Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition · •Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field...

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1 Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition February 2020

Transcript of Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition · •Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field...

Page 1: Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition · •Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field that is being shut down. •Facilities being acquired by Calima will be placed

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Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition

February 2020

Page 2: Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition · •Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field that is being shut down. •Facilities being acquired by Calima will be placed

Calima EnergyCalima Energy (CE1) is an ASX listed

oil and gas company with its primary

assets in the Montney Formation in

British Columbia, Canada.

Acquisition of the Tommy Lakes

infrastructure assets is a major

milestone for the Company.

ABOUT CALIMA

• Acreage - CE1 owns and operates 100% interest in 64,475 acres of Montney drilling rights in British Columbia.

• 2019 Resource Report(1) – McDaniel estimates maiden contingent resource of 196.1 Mmboe, and a best estimate gross-unrisked prospective resources of 497.3 Mmboe.

• Leases - Three wells in 2019, allowed CE1 to convert 60% of its core acreage to 10-year production leases.

• Top Quartile - Initial production test results rank in the top quartile of peer group Montney wells (1,640boe/d).

TOMMY LAKES ACQUISTION

• Purchase – Pipelines, compressors, liquids handling and associated infrastructure with a replacement value of A$85 million.

• Cost - A$825,000 plus annual holding costs of A$420,000.

• Located– 20 km from Calima’s existing wells with approval for the connecting pipeline already secured.

• Development Ready – Able to produce up to 50mmcf/d and 2,500 bbl/d subject to funding and further drilling.

• Access to Market – Calima now connected directly to NorthRiver Jedney processing facility and from there to major pipeline networks such as NGTL, Alliance and T-North.

(1) CE1 ASX Release dated 8 July 2019

Page 3: Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition · •Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field that is being shut down. •Facilities being acquired by Calima will be placed

BOARD & MANAGEMENT

The Calima Board and Senior Management

comprise a highly successful and experienced

team with a history of generating shareholder

value.

The Team

3

• Ordinary Shares

• Perf. Related Securities(1)

• Market Capitalisation(2)

• Cash & Securities(3)

2,156M

68.3 M

$12.9 M

$4.9 M

CAPITAL STRUCTURE

(1) See the Appendix 3B announcement dated 5 July 2019. Includes performance shares,

performance rights and options on issue of which Management own 81%(2) Based on the closing price on 13 Feb 2020(3) Based on Quarterly Activity Report dated 31 December 2019

Alan Stein - Managing Director

• Geologist >30 years in international E&P• Founder & CEO of Ophir Energy plc &

Fusion Oil & Gas plc• Principal of Havoc Partners LLP

Glenn Whiddon - Chairman

• Commercial >30 years in equity capital markets, banking and corporate advisory

• Bank of New York, Grove Energy and various ASX listed companies

Neil Hackett - Non Executive

• Accounting and finance background >30 years in corporate advisory with diversified industrials, financial services and mining entities

Brett Lawrence – Non Executive

• Commercial and petroleum engineering > 15 years in international E&P

• Executive experience in public companies and private equity investing

• Operational experience across drilling, reservoir engineering and development

Micheal Dobovich – Country Manager

• Landman >20 years across North America• Executive role with Statoil Canada

(Equinor)• Land, Regulatory, Commercial background

Mark Freeman- Chief Financial Officer

• Financial and bus development > 25 years • Executive experience in resource public

companies• TSV Montney Ltd, Grand Gulf Energy

Aaron Bauer- Operations Manager

• Petroleum Engineer >15 years in drilling and operations management in the Montney and other plays in Canada

• West Valley Energy, Caltex, Krang and Burlington Resources

Ed Mason- Corporate Advisor

• >20 years working for global investment banks such as Merrill Lynch, HSBC, Renaissance Capital and RBC in senior capital market roles

• 5 years project engineer Flour Corp.• Focussed on natural resource sector

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Tommy Lakes – Strategic Acquisition

• Purchase of Tommy Lakes pipeline and facilities(1)

provides a cost-effective connection to NorthRiverpipeline and processing facilities and from there to major pipeline networks such as NGTL, Alliance and T-North.

• Replacement cost of Tommy Lakes estimated to be A$85 million.

• Cost to Calima estimated to be A$825,000 with A$420,000 pa in holding costs.

• Re-use of existing facilities offers cost and time savings with reduced environmental impact.

• Facilities have the capacity to produce up to 50 Mmcf/d and 2,500 Bbl/d of condensate and NGL.

• Calima has the option to acquire 11 producing wells that could provide fuel gas for the start-up phase of production.

• Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field that is being shut down.

• Facilities being acquired by Calima will be placed into suspension pending production start up.

Calima Lands now development ready.

(1) CE1 ASX Release dated 19 February, 2020West 3 compressor and liquids handling

Page 5: Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition · •Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field that is being shut down. •Facilities being acquired by Calima will be placed

Calima – 2 & 3 Wells Production Test Results

5(1) CE-1 ASX Release dated 30 May, 2019

• Top quartile performance relative to peer group

• Maximum gas rate 10.2 mmcf/d

• After the initial clean out, Calima-2 condensate gas ratio (CGR) had exceeded 40 bbl/mmcf(1) and was climbing

In an independent review of Calima’s drilling results GLJ Petroleum Consultants noted;

“…Calima-2 well is likely to meet or exceed the performance of adjacent wells. This is true both in terms of overall production performance (such as gas production rate) and in terms of liquid yield.”

“…from the Calima-2 well, one can see that the total gas test rate from the Calima well compares favourably to other liquids-rich wells.”

“…One can see that Calima’s focus on intense simulation helped the Calima-2 well to achieve above-average performance…”

2019 Dril l ing - Exceeded Expectations

Successful drilling campaign demonstrated acreage quality

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July 2019 Independent Resource Update

2019 McDANIEL & ASSOCIATES BEST ESTIMATE GROSS UNRISKED CONTINGENT and PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES

• Best estimate gross un-risked prospective resources (2U) of 497.3 Mmboe(1) plus the addition of Best estimate gross un-risked contingent resources (2C) of 196.1 Mmboe

• The McDaniel report anticipates that 77% of production in terms of barrels of oil equivalent(2) (boe) from the Calima Lands would be gas .

• At current prices around 50% of the value in terms of barrels of oil equivalent (boe) would come from condensate(2).

• Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR) – 8.4 Bcfand 420,000 bbl per well.

• Calima Lands project economics are underpinned by condensate, but gas price offers leverage.

Natural Gas

(mmcf)

Condensate

(mbbl)

Natural Gas

Liquids3 (mbbl)

TOTAL LIQUIDS4

(mbbl)

TOTAL5

mmboe

Contingent

Resource (2C)6 904,897 20,115 25,136 45,251 196.1

Natural Gas

(mmcf)

Condensate

(mbbl)

Natural Gas

Liquids3 (mbbl)

TOTAL LIQUIDS4

(mbbl)

TOTAL5

mmboe

Prospective

Resource (2U) 7 2,295,070 51,017 63,752 114,769 497.3

Contingent Resource 2C

Prospective Resource 2U

IP (Mcfd) EUR mmcf EUR bblWell Hz

Length (m)

Well

Spacing (M)

Contingent

Resource (2C)6 6,000 8,400 420,000 3,000 350Up & MidMontney

2019 McDANIEL & ASSOCIATES TYPE WELL PARAMETERS UPPER & MIDDLE MONTNEY

Resource MixBOE

Resource MixGross Value(2)

(1) Effective data July 1st 2019. Since then the Company has relinquished c. 8,000 acres of drilling rights which accounts for c. 16% of the area that was included in the Prospective Resource category. (2) Barrel of Oil Equivalent (BOE) is based on an energy equivalent conversion of 1 BOE = 6 Mcf and does not imply an equivalence of value. The Resource Mix Gross Value shows the relative contribution of value per BOE across the portfolio assuming the following prices in C$; Gas 2.00 Gj, Condensate $80 bbl, Butane $50 bbl and Propane $30 bbl. 1 Gj converts to 947 cubic feet of gas so the implied value of gas is therefore C$12.70 boe

Significant resource base in a world class petroleum province

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Condensate Drives Economics

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• At current prices condensate would be expected to account for around 50% of production revenue from the Calima Lands.

• Condensate prices have been recovering through 2019.

• Condensate is used as a diluent by heavy oil producers in Alberta and is typically priced within 5% of WTI.

• Alberta imports 400,000 bbl/d from British Columbia and the US.

• Recent regulatory/legal progress with Trans Mountain Expansion and Line 3 oil export pipelines should result in further expansion of heavy oil production.

• WTI linked condensate pricing expected to remain in place.

• Propane and Butane (NGL’s) trade at a variable discount to condensate depending on local market conditions.

• NGL pricing has been improving as more processing and export facilities become available.

Condensate yields are critical to Montney economics

(1) Canadian Energy Outlook, Stifel First Energy, January, 2020

(2) What Drives Montney Performance, AltaCorp Capital, September, 20199

(2)

(1)

(2)

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Gas Prices

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AECOC$/GJ

• Gas is expected to account for more than 75% of production from the Calima lands on an energy equivalent basis (boe).

• Canadian producers have been under pressure from low gas prices for several years with spot prices even going negative on a few occasions.

• Western Canadian gas prices (AECO) are now improving as more pipeline capacity is made available (3).

• AECO gas prices have narrowed the differential against US benchmark prices such as Nymex or Henry Hub.

• Station 2 (the closest pricing point to Calima) has reached parity with AECO.

• Calima regards a $2.00 Gj gas price as an inflection point in delivering acceptable project economics.

• Prospects to secure long term pricing at or above $2.00 Gj looking much stronger during 2020 than 2019.

• The long term AECO gas pricing futures curve has been improving steadily through the 2H of 2019.

Gas prices are improving

(1) Canadian Energy Outlook, Stifel First Energy, January 2020

(2) Canadian Gas Overview, Macquarie, November 2019

(3) Cormark Securities Research Note – This Is The Year – 20 Reasons Canadian Energy Finally Outperforms, January 2020

(1)

(2)

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Calima Connected To Demand Growth

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• The Tommy Lakes acquisition secures access to all the major growth markets through existing connections to NGTL/AECO, Alliance and T-North/Station 2.

• New projects and pipelines in western Canada will create demand for more than 10 bcf/d(1) over the next 7 years requiring significant increase in production.

✓ LNG Projects 5.9 bcf/d

✓ Coal to Gas 1.0 bcf/d

✓ Trans Mountain 0.6 bcf/d

✓ Pipelines 2-3 bcf/d

• Pipeline capacity and domestic gas demand is predicted to overtake supply sometime between Q4 2019 and Q1 2021. (1)

• Canadian Government has approved five significant LNG projects.

• Canadian Energy Regulator predicts LNG demand will nearly double British Columbia’s gas output from 5.34 bcf/d to 9.93 bcf/d by 2040(2).

• British Columbia’s share of Canadian gas production will rise from 33% to 47% by 2040(2).

• With gas reserves equivalent to half total reserves of Qatar most of this growth will come from the Montney.

Calima connected to growth markets

(1) What Drives Montney Performance, AltaCorp Capital, September, 2019

(2) Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2040, Canadian Energy Regulator, 2019

(1)

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• Canada ranked 4th in the world for oil and gas production.

• Montney estimated remaining reserves 449 tcf of gas, 14.4 Billion bbls of condensate and 1.1 Billion bbls of oil(1)

(Australia 257 Tcf).

• Montney producing 7bcf/d of gas (>40% of Canada total) and c. 400,000 bbl/d of condensate and NGL from 8,000 horizontal wells(2).

• New projects and pipelines will create demand and capacity for more than 10 bcf/d over the next 7 years(2).

Canadian Energy Macro Positive: Previously pipeline-constrained, both oil and gas pricing in Canada have normalized with incremental egress out of the western Canada approaching near-term. As Canadian producers are able to reconnect with North American markets, continued price stability is predicted.

Valuations and Fundamentals Compelling: Valuations for Canadian mid-caps are at historical lows offering either higher free cash flow yields or more attractive valuations than their US peers.

Canadian Advantage; Canadian E&P ‘s are now offering investors measured and sustainable growth, improving balance sheets, competitive capital returns and increasing free cash flow optionality.

Extracted from Cormark Securities Research Note – This Is The Year –20 Reasons Canadian Energy Finally Outperforms, January 2020

Canada Re-rating. The relatively stronger commodity price environment for Canadian oil and gas equities could support a re-rating relative to U.S. peers, especially when considering the higher cash yield opportunities that are available in Canada.

Extracted from Bank of Montreal Research Note – 2020 The Year Ahead, January 2020

Canada – Poised For Recovery

• 45% of Non-OPEC production growth is from the US Permian Basin(3).

• Permian decline rates are now higher than predicted(3).

• Tier 1 Permian is depleting and Tier 2 is only 50% as productive(3).

• Montney well returns now exceed those from the Permian Basin(4).

• The Montney appears four times in Scotia Bank’s top twelve ranked North American plays for 2020 (4).

• With improving prices and better market access Canada is poised for recovery.

(1) The Ultimate Potential For Unconventional Petroleum From The Montney Formation Of

British Columbia and Alberta, National Energy Board, November 2013

(2) What Drives Montney Performance, AltaCorp Capital, September, 2019

(3) Bullish on Oil Stocks 2020, Heywood Securities, December, 2019

(4) Ranking North America’s Oil and Gas Plays, Scotia Bank, November 2019

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Canadian E&P valuations touching 20-year lows and M&A activity also at 20-year lows.

Pipeline constraints cause Canadian oil and gas to be sold at a discount.

Government ambivalence and an ineffectual energy policy have combined to undermine investor confidence.

Canadian E&P industry is starved of capital.

However

Investment in pipelines is underway and price discounts are reducing.

Demand and/or export capacity for both oil and gas are expected to increase.

British Columbia is about to become an LNG exporter (2024-26) and is uniquely positioned to provide cheap low-carbon energy to Asia and the Pacific.

Historic valuation lows and lack of access to capital creates outstanding contrarian investment opportunities.

Calima Path Forward

• Calima has established a material position in a Tier 1 petroleum province that competes favourably with the best of the US resource plays.

• The Tommy Lakes acquisition completes the building blocks required for a pilot production project capable of producing up to 50 mmcf/d and 2,500 bbl/d.

• Calima now has access to all the major growth markets through existing connections to NGTL/AECO, Alliance and T-North/Station 2.

• Production start-up from existing wells could commence 1Q 2021 subject to third party funding.

Strategy – Establish a world class resource base and find optimal way to return value to shareholders.

Market conditions have been extremely challenging but are improving

• Reduce costs to preserve optionality.

• Expand business development capability in Canada.

• Be creative in seeking partnerships and alliances.

With Canadian corporate advisors find partnerships for the Calima Lands and explore creative ways to create value.

Page 12: Tommy Lakes Infrastructure Acquisition · •Tommy Lakes is a conventional gas and condensate field that is being shut down. •Facilities being acquired by Calima will be placed

CO N TAC T US

Calima Energy Limited

1A /1 Alvan Street, Subiaco WA 6008, Australia

CalimaEnergy

calima-energy.com

CalimaEnergy

calimaenergy

Tel: +61 8 6500 3270

Fax: +61 8 6500 3275

[email protected]

www.calimaenergy.com

ASX:CE1