Tivaringe UNU-Wider Poster · Background The South African government recently adopted a-engender...
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Background The South African government recently adopted a - engender socio-economic redress. The policy hypothesizes that historically marginalized groups would leverage higher education credentials for favorable labor market outcomes. This research tests the viability of this hypothesis. Theoretical Motivations for Education-Based Socio- Economic Redress A huge body of economic and policy research in developed economies shows a high correlation between education and positive labor market outcomes (see e.g., Autor et al, 2007; Bailey & Dynarski, 2011; Esping-Andersen, 2007; Hout, 2012; Light & Strayer, 2004; Reardon & Bischoff, 2011; Wright, 1978). Empirical Strategy Data I use the Post-Apartheid Labor Market Series (PALMS) Data. Period = 1993-207, N= 3, 394, 550 Findings .2 .25 .3 .35 .4 Odds Ratio 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Year Own Calculations using Palms Version 3.2 Data Unadjusted Unemployment OR for Bachelor's Degree Summary of findings: 1. The probability of unemployment for degreed non - whites has been on the rise suggesting that there are 2. The - remains comparatively higher. This suggests that an education - based intervention for social redress within a labor market structure characterized by structural barriers is unlikely to deliver intended socio-economic mobility. 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1 Pr(Unemployed) No Bachelors Degree Bachelors Degree Non-White, Male, Over 25 Non-White, Female, Over 25 Non-White, Male, Under 26 Non-White, Female, Under 26 White, Male, Over 25 White, Female, Over 25 White, Male, Under 26 White, Female, Under 26 Non-White, Male, Under 26, Recent Graduate Non-White, Female, Under 26, Recent Graduate White, Male, Under 26, Recent Graduate White, Female, Under 26, Recent Graduate Adjusted Predictions with 95% CIs The Social Unemployment Gap in South Africa: Limits of Enabling Socio-Economic Redress Through Expanding Access to Higher Education Tafadzwa Tivaringe (Ph.D., Candidate), University of Colorado - Boulder Implications The correlation between education and labor market outcomes in developing economies such as South Africa is dissimilar to trends observed in developing economies. Therefore, interventions designed to engender socio-economic redress via expansion of higher education ought to account for structural barriers in the labor market in order to be optimum. Acknowledgements Doctoral Committee Members: Dr. Andrew Philips, Dr. Ben Kirshner and Dr. Terrenda White
Transcript of Tivaringe UNU-Wider Poster · Background The South African government recently adopted a-engender...
Background
The South African government recently adopted a-
engender socio-economic redress. The policy hypothesizes that historically marginalized groups would leverage higher education credentials for favorable labor market outcomes. This research tests the viability of this hypothesis.
Theoretical Motivations for Education-Based Socio-
Economic RedressA huge body of economic and policy research in developed economies shows a high correlation between education and positive labor market outcomes (see e.g., Autor et al, 2007; Bailey & Dynarski, 2011; Esping-Andersen, 2007; Hout, 2012; Light & Strayer, 2004; Reardon & Bischoff, 2011; Wright, 1978).
Empirical Strategy
Data I use the Post-Apartheid Labor Market Series (PALMS) Data. Period = 1993-207, N= 3, 394, 550
Findings .2
.25
.3.3
5.4
Odd
s Ra
tio
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015Year
Own Calculations using Palms Version 3.2 Data
Unadjusted Unemployment OR for Bachelor's Degree
Summary of findings:1. The probability of unemployment for degreed non-whites has been on the rise suggesting that there are
2. The
-remains comparatively higher. This suggests that an education-based intervention for social redress within a labor market structure characterized by structural barriers is unlikely to deliver intended socio-economic mobility.
0.2
.4.6
.81
Pr(U
nem
ploye
d)
No Bachelors Degree Bachelors DegreeNon-White, Male, Over 25 Non-White, Female, Over 25
Non-White, Male, Under 26 Non-White, Female, Under 26
White, Male, Over 25 White, Female, Over 25
White, Male, Under 26 White, Female, Under 26
Non-White, Male, Under 26, Recent Graduate Non-White, Female, Under 26, Recent Graduate
White, Male, Under 26, Recent Graduate White, Female, Under 26, Recent Graduate
Adjusted Predictions with 95% CIs
The Social Unemployment Gap in South Africa: Limits of Enabling Socio-Economic Redress
Through Expanding Access to Higher EducationTafadzwa Tivaringe (Ph.D., Candidate), University of Colorado - Boulder
ImplicationsThe correlation between education and labor market outcomes in developing economies such as South Africa is dissimilar to trends observed in developing economies. Therefore, interventions designed to engender socio-economic redress via expansion of higher education ought to account for structural barriers in the labor market in order to be optimum.
AcknowledgementsDoctoral Committee Members: Dr. Andrew Philips, Dr. Ben Kirshner and Dr. Terrenda White
