Thoughts on ModelsUC Davis SB 375 Policy Forum

March 5, 2014

David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov)

2

5

3

1

4

7.0 million

16.4 resident

passenger vehicle miles

traveled per capita

8.7 million

13.9resident

passenger vehicle miles

traveled per capita

5

7.0 million

16.4 resident

passenger vehicle miles

traveled per capita

1.7 M

3.9 resident

passenger vehicle miles

traveled per capita

Family of four: ~4,700 miles annually in all family vehicles

6

2

7

Models help with assessments. All kinds.

8

9

… modeling is everything.

10

Formal documentation and quantification of our understanding (and often our hypotheses) of travel behavior.

11

Accessibility versus Mobility

12

Not done

13

3

14

SlowSexyFocus

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

4

22

23

Car sharingBike sharingRide sharingAutonomous vehiclesVariable workplaces…

24

Automobile ownershipWorkplace locationTour mode choiceCarpool formation…

25

5

26

Predictive Land Use Models

27

Supply & DemandTwice as hard

28

Cultural change

29

fin.