Topic 7 (Macroeconomics)ocw.uniovi.es/pluginfile.php/4800/mod_resource/content/1... · 2014. 7....
Transcript of Topic 7 (Macroeconomics)ocw.uniovi.es/pluginfile.php/4800/mod_resource/content/1... · 2014. 7....
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Introduction to Economics
Topic 7 (Macroeconomics):An aggregate supply-aggregate demand model
Coordinator lecturer:Levi Pérez ([email protected])University of Oviedo (Spain, ES – EU)
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Overview
1. Aggregate demand
2. Aggregate supply
3. The determination of equilibrium: income and price level
Goal: [1] How the AS-AD model is used to analyze economicfluctuations. [2] The importance of the multiplier, whichdetermines the total change in aggregate output arisingfrom a shift of the aggregate demand curve.
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1. Aggregate demand: consumption, investment, publicexpenditure and net exports
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The aggregate demand curve
The aggregate demand curve shows the relationshipbetween the aggregate price level and the quantity ofaggregate output demanded by households, business, thegovernment and the rest of the world.
AD Ξ C + I + G + (X – IM)
The aggregate demand curve is downward-sloping
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The aggregate demand curve
AD
P
Y
A movement down the AD curveleads to a lower aggregate pricelevel and higher aggregate output
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Consumption
The planned aggregate spending in consumption is afunction of disposable income, among others,…
The households’ saving is the part of disposable income not spend on consumption…
( )dC f Y=
CYSd−= ( )dS f Y=
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Some definitions…
The marginal propensity to consume, or MPC, is theincrease in consumer spending when disposable incomerises by €1.
The marginal propensity to save, or MPS, is the increase inhousehold savings when disposable income rises by €1.
The average propensity to consume, or APC, is theproportion of income spent.
The average propensity to save, or APS, is the proportion ofdisposable income which is saved.
0d
CMPC
Y
∆= >
∆0
d
SMPS
Y
∆= >
∆
d
CAPC
Y=
d
SAPS
Y=
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Some definitions…
MPC is lower than 1 (0<MPC<1)MPS is lower than 1 (0<MPS<1)
Please, note that…
1 1
d d
d d
Y C S Y C S
C SMPC MPS
Y Y
= + ⇒ ∆ = ∆ + ∆
∆ ∆= + = +∆ ∆
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The keynesian function of consumption
0 · dC C MPC Y= +
Autonomous consumption (also
exogenous consumption) is a term used to describe
consumption expenditure that occurs when income
levels are zero.
C0>0
0 < MPC < 1
An example:
C=700+0.8Yd
S=-700+0.2Yd
In general terms…
0 (1 )· dS C MPC Y= − + −
0 · dS C MPS Y= − +
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C0
C=f(Yd)
Yd
C
0 · dC C MPC Y= +
The keynesian function of consumption
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Investment spending
It is the planned aggregate purchase of capital goods (IK)and the planned aggregate purchase of variable inputs (IE).But we are going to focus only on the planned aggregate purchaseof capital goods (capital investment spending).
It depends on…
- Business expectations- The cost of investment spending, so the interest rate (r)- Others… (aggregate output level, price of capital goods,subventions, tax exemptions,…)
r
I
I=f( r )Quizz - Whataboutexpectations?
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Government spending
Government spending or government expenditure isclassified into four main types:
- Government acquisition of goods and services for currentuse (government final consumption expenditure).
- Government acquisition of goods and services intended tocreate future benefits (government investment - gross fixedcapital formation).
- Government expenditures that are not acquisition ofgoods and services (transfer payments).
- Public borrowing interests.
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Net exportations
It is the difference between exportations and importations:
Net exports = X – IM
It depends on…
- Aggregate production and income of the rest of the world- The ratio between national good prices and foreign good prices- Exchange rate
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The aggregate demand curve
The aggregate demand curve shows the relationshipbetween the aggregate price level and the quantity ofaggregate output demanded by the economic agents(households, business, the government and the rest of theworld).
AD Ξ C + I + G + (X – IM)
The aggregate demand curve is downward-sloping
Quizz - Why?
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The aggregate demand curve
If “price” decreases…
- The interest rate (the price of money) decreases, soinvestment spending increases (and consumption spendingtoo). Then AD rises.
- National goods are cheaper, so exports increases. ThenAD rises.
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2. Aggregate supply: determinants
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The aggregate supply curve
The aggregate demand curve shows the relationshipbetween the aggregate price level and the quantity ofaggregate output supplied.
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The aggregate supply curve
Simplifier hypothesis…
- Short-run aggregate supply curve- Both prices and wages are fixed- There is a high unemployment rate (so, the output levelmay be increased without changes costs of productions –prices)
The aggregate supply curve is then perfectly elastic untilthe full employment aggregate output level. Then it isperfectly inelastic.
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P
P0
Y
AS
The aggregate supply curve
Yf
(full employment)
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3. The determination of quilibrium: income and price level
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The AS-AD model
The economy is in short-run macroeconomic equilibrium when the quantity of aggregate output supplied is equal to the quantity demanded.
AS AD=
( )Y C I G X IM= + + + −
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Y0 Y1 Y2
P
P0
Y
AD
A E B
(Y>AD)(Y<AD)
E: OA = DA
AS
A: OA < DA
B: OA > DA
When aggregate production (Y) < (AD) ⇒ ↑ aggregate output
(viceversa)
The AS-AD model
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P0 P
Y
AD0
E0 E1
Y0 Y1
AD1
↑C (↑ C0; ↑ PMC; ↓T; ↑TR)*
↑I
↑G (we will see this in Topic 10)
↑X, ↓IM)
AS
−AD
(vice versa)
(*)Note that:
C=f(Yd) where Yd=NI-Td+TR
The AS-AD model
Changes in equilibrium
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↑X ⇒↑(X-M)
P0
P
Y
AD0
E0 E1
Y0 Y1
AD1
AS
−AD
The AS-AD model
Changes in equilibrium: An example
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The multiplier
The multiplier is the ratio of the total change in Y (real GDP) caused by an autonomous change in aggregate spending to the size of that autonomous change…
Multiplier = 1 / (1 – MPC) = k
Change in Y = k x Autonomous change in agg. spending
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Introduction to Economics
Topic 7 (Macroeconomics):An aggregate supply-aggregate demand model