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    Econ 4284Econ 4284

    Welcome to

    Econ 4284Econometrics o

    Cross-sectional and Panel Data

    1

    Econ 4284Econ 4284Teaching Team

    Instructor: Xun (Sean) Lu ()

    Assistant Professor in EconomicsSpecialty: Econometrics

    TA: Hanghui Zhang (PhD student at Department ofconom cs )

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Why Econ 4284

    Pre-requisite: Econ 233/3334, where we have learned alot about linear regressions

    But linear regressions require strong assumptions; theseassumptions can be difficult to justify in practice

    For example:

    0cov0

    10

    ==

    ++= iii

    XuXuE

    uXY

    There are many other alternative or extensions of linear

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    .

    Econ 4284Econ 4284Three Type of Data

    Cross-sectional data: data on multiple entities (e.g.,

    consumers) for a single time period.

    Example: GDP of all the 50 states in the U.S. in 2009.

    Time series data: data for a single entity collected atmultiple periods.

    xamp e: o a orn a rom to .

    Panel data: data for multiple entities in which each entity

    Example: GDP of all the 50 states in the U.S. from 1990to 2009

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Main Topics

    Cha ters 9-13 in Stock and Watson 2012

    Topic 1: Review of LLN and CLT

    Topic 2: Correlation and Causality, Internal andExternal Validity

    op c : xper men an uas -exper men

    Topic 4: Instrumental Variables

    Topic 6: Maximum Likelihood Estimator

    To ic 7: Limited De endent Variable

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Textbook

    Required:

    Stock, James H., and Mark W. Watson.Introduction to Econometrics. (3rd edition) Pearson.

    This book is available at HKUST book store.

    There is a brief edition of this book, which is differentfrom the 3rd edition. You should NOT buy the briefedition.

    ecommen e : e rey . oo r ge. n ro uc oryEconometrics. (4th edition), South-Western.

    6

    Econ 4284Econ 4284Web page

    The course materials will be posted on: lmes2.ust.hk.

    You should be able to log into the course web site using.

    ,through the mail function in LMES.

    Make sure to check LMES at least twice per week for

    announcements and course materials.

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284EViews

    You will need access to EViews, which is a statisticalsoftware.

    You do NOT need to buy EViews.

    Room 3211 and 4116 have it.

    The TA or I will walk you through EViews.

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Lecture and Tutorial Information:

    Lecture

    Time: Monday, Wednesday 10:30-11:50am Location: 2463

    Webpage: http://lmes2.ust.hk

    Tutorial

    Time: Tuesday 5:30-6:20pm

    Location: 3412

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Lecture Attendance

    PLEASE come to class because

    There is a lot of material, and I will go over the

    most important topics during class. You are responsible for everything presented

    during lectures.

    I may check attendance and give bonus points.

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Class Rules

    No electronic devices (e.g., phone, iPod, etc.). ttp: youtu e.com watc v= ut http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=spKuQAdf5r8

    &feature=related

    Drinks and small snacks are fine, but please dontbring a seven-course meal.

    , . Please no excessive talking during lectures

    (including talking in your sleep).

    Econ 4284Econ 4284Tutorial

    We will have 5 or 6 tutorials.

    The TA will teach you how to use EViews and solve

    some practice questions I will post a note on what will be covered during the

    tutorial in advance.

    ,from the textbook.

    The TA will o over some of the uestions durinthe tutorials.

    A good strategy is to attempt the questions on yourown, then get help during the tutorial.

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Problem Sets

    There will be three assignments, each of which willcarr a wei ht of 5% towards the final rade.

    Group study and free discussion are encouraged. Butyou should submit your own answers. Copying othersanswers will be treated as cheating.

    If you have any question on the problem sets, pleaseas me or s ur ng our o ce ours. ur o cehours are for you.

    class on the day it is due

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Exams

    There will be two in-class mid-term exams and onefinal exam.

    The first mid-term carries a weight of 20%. The second mid-term has a weight of 20%.

    The final exam has a weight of 45%.

    The final is cumulative and will cover all the coursema er a s.

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Exams (contd)

    All exams will be closed book.

    ut you can r ng page one-s e , -s ze onote, on which you can write down any information. Itmust be hand-written Please brin a basic scientificcalculator to the exams.

    There will be no make-up exams. If you miss amidterm, you will receive a zero. The only exceptionis a verifiable medical reason, in which case your

    Finally, if you are caught cheating, you will receive azero on the exam ma fail the course and ma be

    15subject to further disciplinary action by HKUST.

    Econ 4284Econ 4284Summary of Grading

    Grading Schedule

    20% Mid-term 1

    20% Mid-term 2

    45% Final Exam

    100% Total

    Whats an A? A-? B+? etc

    I dont know. It all depends on how everybody does

    at the end of the course and where you lie in thedistribution.

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Office Hours

    Xun Lu

    Office Hours: 1:30-2:30 m Wednesda in Rm2422

    or by appointment, or ANY time you can find me. I prefer to talk to you in person. I feel that Email is

    not a very e c ent way to as econometr c quest ons.However, if you have a time conflict, feel free to dropus a line. Please include Econ4284 in your subject.

    I wish I can get to know each of you. So feel free tostop by with questions or anything you want to share.

    Hanghui Zhang

    -

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    ,

    Econ 4284Econ 4284Outcome Based Education (OBE)

    On completion of this course, you will be able to[1]: Understand the main problems associated with liner regression

    , . .

    Apply basic asymptotic theory to analyze and evaluate differenteconometric methods (Objective 4.2).

    , ,panel data methods, and limited dependent variable methods, toconduct empiric analysis when linear regressions are not directlyapplicable (Objectives 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 4.2 and 4.4)

    Use econometric software to analyze a given economic data andinterpret the results (Objective 7.3)

    T s course w a so prov e you w t opportun t es to en ance yourskills on Understanding economic phenomena using real economic data

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    . .

    [1] Numbers in parentheses are specific Program Intended Learning Outcomes(PILOs) for the BBA program

    Econ 4284Econ 4284Econ 4284

    The course is demanding; some of the materials are notso easy!

    But it is very useful for your future career These methods are widely used in business, finance and

    many related fields.

    xamp e: econom cs consu t ng rms, nanc acompanies

    .

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    Econ 4284Econ 4284Advice for this course

    Read the textbook and lecture notes before coming tothe lecture

    Practice the questions at the end of each chapter andplay with EViews

    Talk to me or the TA if you have any difficulty

    I hear and I forget.

    I see and I remember.

    I do and I understand.

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