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Transcript of Thompson creek investor_presentation
A Growing, Diversifiedg,North American Mining Company
Investor PresentationInvestor PresentationMay 17, 2012
Cautionary StatementsCautionary Statements
This document contains ‘‘forward-looking statements’’ within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, asamended, Section 21E of the Securities Act of 1934, as amended and applicable Canadian securities legislation. These forward-looking statements generally are identified by the words"believe," "project," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "intend," "strategy," "future," "opportunity," "plan," "may," "should," "will," "would," "will be," "will continue," "will likely result," and similarexpressions. Our forward looking statements include, without limitation: estimates of future capital expenditures and other cash needs for operations, including with respect to thedevelopment of Mt Milligan and expectations as to the funding thereof; statements as to the projected development of Mt Milligan and other projects including expected productiondevelopment of Mt. Milligan, and expectations as to the funding thereof; statements as to the projected development of Mt. Milligan and other projects, including expected productioncommencement dates; statements as to the expected mill capacity at Endako and statements regarding future earnings, and the sensitivity of earnings to molybdenum prices; estimates offuture production costs and other expenses for specific operations and on a consolidated basis; estimates of future mineral production and sales for specific operations and on aconsolidated basis; estimates of mineral reserves and resources, including estimated mine life and annual production; statements with respect to the future financial or operatingperformance of Thompson Creek or its subsidiaries and its projects; and statements with respect to the costs and timing of future exploration projects and the development of new depositsincluding the Berg property and the Davidson property.
Where we express an expectation or belief as to future events or results, such expectation or belief is expressed in good faith and believed to have a reasonable basis. However, ourforward-looking statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to differ materially from future
f f ff f fresults expressed, projected or implied by those forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results and events to differ from those described in such forward-looking statements can be found in the section entitled ‘‘Risk Factors’’ in Thompson Creek’s 2011 Form 10-K, Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three months ended March 31, 2012,and other documents filed on EDGAR at www.sec.gov and on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. Although we have attempted to identify those factors that could cause actual results or events todiffer from those described in such forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause results or events to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. Many of thesefactors are beyond our ability to control or predict. Given these uncertainties, the reader is cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements. We undertake noobligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
Cautionary Note to United States Investors Concerning Estimates of Measured, Indicated and Inferred Mineral Resources: This presentation uses the terms “Measured”, “Indicated” and“Inferred” Resources. United States investors are advised that while such terms are recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchangeg q y g gCommission does not recognize them. “Inferred Mineral Resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot beassumed that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral Resources may not form thebasis of feasibility or other economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of Measured or Indicated Mineral Resources will ever be convertedinto Mineral Reserves. United States investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource exists, or is economically or legally mineable.
All currency figures in US$, except where noted.
2
Company Overview (NYSE: TC; TSX: TCM)
The Company Strong North American Portfolio of Assets
MT MILLIGAN
MAZE LAKENunavut
HOWARDS PASSYukon
Growing, diversified North American mining company
R i l d
LANGELOTH
DAVIDSONBritish Columbia
MT. MILLIGANBritish Columbia
BERGBritish Columbia CANADA
CANADIAN
Reserves includeMo MolybdenumCu CopperAu GoldAg Silver
THOMPSONCREEK MINE
ENDAKO MINEBritish Columbia
LANGELOTH METALLURGICAL FACILITYPennsylvania
OperationsConstruction &
USA
CANADIAN OFFICEVancouver
Ag Silver
Invested in our operationsState-of-the-art new mill at Endako
Idaho Construction &DevelopmentExploration PropertiesCorporate Offices
HEADQUARTERS Denver
at Endako
Building new minesMt. Milligan 2013
3
TC Stock Price, Moly Price vs. S&P 500 November 2006 – April 2012TC Stock Price, Moly Price vs. S&P 500 November 2006 – April 2012
4
Pro Forma Share Structureas of March 31, 2012Pro Forma Share Structureas of March 31, 2012
TC/TCM Common Shares (US$)
Recent share price1 $3.56
Current market cap $0.6 billion
52-week low/high $3.56/$11.11
Basic shares outstanding 168.1 million
Share options, restricted/performance shares 4.3 millionp p
Warrants – former Terrane Metals2 0.4 million
tMEDS – maximum shares upon conversion 47.4 million
Fully diluted shares outstanding 220.2 million
C h B l $162 7 illiCash Balance $162.7 million
Debt $373.2 million
Listings: NYSE:TC, TSX:TCM, TSX-V:TRX.WT
1 Updated May 17, 2012.E i id f ff t f th t i i i t th h id ti th t ld th i b bl t th h ld i f t f C$0 05
5
2 Exercise provides for an offset of the warrant exercise price against the cash consideration that would otherwise be payable to the holders upon exercise of a warrant of C$0.05 with an expiration date of 6/23/12.
First Quarter 2012 FinancialsFirst Quarter 2012 Financials
US$ millions except as noted First Quarter 2012
Revenue $113.6
Operating (Loss) Income $(16 5)Operating (Loss) Income $(16.5)
Operating Cash Flow $3.1
Net Income $1.1
Adjusted Net Income $1.21
Net Income per share Basic $0.01/sh
Diluted $0.01/sh
Adjusted Net Income per share Basic $0.01/sh1
Diluted $0.01/sh1
Molybdenum Production 4.4 M lbs
Production Cash Costs3 $ 12.95/lb
A R li d P i $ 14 74/lbAverage Realized Price $ 14.74/lb
Cash + S-T Investments (03/31/12) $162.7
Total debt (03/31/12)4 $373.2
6
1 Non-GAAP measure. Excludes $0.1 million non-cash loss related to warrants. 2 Non-GAPP measure. Excludes $66.0 million non-cash gain related to warrants.3 Non-GAAP measure. See Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 additional information.4 Includes capital leases.
Cash Capital Expendituresin millions of US DollarsCash Capital Expendituresin millions of US Dollars
Operations Endako Expansion1 Mount Milligan1, 2 Total
$409$65 $221 $6952011►actual
$750-$825
$190
$35-$40
$15
$83 $868-$948
$205
2012►estimate3
$190-$245
$15-$20
$205-$265
2013►estimate
$40 $141$7 $188Q112►actual
7
1 Excludes capitalized interest and debt issuance costs. Costs for the remainder of 2012 (04/12 through 12/12) and 2013 assume a CAD/USD exchange rate of 1.00. 2 Includes amounts for equipment purchased under capital leases, as well as commissioning and first-fill parts to start the mill.3 Includes Q1 2012 actual cash expenditures.
Pro-Forma Cash Capital Expenditures FundingAs of March 31, 2012
HIGH■ Mt. Milligan■ Maintenance
Remaining Cash Capital Q2 2012 thru Q4 20131
in millions of US dollars NEW NEW $407nnet proceeds et proceeds after fees and estimated after fees and estimated transaction costs transaction costs
C$1.1Billionj t h t
212tMEDS 929
LOW 885
HIGH 1,025
■ Maintenance■ Endako Expansion■ Funding Sources■ Additional Funding
3
3
2
project cash spentsince inception thru 3/31/12
172
195Notes
799
$1,067t t lt t l
3
201
124new total new total
funding funding in placein place
excludes cash flow
from
1 Assumes CAD/USD exchange rate of 1 00
43163
53
Cash on hand
Net revolver availability
Equipment financing
Royal Gold proceeds
New Senior Notes
Tangible Equity Units
Low estimate High estimate
4
from operations 43
8
1 Assumes CAD/USD exchange rate of 1.00.2 Excludes additional proceeds from over allocation position. 3 Includes Mt. Milligan working capital of approximately $30 million (first fills, spare parts, & commissioning parts) and a contingency of $137 million at the high estimate ($7 million contingency at the
low estimate). Assumes an independent third party lease arrangement for the permanent camp at Mt. Milligan.4 Net revolver availability defined as availability under R/C facility less minimum liquidity. Minimum liquidity is currently defined as (i) the amount of cash on hand and (ii) availability under the R/C and (iii)
expected payment from Royal Gold that will be received in the next quarter.
OutlookMolybdenum Production & Cash Costs
Mo Productionin millions of pounds
30 34
25
87
10-11
11-12
Endako Mine
Thompson Creek Mine
3328 26-28
30-34
2521
16-17
19-2210 11
2010 2011 2012 2013guidance guidanceactualactual
Cash CostsUS dollars per pound
$6.07 $7.94 $7.75–$9.00 $6.75–$7.75
Thompson Creek $5.20 $6.66 $7.50–$8.50 $6.00–$7.00
Endako1 $8 89 $11 86 $8 25–$9 25 $8 00–$9 00
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1 Guidance numbers for Endako assume a USD/CAD exchange rate of 1.00.
Endako1 $8.89 $11.86 $8.25–$9.25 $8.00–$9.00
Thompson Creek Mine – Idaho
Mo Production16 -17 million pounds in 2012 (estimate)
Cash Costs (Mo oxide)$7.50 - $8.50 per pound in 2012 (estimate)
1Proven and Probable Mineral Reserves1
(Contained Mo)220.9 million pounds Mo2
Average grade of 0.077% Mo
15-Year Mine Life (Based on proven and probable reserves)
Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources(Contained Mo)54 3 million pounds Mo3
In operation since 1983
1 The Mineral Reserve estimates for the Thompson Creek Mine set out in the table above are as of December 31, 2011 and were prepared by the Thompson Creek Mine staff, have been verified by John M. Marek, Registered Professional Engineer, of IMC, who is a Qualified Person under NI 43-101, and utilize a cut-off grade of 0.030% Mo. Data verification and block model assembly was completed by Michael J. Lechner of Resource Modeling Inc. The NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Mineral Resources and Reserves of the Thompson Creek molybdenum mine is dated February 9, 2011 and filed on SEDAR on February 24, 2011
54.3 million pounds Mo3
Average grade of 0.046% Mo
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2011. 2 The Mineral Reserve at the Thompson Creek mine was estimated using an average long-term molybdenum price of $12.00 per pound. The Thompson Creek mine has limited ability to expand the pit due to
limitations on tailing capacity. Therefore, the final pit design reflects the maximum ore capacity that can be produced in the foreseeable future.3 The Mineral Resources for the Thompson Creek Mine were estimated using optimized pit shells at a molybdenum price of $15.00 per pound. The Mineral Reserves are not included in the Mineral Resources. The
Qualified Person, as defined under NI 43-101, for the estimation of Mineral Resources was John M. Marek, P.E., of IMC. The Thompson Creek Mine Mineral Resource estimate is based on a NI 43-101 technical report prepared for us, entitled "Technical Report Thompson Creek Molybdenum Mine" dated February 9, 2011 and filed on SEDAR on February 24, 2011.
Endako Mine – British Columbia
Mo Production14-15 million pounds in 2012 (estimate)(10-11 million Thompson Creek’s 75% share)
Cash Costs (Mo oxide)$8.25 – $9.25 per pound in 2012 (estimate)
1Proven and Probable Mineral Reserves1
(Contained Mo)303.9 million pounds Mo2
Average grade of 0.046% Mo
18-Year Mine Life (Based on proven and probable reserves)
Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources(Contained Mo)38 0 million pounds Mo3
In operation since 1965
38.0 million pounds Mo3
Average grade of 0.030% Mo
1 The Mineral Reserve estimate for the Endako Mine set out in the table above are as of December 31, 2011 and was prepared by the Endako Mine staff, has been verified by Bob Jedrzejczak P. Eng, Mine Superintendent of the Endako Mine, who is a Qualified Person under NI 43-101, and utilized a cut-off grade of 0.018% Mo. The Mineral Reserve is stated on a 100% basis. We own 75% of the Endako Mine. The Endako Mineral Reserve estimate is based on a NI 43-101 technical report prepared for us by John Marek, P.E. of IMC, who is a Qualified Person under NI 43-101, entitled "Technical Report Endako Molybdenum Mine" dated and filed on SEDAR on September 12 2011
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Mine dated and filed on SEDAR on September 12, 2011.2 The Mineral Reserve estimate for the Endako Mine was estimated using an average long-term molybdenum price of C$13.50 per pound or US$12.00 per pound using an exchange rate of C$1.125 to US$1.00. 3 The Mineral Resources for the Endako Mine were estimated using optimized pit shells at a molybdenum price of C$16.50 per pound or US$15.00 per pound using an exchange rate of C$1.10/US$1.00. Other
than metal price, the same pit shell parameters and modifying factors used to determine the Mineral Reserves were used to determine the Mineral Resources. The Mineral Reserves are not included in the Mineral Resources. The Qualified Person, as defined under NI 43-101, for the estimation of Mineral Resources was John M. Marek, P.E., of IMC. The Endako Mineral Resource estimate is based on a NI 43-101 technical report prepared for us, entitled "Technical Report Endako Molybdenum Mine" dated and filed on SEDAR on September 12, 2011.
Endako Mine Recapitalization & Expansion
Mill New state-of-the-art mill in place
• Increases throughput by 77% [from 31k to 55k tons per day]
Conveyor
D k E t Pit
Endako Pit[from 31k to 55k tons per day]
• Reduces unit operating expenses
New mining equipment purchased
– 8 haul trucks [240-ton capacity ea.]
In-Pit CrusherDenak East Pit – 2 shovels [44 cubic yard capacity ea.]
– Drills and support equipment
Production rate increases to 15 – 16 million lbs/year (100%)
Outline of proposed Super Pit
Denak West Pit Staged start up commenced January 2012
– Commercial production achieved February 2012– Mill expansion completed March 2012– Full production is expected Q2 2012Super Pit p p– Mill is performing exceptionally well and is expected
to meet design capacity in the near future
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Langeloth Metallurgical Facility
Roasting capacityapproximatelyapproximately 35 million pounds per year of molybdenum oxide
Major North American producer of ferro-molybdenum and pure molybdenum oxide
Makes Thompson Creek one of only three Western world molybdenum producers with the capacity to provide final product to worldwide consumers
13
product to worldwide consumers
Mt. Milligan – A Cornerstone Asset
Diversification into copper and gold
Substantial production potential through conventional mining methods
Robust economics given low cash cost profile of deposit
Located in British Columbia, a mining friendly jurisdiction
Recently completed Endako mill expansion allows us to leverage Endako commissioning and project team experience
14
Mt. Milligan Project – British Columbia
Cu Production81 million pounds1 (annual LOM)Au Production194 000 ounces1 (annual LOM)194,000 ounces (annual LOM)Cash Costs (Net of By-Products)<$0.50 per pound Cu (at $690 per ounce Au)
Proven and Probable Mineral Reserves2
2.1 billion pounds CuAverage grade of 0.20% 6.0 million ounces Au Average grade of 0.011 oz/t
22-Year Mine Life (Based on proven and probable reserves)
Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources3
716 million pounds Cu Average grade of 0.15%1 5 illi A1.5 million ounces Au Average grade of 0.006 oz/t
1 Based on October 13, 2009 Terrane Metals Feasibility Update Study press release under 60,000 tpd scenario using base case of $2.00/lb Cu and $800/oz Au with USD/CAD FX rate of $0.85; pre-gold stream transaction. For further information on the Mt. Milligan project, please see Terrane’s “Technical Report – Feasibility Update Mt. Milligan Property – Northern BC”, completed by Wardrop, a Tetra Tech Company, effective October 13, 2009, and press release dated October 13, 2009.
2 The copper and gold Mineral Reserve estimates for Mt. Milligan set out in the tables above have been prepared by Herbert E. Welhener, MMSA-QPM. of IMC, who is a Qualified Person under NI 43-101. The Mt. Milligan Reserve estimate is based on a NI 43-101 technical report prepared for our wholly owned subsidiary, Terrane, entitled "Technical Report—Feasibility Update Mt. Milligan Property—Northern BC" dated October 13, 2009 and filed on
15
estimate is based on a NI 43 101 technical report prepared for our wholly owned subsidiary, Terrane, entitled Technical Report Feasibility Update Mt. Milligan Property Northern BC dated October 13, 2009 and filed on SEDAR on October 13, 2011. The open pit was optimized at a $4.10/t NSR cut-off value and incorporates costs for milling, plant services, tailing services and general and administrative charges and at $1.60/lb copper, $690/oz gold and 0.85 U.S.$/C$ exchange rate.
3 The Mineral Resources estimates for Mt. Milligan set out in the table above have been prepared by Herbert E. Welhener, MMSA-QPM., of IMC. The resources are contained within an open pit shell that was optimized at a $4.10/t NSR cut-off value and incorporates costing for milling, plant services, tailing services and general and administrative charges and at $2.00/lb copper, $800/oz gold and $0.85 U.S. dollar/Canadian dollar exchange rate. The Mineral Reserves are not included in the Mineral Resources. The Mt. Milligan Resource estimate is based on a NI 43-101 technical report prepared for our wholly owned subsidiary, Terrane, entitled "Technical Report—Feasibility Update Mt. Milligan Property—Northern BC" and dated October 13, 2009 and filed on SEDAR on October 13, 2011.
Diversifying the portfolio…
Mt. MilliganOnce in operation, Mt. Milligan will significantly diversify and increase our revenues. We ultimately expect that its production and revenues will approach the scale of our current operationsscale of our current operations.
Mo
MAu CMo Cu
16
A Great Asset with Robust Economics
Significant annual cash flow potential in millions of US dollars1Upside Potential
Reserve calculation utilized conservative metals pricing of $1.60/lb Cu and $690/oz Au
Current resource is open at depth and possibly extends laterally
$600
extends laterally
Multiple exploration drill targets within company’s land position
Mt Milli h i l d h i l $220 Mt. Milligan geophysical and geochemical signature repeated on several targets within the holdings
Revenue potential equal to existing operations
$220
Cash Costs Cash Revenue - Current pricing22
17
1 Estimated cash costs include operating costs, refining/smelting costs, and transportation. Cash operating costs and estimated annual production in concentrate are based upon the 2008 Terrane Metals Corp. Feasibility Study. Assumes average annual production of 89 million lbs of copper in concentrate (85.4 million lbs of payable copper) and 262,000 oz of gold in concentrate (256,760 oz of payable gold) for years 1-6 of full production. Exchange rate is assumed at parity (C$1.00 = US$ 1.00).
2 Bloomberg pricing as of 5/11/12: Cu - $3.65/lb; Au - 60% @ $1,579/oz and 40% @ $435/oz (per Amended and Restated Gold Stream Agreement with Royal Gold).
Mt. Milligan Project Development Update
EPCM progress through March 31, 2012
Engineering – 95%
Procurement – 95%
Construction – 44%
Overall Progress – 62%
Mt. Milligan remains on schedule, with commissioning and start-up scheduled for Q3 2013 and full gold and copper production expected in Q4 2013.
Grinding bay west site
18
A Clear Path to Project Completion
High end of Mt. Milligan capital budgetin millions of Canadian dollars
300
137Contingency represents 46% of non-fixed cost remaining
~$1.5bn~$1.5bn
39696
~70% of project capex of project capex
spentspent oror
593contractually contractually committedcommitted
Cash spent to Purchase Other lump-sum Non-fixed cost Contingency Total project p3/31/2012 commitments
pcontracts remaining
g y p jcapex
19
Mt. Milligan Project De-risking ActionsMt. Milligan Project De-risking Actions
95% of engineering is complete Early procurement of critical items
All major mining and milling equipment is procured and is either on site or en route
Scope, Engineering & Procurement
80% of steel on siteProcurement
Construction of
Tailing Storage Facility (TSF) was fully designed in June 2010 with all critical areas of the dam base completed
Plant DevelopmentCritical Areas Power line to site complete, tested & tied into BC Hydro
60% of concrete is complete and on schedule SAG grinding area is under cover and ready for installation of mill
Mechanical/Electrical contractors – lump sum – contractors assume risk for cost overruns
Schedule issued February 2011 with no changes
Labor/Productivity EPCM – to date have maintained critical personnel with completion payments as incentive TCM has changed its work schedules, enhanced completion bonuses and planned permanent
camp to attract operations personnel
All major permits needed for construction have been obtained Enhanced internal & external staffing to control audit and manage project spendingPermitting &
Schedule Schedule issued February 2011 with no changes Mine operations supports construction of TSF in Q2/Q3 2012, allowing for one year of activity
to achieve operational efficiency and effectiveness
20
Enhanced internal & external staffing to control, audit and manage project spending Project control, contract management, procurement, accounting, audit team
Controls
Mt. Milligan Future Critical MilestonesMt. Milligan Future Critical Milestones
Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413
Process building grinding area enclosed (3 sides)
Mechanical mill installation beginsMechanical mill installation begins
230kV permanent power energized and available onsite
Delivery and assembly of major mining equipment
Mining equipment fleet ready
Pre-stripping initiated
Pebble crushing building - foundation complete
Truck shop complete
SAG & ball mill installation completeSAG & ball mill installation complete
Process plant mechanical/pre-commissioning complete
Commissioning started
First feed
Full commercial production
21
Development Projects – British ColumbiaDevelopment Projects – British Columbia
Berg Davidson
L ti W t t l B iti h C l bi S ith B iti h C l biLocation West-central British Columbia Smithers, British Columbia
Deposit Copper-molybdenum-silver Molybdenum
Measured + Indicated Mineral Resources
3.3 billion lbs Cu412 million lbs Mo61 illi A 1e a esou ces
(Contained Cu, Mo & Ag)
61 million oz Ag1
Average grade of 0.30% Cu and .037% MoAverage grade of 0.110 oz/t Ag
Project Status Scoping study underway Project re-evaluation on hold
22
1 Estimated by Darin Labrenz, P.Geo., Terrane Metals Corp., a qualified person under NI 43-101, as of May 2009.
A Compelling Investment
Excellent safety and environmental record
New Endako mill expected to reach design capacity in near futureMt Milli ld i t d l ti Q3 2013
Responsible Miner
Near-term completion of growth projects Mt. Milligan copper-gold mine expected completion Q3 2013
Mt. Milligan will significantly increase in revenue, net income and cash flow
Proven and Probable Mo 525 million pounds (includes 100% Endako)
Near term completion of growth projects
Strengthening financial performance
Diversified resources base1(includes 100% Endako)
Reserves Cu 2 billion poundsAu 6 million ounces
Measured + Indicated Mo 504 million pounds Resources Cu 4 billion pounds
Au 1.5 million ouncesAg 61 million Ounces
Significant growth opportunities Berg – Cu, Mo, and Ag; Davidson – Mo
Proven track record in operations, exploration, project development,
High-quality development projects
Experienced management
1 Mineral reserves and resources estimates for the Thompson Creek Mine were prepared by the Thompson Creek Mine staff and verified by John M. Marek of Independent Mining Consultants, Inc. (”IMC”), a Qualified Person under NI 43-101, and utilized a cut-off grade of 0.030% Mo. Mineral reserves and resources estimates for the Endako Mine were
p p p j pM&A
All assets in North America
Experienced management
Low geopolitical risk
23
prepared by the Endako mine staff and verified by Mr. Marek. Endako mineral reserves utilized a cut-off grade of 0.018% and mineral resources utilized a cut-off grade of 0.015 Mineral reserves and resources estimates for Mt. Milligan were prepared by Herb Welhener, MMSA-QPM, Independent Mining Consultants Inc. and Darin Labrenz, P.Geo., former Vice President Business Development of Terrane Metals Corp. Mineral resources estimates for Berg were prepared by Darin Labrenz, P.Geo., former Vice President Business Development Terrane Metals Corp. %. Mineral resources estimates for the Davidson Property were prepared by site personnel, supervised by Ken Collison, P.Eng., former Chief Operating Officer, and verified by Gary Giroux.
Analyst CoverageAnalyst Coverage
Financial Institution Analyst Financial Institution Analyst
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Oscar Cabrera J. P. Morgan Michael Gambardella
BB&T Capital Markets Garrett Nelson Macquarie Capital Markets Pierre Vaillancourt
Canaccord Adams Gary Lampard Paradigm Capital David Davidson
CIBC World Markets Ian Parkinson RBC Capital Markets Fraser Phillips
Credit S isse Ralph Profiti Scotia Capital Thomas Me erCredit Suisse Ralph Profiti Scotia Capital Thomas Meyer
Dahlman Rose & Co Anthony Young Stifel, Nicolaus & Company Paul Massoud
Desjardins Securities John Hughes TD Securities Craig Miller
Deutsche Bank Jorge Beristain UBS Securities Canada Brian MacArthur
GMP Securities David Charles Very Independent Research John Tumazos
24
Molybdenum OverviewMolybdenum Overview
Molybdenum OverviewMolybdenum Overview
Essential metal for today’s modern industry
Strengthens steel, improves weldability, d b i l h l l f ll
Key catalyst in petroleum refining for sulphurremoval
reduces brittleness, helps steel perform well in very high or low temperatures
$8 billion industry at current molybdenum
Powerful anti-corrosive alloy for stainless and alloy steels
26
$8 billion industry at current molybdenum prices
Molybdenum Industry Overview
Top 10 Producers1
[Output in millions of pounds Mo) 2011
Freeport 83
2011 Global P d ti
USACanadaChina
27%3%
34% Freeport 83Codelco 50Grupo Mexico2 42China Molybdenum 34Rio Tinto/Kennecott 31
Production
~ 548 Mpounds1
ChilePeruOtherMexico
17%8%7%4%
Jinduicheng 29Thompson Creek 28Antofagasta 22Collahuasi 15
2011 Geographic Consumption
USAChinaOther
16%36%20%
1 Based on April 2012 CRU report data and company reports. 2 Includes Southern Copper and Asarco.
Antamina 14Total 348
~ 534 M pounds1
Western EuropeJapan
18%10%
First Uses of
Momolybdenum
Constructional Engineering SteelsStainless SteelsAlloy Tool & High Speed SteelsChemicalsCast Iron & SteelsS All
34%25%11%10%8%
27
molybdenum Super AlloysMolybdenum Metal
6%6%
Moly Supply/Demand Fundamentals Remain Favorable
Climax mine is the only new primary mine likely to start up in the near term as rising capital costs and
Supply considerations Demand drivers
China/India/Brazil’s industrialization drive growth Increased intensity of use: oil and gas, oil
permitting hinder other primary mines (expected to produce in 2012)
New by-product sources delayed until 2014 and beyond with Sierra Gorda likely starting up in 2015
Chinese net exports recently playing less of a role in
y g ,refining, autos, aerospace, desalination, and power generation
Estimated 4-6% annual demand growth rate outpacing growth of supply sources through 2020 Chinese net exports recently playing less of a role in
moly trade2020
Molybdenum demand oxide [millions of pounds assuming a 4% growth rate]
Drummed molybdic oxide [US dollars per pound]
14.95ProjectionsHistorical 534
760
13.73
1/4/2012 2/2/2012 3/3/2012 4/2/2012 5/2/2012
959
2010
2012
2020
63
28
Source: CRU and other industry sources (CRU data only for 2005 to 2010); Company estimates Source: Bloomberg, as reported by Metal Bulletin. As of May 2, 2012
1 2 2 2
China: A Major Factor in the Molybdenum PictureChina: A Major Factor in the Molybdenum Picture
Largest producer and largest consumer of molybdenum
Produces approximately 180 million lbs per yearpp y p y
Consumes approximately 165 million lbs per year
Internal molybdenum consumption growing at a faster rate than internal molybdenum production
Molybdenum exports subject to quotas and export taxesMolybdenum exports subject to quotas and export taxes
Production quotas promote domestic consolidation and reduces some marginal production
29
Net Exports/Imports from ChinaNet Exports/Imports from China
Annual Exports/Imports Quarterly Exports/Imports
30
Source: International Molybdenum Association (IMOA). Net exports = exports minus imports.
Molybdenum OutlookMolybdenum Outlook
Oil and gas drilling especially in North America Industrial requirements demand better steels
Strong short-term drivers Positive long-term outlook
Oil and gas drilling, especially in North America
Aerospace – jet engines
Continued economic growth in U.S. and Japan
Industrial requirements demand better steels
Molybdenum is essential in the products in which it is used with few substitutes
G i t l t i il fi i Improving demand in India
Growing catalyst use in oil refineries
The low proportion of molybdenum in finished products makes molybdenum demand relatively price inelastic
31
A diA diAppendixAppendix
AppendixNon-GAAP ReconciliationAppendixNon-GAAP Reconciliation
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2012(US$ in millions except shares and per share amounts – unaudited)
Weighted Average
Basic Shares Weighted Average
Diluted Shares
Net Income Shares (000’s) $/share
Shares (000’s) $/share
Net Income $ 1.1 168,054 $ 0.01 168,483 $ 0.01Add (D d t)Add (Deduct): Unrealized (gain) loss on common stock purchase warrants 0.1 168,054 - 168,483 -Non-GAAP adjusted net income $ 1.2 168,054 $ 0.01 168,483 $ 0.01
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AppendixNon-GAAP Reconciliation (Continued)AppendixNon-GAAP Reconciliation (Continued)
(US$ in millions except per pound amounts — unaudited)
(US$ in millions except shares and per share amounts – unaudited)
Three months ended March 31,2012
OperatingExpenses
(in millions)
PoundsProduced (1)
(000’s lbs) $/lb
Thompson Creek MineCash costs — Non-GAAP (2) $ 35.4 3,422 $ 10.34Add/(Deduct):Add/(Deduct):
Stock-based compensation 0.1Inventory and other adjustments -
GAAP operating expenses $ 35.5Endako MineCash costs — Non-GAAP (2) $ 21.9 1,002 $ 21.87Add/(Deduct):
Stock-based compensation 0.2Commissioning and start-up costs 2.3Commissioning and start up costs 2.3Inventory and other adjustments 7.1
GAAP operating expenses $ 31.5
Other operations GAAP operating expenses (3) $ 35.4GAAP consolidated operating expenses $ 102.4Weighted-average cash cost — Non-GAAP $ 57.3 4,424 $ 12.95
(1) Mined production pounds are molybdenum oxide and HPM from our share of the production from the mines; excludes molybdenum processed from purchased product.
(2) Cash costs represent the mining (including all stripping costs), milling, mine site administration, roasting and packaging costs for molybdenum oxide and HPM produced in the period.Cash cost excludes: the effect of purchase price adjustments, the effects of changes in inventory, corporate allocation stock-based compensation, other non-cash employee benefits,depreciation, depletion, amortization and accretion, and commissioning and start-up costs for the Endako mill. The cash cost for the Thompson Creek mine, which only produces molybdenumsulfide and HPM on site, includes an estimated molybdenum loss (sulfide to oxide), an allocation of roasting and packaging costs from the Langeloth facility, and transportation costs from theThompson Creek mine to the Langeloth facility.
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(3) Other operations represent activities related to the roasting and processing of third-party concentrate and other metals at the Langeloth facility and exclude product volumes and costsrelated to the roasting and processing of Thompson Creek mine and Endako mine concentrate. The Langeloth facility costs associated with roasting and processing of Thompson Creek mineand Endako mine concentrate are included in their respective operating results above.
Thompson Creek Metals Company
NYSE:TC TSX:TCM
www.thompsoncreekmetals.comPamela Solly
Director, Investor RelationsPhone: (303) 762-3526 Email: [email protected]