥2,293.1 bn
100%
Fire12.8%
Marine2.0%
Personal accident
9.3%Automobile49.9%
CALI114.0%
Others12.0%
(¥ bn) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
Net Premiums Written (“NPW”)
1,877.2 1,911.7 1,966.2
Ordinary Profit (Loss) 20.2 (3.7) 129.6
Net Income (Loss) 5.6 (60.1) 62.4
Total Assets 7,245.5 6,938.2 7,038.2
Total Net Assets 1,061.5 908.1 1,144.9
Combined Ratio 105.9% 115.6% 105.4%
Ratings
Moody’s / S&P / R&I / JCRA1 / A+ / AA- / AA
(As of April 2013)
A.M. Best A+ (As of April 2013)
Sompo Japan and Nipponkoa are centered around domestic P&C insurance business and have solid ratings. With over
120 years of history, we have strengthened our domestic business base through consolidations with major domestic
P&C insurance companies and other steps.
Selected Financial Data of P&C
(Sum of Sompo Japan and Nipponkoa)
Premiums Written in FY2012 (Sum of SJ and NK)
By Products (Net Premiums) Domestic vs. Overseas2 (Net Premiums) By Distribution Channel3 (GrossPremiums)
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History of Major Domestic Consolidations
Overview of Sompo Japan and Nipponkoa
1. CALI: Compulsory Automobile Liability Insurance2. Overseas NPW = NPW of overseas subsidiaries + NPW from overseas insurance contracts of SJ and NK3. Gross written premium on a performance evaluation basis, excluding savings-type insurance.
“Professionals”, “Corporate”, “Car dealers” and “Car repair shops and other automobile related” are all agents
Launched fire insurance
first in Japan
Formed as a
joint company
Chugai MarineNippon FireMay, 1892
NipponFire & Marine
KoaFire & Marine
TaiseiFire & Marine
NissanFire & Marine
Nippon Accident
Tokyo FireJuly, 1887
YasudaFire & Marine
NipponkoaSompo Japan
Integration of management in April , 2010
NKSJ Holdings
Sompo Japan NipponkoaScheduled on September 1, 2014
Nipponkoa LifeSompo JapanHimawari Life
October, 2011NKSJ Himawari Life
Launched Personal Accident
insurance first in Japan
Domestic93.8%
Overseas6.2%
Professional28.9%
Corporate21.2%
Car dealers15.7%
Car repair shops, etc.
12.6%
Financial institutions
5.1%
Other agents16.1%
Brokers0.5%
667
131 130
10998
8779
69
55 51
0
50
100
150
(US$ bn)
7,333.3 7,025.6 6,832.5 6,819.3 6,941.9
0.0
2,000.0
4,000.0
6,000.0
8,000.0
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011
(¥ bn)
Sompo Japan18.5%
Nipponkoa9.1%
Sompo JapanNipponkoa
27.5%
TokioMarine25.7%
MitsuiSumitomo
18.2%
Aioi NissayDowa15.5%
Others13.1%
Japan is the world’s 3rd largest P&C insurance market. Premiums are stable and earned mainly from automobile
insurance. The total market share of the top 5 companies exceeds 80%. The total share of Sompo Japan and
Nipponkoa, which will merge as Sompo Japan Nippokoa, is the largest in the Japanese P&C insurance market.
Size of P&C Insurance Market by Country1 (FY2011)
Historical Premiums in the Japanese P&C Insurance Market2
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■ Other
■ CALI
■Voluntaryautomobile
■Personalaccident
■ Marine
■Fire &allied lines
Market Share in the Japanese P&C Insurance Market2 (FY2011)
USA Germany Japan UK France ChinaNether-
landsCanada Italy
SouthKorea
Overview of the Japanese P&C Insurance Market and our Market Share
Source: Swiss Re “Sigma Report”, Hoken Kenkyujo “Insurance”, company disclosures1. Gross written premiums, including reinsurance premiums2. Based on net premiums written of P&C insurers in Japan excluding reinsurance companies
Sompo Japan Nipponkoa Company A Company B Company C
646%
534%
665% 649%
581%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
700%
Sompo Japan Nipponkoa Company A Company B Company C
65% 69% 72% 72%82%
72%
34% 35% 35% 34% 34% 33%
99%104% 107% 106%
116%105%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
Loss Ratio Expense Ratio Combined Ratio
Historical Performance and Financial Strength (SJ and NK)
• Net Premium income of Sompo Japan and Nipponkoa have been stable and started recovering as a result of
premium rate revisions and other efforts. Combined ratio lowered in FY2012 due to various initiatives to improve
loss ratio and expense ratio.
• SJ and NK's financial soundness are high with a strong capital and credit rating.
Net Premiums Written (Sum of SJ and NK)
Solvency Margine Ratio (FY 2012, Regulatory Base)
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(¥ bn)
688 653 633 620 630 638
1,345 1,290 1,258 1,256 1,281 1,327
2,0331,943 1,892 1,877 1,911 1,966
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
SJ NK Total
Combined Ratio (Sum of SJ and NK)
Regulatory Minimum
Capital Requirement
Credit Ratings of Major P&C Insurance Companies
Aa3 / AA-
A1 / A+
A2 / A
A3 / A-
(As of April 2013)Moody’s / S&P
n/a
3. Appendix
1. Current Topics
2. About NKSJ Group
13
Loading Premium Rates
for expenses
Pure Premium Rates(Advisory Pure Premium Rates)
for claims
Advisory Pure Premium Rates
Calculated for: fire insurance, personal accident
insurance, automobile insurance, etc.
Calculated by the NLIRO1
The NLIRO collects large quantities of data from member
insurance companies2
The NLIRO uses statistical approach to calculate the advisory
pure premium rates and present it to member insurance
companies1
Member insurance companies1 can use the advisory pure
premium rates with respect to the pure premium rates as a
basis of calculating their own premium rates
The NLIRO annually reviews whether the current advisory
pure premium rates are at an appropriate level and reports the
result to FSA. If they are judged to be inappropriate, the
advisory rates are promptly recalculated
The advisory rating system functions as a profit stabilizer.
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Premium
Rates
Advisory Rating System in Japan
1. Non-Life Insurance Rating Organization of Japan2. Member companies of the General Insurance Association of Japan
SJ and NK have raised premiums for automobile
insurance 3 times since FY 2010.
The effects will continue to materialize gradually.
The Driver Rating System was revised in April 2012 and
the revision has been reflected in our automobile
insurance policies written after October 2012
Expected to improve profitability in the mid-and-long
term
Automobile Insurance: Measures to Improve Profitability
Profitability of our automobile insurance business is expected to improve as a result of revisions of premium rates and
the Driver Rating System.
Historical Premium Rates Revisions & Driver Rating System Revision Measures to Improve Profitability
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Sompo Japan
Nipponkoa
NLIRO1
Apr.
+0.8%
Apr.
+1.7%
Dec.
+1.4%
Jan.
+1.8%
Apr.
<Revision of Driver Rating System>
Oct.
1. Non-Life Insurance Rating Organization of Japan
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013FY2010
<Reflect>
Apr.
+2.1%
Oct.
Apr.
+2.0%
Risk is classified into rating levels from 1 to 20 to ensure that premiums reflect the degree of risk according to a policyholders’ prior accident record
A rating coefficient (discount rate) is established for each rating level
A driver with no accidents during a given year will be promoted to the next higher rating level in the following year. A driver involved in an accident will be demoted by three rating levels
Ratings shall be maintained at the same level if a driver suffers certain types of incidents such as vehicle theft, as well as damage due to flying debris or vandalism such as graffiti (hereinafter, “waived incident”)
For policies in force, rating levels 7 to 20 were subdivided into an “accident-free coefficient” and an “accident coefficient”
Ratings coefficients for all rating levels shall be revised to reflect the most recent actual risk
The practice of recognizing waived incidents was abolished and replaced with demotion by one rating level
The period1 for applying the “accident coefficient” shall be three years for every accident resulting in a demotion by three rating levels (one year for anaccident resulting in a demotion of one rating level)
Policyholders involved in accidents have a higher actual risk than justified by the premiums they pay
Accident-free policyholders have a lower actual risk than justified by the premiums they pay
Under the old Driver Rating Sytem, accident-free policyholders had to pay a part of the premiums that primarily
policyholders involved in accidents would have had to pay. After the revision, rating levels are determined reflecting
risks of each policyholder more accurately.
Old Driver Rating System
Overview Problems Overview
<Example> When customers with rating level 18 received an insurance payment after being involved in an accident
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Revised Driver Rating System
Old
Oldcoefficient
Old coefficientOld
coefficient
Level 18-59%
Level 15-52%
Level 16-55%
Level 17-57%
Level 18-59%
<One year later> <Two years later> <Three years later> <Four years later>
Revised
Accident-free
Accident coefficientAccident-
free
Level 18-54%
Level 15-33%
Level 16-36%
Level 17-38%
Level 18-54%
<One year later> <Two years later> <Three years later> <Four years later>
Rate of premium increase from the old system2 => 39.6% 42.2% 44.2%
Automobile Insurance: Revision of Driver Rating System
(Applicable from October 2012)
1. Up to six years2. Rate of premium increase = Accident coefficient (after application of discount rate) / Old coefficient (after application of discount rate)
Note Regarding Forward-looking Statements
The forecasts included in this document are based on the currently available information and certain assumptions that we believe reasonable. Accordingly, the actual results may differ materially from those projected herein depending on various factors.
17